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Priyanka Dissanayake- Regional Coordinator
Lal Induruwage – Program Manager WACREP
GWP South Asia
June 27, Port of Spain TRINIDAD
GWP –South Asia
Regional Office –Hosted by International Water
Management Institute (IWMI), Sri Lanka
Six CWPs excluding Afghanistan & Maldives
BWP (Bangladesh)
BhWP (Bhutan)
GWP Nepal
IWP (India)
PWP (Pakistan)
SLWP (Sri Lanka)
www.gwpsouthasia.org
www.iwmi.org
Water for a food-secure world
Observed Changes – Drought Severity
Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) for 1900 to 2002
Increasing
droughts
seen in
South Asia
Source: Dai et al. 2004
Overview of the responses to parts 1-4. Color scale indicating country capacity
Needs Assessment Survey DEWS
• No validated system of DEWS that could meet the requirement for a high
spatial resolution in any of the surveyed countries
• Challenges that the countries face at present in drought monitoring are
lack of hydrological / meteorological measurement stations
missing access to satellite data
insufficient rainfall prediction capability
shortage of well-trained staff
• Development of an institutional mechanism of functional collaboration
across ministries and departments at the sub-national, national and
regional/ international level is also essential
• There is a need to shift emphasis from disaster response to risk
management: to improve flood and drought forecasting; to establish early
warning systems and to improve communication flow.
Existing Cooperation Mechanisms
in South Asia SAARC - DMC
Outcomes Kabul workshop - definition of five broad
areas of regional cooperation
• Drought Monitoring and Early Warning
• Drought Research and Documentation
• Training and Capacity Building for Drought
Management
• Sharing of Good Practices on Drought Risk
Management
• Development of a South Asia Drought Network
SACOF and User Consultation in SA
DMS Development
• 2010 onwards, annual sessions held in Pune, India and in
Kathmandu, Nepal.
• The 5th South Asian Climate Outlook Forum in April 23-215
2014 in Pune, India (GWP SAS and Frederik attended with
IWMI)
Recommendations
i) Involvement of users and relevant government agencies
throughout project -key for success and for housing and
ownership of the system nationally and regionally
ii) need for clarity in the system to enhance the
understanding
iii) Consider the political nature of drought
iv) Consider the importance in data verification
SA DMS GWP SAS IWMI WMO
• GOAL deliver a newly integrated drought monitoring
method by selecting the best combination of variables with
better accuracy
• At present countries SA - use traditional methods (Ex: SPI
based on rainfall data) in Drought A & M
• Remote sensing technology provides alternative data for
operational drought monitoring, with advanced temporal
and spatial characteristics
• Integration of traditional meteorological data, remotely
sensed drought indices, together with information on
elevation, vegetation type, and man-made irrigation,
provides a promising approach to better characterize the
spatial extent and intensity of drought
SA DMS IWMI Approach and Data
There are essentially three main activities / thrusts in this
project:
• 1. Development and calibration/testing of the monitoring
method, using most advanced drought indices, and
multiple (climate, hydrology, RS, in-situ data) data sources;
• 2. Development of the operational online prototype
drought monitoring system;
• 3. Capacity building, customization for national needs and
dissemination of the monitoring product in the region;
Conceptual Framework for
Development of South Asia DMS
Comprehensive Drought Impacts Reporting System
SA DMS Implementation
•Keep the input data simple and ensure that there is an
understanding on what basis drought risks are being
generated for SA DMS to gain acceptance by users
•Include ground verification of the results
•Uncertainty to be communicated clearly to users
•Efforts are made to include the outputs of the SASCOF
as well as any National Climate Outlook Forums
•Involvement and ownership of government agencies
and the users from the beginning in SA DMS development
•SADMS to have the potential to be used as a South Asia
Drought Early Warning (SADEWS)
South Asian Drought Monitoring System

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South Asian Drought Monitoring System

  • 1. Priyanka Dissanayake- Regional Coordinator Lal Induruwage – Program Manager WACREP GWP South Asia June 27, Port of Spain TRINIDAD
  • 2. GWP –South Asia Regional Office –Hosted by International Water Management Institute (IWMI), Sri Lanka Six CWPs excluding Afghanistan & Maldives BWP (Bangladesh) BhWP (Bhutan) GWP Nepal IWP (India) PWP (Pakistan) SLWP (Sri Lanka) www.gwpsouthasia.org
  • 3. www.iwmi.org Water for a food-secure world Observed Changes – Drought Severity Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) for 1900 to 2002 Increasing droughts seen in South Asia Source: Dai et al. 2004
  • 4. Overview of the responses to parts 1-4. Color scale indicating country capacity
  • 5. Needs Assessment Survey DEWS • No validated system of DEWS that could meet the requirement for a high spatial resolution in any of the surveyed countries • Challenges that the countries face at present in drought monitoring are lack of hydrological / meteorological measurement stations missing access to satellite data insufficient rainfall prediction capability shortage of well-trained staff • Development of an institutional mechanism of functional collaboration across ministries and departments at the sub-national, national and regional/ international level is also essential • There is a need to shift emphasis from disaster response to risk management: to improve flood and drought forecasting; to establish early warning systems and to improve communication flow.
  • 6. Existing Cooperation Mechanisms in South Asia SAARC - DMC Outcomes Kabul workshop - definition of five broad areas of regional cooperation • Drought Monitoring and Early Warning • Drought Research and Documentation • Training and Capacity Building for Drought Management • Sharing of Good Practices on Drought Risk Management • Development of a South Asia Drought Network
  • 7. SACOF and User Consultation in SA DMS Development • 2010 onwards, annual sessions held in Pune, India and in Kathmandu, Nepal. • The 5th South Asian Climate Outlook Forum in April 23-215 2014 in Pune, India (GWP SAS and Frederik attended with IWMI) Recommendations i) Involvement of users and relevant government agencies throughout project -key for success and for housing and ownership of the system nationally and regionally ii) need for clarity in the system to enhance the understanding iii) Consider the political nature of drought iv) Consider the importance in data verification
  • 8. SA DMS GWP SAS IWMI WMO • GOAL deliver a newly integrated drought monitoring method by selecting the best combination of variables with better accuracy • At present countries SA - use traditional methods (Ex: SPI based on rainfall data) in Drought A & M • Remote sensing technology provides alternative data for operational drought monitoring, with advanced temporal and spatial characteristics • Integration of traditional meteorological data, remotely sensed drought indices, together with information on elevation, vegetation type, and man-made irrigation, provides a promising approach to better characterize the spatial extent and intensity of drought
  • 9. SA DMS IWMI Approach and Data There are essentially three main activities / thrusts in this project: • 1. Development and calibration/testing of the monitoring method, using most advanced drought indices, and multiple (climate, hydrology, RS, in-situ data) data sources; • 2. Development of the operational online prototype drought monitoring system; • 3. Capacity building, customization for national needs and dissemination of the monitoring product in the region;
  • 11. Comprehensive Drought Impacts Reporting System
  • 12. SA DMS Implementation •Keep the input data simple and ensure that there is an understanding on what basis drought risks are being generated for SA DMS to gain acceptance by users •Include ground verification of the results •Uncertainty to be communicated clearly to users •Efforts are made to include the outputs of the SASCOF as well as any National Climate Outlook Forums •Involvement and ownership of government agencies and the users from the beginning in SA DMS development •SADMS to have the potential to be used as a South Asia Drought Early Warning (SADEWS)