Blog – GDP – Canada – September 2021
Real gross domestic product (GDP) edged up 0.1% in September, as declines largely concentrated in manufacturing, construction and retail trade were more than offset by broad-based expansions in services-producing industries as well as in mining, quarrying and oil and gas extraction.
Preliminary information indicates that real GDP rebounded in October, up 0.8% with increases in most sectors. Manufacturing led the growth after contracting in September due in part to the effects of the semiconductor shortage. Other notable increases were in public sector, construction, finance and insurance, and transportation and warehousing. Because of its preliminary nature, this estimate will be revised on December 23, with the release of the official GDP data for the October reference month.
Overall, 12 of 20 industrial sectors were up in September, with growth in services-producing industries (+0.4%) more than offsetting a decline in goods-producing industries (-0.6%).
The continued global shortage of semiconductors and other supply chain disruptions markedly affected manufacturing and sales activity at a number of automotive-related industries across different industrial sectors in September.
Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/211130/dq211130b-eng.htm
Summary:
Global economy continues to face many headwinds like new variants or climate change or supply chain disruption or labor shortages or housing costs or high inflation or other geopolitical, fiscal, and economic issues and threats.
1. Income inequality - https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/dec/07/global-inequality-western-imperialism-super-rich
2. Global Trade - https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2021/12/globalization-world-trade-bounce-back-from-covid-19/
3. Global economy - https://www.cityam.com/outlook-2022-global-economy/
4. Budget deficits - https://www.thebalance.com/u-s-federal-budget-breakdown-3305789
5. Geopolitical risks - https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/
6. Labor shortages - https://www.qualtrics.com/blog/labor-shortages/
7. Digital adoption - https://www.fiercetelecom.com/telecom/report-digital-transformation-spending-will-catapult-to-6-8-trillion-by-2023
8. Mega Trends - https://www.ishares.com/us/insights/megatrends-themes-to-watch
9. HR - https://www.gartner.com/en/human-resources/trends/top-priorities-for-hr-leaders
10. Retail spending - https://www.fitchratings.com/research/corporate-finance/fitch-ratings-2022-outlook-us-retail-06-12-2021
Market set prices for business
Canada goods producing sector jobs as % of total jobs has decreased since the Liberals took office in 2015
Liberals impose new small business tax rules (Passive Income and Income Sprinkling)
Government set policies like environment laws, labour laws, trade/investment, taxation
Canada new C69 will drag out approval for resource projects by years.
It is not one policy that drives FDI, but many policies
FDI has left Canada for other jurisdiction due to taxes and regulatory processes - http://business.financialpost.com/commodities/energy/canadian-drillers-moving-rigs-south-to-chase-better-prospects-in-texas-oilfields
Canada personal taxation rates have been increased over the past few years.
How to fix the Governance model for Government (Public Sector).pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Summary:
I have written many presentations and blogs over the years on transforming the public sector. The public sector needs to reform its model including stronger crisis and risk management planning and analysis, creating new a compliance group that ensures all oversight agencies are free from partisan policies, governments need to learn to live within its means, all program spending should undertake a program review, taxation focus should be on tax fairness, policies should address issues like wage reform or pension reform or other reforms.
Blog – GDP – Canada – September 2021
Real gross domestic product (GDP) edged up 0.1% in September, as declines largely concentrated in manufacturing, construction and retail trade were more than offset by broad-based expansions in services-producing industries as well as in mining, quarrying and oil and gas extraction.
Preliminary information indicates that real GDP rebounded in October, up 0.8% with increases in most sectors. Manufacturing led the growth after contracting in September due in part to the effects of the semiconductor shortage. Other notable increases were in public sector, construction, finance and insurance, and transportation and warehousing. Because of its preliminary nature, this estimate will be revised on December 23, with the release of the official GDP data for the October reference month.
Overall, 12 of 20 industrial sectors were up in September, with growth in services-producing industries (+0.4%) more than offsetting a decline in goods-producing industries (-0.6%).
The continued global shortage of semiconductors and other supply chain disruptions markedly affected manufacturing and sales activity at a number of automotive-related industries across different industrial sectors in September.
Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/211130/dq211130b-eng.htm
Summary:
Global economy continues to face many headwinds like new variants or climate change or supply chain disruption or labor shortages or housing costs or high inflation or other geopolitical, fiscal, and economic issues and threats.
1. Income inequality - https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/dec/07/global-inequality-western-imperialism-super-rich
2. Global Trade - https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2021/12/globalization-world-trade-bounce-back-from-covid-19/
3. Global economy - https://www.cityam.com/outlook-2022-global-economy/
4. Budget deficits - https://www.thebalance.com/u-s-federal-budget-breakdown-3305789
5. Geopolitical risks - https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/
6. Labor shortages - https://www.qualtrics.com/blog/labor-shortages/
7. Digital adoption - https://www.fiercetelecom.com/telecom/report-digital-transformation-spending-will-catapult-to-6-8-trillion-by-2023
8. Mega Trends - https://www.ishares.com/us/insights/megatrends-themes-to-watch
9. HR - https://www.gartner.com/en/human-resources/trends/top-priorities-for-hr-leaders
10. Retail spending - https://www.fitchratings.com/research/corporate-finance/fitch-ratings-2022-outlook-us-retail-06-12-2021
Market set prices for business
Canada goods producing sector jobs as % of total jobs has decreased since the Liberals took office in 2015
Liberals impose new small business tax rules (Passive Income and Income Sprinkling)
Government set policies like environment laws, labour laws, trade/investment, taxation
Canada new C69 will drag out approval for resource projects by years.
It is not one policy that drives FDI, but many policies
FDI has left Canada for other jurisdiction due to taxes and regulatory processes - http://business.financialpost.com/commodities/energy/canadian-drillers-moving-rigs-south-to-chase-better-prospects-in-texas-oilfields
Canada personal taxation rates have been increased over the past few years.
How to fix the Governance model for Government (Public Sector).pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Summary:
I have written many presentations and blogs over the years on transforming the public sector. The public sector needs to reform its model including stronger crisis and risk management planning and analysis, creating new a compliance group that ensures all oversight agencies are free from partisan policies, governments need to learn to live within its means, all program spending should undertake a program review, taxation focus should be on tax fairness, policies should address issues like wage reform or pension reform or other reforms.
Geopolitical Events| Vaccines and COVID19| Canada and the World| April 16, 2021paul young cpa, cga
Blog – Geopolitical Events and Risks – COVID19 – Canada and the World
1. Small and medium-size businesses - https://etradeforall.org/news/the-effects-of-the-covid-19-pandemic-on-small-businesses-and-global-value-chains/
2. https://www.ctvnews.ca/health/coronavirus/why-doctors-advocates-are-calling-for-permanent-paid-sick-days-for-canadian-workers-1.5384530 - EI and other programs would have to be revamped to handle sick leave - https://www.canada.ca/en/services/benefits/ei/ei-sickness.html
3. Inflation is growing - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/60-of-canadians-worried-about-inflation-in-2021-cibc-1.1541942
4. Mental health and lock downs - https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-56736593
5. Israel continues to open up - https://www.india.com/travel/articles/despite-surge-in-covid19-cases-israel-to-start-welcoming-international-tourists-in-may-know-details-4589583/
6. GDP risks - https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/economy/global-economic-outlook/weekly-update.html
7. China is about to hit 19% GDP growth - https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-economy-gdp-poll-idUSKBN2C20Q0
8. Climate change and G20 - https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/ahead-of-g20-india-slams-linking-climate-issues-to-economic-recovery-2412211
9. Automation / https://venturebeat.com/2021/04/11/automation-is-expanding-how-worried-should-we-be-about-jobs/
10. Bankruptcies - https://www.benefitspro.com/2021/04/14/corporate-bankruptcies-hit-precipitous-high-in-march-412-114629/?slreturn=20210317084133
Economic and Fiscal Scorecard| The United States| June 2021 and July 2021paul young cpa, cga
Blog – Canada – Economic and Fiscal Scorecard – June 2021 and July 2021
1. Inflation - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/inflation-expectations-spike-to-record-at-canadian-businesses-1.1644394
2. The Mfg. plan, should is based on four pillars – workforce, innovation, exports, and a net-zero strategy https://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/manufacturing/cme-manufacturers-call-for-a-concrete-plan-on-economic-recovery-272714/ You would think good-paying jobs would be Trudeau's focus, right? Nope attacking Harper is the focus. https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/manufacturing-canada-june-2021
3. https://www.nationalnewswatch.com/2021/08/30/food-processors-want-action-from-the-next-federal-government/#.YSzGdN8pDQx If food processors want better policies, then they should not be voting for either @theJagmeetSingh or @JustinTrudeau as all they know how to do is tax and spend! https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/agriculture-and-farm-equipment-sector-july-2021@CPC_HQ
4. Job vacancies - https://thoughtleadership.rbc.com/are-sky-high-job-vacancies-in-canada-around-for-a-while/
5. Circular economy - https://www.hilltimes.com/2021/08/25/canada-and-the-nordic-countries-are-allies-in-transitioning-to-a-circular-economy-envoys/312761
6. Housing - https://betterdwelling.com/canadian-housing-affordability-got-worse-under-trudeau-but-did-he-do-the-worst/
7. USA and Canada Trade - https://www.hilltimes.com/2021/08/30/reliance-on-u-s-remains-a-threat-to-canadian-economy/314006
8. Climate change - https://www.corporateknights.com/responsible-investing/why-are-canadian-pensions-risking-our-future-by-funding-fossil-fuel-expansion/
9. International support - https://www.international.gc.ca/gac-amc/publications/odaaa-lrmado/report-rapport-18-19.aspx?lang=eng
10. Infrastructure - https://www.hilltimes.com/2021/08/25/transportation-infrastructure-key-for-canadas-economic-recovery/313242
Canada inflation is now at 5.7% the highest level in over 40 years
The average price of a house is now over 812K
Household debt is at all-time high
Source - https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/canada-annual-inflation-rate-accelerates-to-5.7-in-february
Is $10 daycare going to address issues of Daycare in Canada paul young cpa, cga
The PQ model is flawed.
The availability of seats has been a problem
The oversight of private daycare by the provinces has been a problem
The government has announced $5B/year in new funding. There was a structure deficit of $12B before COVID19. So, how the government going to close the gap on this new program spending?
1. Fiscal - https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/a5f2119c-64e9-4f0b-b24d-60d51117db4d/
2. PBO and $10 Daycare –
3. Universal Child Care benefit - https://childcarenow.ca/2015/03/31/for-release-march-31-2015-pbo-report-confirms-that-the-universal-child-care-benefit-is-neither-child-care-nor-much-of-a-benefit/
4. Funding - https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/federal-budget-freeland-tasker-1.5991137
5. Benefits - https://www.oag-bvg.gc.ca/internet/English/parl_oag_202102_04_e_43750.html
6. Problems - https://nationalpost.com/opinion/danielle-kubes-universal-daycare-bad-for-women-children-and-the-economy
7. Child Poverty - https://www.fraserinstitute.org/studies/does-the-canada-child-benefit-actually-reduce-child-poverty
8. Funding - https://nationalpost.com/news/politics/national-child-care-system-may-balloon-in-cost-forcing-provinces-to-pitch-in-report-warns
9. Daycare - https://www.businessinsider.com/why-labor-shortage-daycares-lost-workers-childcare-2021-12
10. Wages are very low for ECE - https://www.glassdoor.ca/Salaries/ontario-early-childhood-educator-salary-SRCH_IL.0,7_IS4080_KO8,32.htm/
Kathleen Wynne Liberals vs Doug Ford Ontario PCs - March 2018paul young cpa, cga
People of Ontario have a tough choice to make in June 2018 as such this presentation will highlight areas of concerns for the people of Ontario
List of the top 10 Broken Promises: https://twitter.com/Kathleen_Wynne/status/959907698035785728 https://www.ontariopc.ca/10_liberal_big_ideas_10_broken_promises
https://www.investmentexecutive.com/news/research-and-markets/ontarios-debt-outlook-drops-to-negative-moodys/ or more failed promises -
Loss jobs - http://business.financialpost.com/opinion/75000-manufacturing-jobs-lost-thats-the-price-of-ontarios-electricity-disaster
Ontario income barely grew in 10 years - http://business.financialpost.com/news/economy/canadian-median-income-growth-sluggish-over-past-10-years-statscan-figures-show
Ontario need a change - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/ontario-liberals-kathleen-wynne-and-dalton-mcguinty-era-january-2018
Bottom line
Ontario needs a change in government. Wynne listens to no one but herself. Wynne’s continues to introduced bad after bad policies that only hurt people of Ontario
Wages and Job Vacancies (Job Quality) - Canada - October 2021 paul young cpa, cga
Blog – Job Quality and Wages – Canada – October 2021
Wages are becoming stagnant
Public sector jobs continue to outpace private sector job growth
Goods-producing continues to lags other sectors in terms of job growth
1. Wages - https://financialpost.com/news/economy/immigrant-influx-is-stunting-wage-growth-in-canadian-recovery
2. Skills gaps - https://www.wellandtribune.ca/ts/news/canada/2021/11/25/ontario-wants-young-people-to-help-fix-trades-labour-shortage.html
3. College grads - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/new-college-grads-are-making-gains-in-employment-and-wages-during-pandemic-1.1677685
4. Automation - https://www.mindstick.com/news/945/automation-is-future-robotisation-is-conqueror-of-modern-employment
5. Automation and fiscal policy - https://ceo-na.com/opinion/sharing-the-gains-of-automation-the-role-of-fiscal-policy/
6. Jobs in demand - https://financialpost.com/personal-finance/business-essentials/coding-is-one-of-the-most-in-demand-and-highest-paying-jobs-in-canada
7. Jobs in demand - https://www.slice.ca/10-canadian-careers-thatll-be-in-demand-in-2020-and-after/
8. Inflation - https://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/article-opposition-grills-trudeau-on-inflation-housing-as-economic-issues-top/
9. Public sector - https://theorca.ca/resident-pod/public-sector-booming-or-ballooning/
10. Digital adoption - https://hbr.org/2021/11/3-tactics-to-accelerate-a-digital-transformation or https://www.techradar.com/features/accelerated-digital-adoption-brings-a-new-role-for-tech-leaders
Since Nov/15 there has been a new government. The new government has not addressed many issue facing Canadians. The next government will need to revisit all aspects of government as part of revamping domestic and foreign policies that better support Canadians domestically and globally.
Many different groups will write paper and/or articles on government from their perspective. It is important for readers to review all sources when it comes to debating various government policies
Justin Trudeau constantly calls out the Harper era like he did in 2015. The problem is Trudeau never discuss details as the details tell a different picture.
Geopolitical Risks - Pandemic - Canada and the World - WE March 25 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
More and more countries are lifting vaccine mandates.
The supply chain continues to face many challenges.
Immune and gene therapy continue to explore at different ways to treat diseases.
Little has been said about the need for all levels of government to have better crisis and risk management policies and procedures.
WHO governance model needs to have more audits as part of ensuring steps are taken to mitigate future pandemics.
Human Capital and Workforce Planning| Canada and the Worldpaul young cpa, cga
Human capital management is becoming a critical issue for both the private and public sectors. I have written many blogs and presentations on human capital. The fix is not the difficult as it relates to the training and development of employees for current and future jobs. The old saying “Quality work demands quality people and product”
1. Wages - https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/restoring-america/community-family/should-america-follow-canadas-low-wage-high-immigration-model
2. November 2021 jobs - https://ca.news.yahoo.com/november-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-144428419.html
3. AI and jobs - https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/biz/2021/11/488_319499.html?tw
4. 2022 Automation - https://www.uipath.com/blog/automation/top-automation-trends-2022
5. Digital - https://www.zdnet.com/article/top-7-trends-shaping-digital-transformation-in-2022/
6. Digital - https://venturebeat.com/2021/11/06/report-only-7-of-it-decision-makers-say-theyre-equipped-for-digital-transformation/
7. Skills trades - https://www.northernontariobusiness.com/industry-news/training-education/province-announces-90m-to-promote-skilled-trades-4798564
8. Wages - https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/10/inflation-has-taken-away-all-the-wage-gains-for-workers-and-then-some.html
9. Business investment - https://www.conference-board.org/research/us-forecast
10. Business investment - https://www.reuters.com/markets/rates-bonds/australia-q3-business-investment-slips-outlook-surprisingly-resilient-2021-11-25/
Blog – What is next for the Global Economy – August 2021
1. Global GDP - https://blogs.imf.org/2021/07/27/drawing-further-apart-widening-gaps-in-the-global-recovery/
2. Global Commodities - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/here-s-who-wins-and-who-loses-from-the-surge-in-commodity-prices-1.1634711
3. Oil - https://www.wsj.com/articles/chevron-posts-highest-profit-in-a-year-as-oil-demand-rebounds-11627640325
4. Rio Tinto - https://www.wsj.com/articles/rio-tinto-net-profit-jumps-on-boom-in-commodity-prices-11627459592
5. Nasdaq - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/nasdaq-15-000-is-near-do-i-hear-30-000-11627374665
6. Pacific Rim - https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2021/jul/27/the-us-should-rejoin-the-trans-pacific-partnership/
7. Top AI Apps - https://www.globaltechoutlook.com/top-essential-ai-data-management-apps-for-you-to-avail-in-2021/
8. Technology outlook - https://www.simplilearn.com/top-technology-trends-and-jobs-article
9. Food and Crops Output - https://www.producer.com/markets/
10. Food and Climate - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/climate-change-and-conflict-are-fueling-poverty-and-food-prices-un-chief-says
11. Water - https://www.bbc.com/news/business-57847654
Geopolitical Events| Vaccines and COVID19| Canada and the World| April 16, 2021paul young cpa, cga
Blog – Geopolitical Events and Risks – COVID19 – Canada and the World
1. Small and medium-size businesses - https://etradeforall.org/news/the-effects-of-the-covid-19-pandemic-on-small-businesses-and-global-value-chains/
2. https://www.ctvnews.ca/health/coronavirus/why-doctors-advocates-are-calling-for-permanent-paid-sick-days-for-canadian-workers-1.5384530 - EI and other programs would have to be revamped to handle sick leave - https://www.canada.ca/en/services/benefits/ei/ei-sickness.html
3. Inflation is growing - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/60-of-canadians-worried-about-inflation-in-2021-cibc-1.1541942
4. Mental health and lock downs - https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-56736593
5. Israel continues to open up - https://www.india.com/travel/articles/despite-surge-in-covid19-cases-israel-to-start-welcoming-international-tourists-in-may-know-details-4589583/
6. GDP risks - https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/economy/global-economic-outlook/weekly-update.html
7. China is about to hit 19% GDP growth - https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-economy-gdp-poll-idUSKBN2C20Q0
8. Climate change and G20 - https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/ahead-of-g20-india-slams-linking-climate-issues-to-economic-recovery-2412211
9. Automation / https://venturebeat.com/2021/04/11/automation-is-expanding-how-worried-should-we-be-about-jobs/
10. Bankruptcies - https://www.benefitspro.com/2021/04/14/corporate-bankruptcies-hit-precipitous-high-in-march-412-114629/?slreturn=20210317084133
Economic and Fiscal Scorecard| The United States| June 2021 and July 2021paul young cpa, cga
Blog – Canada – Economic and Fiscal Scorecard – June 2021 and July 2021
1. Inflation - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/inflation-expectations-spike-to-record-at-canadian-businesses-1.1644394
2. The Mfg. plan, should is based on four pillars – workforce, innovation, exports, and a net-zero strategy https://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/manufacturing/cme-manufacturers-call-for-a-concrete-plan-on-economic-recovery-272714/ You would think good-paying jobs would be Trudeau's focus, right? Nope attacking Harper is the focus. https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/manufacturing-canada-june-2021
3. https://www.nationalnewswatch.com/2021/08/30/food-processors-want-action-from-the-next-federal-government/#.YSzGdN8pDQx If food processors want better policies, then they should not be voting for either @theJagmeetSingh or @JustinTrudeau as all they know how to do is tax and spend! https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/agriculture-and-farm-equipment-sector-july-2021@CPC_HQ
4. Job vacancies - https://thoughtleadership.rbc.com/are-sky-high-job-vacancies-in-canada-around-for-a-while/
5. Circular economy - https://www.hilltimes.com/2021/08/25/canada-and-the-nordic-countries-are-allies-in-transitioning-to-a-circular-economy-envoys/312761
6. Housing - https://betterdwelling.com/canadian-housing-affordability-got-worse-under-trudeau-but-did-he-do-the-worst/
7. USA and Canada Trade - https://www.hilltimes.com/2021/08/30/reliance-on-u-s-remains-a-threat-to-canadian-economy/314006
8. Climate change - https://www.corporateknights.com/responsible-investing/why-are-canadian-pensions-risking-our-future-by-funding-fossil-fuel-expansion/
9. International support - https://www.international.gc.ca/gac-amc/publications/odaaa-lrmado/report-rapport-18-19.aspx?lang=eng
10. Infrastructure - https://www.hilltimes.com/2021/08/25/transportation-infrastructure-key-for-canadas-economic-recovery/313242
Canada inflation is now at 5.7% the highest level in over 40 years
The average price of a house is now over 812K
Household debt is at all-time high
Source - https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/canada-annual-inflation-rate-accelerates-to-5.7-in-february
Is $10 daycare going to address issues of Daycare in Canada paul young cpa, cga
The PQ model is flawed.
The availability of seats has been a problem
The oversight of private daycare by the provinces has been a problem
The government has announced $5B/year in new funding. There was a structure deficit of $12B before COVID19. So, how the government going to close the gap on this new program spending?
1. Fiscal - https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/a5f2119c-64e9-4f0b-b24d-60d51117db4d/
2. PBO and $10 Daycare –
3. Universal Child Care benefit - https://childcarenow.ca/2015/03/31/for-release-march-31-2015-pbo-report-confirms-that-the-universal-child-care-benefit-is-neither-child-care-nor-much-of-a-benefit/
4. Funding - https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/federal-budget-freeland-tasker-1.5991137
5. Benefits - https://www.oag-bvg.gc.ca/internet/English/parl_oag_202102_04_e_43750.html
6. Problems - https://nationalpost.com/opinion/danielle-kubes-universal-daycare-bad-for-women-children-and-the-economy
7. Child Poverty - https://www.fraserinstitute.org/studies/does-the-canada-child-benefit-actually-reduce-child-poverty
8. Funding - https://nationalpost.com/news/politics/national-child-care-system-may-balloon-in-cost-forcing-provinces-to-pitch-in-report-warns
9. Daycare - https://www.businessinsider.com/why-labor-shortage-daycares-lost-workers-childcare-2021-12
10. Wages are very low for ECE - https://www.glassdoor.ca/Salaries/ontario-early-childhood-educator-salary-SRCH_IL.0,7_IS4080_KO8,32.htm/
Kathleen Wynne Liberals vs Doug Ford Ontario PCs - March 2018paul young cpa, cga
People of Ontario have a tough choice to make in June 2018 as such this presentation will highlight areas of concerns for the people of Ontario
List of the top 10 Broken Promises: https://twitter.com/Kathleen_Wynne/status/959907698035785728 https://www.ontariopc.ca/10_liberal_big_ideas_10_broken_promises
https://www.investmentexecutive.com/news/research-and-markets/ontarios-debt-outlook-drops-to-negative-moodys/ or more failed promises -
Loss jobs - http://business.financialpost.com/opinion/75000-manufacturing-jobs-lost-thats-the-price-of-ontarios-electricity-disaster
Ontario income barely grew in 10 years - http://business.financialpost.com/news/economy/canadian-median-income-growth-sluggish-over-past-10-years-statscan-figures-show
Ontario need a change - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/ontario-liberals-kathleen-wynne-and-dalton-mcguinty-era-january-2018
Bottom line
Ontario needs a change in government. Wynne listens to no one but herself. Wynne’s continues to introduced bad after bad policies that only hurt people of Ontario
Wages and Job Vacancies (Job Quality) - Canada - October 2021 paul young cpa, cga
Blog – Job Quality and Wages – Canada – October 2021
Wages are becoming stagnant
Public sector jobs continue to outpace private sector job growth
Goods-producing continues to lags other sectors in terms of job growth
1. Wages - https://financialpost.com/news/economy/immigrant-influx-is-stunting-wage-growth-in-canadian-recovery
2. Skills gaps - https://www.wellandtribune.ca/ts/news/canada/2021/11/25/ontario-wants-young-people-to-help-fix-trades-labour-shortage.html
3. College grads - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/new-college-grads-are-making-gains-in-employment-and-wages-during-pandemic-1.1677685
4. Automation - https://www.mindstick.com/news/945/automation-is-future-robotisation-is-conqueror-of-modern-employment
5. Automation and fiscal policy - https://ceo-na.com/opinion/sharing-the-gains-of-automation-the-role-of-fiscal-policy/
6. Jobs in demand - https://financialpost.com/personal-finance/business-essentials/coding-is-one-of-the-most-in-demand-and-highest-paying-jobs-in-canada
7. Jobs in demand - https://www.slice.ca/10-canadian-careers-thatll-be-in-demand-in-2020-and-after/
8. Inflation - https://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/article-opposition-grills-trudeau-on-inflation-housing-as-economic-issues-top/
9. Public sector - https://theorca.ca/resident-pod/public-sector-booming-or-ballooning/
10. Digital adoption - https://hbr.org/2021/11/3-tactics-to-accelerate-a-digital-transformation or https://www.techradar.com/features/accelerated-digital-adoption-brings-a-new-role-for-tech-leaders
Since Nov/15 there has been a new government. The new government has not addressed many issue facing Canadians. The next government will need to revisit all aspects of government as part of revamping domestic and foreign policies that better support Canadians domestically and globally.
Many different groups will write paper and/or articles on government from their perspective. It is important for readers to review all sources when it comes to debating various government policies
Justin Trudeau constantly calls out the Harper era like he did in 2015. The problem is Trudeau never discuss details as the details tell a different picture.
Geopolitical Risks - Pandemic - Canada and the World - WE March 25 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
More and more countries are lifting vaccine mandates.
The supply chain continues to face many challenges.
Immune and gene therapy continue to explore at different ways to treat diseases.
Little has been said about the need for all levels of government to have better crisis and risk management policies and procedures.
WHO governance model needs to have more audits as part of ensuring steps are taken to mitigate future pandemics.
Human Capital and Workforce Planning| Canada and the Worldpaul young cpa, cga
Human capital management is becoming a critical issue for both the private and public sectors. I have written many blogs and presentations on human capital. The fix is not the difficult as it relates to the training and development of employees for current and future jobs. The old saying “Quality work demands quality people and product”
1. Wages - https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/restoring-america/community-family/should-america-follow-canadas-low-wage-high-immigration-model
2. November 2021 jobs - https://ca.news.yahoo.com/november-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-144428419.html
3. AI and jobs - https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/biz/2021/11/488_319499.html?tw
4. 2022 Automation - https://www.uipath.com/blog/automation/top-automation-trends-2022
5. Digital - https://www.zdnet.com/article/top-7-trends-shaping-digital-transformation-in-2022/
6. Digital - https://venturebeat.com/2021/11/06/report-only-7-of-it-decision-makers-say-theyre-equipped-for-digital-transformation/
7. Skills trades - https://www.northernontariobusiness.com/industry-news/training-education/province-announces-90m-to-promote-skilled-trades-4798564
8. Wages - https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/10/inflation-has-taken-away-all-the-wage-gains-for-workers-and-then-some.html
9. Business investment - https://www.conference-board.org/research/us-forecast
10. Business investment - https://www.reuters.com/markets/rates-bonds/australia-q3-business-investment-slips-outlook-surprisingly-resilient-2021-11-25/
Blog – What is next for the Global Economy – August 2021
1. Global GDP - https://blogs.imf.org/2021/07/27/drawing-further-apart-widening-gaps-in-the-global-recovery/
2. Global Commodities - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/here-s-who-wins-and-who-loses-from-the-surge-in-commodity-prices-1.1634711
3. Oil - https://www.wsj.com/articles/chevron-posts-highest-profit-in-a-year-as-oil-demand-rebounds-11627640325
4. Rio Tinto - https://www.wsj.com/articles/rio-tinto-net-profit-jumps-on-boom-in-commodity-prices-11627459592
5. Nasdaq - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/nasdaq-15-000-is-near-do-i-hear-30-000-11627374665
6. Pacific Rim - https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2021/jul/27/the-us-should-rejoin-the-trans-pacific-partnership/
7. Top AI Apps - https://www.globaltechoutlook.com/top-essential-ai-data-management-apps-for-you-to-avail-in-2021/
8. Technology outlook - https://www.simplilearn.com/top-technology-trends-and-jobs-article
9. Food and Crops Output - https://www.producer.com/markets/
10. Food and Climate - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/climate-change-and-conflict-are-fueling-poverty-and-food-prices-un-chief-says
11. Water - https://www.bbc.com/news/business-57847654
Summary:
Canada’s economic expansion showed signs of moderation in May and June, pulling back from a strong start to the year in the face of high inflation and rising interest rates.
Output in June was on track for a small increase of 0.1 per cent after stalling in May, Statistics Canada said on Friday. That follows three months of strong growth between February and April that helped fuel a robust expansion in the second quarter, which the agency estimated at about 4.6 per cent annualized.
The results show a picture of an economy that was unscathed from the global slowdown in the first part of the year but may be entering a period of much slower growth.
The Bank of Canada has raised its benchmark policy rate by more than two percentage points since March to slow four-decade high inflation, and is expected to continue hiking by at least another half-percentage point at its next policy decision in September
Source - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/canada-s-economy-stalled-in-may-1.1798830
What is next for Monetary Policies - Canada - September 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Blog – What is next for Monetary Policies – Canada – September 2022
Canada has struggled with productivity issues for over 20 years. The liberals have done little address productivity including making changes to tax code related to capital cost allowance, R&D credits, training credits, etc.
Canada lock down strategy and stimulus has led to higher inflation. Liberals never had a plan to pull back on the stimulus through targeted measures that would better support improving supply chain, productivity, skills gap, and innovation
Canadian dollar has hit a two-year low,
Canada housing market was artificially kept high for years. The housing prices continue to fall.
Canada needs to revamp its tax and regulatory policies as part of getting goods out of the ground to market
What is next for Monetary Policies - Canada - October 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Blog – What is next for Monetary Policies – Canada – October 2022
Inflation especially food costs continue to impact global consumers. Countries like Canada have targeted an inflation rate of 2.1%. The current inflation rate is about 6.9%, or about three times the target rate. Canada is schedule to hike payroll taxes and carbon taxes in 2023 - https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/newfoundland-labrador/ken-mcdonald-carbon-tax-exemption-home-heating-1.6628460
Housing prices continue to fall. Housing affordability continues to be challenge for people around the world - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/the-daily-chase-looking-ahead-toward-boc-announcement-canopy-looks-to-grow-u-s-footprint-1.1836958
Slower demand has improved port throughput, but there are still issues with lack of capacity to manage exports and imports. https://www.manilatimes.net/2022/10/26/business/maritime/iaph-takes-steps-to-close-port-gaps/1863673
Canada was seeing slow growth back in 2019. The Liberals policies did little to address issues with innovation, skills, productivity, regulations, and tax reforms. Liberals decided to focus on bigger government! https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/201-election-canada-and-world-slow-economic-growth-august-2019
BOC and other reserve banks need to think extremely hard about rising of interest rates. The threat of global recession grows each day. BOC would be better off to pause interest rates and look at other areas of policies as part of managing monetary government. The federal government should be focus on drastic policy changes including pausing all new tax hikes including hikes to CPP, EI, and carbon tax. The focus should be on addressing issues with port capacity, promoting more innovation, productivity improvements, skills gap, housing supply, and streamlining of taxation and regulations as it relates to the goods-producing sector.
Blog – What is next for the Global Economy – October 2022
The global economy faces many challenges including high inflation and geopolitical risks.
Global debt levels are a deep concern for central banks as interest rates continue to rise
All levels of government need to re-think their progressive agenda. More needs to be done to reign in government spending. More emphasis needs to be on digital government and value for money as it relates to program spending and performance
Closing tax loopholes should be a priority for all levels of government as part bringing in tax fairness
Countries like Canada need to do more to streamline their regulatory process as part of getting goods out of the ground to market.
Farmers need more policy support as part of adopting vertical and expert farming practices. Food security and costs continue to be an issue for governments around the world
Power grid will require trillions of investments as it moves to net zero. Low electricity rates are likely a thing of the past. The capital recovery by electrical power generators will see a rise in rates.
The world needs to find ways to bring peace to world. United Nations needs to do a better job working with countries to resolved political issues with countries.
Bank of Canada - What is next for Monetary Policies - June 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Last month Deputy Governor Gravelle described the bank’s 1% overnight rate as “too stimulative” and the same could be said of today’s 1.5%. Indeed, the policy statement noted that with the economy in excess demand and inflation well above target and still yet to peak, “interest rates will need to rise further.” It finished by saying the bank is “prepared to act more forcefully if needed”—that’s not new language for the BoC but it’s new to the policy statement.
Source - https://ca.rbcwealthmanagement.com/103.branch/blog/3368558-Bank-of-Canada-hikes-interest-rates-another-50-bps-and-isnt-done-yet
Summary:
Canada hit a target of 401K in new immigrants. There are systemic issues facing natural resources, construction, manufacturing, and retail sector of the economy.
More and more jobs will be automated.
There are issues with cost and availability of housing.
Canada continues to be hammered by high inflation partially driven by green policies.
1. Wages and Canada - https://www.benefitscanada.com/news/bencan/survey-says-wages-set-to-rise-2-7-in-2022-as-inflation-hits-new-high/
2. Housing Costs - Affordability has become much tougher due to the rapid escalation of prices during the pandemic. That said, Canada has in its past managed to weather a situation where the cost-of-living situation was even worse without seeing a severe retrenchment in activity. And, both new and resale markets remain drum-tight, suggesting another strong year for price growth is in the cards for 2022. https://economics.td.com/ca-housing-rate-sensitivity
3. Job Vacancies – Nearly 50% of the jobs pay less than the average wage - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/211220/dq211220a-eng.htm
4. Many jobs could be automated - https://www.unitrends.com/blog/technology-5-it-trends-to-watch-in-2022
5. Canada trade surpluses has been led by the natural resources sector. There are issues with natural resources sector as the Liberals continue to over tax and regulate the natural resources sector - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/merchandise-trade-surplus-3-1b-in-november-statistics-canada-reports-1.1703909 and https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-next-for-the-natural-resources-sector
6. Small businesses continue to struggle with new restrictions imposed on them by the government - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-next-for-the-natural-resources-sector
7. Skills gap - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-next-for-the-natural-resources-sector
8. Many government programs like healthcare have issues with their effectiveness - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/fiscal-management-public-sector-canada-250858856
9. Green Inflation - https://www.reuters.com/business/environment/canadas-shift-net-zero-emissions-likely-drive-higher-inflation-2022-01-13/
10. Manufacturing sector - https://www.fxempire.com/macro/canada/manufacturing-pmi
Bank of Canada - What is next for Monetary Policies - April 2022 (Revised Mar...paul young cpa, cga
Canada inflation rate hit nearly 7% for March 2022. Canada has one of the highest inflation rates in the G7.
Higher interest rates mean less cash for retail sales
Government continues to push their green agenda driving more green inflation
Both services-producing (+0.6%) and goods-producing (+0.5%) industries were up, as 17 of 20 industrial sectors posted increases in November.
Advance information indicates that real GDP for December was essentially unchanged. Widespread increases led by the manufacturing, agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting, utilities and wholesale trade sectors were offset by declines in the accommodation and food services, mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction and retail trade sectors. This advance information for real GDP by industry indicates a 1.6% uptick in the fourth quarter of 2021 and a rebound of 4.9% in the year following the pandemic-induced decline observed in 2020. Given their preliminary nature, these estimates will be updated on March 1, 2022 with the release of the official GDP data for December and the fourth quarter of 2021.
Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/220201/dq220201a-eng.htm
1. Inflation and Canada – https://www.fool.ca/2022/01/31/holding-onto-tonnes-of-cash-heres-how-much-of-it-that-inflation-would-destroy-in-a-decade/
2. Housing - https://financialpost.com/real-estate/busting-the-myth-of-canadas-million-or-more-vacant-homes
3. Supply chain task force - https://canada.autonews.com/manufacturing/supply-chain-issues-be-tackled-new-federal-task-force
4. Mining - https://miningglobal.com/top10/top-10-countries-based-on-natural-resources
5. Electrical vehicles - https://ipolitics.ca/2022/01/31/lobby-wrap-auto-industry-wants-training-as-ev-sales-rise/
6. Middle class - https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2022/01/31/lost-factory-jobs-make-harder-move-into-middle-class-report-says/9213089002/?gnt-cfr=1
7. Consumer spending - https://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/weaker-u-s-consumer-spending-rising-inflation-pose-dilemma-for-fed/
8. Commodity prices - https://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/commodity-prices-likely-to-be-hit-by-slowdown-before-end-of-2023/
9. ESG - https://www.reuters.com/business/sustainable-business/euroclear-teams-up-with-fintech-expand-esg-services-2022-01-31/
10. Insurance risk - https://www.insurancebusinessmag.com/us/news/environmental/environmental-insurance--what-are-the-concerns-323760.aspx
11. Geopolitical Risks - https://www.reuters.com/business/rising-geopolitical-tension-demand-send-oil-price-outlook-soaring-2022-01-31/
12. 2022-2023 – Budget - https://globalnews.ca/news/8585003/federal-budget-plan-2022/
Fiscal and Economic Scorecard - Canada - January 2022 and February 2022 .pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Blog – How is Canada’s Economy performing for February 2022 and January 2022
Here is my latest report on the health of Canadian economy. Chrystia Freeland continues to say the fundamentals are strong. If Ms. Freeland is referring to debt driven economy, then she is right. There are many challenges facing the Canadian economy:
a) Low productivity
b) Inability to develop natural resources in a sustainable way
c) The new climate change policies that are more about optics than sound policies
d) Food and energy crisis
e) High inflation
f) High household debt
g) Skills gaps and more business automation
h) Issues with attracting FDI
i) Lack of innovation investment within Canada
Global Housing Market Analysis and Commentary- September 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Summary:
Homebuilders are walking a fine line when it comes to new projects as high mortgage rates curb demand.
New residential construction, including single-family homes and multifamily, dropped 11.3% month over month in August to 1.283 million units on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to Census Bureau data released Tuesday. That's down 14.8% compared with a year ago and well below the 1.44 million units economists surveyed by Bloomberg projected.
But authorized residential permits — an indicator of potential future activity — rose 6.9% to 1.543 million permits in August from July. That was still down 2.7% from last August. Single-family permits, though, were up 2% from July to 949,000. Multifamily permits came in at 535,000.
The data reflects two opposing forces builders are trying to balance: the ongoing need for new construction to fill in limited inventory and elevated mortgage rates that are hurting their biggest customer right now, the first-time homebuyer.
"High mortgage rates are clearly taking a toll on builder confidence and consumer demand, as a growing number of buyers are electing to defer a home purchase until long-term rates move lower," Robert Dietz, chief economist of the National Association of Home Builders, said Monday in a press release after builder confidence dropped for the second straight month.
Source: https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/homebuilders-face-a-tough-balancing-act-on-new-construction-amid-high-mortgage-rates-130744368.html
Blog – What is next for the Mining Sector – September 2023
The mining sector provides critical material that support solar, wind, and lithium-ion batteries as part of the green transition. https://www.iea.org/news/critical-minerals-market-sees-unprecedented-growth-as-clean-energy-demand-drives-strong-increase-in-investment
The mining sector products play a key role with the global GDP - https://www.yicaiglobal.com/news/global-mining-industry-value-was-69-of-world-gdp-last-year-china-says
Mining practices need to be sustainable including following all ESG policies - https://www.linkedin.com/advice/1/how-can-you-monitor-sustainable-mining-practices
Other links and sources –
Lithium Supply and Price - https://zbr.com.mx/en/sin-categoria-es/lithium-prices-fall-44-in-china-due-to-lack-of-demand/138168/
Cobalt - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/mahmut-karada%C5%9F-a2b7a5151_china-exportrestrictions-gallium-activity-7082603182589157376-Zrty/?trk=public_profile_like_view
Nickel https://www.eureporter.co/business/2023/09/15/stanislav-kondrashov-from-telf-ag-nickel-prices-outlook-remains-positive/
Iron-ore - https://www.brecorder.com/news/40263584/sgx-iron-ore-set-for-best-week-in-3-months
TD Bank / Metals - https://www.tdsecurities.com/ca/en/setting-the-stage-for-gold-outlook
Biodiversity / Mining - https://worldcrunch.com/green/lithium-green-energy-argentina-indigenous
ESG - https://iriscarbon.com/the-added-value-of-integrated-esg-reporting-a-threefold-framework/
Blog – Manufacturing Shipments and Orders – The United States – August 2023
Summary:
New orders for manufacturing technology in the United States totaled $353.9 million in July 2023, as per the latest report by AMT – The Association For Manufacturing Technology. This figure marked a 12.4% decline from June 2023 but remained only 10.5% lower than July 2022. Year-to-date orders amounted to $2.83 billion, reflecting a 12.7% decrease compared to the same period the previous year.
Douglas K. Woods, President of AMT, noted that July is typically a slower month for manufacturing technology orders, so a slight drop was expected. However, he pointed out a notable trend: over the last two months, the year-to-date order gap has narrowed during historically slow periods. While job shops have seen decreased orders, other industries that benefited from reshoring or government investments have helped fill the gap.
Among specific sectors, job shops, the largest customer segment, placed their lowest total monthly orders since August 2020. In contrast, metal valve manufacturers recorded their third-highest monthly order value on record, last seen in September 2018, making up nearly 5% of the total manufacturing technology order value for July 2023. Manufacturers of motor vehicle transmissions continued to order machinery at an elevated pace. However, the aerospace industry continued to order below its early 2022 peaks, with hopes that recent projects like the federal government's $1.5 billion investment in communications satellites might reverse this trend.
Source: https://www.sme.org/technologies/articles/2023/september/u.s.-manufacturing-technology-orders-dip-in-july-but-show-resilience-amid-economic-uncertainty
Stock Market Analysis and Commentary for WE September 15 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Blog – Analysis and Commentary – Stock Market – WE September 15 2023
Summary:
Stocks fell Friday as investors wrap up a volatile week ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting.
The Dow Jones Industrials tumbled 288.87 points to close out Friday and the week at 34,618.24. At its lows, it completely wiped out Thursday's 332-point rally.
The S&P 500 index sank 54.78 points, or 1.2%, to 4,450.32.
The NASDAQ index plunged 217.72 points, or 1.6%, to 13,708.33.
The Dow held onto a winning week. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ both closed out the week with losses.
Information technology was the worst-performing sector in the S&P 500, down nearly 2%. Adobe shares fell more than 4% even after the software firm posted better-than-expected quarterly results. Shares of Arm Holdings were lower one day after its successful public debut.
Auto stocks General Motors and Stellantis N.V. were higher Friday, while Ford Motor was about flat. Thousands of members of the United Auto Workers went on strike after failing to reach a deal with the automakers Thursday night.
Elsewhere, Lennar shares slid 3%. The home construction firm posted third-quarter results that beat on the top and bottom lines.
On the economic front, the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment survey showed one-year inflation expectations dropped to 3.1% in
September, tied for the lowest since January 2021. Also, the five-year outlook fell to 2.7%, matching its lowest since December 2020.
Electricity Analysis - Canada and the OECD - June 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Summary:
Over three-quarters of the world’s total coal-generated electricity is consumed in just three countries. China is the top user of coal, making up 53.3% of global coal demand, followed by India at 13.6%, and the U.S. at 8.9%.
Burning coal—for electricity, as well as metallurgy and cement production—is the world’s single largest source of CO2 emissions. Nevertheless, its use in electricity generation has actually grown 91.2% since 1997, the year when the first global climate agreement was signed in Kyoto, Japan.
However, even as non-renewables enjoy their time in the sun, their days could be numbered.
In 2022, renewables, such as wind, solar, and geothermal, represented 14.4% of total electricity generation with an extraordinary annual growth rate of 14.7%, driven by big gains in solar and wind. Non-renewables, by contrast, only managed an anemic 0.4%.
The authors of the Statistical Review do not include hydroelectric in their renewable calculations, even though many others, including the International Energy Agency, consider it a “well-established renewable power technology.”
With hydroelectric moved into the renewable column, together they accounted for over 29.3% of all electricity generated in 2022, with an annual growth rate of 7.4%.
Source - https://energynow.ca/2023/09/infographic-what-electricity-sources-power-the-world-see-them-here-visual-capitalist/
Stock Market Analysis and Commentary for WE September 9 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
What did the markets tell us this week?
1. Housing supply and costs continue to plague countries around the world.
2. Gasoline prices are on the rise that puts pressure on central banks ability to hit their core inflation targets.
3. ESG adoption by both the private and public sector is leading to both funding concerns and the overall cost of implementing ESG policies.
4. Adopting technology as part of increasing food production is facing both capital and operational funding concerns.
5. Strike at LNG facility in Australia is leading to concerns around a supply chain disruption of natural gas for EMEA and Asia.
6. The threat of China dumping batteries into markets - https://www.ft.com/content/b6038e51-7b5b-4f97-a5da-9202e71562fc
7. Adoption of generative AI has been facing many challenges related to security, privacy, and ethical issues.
8. Lack of biodiversity planning as part of the overall climate mitigation including sustainable mining, forestry, oil, gas, agriculture, and housing
9. Geopolitical issues continue to impact supply chain.
10. The concerns of recession continue to plague both the private and public sector.
11. Productivity issues continue to plague governments around the world.
Global (Mining Oil and Gas Forestry and Agriculture) Analysis and Commentary ...paul young cpa, cga
The mining, oil, gas, agriculture, forestry, and mining continue to face environmental, social, and governance policy review including reporting of key metrics as part of ESG reporting cycle.
There is more focus on profitability and investment returns as part of the integrated planning and reporting cycle.
Summary:
The global economy faces what at least one forecaster is calling a mild trade recession as shipments from China slump and German factories downshift.
China’s export declines extended into August, though there were signs that the worst of a world trade slowdown may be over for the leading exporter.
Overseas shipments from China fell 8.8% in dollar terms from a year earlier while imports contracted 7.3%, both better than economists’ estimates and significantly less severe than July’s downturn.
Other data have suggested trade may be stabilizing after weakening for most of this year. Exports from South Korea also declined at a more moderate pace in August than the previous month.
Source: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2023-09-07/supply-chain-latest-world-trade-faces-a-shallow-recession?srnd=economics-v2
Additional sources and links:
Lithium - https://source.benchmarkminerals.com/article/falling-lithium-prices-challenge-potential-cost-advantages-of-sodium-batteries
Oil Production - https://www.cnn.com/2023/09/06/business/oil-price-goldman-sachs/index.html
Natural gas - https://www.fxstreet.com/news/natural-gas-holds-up-as-markets-in-limbo-over-strikes-202309070956
Lumber - https://www.fastmarkets.com/insights/sawmill-capacity-closures-reshape-us-lumber-supply
Critical metals - https://www.wasterecyclingmag.ca/feature/how-recycling-could-solve-the-shortage-of-minerals-essential-to-clean-energy/
Agriculture - https://www.morningagclips.com/economists-forecast-positive-end-of-year-crop-outlook-despite-warmer-midwestern-climate/
ESG - https://www.skadden.com/insights/publications/2023/09/the-informed-board/the-eus-new-esg-disclosure-rules
Ports - https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/HAPAG-LLOYD-AG-24857717/news/Hapag-Lloyd-chief-warns-of-rougher-seas-ahead-for-container-shipping-44789017/
Top destination for reshoring - https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/economy/2023/08/29/uae-in-top-10-most-powerful-passports-for-investment-opportunity/
Global Trade - https://phys.org/news/2023-09-opinion-broke-global-climate-finish.html
What is next for the Forestry Sector and Lumber Production - September 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Lumber production in Canada continues to face many hurdles
Canada forest management practices are some of the bests in the world
Canada planted over 440M in seedlings back in 2018. It is now 2022 which means close 2M seedlings have been planted.
All levels need to put more focus on urban and rural planning solutions
More work including spending on wildfire and forest fire mitigation
Canada and USA need to find a path forward to resolve the softwood lumber dispute
There needs to a better balanced between climate change policies and growing the economy in a sustainable way
3D printing for housing needs to become mainstream
More protection needs to happen with key ecosystems like wetlands, forest, and peatlands.
There is a risk of debt default if interest rates are hike over the next few months
how to swap pi coins to foreign currency withdrawable.DOT TECH
As of my last update, Pi is still in the testing phase and is not tradable on any exchanges.
However, Pi Network has announced plans to launch its Testnet and Mainnet in the future, which may include listing Pi on exchanges.
The current method for selling pi coins involves exchanging them with a pi vendor who purchases pi coins for investment reasons.
If you want to sell your pi coins, reach out to a pi vendor and sell them to anyone looking to sell pi coins from any country around the globe.
Below is the contact information for my personal pi vendor.
Telegram: @Pi_vendor_247
when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.DOT TECH
There is no set date for when Pi coins will enter the market.
However, the developers are working hard to get them released as soon as possible.
Once they are available, users will be able to exchange other cryptocurrencies for Pi coins on designated exchanges.
But for now the only way to sell your pi coins is through verified pi vendor.
Here is the telegram contact of my personal pi vendor
@Pi_vendor_247
Latino Buying Power - May 2024 Presentation for Latino CaucusDanay Escanaverino
Unlock the potential of Latino Buying Power with this in-depth SlideShare presentation. Explore how the Latino consumer market is transforming the American economy, driven by their significant buying power, entrepreneurial contributions, and growing influence across various sectors.
**Key Sections Covered:**
1. **Economic Impact:** Understand the profound economic impact of Latino consumers on the U.S. economy. Discover how their increasing purchasing power is fueling growth in key industries and contributing to national economic prosperity.
2. **Buying Power:** Dive into detailed analyses of Latino buying power, including its growth trends, key drivers, and projections for the future. Learn how this influential group’s spending habits are shaping market dynamics and creating opportunities for businesses.
3. **Entrepreneurial Contributions:** Explore the entrepreneurial spirit within the Latino community. Examine how Latino-owned businesses are thriving and contributing to job creation, innovation, and economic diversification.
4. **Workforce Statistics:** Gain insights into the role of Latino workers in the American labor market. Review statistics on employment rates, occupational distribution, and the economic contributions of Latino professionals across various industries.
5. **Media Consumption:** Understand the media consumption habits of Latino audiences. Discover their preferences for digital platforms, television, radio, and social media. Learn how these consumption patterns are influencing advertising strategies and media content.
6. **Education:** Examine the educational achievements and challenges within the Latino community. Review statistics on enrollment, graduation rates, and fields of study. Understand the implications of education on economic mobility and workforce readiness.
7. **Home Ownership:** Explore trends in Latino home ownership. Understand the factors driving home buying decisions, the challenges faced by Latino homeowners, and the impact of home ownership on community stability and economic growth.
This SlideShare provides valuable insights for marketers, business owners, policymakers, and anyone interested in the economic influence of the Latino community. By understanding the various facets of Latino buying power, you can effectively engage with this dynamic and growing market segment.
Equip yourself with the knowledge to leverage Latino buying power, tap into their entrepreneurial spirit, and connect with their unique cultural and consumer preferences. Drive your business success by embracing the economic potential of Latino consumers.
**Keywords:** Latino buying power, economic impact, entrepreneurial contributions, workforce statistics, media consumption, education, home ownership, Latino market, Hispanic buying power, Latino purchasing power.
Currently pi network is not tradable on binance or any other exchange because we are still in the enclosed mainnet.
Right now the only way to sell pi coins is by trading with a verified merchant.
What is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone verified by pi network team and allowed to barter pi coins for goods and services.
Since pi network is not doing any pre-sale The only way exchanges like binance/huobi or crypto whales can get pi is by buying from miners. And a merchant stands in between the exchanges and the miners.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant. I and my friends has traded more than 6000pi coins successfully
Tele-gram
@Pi_vendor_247
What price will pi network be listed on exchangesDOT TECH
The rate at which pi will be listed is practically unknown. But due to speculations surrounding it the predicted rate is tends to be from 30$ — 50$.
So if you are interested in selling your pi network coins at a high rate tho. Or you can't wait till the mainnet launch in 2026. You can easily trade your pi coins with a merchant.
A merchant is someone who buys pi coins from miners and resell them to Investors looking forward to hold massive quantities till mainnet launch.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi vendor to trade with.
@Pi_vendor_247
how can i use my minded pi coins I need some funds.DOT TECH
If you are interested in selling your pi coins, i have a verified pi merchant, who buys pi coins and resell them to exchanges looking forward to hold till mainnet launch.
Because the core team has announced that pi network will not be doing any pre-sale. The only way exchanges like huobi, bitmart and hotbit can get pi is by buying from miners.
Now a merchant stands in between these exchanges and the miners. As a link to make transactions smooth. Because right now in the enclosed mainnet you can't sell pi coins your self. You need the help of a merchant,
i will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant below. 👇 I and my friends has traded more than 3000pi coins with him successfully.
@Pi_vendor_247
how to sell pi coins on Bitmart crypto exchangeDOT TECH
Yes. Pi network coins can be exchanged but not on bitmart exchange. Because pi network is still in the enclosed mainnet. The only way pioneers are able to trade pi coins is by reselling the pi coins to pi verified merchants.
A verified merchant is someone who buys pi network coins and resell it to exchanges looking forward to hold till mainnet launch.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with.
@Pi_vendor_247
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview.pptxmarketing367770
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview
If you're dreaming of owning a home in California's rural or suburban areas, a USDA loan might be the perfect solution. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) offers these loans to help low-to-moderate-income individuals and families achieve homeownership.
Key Features of USDA Loans:
Zero Down Payment: USDA loans require no down payment, making homeownership more accessible.
Competitive Interest Rates: These loans often come with lower interest rates compared to conventional loans.
Flexible Credit Requirements: USDA loans have more lenient credit score requirements, helping those with less-than-perfect credit.
Guaranteed Loan Program: The USDA guarantees a portion of the loan, reducing risk for lenders and expanding borrowing options.
Eligibility Criteria:
Location: The property must be located in a USDA-designated rural or suburban area. Many areas in California qualify.
Income Limits: Applicants must meet income guidelines, which vary by region and household size.
Primary Residence: The home must be used as the borrower's primary residence.
Application Process:
Find a USDA-Approved Lender: Not all lenders offer USDA loans, so it's essential to choose one approved by the USDA.
Pre-Qualification: Determine your eligibility and the amount you can borrow.
Property Search: Look for properties in eligible rural or suburban areas.
Loan Application: Submit your application, including financial and personal information.
Processing and Approval: The lender and USDA will review your application. If approved, you can proceed to closing.
USDA loans are an excellent option for those looking to buy a home in California's rural and suburban areas. With no down payment and flexible requirements, these loans make homeownership more attainable for many families. Explore your eligibility today and take the first step toward owning your dream home.
The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.DOT TECH
Well as we all know pi isn't launched yet. But you can still sell your pi coins effortlessly because some whales in China are interested in holding massive pi coins. And they are willing to pay good money for it. If you are interested in selling I will leave a contact for you. Just telegram this number below. I sold about 3000 pi coins to him and he paid me immediately.
Telegram: @Pi_vendor_247
The European Unemployment Puzzle: implications from population agingGRAPE
We study the link between the evolving age structure of the working population and unemployment. We build a large new Keynesian OLG model with a realistic age structure, labor market frictions, sticky prices, and aggregate shocks. Once calibrated to the European economy, we quantify the extent to which demographic changes over the last three decades have contributed to the decline of the unemployment rate. Our findings yield important implications for the future evolution of unemployment given the anticipated further aging of the working population in Europe. We also quantify the implications for optimal monetary policy: lowering inflation volatility becomes less costly in terms of GDP and unemployment volatility, which hints that optimal monetary policy may be more hawkish in an aging society. Finally, our results also propose a partial reversal of the European-US unemployment puzzle due to the fact that the share of young workers is expected to remain robust in the US.
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how to sell pi coins effectively (from 50 - 100k pi)DOT TECH
Anywhere in the world, including Africa, America, and Europe, you can sell Pi Network Coins online and receive cash through online payment options.
Pi has not yet been launched on any exchange because we are currently using the confined Mainnet. The planned launch date for Pi is June 28, 2026.
Reselling to investors who want to hold until the mainnet launch in 2026 is currently the sole way to sell.
Consequently, right now. All you need to do is select the right pi network provider.
Who is a pi merchant?
An individual who buys coins from miners on the pi network and resells them to investors hoping to hang onto them until the mainnet is launched is known as a pi merchant.
debuts.
I'll provide you the Telegram username
@Pi_vendor_247
how can I sell my pi coins for cash in a pi APPDOT TECH
You can't sell your pi coins in the pi network app. because it is not listed yet on any exchange.
The only way you can sell is by trading your pi coins with an investor (a person looking forward to hold massive amounts of pi coins before mainnet launch) .
You don't need to meet the investor directly all the trades are done with a pi vendor/merchant (a person that buys the pi coins from miners and resell it to investors)
I Will leave The telegram contact of my personal pi vendor, if you are finding a legitimate one.
@Pi_vendor_247
#pi network
#pi coins
#money
Greek trade a pillar of dynamic economic growth - European Business Review
What is next for the Global Economy| November 2021
1. Paul Young CPA CGA
November 1, 2021
WHAT’S NEXT
FOR THE WORLD
ECONOMY –
OCTOBER
2. Paul Young - Bio
• CPA, CGA (1996)
• Academia (PF1, FA4, FN2, MU1. and MS2)
• SME – Customer Success Management
• SME – Risk Management
• SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting
• SME – Public Policy
• SME – Emerging Technology
• SME – Business Process Change
• SME – Financial Solutions
• SME – Macro/Micro Indicators
• SME – Supply Chain Management
• SME – Data, AI, Security, and Platform
• SME – Internal Controls and Auditing
Contact information email: Paul_Young_CGA@hotmail.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paul-young-055632b/
SlideShare - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga
Twitter: https://twitter.com/paulyoungcpa
Youtube - https://www.youtube.com/user/youngercga1968/videos
3. Agenda
• Inflation
• GDP / Growth
• Commodities
• Stock Market – December 2020 vs December 2019
• Geopolitical Risks
• Unemployment Rates
• Employment – Canada vs USA
• Growth Areas
• COVID19/Deficit spending
• Debt
• Infrastructure
• Green Economy
• Job Quality Crisis
• Trade and Protectionism
• Audit Committee and Risk
• eCommerce
• Housing / Affordability
• Throne Speech/Canada
• 2020 USA Election
• Supply Chain
• Reporting challenges
• Energy Crisis
• What’s next?
9. Stock Market - USA
Blog – Stock Market – WE – October 29, 2021
Here is my look at the stock markets - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-up-with-stock-marklet-
october-29-2021
10. Geopolitical Risks
• Geopolitical events are having bigger hit on both the private and public sector
• Eco-Terrorism - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/the-threat-of-ecoterrorism
• Risk Factors - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/understanding-risks-as-part-of-
development-risk-management-best-practices
• Race for innovation - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/path-to-innovation-for-canada
• 6G - Blog - Dynamically Programmable Wireless 6G - https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/blog-dynamically-programmable-wireless-6g-
paul-young/?published=t
Source - https://www.ey.com/en_gl/geostrategy/what-elevated-levels-of-political-risk-mean-for-
business-in-2021
Source - https://economics.td.com/ca-quarterly-
economic-forecast
12. Growth Areas
Source - https://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/technology/the-top-global-trends-generating-growth-opportunities-from-covid-19-261195/
• More support for small businesses including startups -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/survival-or-
collapse-small-business
• Technology sector -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-to-better-
support-the-technological-sector
• Automation -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/whats-next-for-
automation-238371946
• Vertical farming -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/farming-in-
canada-august-2020
• Fish and other farming techniques -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/aquaculture-
fish-farming-and-harvesting-analysis
• Technology and the Environment -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/climate-
change-what-can-be-done
• 3D Printing -
https://www2.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/3d-printing-
what-is-next-january-2021
13. COVID19 / Deficit Spending
Source - https://www.imf.org/en/Topics/imf-and-covid19/Policy-Responses-to-COVID-19 or
https://www.csis.org/analysis/breaking-down-g20-covid-19-fiscal-response-may-2020-update
• Countries need to start pulling back their deficit spending as
part of the recovery
• There should be focus on many areas like getting goods to
market - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-
best-to-get-goods-to-market and reforming of government -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/analysis-
efficiency-and-effective-government-canada-and-the-world
• Programs that supported income loss should be scale back as
part of supporting re-entry back into workforce -
https://globalnews.ca/news/7186683/quebec-business-
owner-workers-cerb/
• More emphasis will be required on training and education -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/human-capital-
management-skills-and-education
• IMF - https://in.reuters.com/article/us-imf-economy/imf-
tells-g20-countries-to-keep-spending-on-covid-19-crisis-
idUSKBN27I1X7
• Canada https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WxpVughNIGg
• https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/path-forward-for-
canada-budget-2021 - Canada budget did little to fix issues
with competitiveness or supply chain or infrastructure
14. COVID19 – Vaccine Rollout
Source - https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/covid-vaccination-doses-per-capita?tab=chart&stackMode=absolute&time=latest®ion=World or
https://www.nbc.ca/en/rates-and-analysis/economic-analysis.html
Blog – Geopolitics Risks and Events – Virus and Disease Management
The world continues to face many challenges including various geopolitical risks and events
covid19-daily-monito
r_20212910.pdf
Top Risks for
2022.pdf
Deloitte Global
Weekly - 20212910.pdf
Blog – Geopolitical – Pandemics and Viruses Management – October 29, 2021 –
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/geopolitical-eventscovid19canada-
and-the-world-october-29-2021
15. Debt
• Consumer, government and business debt levels could impact the recover
due to cash flow issues.
Blog:
• In the past, there have been concerns about debt, especially if interest rates
were to rise. Interest rates are still an issue. The bigger issue is cash flow
with govt, business, and personal. Sales and wages could see significant
shrinkage as part of the COVID19 recovery.
• My latest work on debt - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/debt-issues-
global-debt-crisis-analysis-and-commentary-243199347
16. Infrastructure
• Countries around the world can help with the post recovery by investing in
infrastructure
Blog:
• “Two critical elements in analyzing infrastructure projects are often overlooked: the true
cost of capital and long-term maintenance
expenses.” https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/canada-infrastructure-analysis-
of-policy
• Re-setting infrastructure spending - https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/capital-
projects-and-infrastructure/our-insights/resetting-capital-spending-in-the-wake-of-
covid-19
• Here is my work on infrastructure
• Canada - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/infrastructure-gap-canada-and-the-world
• The United States - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/infrastructure-analysis-the-united-
states
17. Throne Speech / Canada
Canada GDP has been struggling since 2018 despite $15B deficits (pre-
COVID19):
• 2016 https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2016-november-2016-gdp-gross-domestic-product-canada
• Oct/19 - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/global-growth-and-the-major-issues-facing-global-gdp
• Dec/20 https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/scorecard-and-gdp-canada-december-2020-and-november-
2020
18. United States / Biden
United States has many issues facing their country
- Income inequality
- Job Quality
- Tax fairness
- Regional disparity
- Economic growth
- Broken legal system
- Broken education and healthcare system
- Efficient and Effective government
- The international role of the United States
Source – TD Economics
Here is a brief look at the United States -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/scorecard-united-
states-april-2021-and-may-2021
19. Green Economy
Source - https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/06/global-clean-energy-investment-research/
• Better balanced between the environment and the
economy -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/canada-
global-emissions-and-climate-change
• Cost of electricity is becoming a big issue for
countries
• https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/repo
rt-electricity-analysis-canada-and-the-world
• Circular Economy –
• Tougher environmental laws are required for
waste management
• https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/
how-to-best-support-a-circular-economy
• Green Economy and Emissions
• Many govts around the world are pushing the
green economy as part of the post-covid19
recovery -
http://www.oecd.org/coronavirus/en/themes/g
reen-recovery or
https://www2.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/glo
bal-emissions-and-climate-change-canada-and-
the-world
21. Trade and Protectionism
https://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/exporting-and-importing/trade-body-rules-eu-can-put-tariffs-on-us4b-of-
u-s-goods-262170/
• “International arbitrators said Oct. 13 that the European Union can impose tariffs and other penalties on up to
US$4 billion worth of U.S. goods and services over illegal American support for plane maker Boeing. The move further
sours transatlantic ties at a time when the coronavirus has doused trade and savaged economies.”
• More work needs to be done by all countries to fix trade related issues
• Canada and Trade - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/merchandise-trade-canada-august-2020
• USA and Trade - https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3105354/us-election-chinas-
trade-gap-united-states-was-43-cent-bigger
• China and Trade - https://www.npr.org/2020/11/17/935322859/asia-pacific-allies-sign-huge-trade-deal-
with-china-while-u-s-sits-it-out
• Reforming the WTO - https://www.chinabusinessreview.com/competing-wto-reform-agendas-and-the-
contest-for-the-next-director-general/
• Here is my work on WTO and Trade Policies - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/is-the-world-heading-to-
more-protectionism-november-2017
22. Audit Committees and Risk Mitigation
Audit committees will have fuller plates than usual in the coming year, according to Big Four firm KPMG, managing agendas packed with new risk
management responsibilities amid the fallout from the coronavirus pandemic and other crises of 2020.
In a recent report, KPMG’s Board Leadership center identified seven key issues that audit committees will be grappling with. To start, the report
noted than more than 60 percent of audit committee members surveyed said that COVID-19 has prompted them to reassess the scope of their
agenda and their risk management responsibilities.
“Keeping the audit committee’s agenda focused will require vigilance,” the report noted. “Virtually all companies will continue to deal with
significant disruption and uncertainty … . Does the audit committee have the time and expertise to oversee the major risks now on its plate?”
Top 7 Risk Areas
1. Look at Audit Committee Agenda and workload
2. Monitor the financial reporting & disclosure impacts of COVID-19 on the company’s filings
3. Reinforce audit quality & understand the impact of COVID-19 on the external audit process
4. Work with management to reassess & and oversee the scope & quality of the company’s ESG/Sustainability reports & disclosures
5. Understand how technology is impacting the finance organization’s talent, efficiency, and value-add
6. Help ensure that internal audit remains focused on the critical risks including risks posed by COVOD19 and other geo-political events
7. Sharpen the focus on the company’s ethics, compliance, and whistle-blower programs, recognizing the increased pressure on employees
Here is my blog on how to streamline reporting including mitigation of risk - https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/covid-
other-geo-political-disclosures-extra-risks-top-paul-young/?published=t
23. eCommerce
1. Delivery becomes the new normal - Delivery services have become all the rage. The likes of Uber Eats, GrubHub and Instacart have fundamentally
changed the way people get restaurant food or receive grocery store deliveries
2. Alternative business models ring up gains - Once upon a time, retailers sold products to customers. But digital technology is driving fundamental
changes to the old-fashioned transactional model and making consumers more comfortable with paying for value over time. A growing array of brands
are making products available on a subscription basis. Some retailers are exploring ways to use things like smart speakers and IoT to replenish items
automatically.
3. Fulfillment hubs eclipse storefronts - Shifts in consumer behavior will have repercussions in 2021. As leased storefronts in malls underperform due to a
lack of foot traffic, retailers are looking to convert them into fulfillment hubs. There’s remarkable synergy in using these spaces for ecommerce—in
some cases, transforming them into mini-distribution centers—particularly when paired with last-mile delivery services. Amazon has already begun to
eye this model to expand its footprint and same-day delivery network further. It has reportedly engaged in talks with mall operators to take over empty
space as retailers like Sears and J.C. Penney vacate
4. New store designs appear - Despite a massive shift to ecommerce, physical stores are not going away anytime soon. They are just going through a
corresponding transformation. Several prominent retailers focus on blending online and in-store shopping, emphasizing creating a more engaging and
socially distanced shopping experience. For instance, Walmart recently grabbed headlines when it announced that it would overhaul 200 of its
supercenters into airport-inspired stores, complete with more prominent signage, contactless checkout, and other innovations.
5. Online gets personal - Video calls have already gone mainstream in the business world. People see each other, share screens and exchange information.
Retailers are also beginning to recognize the value of video chat as a consultation and sales tool. Whether a consumer is buying a car, furniture, or
upscale clothing, why not offer an option of connecting to a sales associate or product expert whenever it is convenient? This can be after work, on the
weekend, even late at night.
1. Source - https://www.digitalcommerce360.com/2020/11/05/5-predictions-how-things-will-change-for-retailers-in-2021/
Areas of focus
Omni Channels - https://www.shopify.ca/retail/omnichannel-trends
Sales Tax / eCommerce https://www.avalara.com/us/en/blog/2020/11/rapid-rise-of-online-sales-could-trigger-new-sales-tax-collection-requirements-for-
sellers.html
Here is my work on eCommerce - https://www2.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/ecommerce-what-is-next
24. Blog – Housing Affordability
Homelessness is a global challenge. The United Nations Human Settlements Program estimates that 1.6 billion
people live in inadequate housing, and the best data available suggest that more than 100 million people have no
housing at all. Homelessness is growing in many parts of the world, occurs in all nations, and has severe
negative impacts on individuals and on communities.
Homelessness is a complex issue, sitting at the intersection of public health, housing affordability, domestic
violence, mental illness, substance misuse, urbanization, racial and gender discrimination, infrastructure, and
unemployment. The interplay between these elements is expressed in a host of ways depending upon local
context. Levels of homelessness rise and fall dependent on shifts in, and changes to, any one of the elements.
But there is good news: this problem can be solved. Countries and cities across the world have seen steep
reductions in homelessness, and some have ended it outright. With the right mix of program interventions, well-
coordinated local systems, and effective policy, many countries have proved that homelessness can be
successfully addressed. Sources - https://thefulcrum.ca/opinions/letter-to-the-editor-why-homelessness-is-
rarely-a-major-topic-during-election-campaigns/ or https://ighomelessness.org/about-us/
My work: https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/housing-and-homelessness-canada-and-the-world-july-2021
25. Supply Chain
Chaos/Supply Chain
Shipping container shortages in Asia, traffic jams at ports, limited availability of dockworkers and truck
drivers from Southern California to Singapore, higher shipping prices—all are part of a now-stretched supply
chain due to the pandemic, according to a recent New York Times report. What is the impact on rail?
“‘I’ve never seen anything like this,’” Lars Mikael Jensen, head of Global Ocean Network at A.P. Moller-Maersk,
the world’s largest shipping company, told The New York Times, which included his quote in the headline of a March
7 feature, “‘I’ve Never Seen Anything Like This’: Chaos Strikes Global Shipping.”
https://www.railwayage.com/intermodal/does-chaos-rule-the-global-supply-chain/
My work - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-to-reshore-supply-chain-management-244371640
Continue to play key role with the rise of inflation around the globe.
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-going-on-with-commodity-prices
26. ESG Reporting
SEC may require climate risk disclosures in expanded 10-Ks: Gensler
• Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chair Gary Gensler has asked agency staff to submit a proposal for
mandatory climate risk disclosures for consideration by the end of 2021. Such reports may be required in an
expanded Form 10-K and describe a company’s direct and indirect carbon emissions, including those by suppliers
and partners in its “value chain.”
• Companies may be required to disclose both qualitative and quantitative details, including how they manage
climate-related risks and opportunities in day-to-day operations and in broad strategy, Gensler said Wednesday.
They may also need to report on metrics such as greenhouse gas emissions, financial impacts of climate change
and progress towards climate-related goals.
• “Today, investors increasingly want to understand the climate risks of the companies whose stock they own or
might buy,” Gensler said in remarks during a webinar. “Investors are looking for consistent, comparable, and
decision-useful disclosures so they can put their money in companies that fit their needs.”
• Source - https://www.cfodive.com/news/sec-may-require-climate-risk-disclosures-expanded-10-ks-
gensler/604084/?utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Issue:%202021-07-
29%20CFO%20Dive%20%5Bissue:35724%5D&utm_term=CFO%20Dive
Here is my latest presentation on Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) reporting -
https://www.linkedin.com/posts/paul-young-055632b_box-activity-6822831792043769856-T0Fe
27. Reporting Challenges for both the Public and
Private Sectors
Blog – Close, consolidate, and reporting cycle – What is next for both Public and Private sector Reporting:
Both the public and private sector continue to face reporting challenges, especially with
more demands by internal and external users of their financial statements. Here is my
latest work on the close, consolidate, and reporting cycle -
https://ibm.box.com/s/i7efp948qvb5l8bt96y8sigsup8yes2u
28. Energy Crisis
Australia exported 3-13 million tons per month of coal to China in 2020. If China needs 50 million tons per month
that is rapid increase in coal production. It is unclear in China and Australia would be able to ramp to meet the
demand. China is already in a shortage of perhaps 50 million tons per month.
If there is a rapid surge in coal importing to China, there could be overbidding that causes shortages for other Asian
countries. This will also make the supply chain problems even worse.
Prioritizing heating over electricity means more factory shutdowns.
Prioritizing heating coal imports over other supply chain means that the 200 ships waiting to get unloaded get
bumped back at the ports for hundreds of coal ships.
China having coal production problems is tough because building other sources of electricity and heating will take
years. Especially if China wants to get beyond current levels to support 6% per year GDP growth.
https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2021/10/173364.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A
+blogspot%2Fadvancednano+%28nextbigfuture%29
This ties nicely to my work on energy - https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/world-heading-energy-crisis-paul-young/
29. What’s next
• The world has shown there were issues with their various responses to pandemic. All levels of government should have audited crisis and risk
management reports - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/crisis-management-how-best-to-managed-a-crisis
• More balance between the economy and GDP - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/why-do-politicians-play-games-with-the-environment
• More emphasis on supply chain including local solutions - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-best-to-reshore-supply-chains
• Reforming taxation as part of overall tax fairness - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/are-wealth-tax-a-good-idea
• Reforming the size of government – https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-does-the-world-transform-healthcare-238832381
• Stop pushing guarantee income and start working on policies that will support better jobs - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/policy-
analysis-guarantee-income
• Innovative solutions when it comes to upgrading and/or building new infrastructure - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/canada-
infrastructure-analysis-of-policy
• Fixing the systemic issues with housing - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/housing-market-affordability-and-costing-canada-
september-2019
• Reforming global organizations like WHO and WTO - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/reforming-both-the-united-nations-and-who or
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-global-trade-barriers-and-protection-wto-canada-september-2019
• Better urban planning decisions including rural and urban strategies - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/urban-and-rural-planning-
whats-next-236315321
• Working together to reduce geo-political issues - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/dealing-with-geopoltical-risk
• Reforming accounting and audit as way to provide more oversight into financial performance of businesses and the government -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/internal-audit-and-performance-base-auditing
• Vaccine production and distribution - https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/science/coronavirus-vaccine-tracker.html
30. Other Sources
• If you like to learn
more about trade
and/or other
subjects as part of
your professional
learning and
development then
feel free to review
my material on
https://www.udem
y.com/ (search Paul
Young CPA CGA