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Benchmarking the Creative
   Economy in Rural Ontario


             Kevin Stolarick

           Building Rural Resilience

Queens/Monieson                        April 8, 2012
Brief Overview

         1.   Creativity in the Rural Context
         2.   Regions/Benchmarks
         3.   Results
         4.   Summary & Conclusions




2
Creative
    Economy in
    Rural Ontario


3
4
5
Central




6
7
Central - Overview

    • Central   region of Ontario has a
        population of 8,215,076

    •   91% of Region in Metros
        – Toronto, Peterborough, Oshawa, Hamilton, St. Catharine’s-
          Niagara, Kitchener, Brantford, Guelph and Barrie



    •   Focus Community: Midland



8
Central




9
Central




10
Central – Selected Observations & Opportunities

     • Occupations
       – Grow professionals in arts & culture and natural &
         applied sciences
       – Technical (support) above average.



     • “Meds   and Eds”
       – The problem with “meds & eds”
       – Shift away
       – Maintain current levels
       – Don’t make a focus


11
East




12
13
East - Overview

     • East    Region of Ontario has a population
         of 1,723,135

     •   60% of Region in Metros
         – Ottawa, Kingston


     •   Highest Regional Creative Class Share

     •   Focus Community: Brockville

14
15
16
East - Selected Observations & Opportunities

     •   Leverage Creative Class Share
          – Geographic advantage
          – Population position



     •   Diversity
          – Higher scores on diversity indicators
          – Build immigrant attraction strategies
          – “Steal” from nearby regions




17
Southwest




18
19
Southwest - Overview

     • Southwest    region of Ontario has a
         population of 1,591,240

     •   49% of Region in Metros
         – Windsor, London



     •   Focus Community: Goderich




20
21
22
Southwest - Selected Observations &
     Opportunities

     •   Service Class
          – High employment
          – Good incomes (relatively)
          – Higher wage service class jobs?


     •   Demographics
          – Older population
          – Opportunity for specialized healthcare services
          – Regional leader




23
Northeast




24
25
Northeast - Overview

     • Northeast   region of Ontario has a population
         of 571,608

     •   28% of Region in Metros
         – Sudbury



     •   Focus Community: Temiskaming Shores




26
27
28
Northeast - Selected Observations &
     Opportunities

     •   Amenities
          – Strong base
          – Low crime
          – Tourists and new residents


     •   Farming/Fishing/Forestry
          – Small but relatively strong
          – Guelph research station
          – Natural sciences professionals


29
Northwest




30
31
Northwest - Overview

     • Northwest    region of Ontario has a
         population of 245,026

     •   50% of Region in Metros
         – Thunder Bay



     •   Focus Community: Dryden




32
33
34
Northwest - Selected Observations &
     Opportunities

     •   Technology
          – Have tech support workers
          – Get professionals


     •   Regional Hub
          – Regional hub for extraction companies
            – “Toronto of the North”
          – Support Services
          – Education/Training


     •   Education
          – Improve post-secondary opportunities
35
Summary
        (228 pages)




      Canadian Gothic
36    Artist Ron Simmer
Summary




37
Conclusions?




38
Professional Advice

     • Rural   opportunities exist
        – Tricky to identify
        – Emerging creative economy – not just cultural industries
        – Jurisdictional considerations
        – Alternative opportunities
        – Unique local strategies
        – Avoiding “death by best practice”
        – Generate true regional prosperity


     • Report   as toolkit
        – ED professionals
        – Civic and community leaders
        – Consultants

39
“Urban” Policy

      Urban policy
                      is not
                               social policy.




40
“Urban” Policy

      Urban policy
                      is not
                               social policy.
      Urban policy
                      is
                           economic policy.

41
“Urban” Policy

      Urban policy
                           is not
                                       social policy.
      Urban policy
                      is
                                    economic policy.


      What happens when you’re not “urban”?
          What’s your economic policy?

42
“Urban” Policy

     What about “non-urban” areas??

     • ThinkBig
     • Look Big
     • Use a shotgun, not a rifle
     •   (Super secret strategy #4)




43
Think Big




44
Look Big




45
Use a Shotgun not a Rifle




46
(Super Secret Strategy #4)




47
Conclusions (!)

     “The key to success in today’s creative economy is for each
     region to understand its own strengths and weaknesses.
     Commiserating by looking at the challenges other regions are
     facing may be cathartic, and looking with envy at other
     successful regions may be a palliative, but neither will help the
     region succeed. Increasing regional prosperity for any region
     requires a clear picture of the current situation and an
     understanding of who is leaving the region, who is staying, and
     who is moving in. By understanding and leveraging current
     strengths, a region can improve its chance of success. It is only
     by understanding its unique challenges and opportunities that
     any region can advance.”

48
Thank You
Kevin Stolarick
kms@rotman.utoronto.ca

www.martinprosperity.org
Creative Class




50
Who Works in Creative Class?


             Creative Class: TAPE

     T = Technology and R&D Innovation
     A = Arts and Culture
     P = Professional and Managerial
     E = Educating and Training



51
U.S. Creative Class

     • 30 (% of the workforce)
     • 40 (million people)
     • 50 (% of the wages)
     • 70 (% of the discretionary income)




52
The Rise of the Creative Class




53
The Rise of the Creative Class


                                      Creative

                                      Service

                                      Working

                                      Farming




54
Share of creativity-oriented jobs is increasing




55
Canada & Ontario’s Creative Economy

                                   Creative    Service   Working


               Workers (Talent)   4,874,885   5,788,767 3,333,726
     Canada




               % of Workforce      35.5%       38.7%     23.0%

               Workers (Talent)   2,027,152   2,210,604 1,311,995
     Ontario




               % of Workforce      33.2%       39.4%     22.7%


56
New jobs will be in creativity-oriented and
routine-oriented service occupations




57
Nearly 80 percent of jobs in Canada are in
services industries




58
Unemployment is higher in routine-oriented
occupations especially in early 90s recession




-59
Ontario’s distinctive advantage can be created
through actions on four fronts




61
The “4Ts”



             Talent
                                               Regional
                                             Growth and
     Technology             Tolerance         Prosperity
                           (Inclusiveness)



         Territory Assets
             (Amenities)
62
Rural* Context

     *Non-metropolitan




63
Creativity in the Rural Context


                Share of All       Share of
                  Jobs       Creative Class Jobs

Metro Ontario      79.6%              85.4%

Rural Ontario      20.4%              14.6%
Regions/
     Benchmarks



66
67
Region/Benchmarks Variables
     •   Regional Economics
          – Population, Income, Housing Value, Population Growth,
            Unemployment etc.
     •   Occupational Classes
          – Creative Class, Working Class, Service Class, and Farming, Fishing &
            Forestry Class
     •   Talent
          – % of Population 25+ with a BA or above, other education data
     •   Technology
          – High Tech Establishments/High Tech LQ
     •   Tolerance
          – Immigrant and Visible minority population share
     •   Territorial Assets
          – Crime, Voter Turnout, Rec Establishments, Arts & Entertainment
            Establishments, Bars & Restaurants
68
Other Regions?
     So what if my region wasn’t selected?

     • Appendix   for methodology
      – DIY

     • Swap:    Benchmark Focus
      –Really 50 Reports
     • Keep   to your region
      –Or not
     • StatsCan   – CSD Level
      –Region, Rural, Ontario Summaries
      –50 potential benchmark regions
69
70
Outline

     • The objective of this research is to examine the
       creative economy in rural communities across Ontario
       and produce a document that can then be used by
       any community seeking to better understand how to
       execute creative economy research and begin to
       interpret results.

     • We hope to contribute to the existing body of research
       on the creative economy in rural communities and
       assist in the transfer of that knowledge in an
       accessible format to reach and better inform
       communities interested in applying the concepts
       themselves.
71
Selection of regions/benchmarking variables


•5 communities (CSDs) selected for analysis from 5 different regions of
Ontario

• The types of data examined will focus on the occupational structure of the
workforce and attempt to provide measures that characterize a community’s
creative and quality of life assets, including its levels of talent, technology.




    72
Selection of regions/benchmarking variables

• Peer regions chosen based on population and location within the
economic regions
• The types of data presented depict the occupational structure of the
workforce and provide measures that characterize a community’s level
of creative assets, including its level of talent, technology and tolerance
• Benchmarking & Focus Communities are selected Census
Subdivisions with populations between 5,000 and 20,000
• Metro Ontario is defined as within a census metropolitan area
• Rural Ontario is defined as everything else




73
How are the findings applicable to all
       communities? Where do they go from here? Why
       does it mater?
• The description of the methodology and analytical work done
  in the report will ensure that any community can reproduce the
  analysis and benchmarking activities

• Will allow communities not only to gauge their own
  performance in the creative economy, identifying strengths,
  weaknesses and opportunities, but also to better understand
  how their community fits within the larger context of the region
  in which they exist

• Any region not included in this report can obtain information
  about their region from Statistics Canada at the CSD level and
  compare their results with the focus and benchmarking regions
  reported here.

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Benchmarking the Creative Economy, 2013 Economic Revitalization Conference

  • 1. Benchmarking the Creative Economy in Rural Ontario Kevin Stolarick Building Rural Resilience Queens/Monieson April 8, 2012
  • 2. Brief Overview 1. Creativity in the Rural Context 2. Regions/Benchmarks 3. Results 4. Summary & Conclusions 2
  • 3. Creative Economy in Rural Ontario 3
  • 4. 4
  • 5. 5
  • 7. 7
  • 8. Central - Overview • Central region of Ontario has a population of 8,215,076 • 91% of Region in Metros – Toronto, Peterborough, Oshawa, Hamilton, St. Catharine’s- Niagara, Kitchener, Brantford, Guelph and Barrie • Focus Community: Midland 8
  • 11. Central – Selected Observations & Opportunities • Occupations – Grow professionals in arts & culture and natural & applied sciences – Technical (support) above average. • “Meds and Eds” – The problem with “meds & eds” – Shift away – Maintain current levels – Don’t make a focus 11
  • 13. 13
  • 14. East - Overview • East Region of Ontario has a population of 1,723,135 • 60% of Region in Metros – Ottawa, Kingston • Highest Regional Creative Class Share • Focus Community: Brockville 14
  • 15. 15
  • 16. 16
  • 17. East - Selected Observations & Opportunities • Leverage Creative Class Share – Geographic advantage – Population position • Diversity – Higher scores on diversity indicators – Build immigrant attraction strategies – “Steal” from nearby regions 17
  • 19. 19
  • 20. Southwest - Overview • Southwest region of Ontario has a population of 1,591,240 • 49% of Region in Metros – Windsor, London • Focus Community: Goderich 20
  • 21. 21
  • 22. 22
  • 23. Southwest - Selected Observations & Opportunities • Service Class – High employment – Good incomes (relatively) – Higher wage service class jobs? • Demographics – Older population – Opportunity for specialized healthcare services – Regional leader 23
  • 25. 25
  • 26. Northeast - Overview • Northeast region of Ontario has a population of 571,608 • 28% of Region in Metros – Sudbury • Focus Community: Temiskaming Shores 26
  • 27. 27
  • 28. 28
  • 29. Northeast - Selected Observations & Opportunities • Amenities – Strong base – Low crime – Tourists and new residents • Farming/Fishing/Forestry – Small but relatively strong – Guelph research station – Natural sciences professionals 29
  • 31. 31
  • 32. Northwest - Overview • Northwest region of Ontario has a population of 245,026 • 50% of Region in Metros – Thunder Bay • Focus Community: Dryden 32
  • 33. 33
  • 34. 34
  • 35. Northwest - Selected Observations & Opportunities • Technology – Have tech support workers – Get professionals • Regional Hub – Regional hub for extraction companies – “Toronto of the North” – Support Services – Education/Training • Education – Improve post-secondary opportunities 35
  • 36. Summary (228 pages) Canadian Gothic 36 Artist Ron Simmer
  • 39. Professional Advice • Rural opportunities exist – Tricky to identify – Emerging creative economy – not just cultural industries – Jurisdictional considerations – Alternative opportunities – Unique local strategies – Avoiding “death by best practice” – Generate true regional prosperity • Report as toolkit – ED professionals – Civic and community leaders – Consultants 39
  • 40. “Urban” Policy Urban policy is not social policy. 40
  • 41. “Urban” Policy Urban policy is not social policy. Urban policy is economic policy. 41
  • 42. “Urban” Policy Urban policy is not social policy. Urban policy is economic policy. What happens when you’re not “urban”? What’s your economic policy? 42
  • 43. “Urban” Policy What about “non-urban” areas?? • ThinkBig • Look Big • Use a shotgun, not a rifle • (Super secret strategy #4) 43
  • 46. Use a Shotgun not a Rifle 46
  • 48. Conclusions (!) “The key to success in today’s creative economy is for each region to understand its own strengths and weaknesses. Commiserating by looking at the challenges other regions are facing may be cathartic, and looking with envy at other successful regions may be a palliative, but neither will help the region succeed. Increasing regional prosperity for any region requires a clear picture of the current situation and an understanding of who is leaving the region, who is staying, and who is moving in. By understanding and leveraging current strengths, a region can improve its chance of success. It is only by understanding its unique challenges and opportunities that any region can advance.” 48
  • 51. Who Works in Creative Class? Creative Class: TAPE T = Technology and R&D Innovation A = Arts and Culture P = Professional and Managerial E = Educating and Training 51
  • 52. U.S. Creative Class • 30 (% of the workforce) • 40 (million people) • 50 (% of the wages) • 70 (% of the discretionary income) 52
  • 53. The Rise of the Creative Class 53
  • 54. The Rise of the Creative Class Creative Service Working Farming 54
  • 55. Share of creativity-oriented jobs is increasing 55
  • 56. Canada & Ontario’s Creative Economy Creative Service Working Workers (Talent) 4,874,885 5,788,767 3,333,726 Canada % of Workforce 35.5% 38.7% 23.0% Workers (Talent) 2,027,152 2,210,604 1,311,995 Ontario % of Workforce 33.2% 39.4% 22.7% 56
  • 57. New jobs will be in creativity-oriented and routine-oriented service occupations 57
  • 58. Nearly 80 percent of jobs in Canada are in services industries 58
  • 59. Unemployment is higher in routine-oriented occupations especially in early 90s recession -59
  • 60.
  • 61. Ontario’s distinctive advantage can be created through actions on four fronts 61
  • 62. The “4Ts” Talent Regional Growth and Technology Tolerance Prosperity (Inclusiveness) Territory Assets (Amenities) 62
  • 63. Rural* Context *Non-metropolitan 63
  • 64.
  • 65. Creativity in the Rural Context Share of All Share of Jobs Creative Class Jobs Metro Ontario 79.6% 85.4% Rural Ontario 20.4% 14.6%
  • 66. Regions/ Benchmarks 66
  • 67. 67
  • 68. Region/Benchmarks Variables • Regional Economics – Population, Income, Housing Value, Population Growth, Unemployment etc. • Occupational Classes – Creative Class, Working Class, Service Class, and Farming, Fishing & Forestry Class • Talent – % of Population 25+ with a BA or above, other education data • Technology – High Tech Establishments/High Tech LQ • Tolerance – Immigrant and Visible minority population share • Territorial Assets – Crime, Voter Turnout, Rec Establishments, Arts & Entertainment Establishments, Bars & Restaurants 68
  • 69. Other Regions? So what if my region wasn’t selected? • Appendix for methodology – DIY • Swap: Benchmark Focus –Really 50 Reports • Keep to your region –Or not • StatsCan – CSD Level –Region, Rural, Ontario Summaries –50 potential benchmark regions 69
  • 70. 70
  • 71. Outline • The objective of this research is to examine the creative economy in rural communities across Ontario and produce a document that can then be used by any community seeking to better understand how to execute creative economy research and begin to interpret results. • We hope to contribute to the existing body of research on the creative economy in rural communities and assist in the transfer of that knowledge in an accessible format to reach and better inform communities interested in applying the concepts themselves. 71
  • 72. Selection of regions/benchmarking variables •5 communities (CSDs) selected for analysis from 5 different regions of Ontario • The types of data examined will focus on the occupational structure of the workforce and attempt to provide measures that characterize a community’s creative and quality of life assets, including its levels of talent, technology. 72
  • 73. Selection of regions/benchmarking variables • Peer regions chosen based on population and location within the economic regions • The types of data presented depict the occupational structure of the workforce and provide measures that characterize a community’s level of creative assets, including its level of talent, technology and tolerance • Benchmarking & Focus Communities are selected Census Subdivisions with populations between 5,000 and 20,000 • Metro Ontario is defined as within a census metropolitan area • Rural Ontario is defined as everything else 73
  • 74. How are the findings applicable to all communities? Where do they go from here? Why does it mater? • The description of the methodology and analytical work done in the report will ensure that any community can reproduce the analysis and benchmarking activities • Will allow communities not only to gauge their own performance in the creative economy, identifying strengths, weaknesses and opportunities, but also to better understand how their community fits within the larger context of the region in which they exist • Any region not included in this report can obtain information about their region from Statistics Canada at the CSD level and compare their results with the focus and benchmarking regions reported here.