Generali Investor Day 2010

Strategic Asset Allocation &
Risk Management Strategy



Amerigo Borrini
Chief Risk Officer

Salvatore Colotti
Chief Life Actuary

                               Venice, November 26, 2010
Disclaimer                                                                                                 2




       Certain of the statements contained herein are statements of future expectations and other
       forward-looking statements.
       These expectations are based on management's current views and assumptions and involve
       known and unknown risks and uncertainties.
       The user of such information should recognise that actual results, performance or events
       may differ materially from such expectations because they relate to future events and
       circumstances which are beyond our control including, among other things, general economic
       and sector conditions.
       Neither Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A. nor any of its affiliates, directors, officers employees or
       agents owe any duty of care towards any user of the information provided herein nor any
       obligation to update any forward-looking information contained in this document.
       The manager in charge of preparing the company’s financial reports, Raffaele Agrusti,
       declares, pursuant to paragraph 2 of article 154-bis of the Consolidated Law on Financial
       Intermediation, that the accounting information contained in this presentation corresponds to
       document results, books and accounts records.




Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
II. Strategic Asset Allocation & Risk Management Strategy                                      3




            I. Introduction: How we managed and performed


            II. Asset and Liabilities integration


            III. Final remarks




Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
Agenda                                                                                         4




            I. Introduction:
            How we managed and performed
            Strategic Asset Allocation & Risk Management

            Increased investment portfolio

            Our track record on investment management

            Group risk capital and financial risks




Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
I. INTRODUCTION: HOW WE MANAGED AND PERFORMED

Strategic Asset Allocation & Risk Management                                                                                                                          5



At 30.09.2010


                                                                       “Own Investments”
                                                                      including own use real estate(1)
                                                                               Euro 331.1 bn
 Asset Allocation                                                                                                         Insurance Liabilities
                                                   Fixed income
       Cash & equival.                             instruments
       BV 3.0%                                     BV 79.1%
       MV 2.9%                                     MV 78.1%
       Equity
       BV 8.4%
       MV 8.1%                                                                                                                                     Traditional Life
                                                                                            ALM                                 258.1
       Real Estate (3)                                                                                                                             Reserves(4)
       BV 5.5%
       MV 7.1%

       Other(2)                              “Own Investments”
       BV 4.0%                               including own use real
       MV 3.8%
                                             estate(1)                                                                           30.5              P&C Reserves(4)

 (1)   Including own use real estate within own investments. Own investments include own capital and insurance funds (i.e. unit linked excluded)
 (2)   Including investments in subsidiaries, associated companies and JVs, derivatives, receivables from banks or customer
 (3)   Including real estate mutual funds & own use real estate
 (4)   Net technical reserves; life reserves including investment contracts


Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
I. INTRODUCTION: HOW WE MANAGED AND PERFORMED

We increased our investment portfolio                                                                                                                         6



Strong growth trend of total Assets Under Management (Euro bn)
                                                                                                          + 8.1%                       AUM net of sale and
                                                                                       + 13.1%                                         acquisition (∆% YoY)
                                            + 1.2%                - 7.2%
                    + 6.2%                                                                                + 8.1%                       AUM (∆% YoY)
                                                                                         + 7.1%
                                            + 0.6%                + 0.3%
                     + 8.6%
                                                                                                                      95.9
                                                                                                  83.6
                                  62.9                 61.4                  68.6                                                     Third parties AUM
            57.6                                                                                                      47.6
                                                                                                  42.5
                                  47.9                 50.7                  41.4
            41.2                                                                                                                      Unit Linked

                                                                                                                                      Own Investments
                                                                                                                                      (including own use
                                                                                                                                      real estate)
                                                                                                  312.7              331.1
                                 295.0                296.2                 299.6
           274.8


                         (1)                 (2)                   (3)                   (4)


            2005                 2006                  2007                 2008                  2009               9M10
 (1) Acquisition of Toro Group impact Own Investment for Euro 8.4 bn and Unit Linked for Euro 587 m
 (2) Sale of Nuova Tirrena impact Own Investment for Euro 2.2 bn and Unit Linked for Euro 107m
 (3) Acquisition of Banca del Gottardo impact Own Investment for Euro 8.2 bn and Third parties AUM for Euro 14 bn
     Acquisition of PPF Group impact Own Investment for Euro 5.4 bn, Unit Linked for Euro 67m and Third parties AUM for Euro 2.4 bn
 (4) Sale of Intesa Vita impact Own Investment for Euro 13.5 bn and Unit Linked for Euro 8.6 bn


Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
I. INTRODUCTION: HOW WE MANAGED AND PERFORMED

Our investments – Life                                                                                                                         7



Asset allocation (%) - Eur 269.7 bn at 9M10
   1.4% 1.8%1.7%1.5%1.7%2.1%2.0%2.1%1.7%1.9%      2.0%                                                        Maintained an asset
      2.6%                                   1.6%      Cash
            3.0%    3.8%    4.2%    4.0%     3.7%                                                             allocation consistent with the
                                                                                               Other
                                                                                                              structure of our technical
                                                                                               investment
                                                                                                              reserves
                                                                                               Investment
      83.3%         81.6%         80.1%         83.9%        83.3%         84.2%               properties     Increase in corporate bonds
                                                                                               (incl. self-
                                                                                               used)          exposure has allowed
                                                                                                              Generali to benefit from
                                                                                               Fixed Income
      10.9%         12.2%         12.3%                                                        Instruments    narrowing in spreads and to
                                                7.7%          9.1%          8.5%
                                                                                                              sustain current return
       2005          2006          2007         2008          2009         9M10                Equities
                                                                                                              Maintained high quality of
Focus on bond portfolio (%) - Eur 204.3 bn at 9M10                                                            corporate bond portfolio and
                                                                                                              improved portfolio
                                                                                                              diversification

                                  58.8%        57.7%         56.1%         55.1%                              Lengthened duration of
      66.5%         65.6%                                                                      Government
                                                                                               bonds          bonds (from 6.0 at FY07 to
                                                                                                              6.6 at 9M10)
                                                                                                              Strategic decrease of equity
                                  41.2%        42.3%         43.9%         44.9%               Corporate
      33.5%         34.4%                                                                                     exposure

       2005          2006         2007          2008          2009         9M10

Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
I. INTRODUCTION: HOW WE MANAGED AND PERFORMED

Own investments – P&C                                                                                                                          8



Asset allocation (%) - Eur 38.6 bn at 9M10
          4.0%    4.8%    6.9%    6.0%    7.8%    5.6%                                                        Increases in the share of
    2.5%      2.7%            3.8%            2.8%     Cash
                      3.3%            2.4%                                                                    corporate bonds within bond
      22.6% 20.3%     17.8%   20.7% 20.3%     20.9%    Other
                                                                                                              portfolio has allowed Generali
                                                                                               investment
                                                                                                              to exploit the narrowing of
                                                                                               Investment
                                                                                               properties     spreads and to generate
      52.0%        54.6%          54.7%         56.2%        57.4%         59.2%               (incl. self-   fixed income revenues
                                                                                               used)
                                                                                                              Increased diversification in
                                                                                               Fixed Income
     18.8%          17.7%         17.3%                                                                       corporate bond portfolio
                                                13.3%        12.1%         11.4%               Instruments
                                                                                                              Lengthened duration of
       2005          2006          2007         2008          2009         9M10                Equities
                                                                                                              bonds in P&C (from 2.9 at
Focus on bond portfolio (%) - Eur 19.2 bn at 9M10                                                             FY07 to 4.7 at 9M10), based
                                                                                                              on a ongoing portfolio
                                                                                                              approach, has allowed us to
                                               47.0%         46.6%         46.6%
                                                                                                              realise capital gains through
      52.5%         55.6%         48.1%
                                                                                               Government
                                                                                                              a tactical reduction of
                                                                                               bonds          duration started at the
                                                                                                              beginning of 4Q10

                                  51.9%        53.0%         53.4%         53.4%                              Active management of equity
      47.8%         44.4%                                                                      Corporate
                                                                                                              portfolio to cope with market
                                                                                                              volatility
       2005          2006         2007          2008          2009         9M10

Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
I. INTRODUCTION: HOW WE MANAGED AND PERFORMED

Our track record on investment management                                                             9




 Assets:                              Limited net exposure to structured finance: Euro 1.5 bn
 diversification
 and prudent                          No exposure to US subprime assets
 approach
                                      Negligible exposure to credit default swaps: only hedging and
                                      investment with no arbitrage activity

                                      Limited net exposure to Lehman: Euro 110 m

                                      Limited net exposure to Portugal, Ireland, Greece and Spain:
                                      Euro 2.0 bn

                                      No exposure to Dubai World




Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
I. INTRODUCTION: HOW WE MANAGED AND PERFORMED

Group risk capital and financial risks                                                                                                                                   10



At 31.12.2009

     Significant portion                                                                                       Diversification
                                                                   (Euro bn / Percentage)                   within business units
     of Group risk capital                                                                                                                             €26.7bn
                                             Not under IM(1)        1.9 / 7%
     related to financial                                                                                                                    Group
                                                                                                                      (4.5)
     risks (64%)                             Operational            2.1/ 8%                                                              diversification   32%

                                             Non-life U/W           2.8 / 11%
                                                                                                                      17%                     (4.1)
                                             Life U/W               2.9 / 11%
                                                                                                                                                       €18.1bn

                                             Credit &               3.9 (of which 3.1 on Life and                                             19%
                                             Currency               0.8 on Non-life) / 15%

                                                                    3.2 (of which 2.9 on Life and
                                             Interest rate
                                                                    0.3 on Non-life) / 12%

                                                                    3.3 (of which 1.5 on Life and
                                             Real estate
                                                                    1.8 on Non-life) / 12%


                                                                    6.6 (of which 5.0 on Life and
                                             Equity
                                                                    1.6 on Non-life) / 25%



                                             Total                  26.7 / 100%                 Group risk capital         Group risk capital Group risk capital
                                                                                               before diversification      after diversification after diversification
                                                                                                                          within business units




                                            (1) Not under Internal Model refers to entities currently based on previous top-down model


Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
Agenda                                                                                         11




            II. Asset and Liabilities integration
            Centralised strategic investment framework

            Life Liabilities existing business / new business

            P&C asset liability management

            Asset allocation process and Solvency II




Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
II. ASSET AND LIABILITIES INTEGRATION

Overview                                                                                       12




                                      Financial crisis has given an acceleration in
                                         renewing financial system processes



 Current environment is characterised by the need for changes (Solvency II) at
  system level updating governance, processes, profitability metrics, products



                           Local regulators are defining new set of rules aligned
                                        with this systemic change




Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
II. ASSET AND LIABILITIES INTEGRATION

Centralised strategic investment framework                                                     13



Corporate Centre coordination and control of strategic investment
     Group Risk Guidelines (SAA, Credit, Market Risk Concentration,
     Derivative & Structured Products, Alternative Investments,...)
     Committees structure governance (Group Risk Committee, Group Investment
     committee, Company Investment committees,...)


Strategic asset allocation activity
     Coordinate the deployment of the group strategic investment objectives to the
     companies
     Guarantee coherency of risk and performance metrics
     Centralise the distribution of the market financial scenarios
     Create a platform allowing for the enforcement of:
         Homogeneous asset classification
         Uniform definition of the investment objectives



Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
II. ASSET AND LIABILITIES INTEGRATION

Life liabilities: Existing business(1)                                                                                                         14



FY 2009 Total Reserves: Area/Product                                                  FY 2009 Total Reserves: Area/Premium type
 By Area (Euro bn)                                                                      By Area (Euro bn)
  90                                                Unit Saving                          90                                          Single
  80                                                Unit Pension                         80
  70                                                                                                                                 Regular
                                                    Traditional Saving                   70
  60                                                Traditional Risk                     60
  50                                                Traditional Pension                  50
  40                                                                                     40
  30                                                                                     30
  20                                                                                     20
  10                                                                                     10
   0                                                                                      0
           Italy      Germany France              CEE     RoE          RoW                     Italy   Germany France   CEE    RoE      RoW

 By Product (%)                                                                         By Premium type (%)

  Unit Saving                                           Traditional                      Single                               Regular
  14%                                                   Pension 10%                      45%                                  55%


                                                        Traditional
                                                        Risk 5%


  Unit Pension                                          Traditional
  6%                                                    Saving 65%
(1) Perimeter life/health EV, net of minorities
Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
II. ASSET AND LIABILITIES INTEGRATION

Life liabilities existing business(1): Guarantees                                                                                  15



Total Reserves by type of guarantee
  NIL                                               At maturity                                Yearly basis (Cliquet)
  22%                                               9%                                         Guarantee
                                                                                                Profit sharing granted and
                                                                                                consolidated every year


  Matched                                           Yearly basis                               At Maturity Guarantee
  3%                                                66%                                         Profit sharing granted only at
                                                                                                event (maturity, death)
  3.20                                                 Yearly basis                             Yearly discretionary bonuses not
  3.00
                                                       At maturity                              guaranteed

  2.80
                                                                                               2009 Average Guarantee: 2.37%
  2.60
                                                                                                Yearly basis (Cliquet): 2.4%
  2.40
                                                                                                At maturity: 2.3%
  2.20
    31.12.03                     31.12.05             31.12.07                 31.12.09
(1) Perimeter life/health EV, net of minorities
Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
II. ASSET AND LIABILITIES INTEGRATION

Life liabilities: new business(1)                                                                                                                  16



FY 2009 APE: Area/Product                                                             FY 2009 APE: Area/Premium type
 By Area (Euro m)                                                                       By Area (Euro m)
  1,800                                            Unit Saving                           1,800                                           Single
  1,600                                            Unit Pension                          1,600
  1,400                                                                                                                                  Regular
                                                   Traditional Saving                    1,400
  1,200                                            Traditional Risk                      1,200
  1,000                                            Traditional Pension                   1,000
    800                                                                                    800
     600                                                                                   600
     400                                                                                   400
     200                                                                                   200
       0                                                                                     0
               Italy    Germany France            CEE      RoE        RoW                         Italy   Germany France   CEE     RoE     RoW

 By Product (%)                                                                         By Premium type (%)

  Unit Saving                                           Traditional                      Single                                  Regular
  14%                                                   Pension 10%                      42%                                     58%


                                                        Traditional
                                                        Risk 14%


  Unit Pension                                          Traditional
  11%                                                   Saving 51%
(1) Perimeter life/health EV, net of minorities
Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
II. ASSET AND LIABILITIES INTEGRATION

Life liabilities(1): new business guarantees                                                                                   17



Total APE by type of guarantee
 FY
 2008           NIL                                                   At maturity              2008 Average Guarantee: 1.56%
                30%                                                   11%
                                                                                                Yearly basis: 1.5%
                Matched                                               Yearly basis
                                                                                                At maturity: 1.9%
                3%                                                    56%

 FY
 2009           NIL                                                   At maturity              2009 Average Guarantee: 1.56%
                30%                                                   19%
                                                                                                Yearly basis: 1.4%
                Matched                                               Yearly basis
                                                                                                At maturity: 2.0%
                2%                                                    49%

 9M
 2010           NIL                                                   At maturity              2010 Average Guarantee: 1.54%
                31%                                                   20%
                                                                                                Yearly basis: 1.3%
                Matched                                               Yearly basis
                                                                                                At maturity: 2.0%
                1%                                                    48%

(1) Perimeter life/health EV, net of minorities
Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
II. ASSET AND LIABILITIES INTEGRATION

Life liabilities: focus on Italian new production                                                                                           18




 Absence of volatility absorbers (beyond book accounting) in Italian traditional
 business, as opposed to Germany and France, that use policyholder/capital gains
 funds

 Penalised NBV computation due to widening of spread between Italian bonds and
 Swap rate                             Cost of Guarantee: Cliquet vs. Maturity(1)
                                                                                 Cost of guarantee
 The solution implemented:                                                       (in terms of NBM, expressed in % of APE)

      Higher portion in terms of APE                                               16%
                                                                                                  Cliquet
                                                                                   14%
      of “at maturity” guarantees:                                                                Maturity
                                                                                   12%
           From 31% at FY08
                                                                                   10%
           to 55% at 9M10                                                           8%
                                                                                    6%
      Cliquet guarantees reduction:                                                 4%
          From 1.99% at FY08                                                        2%
          to 1.27% at 9M10                                                          0%
          37% of APE with 0% guarantee            0%                                                              1%                  2%
                                                                                                                        Minimum guarantee
 Results:
      Improved profitability thanks to lower cost of guarantees
      Reduction in Solvency II capital strain
(1) Illustrative example based on FY09 financial assumptions
Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
II. ASSET AND LIABILITIES INTEGRATION

Life liabilities: Portfolio guarantees development(1)                                                                                               19



Expected guarantees development (%)                                   Reserves composition (%)
2.50                                                                                                              New Business
                                                                                                                  Old Business
                                                                       100.00
2.25                                                                                                                             Strong reduction
                                                                         80.00
                                                                                                                                 in the average
2.00                                                                     60.00
                                                                                                                                 guarantee
1.75                                                                     40.00                                                   thanks to back
                                                                         20.00                                                   book run off and
1.50
        31.12.09                                          31.12.20        0.00                                                   new production
                                                                                 2009    2011    2013    2015    2017    2019
Based on expected run off, future new production included




Breakdown cliquet guarantees at FY09 Higher cliquet guarantees development
                       weight on total reserves               weight on total reserves By 2020:
                                                100%
                                    19.2%                                90%                                                       Average
                                                                         80%                                    >=4.5%
                         15.0%                                                                                                     guarantee
   12.6%                                          13.1%                  70%                                    4%-4.49%
                                                                         60%                                                       at 1.7%
                                                                                                                3.5%-3.99%
                                                                         50%
                                                                                                                3%-3.49%           Portfolio with
               5.2%                                                      40%
                                                                         30%                                                       ≥ 2.75%
                                                          0.6%           20%
                                                                                                                                   guarantee
                                                                         10%
      0%-  1%-   2%-   3%-   4%-                          >5%             0%                                                       ≤10% of total
    0.99% 1.99% 2.99% 3.99% 4.99%                                              2009     2011    2013    2015    2017    2019

(1) Perimeter life/health EV, net of minorities
Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
II. ASSET AND LIABILITIES INTEGRATION

P&C asset liability management                                                                                                   20



Net technical Reserves (Euro bn)

                         29.0                               29.3              29.6
                                           28.4
        24.2                                                                                   Lengthened duration on bonds
                                                                                               (from 2.9 at FY07 to 4.7 at
                                                                                               9M10)
                                                                                               P&C liabilities duration at 3.3
                                                                                               Duration mismatch on P&C is
        2005             2006              2007             2008              2009             based on a ongoing view of the
                                                                                               business with net technical
 Reserving ratio (%)
                                                                                               Reserves stable over years
                       175%
      157%                                                                  149%               Dynamic management of
                                         145%             145%
                                                                                               portfolio’s duration is
                                                                                               implemented according to
                                                                                               market expectations



       2005             2006              2007             2008              2009
Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
II. ASSET AND LIABILITIES INTEGRATION

Asset allocation process in a Solvency II environment                                          21




                  New regulatory framework and the changing market environment are
                     strengthening the focus on a liability driven approach where
                            asset liability management is the cornerstone


     Investment strategies defined coherently with capital allocation and risk profiles



                     Group Risk guidelines enforced to align and control investments



                Stochastic approach in portfolio modeling in order to consider options
                               embedded in the insurance products


                          Centralisation of economic capital methodologies, financial
                                             assumptions and AM mandate structure

Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
II. ASSET AND LIABILITIES INTEGRATION

Strategic Asset Allocation process                                                                                            22




   Strong Corporate Centre Coordination and Enhancement of granularity
   improve efficiency in the investment process

                                                Financial assumptions                          Consolidation of bottom up
                                                Strategic Plan targets                         strategies
   Corporate Centre                             Guidelines and model definition                Coherency with group targets
                Level                           Capital allocation                             and risk tolerance
                                                Group Investment Strategy




                                             Asset allocation at portfolio/product level is coherent with Group
                                             Investment Strategy and is based on:
                                               Liability profile
     Portfolio Level                           Features of in-force and future products
                                               Risk tolerance
                                               Capital efficiency
                                               ALM coherency

Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
II. ASSET AND LIABILITIES INTEGRATION

SAA Life Process                                                                                              23




  Strategic Plan coherency                Portfolio analysis          Liability portfolio structure
     and market outlook

    Investment targets                  Portfolio assets mapped           Analysis of reserves split by
    Market expected return              into SAA categories               guarantee level and structure
    Group/Company risk                  Regulatory constraints and        New production volumes
    tolerance                           Group Risk Guidelines             Analysis of shareholder’s
                                        coherency                         financial profit vs. fund returns




                   ALM Analysis             Value and Risk Analysis          MC PVFP sensitivity and
                                                                               liabilities migation

             Cash flow matching              Analysis of the Market            MC PVFP sensitivity analysis
             analysis                        Consistent Present Value          with respect to different
             Asset & Liabilities             of Future Profit (MC PVFP)        allocation scenarios
             projections                     and Risk Adjusted Capital         Impact of liabilities risk
             Asset mix optimisation          (RAC) at segregated fund          mitigation in different loss
                                                                               scenarios
                                             level

         Strategic Allocation definition that maximizes investment contribution
                                     to value creation
II. ASSET AND LIABILITIES INTEGRATION

SAA Non-life Process                                                               24




  Strategic Plan coherency                Portfolio analysis
     and market outlook

    Investment targets                  Portfolio assets mapped
    Market expected return              into SAA categories
    Group/Company risk                  Regulatory constraints and
    tolerance                           Group Risk Guidelines
                                        coherency




                 Quantitative Analysis


             Optimisation process based on
             risk / return target profile
             Analysis of Economic Balance
             Sheet (EBS) indicators




               Define SAA portfolio targets with the optimal risk/return profile
II. ASSET AND LIABILITIES INTEGRATION

Return on capital optimisation: Life                                                                                         25


 Manage exposure to risky assets due to higher capital requirements

                                                                        Corporate
                                         Govt Bonds                                            Equities     Real Estate
                                                                        Bonds
                                                                        Short / Long

   Exposure Trend




      Government bonds are a very attractive asset class in order to
      better manage duration mismatch.
                                                                                                          Optimise risk /
      Short term and high quality corporate bonds look most                                               return profile
      interesting at the expense of long corporate bonds, owing to the
      better return in respect to capital requirements.                                                   Guarantee
                                                                                                          excess return
                                                                                                          over minimum
      Equity exposure will be cyclical.
                                                                                                          guaranteed level
      Real Estate looks attractive based on long-term value creation
      capacity


Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
II. ASSET AND LIABILITIES INTEGRATION

Return on capital optimisation: P&C                                                                                           26


 Begin a de-risking process in order to reduce risk capital

                                                                        Corporate
                                         Govt Bonds                                            Equities     Real Estate
                                                                        Bonds
                                                                        Short / Long

   Exposure Trend




      Preference for government bond and short / high quality
      corporate bond
                                                                                                          Reduce
                                                                                                          exposure to risky
      Equities look relatively unattractive due to the high capital                                       asset classes
      requirement                                                                                         with high capital
                                                                                                          requirement
      Real Estate exposure should decrease                                                                Maximise return
                                                                                                          on capital
      Liquidity is a key consideration



Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
Agenda                                                                                         27




            III. Final remarks




Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
III. FINAL REMARKS

Final remarks                                                                                   28




                  More transparent and flexible investment process in a clear governance
                  structure


                  Liability driven management approach


                  Portfolio tailored asset allocation in order to increase capital efficiency


                  Strong Corporate Centre coordination in the definition of asset allocation
                  strategy

                  ALM as cornerstone in the definition of investment constraints related to
                  profitability and capital

                  SAA as function to integrate market outlook and ALM in order to define
                  investment strategy optimising capital efficiency


Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
Generali Investor Day 2010

Strategic Asset Allocation &
Risk Management Strategy



Amerigo Borrini
Chief Risk Officer

Salvatore Colotti
Chief Life Actuary

                               Venice, November 26, 2010

Strategic Asset allocation

  • 1.
    Generali Investor Day2010 Strategic Asset Allocation & Risk Management Strategy Amerigo Borrini Chief Risk Officer Salvatore Colotti Chief Life Actuary Venice, November 26, 2010
  • 2.
    Disclaimer 2 Certain of the statements contained herein are statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements. These expectations are based on management's current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties. The user of such information should recognise that actual results, performance or events may differ materially from such expectations because they relate to future events and circumstances which are beyond our control including, among other things, general economic and sector conditions. Neither Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A. nor any of its affiliates, directors, officers employees or agents owe any duty of care towards any user of the information provided herein nor any obligation to update any forward-looking information contained in this document. The manager in charge of preparing the company’s financial reports, Raffaele Agrusti, declares, pursuant to paragraph 2 of article 154-bis of the Consolidated Law on Financial Intermediation, that the accounting information contained in this presentation corresponds to document results, books and accounts records. Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
  • 3.
    II. Strategic AssetAllocation & Risk Management Strategy 3 I. Introduction: How we managed and performed II. Asset and Liabilities integration III. Final remarks Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
  • 4.
    Agenda 4 I. Introduction: How we managed and performed Strategic Asset Allocation & Risk Management Increased investment portfolio Our track record on investment management Group risk capital and financial risks Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
  • 5.
    I. INTRODUCTION: HOWWE MANAGED AND PERFORMED Strategic Asset Allocation & Risk Management 5 At 30.09.2010 “Own Investments” including own use real estate(1) Euro 331.1 bn Asset Allocation Insurance Liabilities Fixed income Cash & equival. instruments BV 3.0% BV 79.1% MV 2.9% MV 78.1% Equity BV 8.4% MV 8.1% Traditional Life ALM 258.1 Real Estate (3) Reserves(4) BV 5.5% MV 7.1% Other(2) “Own Investments” BV 4.0% including own use real MV 3.8% estate(1) 30.5 P&C Reserves(4) (1) Including own use real estate within own investments. Own investments include own capital and insurance funds (i.e. unit linked excluded) (2) Including investments in subsidiaries, associated companies and JVs, derivatives, receivables from banks or customer (3) Including real estate mutual funds & own use real estate (4) Net technical reserves; life reserves including investment contracts Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
  • 6.
    I. INTRODUCTION: HOWWE MANAGED AND PERFORMED We increased our investment portfolio 6 Strong growth trend of total Assets Under Management (Euro bn) + 8.1% AUM net of sale and + 13.1% acquisition (∆% YoY) + 1.2% - 7.2% + 6.2% + 8.1% AUM (∆% YoY) + 7.1% + 0.6% + 0.3% + 8.6% 95.9 83.6 62.9 61.4 68.6 Third parties AUM 57.6 47.6 42.5 47.9 50.7 41.4 41.2 Unit Linked Own Investments (including own use real estate) 312.7 331.1 295.0 296.2 299.6 274.8 (1) (2) (3) (4) 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 9M10 (1) Acquisition of Toro Group impact Own Investment for Euro 8.4 bn and Unit Linked for Euro 587 m (2) Sale of Nuova Tirrena impact Own Investment for Euro 2.2 bn and Unit Linked for Euro 107m (3) Acquisition of Banca del Gottardo impact Own Investment for Euro 8.2 bn and Third parties AUM for Euro 14 bn Acquisition of PPF Group impact Own Investment for Euro 5.4 bn, Unit Linked for Euro 67m and Third parties AUM for Euro 2.4 bn (4) Sale of Intesa Vita impact Own Investment for Euro 13.5 bn and Unit Linked for Euro 8.6 bn Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
  • 7.
    I. INTRODUCTION: HOWWE MANAGED AND PERFORMED Our investments – Life 7 Asset allocation (%) - Eur 269.7 bn at 9M10 1.4% 1.8%1.7%1.5%1.7%2.1%2.0%2.1%1.7%1.9% 2.0% Maintained an asset 2.6% 1.6% Cash 3.0% 3.8% 4.2% 4.0% 3.7% allocation consistent with the Other structure of our technical investment reserves Investment 83.3% 81.6% 80.1% 83.9% 83.3% 84.2% properties Increase in corporate bonds (incl. self- used) exposure has allowed Generali to benefit from Fixed Income 10.9% 12.2% 12.3% Instruments narrowing in spreads and to 7.7% 9.1% 8.5% sustain current return 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 9M10 Equities Maintained high quality of Focus on bond portfolio (%) - Eur 204.3 bn at 9M10 corporate bond portfolio and improved portfolio diversification 58.8% 57.7% 56.1% 55.1% Lengthened duration of 66.5% 65.6% Government bonds bonds (from 6.0 at FY07 to 6.6 at 9M10) Strategic decrease of equity 41.2% 42.3% 43.9% 44.9% Corporate 33.5% 34.4% exposure 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 9M10 Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
  • 8.
    I. INTRODUCTION: HOWWE MANAGED AND PERFORMED Own investments – P&C 8 Asset allocation (%) - Eur 38.6 bn at 9M10 4.0% 4.8% 6.9% 6.0% 7.8% 5.6% Increases in the share of 2.5% 2.7% 3.8% 2.8% Cash 3.3% 2.4% corporate bonds within bond 22.6% 20.3% 17.8% 20.7% 20.3% 20.9% Other portfolio has allowed Generali investment to exploit the narrowing of Investment properties spreads and to generate 52.0% 54.6% 54.7% 56.2% 57.4% 59.2% (incl. self- fixed income revenues used) Increased diversification in Fixed Income 18.8% 17.7% 17.3% corporate bond portfolio 13.3% 12.1% 11.4% Instruments Lengthened duration of 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 9M10 Equities bonds in P&C (from 2.9 at Focus on bond portfolio (%) - Eur 19.2 bn at 9M10 FY07 to 4.7 at 9M10), based on a ongoing portfolio approach, has allowed us to 47.0% 46.6% 46.6% realise capital gains through 52.5% 55.6% 48.1% Government a tactical reduction of bonds duration started at the beginning of 4Q10 51.9% 53.0% 53.4% 53.4% Active management of equity 47.8% 44.4% Corporate portfolio to cope with market volatility 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 9M10 Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
  • 9.
    I. INTRODUCTION: HOWWE MANAGED AND PERFORMED Our track record on investment management 9 Assets: Limited net exposure to structured finance: Euro 1.5 bn diversification and prudent No exposure to US subprime assets approach Negligible exposure to credit default swaps: only hedging and investment with no arbitrage activity Limited net exposure to Lehman: Euro 110 m Limited net exposure to Portugal, Ireland, Greece and Spain: Euro 2.0 bn No exposure to Dubai World Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
  • 10.
    I. INTRODUCTION: HOWWE MANAGED AND PERFORMED Group risk capital and financial risks 10 At 31.12.2009 Significant portion Diversification (Euro bn / Percentage) within business units of Group risk capital €26.7bn Not under IM(1) 1.9 / 7% related to financial Group (4.5) risks (64%) Operational 2.1/ 8% diversification 32% Non-life U/W 2.8 / 11% 17% (4.1) Life U/W 2.9 / 11% €18.1bn Credit & 3.9 (of which 3.1 on Life and 19% Currency 0.8 on Non-life) / 15% 3.2 (of which 2.9 on Life and Interest rate 0.3 on Non-life) / 12% 3.3 (of which 1.5 on Life and Real estate 1.8 on Non-life) / 12% 6.6 (of which 5.0 on Life and Equity 1.6 on Non-life) / 25% Total 26.7 / 100% Group risk capital Group risk capital Group risk capital before diversification after diversification after diversification within business units (1) Not under Internal Model refers to entities currently based on previous top-down model Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
  • 11.
    Agenda 11 II. Asset and Liabilities integration Centralised strategic investment framework Life Liabilities existing business / new business P&C asset liability management Asset allocation process and Solvency II Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
  • 12.
    II. ASSET ANDLIABILITIES INTEGRATION Overview 12 Financial crisis has given an acceleration in renewing financial system processes Current environment is characterised by the need for changes (Solvency II) at system level updating governance, processes, profitability metrics, products Local regulators are defining new set of rules aligned with this systemic change Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
  • 13.
    II. ASSET ANDLIABILITIES INTEGRATION Centralised strategic investment framework 13 Corporate Centre coordination and control of strategic investment Group Risk Guidelines (SAA, Credit, Market Risk Concentration, Derivative & Structured Products, Alternative Investments,...) Committees structure governance (Group Risk Committee, Group Investment committee, Company Investment committees,...) Strategic asset allocation activity Coordinate the deployment of the group strategic investment objectives to the companies Guarantee coherency of risk and performance metrics Centralise the distribution of the market financial scenarios Create a platform allowing for the enforcement of: Homogeneous asset classification Uniform definition of the investment objectives Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
  • 14.
    II. ASSET ANDLIABILITIES INTEGRATION Life liabilities: Existing business(1) 14 FY 2009 Total Reserves: Area/Product FY 2009 Total Reserves: Area/Premium type By Area (Euro bn) By Area (Euro bn) 90 Unit Saving 90 Single 80 Unit Pension 80 70 Regular Traditional Saving 70 60 Traditional Risk 60 50 Traditional Pension 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10 0 0 Italy Germany France CEE RoE RoW Italy Germany France CEE RoE RoW By Product (%) By Premium type (%) Unit Saving Traditional Single Regular 14% Pension 10% 45% 55% Traditional Risk 5% Unit Pension Traditional 6% Saving 65% (1) Perimeter life/health EV, net of minorities Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
  • 15.
    II. ASSET ANDLIABILITIES INTEGRATION Life liabilities existing business(1): Guarantees 15 Total Reserves by type of guarantee NIL At maturity Yearly basis (Cliquet) 22% 9% Guarantee Profit sharing granted and consolidated every year Matched Yearly basis At Maturity Guarantee 3% 66% Profit sharing granted only at event (maturity, death) 3.20 Yearly basis Yearly discretionary bonuses not 3.00 At maturity guaranteed 2.80 2009 Average Guarantee: 2.37% 2.60 Yearly basis (Cliquet): 2.4% 2.40 At maturity: 2.3% 2.20 31.12.03 31.12.05 31.12.07 31.12.09 (1) Perimeter life/health EV, net of minorities Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
  • 16.
    II. ASSET ANDLIABILITIES INTEGRATION Life liabilities: new business(1) 16 FY 2009 APE: Area/Product FY 2009 APE: Area/Premium type By Area (Euro m) By Area (Euro m) 1,800 Unit Saving 1,800 Single 1,600 Unit Pension 1,600 1,400 Regular Traditional Saving 1,400 1,200 Traditional Risk 1,200 1,000 Traditional Pension 1,000 800 800 600 600 400 400 200 200 0 0 Italy Germany France CEE RoE RoW Italy Germany France CEE RoE RoW By Product (%) By Premium type (%) Unit Saving Traditional Single Regular 14% Pension 10% 42% 58% Traditional Risk 14% Unit Pension Traditional 11% Saving 51% (1) Perimeter life/health EV, net of minorities Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
  • 17.
    II. ASSET ANDLIABILITIES INTEGRATION Life liabilities(1): new business guarantees 17 Total APE by type of guarantee FY 2008 NIL At maturity 2008 Average Guarantee: 1.56% 30% 11% Yearly basis: 1.5% Matched Yearly basis At maturity: 1.9% 3% 56% FY 2009 NIL At maturity 2009 Average Guarantee: 1.56% 30% 19% Yearly basis: 1.4% Matched Yearly basis At maturity: 2.0% 2% 49% 9M 2010 NIL At maturity 2010 Average Guarantee: 1.54% 31% 20% Yearly basis: 1.3% Matched Yearly basis At maturity: 2.0% 1% 48% (1) Perimeter life/health EV, net of minorities Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
  • 18.
    II. ASSET ANDLIABILITIES INTEGRATION Life liabilities: focus on Italian new production 18 Absence of volatility absorbers (beyond book accounting) in Italian traditional business, as opposed to Germany and France, that use policyholder/capital gains funds Penalised NBV computation due to widening of spread between Italian bonds and Swap rate Cost of Guarantee: Cliquet vs. Maturity(1) Cost of guarantee The solution implemented: (in terms of NBM, expressed in % of APE) Higher portion in terms of APE 16% Cliquet 14% of “at maturity” guarantees: Maturity 12% From 31% at FY08 10% to 55% at 9M10 8% 6% Cliquet guarantees reduction: 4% From 1.99% at FY08 2% to 1.27% at 9M10 0% 37% of APE with 0% guarantee 0% 1% 2% Minimum guarantee Results: Improved profitability thanks to lower cost of guarantees Reduction in Solvency II capital strain (1) Illustrative example based on FY09 financial assumptions Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
  • 19.
    II. ASSET ANDLIABILITIES INTEGRATION Life liabilities: Portfolio guarantees development(1) 19 Expected guarantees development (%) Reserves composition (%) 2.50 New Business Old Business 100.00 2.25 Strong reduction 80.00 in the average 2.00 60.00 guarantee 1.75 40.00 thanks to back 20.00 book run off and 1.50 31.12.09 31.12.20 0.00 new production 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 Based on expected run off, future new production included Breakdown cliquet guarantees at FY09 Higher cliquet guarantees development weight on total reserves weight on total reserves By 2020: 100% 19.2% 90% Average 80% >=4.5% 15.0% guarantee 12.6% 13.1% 70% 4%-4.49% 60% at 1.7% 3.5%-3.99% 50% 3%-3.49% Portfolio with 5.2% 40% 30% ≥ 2.75% 0.6% 20% guarantee 10% 0%- 1%- 2%- 3%- 4%- >5% 0% ≤10% of total 0.99% 1.99% 2.99% 3.99% 4.99% 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 (1) Perimeter life/health EV, net of minorities Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
  • 20.
    II. ASSET ANDLIABILITIES INTEGRATION P&C asset liability management 20 Net technical Reserves (Euro bn) 29.0 29.3 29.6 28.4 24.2 Lengthened duration on bonds (from 2.9 at FY07 to 4.7 at 9M10) P&C liabilities duration at 3.3 Duration mismatch on P&C is 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 based on a ongoing view of the business with net technical Reserving ratio (%) Reserves stable over years 175% 157% 149% Dynamic management of 145% 145% portfolio’s duration is implemented according to market expectations 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
  • 21.
    II. ASSET ANDLIABILITIES INTEGRATION Asset allocation process in a Solvency II environment 21 New regulatory framework and the changing market environment are strengthening the focus on a liability driven approach where asset liability management is the cornerstone Investment strategies defined coherently with capital allocation and risk profiles Group Risk guidelines enforced to align and control investments Stochastic approach in portfolio modeling in order to consider options embedded in the insurance products Centralisation of economic capital methodologies, financial assumptions and AM mandate structure Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
  • 22.
    II. ASSET ANDLIABILITIES INTEGRATION Strategic Asset Allocation process 22 Strong Corporate Centre Coordination and Enhancement of granularity improve efficiency in the investment process Financial assumptions Consolidation of bottom up Strategic Plan targets strategies Corporate Centre Guidelines and model definition Coherency with group targets Level Capital allocation and risk tolerance Group Investment Strategy Asset allocation at portfolio/product level is coherent with Group Investment Strategy and is based on: Liability profile Portfolio Level Features of in-force and future products Risk tolerance Capital efficiency ALM coherency Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
  • 23.
    II. ASSET ANDLIABILITIES INTEGRATION SAA Life Process 23 Strategic Plan coherency Portfolio analysis Liability portfolio structure and market outlook Investment targets Portfolio assets mapped Analysis of reserves split by Market expected return into SAA categories guarantee level and structure Group/Company risk Regulatory constraints and New production volumes tolerance Group Risk Guidelines Analysis of shareholder’s coherency financial profit vs. fund returns ALM Analysis Value and Risk Analysis MC PVFP sensitivity and liabilities migation Cash flow matching Analysis of the Market MC PVFP sensitivity analysis analysis Consistent Present Value with respect to different Asset & Liabilities of Future Profit (MC PVFP) allocation scenarios projections and Risk Adjusted Capital Impact of liabilities risk Asset mix optimisation (RAC) at segregated fund mitigation in different loss scenarios level Strategic Allocation definition that maximizes investment contribution to value creation
  • 24.
    II. ASSET ANDLIABILITIES INTEGRATION SAA Non-life Process 24 Strategic Plan coherency Portfolio analysis and market outlook Investment targets Portfolio assets mapped Market expected return into SAA categories Group/Company risk Regulatory constraints and tolerance Group Risk Guidelines coherency Quantitative Analysis Optimisation process based on risk / return target profile Analysis of Economic Balance Sheet (EBS) indicators Define SAA portfolio targets with the optimal risk/return profile
  • 25.
    II. ASSET ANDLIABILITIES INTEGRATION Return on capital optimisation: Life 25 Manage exposure to risky assets due to higher capital requirements Corporate Govt Bonds Equities Real Estate Bonds Short / Long Exposure Trend Government bonds are a very attractive asset class in order to better manage duration mismatch. Optimise risk / Short term and high quality corporate bonds look most return profile interesting at the expense of long corporate bonds, owing to the better return in respect to capital requirements. Guarantee excess return over minimum Equity exposure will be cyclical. guaranteed level Real Estate looks attractive based on long-term value creation capacity Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
  • 26.
    II. ASSET ANDLIABILITIES INTEGRATION Return on capital optimisation: P&C 26 Begin a de-risking process in order to reduce risk capital Corporate Govt Bonds Equities Real Estate Bonds Short / Long Exposure Trend Preference for government bond and short / high quality corporate bond Reduce exposure to risky Equities look relatively unattractive due to the high capital asset classes requirement with high capital requirement Real Estate exposure should decrease Maximise return on capital Liquidity is a key consideration Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
  • 27.
    Agenda 27 III. Final remarks Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
  • 28.
    III. FINAL REMARKS Finalremarks 28 More transparent and flexible investment process in a clear governance structure Liability driven management approach Portfolio tailored asset allocation in order to increase capital efficiency Strong Corporate Centre coordination in the definition of asset allocation strategy ALM as cornerstone in the definition of investment constraints related to profitability and capital SAA as function to integrate market outlook and ALM in order to define investment strategy optimising capital efficiency Assicurazioni Generali Group – Investor Day 2010 – Investment Management of Insurance Assets
  • 29.
    Generali Investor Day2010 Strategic Asset Allocation & Risk Management Strategy Amerigo Borrini Chief Risk Officer Salvatore Colotti Chief Life Actuary Venice, November 26, 2010