Statement of World Economy - February
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The document provides an overview of the state of the world economy as of February 2020. It discusses slowing global growth rates and GDP figures for the US and Canada. It also examines financial markets in the US and China, stock market performance, worldwide debt levels, and issues in the worldwide real estate market. The summary section notes ongoing slow growth, challenges with global trade organizations, high real estate prices pressuring affordability, high government debt levels, and geopolitical events that continue to impact the global economy.
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The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.8 percent in November on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.9 percent in October, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, all items index increased 6.8 percent before seasonal adjustment.
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Source - https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm
1. Food costs – https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2021/12/08/inflation-food-prices-grocery-taxes/8800601002/?gnt-cfr=1
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Russia is world leader in the critical metals. https://eandt.theiet.org/content/articles/2022/03/rare-earth-metal-prices-will-skyrocket-as-ukraine-russia-tensions-continue/
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Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/220201/dq220201a-eng.htm
1. Inflation and Canada – https://www.fool.ca/2022/01/31/holding-onto-tonnes-of-cash-heres-how-much-of-it-that-inflation-would-destroy-in-a-decade/
2. Housing - https://financialpost.com/real-estate/busting-the-myth-of-canadas-million-or-more-vacant-homes
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2. USA/GDP - https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/02/10percent-gdp-growth-the-us-economy-is-on-fire-and-is-about-to-get-stoked-even-more.html
3. Canada / GDP - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/frankly-stunning-gdp-growth-puts-bank-of-canada-in-the-hot-seat-1.1570915
4. Geo-political risks - https://www.mckinsey.com/business-functions/risk/our-insights/covid-19-implications-for-business
5. Inflation - https://www.livemint.com/news/world/inflation-is-already-creeping-into-some-corners-of-the-world-11615508051827.html
6. Global Protectionism - https://www.arabnews.com/node/1292551/business-economy
7. Supply Chain - https://blog.procurify.com/2021/03/02/4-major-issues-facing-your-supply-chain-manager/
8. Plans / Supply Chain - https://www.lmcins.com/blog/supply-chain-disruption-lessons-from-pandemic
9. Debt / Defaults - https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/business/global-debt-crisis-unlikely-in-near-term-despite-more-defaults-sp/articleshow/81445995.cms
10. Mining / Risks - https://www.miningglobal.com/top10/top-10-business-risks-and-opportunities-mining-2021/geopolitics
Merchandise Trade| Canada| October 2020
In October, Canada's merchandise exports increased 2.2%, partially on higher exports of pharmaceutical products. Imports rose 1.9%, in part due to higher imports of cell phones. As a result, Canada's merchandise trade deficit with the world was virtually unchanged at $3.8 billion in October.
Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/201204/dq201204b-eng.htm
What is next for the Global Economy - October 2022.pptx
Blog – What is next for the Global Economy – October 2022
The global economy faces many challenges including high inflation and geopolitical risks.
Global debt levels are a deep concern for central banks as interest rates continue to rise
All levels of government need to re-think their progressive agenda. More needs to be done to reign in government spending. More emphasis needs to be on digital government and value for money as it relates to program spending and performance
Closing tax loopholes should be a priority for all levels of government as part bringing in tax fairness
Countries like Canada need to do more to streamline their regulatory process as part of getting goods out of the ground to market.
Farmers need more policy support as part of adopting vertical and expert farming practices. Food security and costs continue to be an issue for governments around the world
Power grid will require trillions of investments as it moves to net zero. Low electricity rates are likely a thing of the past. The capital recovery by electrical power generators will see a rise in rates.
The world needs to find ways to bring peace to world. United Nations needs to do a better job working with countries to resolved political issues with countries.
Bank of Canada - What is next for Monetary Policies - April 2022.pptx
Here is my look at monetary statements made by the Bank of Canada.
Bank of Canada - What is next for Monetary Policies - April 2022 (Revised Mar...
Canada inflation rate hit nearly 7% for March 2022. Canada has one of the highest inflation rates in the G7.
Higher interest rates mean less cash for retail sales
Government continues to push their green agenda driving more green inflation
More Related Content
What's hot
My latest Economic and Fiscal Scorecard on the United States of America (USA)
I have updated my work to better help both the public and private sector with their close, consolidate, and reporting cycle.
What is next for the Global Economy| December 2021
Summary:
Global economy continues to face many headwinds like new variants or climate change or supply chain disruption or labor shortages or housing costs or high inflation or other geopolitical, fiscal, and economic issues and threats.
1. Income inequality - https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/dec/07/global-inequality-western-imperialism-super-rich
2. Global Trade - https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2021/12/globalization-world-trade-bounce-back-from-covid-19/
3. Global economy - https://www.cityam.com/outlook-2022-global-economy/
4. Budget deficits - https://www.thebalance.com/u-s-federal-budget-breakdown-3305789
5. Geopolitical risks - https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/
6. Labor shortages - https://www.qualtrics.com/blog/labor-shortages/
7. Digital adoption - https://www.fiercetelecom.com/telecom/report-digital-transformation-spending-will-catapult-to-6-8-trillion-by-2023
8. Mega Trends - https://www.ishares.com/us/insights/megatrends-themes-to-watch
9. HR - https://www.gartner.com/en/human-resources/trends/top-priorities-for-hr-leaders
10. Retail spending - https://www.fitchratings.com/research/corporate-finance/fitch-ratings-2022-outlook-us-retail-06-12-2021
2019 Election| Merchandise Trade| Canada| May 2019
Total exports rose 4.6% to a record $53.1 billion in May, with 9 of 11 product sections posting increases. Exports of
motor vehicles and parts, aircraft and other transportation equipment and parts, and energy products contributed
the most to the increase. Year over year, total exports were up 8.6%. In May, non-energy exports rose 4.5%.
Exports of motor vehicles and parts were up 12.4% in May to $8.4 billion. Exports of passenger cars and light trucks
(+17.8%) contributed the most to the increase, mainly due to higher Canadian motor vehicle production. The
increased production was partly due to the resumption of activities at some assembly plants following atypical
shutdowns in April. Through the first five months of 2019, exports of passenger cars and light trucks were up 2.8%
compared with the same period in 2018
Government and Economic Policies – China – June 17, 2016
Growth 2016
China GDP
China and India Growth
China Manufacturing Sector
Retail Sales
eCommerce
China Debt
Banking Sector
Taxation
Canada and China Trade
China path to Global Domination| November 2021
China has seen tremendous growth since the 1990s as part of becoming the 2nd biggest economy in the world. China has many challenges to deal with including protecting environment through better environment policies as they relate to mining output, urban planning, forest, and land management.
1. China GDP - https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/why-is-china-gdp-growth-rate-falling-so-fast-by-shang-jin-wei-2021-11
2. Belt road - https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/african-nations-mend-make-do-china-tightens-belt-road-2021-11-22/ or https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/1-china-meet-challenges-giant-130242556.html
3. China Manufacturing - https://www.sharecast.com/news/international-economic/chinas-manufacturing-output-retail-sales-strengthen--8554024.html
4. Mining - https://www.mining-technology.com/news/industry-news/iron-ore-price-plummets/
5. Housing - https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2021/11/20/as-housing-costs-rocket-governments-take-aim-at-large-investors
6. Wealth - https://spainsnews.com/china-monopolizes-the-wealth-of-the-planet-but-shows-weaknesses-in-the-battle-for-world-economic-hegemony/
7. Critical metals - https://www.goodreturns.in/personal-finance/investment/10-most-precious-metals-in-the-world/articlecontent-pf25917-1230896.html
8. Lithium - https://www.mining.com/sqm-expects-lithium-prices-to-jump-50-before-year-end/
9. Batteries - https://www.autonews.com/manufacturing/ev-battery-boom-sparks-need-locally-sourced-metals
10. Climate Change - https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-021-03491-6
11. Water - https://www.deccanherald.com/international/world-news-politics/china-could-be-preparing-for-water-war-in-asia-after-completing-serial-dams-in-tibet-1052487.html
12. Air quality https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/11/22/infographic-the-worlds-100-most-polluted-cities-interactive
13. Trade - https://panow.com/2021/11/16/canada-south-asian-bloc-to-begin-free-trade-talks-in-effort-to-diversify-from-china/
Has Justin Trudeau been Open, Transparent, and Accountable to Canada?
Here is my latest look at the governance model for Justin Trudeau
Transportation Sector| Analysis and Commentary| November 2021
Summary:
Transportation sector continues to face many hurdles. The key to supporting the transportation sector will be its ability to adopt innovation including clean energy solutions. It is also important for all levels government to work together to build a resilient supply chain including reshoring critical parts of the supply chain to better safeguard government assets and protect the economy.
1. Class 8 truck sales - https://ontruck.org/class-8-orders-crash-due-to-supply-chain-delays/
2. Trailer sales - https://www.openpr.com/news/2491852/demand-for-trailer-axle-market-to-surge-in-the-end-use-industry
3. EV - https://www.autonews.com/shift/ev-semi-coming-just-not-quickly-other-evs
4. Port backlog - https://www.freightwaves.com/news/port-of-vancouver-ship-backlog-hits-60
5. Savannah = https://gcaptain.com/port-of-savannah-sets-monthly-cargo-record-in-november-as-capacity-improvements-pay-off/
6. Margins - https://www.clearwatertimes.com/news/all-our-margins-are-gone-supply-chain-challenges-squeeze-small-businesses/
7. Containers - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/americas-new-export-problem-12-1-million-shipping-containers-left-biggest-u-s-ports-empty-11638971489
8. Supply Chain - https://retail-insider.com/retail-insider/2021/12/retail-supply-chain-in-canada-requires-significant-reimagination-amid-consumer-shift-feature/
9. Supply chain - https://ca.movies.yahoo.com/supply-chain-issues-starting-ease-150509062.html
10. Hydrogen - https://www.hydrogenfuelnews.com/fuel-cell-locomotive-cp/8550386/
11. Methane - https://gcaptain.com/first-look-at-maersks-new-green-methanol-powered-containerships/
12. Freight costs – https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/small-biz/trade/exports/insights/shipping-costs-another-danger-for-inflation-watchers-to-navigate/articleshow/88220289.cms
13. ESG - https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/sea-land-air-decarbonizing-transportation-213107347.html
14. Innovation - https://www.supplychain247.com/article/7_transportation_logistics_technology_trends_to_watch/legacy_supply_chain_services
Cost of Living | Canada| December 2021 (Revised for New Housing Price Index a...
Summary:
Inflation continues to be an issue for many Canadians.
Green inflation continues to key part of the rise of inflation
More and more people are being left out of the housing market
1. Average House – https://globalnews.ca/news/8516543/canada-home-sales-record-crea/
2. Lumber prices - https://fortune.com/2022/01/12/lumber-prices-skyrocket-again-weather-sawmill-production-supply-chain/
3. Gasoline – https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/commodity/WTI-2355639/news/Front-Month-Nymex-RBOB-Gasoline-Rose-0-53-to-Settle-at-2-4318-Data-Talk-37578932/
4. Food - https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-01-16/soaring-food-prices-can-pay-for-a-more-secure-future
5. Top jobs - https://www.ctvnews.ca/canada/these-are-the-most-in-demand-skills-for-canadian-job-seekers-1.5741586 and https://dailyhive.com/vancouver/in-demand-highest-paying-jobscanada-2022
6. Home building - https://www.cnbc.com/2022/01/18/homebuilder-confidence-drops-for-the-first-time-in-four-months.html
7. Education - https://www.kenoshanews.com/opinion/columnists/commentary-college-students-aren-t-getting-the-education-they-paid-for-where-s-the-reimbursement/article_66dd9f71-8aa3-56d4-8dc0-45de2fc67e4e.html
8. Rent costs - https://rentals.ca/national-rent-report
9. Shipping - https://rentals.ca/national-rent-report
10. Green Inflation - https://globalnews.ca/news/8508541/canada-green-transition-inflation/
11. Natural gas prices - https://www.naturalgasintel.com/february-natural-gas-called-slightly-higher-as-forecast-outlook-steady-over-weekend/
12. EV range - https://insideevs.com/news/561634/us-median-range-gasoline-bevs/
13. Existing home sales - https://economics.td.com/ca-existing-home-sales
14. Businesses and Inflation - https://www.benefitscanada.com/canadian-investment-review/research-markets/canadian-businesses-predicting-higher-inflation-through-2023-boc-survey/
Retail Sales and Consumer Spending| Canada| August 2021
Summary:
Retail sales were up 2.1% to $57.2 billion in August, led by higher sales at food and beverage stores (+4.8%), gasoline stations (+3.8%), and clothing and clothing accessories stores (+3.9%).
Sales increased in 9 of 11 subsectors, representing 94.6% of retail trade.
Core retail sales—which exclude gasoline stations and motor vehicle and parts dealers—were up 2.7%.
In volume terms, retail sales increased 1.4% in August.
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/211022/dq211022a-eng.htm https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/966f8e75-adb4-492b-8c14-924733071bb7/
1. Food costs - https://o.canada.com/news/local-news/lower-income-families-most-likely-to-be-pinched-by-rising-food-prices-supply-chain-problems
2. Rising oil and gas prices - https://www.fraserinstitute.org/article/rising-oil-prices-wont-solve-canadas-oil-and-gas-problems
3. Rise of propane costs - https://granthshala.com/skyrocketing-propane-prices-could-mean-trouble-for-some-canadians-this-winter/
4. Inflation has hit a 20-year high - https://dailyhive.com/vancouver/canada-inflation-highest-decades-2021
5. Supply chain - https://ca.sports.yahoo.com/news/sector-grows-manufacturing-dented-supply-091509523.html?src=rss
6. Global inflation - https://ca.news.yahoo.com/absolutely-concern-around-the-globe-over-inflation-accenture-ceo-144813190.html
7. Jobs and climate change - https://www.nationalobserver.com/2021/10/21/news/more-880000-canadian-jobs-vulnerable-global-clean-energy-transition
8. Rent and Wage - https://retail-insider.com/retail-insider/2021/10/cfib/
9. Pandemic - https://thecanadian.news/2021/10/21/how-to-lead-the-retail-trade-in-pandemic/
10. Retail innovation - https://retailtechinnovationhub.com/home/2021/10/22/five-retail-technology-trends-from-digital-fitting-rooms-to-sustainable-shopping
Merchandise Trade|The United States| January 2022
USA hit a record $89B trade deficit in January 2022
China continues to lag on their trade agreements with the United States
USA is looking at dealing with despot countries as part of fixing issues with oil supplies - https://www.cnn.com/2022/03/08/politics/joe-biden-saudi-arabia-venezuela-iran-russia-oil/index.html. Both Canada and USA should be focus on increasing domestic production - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-next-for-oil-and-gas-251300497
Russia is world leader in the critical metals. https://eandt.theiet.org/content/articles/2022/03/rare-earth-metal-prices-will-skyrocket-as-ukraine-russia-tensions-continue/
How can Bank of Canada achieve its 2% Inflation target for Canada
My work discusses many areas of policy that drives inflation including the cost of living
Global Market Outlook - WE May 16 2016
Here is overview of the markets, especially areas like retail sales, Chinese Debt, Canada Trade and Automotive.
The presentation will discuss global pressures including slow economic growth, reduction in consumer spending, pressure of commodity prices, natural disasters and corporate debt/profitability.
Sustainability of government - Canada - august 2017
This presentation looks at sustainability of government when it comes to the ability of government deliver program spending.
What's hot (16)
My latest Economic and Fiscal Scorecard on the United States of America (USA)
My latest Economic and Fiscal Scorecard on the United States of America (USA)
What is next for the Global Economy| December 2021
What is next for the Global Economy| December 2021
2019 Election| Merchandise Trade| Canada| May 2019
2019 Election| Merchandise Trade| Canada| May 2019
Government and Economic Policies – China – June 17, 2016
Government and Economic Policies – China – June 17, 2016
Has Justin Trudeau been Open, Transparent, and Accountable to Canada?
Has Justin Trudeau been Open, Transparent, and Accountable to Canada?
Transportation Sector| Analysis and Commentary| November 2021
Transportation Sector| Analysis and Commentary| November 2021
Cost of Living | Canada| December 2021 (Revised for New Housing Price Index a...
Cost of Living | Canada| December 2021 (Revised for New Housing Price Index a...
Retail Sales and Consumer Spending| Canada| August 2021
Retail Sales and Consumer Spending| Canada| August 2021
How can Bank of Canada achieve its 2% Inflation target for Canada
How can Bank of Canada achieve its 2% Inflation target for Canada
Sustainability of government - Canada - august 2017
Sustainability of government - Canada - august 2017
Similar to Statement of World Economy - February
GDP | Canada| Analysis and Commentary| November 2021
Both services-producing (+0.6%) and goods-producing (+0.5%) industries were up, as 17 of 20 industrial sectors posted increases in November.
Advance information indicates that real GDP for December was essentially unchanged. Widespread increases led by the manufacturing, agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting, utilities and wholesale trade sectors were offset by declines in the accommodation and food services, mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction and retail trade sectors. This advance information for real GDP by industry indicates a 1.6% uptick in the fourth quarter of 2021 and a rebound of 4.9% in the year following the pandemic-induced decline observed in 2020. Given their preliminary nature, these estimates will be updated on March 1, 2022 with the release of the official GDP data for December and the fourth quarter of 2021.
Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/220201/dq220201a-eng.htm
1. Inflation and Canada – https://www.fool.ca/2022/01/31/holding-onto-tonnes-of-cash-heres-how-much-of-it-that-inflation-would-destroy-in-a-decade/
2. Housing - https://financialpost.com/real-estate/busting-the-myth-of-canadas-million-or-more-vacant-homes
3. Supply chain task force - https://canada.autonews.com/manufacturing/supply-chain-issues-be-tackled-new-federal-task-force
4. Mining - https://miningglobal.com/top10/top-10-countries-based-on-natural-resources
5. Electrical vehicles - https://ipolitics.ca/2022/01/31/lobby-wrap-auto-industry-wants-training-as-ev-sales-rise/
6. Middle class - https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2022/01/31/lost-factory-jobs-make-harder-move-into-middle-class-report-says/9213089002/?gnt-cfr=1
7. Consumer spending - https://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/weaker-u-s-consumer-spending-rising-inflation-pose-dilemma-for-fed/
8. Commodity prices - https://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/commodity-prices-likely-to-be-hit-by-slowdown-before-end-of-2023/
9. ESG - https://www.reuters.com/business/sustainable-business/euroclear-teams-up-with-fintech-expand-esg-services-2022-01-31/
10. Insurance risk - https://www.insurancebusinessmag.com/us/news/environmental/environmental-insurance--what-are-the-concerns-323760.aspx
11. Geopolitical Risks - https://www.reuters.com/business/rising-geopolitical-tension-demand-send-oil-price-outlook-soaring-2022-01-31/
12. 2022-2023 – Budget - https://globalnews.ca/news/8585003/federal-budget-plan-2022/
What is next for the Global Economy| March 2021
Blog – Global Economy – March 2021
1. China/GDP - https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-03-07/why-china-can-t-end-its-romance-with-gdp-growth-target
2. USA/GDP - https://www.cnbc.com/2021/03/02/10percent-gdp-growth-the-us-economy-is-on-fire-and-is-about-to-get-stoked-even-more.html
3. Canada / GDP - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/frankly-stunning-gdp-growth-puts-bank-of-canada-in-the-hot-seat-1.1570915
4. Geo-political risks - https://www.mckinsey.com/business-functions/risk/our-insights/covid-19-implications-for-business
5. Inflation - https://www.livemint.com/news/world/inflation-is-already-creeping-into-some-corners-of-the-world-11615508051827.html
6. Global Protectionism - https://www.arabnews.com/node/1292551/business-economy
7. Supply Chain - https://blog.procurify.com/2021/03/02/4-major-issues-facing-your-supply-chain-manager/
8. Plans / Supply Chain - https://www.lmcins.com/blog/supply-chain-disruption-lessons-from-pandemic
9. Debt / Defaults - https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/business/global-debt-crisis-unlikely-in-near-term-despite-more-defaults-sp/articleshow/81445995.cms
10. Mining / Risks - https://www.miningglobal.com/top10/top-10-business-risks-and-opportunities-mining-2021/geopolitics
Merchandise Trade| Canada| October 2020
In October, Canada's merchandise exports increased 2.2%, partially on higher exports of pharmaceutical products. Imports rose 1.9%, in part due to higher imports of cell phones. As a result, Canada's merchandise trade deficit with the world was virtually unchanged at $3.8 billion in October.
Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/201204/dq201204b-eng.htm
What is next for the Global Economy - October 2022.pptx
Blog – What is next for the Global Economy – October 2022
The global economy faces many challenges including high inflation and geopolitical risks.
Global debt levels are a deep concern for central banks as interest rates continue to rise
All levels of government need to re-think their progressive agenda. More needs to be done to reign in government spending. More emphasis needs to be on digital government and value for money as it relates to program spending and performance
Closing tax loopholes should be a priority for all levels of government as part bringing in tax fairness
Countries like Canada need to do more to streamline their regulatory process as part of getting goods out of the ground to market.
Farmers need more policy support as part of adopting vertical and expert farming practices. Food security and costs continue to be an issue for governments around the world
Power grid will require trillions of investments as it moves to net zero. Low electricity rates are likely a thing of the past. The capital recovery by electrical power generators will see a rise in rates.
The world needs to find ways to bring peace to world. United Nations needs to do a better job working with countries to resolved political issues with countries.
Bank of Canada - What is next for Monetary Policies - April 2022.pptx
Here is my look at monetary statements made by the Bank of Canada.
Bank of Canada - What is next for Monetary Policies - April 2022 (Revised Mar...
Canada inflation rate hit nearly 7% for March 2022. Canada has one of the highest inflation rates in the G7.
Higher interest rates mean less cash for retail sales
Government continues to push their green agenda driving more green inflation
GDP Analysis and Commentary - Canada - May 2022.pptx
Summary:
Canada’s economic expansion showed signs of moderation in May and June, pulling back from a strong start to the year in the face of high inflation and rising interest rates.
Output in June was on track for a small increase of 0.1 per cent after stalling in May, Statistics Canada said on Friday. That follows three months of strong growth between February and April that helped fuel a robust expansion in the second quarter, which the agency estimated at about 4.6 per cent annualized.
The results show a picture of an economy that was unscathed from the global slowdown in the first part of the year but may be entering a period of much slower growth.
The Bank of Canada has raised its benchmark policy rate by more than two percentage points since March to slow four-decade high inflation, and is expected to continue hiking by at least another half-percentage point at its next policy decision in September
Source - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/canada-s-economy-stalled-in-may-1.1798830
What is next for the Global Economy| November 2021
Many risks and threats are impacting the global economy
1. Global Labor Market - https://www.rappler.com/business/ilo-monitor-covid-19-world-work-8th-edition-october-27-2021
2. Supply chain disruption - https://www.ft.com/content/84c2555b-68f0-4654-bb73-d1b995d45bc2
3. Inflation - https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-10-30/three-days-will-reveal-global-alert-level-on-inflation-eco-week
4. Inflation - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/charting-the-global-economy-inflation-builds-in-u-s-and-europe-1.1674336
5. Inflation - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/interest-rates-aren-t-the-only-weapon-in-global-inflation-fight-1.1673191
6. Global stocks - https://finance.yahoo.com/news/global-markets-global-stocks-dip-155738159.html
7. Commodity - https://markets.ft.com/data/commodities
8. Net zero target - https://www.ft.com/content/58a5379f-bb2a-42ad-8554-002b677a472e
9. IFRS - https://www.responsible-investor.com/articles/ifrs-group-sets-out-agenda-ahead-of-new-sustainability-standards-board
10. Automation - https://www.forbes.com/sites/bernardmarr/2021/11/01/the-8-biggest-business-trends-in-2022/?sh=74c49ca321da
11. Automation - https://min.news/en/tech/c11e635e601edbd40ae07c2d115b0982.html
Geopolitical Risks - Pandemic - Canada and the World - WE May 7 2022.pptx
Summary:
COVID and other variants will continue to plague the world
Not enough is being done to address issues with the healthcare delivery model
More needs to be done to address the supply chain
More focus on other areas beyond climate change
Governments need to start addressing issues with tax reform, size of government, and productivity as part of address issues facing their tax base and economies.
What is next for the Forestry Sector
Blog – Forestry Sector – What is next?
BC Policies:
Old Growth - https://www.nationalobserver.com/2021/03/15/news/critics-cut-bc-governments-protection-plan-old-growth-forests
Forestry - https://www.surreynowleader.com/business/budget-2020-not-much-new-for-b-c-s-struggling-forest-industry/ or https://www.policyalternatives.ca/publications/commentary/cuts-forest-service-are-too-deep
My work - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-next-for-the-forestry-sector-248000228
1. Pandemic economy - https://www.npr.org/2021/07/08/1013819703/what-the-rise-and-fall-of-lumber-prices-tell-us-about-the-pandemic-economy
2. Stumpage fees - https://stockhouse.com/companies/bullboard/t.ifp/interfor-corporation
3. Stumpage fees - https://uneducatedeconomist.com/f/lumber-prices-will-hit-a-bottom-sooner-rather-than-later
4. Forest management - https://www.nrcan.gc.ca/our-natural-resources/forests-forestry/wildland-fires-insects-disturban/deforestation-canada-key-myths-and-facts/13419
5. Tree planting drones - https://mymodernmet.com/flash-forest-tree-planting-drones/
6. Super trees - https://www.fastcompany.com/90646232/these-supertrees-are-engineered-to-capture-more-carbon
7. Housing - https://www.forbes.com/sites/jennifercastenson/2021/06/23/homes-built-in-seven-minutes-overseas-innovation-thats-needed-here-and-now/?sh=38a075e0fc40
8. Zero Carbon housing - https://www.propertyinvestortoday.co.uk/breaking-news/2021/7/uks-first-mainstreamzerocarbonhomes-arrive--are-they-the-future
9. Innovation - https://www.startus-insights.com/innovators-guide/top-10-construction-industry-trends-innovations-in-2021/
10. Mitigating Forest Fires - https://www.summitdaily.com/opinion/opinion-susan-knopf-we-can-prevent-forest-fires/
What is next for Monetary Policies - Canada - September 2022.pptx
Blog – What is next for Monetary Policies – Canada – September 2022
Canada has struggled with productivity issues for over 20 years. The liberals have done little address productivity including making changes to tax code related to capital cost allowance, R&D credits, training credits, etc.
Canada lock down strategy and stimulus has led to higher inflation. Liberals never had a plan to pull back on the stimulus through targeted measures that would better support improving supply chain, productivity, skills gap, and innovation
Canadian dollar has hit a two-year low,
Canada housing market was artificially kept high for years. The housing prices continue to fall.
Canada needs to revamp its tax and regulatory policies as part of getting goods out of the ground to market
Geopolitics - Risk and Threats - Variants and Disease Management - September...
Blog – How to Mitigate Geopolitical Risks related to Future Pandemics and Diseases
Little has been said over the past year or so around health and wellness programs being used as part of mitigating future pandemics
Little has been said the role both gene and immune therapy can play in the mitigation of diseases around the world.
Healthcare system needs to move to homecare model including more spending on assisted living.
The healthcare delivery model needs to be revamped to ensure the focus is on patient care.
What is next for the Global Economy| August 2021
Blog – What is next for the Global Economy – August 2021
1. Global GDP - https://blogs.imf.org/2021/07/27/drawing-further-apart-widening-gaps-in-the-global-recovery/
2. Global Commodities - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/here-s-who-wins-and-who-loses-from-the-surge-in-commodity-prices-1.1634711
3. Oil - https://www.wsj.com/articles/chevron-posts-highest-profit-in-a-year-as-oil-demand-rebounds-11627640325
4. Rio Tinto - https://www.wsj.com/articles/rio-tinto-net-profit-jumps-on-boom-in-commodity-prices-11627459592
5. Nasdaq - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/nasdaq-15-000-is-near-do-i-hear-30-000-11627374665
6. Pacific Rim - https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2021/jul/27/the-us-should-rejoin-the-trans-pacific-partnership/
7. Top AI Apps - https://www.globaltechoutlook.com/top-essential-ai-data-management-apps-for-you-to-avail-in-2021/
8. Technology outlook - https://www.simplilearn.com/top-technology-trends-and-jobs-article
9. Food and Crops Output - https://www.producer.com/markets/
10. Food and Climate - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/climate-change-and-conflict-are-fueling-poverty-and-food-prices-un-chief-says
11. Water - https://www.bbc.com/news/business-57847654
GDP Analysis and Commentary - Canada - February 2022.pptx
Mining and Quarrying led the GDP growth in the goods producing sector
Manufacturing was sluggish due to supply chain and commodity price issues
Transportation sector seen large growth due to reopening of the economy
What is next for the Forestry Sector and Lumber Production - August 2022.pptx
Blog – Forestry Sector and Lumber Production – Canada – September 2022
Canada lumber production was down 10% in July 2022 from August 2022
Housing costs continue to be an issue for many Canadians
More needs to be done to mitigate the threat of both wildfires and forest fires.
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More from paul young cpa, cga
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Here is look at the retail sales for Canada
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Global Housing Market Analysis and Commentary- September 2023.pptx
Summary:
Homebuilders are walking a fine line when it comes to new projects as high mortgage rates curb demand.
New residential construction, including single-family homes and multifamily, dropped 11.3% month over month in August to 1.283 million units on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to Census Bureau data released Tuesday. That's down 14.8% compared with a year ago and well below the 1.44 million units economists surveyed by Bloomberg projected.
But authorized residential permits — an indicator of potential future activity — rose 6.9% to 1.543 million permits in August from July. That was still down 2.7% from last August. Single-family permits, though, were up 2% from July to 949,000. Multifamily permits came in at 535,000.
The data reflects two opposing forces builders are trying to balance: the ongoing need for new construction to fill in limited inventory and elevated mortgage rates that are hurting their biggest customer right now, the first-time homebuyer.
"High mortgage rates are clearly taking a toll on builder confidence and consumer demand, as a growing number of buyers are electing to defer a home purchase until long-term rates move lower," Robert Dietz, chief economist of the National Association of Home Builders, said Monday in a press release after builder confidence dropped for the second straight month.
Source: https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/homebuilders-face-a-tough-balancing-act-on-new-construction-amid-high-mortgage-rates-130744368.html
What is next for the Mining Sector.pptx
Blog – What is next for the Mining Sector – September 2023
The mining sector provides critical material that support solar, wind, and lithium-ion batteries as part of the green transition. https://www.iea.org/news/critical-minerals-market-sees-unprecedented-growth-as-clean-energy-demand-drives-strong-increase-in-investment
The mining sector products play a key role with the global GDP - https://www.yicaiglobal.com/news/global-mining-industry-value-was-69-of-world-gdp-last-year-china-says
Mining practices need to be sustainable including following all ESG policies - https://www.linkedin.com/advice/1/how-can-you-monitor-sustainable-mining-practices
Other links and sources –
Lithium Supply and Price - https://zbr.com.mx/en/sin-categoria-es/lithium-prices-fall-44-in-china-due-to-lack-of-demand/138168/
Cobalt - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/mahmut-karada%C5%9F-a2b7a5151_china-exportrestrictions-gallium-activity-7082603182589157376-Zrty/?trk=public_profile_like_view
Nickel https://www.eureporter.co/business/2023/09/15/stanislav-kondrashov-from-telf-ag-nickel-prices-outlook-remains-positive/
Iron-ore - https://www.brecorder.com/news/40263584/sgx-iron-ore-set-for-best-week-in-3-months
TD Bank / Metals - https://www.tdsecurities.com/ca/en/setting-the-stage-for-gold-outlook
Biodiversity / Mining - https://worldcrunch.com/green/lithium-green-energy-argentina-indigenous
ESG - https://iriscarbon.com/the-added-value-of-integrated-esg-reporting-a-threefold-framework/
Manufacturing Sector – United States – August 2023.pptx
Blog – Manufacturing Shipments and Orders – The United States – August 2023
Summary:
New orders for manufacturing technology in the United States totaled $353.9 million in July 2023, as per the latest report by AMT – The Association For Manufacturing Technology. This figure marked a 12.4% decline from June 2023 but remained only 10.5% lower than July 2022. Year-to-date orders amounted to $2.83 billion, reflecting a 12.7% decrease compared to the same period the previous year.
Douglas K. Woods, President of AMT, noted that July is typically a slower month for manufacturing technology orders, so a slight drop was expected. However, he pointed out a notable trend: over the last two months, the year-to-date order gap has narrowed during historically slow periods. While job shops have seen decreased orders, other industries that benefited from reshoring or government investments have helped fill the gap.
Among specific sectors, job shops, the largest customer segment, placed their lowest total monthly orders since August 2020. In contrast, metal valve manufacturers recorded their third-highest monthly order value on record, last seen in September 2018, making up nearly 5% of the total manufacturing technology order value for July 2023. Manufacturers of motor vehicle transmissions continued to order machinery at an elevated pace. However, the aerospace industry continued to order below its early 2022 peaks, with hopes that recent projects like the federal government's $1.5 billion investment in communications satellites might reverse this trend.
Source: https://www.sme.org/technologies/articles/2023/september/u.s.-manufacturing-technology-orders-dip-in-july-but-show-resilience-amid-economic-uncertainty
Stock Market Analysis and Commentary for WE September 15 2023.pptx
Blog – Analysis and Commentary – Stock Market – WE September 15 2023
Summary:
Stocks fell Friday as investors wrap up a volatile week ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting.
The Dow Jones Industrials tumbled 288.87 points to close out Friday and the week at 34,618.24. At its lows, it completely wiped out Thursday's 332-point rally.
The S&P 500 index sank 54.78 points, or 1.2%, to 4,450.32.
The NASDAQ index plunged 217.72 points, or 1.6%, to 13,708.33.
The Dow held onto a winning week. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ both closed out the week with losses.
Information technology was the worst-performing sector in the S&P 500, down nearly 2%. Adobe shares fell more than 4% even after the software firm posted better-than-expected quarterly results. Shares of Arm Holdings were lower one day after its successful public debut.
Auto stocks General Motors and Stellantis N.V. were higher Friday, while Ford Motor was about flat. Thousands of members of the United Auto Workers went on strike after failing to reach a deal with the automakers Thursday night.
Elsewhere, Lennar shares slid 3%. The home construction firm posted third-quarter results that beat on the top and bottom lines.
On the economic front, the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment survey showed one-year inflation expectations dropped to 3.1% in
September, tied for the lowest since January 2021. Also, the five-year outlook fell to 2.7%, matching its lowest since December 2020.
Electricity Analysis - Canada and the OECD - June 2023.pptx
Summary:
Over three-quarters of the world’s total coal-generated electricity is consumed in just three countries. China is the top user of coal, making up 53.3% of global coal demand, followed by India at 13.6%, and the U.S. at 8.9%.
Burning coal—for electricity, as well as metallurgy and cement production—is the world’s single largest source of CO2 emissions. Nevertheless, its use in electricity generation has actually grown 91.2% since 1997, the year when the first global climate agreement was signed in Kyoto, Japan.
However, even as non-renewables enjoy their time in the sun, their days could be numbered.
In 2022, renewables, such as wind, solar, and geothermal, represented 14.4% of total electricity generation with an extraordinary annual growth rate of 14.7%, driven by big gains in solar and wind. Non-renewables, by contrast, only managed an anemic 0.4%.
The authors of the Statistical Review do not include hydroelectric in their renewable calculations, even though many others, including the International Energy Agency, consider it a “well-established renewable power technology.”
With hydroelectric moved into the renewable column, together they accounted for over 29.3% of all electricity generated in 2022, with an annual growth rate of 7.4%.
Source - https://energynow.ca/2023/09/infographic-what-electricity-sources-power-the-world-see-them-here-visual-capitalist/
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Stock Market Analysis and Commentary for WE September 9 2023.pptx
What did the markets tell us this week?
1. Housing supply and costs continue to plague countries around the world.
2. Gasoline prices are on the rise that puts pressure on central banks ability to hit their core inflation targets.
3. ESG adoption by both the private and public sector is leading to both funding concerns and the overall cost of implementing ESG policies.
4. Adopting technology as part of increasing food production is facing both capital and operational funding concerns.
5. Strike at LNG facility in Australia is leading to concerns around a supply chain disruption of natural gas for EMEA and Asia.
6. The threat of China dumping batteries into markets - https://www.ft.com/content/b6038e51-7b5b-4f97-a5da-9202e71562fc
7. Adoption of generative AI has been facing many challenges related to security, privacy, and ethical issues.
8. Lack of biodiversity planning as part of the overall climate mitigation including sustainable mining, forestry, oil, gas, agriculture, and housing
9. Geopolitical issues continue to impact supply chain.
10. The concerns of recession continue to plague both the private and public sector.
11. Productivity issues continue to plague governments around the world.
Global Automotive - Analysis and Commentary - August 2023.pptx
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Global (Mining Oil and Gas Forestry and Agriculture) Analysis and Commentary ...
The mining, oil, gas, agriculture, forestry, and mining continue to face environmental, social, and governance policy review including reporting of key metrics as part of ESG reporting cycle.
There is more focus on profitability and investment returns as part of the integrated planning and reporting cycle.
World Merchandise Trade – September 2023.pptx
Summary:
The global economy faces what at least one forecaster is calling a mild trade recession as shipments from China slump and German factories downshift.
China’s export declines extended into August, though there were signs that the worst of a world trade slowdown may be over for the leading exporter.
Overseas shipments from China fell 8.8% in dollar terms from a year earlier while imports contracted 7.3%, both better than economists’ estimates and significantly less severe than July’s downturn.
Other data have suggested trade may be stabilizing after weakening for most of this year. Exports from South Korea also declined at a more moderate pace in August than the previous month.
Source: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2023-09-07/supply-chain-latest-world-trade-faces-a-shallow-recession?srnd=economics-v2
Additional sources and links:
Lithium - https://source.benchmarkminerals.com/article/falling-lithium-prices-challenge-potential-cost-advantages-of-sodium-batteries
Oil Production - https://www.cnn.com/2023/09/06/business/oil-price-goldman-sachs/index.html
Natural gas - https://www.fxstreet.com/news/natural-gas-holds-up-as-markets-in-limbo-over-strikes-202309070956
Lumber - https://www.fastmarkets.com/insights/sawmill-capacity-closures-reshape-us-lumber-supply
Critical metals - https://www.wasterecyclingmag.ca/feature/how-recycling-could-solve-the-shortage-of-minerals-essential-to-clean-energy/
Agriculture - https://www.morningagclips.com/economists-forecast-positive-end-of-year-crop-outlook-despite-warmer-midwestern-climate/
ESG - https://www.skadden.com/insights/publications/2023/09/the-informed-board/the-eus-new-esg-disclosure-rules
Ports - https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/HAPAG-LLOYD-AG-24857717/news/Hapag-Lloyd-chief-warns-of-rougher-seas-ahead-for-container-shipping-44789017/
Top destination for reshoring - https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/economy/2023/08/29/uae-in-top-10-most-powerful-passports-for-investment-opportunity/
Global Trade - https://phys.org/news/2023-09-opinion-broke-global-climate-finish.html
What is next for the Forestry Sector and Lumber Production - September 2023.pptx
Lumber production in Canada continues to face many hurdles
Canada forest management practices are some of the bests in the world
Canada planted over 440M in seedlings back in 2018. It is now 2022 which means close 2M seedlings have been planted.
All levels need to put more focus on urban and rural planning solutions
More work including spending on wildfire and forest fire mitigation
Canada and USA need to find a path forward to resolve the softwood lumber dispute
There needs to a better balanced between climate change policies and growing the economy in a sustainable way
3D printing for housing needs to become mainstream
More protection needs to happen with key ecosystems like wetlands, forest, and peatlands.
There is a risk of debt default if interest rates are hike over the next few months
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The current method for selling pi coins involves exchanging them with a pi vendor who purchases pi coins for investment reasons.
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Who is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone who buys pi network coins and resell them to Investors looking forward to hold thousands of pi coins before the open mainnet.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with
@Pi_vendor_247
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Who is a pi merchant?
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Statement of World Economy - February
- 1. STATE OF THE WORLD ECONOMY Paul Young CPA CGA February 3, 2020
- 2. PAUL YOUNG BIO • CPA, CGA • SME – Financial Solutions • SME – FP&A • SME – Business Transformation • SME – AI and Data Sciences • SME – Risk Analytics • SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting • SME – Public Policy • Academia: PF1, MS2, FN2 and FA4
- 3. AGENDA • Global Growth • GDP / USA • GDP / Canada • USA and China (Financial Markets) • Stock Market • World-Wide Debt • World-Wide Real Estate • Summary
- 4. GDP / GLOBAL GROWTH Source - Scotiabank
- 5. GDP / USA
- 6. GDP / CANADA
- 7. USA AND CHINA FINANCIAL MARKETS Source - https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2020/02/us-and-china-injecting-hundreds-of-billions-into-financial- markets.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+blogspot%2Fadvancedna no+%28nextbigfuture%29
- 8. STOCK MARKET
- 10. WORLD-WIDE REAL ESTATE Source - https://www.wsj.com/articles/new-risk-to-world-economy- synchronized-housing-slowdown-11580121001
- 11. SUMMARY • World continues to experience slow economic growth • Little has been done to transformed WTO - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-next-for-for-global-trade- protectionism • High real estate prices have put more and more pressure on housing affordability • Government around the world struggle with high debt and deficits. Too many governments are not undertaking proper transformation as part of ensuring their program spending is sustainable. • Geo-political events continue to have an impact on the global economy • Coronavirus • Iran/USA • Latin America • Corrupt government around the world