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Steel Industry IndiaSteel Industry India
Industry Facts
 India is the world’s second-largest producer of crude steel (up from eighth in 2003). The steel sector in India
contributes nearly two per cent of the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) and employs over 6,00,000
people.
 China is the largest producer of steel in the world accounting for nearly 48.0 - 50.0 per cent of global production
of the metal (including EU) contributing to the 91.1 per cent of global steel production in 2017.
 According to the World Steel Association (WSA), India’s per capita finished steel consumption is of only 70.9
kilogram (kg), against the global figure of 224.5 kg. India's per capita finished steel consumption grew by 7% in
CY 2018, over 66.2 kg in 2017. China is the biggest steel producer with a per capita consumption of 590 kg.
Story in Charts
189
270
347
456
595
644
717 719
770 753
850 852
905
971
1063
1148
1250
1348 1343
1239
1433
1538 1560
1650 1669
1620 1627
1730
1808
1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
World Crude Steel Production (million tonnes)
Story in Charts
38%
9%
2%
15%
7%
7%
9%
4%
9%
World Steel Production Geographical Distribution
51%
6%
2%
9%
6%
7%
6%
6%
7%
China
CIS
Other Europe
EU(28)
Others
Other Asia
Japan
India
NAFTA
2008 2018
Story in Charts
1445.6
1544.6 1549.9 1504.9 1519.5
1632.5
1712.10.66%
0.68% 0.70%
0.74% 0.77%
0.81%
0.88%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Finished Steel Products
World (Mn Tonne) India (%)
97 102 110
122 128
138 138
78 82
89 90
98 103 10781% 80%
81%
74%
76%
75%
77%
65%
70%
75%
80%
85%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019*
0
50
100
150
India Steel Industry
Production Capacity Crude Steel Production Capacity Utilization
• During 2015-16, the capacity utilisation rate fell below 80 per cent due to ban on iron ore mining which led to a fall in the
raw material available in the market.
Story in Charts
12%
29%
43%
3%
2% 2%
4%
5% Sector Wise Steel Consumption In India
Infrastructure
Construction
Engineering & Fabrication
Automotive
Railways
Packaging
Energy
Others
10.9
11.7
8.47.9 8.2 8.8
FY17 FY18 FY19
Trend in steel exports and imports (in million tonnes)
Exports Imports
37.4%
19.6%
16.2%
3.3%
2.9%
20.5%
Country-wise imports by India for FY19
Korea
China
Japan
Taiwan
Indonesia
Others
Steel Industry Value Chain
Steel Company Value Drivers
Profit
Revenue
Price
Realization
Demand-Supply
Dynamics
Cyclical
Period
Contracts
Value Added
Product
Volume
Pricing Competition
Economic
Growth
Housing
Infrastructure
Auto & Capital
equipment
Consumer
Durable
Costs
Raw
Materials
Power
Coal
Employees Interest Logistics
India Steel Industry Analysis
41.2% 38.6% 36.4% 34.3% 32.3% 32.0%
42.8% 42.5% 42.9% 42.7%
58.8% 61.4% 63.6% 65.7% 67.7% 68.0% 57.2% 57.5% 57.1% 57.3%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
Integrated Steel Producer Secondary Producer
Integrated Producers: Steel Producers starting their operation from iron making like production of hot metal or sponge iron using iron ore
and producing crude steel of standard specifications, with processing facilities. They are the only one who converts ore to steel.
Secondary Producers: These producers make use of steel scrap, sponge iron or hot briquetted iron (HBI). They mainly comprise of the
Electric Arc Furnace (EAF) and Induction Furnace (IF). Apart from these two, other manufacturing units like independent hot and cold rolling
units, re-rolling units, galvanizing and tin plating units, sponge iron producers and pig iron producers are covered under secondary producers
or value adders. These largely produce long steel products.
India Steel Industry Analysis
40%
17%
15%
12%
5%
4%
3%
2%
2%
Crude Steel Production – Producer (2017)
Other EAF-IF
JSW Steel
SAIL
Tata Steel
Essar Steel
Rashtriya Ispat
Jindal Steel & Power
Other BOF
Other BOF
50%
27%
10%
10%
3%
Finished Steel Production – Producer (2017)
Other Producers
ESL,JSWL,JSPL
SAIL
Tata Steel
Rashtriya Ispat
Steel Companies Analysis
• We will be conducting a industry analysis on four listed companies. These companies are:
1. SAIL
2. Tata Steel
3. Jindal Steel and Power
4. JSW Steel Ltd
• The analysis of these companies is going to be based on the following parameters. They are as follows: –
1. Sales
2. Net Profit
3. M.Cap
4. Debt/Equity
Steel Companies Analysis
-10,000
-5,000
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19
Net Profit
SAIL Jindal Steel & Power Ltd Jsw Steel Ltd Tata Steel Ltd
-
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
1,00,000
1,20,000
1,40,000
1,60,000
1,80,000
Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19
Sales
-
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
1,00,000
1,20,000
Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19
Market Cap
-
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19
Debt/Equity
SAIL Jindal Steel & Power Ltd Jsw Steel Ltd Tata Steel Ltd
Conclusion
• In our opinion Indian steel industry enjoys an inherent advantage in terms of availability of high grade iron ore and
non-coking coal – the two critical inputs of steel production, this gives Indian integrated players a great advantage of
producing and selling steel at competitive rates. Albeit India consumption story remains intact and India remains a
bright spot in the global steel industry.
• It is estimated that India will require INR 50.0 lakh crore in infrastructure spending through 2022. The National Steel
Policy, 2017 envisages total reliance on domestic steel production by 2030. Overall economic growth and more
specifically accelerated spend in infrastructure sector including roads, railways and ship building, anticipated growth
in defense sector and the automobile sector are expected to create significant demand for steel in the country and
meeting our set targets
• We also understand, we are going through a declining growth phase in various sectors specifically infrastructure,
auto and many more which directly contribute to the growth of steel industry but we believe Indian consumption
story remains intact and India remains in a bright spot in the global steel industry. When the growth cycle revives,
steel industry and its related company will be key beneficiary. We have recommended one company from our
previous comparison in our Adroit Model Portfolio.
Disclaimer
Prepared By:
Research Associate: Samarth Gupta
Email ID: samarthgupta@adroitfinancial.com
Phone Number: 0120-4550300*270/388
Adroit Financial Services Private Limited (hereinafter referred to as “Adroit”) is a registered Member of National Stock Exchange of India Limited, Bombay Stock Exchange Limited and Metropolitan Stock
Exchange Limited. It is also registered as a Depository Participant with CDSL and NSDL. Adroit Financial Services Private Limited is a registered entity with SEBI for Research Analyst in terms of SEBI (Research
Analyst) Regulations, 2014 vide Registration Number INH100003084. Adroit or its associates has not been debarred/ suspended by SEBI or any other regulatory authority for accessing /dealing in securities
Market. Adroit or its associates/analyst has not received any compensation / managed or co-managed public offering of securities of the company covered by Analyst during the past twelve months.
This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or
financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred
to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment.
The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or
complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this document is for general guidance only. Neither Adroit, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise
from or in connection with the use of this information. Adroit Financial Services Private Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot
testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document.
Disclosure
The Research Analysts and /or Adroit Financial Services Private Limited do hereby certify that:-
• The Research Analyst or Adroit Financial Services Private Limited or his/its Associates or his/its relative, may or may not have any holdings in the subject company (ies) covered in this report.
• The Research Analyst or Adroit Financial Services Private Limited or his/its Associates or his/its relative, do not have actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more in the subject company, at the end of the
month immediately preceding the date of the publication of the research report.
• The Research Analyst or Adroit Financial Services Private or his/its Associates or his/its relatives do not have any material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report.
• The Research Analyst or Adroit Financial Services Private Limited or his/its Associates have not received compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services or for product
other than for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the companies covered in this report in the past 12 months.
• The Research Analyst or Adroit Financial Services Private Limited or his/its Associates have not managed or co managed in the previous 12 months any private or public offering of securities for the
company (ies) covered in this report.
• The Research Analyst or Adroit Financial Services Private Limited or his/its Associates have not received any compensation or other benefits from the company (ies) covered in this report or any third party
in connection with the Research Report.
• The Research Analyst has not served as an officer, director or employee of the company (ies) covered in the research report.
• The Research Analyst or Adroit Financial Services Private Limited have not been engaged in Market making activity of the company (ies) covered in the research report.

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Steel Industry India

  • 1. Steel Industry IndiaSteel Industry India
  • 2. Industry Facts  India is the world’s second-largest producer of crude steel (up from eighth in 2003). The steel sector in India contributes nearly two per cent of the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) and employs over 6,00,000 people.  China is the largest producer of steel in the world accounting for nearly 48.0 - 50.0 per cent of global production of the metal (including EU) contributing to the 91.1 per cent of global steel production in 2017.  According to the World Steel Association (WSA), India’s per capita finished steel consumption is of only 70.9 kilogram (kg), against the global figure of 224.5 kg. India's per capita finished steel consumption grew by 7% in CY 2018, over 66.2 kg in 2017. China is the biggest steel producer with a per capita consumption of 590 kg.
  • 3. Story in Charts 189 270 347 456 595 644 717 719 770 753 850 852 905 971 1063 1148 1250 1348 1343 1239 1433 1538 1560 1650 1669 1620 1627 1730 1808 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 World Crude Steel Production (million tonnes)
  • 4. Story in Charts 38% 9% 2% 15% 7% 7% 9% 4% 9% World Steel Production Geographical Distribution 51% 6% 2% 9% 6% 7% 6% 6% 7% China CIS Other Europe EU(28) Others Other Asia Japan India NAFTA 2008 2018
  • 5. Story in Charts 1445.6 1544.6 1549.9 1504.9 1519.5 1632.5 1712.10.66% 0.68% 0.70% 0.74% 0.77% 0.81% 0.88% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Finished Steel Products World (Mn Tonne) India (%) 97 102 110 122 128 138 138 78 82 89 90 98 103 10781% 80% 81% 74% 76% 75% 77% 65% 70% 75% 80% 85% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019* 0 50 100 150 India Steel Industry Production Capacity Crude Steel Production Capacity Utilization • During 2015-16, the capacity utilisation rate fell below 80 per cent due to ban on iron ore mining which led to a fall in the raw material available in the market.
  • 6. Story in Charts 12% 29% 43% 3% 2% 2% 4% 5% Sector Wise Steel Consumption In India Infrastructure Construction Engineering & Fabrication Automotive Railways Packaging Energy Others 10.9 11.7 8.47.9 8.2 8.8 FY17 FY18 FY19 Trend in steel exports and imports (in million tonnes) Exports Imports 37.4% 19.6% 16.2% 3.3% 2.9% 20.5% Country-wise imports by India for FY19 Korea China Japan Taiwan Indonesia Others
  • 8. Steel Company Value Drivers Profit Revenue Price Realization Demand-Supply Dynamics Cyclical Period Contracts Value Added Product Volume Pricing Competition Economic Growth Housing Infrastructure Auto & Capital equipment Consumer Durable Costs Raw Materials Power Coal Employees Interest Logistics
  • 9. India Steel Industry Analysis 41.2% 38.6% 36.4% 34.3% 32.3% 32.0% 42.8% 42.5% 42.9% 42.7% 58.8% 61.4% 63.6% 65.7% 67.7% 68.0% 57.2% 57.5% 57.1% 57.3% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 INDUSTRY STRUCTURE Integrated Steel Producer Secondary Producer Integrated Producers: Steel Producers starting their operation from iron making like production of hot metal or sponge iron using iron ore and producing crude steel of standard specifications, with processing facilities. They are the only one who converts ore to steel. Secondary Producers: These producers make use of steel scrap, sponge iron or hot briquetted iron (HBI). They mainly comprise of the Electric Arc Furnace (EAF) and Induction Furnace (IF). Apart from these two, other manufacturing units like independent hot and cold rolling units, re-rolling units, galvanizing and tin plating units, sponge iron producers and pig iron producers are covered under secondary producers or value adders. These largely produce long steel products.
  • 10. India Steel Industry Analysis 40% 17% 15% 12% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% Crude Steel Production – Producer (2017) Other EAF-IF JSW Steel SAIL Tata Steel Essar Steel Rashtriya Ispat Jindal Steel & Power Other BOF Other BOF 50% 27% 10% 10% 3% Finished Steel Production – Producer (2017) Other Producers ESL,JSWL,JSPL SAIL Tata Steel Rashtriya Ispat
  • 11. Steel Companies Analysis • We will be conducting a industry analysis on four listed companies. These companies are: 1. SAIL 2. Tata Steel 3. Jindal Steel and Power 4. JSW Steel Ltd • The analysis of these companies is going to be based on the following parameters. They are as follows: – 1. Sales 2. Net Profit 3. M.Cap 4. Debt/Equity
  • 12. Steel Companies Analysis -10,000 -5,000 - 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Net Profit SAIL Jindal Steel & Power Ltd Jsw Steel Ltd Tata Steel Ltd - 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 1,00,000 1,20,000 1,40,000 1,60,000 1,80,000 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Sales
  • 13. - 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 1,00,000 1,20,000 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Market Cap - 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Debt/Equity SAIL Jindal Steel & Power Ltd Jsw Steel Ltd Tata Steel Ltd
  • 14. Conclusion • In our opinion Indian steel industry enjoys an inherent advantage in terms of availability of high grade iron ore and non-coking coal – the two critical inputs of steel production, this gives Indian integrated players a great advantage of producing and selling steel at competitive rates. Albeit India consumption story remains intact and India remains a bright spot in the global steel industry. • It is estimated that India will require INR 50.0 lakh crore in infrastructure spending through 2022. The National Steel Policy, 2017 envisages total reliance on domestic steel production by 2030. Overall economic growth and more specifically accelerated spend in infrastructure sector including roads, railways and ship building, anticipated growth in defense sector and the automobile sector are expected to create significant demand for steel in the country and meeting our set targets • We also understand, we are going through a declining growth phase in various sectors specifically infrastructure, auto and many more which directly contribute to the growth of steel industry but we believe Indian consumption story remains intact and India remains in a bright spot in the global steel industry. When the growth cycle revives, steel industry and its related company will be key beneficiary. We have recommended one company from our previous comparison in our Adroit Model Portfolio.
  • 15. Disclaimer Prepared By: Research Associate: Samarth Gupta Email ID: samarthgupta@adroitfinancial.com Phone Number: 0120-4550300*270/388 Adroit Financial Services Private Limited (hereinafter referred to as “Adroit”) is a registered Member of National Stock Exchange of India Limited, Bombay Stock Exchange Limited and Metropolitan Stock Exchange Limited. It is also registered as a Depository Participant with CDSL and NSDL. Adroit Financial Services Private Limited is a registered entity with SEBI for Research Analyst in terms of SEBI (Research Analyst) Regulations, 2014 vide Registration Number INH100003084. Adroit or its associates has not been debarred/ suspended by SEBI or any other regulatory authority for accessing /dealing in securities Market. Adroit or its associates/analyst has not received any compensation / managed or co-managed public offering of securities of the company covered by Analyst during the past twelve months. This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this document is for general guidance only. Neither Adroit, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the use of this information. Adroit Financial Services Private Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. Disclosure The Research Analysts and /or Adroit Financial Services Private Limited do hereby certify that:- • The Research Analyst or Adroit Financial Services Private Limited or his/its Associates or his/its relative, may or may not have any holdings in the subject company (ies) covered in this report. • The Research Analyst or Adroit Financial Services Private Limited or his/its Associates or his/its relative, do not have actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more in the subject company, at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of the publication of the research report. • The Research Analyst or Adroit Financial Services Private or his/its Associates or his/its relatives do not have any material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report. • The Research Analyst or Adroit Financial Services Private Limited or his/its Associates have not received compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services or for product other than for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the companies covered in this report in the past 12 months. • The Research Analyst or Adroit Financial Services Private Limited or his/its Associates have not managed or co managed in the previous 12 months any private or public offering of securities for the company (ies) covered in this report. • The Research Analyst or Adroit Financial Services Private Limited or his/its Associates have not received any compensation or other benefits from the company (ies) covered in this report or any third party in connection with the Research Report. • The Research Analyst has not served as an officer, director or employee of the company (ies) covered in the research report. • The Research Analyst or Adroit Financial Services Private Limited have not been engaged in Market making activity of the company (ies) covered in the research report.