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Stress Management Goal Chart
Goal Behavior
How Often?
Sun
Mon
Tues
Wed
Thurs
Fri
Sat
Nutrition:
Exercise:
Sleep:
Time Management:
Increase the Positive:
Social Interaction:
Stress Management Technique:
Values and Spirituality:
Mood Rating: 1-10
(1 = worst you have ever felt, 10 = best you have ever felt)
Comments & Observations:
SuperFun Toys Case Study Grading Guide
QNT/561 Version 9
2
SuperFun Toys Case Study Grading Guide
QNT/561 Version 9
Applied Business Research and Statistics
Copyright
Copyright © 2017, 2015, 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011, 2010, 2009,
2008 by University of Phoenix. All rights reserved.
University of Phoenix® is a registered trademark of Apollo
Group, Inc. in the United States and/or other countries.
Microsoft®, Windows®, and Windows NT® are registered
trademarks of Microsoft Corporation in the United States and/or
other countries. All other company and product names are
trademarks or registered trademarks of their respective
companies. Use of these marks is not intended to imply
endorsement, sponsorship, or affiliation.
Edited in accordance with University of Phoenix® editorial
standards and practices.
Learning Team Assignment: SuperFun Toys Case StudyPurpose
of Assignment
The purpose of this assignment is for students to learn how to
make managerial decision using a case study on Normal
Distribution. This case uses concepts from Weeks 1 and 2. It
provides students an opportunity to perform sensitivity analysis
and make a decision while providing their own rationale. This
assignment also shows students that statistics is rarely used by
itself. It shows tight integration of statistics with product
Resources Required
· Microsoft Excel®
· SuperFun Toys Case Study
· SuperFun Toys Case Study data setGrading Guide
Content
Met
Partially Met
Not Met
Comments:
Review the SuperFun Toys Case Study and Data Set.
Develop a 1,050-word case study analysis including the
following:
· Use the sales forecaster’s prediction to describe a normal
probability distribution that can be used to approximate the
demand distribution.
· Sketch the distribution and show its mean and standard
deviation. Hint: To find the standard deviation, think Empirical
Rule covered in Week 1.
· Compute the probability of a stock-out for the order quantities
suggested by members of the management team (i.e. 15,000;
18,000; 24,000; 28,000).
· Compute the projected profit for the order quantities suggested
by the management team under three scenarios: pessimistic in
which sales are 10,000 units, most likely case in which sales are
20,000 units, and optimistic in which sales are 30,000 units.
· One of SuperFun’s managers felt the profit potential was so
great the order quantity should have a 70% chance of meeting
demand and only a 30% chance of any stock- outs. What
quantity would be ordered under this policy, and what is the
projected profit under the three sales scenarios?
Total Available
Total Earned
7
#/7
Writing Guidelines
Met
Partially Met
Not Met
Comments:
The paper—including tables and graphs, headings, title page,
and reference page—is consistent with APA formatting
guidelines and meets course-level requirements.
Intellectual property is recognized with in-text citations and a
reference page.
Paragraph and sentence transitions are present, logical, and
maintain the flow throughout the paper.
Sentences are complete, clear, and concise.
Rules of grammar and usage are followed including spelling and
punctuation.
Total Available
Total Earned
3
#/3
Assignment Total
#
10
#/10
Additional comments:
Title
ABC/123 Version X
1
Case Study – SuperFun Toys
QNT/561 Version 9
1
University of Phoenix MaterialCase Study – SuperFun Toys
SuperFun Toys, Inc., sells a variety of new and innovative
children’s toys. Management learned the pre-holiday season is
the best time to introduce a new toy because many families use
this time to look for new ideas for December holiday gifts.
When SuperFun discovers a new toy with good market potential,
it chooses an October market entry date. To get toys in its
stores by October, SuperFun places one-time orders with its
manufacturers in June or July of each year.
Demand for children’s toys can be highly volatile. If a new toy
catches on, a sense of shortage in the marketplace often
increases the demand to high levels and large profits can be
realized. However, new toys can also flop, leaving SuperFun
stuck with high levels of inventory that must be sold at reduced
prices. The most important question the company faces is
deciding how many units of a new toy should be purchased to
meet anticipated sales demand. If too few are purchased, sales
will be lost; if too many are purchased, profits will be reduced
because of low prices realized in clearance sales.
This is where SuperFun feels that you, as an MBA student, can
bring value.
For the coming season, SuperFun plans to introduce a new
product called Weather Teddy. This variation of a talking teddy
bear is made by a company in Taiwan. When a child presses
Teddy’s hand, the bear begins to talk. A built-in barometer
selects one of five responses predicting the weather conditions.
The responses range from “It looks to be a very nice day! Have
fun” to “I think it may rain today. Don’t forget your umbrella.”
Tests with the product show even though it is not a perfect
weather predictor, its predictions are surprisingly good. Several
of SuperFun’s managers claimed Teddy gave predictions of the
weather that were as good as many local television weather
forecasters.
As with other products, SuperFun faces the decision of how
many Weather Teddy units to order for the coming holiday
season. Members of the management team suggested order
quantities of 15,000, 18,000, 24,000, or 28,000 units. The wide
range of order quantities suggested indicates considerable
disagreement concerning the market potential.
Having a sound background in statistics and business, you are
required to perform statistical analysis and the profit
projections which is typically done by the product management
group. You want to provide management with an analysis of the
stock-out probabilities for various order quantities, an estimate
of the profit potential, and to help make an order quantity
recommendation.
SuperFun expects to sell Weather Teddy for $24 based on a cost
of $16 per unit. If inventory remains after the holiday season,
SuperFun will sell all surplus inventories for $5 per unit. After
reviewing the sales history of similar products, SuperFun’s
senior sales forecaster predicted an expected demand of 20,000
units with a 95% probability that demand would be between
10,000 units and 30,000 units.
Copyright © XXXX by University of Phoenix. All rights
reserved.
Copyright © 2017 by University of Phoenix. All rights reserved.
Profit ProjectionsOrder Quantity15,000Purchase Cost per unit$
16.00SalesOrder QuantityTotal CostTotal RevenueProfit@
$24.00@
$5.00Pessimistic10,00015,000Likely20,00015,000Optimistic30,
00015,000Order Quantity18,000Purchase Cost per unit$
16.00SalesOrder QuantityTotal CostTotal RevenueProfit@
$24.00@
$5.00Pessimistic10,00018,000Likely20,00018,000Optimistic30,
00018,000Order Quantity20,000Purchase Cost per unit$
16.00SalesOrder QuantityTotal CostTotal RevenueProfit@
$24.00@
$5.00Pessimistic10,00020,000Likely20,00020,000Optimistic30,
00020,000Order Quantity24,000Purchase Cost per unit$
16.00SalesOrder QuantityTotal CostTotal RevenueProfit@
$24.00@
$5.00Pessimistic10,00024,000Likely20,00024,000Optimistic30,
00024,000Order Quantity28,000Purchase Cost per unit$
16.00SalesOrder QuantityTotal CostTotal RevenueProfit@
$24.00@
$5.00Pessimistic10,00028,000Likely20,00028,000Optimistic30,
00028,000
Question 4Order QuantityPurchase Cost per unit$
16.00SalesOrder QuantityTotal CostTotal RevenueProfit@
$24.00@ $5.00Pessimistic10,000Likely20,000Optimistic30,000
Stress Management Goal Chart
Goal Behavior
How Often?
Sun
Mon
Tues
Wed
Thurs
Fri
Sat
Nutrition:
Eat Breakfast
Every day
X
X
X
X
X
Exercise:
30 minutes aerobic
3x/week
X
X
X
Sleep:
8 hours/night
Every day
X
X
X
X
X
Time Management:
Follow weekly schedule
Every day
X
X
X
X
Increase the Positive:
Write in gratitude journal
Every night
X
X
X
Social Interaction:
Dinner with friends
2x/week
X
X
Stress Management Technique:
Guided Imagery
3x/week
X
X
Values and Spirituality:
Reflect on core values
2x/week
X
Mood Rating: 1-10
(1 = worst you have ever felt, 10 = best you have ever felt)
9
3
9
4
3
3
7
Comments & Observations: I notice that when I don’t eat
breakfast and sleep, I feel worse. Also when I do things that are
fun with my friends, I am happier!
Stress Management Action Plan
Stress Management Action Plan
In this course, we have covered many aspects of stress
management. Now is the time to bring them together, set goals
for yourself, and note changes in your ability to manage your
own stress. For your last assignment, I would like you to start
by reviewing the past modules and your reflections. Then, I
would like you to set some goals for yourself in each major
area. These are the areas I would like you to consider:
· Nutrition
· Exercise
· Sleep
· Time Management
· Increasing the Positive
· Social Interaction
· Stress Management Techniques: Cognitive, Mindfulness, or
Behavioral
· Values and Spirituality
Follow this process:
1. Set a specific goal for each area. For example under
nutrition, it could be to eat breakfast.
2. Decide how many times a week you would like to achieve the
goal. For example, 3x/week.
3. Try to follow your goal chart for one week, recording an "X"
when you have completed the activity that day.
4. Complete a mood check at the end of each day. How do you
feel on a scale from 1-10?
5. Note any patterns or observations you make at the end of the
week. What behaviors and attitudes seem to make a difference
for you?
Use the following chart to record your goals for the week:
Stress management goal chart ( In other file )
Here is an example of a completed chart:
Stress management Goal chart Example ( in other file)
Your last assignment involves completing this chart, recording
your behavior and observations for a week, and writing about
your experiences and future goals. Please see the assignment
details under the "Assignments" tab.
Congratulations on completing Stress Management! I hope this
class has been helpful and that you have taken steps towards
your stress management goals!
Stress Management Goal ChartGoal BehaviorHow OftenSunMonT.docx

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Stress Management Goal ChartGoal BehaviorHow OftenSunMonT.docx

  • 1. Stress Management Goal Chart Goal Behavior How Often? Sun Mon Tues Wed Thurs Fri Sat Nutrition: Exercise: Sleep:
  • 2. Time Management: Increase the Positive: Social Interaction:
  • 3. Stress Management Technique: Values and Spirituality: Mood Rating: 1-10 (1 = worst you have ever felt, 10 = best you have ever felt)
  • 4. Comments & Observations: SuperFun Toys Case Study Grading Guide QNT/561 Version 9 2 SuperFun Toys Case Study Grading Guide QNT/561 Version 9 Applied Business Research and Statistics Copyright Copyright © 2017, 2015, 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011, 2010, 2009, 2008 by University of Phoenix. All rights reserved. University of Phoenix® is a registered trademark of Apollo Group, Inc. in the United States and/or other countries. Microsoft®, Windows®, and Windows NT® are registered trademarks of Microsoft Corporation in the United States and/or other countries. All other company and product names are trademarks or registered trademarks of their respective companies. Use of these marks is not intended to imply endorsement, sponsorship, or affiliation. Edited in accordance with University of Phoenix® editorial standards and practices. Learning Team Assignment: SuperFun Toys Case StudyPurpose of Assignment The purpose of this assignment is for students to learn how to make managerial decision using a case study on Normal
  • 5. Distribution. This case uses concepts from Weeks 1 and 2. It provides students an opportunity to perform sensitivity analysis and make a decision while providing their own rationale. This assignment also shows students that statistics is rarely used by itself. It shows tight integration of statistics with product Resources Required · Microsoft Excel® · SuperFun Toys Case Study · SuperFun Toys Case Study data setGrading Guide Content Met Partially Met Not Met Comments: Review the SuperFun Toys Case Study and Data Set. Develop a 1,050-word case study analysis including the following: · Use the sales forecaster’s prediction to describe a normal probability distribution that can be used to approximate the demand distribution. · Sketch the distribution and show its mean and standard deviation. Hint: To find the standard deviation, think Empirical Rule covered in Week 1. · Compute the probability of a stock-out for the order quantities suggested by members of the management team (i.e. 15,000; 18,000; 24,000; 28,000). · Compute the projected profit for the order quantities suggested by the management team under three scenarios: pessimistic in
  • 6. which sales are 10,000 units, most likely case in which sales are 20,000 units, and optimistic in which sales are 30,000 units. · One of SuperFun’s managers felt the profit potential was so great the order quantity should have a 70% chance of meeting demand and only a 30% chance of any stock- outs. What quantity would be ordered under this policy, and what is the projected profit under the three sales scenarios? Total Available Total Earned 7 #/7 Writing Guidelines Met Partially Met Not Met Comments: The paper—including tables and graphs, headings, title page, and reference page—is consistent with APA formatting guidelines and meets course-level requirements. Intellectual property is recognized with in-text citations and a reference page.
  • 7. Paragraph and sentence transitions are present, logical, and maintain the flow throughout the paper. Sentences are complete, clear, and concise. Rules of grammar and usage are followed including spelling and punctuation. Total Available Total Earned 3 #/3 Assignment Total # 10 #/10 Additional comments:
  • 8. Title ABC/123 Version X 1 Case Study – SuperFun Toys QNT/561 Version 9 1 University of Phoenix MaterialCase Study – SuperFun Toys SuperFun Toys, Inc., sells a variety of new and innovative children’s toys. Management learned the pre-holiday season is the best time to introduce a new toy because many families use this time to look for new ideas for December holiday gifts. When SuperFun discovers a new toy with good market potential, it chooses an October market entry date. To get toys in its stores by October, SuperFun places one-time orders with its manufacturers in June or July of each year. Demand for children’s toys can be highly volatile. If a new toy catches on, a sense of shortage in the marketplace often increases the demand to high levels and large profits can be realized. However, new toys can also flop, leaving SuperFun stuck with high levels of inventory that must be sold at reduced prices. The most important question the company faces is deciding how many units of a new toy should be purchased to meet anticipated sales demand. If too few are purchased, sales will be lost; if too many are purchased, profits will be reduced because of low prices realized in clearance sales. This is where SuperFun feels that you, as an MBA student, can bring value. For the coming season, SuperFun plans to introduce a new product called Weather Teddy. This variation of a talking teddy bear is made by a company in Taiwan. When a child presses
  • 9. Teddy’s hand, the bear begins to talk. A built-in barometer selects one of five responses predicting the weather conditions. The responses range from “It looks to be a very nice day! Have fun” to “I think it may rain today. Don’t forget your umbrella.” Tests with the product show even though it is not a perfect weather predictor, its predictions are surprisingly good. Several of SuperFun’s managers claimed Teddy gave predictions of the weather that were as good as many local television weather forecasters. As with other products, SuperFun faces the decision of how many Weather Teddy units to order for the coming holiday season. Members of the management team suggested order quantities of 15,000, 18,000, 24,000, or 28,000 units. The wide range of order quantities suggested indicates considerable disagreement concerning the market potential. Having a sound background in statistics and business, you are required to perform statistical analysis and the profit projections which is typically done by the product management group. You want to provide management with an analysis of the stock-out probabilities for various order quantities, an estimate of the profit potential, and to help make an order quantity recommendation. SuperFun expects to sell Weather Teddy for $24 based on a cost of $16 per unit. If inventory remains after the holiday season, SuperFun will sell all surplus inventories for $5 per unit. After reviewing the sales history of similar products, SuperFun’s senior sales forecaster predicted an expected demand of 20,000 units with a 95% probability that demand would be between 10,000 units and 30,000 units. Copyright © XXXX by University of Phoenix. All rights reserved. Copyright © 2017 by University of Phoenix. All rights reserved. Profit ProjectionsOrder Quantity15,000Purchase Cost per unit$ 16.00SalesOrder QuantityTotal CostTotal RevenueProfit@
  • 10. $24.00@ $5.00Pessimistic10,00015,000Likely20,00015,000Optimistic30, 00015,000Order Quantity18,000Purchase Cost per unit$ 16.00SalesOrder QuantityTotal CostTotal RevenueProfit@ $24.00@ $5.00Pessimistic10,00018,000Likely20,00018,000Optimistic30, 00018,000Order Quantity20,000Purchase Cost per unit$ 16.00SalesOrder QuantityTotal CostTotal RevenueProfit@ $24.00@ $5.00Pessimistic10,00020,000Likely20,00020,000Optimistic30, 00020,000Order Quantity24,000Purchase Cost per unit$ 16.00SalesOrder QuantityTotal CostTotal RevenueProfit@ $24.00@ $5.00Pessimistic10,00024,000Likely20,00024,000Optimistic30, 00024,000Order Quantity28,000Purchase Cost per unit$ 16.00SalesOrder QuantityTotal CostTotal RevenueProfit@ $24.00@ $5.00Pessimistic10,00028,000Likely20,00028,000Optimistic30, 00028,000 Question 4Order QuantityPurchase Cost per unit$ 16.00SalesOrder QuantityTotal CostTotal RevenueProfit@ $24.00@ $5.00Pessimistic10,000Likely20,000Optimistic30,000 Stress Management Goal Chart Goal Behavior How Often? Sun Mon Tues Wed Thurs Fri Sat Nutrition: Eat Breakfast Every day X
  • 11. X X X X Exercise: 30 minutes aerobic 3x/week X X X Sleep: 8 hours/night Every day X X X X X Time Management: Follow weekly schedule Every day X X X X
  • 12. Increase the Positive: Write in gratitude journal Every night X X X Social Interaction: Dinner with friends 2x/week X X Stress Management Technique: Guided Imagery 3x/week X X Values and Spirituality: Reflect on core values 2x/week X
  • 13. Mood Rating: 1-10 (1 = worst you have ever felt, 10 = best you have ever felt) 9 3 9 4 3 3 7 Comments & Observations: I notice that when I don’t eat breakfast and sleep, I feel worse. Also when I do things that are fun with my friends, I am happier! Stress Management Action Plan Stress Management Action Plan In this course, we have covered many aspects of stress management. Now is the time to bring them together, set goals for yourself, and note changes in your ability to manage your own stress. For your last assignment, I would like you to start by reviewing the past modules and your reflections. Then, I would like you to set some goals for yourself in each major area. These are the areas I would like you to consider: · Nutrition · Exercise · Sleep · Time Management · Increasing the Positive · Social Interaction
  • 14. · Stress Management Techniques: Cognitive, Mindfulness, or Behavioral · Values and Spirituality Follow this process: 1. Set a specific goal for each area. For example under nutrition, it could be to eat breakfast. 2. Decide how many times a week you would like to achieve the goal. For example, 3x/week. 3. Try to follow your goal chart for one week, recording an "X" when you have completed the activity that day. 4. Complete a mood check at the end of each day. How do you feel on a scale from 1-10? 5. Note any patterns or observations you make at the end of the week. What behaviors and attitudes seem to make a difference for you? Use the following chart to record your goals for the week: Stress management goal chart ( In other file ) Here is an example of a completed chart: Stress management Goal chart Example ( in other file) Your last assignment involves completing this chart, recording your behavior and observations for a week, and writing about your experiences and future goals. Please see the assignment details under the "Assignments" tab. Congratulations on completing Stress Management! I hope this class has been helpful and that you have taken steps towards your stress management goals!