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An Overview of Solar Cell Technology
Mike McGehee
Materials Science and Engineering
Global Climate and Energy Project
Global Climate and Energy Project
Center for Advanced Molecular Photovoltaics
Precourt Institute
Stanford University
Konarka
Nanosolar
John Benner provided the slides with the NREL logo.
Primary Photovoltaic (PV) Markets
Residential Rooftop Commercial Rooftop
Ground‐
mounted
(Usually
2
utility
scale)
How cheap does PV need to be to compete w/ coal?
June 2008
Installed System Price per Watt, 2008-2011
3Q10 Breakout
$5.92
$3.17
$2.83
$3.72
National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy Future
Original Source: Deutsche Bank, January 2011; Systems are global (i.e., blended across geographies)
My source: R. Swanson, IEEE PV Specialists Conf., June 2011
4
PV is a booming industry, especially in China
5
But not everyone prospered in 2011
Solyndra SpectraWatt and Evergreen Solar went bankrupt
Jon Stewart, The Daily Show
Solyndra, SpectraWatt and Evergreen Solar went bankrupt.
What makes the PV industry so
i t ti ?
interesting?
• PV addresses the energy problem which many passionately
• PV addresses the energy problem, which many passionately
want to solve.
• By 2050 the world will need ~ 30 TW of power.
By 2050 the world will need 30 TW of power.
• Some think PV could provide 20 % of that. It takes a panel rated
at 5 W, to average 1 W of power through the day and year, so
g p g y y
we would need 30 TW of PV capacity.
• At $1/W, the industry would take in $30 trillion.
• The industry is now well over $40 B/yr.
There are many approaches to making PV cells
and experts do not agree on which one is the best
and experts do not agree on which one is the best
Si 180
National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy Future
20x-100x 500x Cu(In,Ga)Se2 ~ 1-2 um c-Si ~ 180 um
Lots of records in 2011!
More factors that make the plot
p
interesting
• The overall global economy has been turbulent for a few years.
• Government policies are constantly changing.
Government policies are constantly changing.
• When an industry based on manufacturing grows faster than 40
%/year in spurts, it is hard for the supply chain to always provide
y p pp y y p
what is needed.
Conventional p-n junction photovoltaic (solar) cell
Effi i li it
Thermalization of
excess energy
Sources of energy loss
Efficiency limits
Below band gap
photons not absorbed
excess energy
CB
VB
Increasing VOC and decreasing JSC
Multijunctions: The Road to
Higher Efficiencies
Higher-efficiency MJ cells require new materials that
divide the solar spectrum equally to provide current match
Ge provides lattice match but the bandgap is too small
GaInP GaInP
GaAs
1.8 eV
GaAs
1.8 eV
1.4 eV
Ge
1.4 eV
GaInNAs
4 5 6 7 8 9 2 3 4
Ge
0.7 eV
1.0 eV
New Solar
J i
ISC2009—Tokyo University, March 3, 2009 JSH 13
p
4 5 6 7 8 9
1
2 3 4
Energy (eV)
Junction
MJ Cell
Conventional
MJ Cell
Solar Junction World Record
World’s
most
efficient
solar cell
solar cell
ever
produced:
43.5%
at
418-655 suns
418-655 suns
14
PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL. PROPERTY OF SOLAR JUNCTION.
PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL. PROPERTY OF SOLAR JUNCTION.
2010 Production by Cell Type
National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy Future
Source: PV News, May 2011
Silicon PV
Silicon Feedstock Ingot Growth Slicing Wafers
Cell Fabrication
Module Encapsulation
Photovoltaic System
National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy Future
Simple Cell Technologies continue to improve
- 19.6% efficient planar cells on CZ silicon
National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy Future
Source: J-H Lai, IEEE PVSC, June 2011
In September 2011 there were protests at a
Chinese PV factory over pollution in the river
Chemical and Engineering News, September 26, 2011
http://www.mercomcapital.com/news.php#CHINA
After this presentation was given, a article with a response from Suntech was published at
http://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/read/The-Reality-of-Chinas-Billions-in-Solar-Loans/.
Conclusions on Silicon PV
Conclusions on Silicon PV
• Progress has been better than many expected.
• Modules are being sold at $1/W, but not for profit.
• $1/W w/ profit seems inevitable.
• It is not yet clear that $0.5/W Si cells can be made sustainably.
Thin Film Solar Cells
• A thin film of semiconductor is deposited by low cost methods.
• Less material is used
• Less material is used.
• Cells can be flexible and integrated directly into roofing material.
Metal
N-type CdS
P-type CdTe 3~8 um
0.1 um
Glass Superstrate
Transparent Conducting Oxide 0.05 um
~1000 um
CdTe
CdTe Solar Cell with
Solar Cell with CdS
CdS window layer
window layer
CdTe
CdTe Solar Cell with
Solar Cell with CdS
CdS window layer
window layer
Metal
Back Contact: Cathode
P-type CdTe
Metal
Absorber layer
3~8 um
Transparent Conducting Oxide
N-type CdS
Window Layer 0.1 um
0.05 um
Glass Superstrate
Front Contact: Anode ~1000 um
Incident Light
22
CdS: tends to be n-type, large bandgap(2.42eV)
Cadmium Telluride Solar Cells
Cadmium Telluride Solar Cells
glass • Direct bandgap, Eg=1.45eV
G d ffi i (R d 17 3%)
• Good efficiency (Record:17.3%)
• High module production speed
• Long term stability (20 years)
CdS/CdTe
Image from Rommel Noufi
Schematic from Bulent Basol
CdTe: Industrial Status
CdTe: Industrial Status
First Solar is the leader. It takes them 2.5 hours to make a 11 % module.
Average Manufacturing Cost
2006: $1.40/watt
2007 $1 23/ tt
2007: $1.23/watt
2008: $1.08/watt
2009: $0.87/watt
2010: $0.77/watt
The energy payback time is 0.8 years.
24
www.firstsolar.com
gy p y y
One reason cells on the roof don’t have
17 3 % efficienc
17.3 % efficiency
Th h ll i i d t i t i l t thi CdS l ith t h i
25
From Reuben Collins
The challenge in industry is to implement thin CdS layers without having a
pinhole.
How much of a problem is the toxicity of
Cd?
It is probably manageable First Solar will recycle the
It is probably manageable. First Solar will recycle the
panels when the customer is done with them.
26
Cu(In Ga1 )Se2
Cu(InxGa1‐x)Se2
• World record efficiency = 20.4 %.
• Many companies are evaporating, printing,
sputtering and electrodepositing it.
• Some are manufacturing ~30-50 MW/yr.
• Handling a 4-element compound is tough
Handling a 4 element compound is tough.
Shell Solar, CA
Global Solar Energy AZ
Global Solar Energy, AZ
Energy Photovoltaics, NJ
ISET, CA
ITN/ES, CO
Wurth Solar, Germany
SULFURCELL, Germany
NanoSolar Inc., CA
DayStar Technologies, NY/CA
MiaSole, CA
HelioVolt Tx
, y
CIS Solartechnik, Germany
Solarion, Germany
Solibro, Sweden
CISEL France
HelioVolt, Tx
Solyndra, CA
SoloPower, CA
CISEL, France
Showa Shell, Japan
Honda, Japan
Solyndra’s CIGS modules
www.solyndra.com
A comparison of Solyndra’s
modules to their competitors
www.solyndra.com
Wind Performance
Wind Performance
www.solyndra.com
Ability to Avoid Heating
Ability to Avoid Heating
Please view the videos on their website to see the manufacturing and installation
processes.
www.solyndra.com
What went wrong?
What went wrong?
• There are significant disadvantages to using cylinders (e.g. more
area more dark current)
area, more dark current).
• Just about everything in the factory had to be custom built to enable
the use of cylinders.
y
• The glass cylinders are not as cheap as those used in fluorescent
light tubes.
• The price of crystalline silicon dropped faster than Solyndra expected.
• Building a second factory wasn’t a great idea.
Martin Roscheisen explained the disadvantages of the Solyndra approach
Martin Roscheisen explained the disadvantages of the Solyndra approach
back in 2009. ( http://www.nanosolar.com/company/blog/tubular-pv)
www.nanosolar.com
Nanosolar’s Roll-to-Roll Coating
See videos of the coating machine and module packaging on
Nanosolar’s website.
Nanosolar
There is a 16-page white paper on the Nanosolar website describing this technology.
Nanosolar’s Cell and Module Design
Miasolé
Miasolé
• Sputters CIGS on steel foil
• 15.7 % efficient modules verified by NREL
F ll t t d f ki d l
• Fully automated process for making modules
• Should be shipping ~13.5 % efficient modules at around $0.8/W soon
Is there enough Te for CdTe?
The amount of Te in a cell is
(thickness)(density)(mass fraction Te)
(thickness)(density)(mass fraction Te).
2-m thick cells require
(2 m)(5.7 g/cm3)(0.52) = 5.7 g/m2.
The sun gives us 1 kW/m2, so a 10 % efficient module produces
.
Te
g
W
16
g
5.7
m
W
100
2
2

m2
38
A very similar story can be told for the In needed in CIGS
Th R f T
The Reserve of Te
• According to the United States Geologic Survey the world reserve of Te
• According to the United States Geologic Survey, the world reserve of Te
is 47,000 tons.
• If all of it was used to make solar cells, we could generate 0.68 TW
during peak conditions or about 0.14 TW averaged throughout the day.
• We want >5 TW.
• The Reserve is defined as the amount that can be economically
recovered.
39
The cost of Te
• In 2008 Te cost $250/kg. Continuing the example from before,
that translates to 0.015 $/W.
Th t f T ld l t b f ff ti th i f
• The cost of Te could go up a lot before affecting the price of
solar cells.
40
Can we find more Te?
Can we find more Te?
• Te is a byproduct of Cu mining.
• As the price goes up, more Cu plants will install equipment to capture
the Te.
• Until recently, no known Te ores were known.
• We might find a lot more Te when we look for it.
We might find a lot more Te when we look for it.
• Martin Green, “Estimates of Te and In Prices from Direct Mining of Known
Ores,” Prog in PV 17 (2009) p. 347.
• Cyrus Wadia Paul Alivisatos and Dan Kammens “Materials Availability
41
Cyrus Wadia, Paul Alivisatos and Dan Kammens, Materials Availability
Expands the Opportunity for Large-Scale Photovoltaics Deployment,”
Environmental Science and Technology, (2009)
Searching for more abundant materials
Stanford University
U.S. Geological Survey Fact Sheet 087-02
Solar Cells Using Non-Toxic Abundant Materials
• CuInGaSe2 – 20.4 % efficient – thin film architecture
• Cu2ZnSnS4 (CZTS) is similar to CuInGaSe2 in many ways
Raw Material Costs
Cu - $3.35/lb
Zn $1 59/lb
Relative Abundance
Cu - 6.0 x 10-5
Zn - 7 0 x 10-5
Zn - $1.59/lb
Sn - $6.61/lb
S – $0.02/lb
Ga - $209/lb
Zn - 7.0 x 10
Sn - 2.3 x 10-6
S - 10-4
Ga - 1.9 x 10-5
Cu
Sn
In - $361/lb
Se - 2002 $4, 2007 $33/lb
In - 2.5 x 10-7
Se - 5 x 10-8
Source: www.usgs.gov (2007 data)
Sn
Zn
S
CZTS History
CZT(S,Se) Efficiency vs. Time
35
# of CZTS Papers vs. Time
20
25
30
apers
5
10
15
#
of
P
0
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
Publication Year
• IBM World Record – 9.6%
• AQT-Clemens Record – 9.3%
44
• CZTS research base growing fast
Vardaan Chawla – Clemens Group
A newer thin film approach: organic solar cells
• Molecules can be sprayed onto
p y
plastic substrates rapidly,
inexpensively and at low
temperature.
K k
• No rare or toxic elements are
needed.
Konarka
• Tandems can be made easily.
The hope is that we will some day be able to print 15 % efficient cells on
The hope is that we will some day be able to print 15 % efficient cells on
flexible substrates at < $50/m2.
Polymer-Fullerene Bulk Heterojunction Cells
Ca/Al
k
• Donor polymer (i.e. P3HT)
absorbs light generating an
exciton (i.e. bound electron hole
pair) Ca/Al
nm
thick
pair).
• Exciton must diffuse to the
~200
n
Donor/Acceptor (e.g. PCBM)
interface to split.
46
PEDOT
Transparent Conducting Oxide
• Electrons travel to the back
electrode.
46
• Holes travel to the front
electrode.
Organic Solar Cells are Rapidly Improving
Solution processes (Polymer, PCBM)
Vacuum processed
10% Mitsubishi 2011
?
9% Solarmer 2011
8.3% Heliatek 2010
2005 2010
The world record cell in June 2009: 6.1 %
• The chemistry is being
tuned to get the right
energy levels.
Th h l i b i
• The morphology is being
optimized to prevent
recombination.
Heeger, LeClerc et al Nature
Photonics 3 (2009) p. 297
Reliability
Reliability
• Encapsulation will be
needed.
• A UV filter will
probably be needed.
M l l
• Many molecules are
very stable in light.
F.C. Krebs, et al., Solar Energy Materials (2008)
Heliatek Reliability Study
Light intensity
g y
2.2 suns
Temperature
48 ºC
48 ºC
(33,290 hrs)(2.2)= 73,000 hrs or 8.4 years continuous use
At 5 hrs/day of peak sunlight, the lifetime is 40 years.
G. Schwartz et al., Proc. of SPIE, 7416 (2009)p. 74160K-1
Recommended General Reading List
eco e ded Ge e a ead g st
• C. Deibel and V. Dyakonov, Polymer–fullerene bulk heterojunction
solar cells Rep Prog Phys 73 096401 (2010)
solar cells, Rep. Prog. Phys. 73 096401 (2010)
• T. Ameri , G. Dennler , C. Lungenschmied and C. J. Brabec, Organic
tandem solar cells : A review Energy Environ Sci 2 347-363 (2009)
tandem solar cells : A review, Energy Environ. Sci., 2, 347-363 (2009)
• A.C. Mayer, S.R. Scully, B.E. Hardin, M.W. Rowell, M.D. McGehee,
Polymer-based solar cells, Materials Today, 10, 11 (2007)
Polymer based solar cells, Materials Today, 10, 11 (2007)
• C. J. Brabec, S. Gowrisanker, J. J. M. Halls, D. Laird, S. Jia, S. P. William,
Polymer–Fullerene Bulk-Heterojunction Solar Cells, Adv. Mat. 22, 3839-
y j , ,
3856 (2010)
• P. Peumans, A. Yakimov and S.R. Forrest, Small molecular weight
organic thin-film photodetectors and solar cells, J. Appl. Phys. 93,
3693, Apr 2003
Multijunction Cells are Very
Expensive
p
• These complex
t t
Ga0.50In0.50P: Top Cell
structures are grown
very slowly under high
vacuum.
• 37 % cells can be
purchased for
$50,000/m2
Ga0.99In0.01As: Middle Cell • Concentrating the light
is essential.
Ge substrate: Bottom Cell R.R. King; Spectrolab Inc., AVS 54th
International Symposium, Seattle 2007
Concentrating Light
Concentrating Light
It is possible to track the sun and concentrate the light by 500X
Dish Shape
Sol Focus
Concentration only makes
i l
sense in sunny places
Yearly Average Solar
Alb
S ttl
Radiation Resource
[kWh/day-m2]
1 sun = 1 kW/m2
6 4
3 7
Fixed flat panel
PV @ Lat
Albuquerque
Seattle
8 8
4 9
2-axis flat panel
PV
6.4
3.7
PV @ Lat.
6.7
2.9
2-axis Conc. PV
8.8
4.9
PV
Concentration is only
effective for direct
li ht
Source: NREL Solar Radiation Data Manual
sunlight
Cost Estimate of MJ Cells with Concentrators
• The cost of multijunction solar cells is approximately $50,000/m2 ($5/cm2).
500X concentration reduces this to $100/m2
500X concentration reduces this to $100/m .
• Let’s say the tracker and concentration cost $200/m2.
Th i 1000 W/ 2 b t thi i d d t 850 W/ 2 di t li ht
• The sun gives us 1000 W/m2, but this is reduced to 850 W/m2 direct sunlight.
• The best commercially available cells are 37% efficient at 25°C, but this
decreases to 30% at typical operating temperatures. If the optical system is
yp p g p p y
75% efficient, then we are at 0.30 × 0.75 × 850 ≈ 200 W/m2 of electrical
power.
At $200/m2 the capital cost would be $1 50/W
• At $200/m2 the capital cost would be $1.50/W.
Although this calculation is wildly optimistic, it represents the hopes and
g y p p p
dreams of CPV advocates.
Steve Eglash
Martin Green’s Generations of PV Technology
Gen I: Single crystal
G
Gen II: Thin Film
Gen III: Beats Schockly-
Queisser limit
Queisser limit
This extremely popular plot was generated at least 8 years ago and often used to
justify Gen III PV. Gen I and II are already much better than shown here.
Generation III is not even remotely close to being as good as shown by the red
region.
Alta Devices 28.2% efficient thin-film GaAs cell
National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy Future
Source: B. Kayes, IEEE PVSC, June 2011
Alta Devices’ New Record
Alta Devices New Record
A world record for single junction solar cells
Wafer record
(NREL)
Alta Devices
Efficiency 25.1% 27.6%
Jsc (mA/cm2) 28.2 29.6
Voc (V) 1.022 1.107
A f J 2011 Alt h d h d 28 2%
Voc (V) 1.022 1.107
FF 0.871 0.841
Area (cm2) 3.91 1.0
• As of June 2011, Alta had reached 28.2%
• Size of a 4” wafer
• They are flexible
They are flexible
Green et al., Prog. Photovoltaics, 19, 2011.
Photon recycling in thin film GaAs
Photon recycling in thin film GaAs
If the radiative lifetime is short, a photon can be absorbed and re‐emitted >
50 times before the free carriers are collected.
Si GaAs
Yablonovich et al., ArXiv 2011: http://arxiv.org/abs/1106.1603
Silicon can be peeled off too
• Astrowatt claims Si PV efficiency >20%
efficiency
efficiency.
• Twin Creeks is based on ion implanting
hydrogen into Si and having hydrogen
http://www.astrowatt.com/technology.php#technology
bubbles pop off a thin film.
Is peeling cells from single
crystal wafers the way to go?
The approach is very exciting, but quite challenging.
It is not clear that
• high quality m-thick films of GaAs can be deposited at a
reasonable price
• there is a reliable way to peel off silicon
• peeling can be incorporated into a high-throughput factory
• a wafer can be reused >1000 times as Alta hopes
Conclusions
• Solar is really taking off
• Si is in the lead, but many
technologies may still have their day

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SolarCellTechnology2011.pdf

  • 1. An Overview of Solar Cell Technology Mike McGehee Materials Science and Engineering Global Climate and Energy Project Global Climate and Energy Project Center for Advanced Molecular Photovoltaics Precourt Institute Stanford University Konarka Nanosolar John Benner provided the slides with the NREL logo.
  • 2. Primary Photovoltaic (PV) Markets Residential Rooftop Commercial Rooftop Ground‐ mounted (Usually 2 utility scale)
  • 3. How cheap does PV need to be to compete w/ coal? June 2008
  • 4. Installed System Price per Watt, 2008-2011 3Q10 Breakout $5.92 $3.17 $2.83 $3.72 National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy Future Original Source: Deutsche Bank, January 2011; Systems are global (i.e., blended across geographies) My source: R. Swanson, IEEE PV Specialists Conf., June 2011 4
  • 5. PV is a booming industry, especially in China 5
  • 6. But not everyone prospered in 2011 Solyndra SpectraWatt and Evergreen Solar went bankrupt Jon Stewart, The Daily Show Solyndra, SpectraWatt and Evergreen Solar went bankrupt.
  • 7. What makes the PV industry so i t ti ? interesting? • PV addresses the energy problem which many passionately • PV addresses the energy problem, which many passionately want to solve. • By 2050 the world will need ~ 30 TW of power. By 2050 the world will need 30 TW of power. • Some think PV could provide 20 % of that. It takes a panel rated at 5 W, to average 1 W of power through the day and year, so g p g y y we would need 30 TW of PV capacity. • At $1/W, the industry would take in $30 trillion. • The industry is now well over $40 B/yr.
  • 8. There are many approaches to making PV cells and experts do not agree on which one is the best and experts do not agree on which one is the best Si 180 National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy Future 20x-100x 500x Cu(In,Ga)Se2 ~ 1-2 um c-Si ~ 180 um
  • 9. Lots of records in 2011!
  • 10. More factors that make the plot p interesting • The overall global economy has been turbulent for a few years. • Government policies are constantly changing. Government policies are constantly changing. • When an industry based on manufacturing grows faster than 40 %/year in spurts, it is hard for the supply chain to always provide y p pp y y p what is needed.
  • 11. Conventional p-n junction photovoltaic (solar) cell
  • 12. Effi i li it Thermalization of excess energy Sources of energy loss Efficiency limits Below band gap photons not absorbed excess energy CB VB Increasing VOC and decreasing JSC
  • 13. Multijunctions: The Road to Higher Efficiencies Higher-efficiency MJ cells require new materials that divide the solar spectrum equally to provide current match Ge provides lattice match but the bandgap is too small GaInP GaInP GaAs 1.8 eV GaAs 1.8 eV 1.4 eV Ge 1.4 eV GaInNAs 4 5 6 7 8 9 2 3 4 Ge 0.7 eV 1.0 eV New Solar J i ISC2009—Tokyo University, March 3, 2009 JSH 13 p 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 2 3 4 Energy (eV) Junction MJ Cell Conventional MJ Cell
  • 14. Solar Junction World Record World’s most efficient solar cell solar cell ever produced: 43.5% at 418-655 suns 418-655 suns 14 PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL. PROPERTY OF SOLAR JUNCTION. PROPRIETARY AND CONFIDENTIAL. PROPERTY OF SOLAR JUNCTION.
  • 15. 2010 Production by Cell Type National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy Future Source: PV News, May 2011
  • 16. Silicon PV Silicon Feedstock Ingot Growth Slicing Wafers Cell Fabrication Module Encapsulation Photovoltaic System National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy Future
  • 17. Simple Cell Technologies continue to improve - 19.6% efficient planar cells on CZ silicon National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy Future Source: J-H Lai, IEEE PVSC, June 2011
  • 18. In September 2011 there were protests at a Chinese PV factory over pollution in the river Chemical and Engineering News, September 26, 2011
  • 19. http://www.mercomcapital.com/news.php#CHINA After this presentation was given, a article with a response from Suntech was published at http://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/read/The-Reality-of-Chinas-Billions-in-Solar-Loans/.
  • 20. Conclusions on Silicon PV Conclusions on Silicon PV • Progress has been better than many expected. • Modules are being sold at $1/W, but not for profit. • $1/W w/ profit seems inevitable. • It is not yet clear that $0.5/W Si cells can be made sustainably.
  • 21. Thin Film Solar Cells • A thin film of semiconductor is deposited by low cost methods. • Less material is used • Less material is used. • Cells can be flexible and integrated directly into roofing material. Metal N-type CdS P-type CdTe 3~8 um 0.1 um Glass Superstrate Transparent Conducting Oxide 0.05 um ~1000 um
  • 22. CdTe CdTe Solar Cell with Solar Cell with CdS CdS window layer window layer CdTe CdTe Solar Cell with Solar Cell with CdS CdS window layer window layer Metal Back Contact: Cathode P-type CdTe Metal Absorber layer 3~8 um Transparent Conducting Oxide N-type CdS Window Layer 0.1 um 0.05 um Glass Superstrate Front Contact: Anode ~1000 um Incident Light 22 CdS: tends to be n-type, large bandgap(2.42eV)
  • 23. Cadmium Telluride Solar Cells Cadmium Telluride Solar Cells glass • Direct bandgap, Eg=1.45eV G d ffi i (R d 17 3%) • Good efficiency (Record:17.3%) • High module production speed • Long term stability (20 years) CdS/CdTe Image from Rommel Noufi Schematic from Bulent Basol
  • 24. CdTe: Industrial Status CdTe: Industrial Status First Solar is the leader. It takes them 2.5 hours to make a 11 % module. Average Manufacturing Cost 2006: $1.40/watt 2007 $1 23/ tt 2007: $1.23/watt 2008: $1.08/watt 2009: $0.87/watt 2010: $0.77/watt The energy payback time is 0.8 years. 24 www.firstsolar.com gy p y y
  • 25. One reason cells on the roof don’t have 17 3 % efficienc 17.3 % efficiency Th h ll i i d t i t i l t thi CdS l ith t h i 25 From Reuben Collins The challenge in industry is to implement thin CdS layers without having a pinhole.
  • 26. How much of a problem is the toxicity of Cd? It is probably manageable First Solar will recycle the It is probably manageable. First Solar will recycle the panels when the customer is done with them. 26
  • 27. Cu(In Ga1 )Se2 Cu(InxGa1‐x)Se2 • World record efficiency = 20.4 %. • Many companies are evaporating, printing, sputtering and electrodepositing it. • Some are manufacturing ~30-50 MW/yr. • Handling a 4-element compound is tough Handling a 4 element compound is tough. Shell Solar, CA Global Solar Energy AZ Global Solar Energy, AZ Energy Photovoltaics, NJ ISET, CA ITN/ES, CO Wurth Solar, Germany SULFURCELL, Germany NanoSolar Inc., CA DayStar Technologies, NY/CA MiaSole, CA HelioVolt Tx , y CIS Solartechnik, Germany Solarion, Germany Solibro, Sweden CISEL France HelioVolt, Tx Solyndra, CA SoloPower, CA CISEL, France Showa Shell, Japan Honda, Japan
  • 29. A comparison of Solyndra’s modules to their competitors www.solyndra.com
  • 31. Ability to Avoid Heating Ability to Avoid Heating Please view the videos on their website to see the manufacturing and installation processes. www.solyndra.com
  • 32. What went wrong? What went wrong? • There are significant disadvantages to using cylinders (e.g. more area more dark current) area, more dark current). • Just about everything in the factory had to be custom built to enable the use of cylinders. y • The glass cylinders are not as cheap as those used in fluorescent light tubes. • The price of crystalline silicon dropped faster than Solyndra expected. • Building a second factory wasn’t a great idea. Martin Roscheisen explained the disadvantages of the Solyndra approach Martin Roscheisen explained the disadvantages of the Solyndra approach back in 2009. ( http://www.nanosolar.com/company/blog/tubular-pv)
  • 34. Nanosolar’s Roll-to-Roll Coating See videos of the coating machine and module packaging on Nanosolar’s website.
  • 35. Nanosolar There is a 16-page white paper on the Nanosolar website describing this technology.
  • 36. Nanosolar’s Cell and Module Design
  • 37. Miasolé Miasolé • Sputters CIGS on steel foil • 15.7 % efficient modules verified by NREL F ll t t d f ki d l • Fully automated process for making modules • Should be shipping ~13.5 % efficient modules at around $0.8/W soon
  • 38. Is there enough Te for CdTe? The amount of Te in a cell is (thickness)(density)(mass fraction Te) (thickness)(density)(mass fraction Te). 2-m thick cells require (2 m)(5.7 g/cm3)(0.52) = 5.7 g/m2. The sun gives us 1 kW/m2, so a 10 % efficient module produces . Te g W 16 g 5.7 m W 100 2 2  m2 38 A very similar story can be told for the In needed in CIGS
  • 39. Th R f T The Reserve of Te • According to the United States Geologic Survey the world reserve of Te • According to the United States Geologic Survey, the world reserve of Te is 47,000 tons. • If all of it was used to make solar cells, we could generate 0.68 TW during peak conditions or about 0.14 TW averaged throughout the day. • We want >5 TW. • The Reserve is defined as the amount that can be economically recovered. 39
  • 40. The cost of Te • In 2008 Te cost $250/kg. Continuing the example from before, that translates to 0.015 $/W. Th t f T ld l t b f ff ti th i f • The cost of Te could go up a lot before affecting the price of solar cells. 40
  • 41. Can we find more Te? Can we find more Te? • Te is a byproduct of Cu mining. • As the price goes up, more Cu plants will install equipment to capture the Te. • Until recently, no known Te ores were known. • We might find a lot more Te when we look for it. We might find a lot more Te when we look for it. • Martin Green, “Estimates of Te and In Prices from Direct Mining of Known Ores,” Prog in PV 17 (2009) p. 347. • Cyrus Wadia Paul Alivisatos and Dan Kammens “Materials Availability 41 Cyrus Wadia, Paul Alivisatos and Dan Kammens, Materials Availability Expands the Opportunity for Large-Scale Photovoltaics Deployment,” Environmental Science and Technology, (2009)
  • 42. Searching for more abundant materials Stanford University U.S. Geological Survey Fact Sheet 087-02
  • 43. Solar Cells Using Non-Toxic Abundant Materials • CuInGaSe2 – 20.4 % efficient – thin film architecture • Cu2ZnSnS4 (CZTS) is similar to CuInGaSe2 in many ways Raw Material Costs Cu - $3.35/lb Zn $1 59/lb Relative Abundance Cu - 6.0 x 10-5 Zn - 7 0 x 10-5 Zn - $1.59/lb Sn - $6.61/lb S – $0.02/lb Ga - $209/lb Zn - 7.0 x 10 Sn - 2.3 x 10-6 S - 10-4 Ga - 1.9 x 10-5 Cu Sn In - $361/lb Se - 2002 $4, 2007 $33/lb In - 2.5 x 10-7 Se - 5 x 10-8 Source: www.usgs.gov (2007 data) Sn Zn S
  • 44. CZTS History CZT(S,Se) Efficiency vs. Time 35 # of CZTS Papers vs. Time 20 25 30 apers 5 10 15 # of P 0 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 Publication Year • IBM World Record – 9.6% • AQT-Clemens Record – 9.3% 44 • CZTS research base growing fast Vardaan Chawla – Clemens Group
  • 45. A newer thin film approach: organic solar cells • Molecules can be sprayed onto p y plastic substrates rapidly, inexpensively and at low temperature. K k • No rare or toxic elements are needed. Konarka • Tandems can be made easily. The hope is that we will some day be able to print 15 % efficient cells on The hope is that we will some day be able to print 15 % efficient cells on flexible substrates at < $50/m2.
  • 46. Polymer-Fullerene Bulk Heterojunction Cells Ca/Al k • Donor polymer (i.e. P3HT) absorbs light generating an exciton (i.e. bound electron hole pair) Ca/Al nm thick pair). • Exciton must diffuse to the ~200 n Donor/Acceptor (e.g. PCBM) interface to split. 46 PEDOT Transparent Conducting Oxide • Electrons travel to the back electrode. 46 • Holes travel to the front electrode.
  • 47. Organic Solar Cells are Rapidly Improving Solution processes (Polymer, PCBM) Vacuum processed 10% Mitsubishi 2011 ? 9% Solarmer 2011 8.3% Heliatek 2010 2005 2010
  • 48. The world record cell in June 2009: 6.1 % • The chemistry is being tuned to get the right energy levels. Th h l i b i • The morphology is being optimized to prevent recombination. Heeger, LeClerc et al Nature Photonics 3 (2009) p. 297
  • 49. Reliability Reliability • Encapsulation will be needed. • A UV filter will probably be needed. M l l • Many molecules are very stable in light. F.C. Krebs, et al., Solar Energy Materials (2008)
  • 50. Heliatek Reliability Study Light intensity g y 2.2 suns Temperature 48 ºC 48 ºC (33,290 hrs)(2.2)= 73,000 hrs or 8.4 years continuous use At 5 hrs/day of peak sunlight, the lifetime is 40 years. G. Schwartz et al., Proc. of SPIE, 7416 (2009)p. 74160K-1
  • 51. Recommended General Reading List eco e ded Ge e a ead g st • C. Deibel and V. Dyakonov, Polymer–fullerene bulk heterojunction solar cells Rep Prog Phys 73 096401 (2010) solar cells, Rep. Prog. Phys. 73 096401 (2010) • T. Ameri , G. Dennler , C. Lungenschmied and C. J. Brabec, Organic tandem solar cells : A review Energy Environ Sci 2 347-363 (2009) tandem solar cells : A review, Energy Environ. Sci., 2, 347-363 (2009) • A.C. Mayer, S.R. Scully, B.E. Hardin, M.W. Rowell, M.D. McGehee, Polymer-based solar cells, Materials Today, 10, 11 (2007) Polymer based solar cells, Materials Today, 10, 11 (2007) • C. J. Brabec, S. Gowrisanker, J. J. M. Halls, D. Laird, S. Jia, S. P. William, Polymer–Fullerene Bulk-Heterojunction Solar Cells, Adv. Mat. 22, 3839- y j , , 3856 (2010) • P. Peumans, A. Yakimov and S.R. Forrest, Small molecular weight organic thin-film photodetectors and solar cells, J. Appl. Phys. 93, 3693, Apr 2003
  • 52. Multijunction Cells are Very Expensive p • These complex t t Ga0.50In0.50P: Top Cell structures are grown very slowly under high vacuum. • 37 % cells can be purchased for $50,000/m2 Ga0.99In0.01As: Middle Cell • Concentrating the light is essential. Ge substrate: Bottom Cell R.R. King; Spectrolab Inc., AVS 54th International Symposium, Seattle 2007
  • 53. Concentrating Light Concentrating Light It is possible to track the sun and concentrate the light by 500X Dish Shape Sol Focus
  • 54. Concentration only makes i l sense in sunny places Yearly Average Solar Alb S ttl Radiation Resource [kWh/day-m2] 1 sun = 1 kW/m2 6 4 3 7 Fixed flat panel PV @ Lat Albuquerque Seattle 8 8 4 9 2-axis flat panel PV 6.4 3.7 PV @ Lat. 6.7 2.9 2-axis Conc. PV 8.8 4.9 PV Concentration is only effective for direct li ht Source: NREL Solar Radiation Data Manual sunlight
  • 55. Cost Estimate of MJ Cells with Concentrators • The cost of multijunction solar cells is approximately $50,000/m2 ($5/cm2). 500X concentration reduces this to $100/m2 500X concentration reduces this to $100/m . • Let’s say the tracker and concentration cost $200/m2. Th i 1000 W/ 2 b t thi i d d t 850 W/ 2 di t li ht • The sun gives us 1000 W/m2, but this is reduced to 850 W/m2 direct sunlight. • The best commercially available cells are 37% efficient at 25°C, but this decreases to 30% at typical operating temperatures. If the optical system is yp p g p p y 75% efficient, then we are at 0.30 × 0.75 × 850 ≈ 200 W/m2 of electrical power. At $200/m2 the capital cost would be $1 50/W • At $200/m2 the capital cost would be $1.50/W. Although this calculation is wildly optimistic, it represents the hopes and g y p p p dreams of CPV advocates. Steve Eglash
  • 56. Martin Green’s Generations of PV Technology Gen I: Single crystal G Gen II: Thin Film Gen III: Beats Schockly- Queisser limit Queisser limit This extremely popular plot was generated at least 8 years ago and often used to justify Gen III PV. Gen I and II are already much better than shown here. Generation III is not even remotely close to being as good as shown by the red region.
  • 57. Alta Devices 28.2% efficient thin-film GaAs cell National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy Future Source: B. Kayes, IEEE PVSC, June 2011
  • 58. Alta Devices’ New Record Alta Devices New Record A world record for single junction solar cells Wafer record (NREL) Alta Devices Efficiency 25.1% 27.6% Jsc (mA/cm2) 28.2 29.6 Voc (V) 1.022 1.107 A f J 2011 Alt h d h d 28 2% Voc (V) 1.022 1.107 FF 0.871 0.841 Area (cm2) 3.91 1.0 • As of June 2011, Alta had reached 28.2% • Size of a 4” wafer • They are flexible They are flexible Green et al., Prog. Photovoltaics, 19, 2011.
  • 59. Photon recycling in thin film GaAs Photon recycling in thin film GaAs If the radiative lifetime is short, a photon can be absorbed and re‐emitted > 50 times before the free carriers are collected. Si GaAs Yablonovich et al., ArXiv 2011: http://arxiv.org/abs/1106.1603
  • 60. Silicon can be peeled off too • Astrowatt claims Si PV efficiency >20% efficiency efficiency. • Twin Creeks is based on ion implanting hydrogen into Si and having hydrogen http://www.astrowatt.com/technology.php#technology bubbles pop off a thin film.
  • 61. Is peeling cells from single crystal wafers the way to go? The approach is very exciting, but quite challenging. It is not clear that • high quality m-thick films of GaAs can be deposited at a reasonable price • there is a reliable way to peel off silicon • peeling can be incorporated into a high-throughput factory • a wafer can be reused >1000 times as Alta hopes
  • 62. Conclusions • Solar is really taking off • Si is in the lead, but many technologies may still have their day