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Fiscal Approaches to driving change
Stephen Hinton
The Swedish Sustainable Economy Foundation
TSSEF.se
Congestion
• - Used materials pile up
• - Accumulation in wrong places
1
2
3
5
6 7 8
Case study phosphorous
4
1
2
3
5
6 7 8
Case study phosphorous
4
€2/kg
€20/kg
€600/kg
1
2
3
5
6 7 8
Case study phosphorous
4
€2/kg
€20/kg
€600/kg
The case
FOR
Pollutant
surcharges
 Stimulates investment in circular
technology
 Creates jobs in the country with
nutrient recovery
 Preparedness for future shortages
 Infrastructure change takes time
The case
AGAINST
Pollutant
surcharges
– Undermines infrastructure
investment
– Might be inefficient
– Very unpopular : poor people pay
more for food, etc.
– Technology exists, but is
unintegrated
CAN WE GET MODERN?
Jay Wright Forrester
Why General Electric’s factories
show inexplicable cycles
NOT TIME AND MOTION
BUT SYSTEMS
Citizens
State
Enterprises
including
banks
Municipality
Complex systems are simple to control if you intervene at the right points
Citizens
State
1
4
3
5
2
Enterprises
including
banks
Municipality
ATTENUATORS/Surcharges
1. VAT RATE CHANGES
2. IMPORT FEE ON
POLLUTANTS
3. INTEREST RATE FEE ON
MORTGAGE
4. Dividend to citizens
5. Property deed transfer
fees
6. Municipal charges
6
target
Too little,
RAISE fee
Too fast,
LOWER fee
DIVIDEND
BEARING
POLLUTANT
SURCHARGES
LILLIPUT
DECLARATION
Per capita Ambition Instrument
Carbon dioxide 11 ton 0,25 ton Import surcharge 100
P import in chemicals 1 kg P 0,5kg Import surcharge 100
P Emissions 0,3 kg P zero Property waste emission
surcharge
100
The Government of Lilliput has decided to introduce a circular economy for phosphorus. In 12
turns of the clock the land will halve its dependence on imported phosphorus and reduce
emissions from human activity to zero.
The Government is appointing an Emissions Dividend Commission to
• Raise or lower pollutant surcharges and decide on distribution of the collected fees to citizens.
• Ensure prosperity of citizens whilst reducing dependence on imports of non-renewables and
ensuring emissions abate.
Pollutant surcharge simulations
GOVERNMENT
FOOD PRODUCERS
PROPERTY OWNERS
TRANSPORTERS
THE VOTING PUBLIC
SCORE-KEEPING
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Team 1
Team 2
Team 3
Team 4
Those who
invested made
more profit
Those who kept
prices low lost
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Start
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Prices
Spend power
Confidence in
politicians
varied – hard to
see patterns
Some take-aways
It is an economic and societal system
Explore a modern route with:
• Dynamic control
• Computer power
• Healthy diet
• Land function
• The Swedish Sustainable
Economy Foundation
• TSSEF.se
• Stephen.hinton@tssef.se
Capital:
• Infrastructure
• Used in the provision of services.
• It is not itself consumed.
Energy to operate,
emissions
Energy to make
(emergy)
Hi
Hi
Lo
Lo
Build once, use a
hundred years
(Hydropower,
trains, trams)
Use, recycle
(Baskets)
THE DRAIN
(Cars)
Energy sink!
Replace
(oil lamps)
Extra slides
16/12/12
P
C
C
N
N
Consumption
Biological nutrients
Services
Technical nutrients
A short introduction to circular economy
P
P
ECOLOGICAL MATURITY
CLOSED MINERAL CYCLES
ACCUMULATION OF PHOSPHORUS
NITROGEN ACCUMULATION
LARGE BIOMASS
•WOOD
•LARGER ANIMALS
•SOIL PRODUCTION
•FUEL
•WATER RETENTION
NUTRIENT CONSERVATION
•NUTRIENT-FREE WATER
•NO LEAKAGE TO OTHER SYSTEMS
DETRITUS PROCESSING
•DECAY
•FUNGI
NICHE SPECIALISM
•DIVERSITY
LEGAL ENTITYPROPERTY
Extraction
Import
Nutrient
transfer
LEGAL ENTITY
Product Sale
1
2
3
4
Points of surcharge
1. Import
2. Property nutrient performance
3. Extraction fee
4. Sales tax
National Boundary
Price based
Changes pricing in
existing market and
levers behavioural
change
Rights based
Specifies new
rights/obligations to
lever behavioural change
Market friction
Behavioural change from
making existing private
markets work better
E.g. changing taxes,
introducing fees, giving
subsidies
E.g. introducing a Cap and
Trade Scheme on
emissions
E.g. disclosing information by
eco labeling, meat-free days
Potential MBI levers Command and
control
Regulations
Behaviour regulation
through regulation and
inspection
E.g. limitations on NOx releases
Types of food Fat taxes
Amount of N applied
Fertiliser taxes Surplus Taxes
Land use change Land use subsidies
and payments
Emission rights
trading
Infrastructure
adaptation
Surplus Taxes
Surplus Taxes
Demand for Recycled
N
Fertiliser taxes Surplus Taxes
Demand for National food
Disposable income
VAT
Personal taxes
Planned Farm production
Farm practices
Regulations
Fines
Demand for imported food
Food price
Farm emissions
Trade agreements
Farm sector employment
Job availability
Subsidies
Farm inputs costs
N,P Recycling
Types of food
produced
Demand for Type of food
Market Friction
intervention
Import taxes
Fees on inputs
Pollution burden on society
Unemployment costs
Nitrogen availability
Fee revenue
Natural capital
preservation
Food affordabilty
Employment
Food sovereignty
Land Use change
Fossil fuel phase-out
Remedial action
Price control
Best Available Technology (BAT)
IPCC
Diet choices
Health
Water Quality Trading
Urban Waste
water treatment
System thinking
Demand for National food
VAT
Planned Farm production volume
Farm practices
Food price
Farm emissions
Types of food
produced
Demand for Type of food
Market Friction
intervention
Price control
Diet choices
Health
System
intervention #1
The lower
nitrogen-
demanding diet
The low nitrogen- demanding diet radically reduces farm emissions as meat and dairy
farming emit proportionally more. A combination of price controls (e.g higher VAT on meat
products) and information campaigns could influence demand.
Planned Farm production
Farm practices
Regulations
Farm emissions
Subsidies
Farm inputs costs
N,P Recycling
Fees on inputs
Pollution burden on society
Nitrogen availability
Fee revenue
Land Use change
Remedial action
Best Available Technology (BAT)
Water Quality Trading
Urban Waste
water treatment
System intervention #2 The nitrogen-accumulating land area
Paying for the public good of nutrient capture creates jobs in rural areas and
creates a potential to recycle the nitrogen and phosphorus captured.

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Stephen Hinton: Fiscal Approaches to driving change

  • 1. Fiscal Approaches to driving change Stephen Hinton The Swedish Sustainable Economy Foundation TSSEF.se
  • 2. Congestion • - Used materials pile up • - Accumulation in wrong places
  • 3. 1 2 3 5 6 7 8 Case study phosphorous 4
  • 4. 1 2 3 5 6 7 8 Case study phosphorous 4 €2/kg €20/kg €600/kg
  • 5. 1 2 3 5 6 7 8 Case study phosphorous 4 €2/kg €20/kg €600/kg
  • 6. The case FOR Pollutant surcharges  Stimulates investment in circular technology  Creates jobs in the country with nutrient recovery  Preparedness for future shortages  Infrastructure change takes time
  • 7. The case AGAINST Pollutant surcharges – Undermines infrastructure investment – Might be inefficient – Very unpopular : poor people pay more for food, etc. – Technology exists, but is unintegrated
  • 8. CAN WE GET MODERN?
  • 9. Jay Wright Forrester Why General Electric’s factories show inexplicable cycles NOT TIME AND MOTION BUT SYSTEMS
  • 10.
  • 12. Complex systems are simple to control if you intervene at the right points Citizens State 1 4 3 5 2 Enterprises including banks Municipality ATTENUATORS/Surcharges 1. VAT RATE CHANGES 2. IMPORT FEE ON POLLUTANTS 3. INTEREST RATE FEE ON MORTGAGE 4. Dividend to citizens 5. Property deed transfer fees 6. Municipal charges 6
  • 13. target Too little, RAISE fee Too fast, LOWER fee DIVIDEND BEARING POLLUTANT SURCHARGES
  • 14. LILLIPUT DECLARATION Per capita Ambition Instrument Carbon dioxide 11 ton 0,25 ton Import surcharge 100 P import in chemicals 1 kg P 0,5kg Import surcharge 100 P Emissions 0,3 kg P zero Property waste emission surcharge 100 The Government of Lilliput has decided to introduce a circular economy for phosphorus. In 12 turns of the clock the land will halve its dependence on imported phosphorus and reduce emissions from human activity to zero. The Government is appointing an Emissions Dividend Commission to • Raise or lower pollutant surcharges and decide on distribution of the collected fees to citizens. • Ensure prosperity of citizens whilst reducing dependence on imports of non-renewables and ensuring emissions abate.
  • 15. Pollutant surcharge simulations GOVERNMENT FOOD PRODUCERS PROPERTY OWNERS TRANSPORTERS THE VOTING PUBLIC SCORE-KEEPING
  • 16. 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Team 1 Team 2 Team 3 Team 4 Those who invested made more profit Those who kept prices low lost
  • 18. Some take-aways It is an economic and societal system Explore a modern route with: • Dynamic control • Computer power • Healthy diet • Land function • The Swedish Sustainable Economy Foundation • TSSEF.se • Stephen.hinton@tssef.se
  • 19. Capital: • Infrastructure • Used in the provision of services. • It is not itself consumed.
  • 20. Energy to operate, emissions Energy to make (emergy) Hi Hi Lo Lo Build once, use a hundred years (Hydropower, trains, trams) Use, recycle (Baskets) THE DRAIN (Cars) Energy sink! Replace (oil lamps)
  • 23. ECOLOGICAL MATURITY CLOSED MINERAL CYCLES ACCUMULATION OF PHOSPHORUS NITROGEN ACCUMULATION LARGE BIOMASS •WOOD •LARGER ANIMALS •SOIL PRODUCTION •FUEL •WATER RETENTION NUTRIENT CONSERVATION •NUTRIENT-FREE WATER •NO LEAKAGE TO OTHER SYSTEMS DETRITUS PROCESSING •DECAY •FUNGI NICHE SPECIALISM •DIVERSITY
  • 24. LEGAL ENTITYPROPERTY Extraction Import Nutrient transfer LEGAL ENTITY Product Sale 1 2 3 4 Points of surcharge 1. Import 2. Property nutrient performance 3. Extraction fee 4. Sales tax National Boundary
  • 25. Price based Changes pricing in existing market and levers behavioural change Rights based Specifies new rights/obligations to lever behavioural change Market friction Behavioural change from making existing private markets work better E.g. changing taxes, introducing fees, giving subsidies E.g. introducing a Cap and Trade Scheme on emissions E.g. disclosing information by eco labeling, meat-free days Potential MBI levers Command and control Regulations Behaviour regulation through regulation and inspection E.g. limitations on NOx releases Types of food Fat taxes Amount of N applied Fertiliser taxes Surplus Taxes Land use change Land use subsidies and payments Emission rights trading Infrastructure adaptation Surplus Taxes Surplus Taxes Demand for Recycled N Fertiliser taxes Surplus Taxes
  • 26. Demand for National food Disposable income VAT Personal taxes Planned Farm production Farm practices Regulations Fines Demand for imported food Food price Farm emissions Trade agreements Farm sector employment Job availability Subsidies Farm inputs costs N,P Recycling Types of food produced Demand for Type of food Market Friction intervention Import taxes Fees on inputs Pollution burden on society Unemployment costs Nitrogen availability Fee revenue Natural capital preservation Food affordabilty Employment Food sovereignty Land Use change Fossil fuel phase-out Remedial action Price control Best Available Technology (BAT) IPCC Diet choices Health Water Quality Trading Urban Waste water treatment System thinking
  • 27. Demand for National food VAT Planned Farm production volume Farm practices Food price Farm emissions Types of food produced Demand for Type of food Market Friction intervention Price control Diet choices Health System intervention #1 The lower nitrogen- demanding diet The low nitrogen- demanding diet radically reduces farm emissions as meat and dairy farming emit proportionally more. A combination of price controls (e.g higher VAT on meat products) and information campaigns could influence demand.
  • 28. Planned Farm production Farm practices Regulations Farm emissions Subsidies Farm inputs costs N,P Recycling Fees on inputs Pollution burden on society Nitrogen availability Fee revenue Land Use change Remedial action Best Available Technology (BAT) Water Quality Trading Urban Waste water treatment System intervention #2 The nitrogen-accumulating land area Paying for the public good of nutrient capture creates jobs in rural areas and creates a potential to recycle the nitrogen and phosphorus captured.