Summary:
Australia’s consumer sentiment fell on concerns that borrowing costs are set to begin climbing this year, intensifying pressure on highly-indebted households already struggling with soaring gasoline prices.
Consumer sentiment slid 1.3% to 100.8 points in February, Westpac Banking Corp. said in a statement Wednesday. The survey showed the proportion of respondents expecting an increase in mortgage rates over the next 12 months lifted to 66% from 55% in January.
Source - https://www.aximdaily.com/weekly-market-outlook-monetary-policy-aud-usd/ and https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/australia-consumer-sentiment-drops-on-mounting-rate-rise-fears-1.1720468
1. Household intention - https://www.commbank.com.au/articles/newsroom/2022/02/January-HSI-records-spending-falls.html
2. Household debt - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/risks-to-australia-s-outlook-stand-in-way-of-rba-rate-liftoff-1.1725095
3. Housing - https://propertyupdate.com.au/property-predictions-for-2022-revealed/
4. Transparency index - https://www.transparency.org/en/blog/cpi-2021-corruption-watch-list-australia-austria-el-salvador-kazakhstan
5. Wages - https://theconversation.com/why-theres-no-magic-jobless-rate-to-increase-australians-wages-176538
6. Food costs - https://www.backpackerbanter.com/blog/budget-for-a-month-in-australia
7. Gasoline - https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-02-15/petrol-prices-at-record-highs-pushing-up-other-costs-of-living/100829584
8. Retail innovation - https://www.playinnovation.com.au/blog/retail-trends-how-3-industry-giants-are-shaking-up-the-in-store-shopping-experience
9. Innovation - https://retailtechinnovationhub.com/home/2022/2/18/the-five-biggest-retail-technology-news-stories-of-the-week
10. Supply chain - https://www.arnnet.com.au/article/695460/australia-joins-five-eyes-effort-curb-supply-chain-collusion/
11. Supply Chain - https://collegeforadultlearning.edu.au/five-significant-australian-supply-chain-logistics-job-trends/
12. Trade - https://collegeforadultlearning.edu.au/five-significant-australian-supply-chain-logistics-job-trends/
Cost of Living| The United States |Inflation| January 2022paul young cpa, cga
Summary:
U.S. consumer prices rose solidly in January, leading to the biggest annual increase in inflation in 40 years, fueling financial markets speculation for a 50 basis points interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve next month.
The broad increase in prices reported by the Labor Department on Thursday was led by soaring costs for rents, electricity and food, and could heap more political pressure on President Joe Biden, whose popularity has been declining amid anxiety over the rising cost of living.
High inflation has overshadowed a strong economy, which grew at its fastest pace in 37 years in 2021 and a labor market that is rapidly churning out jobs.
Source - https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/u-consumer-prices-rise-strongly-134042040.html
1. Gasoline prices - https://www.news9.com/story/62053a1ca360bf0725484dd0/gas-prices-hit-their-highest-level-in-8-years--heres-whats-driving-the-surge-
2. Food - https://www.freep.com/story/news/local/michigan/2022/02/10/foods-costs-january-consumer-price-index/6733880001/
3. Housing costs - https://ca.movies.yahoo.com/10-surprisingly-affordable-housing-markets-130020778.html
4. Housing - https://www.gobankingrates.com/investing/real-estate/experts-predict-housing-market-in-2022/
5. Carbon tax - https://www.greencarcongress.com/2022/02/20220210-carbontax.html
6. Zero-emitting trucks - https://www.greencarcongress.com/2022/02/20220210-carbontax.html
7. Average mortgage - https://www.businessinsider.com/personal-finance/average-mortgage-payment
8. Biden - https://www.oliverwyman.com/our-expertise/insights/2022/feb/prepare-for-an-increase-in-corporate-restructuring-in-the-us.html
9. Yellen monetary policies - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/a-bridge-too-far-bond-market-reels-from-latest-inflation-bomb-1.1721824
10. Interest rates - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/nation/inflation-hits-40-year-high-reinforcing-feds-decision-to-raise-interest-rates
11. Household debt - https://thedeepdive.ca/american-consumers-descend-further-into-debt/
12. Consumer confidence - https://www.usnews.com/news/economy/articles/2022-01-25/consumer-confidence-dips-in-january-but-inflation-concerns-ease-slightly
13. Corporate restructuring - https://www.oliverwyman.com/our-expertise/insights/2022/feb/prepare-for-an-increase-in-corporate-restructuring-in-the-us.html
The document is a presentation by Paul Young CPA CGA on the topic of what is happening with the stock market. Some key points from the presentation include:
- Paul Young's background and credentials in various finance and business fields.
- The agenda covers topics like the stock markets in Canada, the US, and other countries. It also discusses corporate reporting challenges, automation, geopolitical risks, and economic scorecards.
- Sections provide summaries of stock market performance in places like the US, Canada, Australia, Asia, the Middle East, and South America. It also addresses topics such as inflation, auditing, and monetary policies.
- Charts, graphs, and links to additional resources
The document is a presentation by Paul Young CPA CGA on the topic "What is up with the Stock Market" for February 4, 2022. It includes sections on Canada and US stock markets, monetary policies by the Bank of Canada, inflation, global stock markets, audit, corporate reporting challenges, crisis management, automation, ESG reporting, geopolitical risks, scorecards for Canada and US, and economic updates on various regions including Asia, Middle East, Europe, South America, and China. It provides links to additional blogs and analyses on these topics by the presenter.
Summary:
Retail sales were up 2.1% to $57.2 billion in August, led by higher sales at food and beverage stores (+4.8%), gasoline stations (+3.8%), and clothing and clothing accessories stores (+3.9%).
Sales increased in 9 of 11 subsectors, representing 94.6% of retail trade.
Core retail sales—which exclude gasoline stations and motor vehicle and parts dealers—were up 2.7%.
In volume terms, retail sales increased 1.4% in August.
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/211022/dq211022a-eng.htm https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/966f8e75-adb4-492b-8c14-924733071bb7/
1. Food costs - https://o.canada.com/news/local-news/lower-income-families-most-likely-to-be-pinched-by-rising-food-prices-supply-chain-problems
2. Rising oil and gas prices - https://www.fraserinstitute.org/article/rising-oil-prices-wont-solve-canadas-oil-and-gas-problems
3. Rise of propane costs - https://granthshala.com/skyrocketing-propane-prices-could-mean-trouble-for-some-canadians-this-winter/
4. Inflation has hit a 20-year high - https://dailyhive.com/vancouver/canada-inflation-highest-decades-2021
5. Supply chain - https://ca.sports.yahoo.com/news/sector-grows-manufacturing-dented-supply-091509523.html?src=rss
6. Global inflation - https://ca.news.yahoo.com/absolutely-concern-around-the-globe-over-inflation-accenture-ceo-144813190.html
7. Jobs and climate change - https://www.nationalobserver.com/2021/10/21/news/more-880000-canadian-jobs-vulnerable-global-clean-energy-transition
8. Rent and Wage - https://retail-insider.com/retail-insider/2021/10/cfib/
9. Pandemic - https://thecanadian.news/2021/10/21/how-to-lead-the-retail-trade-in-pandemic/
10. Retail innovation - https://retailtechinnovationhub.com/home/2021/10/22/five-retail-technology-trends-from-digital-fitting-rooms-to-sustainable-shopping
Cost of Living | Canada| December 2021 (Revised for New Housing Price Index a...paul young cpa, cga
This document provides a summary of cost of living increases in Canada from December 2021. It includes summaries and data on topics like consumer price index, housing price index, household debt, carbon taxation, wages, cable/lumber/natural gas prices. It also provides biographical information about the author Paul Young and an agenda of topics to be covered. The document aims to assess whether policies have made lives more or less affordable and provides recommendations on policy changes to improve affordability.
Blog - Forestry and Sawmill Production – Canada and the World
Lumber prices have decline but are still very high
There seems to be inconsistent policies when it comes to management of forests around the globe
The world is slow in adopting 3D housing
1. Softwood Lumber - https://www.woodworkingnetwork.com/news/woodworking-industry-news/reduced-tariffs-draws-applause
2. Prices - https://www.barchart.com/story/news/7200218/lumber-up-and-down-and-all-around
3. 3D housing - https://www.mentalfloss.com/article/535220/these-10000-concrete-homes-are-3d-printed-less-24-hours
4. Deforestation - https://www.sustainability-times.com/environmental-protection/the-great-amazon-land-grab-brazils-government-is-turning-public-land-private-driving-deforestation/
5. Wetlands - https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-00098-1
6. Housing affordability - https://saportareport.com/understanding-the-housing-affordability-problem/columnists/david/
7. Urban planning - https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2022/02/innovative-global-cities-talent-property/
8. 3D housing - https://www.probuilder.com/3d-printed-technology-offers-solution-affordable-housing
9. Mortgage rates - https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/lumber-prices-crash-30-mortgage-120647926.html
10. Household debt - https://www.teamblind.com/post/21t-national-debt-15-trillion-household-debt-in-usa-and-21-trillion-in-annual-gdp--are-we-doomed-rtZ0Dj5Q
11. Housing bubble - https://betterdwelling.com/
12. Insurance - https://ca.news.yahoo.com/extreme-weather-rising-insurance-rates-160054947.html
13. Heating costs - https://carolinapublicpress.org/51169/heating-costs-and-power-grid-stability-create-concerns-in-cold-temperatures/
Blog – Dairy Sector – Canada – November 2021
Dairy sector continues to face many challenges due cost of feed and other related input costs.
Dairy prices have not risen as much as other prices.
Liberals continue to fail address issues like the impact of the carbon tax on agriculture out and food production.
1. Rising feed prices - https://www.thebeefsite.com/news/57977/canadian-farmers-face-serious-feed-shortages/
2. Oatly - https://ca.news.yahoo.com/oatly-ads-banned-making-misleading-000100110.html
3. Fertilizer - https://www.thedailyscoop.com/news/retail-industry/how-todays-fertilizer-prices-could-reshape-industry
4. Butter production - https://www.foodbusinessnews.net/articles/20477-butter-prices-soar-to-multi-year-highs
5. Higher input costs - https://www.newsbug.info/iroquois_countys_times-republic/news/agriculture/farmers-dealing-with-dramatically-higher-input-costs/article_e5f4b953-424e-5735-bf47-3e8f5cc8c8a6.html
6. Drought - https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/canadian-farmers-face-cattle-feed-shortage-due-drought-transport-strains-2022-01-25/
7. Potato - https://www.thestar.com/news/world/2022/01/25/is-canada-fighting-a-trade-war-against-its-own-potato-farmers.html
8. Cybersecurity - https://www.canadiancattlemen.ca/daily/farm-cybersecurity-campaign-seeks-farmer-input/
9. Food exports - https://www.spglobal.com/platts/en/market-insights/latest-news/agriculture/012422-canadas-common-wheat-exports-rise-63-on-week-durum-wheat-shipments-fall
10. AG and China - https://ipolitics.ca/2022/01/21/chinese-ambassador-pitches-improved-trade-to-western-canada/
11. Food security - https://globalnews.ca/news/8532207/canada-grocery-stores-food-supply-prices/
Summary:
Australia’s consumer sentiment fell on concerns that borrowing costs are set to begin climbing this year, intensifying pressure on highly-indebted households already struggling with soaring gasoline prices.
Consumer sentiment slid 1.3% to 100.8 points in February, Westpac Banking Corp. said in a statement Wednesday. The survey showed the proportion of respondents expecting an increase in mortgage rates over the next 12 months lifted to 66% from 55% in January.
Source - https://www.aximdaily.com/weekly-market-outlook-monetary-policy-aud-usd/ and https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/australia-consumer-sentiment-drops-on-mounting-rate-rise-fears-1.1720468
1. Household intention - https://www.commbank.com.au/articles/newsroom/2022/02/January-HSI-records-spending-falls.html
2. Household debt - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/risks-to-australia-s-outlook-stand-in-way-of-rba-rate-liftoff-1.1725095
3. Housing - https://propertyupdate.com.au/property-predictions-for-2022-revealed/
4. Transparency index - https://www.transparency.org/en/blog/cpi-2021-corruption-watch-list-australia-austria-el-salvador-kazakhstan
5. Wages - https://theconversation.com/why-theres-no-magic-jobless-rate-to-increase-australians-wages-176538
6. Food costs - https://www.backpackerbanter.com/blog/budget-for-a-month-in-australia
7. Gasoline - https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-02-15/petrol-prices-at-record-highs-pushing-up-other-costs-of-living/100829584
8. Retail innovation - https://www.playinnovation.com.au/blog/retail-trends-how-3-industry-giants-are-shaking-up-the-in-store-shopping-experience
9. Innovation - https://retailtechinnovationhub.com/home/2022/2/18/the-five-biggest-retail-technology-news-stories-of-the-week
10. Supply chain - https://www.arnnet.com.au/article/695460/australia-joins-five-eyes-effort-curb-supply-chain-collusion/
11. Supply Chain - https://collegeforadultlearning.edu.au/five-significant-australian-supply-chain-logistics-job-trends/
12. Trade - https://collegeforadultlearning.edu.au/five-significant-australian-supply-chain-logistics-job-trends/
Cost of Living| The United States |Inflation| January 2022paul young cpa, cga
Summary:
U.S. consumer prices rose solidly in January, leading to the biggest annual increase in inflation in 40 years, fueling financial markets speculation for a 50 basis points interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve next month.
The broad increase in prices reported by the Labor Department on Thursday was led by soaring costs for rents, electricity and food, and could heap more political pressure on President Joe Biden, whose popularity has been declining amid anxiety over the rising cost of living.
High inflation has overshadowed a strong economy, which grew at its fastest pace in 37 years in 2021 and a labor market that is rapidly churning out jobs.
Source - https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/u-consumer-prices-rise-strongly-134042040.html
1. Gasoline prices - https://www.news9.com/story/62053a1ca360bf0725484dd0/gas-prices-hit-their-highest-level-in-8-years--heres-whats-driving-the-surge-
2. Food - https://www.freep.com/story/news/local/michigan/2022/02/10/foods-costs-january-consumer-price-index/6733880001/
3. Housing costs - https://ca.movies.yahoo.com/10-surprisingly-affordable-housing-markets-130020778.html
4. Housing - https://www.gobankingrates.com/investing/real-estate/experts-predict-housing-market-in-2022/
5. Carbon tax - https://www.greencarcongress.com/2022/02/20220210-carbontax.html
6. Zero-emitting trucks - https://www.greencarcongress.com/2022/02/20220210-carbontax.html
7. Average mortgage - https://www.businessinsider.com/personal-finance/average-mortgage-payment
8. Biden - https://www.oliverwyman.com/our-expertise/insights/2022/feb/prepare-for-an-increase-in-corporate-restructuring-in-the-us.html
9. Yellen monetary policies - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/a-bridge-too-far-bond-market-reels-from-latest-inflation-bomb-1.1721824
10. Interest rates - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/nation/inflation-hits-40-year-high-reinforcing-feds-decision-to-raise-interest-rates
11. Household debt - https://thedeepdive.ca/american-consumers-descend-further-into-debt/
12. Consumer confidence - https://www.usnews.com/news/economy/articles/2022-01-25/consumer-confidence-dips-in-january-but-inflation-concerns-ease-slightly
13. Corporate restructuring - https://www.oliverwyman.com/our-expertise/insights/2022/feb/prepare-for-an-increase-in-corporate-restructuring-in-the-us.html
The document is a presentation by Paul Young CPA CGA on the topic of what is happening with the stock market. Some key points from the presentation include:
- Paul Young's background and credentials in various finance and business fields.
- The agenda covers topics like the stock markets in Canada, the US, and other countries. It also discusses corporate reporting challenges, automation, geopolitical risks, and economic scorecards.
- Sections provide summaries of stock market performance in places like the US, Canada, Australia, Asia, the Middle East, and South America. It also addresses topics such as inflation, auditing, and monetary policies.
- Charts, graphs, and links to additional resources
The document is a presentation by Paul Young CPA CGA on the topic "What is up with the Stock Market" for February 4, 2022. It includes sections on Canada and US stock markets, monetary policies by the Bank of Canada, inflation, global stock markets, audit, corporate reporting challenges, crisis management, automation, ESG reporting, geopolitical risks, scorecards for Canada and US, and economic updates on various regions including Asia, Middle East, Europe, South America, and China. It provides links to additional blogs and analyses on these topics by the presenter.
Summary:
Retail sales were up 2.1% to $57.2 billion in August, led by higher sales at food and beverage stores (+4.8%), gasoline stations (+3.8%), and clothing and clothing accessories stores (+3.9%).
Sales increased in 9 of 11 subsectors, representing 94.6% of retail trade.
Core retail sales—which exclude gasoline stations and motor vehicle and parts dealers—were up 2.7%.
In volume terms, retail sales increased 1.4% in August.
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/211022/dq211022a-eng.htm https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/966f8e75-adb4-492b-8c14-924733071bb7/
1. Food costs - https://o.canada.com/news/local-news/lower-income-families-most-likely-to-be-pinched-by-rising-food-prices-supply-chain-problems
2. Rising oil and gas prices - https://www.fraserinstitute.org/article/rising-oil-prices-wont-solve-canadas-oil-and-gas-problems
3. Rise of propane costs - https://granthshala.com/skyrocketing-propane-prices-could-mean-trouble-for-some-canadians-this-winter/
4. Inflation has hit a 20-year high - https://dailyhive.com/vancouver/canada-inflation-highest-decades-2021
5. Supply chain - https://ca.sports.yahoo.com/news/sector-grows-manufacturing-dented-supply-091509523.html?src=rss
6. Global inflation - https://ca.news.yahoo.com/absolutely-concern-around-the-globe-over-inflation-accenture-ceo-144813190.html
7. Jobs and climate change - https://www.nationalobserver.com/2021/10/21/news/more-880000-canadian-jobs-vulnerable-global-clean-energy-transition
8. Rent and Wage - https://retail-insider.com/retail-insider/2021/10/cfib/
9. Pandemic - https://thecanadian.news/2021/10/21/how-to-lead-the-retail-trade-in-pandemic/
10. Retail innovation - https://retailtechinnovationhub.com/home/2021/10/22/five-retail-technology-trends-from-digital-fitting-rooms-to-sustainable-shopping
Cost of Living | Canada| December 2021 (Revised for New Housing Price Index a...paul young cpa, cga
This document provides a summary of cost of living increases in Canada from December 2021. It includes summaries and data on topics like consumer price index, housing price index, household debt, carbon taxation, wages, cable/lumber/natural gas prices. It also provides biographical information about the author Paul Young and an agenda of topics to be covered. The document aims to assess whether policies have made lives more or less affordable and provides recommendations on policy changes to improve affordability.
Blog - Forestry and Sawmill Production – Canada and the World
Lumber prices have decline but are still very high
There seems to be inconsistent policies when it comes to management of forests around the globe
The world is slow in adopting 3D housing
1. Softwood Lumber - https://www.woodworkingnetwork.com/news/woodworking-industry-news/reduced-tariffs-draws-applause
2. Prices - https://www.barchart.com/story/news/7200218/lumber-up-and-down-and-all-around
3. 3D housing - https://www.mentalfloss.com/article/535220/these-10000-concrete-homes-are-3d-printed-less-24-hours
4. Deforestation - https://www.sustainability-times.com/environmental-protection/the-great-amazon-land-grab-brazils-government-is-turning-public-land-private-driving-deforestation/
5. Wetlands - https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-00098-1
6. Housing affordability - https://saportareport.com/understanding-the-housing-affordability-problem/columnists/david/
7. Urban planning - https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2022/02/innovative-global-cities-talent-property/
8. 3D housing - https://www.probuilder.com/3d-printed-technology-offers-solution-affordable-housing
9. Mortgage rates - https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/lumber-prices-crash-30-mortgage-120647926.html
10. Household debt - https://www.teamblind.com/post/21t-national-debt-15-trillion-household-debt-in-usa-and-21-trillion-in-annual-gdp--are-we-doomed-rtZ0Dj5Q
11. Housing bubble - https://betterdwelling.com/
12. Insurance - https://ca.news.yahoo.com/extreme-weather-rising-insurance-rates-160054947.html
13. Heating costs - https://carolinapublicpress.org/51169/heating-costs-and-power-grid-stability-create-concerns-in-cold-temperatures/
Blog – Dairy Sector – Canada – November 2021
Dairy sector continues to face many challenges due cost of feed and other related input costs.
Dairy prices have not risen as much as other prices.
Liberals continue to fail address issues like the impact of the carbon tax on agriculture out and food production.
1. Rising feed prices - https://www.thebeefsite.com/news/57977/canadian-farmers-face-serious-feed-shortages/
2. Oatly - https://ca.news.yahoo.com/oatly-ads-banned-making-misleading-000100110.html
3. Fertilizer - https://www.thedailyscoop.com/news/retail-industry/how-todays-fertilizer-prices-could-reshape-industry
4. Butter production - https://www.foodbusinessnews.net/articles/20477-butter-prices-soar-to-multi-year-highs
5. Higher input costs - https://www.newsbug.info/iroquois_countys_times-republic/news/agriculture/farmers-dealing-with-dramatically-higher-input-costs/article_e5f4b953-424e-5735-bf47-3e8f5cc8c8a6.html
6. Drought - https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/canadian-farmers-face-cattle-feed-shortage-due-drought-transport-strains-2022-01-25/
7. Potato - https://www.thestar.com/news/world/2022/01/25/is-canada-fighting-a-trade-war-against-its-own-potato-farmers.html
8. Cybersecurity - https://www.canadiancattlemen.ca/daily/farm-cybersecurity-campaign-seeks-farmer-input/
9. Food exports - https://www.spglobal.com/platts/en/market-insights/latest-news/agriculture/012422-canadas-common-wheat-exports-rise-63-on-week-durum-wheat-shipments-fall
10. AG and China - https://ipolitics.ca/2022/01/21/chinese-ambassador-pitches-improved-trade-to-western-canada/
11. Food security - https://globalnews.ca/news/8532207/canada-grocery-stores-food-supply-prices/
Has Justin Trudeau been Open, Transparent, and Accountable to Canada?paul young cpa, cga
This document provides an agenda for discussing whether Justin Trudeau has been open, transparent and accountable. It touches on issues like inflation, housing prices, Trudeau invoking emergency powers, defense spending, and interactions with foreign leaders. Multiple links and sources are provided under each topic for further reference on criticisms of Trudeau's policies and leadership.
The document discusses the risks of eco-terrorism and ways to mitigate those risks. It provides background on what eco-terrorism is, including destruction of the environment to intimidate governments or groups. It also discusses the rising costs of terrorism and some examples of eco-terrorism incidents. The document recommends increased investment in surveillance, use of AI, improved urban planning, ecosystem protection, and better forest and land management to help mitigate the risks of eco-terrorism.
Canada’s Jan/22 inflation of 5.1% is the highest since 1991. You can bet the @JustinTrudeau will blame the trucker's protest for the high inflation and not his carbon tax or high taxes or excessive regulation or overspending or other areas of policies!
Revised Housing and Homelessness for Canada and the World paul young cpa, cga
Summary:
Home prices have surged worldwide due to fiscal stimulus and monetary easing to help counter the economic fallout from rising COVID-19 cases. But the outlook for housing markets is now murky as the U.S. Federal Reserve and other central banks lean toward tightening policies to combat higher inflation.
Source - https://asia.nikkei.com/Spotlight/Datawatch/World-s-red-hot-housing-markets-brace-for-interest-rate-hikes
Canada| Economic and Fiscal Scorecard| October 2021 and September 2021paul young cpa, cga
Blog – Canada – Economic Scorecard for October 2021 and September 2021
a) GDP grew at 5.3% annual pace in the 3Q21 - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/statistics-canada-says-gdp-grew-at-5-4-annual-rate-in-q3-1.1688906
b) Wages expected to rise by 2.7% in 2022 - https://www.benefitscanada.com/news/bencan/survey-says-wages-set-to-rise-2-7-in-2022-as-inflation-hits-new-high/
c) Food bank - https://www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/article-nearly-600000-people-accessed-ontario-food-banks-last-year-report-2/
d) Micro housing promoted by CMHC - https://www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/article-nearly-600000-people-accessed-ontario-food-banks-last-year-report-2/
e) Food costs - https://www.marketscreener.com/news/latest/Food-commodity-markets-Stable-with-considerable-upside-price-risks--37157673/
f) Fertilizer - https://theeagle.com/landandlivestockpost/fertilizer-prices-continue-record-climb/article_50b1886e-432b-11ec-b19f-bfb24750ac08.html
g) Commodities - https://www.bloomberg.com/markets/commodities
h) GDP growth has been led by government spending and housing. The goods-producing sector continues to struggle with growth. Real gross domestic product (GDP) edged up 0.1% in September, as declines largely concentrated in manufacturing, construction and retail trade were more than offset by broad-based expansions in services-producing industries as well as in mining, quarrying and oil and gas extraction. https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/211130/dq211130b-eng.htm
i) TSX - https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/tsx-opens-higher-energy-stocks-jump-stronger-crude-2021-11-29/
Summary:
Farm incomes continue to be strong.
AG equipment sales had a banner year in 2021.
More and more farmers will continue to adopt expert farming and sustainable practices when it comes to managing their crop yields.
Agriculture subsidies continue to be a focus area as countries look to expand their AG exports.
1. Crop yields – http://geographical.co.uk/people/development/item/4253-adapt-to-survive
2. Crop insurance and Expert farming - https://www.agri-pulse.com/articles/16975-direct-checks-expected-to-ignite-cover-crop-surge-crop-insurance-may-play-role-too
3. Vertical farming - https://www.hortweek.com/pioneers-shaping-future-vertical-farming/fresh-produce/article/1737366
4. Ag subsidies - https://www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/blog/meat-and-dairy-gobble-up-farming-subsidies/
5. Trade - https://www.wattagnet.com/articles/44271-now-is-the-time-to-pursue-us-africa-agriculture-trade?v=preview
6. Trade - https://www.livemint.com/news/world/india-to-remove-longstanding-barrier-to-agricultural-trade-say-us-officials-11641858901225.html
7. Food costs - https://www.citizen-times.com/story/news/local/2022/01/13/rising-food-costs-2022-groceries-restaurants-farmers-department-agriculture/9184619002/
8. Inflation - https://ca.movies.yahoo.com/december-inflation-sees-fastest-price-152424665.html
9. Farm income - https://katv.com/news/local/farm-incomes-on-the-rise-fryar-center-predicts-trend-to-continue-in-20
10. Outlook - https://upstreamaginsights.substack.com/p/2022-upstream-ag-insights-outlook or https://www.agriculture.com/news/business/2021-was-a-year-unlike-any-other-for-farm-machinery
11. Automation - https://www.gmpresswire.com/agricultural-robots-market-outlook-by-opportunity-and-demand-analysis-forecast-2026/
12. Fertilizer - https://www.realagriculture.com/2017/12/vervaets-slurry-spreader-features-nir-for-precise-nitrogen-application/
Affordable Housing and Homelessness - Canada and the Worldpaul young cpa, cga
Summary:
Average housing price in Canada is close to 800K.
Mortgage debt continues to increase at a faster pace than inflation
People continue to invest into their homes - https://www.furnituretoday.com/research-and-analysis/houzz-report-gives-outlook-on-q1-2022-home-renovation-design/
Construction prices continue to rise - https://ontarioconstructionnews.com/construction-industry-facing-perfect-storm-of-rising-costs-altus-group/
1. Housing affordability - https://www.mondaq.com/canada/real-estate/1161462/ontario39s-housing-affordability-task-force-urges-major-reforms-to-approvals-process-for-residential-development
2. Construction costs - https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/index/djuscn?countrycode=xx
3. Household debt - https://www.creditcanada.com/blog/state-of-canadian-household-debt
4. Housing bubble - https://survivingtomorrow.org/canadas-real-estate-market-is-a-giant-pyramid-scheme-832ea0364c68
5. Urban - https://building.ca/rural-population-growth-concentrated-near-urban-centres/
6. Housing innovation - https://www.archdaily.com/963686/the-same-technology-that-will-allow-us-to-address-housing-challenges-on-earth-will-allow-us-to-venture-off-to-space-interview-with-jason-ballard-of-icon
7. Property tax - https://blackburnnews.com/midwestern-ontario/midwestern-ontario-news/2022/02/15/owen-sound-residents-face-tax-increase/
8. Mortgage - https://www.bloombergquint.com/onweb/canadians-pile-into-mortgage-debt-at-fastest-pace-in-a-decade
9. Millennials - https://fortune.com/2022/02/09/millennials-feel-screwed-housing-market-majority-have-major-regrets/
10. Insurance - https://www.bankrate.com/insurance/homeowners-insurance/homeowners-insurance-cost/
Geopolitical Events|COVID19|Canada and the World| March 4, 2022 paul young cpa, cga
Summary:
More and more countries are lifting vaccine mandates.
Supply chain continues to face many challenges.
Immune and gene therapy continue to explore at different ways to treat diseases.
Little has been said about the need for all levels of government to have better crisis and risk management policies and procedures.
Summary:
Global economy continues to face many headwinds like new variants or climate change or supply chain disruption or labor shortages or housing costs or high inflation or other geopolitical, fiscal, and economic issues and threats.
1. Income inequality - https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/dec/07/global-inequality-western-imperialism-super-rich
2. Global Trade - https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2021/12/globalization-world-trade-bounce-back-from-covid-19/
3. Global economy - https://www.cityam.com/outlook-2022-global-economy/
4. Budget deficits - https://www.thebalance.com/u-s-federal-budget-breakdown-3305789
5. Geopolitical risks - https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/
6. Labor shortages - https://www.qualtrics.com/blog/labor-shortages/
7. Digital adoption - https://www.fiercetelecom.com/telecom/report-digital-transformation-spending-will-catapult-to-6-8-trillion-by-2023
8. Mega Trends - https://www.ishares.com/us/insights/megatrends-themes-to-watch
9. HR - https://www.gartner.com/en/human-resources/trends/top-priorities-for-hr-leaders
10. Retail spending - https://www.fitchratings.com/research/corporate-finance/fitch-ratings-2022-outlook-us-retail-06-12-2021
Blog – What is next for Households – Canada and the World
Household in Canada around the world are facing many pressures like high inflation, job quality, finding affordable daycare, supply chain disruption, threat of automation, finding affordable housing, high taxes, and reduction in government services.
1. Household - https://eppc.org/publication/5-ways-to-make-america-more-family-friendly/
2. Housing bubble - https://realty.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/industry/european-central-bank-cant-ignore-developing-housing-bubble-isabel-schnabel/87630566
3. Housing prices - https://www.fool.ca/2021/11/10/2-in-3-canadians-believe-home-prices-will-keep-rising-but-will-they/
4. ESG - https://www.pwc.com/ca/en/industries/government-and-public-services/aligning-values-and-value-through-esg.html
5. Wage growth - https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/10/inflation-has-taken-away-all-the-wage-gains-for-workers-and-then-some.html
6. Global threats and risks - https://globalriskinsights.com/
7. Income taxes - https://torontosun.com/opinion/columnists/opinion-canadas-high-income-taxes-are-making-us-less-competitive
8. Blog – BMO – Stock Market – 20210511 - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-up-with-stock-marklet-november-5-2021
9. Energy crisis - https://thehill.com/opinion/energy-environment/580843-pavlich-bidens-self-inflicted-energy-crisis
10. Debt - https://www.kfyrtv.com/2021/11/10/household-debt-hit-record-levels-some-experts-say-its-not-all-bad-news/
11. Rent to own - https://storeys.com/liberal-party-rent-to-own-plan/
This document provides a summary of the cost of living in Canada as of October 2021. It includes statistics and data on topics like the consumer price index, housing price index, household debt, carbon taxation, average wages, lumber and natural gas prices. The author is a CPA and subject matter expert who provides contact information. They analyze how various policies have impacted affordability and what further actions could be taken to address issues like housing affordability, skills gaps, competitiveness and supporting different economic sectors.
Key Macro and Micro Indicators| United States| September 2021 and August 2021paul young cpa, cga
The document summarizes key performance indicators for the United States economy in September and August 2021. It includes data on GDP, durable goods orders, retail sales, inflation, employment, trade deficits, stock markets, housing, and fiscal updates. The author is an expert in various areas of business and economics such as risk management, auditing, and supply chain management. He provides sources for further research on US economic indicators.
Has Justin Trudeau been Open, Transparent, and Accountable to Canada?paul young cpa, cga
Summary:
Canada has dropped from 10th (2015) on the global corruption list to 13th (2021)
Canada inflation is the highest it has been in over 30 years.
Trudeau calls the trucker convoy fringe people but says nothing about left-leaning groups that hold up mining and food projects.
1. Food Security - https://www.peicanada.com/island_farmer/federal-ministers-welcome-welcomes-auditor-general-s-report-on-protecting-canada-s-food-system/article_0fbce428-7d4d-11ec-8f59-4ffdd97d2dd5.html - Canada is ranked 7th in 2021 - https://www.foodsafety.ca/news/canada-ranks-7th-global-food-security-index as compared to rank 2nd in 2015.
2. Canada is ranked 13th on the global corruption index for 2021 as compared Canada was 10th in 2015 - https://www.transparency.org/en/cpi/2015
3. Inflation and Canada - https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/hike-or-not-its-toss-up-ahead-bank-canada-rate-decision-2022-01-26/
4. Foreign policies and affairs - https://www.theglobeandmail.com/world/article-canada-shut-out-of-western-allies-talks-with-the-taliban-in-norway/
5. 25% reduction in rates is dependent on the plan. https://mobilesyrup.com/2022/01/27/changes-canadian-carrier-rate-plans-virgin-shaw-rogers-fido-freedom-koodo-telus-lucky-bell-chatr/
6. 5G - https://mobilesyrup.com/2022/01/23/what-does-us-c-band-5g-mean-for-canada/
7. Fiscal update - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/fiscal-update-for-canada-november-2021
8. Ukraine and Canada - https://torontosun.com/opinion/columnists/lilley-trudeau-fails-ukraine-just-as-he-fails-canada
9. Ethical failures - https://www.saltwire.com/atlantic-canada/news/the-ethical-failures-in-canadas-pandemic-response-full-comment-with-anthony-furey-100684222/
10. Truckers - https://tfiglobalnews.com/2022/01/25/truckers-in-canada-launch-biggest-even-anti-trudeau-campaign-in-style/
11. Food affordability - https://farmtario.com/news/canada-slips-on-food-affordability-ranking/
12. Inflation - https://www.cpacanada.ca/en/news/canada/2022-01-26-economic-forecast
USA hit a record $89B trade deficit in January 2022
China continues to lag on their trade agreements with the United States
USA is looking at dealing with despot countries as part of fixing issues with oil supplies - https://www.cnn.com/2022/03/08/politics/joe-biden-saudi-arabia-venezuela-iran-russia-oil/index.html. Both Canada and USA should be focus on increasing domestic production - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-next-for-oil-and-gas-251300497
Russia is world leader in the critical metals. https://eandt.theiet.org/content/articles/2022/03/rare-earth-metal-prices-will-skyrocket-as-ukraine-russia-tensions-continue/
Affordable Housing and Homelessness - Canada and the World paul young cpa, cga
Average house across Canada is now over 700K. Affordable housing continues be a top issue facing Canadians.
https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/0815533e-685e-45ac-a5ba-962dc92d5359/
1. Housing affordability – https://canada.constructconnect.com/dcn/news/projects/2021/11/no-magic-bullet-to-solve-canadas-housing-affordability-crisis-panel
2. Affordability - https://theconversation.com/why-building-more-homes-wont-solve-the-affordable-housing-problem-for-the-millions-of-people-who-need-it-most-171100
3. Income and housing - https://www.morganstanley.com/ideas/thoughts-on-the-market-us-housing
4. Heating costs - https://www.lewistownsentinel.com/opinion/editorials/2021/11/are-you-prepared-for-the-rising-cost-of-heating-your-home-this-winter/
5. Condo fees - https://toronto.ctvnews.ca/sudden-113-per-cent-spike-in-toronto-condo-fees-sparks-nasty-dispute-and-threats-1.5655442
6. Property tax - https://windsor.ctvnews.ca/city-of-windsor-tops-property-tax-list-1.5668657
7. Housing - https://www.canadianrealestatemagazine.ca/expert-advice/canadian-average-home-prices-by-city-compared-334894.aspx
8. 3D printing - https://www.woodworkingnetwork.com/closets/housing-market-boosted-3d-printing
9. Future Cities
10. Hamilton - https://globalnews.ca/news/8335432/hamilton-least-affordable-housing-q2-2021/
How can Bank of Canada achieve its 2% Inflation target for Canadapaul young cpa, cga
The document discusses various issues facing the Canadian economy, including high inflation, housing unaffordability, lack of productivity and innovation. It argues that Justin Trudeau's policies have not adequately addressed long-standing structural problems and that all levels of government need reforms to taxation, spending, innovation programs, and housing policy to boost the economy. The Bank of Canada is keeping interest rates low due to high inflation and uncertainty around achieving full employment. Foreign investment is inflating home prices while productivity and competitiveness have lagged.
I support the need to look at better ways to support childcare including providing parents with different options. The PQ model is far from effective due to its wait list. More thoughts need to go into how best to allocate precious money to childcare including more oversight.
1. Daycare costs - https://www.mother.ly/life/news/news-trending/the-decade-that-made-childcare-unaffordable
2. Child Benefit program needs a review as it is costing over $7B per year and not achieving the results claim by the government - https://www.fraserinstitute.org/studies/does-the-canada-child-benefit-actually-reduce-child-poverty
3. Government is not addressing issues with energy poverty. Energy poverty is leading to decisions made by families in terms of their household budget - https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S2214629621003303
4. There are job quality and employment issues facing Canadians across Canada - https://financialpost.com/news/economy/canadas-unemployment-is-high-but-the-number-of-people-quitting-jobs-is-also-rising-whats-going-on
5. Size of government is also becoming a problem when it comes to delivering of program spending with value for money - https://www.bostonglobe.com/2021/10/05/business/big-tech-is-major-problem-big-government-might-make-it-worse/
6. Childcare costs - https://www.nytimes.com/2021/10/06/upshot/child-care-biden.html
7. Carbon taxation - https://www.baytoday.ca/local-news/bill-to-stop-the-spikes-in-gas-prices-ignored-by-the-government-says-ndp-4491479
8. Inflation - https://www.reuters.com/business/imf-sees-global-gdp-2021-slightly-below-prior-forecast-6-2021-10-05/
9. Childcare workers on average make less than the average wage - https://ca.talent.com/salary?job=child+development Canadians need to make at least 50-60K to live a decent life in Canada - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-happening-with-wages-in-canada
10. Canada and other countries need to focus on policies that support economic growth. Strong economies help better support social programs and wages - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/canada-economic-and-fiscal-scorecard-august-2021-and-july-2021
Blog – What is up with the Stock Market – WE – February 25, 2022
Volatility spiked last week as Russia launched a full invasion of Ukraine, and Western countries responded with sanctions. The combination of heightened geopolitical risk, ongoing inflation pressures, and tightening central-bank policy pushed equities further into correction territory, declining 12% from their Jan. 3 high before rebounding later in the week. Commodities surged, and traditional safe heavens, such as bonds and the U.S. dollar, rallied1.
While we acknowledge that the current backdrop poses fresh challenges for the global recovery, we think that fundamental conditions remain supportive enough to prevent the current correction from becoming something worse, like a bear market. We'd offer the following perspective on the recent developments and provide some rules for the road to navigate the current volatility.
Source - https://www.edwardjones.com/us-en/market-news-insights/stock-market-news/stock-market-weekly-update
Fiscal and Economic Scorecar| The United States| December 2021 and November 2021paul young cpa, cga
Blog – Economic and Fiscal Scorecard – The United States – December 2021 and November 2021
The USA show a strong GDP growth for 2021.
The USA healthcare system continues to face many challenges.
Wage growth hit the highest growth in decades.
High inflation and the cost of housing are big concerns for Americans.
Business automation continues to be a key focus areas for both the private and public Sectors.
1. USA GDP - https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economic-issues-watch/us-economy-grew-faster-expected-2021-pandemic-transformed-its
2. Stock market - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/here-are-the-good-things-rbc-sees-in-the-u-s-stock-market-following-januarys-selloff-11643660195
3. Overworked - https://20somethingfinance.com/american-hours-worked-productivity-vacation/
4. Productivity - https://www.forbes.com/sites/forbestechcouncil/2022/01/25/fixed-broadband-network-performance-key-to-us-productivity/?sh=7f8f8526333c
5. Wages - https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economic-issues-watch/us-wages-grew-fastest-pace-decades-2021-prices-grew-even-more
6. Fab production - https://www.fierceelectronics.com/electronics/chip-fabs-are-coming-us-will-there-be-enough-skilled-workers
7. Critical metals - https://ca.proactiveinvestors.com/companies/news/972757/australian-strategic-materials-well-funded-to-advance-critical-metals-asset-in-nsw-and-south-korean-value-add-972757.html
8. Circular and green economy - https://www2.deloitte.com/global/en/pages/energy-and-resources/articles/reshaping-traditional-value-chains.html
9. Food costs - https://www.kwtx.com/2022/01/31/grocery-store-prices-continue-rise-amid-inflation-supply-chain-issues/
10. Housing - https://www.fox5atlanta.com/money/homeownership-prices-rise-affordability-falls
11. Healthcare - https://www.fox5atlanta.com/money/homeownership-prices-rise-affordability-falls
12. Automation - https://www.protocol.com/enterprise/google-cloud-automation-anywhere-rpa
13. Business trends - https://www.protocol.com/enterprise/google-cloud-automation-anywhere-rpa
14. RPA - https://enterprisersproject.com/article/2022/1/4-robotic-process-automation-rpa-trends-watch-2022
Summary:
The real gross domestic product (GDP) was essentially unchanged in December following six consecutive months of growth.
Growth in services-producing industries (+0.1%) was offset by a decline in goods-producing industries (-0.1%), as 14 of 20 industrial sectors increased in December.
Advance information indicates a 0.2% increase in real GDP in January, 2022. Leading the growth were retail, construction, finance and insurance as well as the professional, scientific and technical services sector. Notable decreases were in manufacturing, mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction as well as client-facing services industries and air transportation services due to continued public health restrictions put in place in late 2021. Owing to its preliminary nature, this estimate will be updated on March 31 with the release of the official GDP data for January 2022.
Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/220301/dq220301b-eng.htm
1. GDP growth / Canada - https://www.fitchratings.com/research/sovereigns/bank-of-canada-prepares-to-raise-interest-rates-start-quantitative-tightening-28-02-2022
2. Small Businesses - https://www.ictsd.org/what-percentage-is-small-business-in-canada/
3. Imports - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/trudeau-says-canada-will-ban-russian-crude-oil-imports-1.1730248 - Canada should be banning all trade - https://oec.world/en/profile/bilateral-country/can/partner/rus
4. LNG - https://www.resourceworks.com/get-canada-into-lng-game
5. Oil - https://dailyhive.com/vancouver/russian-oil-canada-putin-alberta
6. Balance of payments - https://www.investmentexecutive.com/news/research-and-markets/balance-of-payments-sees-first-surplus-since-financial-crisis/
7. Housing affordability continues to be a major issue with many Canadians
8. Climate change - https://globalnews.ca/news/8649992/risks-climate-change-unavoidable-deadlier-un-climate-report/
9. Trade - https://www.brookings.edu/blog/up-front/2022/02/28/canadas-vision-for-a-resilient-north-american-trade-relationship/
10. Threats - https://www.nationalobserver.com/2022/02/26/news/espionage-cyberattacks-threaten-canadas-pandemic-recovery-pm-warned
Has Justin Trudeau been Open, Transparent, and Accountable to Canada?paul young cpa, cga
This document provides an agenda for discussing whether Justin Trudeau has been open, transparent and accountable. It touches on issues like inflation, housing prices, Trudeau invoking emergency powers, defense spending, and interactions with foreign leaders. Multiple links and sources are provided under each topic for further reference on criticisms of Trudeau's policies and leadership.
The document discusses the risks of eco-terrorism and ways to mitigate those risks. It provides background on what eco-terrorism is, including destruction of the environment to intimidate governments or groups. It also discusses the rising costs of terrorism and some examples of eco-terrorism incidents. The document recommends increased investment in surveillance, use of AI, improved urban planning, ecosystem protection, and better forest and land management to help mitigate the risks of eco-terrorism.
Canada’s Jan/22 inflation of 5.1% is the highest since 1991. You can bet the @JustinTrudeau will blame the trucker's protest for the high inflation and not his carbon tax or high taxes or excessive regulation or overspending or other areas of policies!
Revised Housing and Homelessness for Canada and the World paul young cpa, cga
Summary:
Home prices have surged worldwide due to fiscal stimulus and monetary easing to help counter the economic fallout from rising COVID-19 cases. But the outlook for housing markets is now murky as the U.S. Federal Reserve and other central banks lean toward tightening policies to combat higher inflation.
Source - https://asia.nikkei.com/Spotlight/Datawatch/World-s-red-hot-housing-markets-brace-for-interest-rate-hikes
Canada| Economic and Fiscal Scorecard| October 2021 and September 2021paul young cpa, cga
Blog – Canada – Economic Scorecard for October 2021 and September 2021
a) GDP grew at 5.3% annual pace in the 3Q21 - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/statistics-canada-says-gdp-grew-at-5-4-annual-rate-in-q3-1.1688906
b) Wages expected to rise by 2.7% in 2022 - https://www.benefitscanada.com/news/bencan/survey-says-wages-set-to-rise-2-7-in-2022-as-inflation-hits-new-high/
c) Food bank - https://www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/article-nearly-600000-people-accessed-ontario-food-banks-last-year-report-2/
d) Micro housing promoted by CMHC - https://www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/article-nearly-600000-people-accessed-ontario-food-banks-last-year-report-2/
e) Food costs - https://www.marketscreener.com/news/latest/Food-commodity-markets-Stable-with-considerable-upside-price-risks--37157673/
f) Fertilizer - https://theeagle.com/landandlivestockpost/fertilizer-prices-continue-record-climb/article_50b1886e-432b-11ec-b19f-bfb24750ac08.html
g) Commodities - https://www.bloomberg.com/markets/commodities
h) GDP growth has been led by government spending and housing. The goods-producing sector continues to struggle with growth. Real gross domestic product (GDP) edged up 0.1% in September, as declines largely concentrated in manufacturing, construction and retail trade were more than offset by broad-based expansions in services-producing industries as well as in mining, quarrying and oil and gas extraction. https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/211130/dq211130b-eng.htm
i) TSX - https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/tsx-opens-higher-energy-stocks-jump-stronger-crude-2021-11-29/
Summary:
Farm incomes continue to be strong.
AG equipment sales had a banner year in 2021.
More and more farmers will continue to adopt expert farming and sustainable practices when it comes to managing their crop yields.
Agriculture subsidies continue to be a focus area as countries look to expand their AG exports.
1. Crop yields – http://geographical.co.uk/people/development/item/4253-adapt-to-survive
2. Crop insurance and Expert farming - https://www.agri-pulse.com/articles/16975-direct-checks-expected-to-ignite-cover-crop-surge-crop-insurance-may-play-role-too
3. Vertical farming - https://www.hortweek.com/pioneers-shaping-future-vertical-farming/fresh-produce/article/1737366
4. Ag subsidies - https://www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/blog/meat-and-dairy-gobble-up-farming-subsidies/
5. Trade - https://www.wattagnet.com/articles/44271-now-is-the-time-to-pursue-us-africa-agriculture-trade?v=preview
6. Trade - https://www.livemint.com/news/world/india-to-remove-longstanding-barrier-to-agricultural-trade-say-us-officials-11641858901225.html
7. Food costs - https://www.citizen-times.com/story/news/local/2022/01/13/rising-food-costs-2022-groceries-restaurants-farmers-department-agriculture/9184619002/
8. Inflation - https://ca.movies.yahoo.com/december-inflation-sees-fastest-price-152424665.html
9. Farm income - https://katv.com/news/local/farm-incomes-on-the-rise-fryar-center-predicts-trend-to-continue-in-20
10. Outlook - https://upstreamaginsights.substack.com/p/2022-upstream-ag-insights-outlook or https://www.agriculture.com/news/business/2021-was-a-year-unlike-any-other-for-farm-machinery
11. Automation - https://www.gmpresswire.com/agricultural-robots-market-outlook-by-opportunity-and-demand-analysis-forecast-2026/
12. Fertilizer - https://www.realagriculture.com/2017/12/vervaets-slurry-spreader-features-nir-for-precise-nitrogen-application/
Affordable Housing and Homelessness - Canada and the Worldpaul young cpa, cga
Summary:
Average housing price in Canada is close to 800K.
Mortgage debt continues to increase at a faster pace than inflation
People continue to invest into their homes - https://www.furnituretoday.com/research-and-analysis/houzz-report-gives-outlook-on-q1-2022-home-renovation-design/
Construction prices continue to rise - https://ontarioconstructionnews.com/construction-industry-facing-perfect-storm-of-rising-costs-altus-group/
1. Housing affordability - https://www.mondaq.com/canada/real-estate/1161462/ontario39s-housing-affordability-task-force-urges-major-reforms-to-approvals-process-for-residential-development
2. Construction costs - https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/index/djuscn?countrycode=xx
3. Household debt - https://www.creditcanada.com/blog/state-of-canadian-household-debt
4. Housing bubble - https://survivingtomorrow.org/canadas-real-estate-market-is-a-giant-pyramid-scheme-832ea0364c68
5. Urban - https://building.ca/rural-population-growth-concentrated-near-urban-centres/
6. Housing innovation - https://www.archdaily.com/963686/the-same-technology-that-will-allow-us-to-address-housing-challenges-on-earth-will-allow-us-to-venture-off-to-space-interview-with-jason-ballard-of-icon
7. Property tax - https://blackburnnews.com/midwestern-ontario/midwestern-ontario-news/2022/02/15/owen-sound-residents-face-tax-increase/
8. Mortgage - https://www.bloombergquint.com/onweb/canadians-pile-into-mortgage-debt-at-fastest-pace-in-a-decade
9. Millennials - https://fortune.com/2022/02/09/millennials-feel-screwed-housing-market-majority-have-major-regrets/
10. Insurance - https://www.bankrate.com/insurance/homeowners-insurance/homeowners-insurance-cost/
Geopolitical Events|COVID19|Canada and the World| March 4, 2022 paul young cpa, cga
Summary:
More and more countries are lifting vaccine mandates.
Supply chain continues to face many challenges.
Immune and gene therapy continue to explore at different ways to treat diseases.
Little has been said about the need for all levels of government to have better crisis and risk management policies and procedures.
Summary:
Global economy continues to face many headwinds like new variants or climate change or supply chain disruption or labor shortages or housing costs or high inflation or other geopolitical, fiscal, and economic issues and threats.
1. Income inequality - https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/dec/07/global-inequality-western-imperialism-super-rich
2. Global Trade - https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2021/12/globalization-world-trade-bounce-back-from-covid-19/
3. Global economy - https://www.cityam.com/outlook-2022-global-economy/
4. Budget deficits - https://www.thebalance.com/u-s-federal-budget-breakdown-3305789
5. Geopolitical risks - https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/
6. Labor shortages - https://www.qualtrics.com/blog/labor-shortages/
7. Digital adoption - https://www.fiercetelecom.com/telecom/report-digital-transformation-spending-will-catapult-to-6-8-trillion-by-2023
8. Mega Trends - https://www.ishares.com/us/insights/megatrends-themes-to-watch
9. HR - https://www.gartner.com/en/human-resources/trends/top-priorities-for-hr-leaders
10. Retail spending - https://www.fitchratings.com/research/corporate-finance/fitch-ratings-2022-outlook-us-retail-06-12-2021
Blog – What is next for Households – Canada and the World
Household in Canada around the world are facing many pressures like high inflation, job quality, finding affordable daycare, supply chain disruption, threat of automation, finding affordable housing, high taxes, and reduction in government services.
1. Household - https://eppc.org/publication/5-ways-to-make-america-more-family-friendly/
2. Housing bubble - https://realty.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/industry/european-central-bank-cant-ignore-developing-housing-bubble-isabel-schnabel/87630566
3. Housing prices - https://www.fool.ca/2021/11/10/2-in-3-canadians-believe-home-prices-will-keep-rising-but-will-they/
4. ESG - https://www.pwc.com/ca/en/industries/government-and-public-services/aligning-values-and-value-through-esg.html
5. Wage growth - https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/10/inflation-has-taken-away-all-the-wage-gains-for-workers-and-then-some.html
6. Global threats and risks - https://globalriskinsights.com/
7. Income taxes - https://torontosun.com/opinion/columnists/opinion-canadas-high-income-taxes-are-making-us-less-competitive
8. Blog – BMO – Stock Market – 20210511 - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-up-with-stock-marklet-november-5-2021
9. Energy crisis - https://thehill.com/opinion/energy-environment/580843-pavlich-bidens-self-inflicted-energy-crisis
10. Debt - https://www.kfyrtv.com/2021/11/10/household-debt-hit-record-levels-some-experts-say-its-not-all-bad-news/
11. Rent to own - https://storeys.com/liberal-party-rent-to-own-plan/
This document provides a summary of the cost of living in Canada as of October 2021. It includes statistics and data on topics like the consumer price index, housing price index, household debt, carbon taxation, average wages, lumber and natural gas prices. The author is a CPA and subject matter expert who provides contact information. They analyze how various policies have impacted affordability and what further actions could be taken to address issues like housing affordability, skills gaps, competitiveness and supporting different economic sectors.
Key Macro and Micro Indicators| United States| September 2021 and August 2021paul young cpa, cga
The document summarizes key performance indicators for the United States economy in September and August 2021. It includes data on GDP, durable goods orders, retail sales, inflation, employment, trade deficits, stock markets, housing, and fiscal updates. The author is an expert in various areas of business and economics such as risk management, auditing, and supply chain management. He provides sources for further research on US economic indicators.
Has Justin Trudeau been Open, Transparent, and Accountable to Canada?paul young cpa, cga
Summary:
Canada has dropped from 10th (2015) on the global corruption list to 13th (2021)
Canada inflation is the highest it has been in over 30 years.
Trudeau calls the trucker convoy fringe people but says nothing about left-leaning groups that hold up mining and food projects.
1. Food Security - https://www.peicanada.com/island_farmer/federal-ministers-welcome-welcomes-auditor-general-s-report-on-protecting-canada-s-food-system/article_0fbce428-7d4d-11ec-8f59-4ffdd97d2dd5.html - Canada is ranked 7th in 2021 - https://www.foodsafety.ca/news/canada-ranks-7th-global-food-security-index as compared to rank 2nd in 2015.
2. Canada is ranked 13th on the global corruption index for 2021 as compared Canada was 10th in 2015 - https://www.transparency.org/en/cpi/2015
3. Inflation and Canada - https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/hike-or-not-its-toss-up-ahead-bank-canada-rate-decision-2022-01-26/
4. Foreign policies and affairs - https://www.theglobeandmail.com/world/article-canada-shut-out-of-western-allies-talks-with-the-taliban-in-norway/
5. 25% reduction in rates is dependent on the plan. https://mobilesyrup.com/2022/01/27/changes-canadian-carrier-rate-plans-virgin-shaw-rogers-fido-freedom-koodo-telus-lucky-bell-chatr/
6. 5G - https://mobilesyrup.com/2022/01/23/what-does-us-c-band-5g-mean-for-canada/
7. Fiscal update - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/fiscal-update-for-canada-november-2021
8. Ukraine and Canada - https://torontosun.com/opinion/columnists/lilley-trudeau-fails-ukraine-just-as-he-fails-canada
9. Ethical failures - https://www.saltwire.com/atlantic-canada/news/the-ethical-failures-in-canadas-pandemic-response-full-comment-with-anthony-furey-100684222/
10. Truckers - https://tfiglobalnews.com/2022/01/25/truckers-in-canada-launch-biggest-even-anti-trudeau-campaign-in-style/
11. Food affordability - https://farmtario.com/news/canada-slips-on-food-affordability-ranking/
12. Inflation - https://www.cpacanada.ca/en/news/canada/2022-01-26-economic-forecast
USA hit a record $89B trade deficit in January 2022
China continues to lag on their trade agreements with the United States
USA is looking at dealing with despot countries as part of fixing issues with oil supplies - https://www.cnn.com/2022/03/08/politics/joe-biden-saudi-arabia-venezuela-iran-russia-oil/index.html. Both Canada and USA should be focus on increasing domestic production - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-next-for-oil-and-gas-251300497
Russia is world leader in the critical metals. https://eandt.theiet.org/content/articles/2022/03/rare-earth-metal-prices-will-skyrocket-as-ukraine-russia-tensions-continue/
Affordable Housing and Homelessness - Canada and the World paul young cpa, cga
Average house across Canada is now over 700K. Affordable housing continues be a top issue facing Canadians.
https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/0815533e-685e-45ac-a5ba-962dc92d5359/
1. Housing affordability – https://canada.constructconnect.com/dcn/news/projects/2021/11/no-magic-bullet-to-solve-canadas-housing-affordability-crisis-panel
2. Affordability - https://theconversation.com/why-building-more-homes-wont-solve-the-affordable-housing-problem-for-the-millions-of-people-who-need-it-most-171100
3. Income and housing - https://www.morganstanley.com/ideas/thoughts-on-the-market-us-housing
4. Heating costs - https://www.lewistownsentinel.com/opinion/editorials/2021/11/are-you-prepared-for-the-rising-cost-of-heating-your-home-this-winter/
5. Condo fees - https://toronto.ctvnews.ca/sudden-113-per-cent-spike-in-toronto-condo-fees-sparks-nasty-dispute-and-threats-1.5655442
6. Property tax - https://windsor.ctvnews.ca/city-of-windsor-tops-property-tax-list-1.5668657
7. Housing - https://www.canadianrealestatemagazine.ca/expert-advice/canadian-average-home-prices-by-city-compared-334894.aspx
8. 3D printing - https://www.woodworkingnetwork.com/closets/housing-market-boosted-3d-printing
9. Future Cities
10. Hamilton - https://globalnews.ca/news/8335432/hamilton-least-affordable-housing-q2-2021/
How can Bank of Canada achieve its 2% Inflation target for Canadapaul young cpa, cga
The document discusses various issues facing the Canadian economy, including high inflation, housing unaffordability, lack of productivity and innovation. It argues that Justin Trudeau's policies have not adequately addressed long-standing structural problems and that all levels of government need reforms to taxation, spending, innovation programs, and housing policy to boost the economy. The Bank of Canada is keeping interest rates low due to high inflation and uncertainty around achieving full employment. Foreign investment is inflating home prices while productivity and competitiveness have lagged.
I support the need to look at better ways to support childcare including providing parents with different options. The PQ model is far from effective due to its wait list. More thoughts need to go into how best to allocate precious money to childcare including more oversight.
1. Daycare costs - https://www.mother.ly/life/news/news-trending/the-decade-that-made-childcare-unaffordable
2. Child Benefit program needs a review as it is costing over $7B per year and not achieving the results claim by the government - https://www.fraserinstitute.org/studies/does-the-canada-child-benefit-actually-reduce-child-poverty
3. Government is not addressing issues with energy poverty. Energy poverty is leading to decisions made by families in terms of their household budget - https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S2214629621003303
4. There are job quality and employment issues facing Canadians across Canada - https://financialpost.com/news/economy/canadas-unemployment-is-high-but-the-number-of-people-quitting-jobs-is-also-rising-whats-going-on
5. Size of government is also becoming a problem when it comes to delivering of program spending with value for money - https://www.bostonglobe.com/2021/10/05/business/big-tech-is-major-problem-big-government-might-make-it-worse/
6. Childcare costs - https://www.nytimes.com/2021/10/06/upshot/child-care-biden.html
7. Carbon taxation - https://www.baytoday.ca/local-news/bill-to-stop-the-spikes-in-gas-prices-ignored-by-the-government-says-ndp-4491479
8. Inflation - https://www.reuters.com/business/imf-sees-global-gdp-2021-slightly-below-prior-forecast-6-2021-10-05/
9. Childcare workers on average make less than the average wage - https://ca.talent.com/salary?job=child+development Canadians need to make at least 50-60K to live a decent life in Canada - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-happening-with-wages-in-canada
10. Canada and other countries need to focus on policies that support economic growth. Strong economies help better support social programs and wages - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/canada-economic-and-fiscal-scorecard-august-2021-and-july-2021
Blog – What is up with the Stock Market – WE – February 25, 2022
Volatility spiked last week as Russia launched a full invasion of Ukraine, and Western countries responded with sanctions. The combination of heightened geopolitical risk, ongoing inflation pressures, and tightening central-bank policy pushed equities further into correction territory, declining 12% from their Jan. 3 high before rebounding later in the week. Commodities surged, and traditional safe heavens, such as bonds and the U.S. dollar, rallied1.
While we acknowledge that the current backdrop poses fresh challenges for the global recovery, we think that fundamental conditions remain supportive enough to prevent the current correction from becoming something worse, like a bear market. We'd offer the following perspective on the recent developments and provide some rules for the road to navigate the current volatility.
Source - https://www.edwardjones.com/us-en/market-news-insights/stock-market-news/stock-market-weekly-update
Fiscal and Economic Scorecar| The United States| December 2021 and November 2021paul young cpa, cga
Blog – Economic and Fiscal Scorecard – The United States – December 2021 and November 2021
The USA show a strong GDP growth for 2021.
The USA healthcare system continues to face many challenges.
Wage growth hit the highest growth in decades.
High inflation and the cost of housing are big concerns for Americans.
Business automation continues to be a key focus areas for both the private and public Sectors.
1. USA GDP - https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economic-issues-watch/us-economy-grew-faster-expected-2021-pandemic-transformed-its
2. Stock market - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/here-are-the-good-things-rbc-sees-in-the-u-s-stock-market-following-januarys-selloff-11643660195
3. Overworked - https://20somethingfinance.com/american-hours-worked-productivity-vacation/
4. Productivity - https://www.forbes.com/sites/forbestechcouncil/2022/01/25/fixed-broadband-network-performance-key-to-us-productivity/?sh=7f8f8526333c
5. Wages - https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economic-issues-watch/us-wages-grew-fastest-pace-decades-2021-prices-grew-even-more
6. Fab production - https://www.fierceelectronics.com/electronics/chip-fabs-are-coming-us-will-there-be-enough-skilled-workers
7. Critical metals - https://ca.proactiveinvestors.com/companies/news/972757/australian-strategic-materials-well-funded-to-advance-critical-metals-asset-in-nsw-and-south-korean-value-add-972757.html
8. Circular and green economy - https://www2.deloitte.com/global/en/pages/energy-and-resources/articles/reshaping-traditional-value-chains.html
9. Food costs - https://www.kwtx.com/2022/01/31/grocery-store-prices-continue-rise-amid-inflation-supply-chain-issues/
10. Housing - https://www.fox5atlanta.com/money/homeownership-prices-rise-affordability-falls
11. Healthcare - https://www.fox5atlanta.com/money/homeownership-prices-rise-affordability-falls
12. Automation - https://www.protocol.com/enterprise/google-cloud-automation-anywhere-rpa
13. Business trends - https://www.protocol.com/enterprise/google-cloud-automation-anywhere-rpa
14. RPA - https://enterprisersproject.com/article/2022/1/4-robotic-process-automation-rpa-trends-watch-2022
Summary:
The real gross domestic product (GDP) was essentially unchanged in December following six consecutive months of growth.
Growth in services-producing industries (+0.1%) was offset by a decline in goods-producing industries (-0.1%), as 14 of 20 industrial sectors increased in December.
Advance information indicates a 0.2% increase in real GDP in January, 2022. Leading the growth were retail, construction, finance and insurance as well as the professional, scientific and technical services sector. Notable decreases were in manufacturing, mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction as well as client-facing services industries and air transportation services due to continued public health restrictions put in place in late 2021. Owing to its preliminary nature, this estimate will be updated on March 31 with the release of the official GDP data for January 2022.
Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/220301/dq220301b-eng.htm
1. GDP growth / Canada - https://www.fitchratings.com/research/sovereigns/bank-of-canada-prepares-to-raise-interest-rates-start-quantitative-tightening-28-02-2022
2. Small Businesses - https://www.ictsd.org/what-percentage-is-small-business-in-canada/
3. Imports - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/trudeau-says-canada-will-ban-russian-crude-oil-imports-1.1730248 - Canada should be banning all trade - https://oec.world/en/profile/bilateral-country/can/partner/rus
4. LNG - https://www.resourceworks.com/get-canada-into-lng-game
5. Oil - https://dailyhive.com/vancouver/russian-oil-canada-putin-alberta
6. Balance of payments - https://www.investmentexecutive.com/news/research-and-markets/balance-of-payments-sees-first-surplus-since-financial-crisis/
7. Housing affordability continues to be a major issue with many Canadians
8. Climate change - https://globalnews.ca/news/8649992/risks-climate-change-unavoidable-deadlier-un-climate-report/
9. Trade - https://www.brookings.edu/blog/up-front/2022/02/28/canadas-vision-for-a-resilient-north-american-trade-relationship/
10. Threats - https://www.nationalobserver.com/2022/02/26/news/espionage-cyberattacks-threaten-canadas-pandemic-recovery-pm-warned
Key Macro and Micro Indicators - United States - May 2022 and April 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
The document provides a summary of key performance indicators for the United States economy in May and April 2022. It includes data on GDP, durable goods, retail sales, inflation, employment, trade, stock market, housing, and fiscal updates. A variety of sources are cited from the Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Congressional Budget Office, and others. The presentation outlines economic trends and what may come next for the US and global economies.
Blog – What is next for the Global Economy – October 2022
The global economy faces many challenges including high inflation and geopolitical risks.
Global debt levels are a deep concern for central banks as interest rates continue to rise
All levels of government need to re-think their progressive agenda. More needs to be done to reign in government spending. More emphasis needs to be on digital government and value for money as it relates to program spending and performance
Closing tax loopholes should be a priority for all levels of government as part bringing in tax fairness
Countries like Canada need to do more to streamline their regulatory process as part of getting goods out of the ground to market.
Farmers need more policy support as part of adopting vertical and expert farming practices. Food security and costs continue to be an issue for governments around the world
Power grid will require trillions of investments as it moves to net zero. Low electricity rates are likely a thing of the past. The capital recovery by electrical power generators will see a rise in rates.
The world needs to find ways to bring peace to world. United Nations needs to do a better job working with countries to resolved political issues with countries.
GDP growth is led by real estate and govt spending.
NR sector continues to lag other sectors in terms of growth despite high commodities prices
Household debt is at all-time high
Canada still faces challenges with productivity
Both services-producing (+0.6%) and goods-producing (+0.5%) industries were up, as 17 of 20 industrial sectors posted increases in November.
Advance information indicates that real GDP for December was essentially unchanged. Widespread increases led by the manufacturing, agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting, utilities and wholesale trade sectors were offset by declines in the accommodation and food services, mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction and retail trade sectors. This advance information for real GDP by industry indicates a 1.6% uptick in the fourth quarter of 2021 and a rebound of 4.9% in the year following the pandemic-induced decline observed in 2020. Given their preliminary nature, these estimates will be updated on March 1, 2022 with the release of the official GDP data for December and the fourth quarter of 2021.
Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/220201/dq220201a-eng.htm
1. Inflation and Canada – https://www.fool.ca/2022/01/31/holding-onto-tonnes-of-cash-heres-how-much-of-it-that-inflation-would-destroy-in-a-decade/
2. Housing - https://financialpost.com/real-estate/busting-the-myth-of-canadas-million-or-more-vacant-homes
3. Supply chain task force - https://canada.autonews.com/manufacturing/supply-chain-issues-be-tackled-new-federal-task-force
4. Mining - https://miningglobal.com/top10/top-10-countries-based-on-natural-resources
5. Electrical vehicles - https://ipolitics.ca/2022/01/31/lobby-wrap-auto-industry-wants-training-as-ev-sales-rise/
6. Middle class - https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2022/01/31/lost-factory-jobs-make-harder-move-into-middle-class-report-says/9213089002/?gnt-cfr=1
7. Consumer spending - https://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/weaker-u-s-consumer-spending-rising-inflation-pose-dilemma-for-fed/
8. Commodity prices - https://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/commodity-prices-likely-to-be-hit-by-slowdown-before-end-of-2023/
9. ESG - https://www.reuters.com/business/sustainable-business/euroclear-teams-up-with-fintech-expand-esg-services-2022-01-31/
10. Insurance risk - https://www.insurancebusinessmag.com/us/news/environmental/environmental-insurance--what-are-the-concerns-323760.aspx
11. Geopolitical Risks - https://www.reuters.com/business/rising-geopolitical-tension-demand-send-oil-price-outlook-soaring-2022-01-31/
12. 2022-2023 – Budget - https://globalnews.ca/news/8585003/federal-budget-plan-2022/
Summary:
The longer the Ukraine and Russia conflict goes on the worse it will be for the world.
Both Canada and USA continue to play politics when it comes to management of critical metals, metals, food, natural gas, and oil.
Housing affordability continues to be an issue. All levels of government have failed to address the systemic issues with housing.
Green agenda continues to dominate the politics. The problem is that green energy seldom if ever goes through the same approaches as natural resource sector - https://dbldkr.com/top-5-advantages-and-disadvantages-of-wind-energy/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=top-5-advantages-and-disadvantages-of-wind-energy
High inflation and supply chain disruption could lead to a recession in late 2022, or early 2023.
Key Macro and Micro Indicators| United States| October 2021 and September 2021paul young cpa, cga
The document provides a summary of key performance indicators for the United States economy in October and September 2021. It includes GDP growth, durable goods orders, retail sales, inflation, employment, trade deficits, stock market performance, housing starts, and fiscal updates. The author, Paul Young CPA CGA, is an expert in various areas of business and economics and provides the information as well as contact details for further discussion.
Geopolitics - Risk and Threats - Variants and Disease Management - August 20,...paul young cpa, cga
Blog – How to better managed Geopolitical Events and Risks
Both the private and public sector continue to face geopolitical risks and threats. More need to be done to safeguard assets as well as protecting lives of everyone.
Healthcare continues to face crisis. The staffing issues will take many different steps including more seats at medical and nursing schools. Certification of nurses needs to be sped up, especially foreign-trained and out of province nurses.
All levels of government need to eliminate red tape and miss management of precious healthcare dollars. LHINS and CCAC should be disbanded. Hospitals and Health Centers should report monthly into the government as part of better transparency around patient care.
Privatization options need to be expanded. Oversight into privatization of healthcare will required more audited F/S including key metrics.
Fiscal and Economic Scorecard - Canada - May 2022 and April 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
- Canadian GDP rose 0.3% in April but early estimates suggest a decline in May, as housing declined while commodity and hospitality sectors grew.
- Employment levels remain high but concerns around affordability, debt levels, and middle-class incomes persist.
- Manufacturing sales fell in April with supply chain issues continuing to impact industries.
- Housing prices rose in April but affordability is a major issue, as inflation reduces purchasing power.
- Inflation remains high in Canada, driven by factors like energy and food costs.
Geopolitics - Risk and Threats - Variants and Disease Management - August 14,...paul young cpa, cga
Summary
All levels of government along with the private sector need to addressing failings of the healthcare model. Privatization should be part of improving the healthcare model as better way to managed patient care. The Drummond Report stated years ago that government need to move a homecare base model as part of managing the costs of healthcare - https://financialpost.com/opinion/the-drummond-report-gave-ontario-a-good-plan-then-kathleen-wynne-buried-it
The governance model for all levels of government needs to change including more performance and operational audits. There needs to mandatory crisis and emergency management reports including annual audits of those reports.
Drug costs continue to be an issue. Pharma and Biotech invest money into R&D as such want patent protection over their discovery. All levels of governments along with private insurance companies need to work together as part of reducing drug costs.
Government around continues to struggle with delivery program spending in a way that improves outcomes. Key programs like healthcare and dental care need a thorough review to ensure these programs are effective in terms of improving outcomes.
How did Canada performance economically and fiscal for January 2022 and Decem...paul young cpa, cga
The document provides an agenda and summaries on key economic and fiscal metrics for Canada in December 2021 and January 2022. It discusses employment trends, trade data, manufacturing activity, housing market conditions, inflation rates, fiscal updates, and perspectives on various policy issues. Major points include a minimal change to GDP in December, job gains led by manufacturing and construction in January, a rise in imports and fall in exports in December, and inflation hitting a 30-year high of 5.1% in January. The document contains links to supporting data sources and the author's analyses on economic and public policy topics.
Analysis and Commentary - Geopolitical Risks and Threats - February 4, 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
- The document discusses various geopolitical risks and threats, including inflation, stock market volatility, wealth inequality, COVID cases/deaths/vaccinations, employment data, and GDP forecasts.
- It also covers topics like supply chain disruptions, food prices, real estate markets, and sustainability reporting.
- The author is an expert in areas like risk management, auditing, healthcare, and emerging technologies and provides commentary on current events.
Geopolitics - Risk and Threats - Variants and Disease Management - September...paul young cpa, cga
Blog – Geopolitical Risks and Events – Disease Management and Virus Mitigation
L/T and assisted living continues to struggle with access to beds.
Healthcare system continues to struggle with its delivery model
Healthcare continues to move more and more to a digital model
Food costs and food security continue to grow in terms of importance.
Bank of Canada - What is next for Monetary Policies - April 2022 (Revised Mar...paul young cpa, cga
Canada inflation rate hit nearly 7% for March 2022. Canada has one of the highest inflation rates in the G7.
Higher interest rates mean less cash for retail sales
Government continues to push their green agenda driving more green inflation
Oil and Gas Sector -Analysis and Commentary - April 2022 (Revised - 20221105...paul young cpa, cga
The document provides an overview of Paul Young's professional experience and expertise in various areas including risk management, business processes, emerging technologies, and macroeconomic indicators. It includes his contact information and links to his LinkedIn, SlideShare, Twitter, and YouTube profiles. The remainder of the document consists of various articles and reports on topics related to the oil and gas industry, energy markets, inflation, and supply chains.
Geopolitics - Risk and Threats - Variants and Disease Management - September...paul young cpa, cga
Blog – Geopolitical Risks and Events – Canada and the World – September 4, 2022
Viruses will continue to evolve. More needs to be done to mitigate the virus threats through better oversight of WHO.
Healthcare sector needs to revisit is model including more private clinics and homecare options.
Addressing shortage of healthcare workers will require more seats at medical/healthcare programs along with how best to certified health professionals.
Long-term care needs to continue invest in adding bed capacity including more affordable retirement communities.
Oil and Gas Sector -Analysis and Commentary - April 2022 (Preliminary) .pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Blog – What is happening with the Energy Sector (Oil and Gas)
OPEC - https://www.ogj.com/general-interest/economics-markets/article/14276091/opec-to-increase-output-by-432000-bd-in-june
USA Oil Production - https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-rigs-baker-hughes/u-s-drillers-add-oil-and-gas-rigs-for-seventh-week-in-a-row-baker-hughes-idINL2N2WY1AB
Summary:
USA oil imports grew in March 2022. Oil imports from Middle east are up over 100% since Biden took office.
Canada oil rigs hit a low level in April 2022
Canada energy policies are handcuffing LNG and Oil projects
Similar to My latest Economic and Fiscal Scorecard on the United States of America (USA) (20)
Retail Sales and Consumer Spending Analysis and Commentary - July 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Canadian retail sales dropped 0.3% in August, the first decline since March, as higher interest rates start to impact household budgets. Seven of the nine retail subsectors saw sales increases in July, led by food and beverage retailers, while motor vehicle and parts dealers saw the largest decrease. Excluding autos, retail sales in July rose 1%, double expectations. The report suggests Canadians are tightening spending as more face higher mortgage payments and gas prices due to Bank of Canada rate hikes aimed at slowing inflation.
Addressing issues with the Public Sector Governance Model.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
The key challenges facing Australian business leaders in 2023 include:
1. Talent acquisition, retention and training staff for digital transformation.
2. Implementing successful digital transformation while managing cyber risks.
3. Adapting to changing regulations and reporting requirements.
Health risks from COVID-19, social reputation concerns, and disruptive emerging technologies are also significant social challenges impacting Australian businesses. Over the next 3-5 years, talent management for digitization, cybersecurity, digital transformation, regulatory changes, and identifying new growth opportunities will be the top challenges according to business leaders.
Global Housing Market Analysis and Commentary- September 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Summary:
Homebuilders are walking a fine line when it comes to new projects as high mortgage rates curb demand.
New residential construction, including single-family homes and multifamily, dropped 11.3% month over month in August to 1.283 million units on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to Census Bureau data released Tuesday. That's down 14.8% compared with a year ago and well below the 1.44 million units economists surveyed by Bloomberg projected.
But authorized residential permits — an indicator of potential future activity — rose 6.9% to 1.543 million permits in August from July. That was still down 2.7% from last August. Single-family permits, though, were up 2% from July to 949,000. Multifamily permits came in at 535,000.
The data reflects two opposing forces builders are trying to balance: the ongoing need for new construction to fill in limited inventory and elevated mortgage rates that are hurting their biggest customer right now, the first-time homebuyer.
"High mortgage rates are clearly taking a toll on builder confidence and consumer demand, as a growing number of buyers are electing to defer a home purchase until long-term rates move lower," Robert Dietz, chief economist of the National Association of Home Builders, said Monday in a press release after builder confidence dropped for the second straight month.
Source: https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/homebuilders-face-a-tough-balancing-act-on-new-construction-amid-high-mortgage-rates-130744368.html
Blog – What is next for the Mining Sector – September 2023
The mining sector provides critical material that support solar, wind, and lithium-ion batteries as part of the green transition. https://www.iea.org/news/critical-minerals-market-sees-unprecedented-growth-as-clean-energy-demand-drives-strong-increase-in-investment
The mining sector products play a key role with the global GDP - https://www.yicaiglobal.com/news/global-mining-industry-value-was-69-of-world-gdp-last-year-china-says
Mining practices need to be sustainable including following all ESG policies - https://www.linkedin.com/advice/1/how-can-you-monitor-sustainable-mining-practices
Other links and sources –
Lithium Supply and Price - https://zbr.com.mx/en/sin-categoria-es/lithium-prices-fall-44-in-china-due-to-lack-of-demand/138168/
Cobalt - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/mahmut-karada%C5%9F-a2b7a5151_china-exportrestrictions-gallium-activity-7082603182589157376-Zrty/?trk=public_profile_like_view
Nickel https://www.eureporter.co/business/2023/09/15/stanislav-kondrashov-from-telf-ag-nickel-prices-outlook-remains-positive/
Iron-ore - https://www.brecorder.com/news/40263584/sgx-iron-ore-set-for-best-week-in-3-months
TD Bank / Metals - https://www.tdsecurities.com/ca/en/setting-the-stage-for-gold-outlook
Biodiversity / Mining - https://worldcrunch.com/green/lithium-green-energy-argentina-indigenous
ESG - https://iriscarbon.com/the-added-value-of-integrated-esg-reporting-a-threefold-framework/
Blog – Manufacturing Shipments and Orders – The United States – August 2023
Summary:
New orders for manufacturing technology in the United States totaled $353.9 million in July 2023, as per the latest report by AMT – The Association For Manufacturing Technology. This figure marked a 12.4% decline from June 2023 but remained only 10.5% lower than July 2022. Year-to-date orders amounted to $2.83 billion, reflecting a 12.7% decrease compared to the same period the previous year.
Douglas K. Woods, President of AMT, noted that July is typically a slower month for manufacturing technology orders, so a slight drop was expected. However, he pointed out a notable trend: over the last two months, the year-to-date order gap has narrowed during historically slow periods. While job shops have seen decreased orders, other industries that benefited from reshoring or government investments have helped fill the gap.
Among specific sectors, job shops, the largest customer segment, placed their lowest total monthly orders since August 2020. In contrast, metal valve manufacturers recorded their third-highest monthly order value on record, last seen in September 2018, making up nearly 5% of the total manufacturing technology order value for July 2023. Manufacturers of motor vehicle transmissions continued to order machinery at an elevated pace. However, the aerospace industry continued to order below its early 2022 peaks, with hopes that recent projects like the federal government's $1.5 billion investment in communications satellites might reverse this trend.
Source: https://www.sme.org/technologies/articles/2023/september/u.s.-manufacturing-technology-orders-dip-in-july-but-show-resilience-amid-economic-uncertainty
Stock Market Analysis and Commentary for WE September 15 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Blog – Analysis and Commentary – Stock Market – WE September 15 2023
Summary:
Stocks fell Friday as investors wrap up a volatile week ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting.
The Dow Jones Industrials tumbled 288.87 points to close out Friday and the week at 34,618.24. At its lows, it completely wiped out Thursday's 332-point rally.
The S&P 500 index sank 54.78 points, or 1.2%, to 4,450.32.
The NASDAQ index plunged 217.72 points, or 1.6%, to 13,708.33.
The Dow held onto a winning week. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ both closed out the week with losses.
Information technology was the worst-performing sector in the S&P 500, down nearly 2%. Adobe shares fell more than 4% even after the software firm posted better-than-expected quarterly results. Shares of Arm Holdings were lower one day after its successful public debut.
Auto stocks General Motors and Stellantis N.V. were higher Friday, while Ford Motor was about flat. Thousands of members of the United Auto Workers went on strike after failing to reach a deal with the automakers Thursday night.
Elsewhere, Lennar shares slid 3%. The home construction firm posted third-quarter results that beat on the top and bottom lines.
On the economic front, the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment survey showed one-year inflation expectations dropped to 3.1% in
September, tied for the lowest since January 2021. Also, the five-year outlook fell to 2.7%, matching its lowest since December 2020.
- Canadian manufacturing sales increased 1.6% in July, led by higher sales in food products, petroleum and coal products, and transportation equipment. Paper and plastics sales decreased the most.
- Inventory levels increased slightly while unfilled orders decreased, pointing to a potential slowdown.
- The manufacturing sector in Canada will continue to face challenges such as global economic uncertainty, rising costs, supply chain issues, climate change risks, and skills shortages.
Electricity Analysis - Canada and the OECD - June 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Summary:
Over three-quarters of the world’s total coal-generated electricity is consumed in just three countries. China is the top user of coal, making up 53.3% of global coal demand, followed by India at 13.6%, and the U.S. at 8.9%.
Burning coal—for electricity, as well as metallurgy and cement production—is the world’s single largest source of CO2 emissions. Nevertheless, its use in electricity generation has actually grown 91.2% since 1997, the year when the first global climate agreement was signed in Kyoto, Japan.
However, even as non-renewables enjoy their time in the sun, their days could be numbered.
In 2022, renewables, such as wind, solar, and geothermal, represented 14.4% of total electricity generation with an extraordinary annual growth rate of 14.7%, driven by big gains in solar and wind. Non-renewables, by contrast, only managed an anemic 0.4%.
The authors of the Statistical Review do not include hydroelectric in their renewable calculations, even though many others, including the International Energy Agency, consider it a “well-established renewable power technology.”
With hydroelectric moved into the renewable column, together they accounted for over 29.3% of all electricity generated in 2022, with an annual growth rate of 7.4%.
Source - https://energynow.ca/2023/09/infographic-what-electricity-sources-power-the-world-see-them-here-visual-capitalist/
Logistics Warehousing Transportation and Distrbution Analysis and Commentary ...paul young cpa, cga
The document provides an overview of key metrics and trends in the logistics, warehousing, distribution, and transportation sector. It includes data on consumer price index, diesel fuel costs, freight indexes, e-commerce sales, retail sales, class 8 truck sales, EPA emissions standards, trailer sales, and tonnage. It also discusses supply chain management solutions like planning analytics, blockchain, and AI assistants. Finally, it touches on topics like infrastructure spending, automation, and ESG reporting.
Retail Sales and Consumer Spending Analysis and Commentary - United States - ...paul young cpa, cga
United States retail sales rose 0.6% in August despite flat sales at internet retailers after Amazon Prime Day. Most of the increase was due to higher gasoline prices. While consumer spending has been strong, higher interest rates and a slowdown in hiring are expected to restrain purchases in the coming months. Forecasters predict the 2023 holiday shopping season could be the weakest in five years due to economic challenges facing consumers. The retail sector continues facing inventory management challenges and social governance issues.
How to improve the Governance Model for the Public Sector - United States - S...paul young cpa, cga
This document provides a summary of strategies to improve governance in government. It discusses factors that impact governance like transparency and accountability. It recommends using performance audits to assess key performance indicators and ensure recommendations are implemented. Other strategies include improving data ethics and literacy, mitigating geopolitical risks, adopting ESG reporting, and using technology like audit analytics and AI to enhance governance. The overall goal is for government to deliver programs and tax policies with value for money and transparency.
This document provides an analysis of the agriculture output and equipment sector for August 2023. It includes discussions of commodity prices, crop estimates, energy prices, food prices, farming incomes, top farming states, food processors, and the role of technology and government in farming. Key points covered include rising input costs challenging farmers, preliminary crop estimates for Canada, volatility in oil and diesel prices impacting farm expenses, and opportunities for data and automation to help address issues in the agriculture industry.
Biotech Pharmaceutical Medical Equipment and Supplies - Analysis - September ...paul young cpa, cga
This document provides an overview and agenda for a presentation on the biotech, pharmaceutical, and healthcare sector. It includes:
- An introduction and biography of presenter Paul Young CPA CGA
- An agenda covering topics like vaccine production, drug discovery, innovation in areas like storage and AI, and the life sciences strategy
- Links and summaries of information on these topics, including the top vaccine manufacturers, regulations in Canada, and growth in the pharmaceutical market
The presentation aims to discuss key areas of the biotech/pharmaceutical sector including vaccine development and production, drug discovery, innovation, and strategies for the life sciences industry. Links and outside sources are provided to support the topics in the agenda.
Better Public Safety Management using Analytics - September 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
This document discusses using analytics to improve public safety management. It outlines rising public safety costs for governments and key issues facing policing like complex crimes and accountability. The document presents crime rate data for Canada and discusses building machine learning models in SPSS and dashboards in Cognos Analytics to analyze police data and forecast expenses. Finally, it lists potential next steps for crime in Canada like bail and corrections reforms, gun control, and increased police oversight.
Stock Market Analysis and Commentary for WE September 9 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
What did the markets tell us this week?
1. Housing supply and costs continue to plague countries around the world.
2. Gasoline prices are on the rise that puts pressure on central banks ability to hit their core inflation targets.
3. ESG adoption by both the private and public sector is leading to both funding concerns and the overall cost of implementing ESG policies.
4. Adopting technology as part of increasing food production is facing both capital and operational funding concerns.
5. Strike at LNG facility in Australia is leading to concerns around a supply chain disruption of natural gas for EMEA and Asia.
6. The threat of China dumping batteries into markets - https://www.ft.com/content/b6038e51-7b5b-4f97-a5da-9202e71562fc
7. Adoption of generative AI has been facing many challenges related to security, privacy, and ethical issues.
8. Lack of biodiversity planning as part of the overall climate mitigation including sustainable mining, forestry, oil, gas, agriculture, and housing
9. Geopolitical issues continue to impact supply chain.
10. The concerns of recession continue to plague both the private and public sector.
11. Productivity issues continue to plague governments around the world.
Workforce Planning and Employment Analysis - August 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
The document discusses workforce planning and employment analysis. It provides an overview of employment statistics in the United States, Canada, and Australia. It then discusses Sysco's workforce planning model and the role of the CFO in workforce planning. Finally, it defines autonomous finance as the automation of financial operations through software and algorithms, and provides some key statistics on its adoption.
Global Automotive - Analysis and Commentary - August 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
This presentation provides an overview of key trends in the global automotive sector in August 2023. It discusses 1) sales trends in Canada, the US and globally, 2) the growth of electric vehicles and focus on reducing emissions, and 3) ongoing transformation in the industry through automation, connectivity and new technologies. Sources included discuss topics like electric vehicle production and adoption, public safety issues regarding EV fires, gasoline and car prices, supply chain challenges, and green transitions in transportation.
Global (Mining Oil and Gas Forestry and Agriculture) Analysis and Commentary ...paul young cpa, cga
The mining, oil, gas, agriculture, forestry, and mining continue to face environmental, social, and governance policy review including reporting of key metrics as part of ESG reporting cycle.
There is more focus on profitability and investment returns as part of the integrated planning and reporting cycle.
Summary:
The global economy faces what at least one forecaster is calling a mild trade recession as shipments from China slump and German factories downshift.
China’s export declines extended into August, though there were signs that the worst of a world trade slowdown may be over for the leading exporter.
Overseas shipments from China fell 8.8% in dollar terms from a year earlier while imports contracted 7.3%, both better than economists’ estimates and significantly less severe than July’s downturn.
Other data have suggested trade may be stabilizing after weakening for most of this year. Exports from South Korea also declined at a more moderate pace in August than the previous month.
Source: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2023-09-07/supply-chain-latest-world-trade-faces-a-shallow-recession?srnd=economics-v2
Additional sources and links:
Lithium - https://source.benchmarkminerals.com/article/falling-lithium-prices-challenge-potential-cost-advantages-of-sodium-batteries
Oil Production - https://www.cnn.com/2023/09/06/business/oil-price-goldman-sachs/index.html
Natural gas - https://www.fxstreet.com/news/natural-gas-holds-up-as-markets-in-limbo-over-strikes-202309070956
Lumber - https://www.fastmarkets.com/insights/sawmill-capacity-closures-reshape-us-lumber-supply
Critical metals - https://www.wasterecyclingmag.ca/feature/how-recycling-could-solve-the-shortage-of-minerals-essential-to-clean-energy/
Agriculture - https://www.morningagclips.com/economists-forecast-positive-end-of-year-crop-outlook-despite-warmer-midwestern-climate/
ESG - https://www.skadden.com/insights/publications/2023/09/the-informed-board/the-eus-new-esg-disclosure-rules
Ports - https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/HAPAG-LLOYD-AG-24857717/news/Hapag-Lloyd-chief-warns-of-rougher-seas-ahead-for-container-shipping-44789017/
Top destination for reshoring - https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/economy/2023/08/29/uae-in-top-10-most-powerful-passports-for-investment-opportunity/
Global Trade - https://phys.org/news/2023-09-opinion-broke-global-climate-finish.html
What is next for the Forestry Sector and Lumber Production - September 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Lumber production in Canada continues to face many hurdles
Canada forest management practices are some of the bests in the world
Canada planted over 440M in seedlings back in 2018. It is now 2022 which means close 2M seedlings have been planted.
All levels need to put more focus on urban and rural planning solutions
More work including spending on wildfire and forest fire mitigation
Canada and USA need to find a path forward to resolve the softwood lumber dispute
There needs to a better balanced between climate change policies and growing the economy in a sustainable way
3D printing for housing needs to become mainstream
More protection needs to happen with key ecosystems like wetlands, forest, and peatlands.
There is a risk of debt default if interest rates are hike over the next few months
Monthly Market Risk Update: June 2024 [SlideShare]Commonwealth
Markets rallied in May, with all three major U.S. equity indices up for the month, said Sam Millette, director of fixed income, in his latest Market Risk Update.
For more market updates, subscribe to The Independent Market Observer at https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer.
Dr. Alyce Su Cover Story - China's Investment Leadermsthrill
In World Expo 2010 Shanghai – the most visited Expo in the World History
https://www.britannica.com/event/Expo-Shanghai-2010
China’s official organizer of the Expo, CCPIT (China Council for the Promotion of International Trade https://en.ccpit.org/) has chosen Dr. Alyce Su as the Cover Person with Cover Story, in the Expo’s official magazine distributed throughout the Expo, showcasing China’s New Generation of Leaders to the World.
A toxic combination of 15 years of low growth, and four decades of high inequality, has left Britain poorer and falling behind its peers. Productivity growth is weak and public investment is low, while wages today are no higher than they were before the financial crisis. Britain needs a new economic strategy to lift itself out of stagnation.
Scotland is in many ways a microcosm of this challenge. It has become a hub for creative industries, is home to several world-class universities and a thriving community of businesses – strengths that need to be harness and leveraged. But it also has high levels of deprivation, with homelessness reaching a record high and nearly half a million people living in very deep poverty last year. Scotland won’t be truly thriving unless it finds ways to ensure that all its inhabitants benefit from growth and investment. This is the central challenge facing policy makers both in Holyrood and Westminster.
What should a new national economic strategy for Scotland include? What would the pursuit of stronger economic growth mean for local, national and UK-wide policy makers? How will economic change affect the jobs we do, the places we live and the businesses we work for? And what are the prospects for cities like Glasgow, and nations like Scotland, in rising to these challenges?
How to Invest in Cryptocurrency for Beginners: A Complete GuideDaniel
Cryptocurrency is digital money that operates independently of a central authority, utilizing cryptography for security. Unlike traditional currencies issued by governments (fiat currencies), cryptocurrencies are decentralized and typically operate on a technology called blockchain. Each cryptocurrency transaction is recorded on a public ledger, ensuring transparency and security.
Cryptocurrencies can be used for various purposes, including online purchases, investment opportunities, and as a means of transferring value globally without the need for intermediaries like banks.
In World Expo 2010 Shanghai – the most visited Expo in the World History
https://www.britannica.com/event/Expo-Shanghai-2010
China’s official organizer of the Expo, CCPIT (China Council for the Promotion of International Trade https://en.ccpit.org/) has chosen Dr. Alyce Su as the Cover Person with Cover Story, in the Expo’s official magazine distributed throughout the Expo, showcasing China’s New Generation of Leaders to the World.
13 Jun 24 ILC Retirement Income Summit - slides.pptxILC- UK
ILC's Retirement Income Summit was hosted by M&G and supported by Canada Life. The event brought together key policymakers, influencers and experts to help identify policy priorities for the next Government and ensure more of us have access to a decent income in retirement.
Contributors included:
Jo Blanden, Professor in Economics, University of Surrey
Clive Bolton, CEO, Life Insurance M&G Plc
Jim Boyd, CEO, Equity Release Council
Molly Broome, Economist, Resolution Foundation
Nida Broughton, Co-Director of Economic Policy, Behavioural Insights Team
Jonathan Cribb, Associate Director and Head of Retirement, Savings, and Ageing, Institute for Fiscal Studies
Joanna Elson CBE, Chief Executive Officer, Independent Age
Tom Evans, Managing Director of Retirement, Canada Life
Steve Groves, Chair, Key Retirement Group
Tish Hanifan, Founder and Joint Chair of the Society of Later life Advisers
Sue Lewis, ILC Trustee
Siobhan Lough, Senior Consultant, Hymans Robertson
Mick McAteer, Co-Director, The Financial Inclusion Centre
Stuart McDonald MBE, Head of Longevity and Democratic Insights, LCP
Anusha Mittal, Managing Director, Individual Life and Pensions, M&G Life
Shelley Morris, Senior Project Manager, Living Pension, Living Wage Foundation
Sarah O'Grady, Journalist
Will Sherlock, Head of External Relations, M&G Plc
Daniela Silcock, Head of Policy Research, Pensions Policy Institute
David Sinclair, Chief Executive, ILC
Jordi Skilbeck, Senior Policy Advisor, Pensions and Lifetime Savings Association
Rt Hon Sir Stephen Timms, former Chair, Work & Pensions Committee
Nigel Waterson, ILC Trustee
Jackie Wells, Strategy and Policy Consultant, ILC Strategic Advisory Board
The Rise and Fall of Ponzi Schemes in America.pptxDiana Rose
Ponzi schemes, a notorious form of financial fraud, have plagued America’s investment landscape for decades. Named after Charles Ponzi, who orchestrated one of the most infamous schemes in the early 20th century, these fraudulent operations promise high returns with little or no risk, only to collapse and leave investors with significant losses. This article explores the nature of Ponzi schemes, notable cases in American history, their impact on victims, and measures to prevent falling prey to such scams.
Understanding Ponzi Schemes
A Ponzi scheme is an investment scam where returns are paid to earlier investors using the capital from newer investors, rather than from legitimate profit earned. The scheme relies on a constant influx of new investments to continue paying the promised returns. Eventually, when the flow of new money slows down or stops, the scheme collapses, leaving the majority of investors with substantial financial losses.
Historical Context: Charles Ponzi and His Legacy
Charles Ponzi is the namesake of this deceptive practice. In the 1920s, Ponzi promised investors in Boston a 50% return within 45 days or 100% return in 90 days through arbitrage of international reply coupons. Initially, he paid returns as promised, not from profits, but from the investments of new participants. When his scheme unraveled, it resulted in losses exceeding $20 million (equivalent to about $270 million today).
Notable American Ponzi Schemes
1. Bernie Madoff: Perhaps the most notorious Ponzi scheme in recent history, Bernie Madoff’s fraud involved $65 billion. Madoff, a well-respected figure in the financial industry, promised steady, high returns through a secretive investment strategy. His scheme lasted for decades before collapsing in 2008, devastating thousands of investors, including individuals, charities, and institutional clients.
2. Allen Stanford: Through his company, Stanford Financial Group, Allen Stanford orchestrated a $7 billion Ponzi scheme, luring investors with fraudulent certificates of deposit issued by his offshore bank. Stanford promised high returns and lavish lifestyle benefits to his investors, which ultimately led to a 110-year prison sentence for the financier in 2012.
3. Tom Petters: In a scheme that lasted more than a decade, Tom Petters ran a $3.65 billion Ponzi scheme, using his company, Petters Group Worldwide. He claimed to buy and sell consumer electronics, but in reality, he used new investments to pay off old debts and fund his extravagant lifestyle. Petters was convicted in 2009 and sentenced to 50 years in prison.
4. Eric Dalius and Saivian: Eric Dalius, a prominent figure behind Saivian, a cashback program promising high returns, is under scrutiny for allegedly orchestrating a Ponzi scheme. Saivian enticed investors with promises of up to 20% cash back on everyday purchases. However, investigations suggest that the returns were paid using new investments rather than legitimate profits. The collapse of Saivian l
In World Expo 2010 Shanghai – the most visited Expo in the World History
https://www.britannica.com/event/Expo-Shanghai-2010
China’s official organizer of the Expo, CCPIT (China Council for the Promotion of International Trade https://en.ccpit.org/) has chosen Dr. Alyce Su as the Cover Person with Cover Story, in the Expo’s official magazine distributed throughout the Expo, showcasing China’s New Generation of Leaders to the World.
2. PAUL YOUNG - BIO
• CPA, CGA (1996)
• Academia (PF1, FA4, FN2, MU1. and MS2)
• SME – Customer Success Management
• SME – Risk Management
• SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting
• SME – Public Policy
• SME – Emerging Technology
• SME – Business Process Change
• SME – Financial Solutions
• SME – Macro/Micro Indicators
• SME – Supply Chain Management
• SME – Data, AI, Security, and Platform
• SME – Internal Controls and Auditing
Contact information email: Paul_Young_CGA@hotmail.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paul-young-055632b/
SlideShare - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga
Twitter: https://twitter.com/paulyoungcpa
Youtube - https://www.youtube.com/user/youngercga1968/videos
3. AGENDA
• KPI (Macro and Micro Indicators
• USA GDP
• Analysis of Durable Goods
• Retail Sales / USA
• CPI – Inflation
• USA Employment
• Merchandise Trade
• Stock Market
• Wage Growth Analysis
• Housing Market – USA
• Fiscal Update / CBO
• USA Border / Texas
8. DURABLE GOODS / KEY AREAS – USA
Source - https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/index.php
Durable Goods -
USA.pdf
The monthly increase in durable goods orders was $4.3 billion and was largely driven by transportation equipment. The advance in January was the eighth
increase in the last nine months.
The core durable goods section, which excludes the volatile transportation sector, also beat expectations, rising 0.7% versus the expected increase of 0.4%.
Excluding defense, new orders advanced 1.6%.
The government’s durables report covers items with an expected life of at least three years, such as kitchen appliances, computers, furniture, autos and
airplanes. Economists carefully watch the data for any changes as a sign of where the economy might be heading.
Source - https://www.kitco.com/news/2022-02-25/U-S-durable-goods-beat-expectations-in-January-gold-price-trades-under-1-900.html and
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/durable-goods-and-capital-spending-usa-and-the-world-january-2022
9. USA VS CANADA – RETAIL SALES
BMO -
https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/77632c50-
2629-4c6d-9534-23e2bb5f65dc/
Source -
https://economics.bmo.com/en/public
ations/detail/ba7cc9a0-b542-4ce4-
a598-bbc0ddf0dc2c/
U.S. Retail Sales
Riding the Wave.pdf
Canadian Retail Sales
(Dec.) — An Omicron Tale.pdf
10. BMO – CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
U.S. Consumer
Inflation 'Entrenched'.pdf
Source -
https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/
2cb89f8c-5f2c-4cd1-b642-550ea67076e2/
Source – https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/e4802293-
87aa-4438-80bd-313b8f78f2dc/
11. USA VS CANADA EMPLOYMENT
U.S. Workers Ring In
the New Year In Style.pdf
12. NET NEW JOBS – UNITED STATES
Source - https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm#
PRESENTATION TITLE 12
Employment - USA -
February 2022.pdf
15. TRADE ANALYSIS - USA
Source - https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/data/index.html
16. PRESENTATION TITLE 16
Summary:
The world’s worst fears materialized when Russian President Vladimir Putin announced a full-blown Ukraine invasion on February 24.
In the first half, the Nasdaq Composite Index, the S&P 500 Index, the FTSE 100 Index, and the S&P/TSX Composite Index dropped
3.3%, 2.13%, 3.35%, and 1.23%, respectively. However, these stock markets saw a recovery in the second half as news flowed around
sanctions on Russia
Source - https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/global-stock-markets-closer-crash-191200548.html
1. Market Close - https://www.kiplinger.com/investing/stocks/604283/stock-market-today-022522-dow-dashes-best-gain-november-
2020
2. Commodity risks - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/commodity-prices-inflated-by-40-by-risk-premiums-analyst-says-1.1728834
3. Geopolitical risks - https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/why-geopolitics-is-rocking-the-us-stock-market-164401362.html
4. Oil - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/crude-falls-from-100-with-russian-oil-sanctions-off-the-table-1.1728502
5. Natural gas - https://www.naturalgasintel.com/bone-chilling-temperatures-drive-massive-gains-for-weekly-natural-gas-cash-prices-
while-global-crisis-roils-futures/
6. Global Inflation - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/charting-the-global-economy-war-driving-inflation-growth-risks-1.1729127
7. Freight - https://tradewindstransportation.com/freight-costs-continue-to-rise/
8. Housing - https://www.advisor.ca/news/economic/global-housing-markets-strongest-since-financial-crisis-bis/
9. Taiwan - https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/4456058
10. Russian debt - https://www.cnbc.com/2022/02/25/emerging-market-debt-funds-drop-as-russias-attack-ripples-through-
markets.html
11. EDI - https://brighterworld.mcmaster.ca/articles/how-better-edi-policies-can-address-labour-shortages-in-trucking/
Blog – What is up with the Stock Market – WE – February 25, 2022
Global Stock Markets
Closer to a Crash 2 TSX Stocks to Buy Cheap.pdf
Carry On Wayward
Market.pdf
BottomLine_20220225
.pdf
WestpacWeekly20220
228.pdf
Stock Market News
for Feb 25, 2022 Nasdaq.pdf
Stock Market Today
Dow Dashes to Best Gain Since November 2020 Kiplinger.pdf
Commodity Prices
Inflated by 40% by Risk Premiums, Analyst Says - BNN Bloomberg.pdf
Why geopolitics is
rocking the US stock market.pdf
Crude falls from
US$100 with Russian oil sanctions off the table - BNN Bloomberg.pdf
Bone-Chilling
Temperatures Drive Massive Gains for Weekly Natural Gas Cash Prices, while Global Crisis Roils Futures - Natural Gas Intelligence.pdf
Opinion Putin's war
promises to crush the global economy with inflation and much slower growth - MarketWatch.pdf
Charting the Global
Economy War Driving Inflation, Growth Risks - BNN Bloomberg.pdf
Tradewinds
Transportation Freight Costs Continue to Rise - Tradewinds Transportation.pdf
Global housing
markets strongest since financial crisis BIS Advisor's Edge.pdf
American destroyer
cruises through Taiwan Strait Taiwan News 2022-02-26 14 15 00.pdf
How better EDI
policies can address labour shortages in trucking – Brighter World.pdf
Summary:
The world’s worst fears materialized when Russian President Vladimir Putin announced a full-blown
Ukraine invasion on February 24. In the first half, the Nasdaq Composite Index, the S&P 500 Index, the
FTSE 100 Index, and the S&P/TSX Composite Index dropped 3.3%, 2.13%, 3.35%, and 1.23%,
respectively. However, these stock markets saw a recovery in the second half as news flowed around
sanctions on Russia
Source - https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/global-stock-markets-closer-crash-191200548.html
1. Market Close - https://www.kiplinger.com/investing/stocks/604283/stock-market-today-
022522-dow-dashes-best-gain-november-2020
2. Commodity risks - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/commodity-prices-inflated-by-40-by-risk-
premiums-analyst-says-1.1728834
3. Geopolitical risks - https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/why-geopolitics-is-rocking-the-us-stock-
market-164401362.html
4. Oil - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/crude-falls-from-100-with-russian-oil-sanctions-off-the-
table-1.1728502
5. Natural gas - https://www.naturalgasintel.com/bone-chilling-temperatures-drive-massive-gains-
for-weekly-natural-gas-cash-prices-while-global-crisis-roils-futures/
6. Global Inflation - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/charting-the-global-economy-war-driving-
inflation-growth-risks-1.1729127
7. Freight - https://tradewindstransportation.com/freight-costs-continue-to-rise/
8. Housing - https://www.advisor.ca/news/economic/global-housing-markets-strongest-since-
financial-crisis-bis/
17. HOUSING / UNITED STATES
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MSPUS
19. CBO REPORT – BUDGET – UNITED
STATES – YTD FEBRUARY 2022
CBP Enforcement
Statistics Fiscal Year 2022 U.S. Customs and Border Protection.pdf
20. WHAT’S NEXT
• Ability of the United States along with other countries to roll out vaccinations as part of re-opening their
economy will be key over the next few months - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/geopolitical-events-
vaccines-distribution-canada-march-20-2021
• All levels of government need to ensure their crisis/risk management reports are audited every year as part of
safeguarding assets from geopolitical events - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/why-there-needs-to-
be-audited-reports-of-crisis-emergency-management-policies-and-procedures
• United States like many countries needs to review its policies related to the circular economy -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-to-maximized-the-circular-economy-244067365
• Aligning education with jobs of today and tomorrow will be key to supporting short-term and long-term
economic growth - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/human-capital-management-skills-development-
analysis-and-commentary-february-2021
• Reforming global trade through modernization of WTO will be key part of reducing protectionism policies -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/merchandise-trade-usa-january-2021
• There needs to be global discussion on how best to reform both domestic and the global economy -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-next-for-the-global-economy-march-2021
Blog – Fiscal and Economic Scorecard – The United States – December 2021 and January 2022
GDP - USA -
December 2021.pdf
Personal Income
USA.pdf
CBP Enforcement
Statistics Fiscal Year 2022 U.S. Customs and Border Protection.pdf
US sanctions on
Russian oligarchs miss richest of rich The Times of Israel.pdf
US inflation rising
How Ukraine war could make it worse.pdf
Affordable housing is
a major local problem, more Americans now say Pew Research Center.pdf
Median Home Price
by State 2022.pdf
Unleashing U.S. Oil
Industry Offers Biden Path To Avoid Energy Crisi - Energy.pdf
Gas supply concerns
in Europe put US at center stage as flexible LNG supplier S&P Global Platts.pdf
US green metals
push needs a revamp of gold-rush mining law - MINING.COM.pdf
How Americans Carry
Their Debt - by Joan DeMartin.pdf
Mike Pompeo and
Governor Kristi Noem criticize Russian President Vladimir Putin while navigating potential 2024 runs - News Nation USA.pdf
Lithium Good News
for the Australian Mining Industry - CleanTechnica.pdf
Robust consumer
spending, core capital goods orders highlight U.S. economic strength Reuters.pdf
WRAPUP 3-Robust
consumer spending, core capital goods orders highlight U.S. economic strength Business.pdf
Why Sanctions on
Russia Aren't Targeting Oil and Gas Time.pdf
5 Top Rare Earth
Stocks on the ASX - Investing News Australia.pdf
Akamai Blog
Geopolitical Tensions Increase Risk of DDoS Attacks Among Other Damaging Intrusions.pdf
Summary:
USA is facing inflation challenge which could get worse due to the conflict in Russia. There is no
indication on when the USA will stop the imports of Russian oil -
https://www.devdiscourse.com/article/business/1938237-wrapup-3-robust-consumer-spending-core-
capital-goods-orders-highlight-us-economic-strength
Americans are struggling with high cost living along with trying to find affordable housing.
USA continues to rely heavily on imports from China. USA continues to struggle with diversifying imports
in areas like solar panels and critical metals. https://investingnews.com.au/best-rare-earth-stocks-asx
Geopolitical risks continue to impact many countries -
https://www.akamai.com/blog/security/increasing-ddos-attacks-geopolitical-tension
1. USA sanctions - https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/us-sanctions-on-russian-
oligarchs-miss-richest-of-rich/
2. Inflation - https://nypost.com/2022/02/25/us-inflation-rising-how-ukraine-war-could-make-it-
worse/
3. Housing - https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2022/01/18/a-growing-share-of-americans-
say-affordable-housing-is-a-major-problem-where-they-live/
4. Home price - https://worldpopulationreview.com/state-rankings/median-home-price-by-state
5. USA oil output - https://www.forbes.com/sites/daneberhart/2022/02/25/unleashing-us-oil-
industry-offers-biden-path-to-avoid-energy-crisis/?sh=3236989f2c8b
6. LNG - https://www.spglobal.com/platts/en/market-insights/latest-news/natural-gas/022522-
gas-supply-concerns-in-europe-put-us-at-center-stage-as-flexible-lng-supplier
21. OTHER
SOURCES
• If you like to learn more
about trade and/or other
subjects as part of your
professional learning and,
development then feel free
to review my material on
https://www.udemy.com/
(search Paul Young CPA CGA
22. OTHER SOURCES
• You can additional information on USA via my SlideShare account -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga
Editor's Notes
https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/a2d1bf0a-4d9d-40e2-a521-581fb185508d and https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/0ba5a9c9-1fbf-4605-8121-d9fb63ec72ca/