Business Models & Startup Metrics  for Scottish Pirates  ( AARRR! )  v 1.3 Dave McClure, Master of 500 Hats @ Univ. Edinburgh, January 2008 blog:  http://500hats.typepad.com/ website:  http://www.500hats.com/ slides:  http://slideshare.net/dmc500hats/ * reminder:  National Talk Like a Pirate Day  is Sept 19 th !
AARRR genda Startup Metrics for Pirates (AARRR!) Questions for Pirates & Founders What is a Business Model? What is a Marketing Plan? More About Metrics Web 2.0: What’s So Special? Summary
Startup Metrics for Pirates:  5 Steps to Web 2.0  Booty ! A cquisition : users come to site from various  channels A ctivation : users enjoy 1 st  visit: " happy ” experience R etention : users  come back , visit site multiple times R eferral : users like product enough to  refer others R evenue : users conduct some  monetization  behavior AARRR !
Customer Lifecycle & Conversion   Behavior Website.com 4. REFERRAL Emails & widgets Campaigns, Contests 5. Revenue $$$ Biz Dev Ads, Lead Gen, Subscriptions, etc 2. Activation Homepage / Landing Page Product Features 1. ACQUISITION SEO SEM Apps & Widgets Affiliates Email PR Biz Dev Campaigns, Contests Direct, Tel, TV Social Networks Blogs Domains
Customer Lifecycle / Conversion Behavior Website.com Marketing Channels: largest-volume (#)  lowest-cost ($) best-performing (%)   SEO SEM Apps & Widgets Affiliates Email PR Biz Dev Campaigns, Contests Direct, Tel, TV Social Networks Blogs Domains
Customer Lifecycle / Conversion Behavior Website.com Activation Criteria: 10-30+ seconds 2-3+ page views 3-5+ clicks 1 key feature usage do LOTS of  landing  page tests & A/B tests –  make lots of dumb  guesses & iterate FAST 2. Activation Homepage / Landing Page Product Features 1. ACQUISITION SEO SEM Apps & Widgets Affiliates Email PR Biz Dev Campaigns, Contests Direct, Tel, TV Social Networks Blogs Domains
Customer Lifecycle / Conversion Behavior Website.com Automated emails are simple, easy retention feature (but don’t overdo it) lifecycle emails @ +3, +7, +30d  status emails weekly/monthly event-based emails as they occur but: make it  easy  to unsubscribe 2. Activation Homepage / Landing  Page Product Features 1. ACQUISITION SEO SEM Apps & Widgets Affiliates Email PR Biz Dev Campaigns, Contests Direct, Tel, TV Social Networks Blogs Domains
Customer Lifecycle / Conversion Behavior Website.com Only encourage users to  refer * after * they have  “ happy” user experience; avg score >= 8 out of 10 2. Activation Homepage / Landing Page Product Features 4. REFERRAL Emails & widgets Campaigns, Contests 1. ACQUISITION SEO SEM Apps & Widgets Affiliates Email PR Biz Dev Campaigns, Contests Direct, Tel, TV Social Networks Blogs Domains
Customer Lifecycle / Conversion Behavior Website.com This is the part * you *  have to figure out…  I don’t know  jack  about  your business 5. Revenue $$$ Biz Dev Ads, Lead Gen, Subscriptions, etc 2. Activation Homepage / Landing Page Product Features 4. REFERRAL Emails & widgets Campaigns, Contests 1. ACQUISITION SEO SEM Apps & Widgets Affiliates Email PR Biz Dev Campaigns, Contests Direct, Tel, TV Social Networks Blogs Domains
Example Conversion   Metrics (note:  *not* actuals … your mileage may vary.)  Category Conversion Status Conv % Est. Value Acquisition Visit Site   (or landing page, or external widget) 100% $.01 Acquisition Doesn't Abandon  (views 2+ pages, stays 10+ sec, 2+ clicks) 70% $.05 Activation Happy 1 st  Visit (views X pages, stays Y sec, Z clicks) 30% $.25 Activation Email/Blog/RSS/Widget Signup (anything that could lead to repeat visit) 5% $1 Activation Acct Signup (includes profile data) 2% $3 Retention Email Open / RSS view -> Clickthru 3% $2 Retention Repeat Visitor  (3+ visits in first 30 days) 2% $5 Referral Refer 1+ users who visit site 2% $3 Referral Refer 1+ users who activate 1% $10 Revenue User generates minimum revenue 2% $5 Revenue User generates break-even revenue 1% $25
AARRR genda Startup Metrics for Pirates (AARRR!) Questions for Pirates & Founders What is a Business Model? What is a Marketing Plan? More About Metrics Web 2.0: What’s So Special? Summary
Founder/CEO Q: Which Metrics?  Why? A: Focus on  Critical Few Actionable  Metrics (if you don’t use the metric to make a decision, it’s not actionable) Hypothesize Customer Lifecycle & Refine Choose ~5 Conversion steps (tip: Less = More) Delegate Each Key Metric to someone to OWN
Product / Engineering Q: What to Build?  Why? A:  Build Features that  Increase Conversion  (= Value)  Wireframes = Conversion Steps Measure, A/B Test,  Iterate FAST  (daily/weekly) Optimize for Conversion Improvement 80% on existing feature optimization 20% on new feature development Just guess, then A/B test… A LOT.
Marketing / Sales Q: What channels?  Which users?  Why? A:  High Volume ( # ), Low Cost ( $ ), High Conversion ( % ) Design & Test Multiple Marketing Channels / Campaign Themes Select & Focus on Best-Performing Channels & Themes (“best” = #, $, %) Measure  *deeper*  down Conversion funnel, not just site / landing page Test & Optimize; Segment & Select, Target Channels & Customers @ deepest possible level (ideally $$$) Low-Hanging Fruit:  1) Blogs, 2) SEO/SEM, 3) Landing Pages, 4) Automated Emails
AARRR genda Startup Metrics for Pirates (AARRR!) Questions for Pirates & Founders What is a Business Model? What is a Marketing Plan? More About Metrics Web 2.0: What’s So Special? Summary
Q: Business Model? “ Business Model” can be one of the following: OK:  Get  Users  (= Acquisition, Referral) BETTER:  Drive  Usage  (= Activation, Retention) BEST:  Make  Money  (= Revenue*) * ideally  profitable  revenue Note: *eventually* need to turn Users/Usage -> Money
AARRR genda Startup Metrics for Pirates (AARRR!) Questions for Pirates & Founders What is a Business Model? What is a Marketing Plan? More About Metrics Web 2.0: What’s So Special? Summary
M AARRR keting Plan Marketing Plan = Target Customer Acquisition Channels 3 Important Factors = Volume ( # ), Cost ( $ ), Conversion ( % ) Measure conversion to target customer actions Test audience segments, campaign themes, Call-To-Action ( CTAs )  Match Channel Costs to Revenue Potential  Est. Conversion + Revenue Potential Avg Txn Value ( ATV ), Ann. Rev. Per User ( ARPU ), Cust. Lifetime Value ( CLV ) Design channels that cost  <20-50%  of target ATV, ARPU, or CLV Consider Costs & Resource Tradeoffs Actual expenses Marketing time & resources Product/Engineering time & resources Timing of expense vs. revenue, profit vs. cashflow
Example Marketing Channels disclaimer: estimates of vol, cost/user, time & effort are subjective – actual costs are dependent on your specific business
AARRR genda Startup Metrics for Pirates (AARRR!) Questions for Pirates & Founders What is a Business Model? What is a Marketing Plan? More About Metrics Web 2.0: What’s So Special? Summary
4 Types of Measurement Qualitative : Usability Testing / Session Monitoring Watch users,  guess problems & solutions from small # of users Quantitative : Traffic Analysis / User Engagement Track users, usage, conv %'s for empirical sample # of users Comparative : A/B, Multivariate Testing Compare what users do in one scenario vs another Measure which copy/graphics/UI are most effective Competitive : Monitoring & Tracking Competitors Track competitor activity & compare against yours (if possible) Compare channels, keyword traffic, demographics, user sat, etc. (see slide notes for links to tools & vendors)
Quantitative  &  Comparative  Measurement Conversion Criteria: best-performing (%) channels / campaigns / copy largest-volume (#) channels / campaigns / copy lowest-cost ($) channels / campaigns / copy Measurement Components: Audience Segment (young women, regional metro, older singles) Channel Source (social network, SEM, organic, PR, etc) Campaign Theme / Brand Promise (“find a job”, “learn to cook”) Landing Page & CTA Copy & Graphics
AARRR genda Startup Metrics for Pirates (AARRR!) Questions for Pirates & Founders What is a Business Model? What is a Marketing Plan? More About Metrics Web 2.0: What’s So Special? Summary
Web 2.0:   Yeah, We’re  Special* Web Services, Ajax, Flash, Tags, Feeds Online reach is very broad ( 1B+ users  worldwide) HW/SW Infrastructure Cost is low (open source) Customer Acquisition Cost is low (blogs, SEO, email/viral) User Participation is high (UGC/LGC) Referral Potential is high (if you  don’t suck ) Monetization is non-zero  (you hope) Online Metrics are available  (if you measure) *… as in  Special Olympics
AARRR genda Startup Metrics for Pirates (AARRR!) Questions for Pirates & Founders What is a Business Model? What is a Marketing Plan? More About Metrics Web 2.0: What’s So Special? Summary
Why You Should Be A  Web 2.0 Entrepreneur Pirate!   AARRR!

Startup Metrics For Scottish Pirates (AARRR!) v1.3

  • 1.
    Business Models &Startup Metrics for Scottish Pirates ( AARRR! ) v 1.3 Dave McClure, Master of 500 Hats @ Univ. Edinburgh, January 2008 blog: http://500hats.typepad.com/ website: http://www.500hats.com/ slides: http://slideshare.net/dmc500hats/ * reminder: National Talk Like a Pirate Day is Sept 19 th !
  • 2.
    AARRR genda StartupMetrics for Pirates (AARRR!) Questions for Pirates & Founders What is a Business Model? What is a Marketing Plan? More About Metrics Web 2.0: What’s So Special? Summary
  • 3.
    Startup Metrics forPirates: 5 Steps to Web 2.0 Booty ! A cquisition : users come to site from various channels A ctivation : users enjoy 1 st visit: &quot; happy ” experience R etention : users come back , visit site multiple times R eferral : users like product enough to refer others R evenue : users conduct some monetization behavior AARRR !
  • 4.
    Customer Lifecycle &Conversion Behavior Website.com 4. REFERRAL Emails & widgets Campaigns, Contests 5. Revenue $$$ Biz Dev Ads, Lead Gen, Subscriptions, etc 2. Activation Homepage / Landing Page Product Features 1. ACQUISITION SEO SEM Apps & Widgets Affiliates Email PR Biz Dev Campaigns, Contests Direct, Tel, TV Social Networks Blogs Domains
  • 5.
    Customer Lifecycle /Conversion Behavior Website.com Marketing Channels: largest-volume (#) lowest-cost ($) best-performing (%) SEO SEM Apps & Widgets Affiliates Email PR Biz Dev Campaigns, Contests Direct, Tel, TV Social Networks Blogs Domains
  • 6.
    Customer Lifecycle /Conversion Behavior Website.com Activation Criteria: 10-30+ seconds 2-3+ page views 3-5+ clicks 1 key feature usage do LOTS of landing page tests & A/B tests – make lots of dumb guesses & iterate FAST 2. Activation Homepage / Landing Page Product Features 1. ACQUISITION SEO SEM Apps & Widgets Affiliates Email PR Biz Dev Campaigns, Contests Direct, Tel, TV Social Networks Blogs Domains
  • 7.
    Customer Lifecycle /Conversion Behavior Website.com Automated emails are simple, easy retention feature (but don’t overdo it) lifecycle emails @ +3, +7, +30d status emails weekly/monthly event-based emails as they occur but: make it easy to unsubscribe 2. Activation Homepage / Landing Page Product Features 1. ACQUISITION SEO SEM Apps & Widgets Affiliates Email PR Biz Dev Campaigns, Contests Direct, Tel, TV Social Networks Blogs Domains
  • 8.
    Customer Lifecycle /Conversion Behavior Website.com Only encourage users to refer * after * they have “ happy” user experience; avg score >= 8 out of 10 2. Activation Homepage / Landing Page Product Features 4. REFERRAL Emails & widgets Campaigns, Contests 1. ACQUISITION SEO SEM Apps & Widgets Affiliates Email PR Biz Dev Campaigns, Contests Direct, Tel, TV Social Networks Blogs Domains
  • 9.
    Customer Lifecycle /Conversion Behavior Website.com This is the part * you * have to figure out… I don’t know jack about your business 5. Revenue $$$ Biz Dev Ads, Lead Gen, Subscriptions, etc 2. Activation Homepage / Landing Page Product Features 4. REFERRAL Emails & widgets Campaigns, Contests 1. ACQUISITION SEO SEM Apps & Widgets Affiliates Email PR Biz Dev Campaigns, Contests Direct, Tel, TV Social Networks Blogs Domains
  • 10.
    Example Conversion Metrics (note: *not* actuals … your mileage may vary.) Category Conversion Status Conv % Est. Value Acquisition Visit Site (or landing page, or external widget) 100% $.01 Acquisition Doesn't Abandon (views 2+ pages, stays 10+ sec, 2+ clicks) 70% $.05 Activation Happy 1 st Visit (views X pages, stays Y sec, Z clicks) 30% $.25 Activation Email/Blog/RSS/Widget Signup (anything that could lead to repeat visit) 5% $1 Activation Acct Signup (includes profile data) 2% $3 Retention Email Open / RSS view -> Clickthru 3% $2 Retention Repeat Visitor (3+ visits in first 30 days) 2% $5 Referral Refer 1+ users who visit site 2% $3 Referral Refer 1+ users who activate 1% $10 Revenue User generates minimum revenue 2% $5 Revenue User generates break-even revenue 1% $25
  • 11.
    AARRR genda StartupMetrics for Pirates (AARRR!) Questions for Pirates & Founders What is a Business Model? What is a Marketing Plan? More About Metrics Web 2.0: What’s So Special? Summary
  • 12.
    Founder/CEO Q: WhichMetrics? Why? A: Focus on Critical Few Actionable Metrics (if you don’t use the metric to make a decision, it’s not actionable) Hypothesize Customer Lifecycle & Refine Choose ~5 Conversion steps (tip: Less = More) Delegate Each Key Metric to someone to OWN
  • 13.
    Product / EngineeringQ: What to Build? Why? A: Build Features that Increase Conversion (= Value) Wireframes = Conversion Steps Measure, A/B Test, Iterate FAST (daily/weekly) Optimize for Conversion Improvement 80% on existing feature optimization 20% on new feature development Just guess, then A/B test… A LOT.
  • 14.
    Marketing / SalesQ: What channels? Which users? Why? A: High Volume ( # ), Low Cost ( $ ), High Conversion ( % ) Design & Test Multiple Marketing Channels / Campaign Themes Select & Focus on Best-Performing Channels & Themes (“best” = #, $, %) Measure *deeper* down Conversion funnel, not just site / landing page Test & Optimize; Segment & Select, Target Channels & Customers @ deepest possible level (ideally $$$) Low-Hanging Fruit: 1) Blogs, 2) SEO/SEM, 3) Landing Pages, 4) Automated Emails
  • 15.
    AARRR genda StartupMetrics for Pirates (AARRR!) Questions for Pirates & Founders What is a Business Model? What is a Marketing Plan? More About Metrics Web 2.0: What’s So Special? Summary
  • 16.
    Q: Business Model?“ Business Model” can be one of the following: OK: Get Users (= Acquisition, Referral) BETTER: Drive Usage (= Activation, Retention) BEST: Make Money (= Revenue*) * ideally profitable revenue Note: *eventually* need to turn Users/Usage -> Money
  • 17.
    AARRR genda StartupMetrics for Pirates (AARRR!) Questions for Pirates & Founders What is a Business Model? What is a Marketing Plan? More About Metrics Web 2.0: What’s So Special? Summary
  • 18.
    M AARRR ketingPlan Marketing Plan = Target Customer Acquisition Channels 3 Important Factors = Volume ( # ), Cost ( $ ), Conversion ( % ) Measure conversion to target customer actions Test audience segments, campaign themes, Call-To-Action ( CTAs ) Match Channel Costs to Revenue Potential Est. Conversion + Revenue Potential Avg Txn Value ( ATV ), Ann. Rev. Per User ( ARPU ), Cust. Lifetime Value ( CLV ) Design channels that cost <20-50% of target ATV, ARPU, or CLV Consider Costs & Resource Tradeoffs Actual expenses Marketing time & resources Product/Engineering time & resources Timing of expense vs. revenue, profit vs. cashflow
  • 19.
    Example Marketing Channelsdisclaimer: estimates of vol, cost/user, time & effort are subjective – actual costs are dependent on your specific business
  • 20.
    AARRR genda StartupMetrics for Pirates (AARRR!) Questions for Pirates & Founders What is a Business Model? What is a Marketing Plan? More About Metrics Web 2.0: What’s So Special? Summary
  • 21.
    4 Types ofMeasurement Qualitative : Usability Testing / Session Monitoring Watch users, guess problems & solutions from small # of users Quantitative : Traffic Analysis / User Engagement Track users, usage, conv %'s for empirical sample # of users Comparative : A/B, Multivariate Testing Compare what users do in one scenario vs another Measure which copy/graphics/UI are most effective Competitive : Monitoring & Tracking Competitors Track competitor activity & compare against yours (if possible) Compare channels, keyword traffic, demographics, user sat, etc. (see slide notes for links to tools & vendors)
  • 22.
    Quantitative & Comparative Measurement Conversion Criteria: best-performing (%) channels / campaigns / copy largest-volume (#) channels / campaigns / copy lowest-cost ($) channels / campaigns / copy Measurement Components: Audience Segment (young women, regional metro, older singles) Channel Source (social network, SEM, organic, PR, etc) Campaign Theme / Brand Promise (“find a job”, “learn to cook”) Landing Page & CTA Copy & Graphics
  • 23.
    AARRR genda StartupMetrics for Pirates (AARRR!) Questions for Pirates & Founders What is a Business Model? What is a Marketing Plan? More About Metrics Web 2.0: What’s So Special? Summary
  • 24.
    Web 2.0: Yeah, We’re Special* Web Services, Ajax, Flash, Tags, Feeds Online reach is very broad ( 1B+ users worldwide) HW/SW Infrastructure Cost is low (open source) Customer Acquisition Cost is low (blogs, SEO, email/viral) User Participation is high (UGC/LGC) Referral Potential is high (if you don’t suck ) Monetization is non-zero (you hope) Online Metrics are available (if you measure) *… as in Special Olympics
  • 25.
    AARRR genda StartupMetrics for Pirates (AARRR!) Questions for Pirates & Founders What is a Business Model? What is a Marketing Plan? More About Metrics Web 2.0: What’s So Special? Summary
  • 26.
    Why You ShouldBe A Web 2.0 Entrepreneur Pirate! AARRR!