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October 2020
Merchandise
Trade – Canada
PAUL YOUNG
OCTOBER 2020
Paul Young - Bio
• CPA, CGA
• Academia (PF1, FA4, FN2, MU1. and MS2)
• SME – Risk Management
• SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting
• SME – Public Policy
• SME – Costing and Profitability Solutions
• SME – Emerging Technology
• SME – Business Process Change
• SME – Financial Solutions
• SME – Macro/Micro Indicators
• SME – Supply Chain Management
Contact information: paul.young@ca.ibm.com
Agenda
 North America Recovery
 Commodity Pricing
 Justin Trudeau and Natural Resources
 Natural Resources Analysis
 Exports – July 2020
 Trade Surpluses/(Deficits)
 Trade by key countries
 CBC Press Release / Trade
 Supply Chain Management
 USMCA Trade
 Softwood Lumber
 Pacific Trade Pact
 Near Shoring
 Biden vs Trump
 What’s next
 Other sources / Training options
North America
Recovery
Source -
https://economics.bmo.com/
en/publications/detail/11455
b4e-da98-406f-8872-
0d88f2e876c7/
Commodity
Prices
SOURCE – SCOTIABANK -
HTTPS://WWW.SCOTIABANK
.COM/CA/EN/ABOUT/ECON
OMICS/ECONOMICS-
PUBLICATIONS/POST.OTHER
-
PUBLICATIONS.COMMODITI
ES.SCOTIABANK-
COMMODITY-PRICE-
INDEX.NOVEMBER-25--
2020.HTML
Key Commodities
Source – BMO
Exports –
October
2020
Source -
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/
daily-
quotidien/201204/dq201204b-
eng.htm
Trade Surpluses (Deficits)
SOURCE - HTTPS://WWW150.STATCAN.GC.CA/N1/DAILY-QUOTIDIEN/201204/DQ201204B-ENG.HTM
Natural Resources and Food Products
Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/201104/dq201104a-eng.htm
Metals
Source – Stats Canada
Trade by
key
countries
SOURCE –
HTTPS://WWW150.STATCAN.
GC.CA/N1/DAILY-
QUOTIDIEN/201204/DQ2012
04B-ENG.HTM
Supply Chain
Management
 Is that not why we have the combine act?
https://www.tc.gc.ca/eng/policy/acg-acgb-mergers-
guidelines-draft-3143.html
 Mergers and acquisitions are important, but they
do need to review to ensure they are in the best
interest of both the sector and the country -
https://tnc.news/2020/06/02/conservative-
motion-to-stop-china-from-buying-struggling-
firms-passed/
 Should we not be focusing on identifying what
products should be strategic?
 https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-best-
to-reshore-supply-chains
 Errors with medical supplies
 https://thepostmillennial.com/trudeau-governments-
medical-equipment-blunder-cost-taxpayers-1-8-
billion
WTO
 The WTO needs to be reformed including
revisiting the status of various countries
within the organization
 @jimcarr_wpg it never seems to amaze me
how little you grasp of both supply
management and fair-trade practices. -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2
019-election-global-trade-barriers-and-
protection-wto-canada-september-2019
 @CPC_HQ and previous govts grasp the
need for trade with other countries, but not
your govt!
 Latest work on Global Trade -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/h
ow-does-the-world-reform-global-trade
USMCA
 Start date – July 1, 2020
 Steep learning curve automotive -
https://www.freep.com/story/money/cars/2020/07/02/nafta-replacement-usmca-
launches/5360048002/
 Japan Automotive - https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Automobiles/Japan-auto-
companies-triple-Mexican-pay-rather-than-move-to-US
Pacific Trade Pact
@mary_ng CPTPP has been in place for nearly two years. Exports from key countries were higher in 2018 than in
2019. It seems that Canada has many issues with getting goods to market, right Mary?
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/pacific-pacific-trade-agrement-analysis-and-commentary,
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/merchandise-trade-canada-july-2020 and
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/trade-and-investment-canada-and-south-america
Exports could be 20% higher or about 125M. For each $1M of exports there are 5,500 jobs. More emphasis needs
to be on fair trade and investment deals to support getting goods to market -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-to-address-issues-facing-getting-goods-to-market
Softwood
Lumber dispute
Source -
https://financialpost.com/ne
ws/economy/canada-wont-
back-down-in-softwood-
lumber-dispute-with-u-s-
trudeau-vows or
https://globalnews.ca/news/
7312096/canada-softwood-
lumber-tariff-dispute-u-s-
trudeau/
Nearshoring
 Key areas of focus for 2020 - https://www.pslcorp.com/nearshoring-outsourcing/5-nearshore-development-trends-to-watch-closely-in-2020/
 Remote work the new normal - https://medium.com/dev-genius/remote-work-is-a-new-normal-save-costs-with-it-nearshoring-2f471cea3a91
 Better control of supply chain management - https://www.mhlnews.com/global-supply-chain/article/22050699/why-nearshoring-is-a-better-
option-for-north-american-companies or https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-best-to-reshore-supply-chains
 Drug production - https://www.fiercepharma.com/manufacturing/pharma-pushes-back-u-s-legislation-to-bring-drug-manufacturing-stateside
 Chip production - https://www.politico.com/newsletters/morning-trade/2020/06/11/lawmakers-unveil-bill-to-boost-semiconductor-production-
788432
 Reshoring of manufacturing - https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/commentary/article-will-the-reshoring-trend-revive-canadian-
manufacturing/ or https://policyoptions.irpp.org/magazines/june-2020/is-this-canadas-last-chance-to-revive-manufacturing-and-long-term-
prosperity/
 Technology and logistics - https://news.microsoft.com/2020/06/25/hitachi-and-microsoft-form-a-strategic-alliance-to-advance-next-generation-
digital-solutions-for-manufacturing-and-logistics-across-southeast-asia-north-america-and-japan/
 More development of natural resources - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/canada-natural-resources-forestry-sector-june-2020-whats-
next
 Getting oil and natural gas to market - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-going-on-with-oil or Irving Oil -
https://www.trendsmap.com/twitter/tweet/1278418560600154112
Biden vs Trump
Source - https://www.just-auto.com/analysis/the-2020-us-presidential-election-a-quick-auto-industry-guide_id198588.aspx
Biden vs Trump
Source - https://www.just-auto.com/analysis/the-2020-us-presidential-election-a-quick-auto-industry-guide_id198588.aspx
Biden vs Trump
Source - https://www.just-auto.com/analysis/the-2020-us-presidential-election-a-quick-auto-industry-guide_id198588.aspx
Other Sources
 If you like to learn more
about trade and/or other
subjects as part of your
professional learning and
development then feel
free to review my
material on
https://www.udemy.com/
(search Paul Young CPA
CGA
Summary
 Canada has a job quality issue -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/job-quality-canada-vs-usa
 Canada and GDP - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/canadas-
gdp-july-2020
 Wages / Employment -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/analysis-of-wages-and-
employment
 Pandemic - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/management-of-
a-pandemic-crisis
 Throne speech - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-next-
for-canada-throne-speech-september-23-2020
 Global Economy - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-
next-for-the-global-economy-september-2020
 Canada still has issues with capacity -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/canada-and-world-post-
covid19
 The world likely will be looking for AG shipments along with Natural
Resources and food processing
 AG Sector -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/agriculture-and-
food-policy-what-needs-to-happen
 Natural Resources -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/canada-and-natural-
resources-development-and-export-strategy

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Merchandise Trade| Canada| October 2020

  • 1. October 2020 Merchandise Trade – Canada PAUL YOUNG OCTOBER 2020
  • 2. Paul Young - Bio • CPA, CGA • Academia (PF1, FA4, FN2, MU1. and MS2) • SME – Risk Management • SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting • SME – Public Policy • SME – Costing and Profitability Solutions • SME – Emerging Technology • SME – Business Process Change • SME – Financial Solutions • SME – Macro/Micro Indicators • SME – Supply Chain Management Contact information: paul.young@ca.ibm.com
  • 3. Agenda  North America Recovery  Commodity Pricing  Justin Trudeau and Natural Resources  Natural Resources Analysis  Exports – July 2020  Trade Surpluses/(Deficits)  Trade by key countries  CBC Press Release / Trade  Supply Chain Management  USMCA Trade  Softwood Lumber  Pacific Trade Pact  Near Shoring  Biden vs Trump  What’s next  Other sources / Training options
  • 5. Commodity Prices SOURCE – SCOTIABANK - HTTPS://WWW.SCOTIABANK .COM/CA/EN/ABOUT/ECON OMICS/ECONOMICS- PUBLICATIONS/POST.OTHER - PUBLICATIONS.COMMODITI ES.SCOTIABANK- COMMODITY-PRICE- INDEX.NOVEMBER-25-- 2020.HTML
  • 8. Trade Surpluses (Deficits) SOURCE - HTTPS://WWW150.STATCAN.GC.CA/N1/DAILY-QUOTIDIEN/201204/DQ201204B-ENG.HTM
  • 9. Natural Resources and Food Products Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/201104/dq201104a-eng.htm
  • 12. Supply Chain Management  Is that not why we have the combine act? https://www.tc.gc.ca/eng/policy/acg-acgb-mergers- guidelines-draft-3143.html  Mergers and acquisitions are important, but they do need to review to ensure they are in the best interest of both the sector and the country - https://tnc.news/2020/06/02/conservative- motion-to-stop-china-from-buying-struggling- firms-passed/  Should we not be focusing on identifying what products should be strategic?  https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-best- to-reshore-supply-chains  Errors with medical supplies  https://thepostmillennial.com/trudeau-governments- medical-equipment-blunder-cost-taxpayers-1-8- billion
  • 13. WTO  The WTO needs to be reformed including revisiting the status of various countries within the organization  @jimcarr_wpg it never seems to amaze me how little you grasp of both supply management and fair-trade practices. - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2 019-election-global-trade-barriers-and- protection-wto-canada-september-2019  @CPC_HQ and previous govts grasp the need for trade with other countries, but not your govt!  Latest work on Global Trade - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/h ow-does-the-world-reform-global-trade
  • 14. USMCA  Start date – July 1, 2020  Steep learning curve automotive - https://www.freep.com/story/money/cars/2020/07/02/nafta-replacement-usmca- launches/5360048002/  Japan Automotive - https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Automobiles/Japan-auto- companies-triple-Mexican-pay-rather-than-move-to-US
  • 15. Pacific Trade Pact @mary_ng CPTPP has been in place for nearly two years. Exports from key countries were higher in 2018 than in 2019. It seems that Canada has many issues with getting goods to market, right Mary? https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/pacific-pacific-trade-agrement-analysis-and-commentary, https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/merchandise-trade-canada-july-2020 and https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/trade-and-investment-canada-and-south-america Exports could be 20% higher or about 125M. For each $1M of exports there are 5,500 jobs. More emphasis needs to be on fair trade and investment deals to support getting goods to market - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-to-address-issues-facing-getting-goods-to-market
  • 17. Nearshoring  Key areas of focus for 2020 - https://www.pslcorp.com/nearshoring-outsourcing/5-nearshore-development-trends-to-watch-closely-in-2020/  Remote work the new normal - https://medium.com/dev-genius/remote-work-is-a-new-normal-save-costs-with-it-nearshoring-2f471cea3a91  Better control of supply chain management - https://www.mhlnews.com/global-supply-chain/article/22050699/why-nearshoring-is-a-better- option-for-north-american-companies or https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-best-to-reshore-supply-chains  Drug production - https://www.fiercepharma.com/manufacturing/pharma-pushes-back-u-s-legislation-to-bring-drug-manufacturing-stateside  Chip production - https://www.politico.com/newsletters/morning-trade/2020/06/11/lawmakers-unveil-bill-to-boost-semiconductor-production- 788432  Reshoring of manufacturing - https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/commentary/article-will-the-reshoring-trend-revive-canadian- manufacturing/ or https://policyoptions.irpp.org/magazines/june-2020/is-this-canadas-last-chance-to-revive-manufacturing-and-long-term- prosperity/  Technology and logistics - https://news.microsoft.com/2020/06/25/hitachi-and-microsoft-form-a-strategic-alliance-to-advance-next-generation- digital-solutions-for-manufacturing-and-logistics-across-southeast-asia-north-america-and-japan/  More development of natural resources - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/canada-natural-resources-forestry-sector-june-2020-whats- next  Getting oil and natural gas to market - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-going-on-with-oil or Irving Oil - https://www.trendsmap.com/twitter/tweet/1278418560600154112
  • 18. Biden vs Trump Source - https://www.just-auto.com/analysis/the-2020-us-presidential-election-a-quick-auto-industry-guide_id198588.aspx
  • 19. Biden vs Trump Source - https://www.just-auto.com/analysis/the-2020-us-presidential-election-a-quick-auto-industry-guide_id198588.aspx
  • 20. Biden vs Trump Source - https://www.just-auto.com/analysis/the-2020-us-presidential-election-a-quick-auto-industry-guide_id198588.aspx
  • 21. Other Sources  If you like to learn more about trade and/or other subjects as part of your professional learning and development then feel free to review my material on https://www.udemy.com/ (search Paul Young CPA CGA
  • 22. Summary  Canada has a job quality issue - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/job-quality-canada-vs-usa  Canada and GDP - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/canadas- gdp-july-2020  Wages / Employment - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/analysis-of-wages-and- employment  Pandemic - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/management-of- a-pandemic-crisis  Throne speech - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-next- for-canada-throne-speech-september-23-2020  Global Economy - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is- next-for-the-global-economy-september-2020  Canada still has issues with capacity - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/canada-and-world-post- covid19  The world likely will be looking for AG shipments along with Natural Resources and food processing  AG Sector - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/agriculture-and- food-policy-what-needs-to-happen  Natural Resources - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/canada-and-natural- resources-development-and-export-strategy