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The Importance Of Global Diversification:
Australian Case Study
Which Is The Most Resilient Economy On The Planet?
Proof Of Australia’s World Record Resilience




                                                  No Recession
     GDP Growth A                                   Through:          From 2013 – 2017
    World Record 21                              1998 Asian Crisis       IMF forecast
    Years Averaging                                                   average 3.2% p.a.
       3.3% p.a.                                 2002 Tech Crisis       GDP growth*
                                                2008+ Global Crisis




*The highest amongst major advanced economies
My Aims For This Presentation



                                             To provide an example
      To present a compelling                    of the type of
         case study on the                        geographical
    economic credentials of an                 diversification ALL
      investment destination                 investors should have
     you probably don’t know                   in their portfolios
            much about


                                         As you will have
                                          gathered the
                Our clients use LM as   country in focus is
                their trusted partner       Australia.
                    to access this
                  Australian story
Plotting The Shifting GDP Centre Of The World
On The Doorstep Of This Century’s Global Economic Powerhouse




• But it will be a bumpy economic ride in the developing nations!
Australia Is A Critical Partner for Growth in Asia – Export Values




Of Australia’s top 12 export of goods and services markets in 2011, ten were from Asia.
Australia’s Merchandise Exports by Country

                                                 “The tyranny of
                                               distance, so long
                                              Australia’s enduring
                                                curse, has been
                                             turned on its head. It
                                             is now the Antipodean
                                                   advantage of
                                                     adjacency”

                                              Source: The Economist & Australian
                                                     Survey 26 May 2011
Providing Commodities To Asia Is Just One Part Of The Story
> Asia is rapidly becoming home to the majority of the world’s middle class:




> Middle class demand a diverse range of goods and services from:
        • Health and aged care • Banking and financial services
        • Education              • Agriculture and high-quality food products
        • Household goods        • Manufacturing/services: high-value & innovative
        • Tourism                • Green Technology
> Australia as the most sophisticated economy in the region fulfils these needs
Australia’s GDP >US$1.5 trillion – 4th Largest Economy In Asia




• Australia’s population is less than half a per cent of the global total
Real Average GDP Growth by Economic Grouping
GDP Per Capita (USD)

                         > Highest median wealth USD 222k (USA 53k)
                         > 2nd highest average wealth USD 397k after Switzerland
                           Source: Credit Suisse Global Wealth Report, October
                           2011
  GDP Per Capita (USD)
Global Government Net Debt 2012
Active Monetary Policy Room With Room To Manoeuvre
Australian Economy Myth 1
China slow down a grave risk to Australian economy



       The impact of a worst case Chinese ‘hard
       landing’ (a 4.00% slowdown) on the Australia
       economy would be to shave off 0.50% of
       GDP which would only reduce the current
       IMF annual forecast to 3.00% growth. This is
       still the trend rate.

       The Economist, 25 August 2012.
Australian Economy Myth 2
World‘s 12th largest 1.5 Trillion USD economy dependant on mining?




• Australia’s services sectors account for over 80 per cent of real Gross Value Added (GVA).
Australian Economy Myth 2
World 12th largest 1.5 Trillion USD economy dependant on mining?
Index of Economic Freedom World Ranking – 2012
Key Indicators of Doing Business – 2012
Australia’s Labour Force by Birthplace
Population Growth 1.5% p.a.
> Natural increase 50%
> Migration Policy 50%
The Economist’s Liveability Index Ranking – 2012
Australian Solidity




                                                                             AAA Sovereign Rating
                                       4 of the 9 top rated global banks (AA-) with no bail outs

                         Compulsory Superannuation – 9% from employer


  3rd largest banking sector by market cap behind US & China (bigger than combined Eurozone)



4th largest fund management AUM globally at >1.5 trillion AUD
Largest Stock Market in Ex-Japan Asia By Market Cap
Best Stock Market Performance Over The Last 112 Years
Averaging 7.20%pa after inflation




                 Asset Class            Return Since 1 January 1990


                 Australian Shares               8.80%pa

                 International Shares            4.00%pa

                 US Shares                       7.10%pa
Best Stock Market Performance Over The Last 112 Years
Averaging 7.20%pa after inflation




                 Asset Class            Return Since 1 January 2000


                 Australian Shares               7.00%pa

                 International Shares            -3.20%pa

                 US Shares                       -2.80%pa
Best Stock Market Performance Over The Last 112 Years
Averaging 7.20%pa after inflation




                 Asset Class            Return Since 1 January 2006


                 Australian Shares               3.10%pa

                 International Shares            -3.80%pa

                 US Shares                       -2.70%pa
Trusted client partner to
access Australian story
12 year flagship fund
returns of 6%-10% p.a.
    We work through
 licenced advisers only
     SB In Israel
     Every Month

   ILS Share Class

        Utterly
     committed to
      the Israeli
        market
In Summary




    Australia is in the right place at the right time. Skilful economic
    management has maximised the nation’s opportunities and in doing so
    has created the world’s most resilient economy which has been the most
    consistent performer on the planet for over 20 years. Australia’s growth is
    forecast to be number 1 for developed economies over the foreseeable
    future. As an investment destination there are arguably none better.
Documents In Hebrew On LM/Australia and Breakfast

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הרצאה של סימון בוטל בכנס

  • 1. The Importance Of Global Diversification: Australian Case Study
  • 2. Which Is The Most Resilient Economy On The Planet?
  • 3. Proof Of Australia’s World Record Resilience No Recession GDP Growth A Through: From 2013 – 2017 World Record 21 1998 Asian Crisis IMF forecast Years Averaging average 3.2% p.a. 3.3% p.a. 2002 Tech Crisis GDP growth* 2008+ Global Crisis *The highest amongst major advanced economies
  • 4. My Aims For This Presentation To provide an example To present a compelling of the type of case study on the geographical economic credentials of an diversification ALL investment destination investors should have you probably don’t know in their portfolios much about As you will have gathered the Our clients use LM as country in focus is their trusted partner Australia. to access this Australian story
  • 5.
  • 6. Plotting The Shifting GDP Centre Of The World
  • 7. On The Doorstep Of This Century’s Global Economic Powerhouse • But it will be a bumpy economic ride in the developing nations!
  • 8. Australia Is A Critical Partner for Growth in Asia – Export Values Of Australia’s top 12 export of goods and services markets in 2011, ten were from Asia.
  • 9. Australia’s Merchandise Exports by Country “The tyranny of distance, so long Australia’s enduring curse, has been turned on its head. It is now the Antipodean advantage of adjacency” Source: The Economist & Australian Survey 26 May 2011
  • 10. Providing Commodities To Asia Is Just One Part Of The Story > Asia is rapidly becoming home to the majority of the world’s middle class: > Middle class demand a diverse range of goods and services from: • Health and aged care • Banking and financial services • Education • Agriculture and high-quality food products • Household goods • Manufacturing/services: high-value & innovative • Tourism • Green Technology > Australia as the most sophisticated economy in the region fulfils these needs
  • 11. Australia’s GDP >US$1.5 trillion – 4th Largest Economy In Asia • Australia’s population is less than half a per cent of the global total
  • 12. Real Average GDP Growth by Economic Grouping
  • 13. GDP Per Capita (USD) > Highest median wealth USD 222k (USA 53k) > 2nd highest average wealth USD 397k after Switzerland Source: Credit Suisse Global Wealth Report, October 2011 GDP Per Capita (USD)
  • 15. Active Monetary Policy Room With Room To Manoeuvre
  • 16. Australian Economy Myth 1 China slow down a grave risk to Australian economy The impact of a worst case Chinese ‘hard landing’ (a 4.00% slowdown) on the Australia economy would be to shave off 0.50% of GDP which would only reduce the current IMF annual forecast to 3.00% growth. This is still the trend rate. The Economist, 25 August 2012.
  • 17. Australian Economy Myth 2 World‘s 12th largest 1.5 Trillion USD economy dependant on mining? • Australia’s services sectors account for over 80 per cent of real Gross Value Added (GVA).
  • 18. Australian Economy Myth 2 World 12th largest 1.5 Trillion USD economy dependant on mining?
  • 19. Index of Economic Freedom World Ranking – 2012
  • 20. Key Indicators of Doing Business – 2012
  • 21. Australia’s Labour Force by Birthplace Population Growth 1.5% p.a. > Natural increase 50% > Migration Policy 50%
  • 22. The Economist’s Liveability Index Ranking – 2012
  • 23. Australian Solidity AAA Sovereign Rating 4 of the 9 top rated global banks (AA-) with no bail outs Compulsory Superannuation – 9% from employer 3rd largest banking sector by market cap behind US & China (bigger than combined Eurozone) 4th largest fund management AUM globally at >1.5 trillion AUD
  • 24. Largest Stock Market in Ex-Japan Asia By Market Cap
  • 25. Best Stock Market Performance Over The Last 112 Years Averaging 7.20%pa after inflation Asset Class Return Since 1 January 1990 Australian Shares 8.80%pa International Shares 4.00%pa US Shares 7.10%pa
  • 26. Best Stock Market Performance Over The Last 112 Years Averaging 7.20%pa after inflation Asset Class Return Since 1 January 2000 Australian Shares 7.00%pa International Shares -3.20%pa US Shares -2.80%pa
  • 27. Best Stock Market Performance Over The Last 112 Years Averaging 7.20%pa after inflation Asset Class Return Since 1 January 2006 Australian Shares 3.10%pa International Shares -3.80%pa US Shares -2.70%pa
  • 28. Trusted client partner to access Australian story 12 year flagship fund returns of 6%-10% p.a. We work through licenced advisers only SB In Israel Every Month ILS Share Class Utterly committed to the Israeli market
  • 29. In Summary Australia is in the right place at the right time. Skilful economic management has maximised the nation’s opportunities and in doing so has created the world’s most resilient economy which has been the most consistent performer on the planet for over 20 years. Australia’s growth is forecast to be number 1 for developed economies over the foreseeable future. As an investment destination there are arguably none better.
  • 30. Documents In Hebrew On LM/Australia and Breakfast