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Eduard Saller
Data Science, NLP
BMW Group
20.03.2018
Car Sharing Fleet Demand
My Background and Role
► Data Scientist at BMW Group Innovation Lab
► Background in NLP (Natural Language Processing)
► Bringing innovation and AI solutions to BMW Group value chain
► Who let the logs out?
► I love everything Docker and mechanical keyboards
01
CAR SHARING
SERVICE
BUSINESS
VALUE
CAR SHARING
DEMAND
FORECAST
INPUT DATA FURTHER WORK
02 03 0504
Agenda
Car Sharing Service
AREA
OF OPERATION
AVAILABILITY
OF CARS
NOT COVERING
THE WHOLE CITY
01
5
02 Business Value
IDLE STATE NUMBER OF BOOKINGS
6
Car Sharing Demand Forecast
► How to get live overview over the cars distribution?
► How to record seasonal and daily trends of car demand?
► How to proactively react to any flows or gaps on the fleet coverage?
► Splunk App for Car Demand Forecast
03
7
Vehicle Data
Event / Holidays
e.g. Football
Games
Public
Transport Data
e.g. Metro
Stations
Weather Data
Input Data Layers04
Car Demand Forecast
► Capture seasonal, daily and hourly
trends
► Live monitoring on the map of pick-up
and car-drop events
► Live monitoring of fleet coverage gaps
Splunk ML Toolkit Solution04
► Non-linear Algorithm
► Random Forest Regressor
► Historical Data
► 8 days, 1 month, etc.
► Model Input
► Car-pickup/Car-drop events
► Latitude and longitude
► Features of time
► Model Output
► Car demand
Machine Learning Approach04
Applying Random Forest04
COMBINED
WITH
MAINTENANCE
01 02 CARS
REALLOCATE
THEMSELVES
03
STAFF USERS AUTONOMOUS
DRIVING
FUTURE
INCENTIVES
e.g. free
driving
minutes
Types of Repositioning05
Including more
data sources such
as concerts,
football games,
holidays, etc.
What’s Next?05
Fleet size prediction
for cities without a
car sharing service
Optimal fleet size /
saturation of fleet
Same approach for
electric cars
availability and
charging station
distribution
IMPROVE EXPAND ENHANCED
PROFITABILITY
FUTURE PROOF
© 2018 SPLUNK INC.
KEY
Takeaways
Improve distance / time to cars
by optimal distribution of assets
SplunkLive!
MACHINE LEARNING
It’s not magic, it’s just a tool. But it’s a really important tool.

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