The document summarizes the Global Risk Analysis project which models various natural hazards at a global level to assess risk. It involved partnerships between UNEP, the World Bank, Columbia University and other organizations. The analysis considers hazards, exposure, vulnerability and computes expected fatalities and economic losses. It finds risk is highly concentrated in specific countries and calls attention to rapidly increasing exposure due to population growth and urbanization.
Global Trends & the Next 25 Years of Sustainable AgricultureLandcareAustralia
CSIRO Principal Scientist Dr Stefan Hajkowicz's presents at the 2014 National Landcare Conference, looking at global trends and its impact on the next 25 years of sustainable agriculture.
This document summarizes a report by Dr. Michael Sarel on various economic and social issues in Israel. The summary includes:
1) The report analyzes price levels and standards of living in Israel compared to other countries, finding that prices in Israel are generally lower except for housing.
2) Unemployment and income inequality trends in Israel are discussed, including differences between demographic groups.
3) Challenges facing the Israeli economy are outlined, such as improving productivity, demographic changes, and reducing the budget deficit. Housing affordability and proposed policies like zero VAT are also analyzed.
This document discusses future global trends and scenarios based on input from over 50 CSIRO scientists. It identifies several key megatrends that will shape the future, including a more digital and interconnected world, increasing urbanization and mobility, divergent demographics like an aging population, and needing to do more with less resources. The document also discusses potential megashocks like pandemics or climate change and presents scenarios for how the identified megatrends could play out globally in the future.
This presentation was made by Wendy McGuinness, Chief Executive of the Sustainable Future Institute as a Design Studies Keynote Lecture, Otago University. 17 August 2009
Prosper lend it 2013 keynote presentation (1)hugh50
This document discusses the growth of peer-to-peer lending and its potential future developments. It describes how the industry has grown from originating $25 million in loans in 2012 to $148 million currently. The document also notes that while banks once discouraged alternative lending, they now recognize the need to participate in the industry. Finally, it outlines several possible future developments, such as the creation of a secondary market for loans, global lending platforms, and partnerships with other financial companies.
This document summarizes information about Prosper Marketplace, Inc., a peer-to-peer lending platform. Some key points:
- Prosper was the first US peer-to-peer lending platform, launched in 2006, and has pioneered the development of this asset class.
- Peer-to-peer lending allows borrowers to access competitive loan rates and terms while reducing costs for lenders compared to traditional banks.
- Prosper has attracted highly creditworthy borrowers, with average credit scores of 701 and incomes of $85,761. This creates an investment opportunity for lenders to earn returns from consumer lending.
- Prosper uses a rigorous risk management process to underwrite and service loans,
The document summarizes the Global Risk Analysis project which models various natural hazards at a global level to assess risk. It involved partnerships between UNEP, the World Bank, Columbia University and other organizations. The analysis considers hazards, exposure, vulnerability and computes expected fatalities and economic losses. It finds risk is highly concentrated in specific countries and calls attention to rapidly increasing exposure due to population growth and urbanization.
Global Trends & the Next 25 Years of Sustainable AgricultureLandcareAustralia
CSIRO Principal Scientist Dr Stefan Hajkowicz's presents at the 2014 National Landcare Conference, looking at global trends and its impact on the next 25 years of sustainable agriculture.
This document summarizes a report by Dr. Michael Sarel on various economic and social issues in Israel. The summary includes:
1) The report analyzes price levels and standards of living in Israel compared to other countries, finding that prices in Israel are generally lower except for housing.
2) Unemployment and income inequality trends in Israel are discussed, including differences between demographic groups.
3) Challenges facing the Israeli economy are outlined, such as improving productivity, demographic changes, and reducing the budget deficit. Housing affordability and proposed policies like zero VAT are also analyzed.
This document discusses future global trends and scenarios based on input from over 50 CSIRO scientists. It identifies several key megatrends that will shape the future, including a more digital and interconnected world, increasing urbanization and mobility, divergent demographics like an aging population, and needing to do more with less resources. The document also discusses potential megashocks like pandemics or climate change and presents scenarios for how the identified megatrends could play out globally in the future.
This presentation was made by Wendy McGuinness, Chief Executive of the Sustainable Future Institute as a Design Studies Keynote Lecture, Otago University. 17 August 2009
Prosper lend it 2013 keynote presentation (1)hugh50
This document discusses the growth of peer-to-peer lending and its potential future developments. It describes how the industry has grown from originating $25 million in loans in 2012 to $148 million currently. The document also notes that while banks once discouraged alternative lending, they now recognize the need to participate in the industry. Finally, it outlines several possible future developments, such as the creation of a secondary market for loans, global lending platforms, and partnerships with other financial companies.
This document summarizes information about Prosper Marketplace, Inc., a peer-to-peer lending platform. Some key points:
- Prosper was the first US peer-to-peer lending platform, launched in 2006, and has pioneered the development of this asset class.
- Peer-to-peer lending allows borrowers to access competitive loan rates and terms while reducing costs for lenders compared to traditional banks.
- Prosper has attracted highly creditworthy borrowers, with average credit scores of 701 and incomes of $85,761. This creates an investment opportunity for lenders to earn returns from consumer lending.
- Prosper uses a rigorous risk management process to underwrite and service loans,
State of the Future 2015-16: Report from the Millennium ProjectDavid Wood
Slides used by David Wood, Chair of London Futurists, to preview the London Futurists event, http://www.meetup.com/London-Futurists/events/224799635/, held at Bloomberg HQ London on 13th November 2015. These slides are derived from a set created by Jerome C. Glenn, The Millennium Project. Topics include the State of the Future Index 1995-2025, 15 Global Challenges, the inevitability of New Economics, Technological Unemployment, and Basic Income Guarantee.
The document defines several key demographic terms related to population such as crude birth rate, total fertility rate, and crude death rate. It then discusses factors that contributed to the global population explosion in the 20th century, including declining death rates and high birth rates in developing countries. It also covers population growth rates, doubling times, and UN projections for future world population growth and trends toward slowing growth rates.
The document presents data on various indicators for 16 Sustainable Development Goals in India. It includes data such as the percentage of the population living below the poverty line, literacy rates, access to healthcare, gender equality measures, availability of clean water and sanitation, economic growth rates, innovation levels, and more. For each SDG, the document provides 8-10 relevant indicators and the corresponding data values to assess India's performance and assigns an index score on a scale of 0-100 based on how close the country is to achieving the targets of that particular SDG.
The document discusses a class on the State of the Future Index (SOFI) and text mining. It provides an overview of SOFI as a tool for policy analysis and education that combines weighted variables to measure if the future outlook is improving. It also discusses collecting expert judgments on variables, impacts, and future developments through techniques like the Real-Time Delphi to construct the SOFI. The document outlines sources and resources for more information on SOFI, text mining, and related topics.
WORKSHOP
Linkages of Agriculture, Nutrition and Economic Development
Co-Organized by IFPRI, UPNG, INA, Australian National University, and Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade
JUN 12, 2019 - 09:00 AM TO 12:30 PM +10
01 Descriptive Statistics for Exploring Data.pdfSREDDINIRANJAN
This document discusses the importance of descriptive statistics and various methods for visually summarizing data, including histograms, boxplots, scatterplots, and others. It explains that descriptive statistics communicate information and support reasoning about data. Graphical summaries like histograms can show the density and relative frequencies of data, while boxplots convey less information but take up less space to compare multiple datasets. Context is also important for graphical integrity.
Predictive analysis WHO's life expectancy dataset using Tableau data visualis...Tarun Swarup
This document discusses a statistical analysis of factors influencing life expectancy using data from the World Health Organization and United Nations. It describes the dataset, variables considered, and objectives of analyzing relationships between life expectancy and factors like immunization rates, mortality rates, economics, and demographics. Four dashboards are proposed to analyze trends in adult mortality rates, compare life expectancy and infant death rates in populated countries, forecast adult mortality and hepatitis rates in Brazil, and compare GDP in developed and developing countries.
Population Dynamics Lab ReportUse the following formula to c.docxharrisonhoward80223
Population Dynamics
Lab Report
Use the following formula to complete the charts below: pf = pi * ert
Where:
pf = final population
pi = initial population
e = a physical constant whose value is 2.7183
r = rate of growth
t = time (doubling time)
Change the rate of growth into a decimal by dividing by 100.
Use either your calculator that has an ex function or the calculator found on the following website: http://www.math.com/students/calculators/source/scientific.htm
Example:
pi = 5.2 X 109 (initial population of 5.2 billion people in developing countries)
t = 39 years (from table 1)
r = 1.8% (from table 1)
r = 1.8% = 0.018
Multiply r and t 0.018 * 39 = 0.702
Pf = 5.2 * (e0.702)
On calculator, enter 0.702, then INV, then ex
Pf = 5.2 * (2.02)
Pf = 10.49 or 10.5 X 109
Or 10.5 billion people
Table 1: Growth Rates and Doubling Times for Various Countries
Region
Growth Rate (%)
Doubling Time (years)
World
1.4
50
Developed Countries
0.4
175
Developing Countries
1.8
39
Africa
2.5
28
Asia
1.6
44
United States
1.0
70
Mexico
1.7
41
Europe
0.2
350
Russia
0.3
233
Oceania
1.5
47
Exercise One:
Part A: Using information from table 1, fill in the chart below and then calculate the final population for each.
Part B: Using information from table 1, fill in Part B of the chart but use the developed countries’ doubling time.
Region
r (%)
dt (years)
Pi (X 109)
Pf (X 109)
A
Developing
4.7
Developed
1.2
United States
0.303
Mexico
0.107
Africa
0.048
B
Developing
**
4.7
**Use doubling time of developed countries
Exercise Two:
Calculate the final population for developed nations where (r) starts at 0.6 and decreases by 0.1 percent every ten years until (r) = 0.0 percent (ZPG). The final population becomes the initial population for the next ten year period.
r (%)
t (years)
Pi (X 109)
Pf (X 109)
0.6
10
1.2
0.5
10
0.4
10
0.3
10
0.2
10
0.1
10
0.0
10
Calculate the final population for developing nations where (r) starts at 2.0 percent and decreases by 0.4 percent every ten years until (r) = 0.0 percent (ZPG). Remember, the final population becomes the initial population for the next ten years.
r (%)
t (years)
Pi (X 109)
Pf (X 109)
2.0
10
4.7
1.6
10
1.2
10
0.8
10
0.4
10
0.2
10
0.0
10
Using information from exercise one, answer the following questions.
1. Which country/region (do not consider the first three lines of information) has the highest growth rate? The lowest? How do you account for this difference?
2. Why do some countries/regions have a shorter or lower doubling time?
3. What would happen to the final population of developing countries if their growth rate is maintained over a developed countries doubling time?
Using information from exercise two, answer the following questions:
1. How do the final populations of developed regions and developing regions compare when zero population growth is reached?
2. Why were the growth rates used in this exercise differen.
The pace of urbanization throughout the world – and especially in the developing world – is challenging development donors and thinkers to find new solutions to tackling urban poverty, and urban slum issues.
Devex recently hosted an online discussion with some of the top thinkers and policymakers standing at the crossroads where urbanization and development meet.
The document summarizes six megatrends that will shape the world by 2050 according to Roland Berger's Trend Compendium 2050. The first megatrend discussed is "People & Society." Some key points about population trends include: the world population is expected to grow to 9.7 billion by 2050 with most of the growth occurring in less developed regions; populations are aging as life expectancy increases globally; and international migration flows will remain high between regions. The aging population will pose challenges as the number of working-age people decreases relative to the older population.
Global Overview of Challenges and Prospects for Our FutureWorldFuture2015
The document provides an overview of global challenges and prospects for the future. It discusses how the world is improving in areas like health, education, and connectivity, but also notes major future dangers like technological unemployment, weapons of mass destruction, and climate change impacts. It outlines variables used in the State of the Future Index and shows trends in areas like poverty reduction, life expectancy increases, and internet access. It also explores framework of 15 global challenges and lists potential high-impact actions to address multiple challenges simultaneously, such as establishing environmental security cooperation between countries and developing new forms of agriculture. The document concludes by noting inevitable changes like rising inequality and potential for unemployment without new economic approaches, as well as increasingly significant technologies.
An Empirical Study of the Environmental Kuznets Curve for Environment Quality...ijceronline
This paper attempts to examine the determinants of environmental degradation within the framework of Environment Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis using China's city-level panel data from 2003 to 2012. The population agglomeration as well as three types of cities such as municipalities, sub-provincial city and prefecture-level city are considered in our paper. Our empirical results with the whole sample data verified the theory of the EKC hypothesis, which shows a reverse "U" shape between economic growth and environmental pollution. In addition, the effect of population on environmental pollution is quite different among the various types of cities. The results of this study can serve as a useful reference for policy makers in terms of achieving economic and environmental sustainability.
The document discusses six megatrends that will shape the world until 2050 according to Roland Berger's Trend Compendium 2050. The first megatrend discussed is People & Society, which covers trends in population, migration, values and education. Some key points made about population trends are: the world population will grow to 9.7 billion by 2050, driven largely by populations in less developed regions and countries in Africa and Asia. Most of the global population will live in urban areas, be between 15-64 years old, and have a life expectancy between 70-80 years.
A Global Horizon Scanning System and NATO workshop: Inentification of Potenti...Jerome Glenn
The document summarizes the activities of The Millennium Project, including its global horizon scanning system with 60 nodes, the NATO workshop on identifying potential terrorists, and emerging counter-terrorism strategies. It discusses The Millennium Project's methods such as environmental scanning, real-time Delphi exercises, scenarios, and the State of the Future Index. The NATO workshop highlighted threats from future technologies such as autonomous weapons and synthetic biology, as well as potential pre-event detection strategies. Collective intelligence systems were proposed to anticipate interactions among technologies and their security impacts.
Global Challenges and High Impact Strategies for COMEXI MexicoJerome Glenn
The document discusses global challenges and high-impact strategies. It notes that while the world is improving in areas like health, education and connectivity, future dangers from technologies are worse than optimists indicate. These include issues like global unemployment from advanced AI, weapons of mass destruction, and effects of climate change. It outlines 15 global challenges and proposes collective intelligence systems and trans-institutions to help address these challenges in an integrated way. Emerging technologies like AI, robotics, nanotech and synthetic biology could create synergies but also long-term unemployment unless new concepts of work are developed.
We should teach as much about the future as we do about the past! This presentation makes that case and provides some mathematical concepts that help students forecast future values.
This document analyzes population trends in the top 20 most populated countries from 1950 to 2050. Time series analysis methods like ARIMA and GARCH models are used to forecast population for each decade. The results show that India is expected to surpass China as the world's most populated country by 2030. Pakistan is also expected to rise in the rankings, while countries like Japan and Russia are predicted to fall due to declining fertility rates.
Soft side futures methodologies mp p cmeeting-smFrank Catanzaro
This document summarizes work on collective intelligence initiatives including two prototypes: 1) A news aggregator and scanning system for the Korea GCCSR situation room, and 2) A news aggregator, early warning system scanning, and situational awareness tool for Kuwait's PMO EWS. It then discusses roots of futures methodologies and obstacles to considering soft factors like human meaning and purpose. Finally, it outlines methods and tools for cultivating collective intelligence including storytelling, serious games, and self-organizing community-based economic development.
This document summarizes work on collective intelligence initiatives including two prototypes: 1) A news aggregator and scanning system for the Korea GCCSR situation room, and 2) A news aggregator, early warning system scanning, and situational awareness tool for Kuwait's PMO. It then discusses roots of futures methodologies and obstacles to considering soft factors like human meaning and purpose. Finally, it outlines methods and tools for cultivating collective intelligence including storytelling, serious games, and self-organizing community-based economic development.
State of the Future 2015-16: Report from the Millennium ProjectDavid Wood
Slides used by David Wood, Chair of London Futurists, to preview the London Futurists event, http://www.meetup.com/London-Futurists/events/224799635/, held at Bloomberg HQ London on 13th November 2015. These slides are derived from a set created by Jerome C. Glenn, The Millennium Project. Topics include the State of the Future Index 1995-2025, 15 Global Challenges, the inevitability of New Economics, Technological Unemployment, and Basic Income Guarantee.
The document defines several key demographic terms related to population such as crude birth rate, total fertility rate, and crude death rate. It then discusses factors that contributed to the global population explosion in the 20th century, including declining death rates and high birth rates in developing countries. It also covers population growth rates, doubling times, and UN projections for future world population growth and trends toward slowing growth rates.
The document presents data on various indicators for 16 Sustainable Development Goals in India. It includes data such as the percentage of the population living below the poverty line, literacy rates, access to healthcare, gender equality measures, availability of clean water and sanitation, economic growth rates, innovation levels, and more. For each SDG, the document provides 8-10 relevant indicators and the corresponding data values to assess India's performance and assigns an index score on a scale of 0-100 based on how close the country is to achieving the targets of that particular SDG.
The document discusses a class on the State of the Future Index (SOFI) and text mining. It provides an overview of SOFI as a tool for policy analysis and education that combines weighted variables to measure if the future outlook is improving. It also discusses collecting expert judgments on variables, impacts, and future developments through techniques like the Real-Time Delphi to construct the SOFI. The document outlines sources and resources for more information on SOFI, text mining, and related topics.
WORKSHOP
Linkages of Agriculture, Nutrition and Economic Development
Co-Organized by IFPRI, UPNG, INA, Australian National University, and Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade
JUN 12, 2019 - 09:00 AM TO 12:30 PM +10
01 Descriptive Statistics for Exploring Data.pdfSREDDINIRANJAN
This document discusses the importance of descriptive statistics and various methods for visually summarizing data, including histograms, boxplots, scatterplots, and others. It explains that descriptive statistics communicate information and support reasoning about data. Graphical summaries like histograms can show the density and relative frequencies of data, while boxplots convey less information but take up less space to compare multiple datasets. Context is also important for graphical integrity.
Predictive analysis WHO's life expectancy dataset using Tableau data visualis...Tarun Swarup
This document discusses a statistical analysis of factors influencing life expectancy using data from the World Health Organization and United Nations. It describes the dataset, variables considered, and objectives of analyzing relationships between life expectancy and factors like immunization rates, mortality rates, economics, and demographics. Four dashboards are proposed to analyze trends in adult mortality rates, compare life expectancy and infant death rates in populated countries, forecast adult mortality and hepatitis rates in Brazil, and compare GDP in developed and developing countries.
Population Dynamics Lab ReportUse the following formula to c.docxharrisonhoward80223
Population Dynamics
Lab Report
Use the following formula to complete the charts below: pf = pi * ert
Where:
pf = final population
pi = initial population
e = a physical constant whose value is 2.7183
r = rate of growth
t = time (doubling time)
Change the rate of growth into a decimal by dividing by 100.
Use either your calculator that has an ex function or the calculator found on the following website: http://www.math.com/students/calculators/source/scientific.htm
Example:
pi = 5.2 X 109 (initial population of 5.2 billion people in developing countries)
t = 39 years (from table 1)
r = 1.8% (from table 1)
r = 1.8% = 0.018
Multiply r and t 0.018 * 39 = 0.702
Pf = 5.2 * (e0.702)
On calculator, enter 0.702, then INV, then ex
Pf = 5.2 * (2.02)
Pf = 10.49 or 10.5 X 109
Or 10.5 billion people
Table 1: Growth Rates and Doubling Times for Various Countries
Region
Growth Rate (%)
Doubling Time (years)
World
1.4
50
Developed Countries
0.4
175
Developing Countries
1.8
39
Africa
2.5
28
Asia
1.6
44
United States
1.0
70
Mexico
1.7
41
Europe
0.2
350
Russia
0.3
233
Oceania
1.5
47
Exercise One:
Part A: Using information from table 1, fill in the chart below and then calculate the final population for each.
Part B: Using information from table 1, fill in Part B of the chart but use the developed countries’ doubling time.
Region
r (%)
dt (years)
Pi (X 109)
Pf (X 109)
A
Developing
4.7
Developed
1.2
United States
0.303
Mexico
0.107
Africa
0.048
B
Developing
**
4.7
**Use doubling time of developed countries
Exercise Two:
Calculate the final population for developed nations where (r) starts at 0.6 and decreases by 0.1 percent every ten years until (r) = 0.0 percent (ZPG). The final population becomes the initial population for the next ten year period.
r (%)
t (years)
Pi (X 109)
Pf (X 109)
0.6
10
1.2
0.5
10
0.4
10
0.3
10
0.2
10
0.1
10
0.0
10
Calculate the final population for developing nations where (r) starts at 2.0 percent and decreases by 0.4 percent every ten years until (r) = 0.0 percent (ZPG). Remember, the final population becomes the initial population for the next ten years.
r (%)
t (years)
Pi (X 109)
Pf (X 109)
2.0
10
4.7
1.6
10
1.2
10
0.8
10
0.4
10
0.2
10
0.0
10
Using information from exercise one, answer the following questions.
1. Which country/region (do not consider the first three lines of information) has the highest growth rate? The lowest? How do you account for this difference?
2. Why do some countries/regions have a shorter or lower doubling time?
3. What would happen to the final population of developing countries if their growth rate is maintained over a developed countries doubling time?
Using information from exercise two, answer the following questions:
1. How do the final populations of developed regions and developing regions compare when zero population growth is reached?
2. Why were the growth rates used in this exercise differen.
The pace of urbanization throughout the world – and especially in the developing world – is challenging development donors and thinkers to find new solutions to tackling urban poverty, and urban slum issues.
Devex recently hosted an online discussion with some of the top thinkers and policymakers standing at the crossroads where urbanization and development meet.
The document summarizes six megatrends that will shape the world by 2050 according to Roland Berger's Trend Compendium 2050. The first megatrend discussed is "People & Society." Some key points about population trends include: the world population is expected to grow to 9.7 billion by 2050 with most of the growth occurring in less developed regions; populations are aging as life expectancy increases globally; and international migration flows will remain high between regions. The aging population will pose challenges as the number of working-age people decreases relative to the older population.
Global Overview of Challenges and Prospects for Our FutureWorldFuture2015
The document provides an overview of global challenges and prospects for the future. It discusses how the world is improving in areas like health, education, and connectivity, but also notes major future dangers like technological unemployment, weapons of mass destruction, and climate change impacts. It outlines variables used in the State of the Future Index and shows trends in areas like poverty reduction, life expectancy increases, and internet access. It also explores framework of 15 global challenges and lists potential high-impact actions to address multiple challenges simultaneously, such as establishing environmental security cooperation between countries and developing new forms of agriculture. The document concludes by noting inevitable changes like rising inequality and potential for unemployment without new economic approaches, as well as increasingly significant technologies.
An Empirical Study of the Environmental Kuznets Curve for Environment Quality...ijceronline
This paper attempts to examine the determinants of environmental degradation within the framework of Environment Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis using China's city-level panel data from 2003 to 2012. The population agglomeration as well as three types of cities such as municipalities, sub-provincial city and prefecture-level city are considered in our paper. Our empirical results with the whole sample data verified the theory of the EKC hypothesis, which shows a reverse "U" shape between economic growth and environmental pollution. In addition, the effect of population on environmental pollution is quite different among the various types of cities. The results of this study can serve as a useful reference for policy makers in terms of achieving economic and environmental sustainability.
The document discusses six megatrends that will shape the world until 2050 according to Roland Berger's Trend Compendium 2050. The first megatrend discussed is People & Society, which covers trends in population, migration, values and education. Some key points made about population trends are: the world population will grow to 9.7 billion by 2050, driven largely by populations in less developed regions and countries in Africa and Asia. Most of the global population will live in urban areas, be between 15-64 years old, and have a life expectancy between 70-80 years.
A Global Horizon Scanning System and NATO workshop: Inentification of Potenti...Jerome Glenn
The document summarizes the activities of The Millennium Project, including its global horizon scanning system with 60 nodes, the NATO workshop on identifying potential terrorists, and emerging counter-terrorism strategies. It discusses The Millennium Project's methods such as environmental scanning, real-time Delphi exercises, scenarios, and the State of the Future Index. The NATO workshop highlighted threats from future technologies such as autonomous weapons and synthetic biology, as well as potential pre-event detection strategies. Collective intelligence systems were proposed to anticipate interactions among technologies and their security impacts.
Global Challenges and High Impact Strategies for COMEXI MexicoJerome Glenn
The document discusses global challenges and high-impact strategies. It notes that while the world is improving in areas like health, education and connectivity, future dangers from technologies are worse than optimists indicate. These include issues like global unemployment from advanced AI, weapons of mass destruction, and effects of climate change. It outlines 15 global challenges and proposes collective intelligence systems and trans-institutions to help address these challenges in an integrated way. Emerging technologies like AI, robotics, nanotech and synthetic biology could create synergies but also long-term unemployment unless new concepts of work are developed.
We should teach as much about the future as we do about the past! This presentation makes that case and provides some mathematical concepts that help students forecast future values.
This document analyzes population trends in the top 20 most populated countries from 1950 to 2050. Time series analysis methods like ARIMA and GARCH models are used to forecast population for each decade. The results show that India is expected to surpass China as the world's most populated country by 2030. Pakistan is also expected to rise in the rankings, while countries like Japan and Russia are predicted to fall due to declining fertility rates.
Soft side futures methodologies mp p cmeeting-smFrank Catanzaro
This document summarizes work on collective intelligence initiatives including two prototypes: 1) A news aggregator and scanning system for the Korea GCCSR situation room, and 2) A news aggregator, early warning system scanning, and situational awareness tool for Kuwait's PMO EWS. It then discusses roots of futures methodologies and obstacles to considering soft factors like human meaning and purpose. Finally, it outlines methods and tools for cultivating collective intelligence including storytelling, serious games, and self-organizing community-based economic development.
This document summarizes work on collective intelligence initiatives including two prototypes: 1) A news aggregator and scanning system for the Korea GCCSR situation room, and 2) A news aggregator, early warning system scanning, and situational awareness tool for Kuwait's PMO. It then discusses roots of futures methodologies and obstacles to considering soft factors like human meaning and purpose. Finally, it outlines methods and tools for cultivating collective intelligence including storytelling, serious games, and self-organizing community-based economic development.
The document discusses trends and technologies for addressing climate change in the construction and transportation sectors over the next 25 years. Some key points discussed include increasing carbon sequestration efforts, a shift to more electric transportation options like electric vehicles, the potential for solar power satellites, and integrating fields like urban ecology and cybernetics to develop more sustainable built environments through collective intelligence approaches. The document also briefly touches on trends in energy issues, potential solar and space-based renewable options, and retrofitting existing structures with solar technologies.
Ten steps to turn around global climate change.Frank Catanzaro
The document outlines 10 steps to turn around global climate change, including developing a US-China strategy to reduce greenhouse emissions within 10 years. Other steps include sea water agriculture, carbon sequestration, low-cost electric car batteries, solar power satellites, enhanced geothermal energy, stem cell-produced animal protein, urban systems ecology, a global climate change collective intelligence system, and transinstitutions to implement the steps.
The document describes the Delphi method, which is used to elicit expert opinions anonymously through multiple rounds of questionnaires. It was developed at RAND in the 1960s to avoid confrontations. Participants remain anonymous and receive feedback on others' responses. The document provides examples of past Delphi studies covering topics like technology forecasts and scenario planning.
This document discusses several topics related to emerging technologies and trends in cyberspace, including cyberspace weather reports, virtual world migrations, combining cyber and real space, serious games summits, petaflop computing, replacing mice with neural interfaces, IPv6 crisis in 2010, expanding cyber crime and war, and 600 million outdated browsers and operating systems still in use. It also briefly mentions that robot psychology remains prevalent in society for manipulating and reducing humans.
The document discusses the Millennium Project of the World Federation of United Nations Associations (WFUNA). It is a global think tank that brings together futurists, scholars, business planners, and policymakers to research futures methodologies and conduct foresight research. The Project publishes an annual report called "The State of the Future" which provides insights for the UN, governments, and civil society. It also discusses different types of futurists and futures research methods, including integral futures approaches.
This document discusses trends and ideas related to sustainable city planning and development. It touches on declining populations, new technologies, and conceptualizing thinning urban spaces. Specific projects highlighted include Dongtan, the first planned sustainable city, and the Centre for Interactive Research on Sustainability at the University of British Columbia. The document also discusses renewable energy technologies like solar, wind, and biomass power. Overall it presents an optimistic vision of cities evolving to be more sustainable, self-sufficient, and harmonious with nature through innovative planning and technologies.
This document provides an overview of projects and plans for 2007 by the Cyber-Node group. It lists 13 projects ranging from disaster response systems to developing virtual worlds. It also discusses emerging technologies like augmented reality, virtual economies, and the growth of virtual worlds. The document concludes by listing the members and locations of the Arcturus R&D Campus, which is based in Hawaii and has additional offices in San Francisco and Cambridge, and serves as the home of the Cyber-Node group.
Communications Mining Series - Zero to Hero - Session 1DianaGray10
This session provides introduction to UiPath Communication Mining, importance and platform overview. You will acquire a good understand of the phases in Communication Mining as we go over the platform with you. Topics covered:
• Communication Mining Overview
• Why is it important?
• How can it help today’s business and the benefits
• Phases in Communication Mining
• Demo on Platform overview
• Q/A
Pushing the limits of ePRTC: 100ns holdover for 100 daysAdtran
At WSTS 2024, Alon Stern explored the topic of parametric holdover and explained how recent research findings can be implemented in real-world PNT networks to achieve 100 nanoseconds of accuracy for up to 100 days.
Infrastructure Challenges in Scaling RAG with Custom AI modelsZilliz
Building Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) systems with open-source and custom AI models is a complex task. This talk explores the challenges in productionizing RAG systems, including retrieval performance, response synthesis, and evaluation. We’ll discuss how to leverage open-source models like text embeddings, language models, and custom fine-tuned models to enhance RAG performance. Additionally, we’ll cover how BentoML can help orchestrate and scale these AI components efficiently, ensuring seamless deployment and management of RAG systems in the cloud.
Unlock the Future of Search with MongoDB Atlas_ Vector Search Unleashed.pdfMalak Abu Hammad
Discover how MongoDB Atlas and vector search technology can revolutionize your application's search capabilities. This comprehensive presentation covers:
* What is Vector Search?
* Importance and benefits of vector search
* Practical use cases across various industries
* Step-by-step implementation guide
* Live demos with code snippets
* Enhancing LLM capabilities with vector search
* Best practices and optimization strategies
Perfect for developers, AI enthusiasts, and tech leaders. Learn how to leverage MongoDB Atlas to deliver highly relevant, context-aware search results, transforming your data retrieval process. Stay ahead in tech innovation and maximize the potential of your applications.
#MongoDB #VectorSearch #AI #SemanticSearch #TechInnovation #DataScience #LLM #MachineLearning #SearchTechnology
In his public lecture, Christian Timmerer provides insights into the fascinating history of video streaming, starting from its humble beginnings before YouTube to the groundbreaking technologies that now dominate platforms like Netflix and ORF ON. Timmerer also presents provocative contributions of his own that have significantly influenced the industry. He concludes by looking at future challenges and invites the audience to join in a discussion.
Threats to mobile devices are more prevalent and increasing in scope and complexity. Users of mobile devices desire to take full advantage of the features
available on those devices, but many of the features provide convenience and capability but sacrifice security. This best practices guide outlines steps the users can take to better protect personal devices and information.
Dr. Sean Tan, Head of Data Science, Changi Airport Group
Discover how Changi Airport Group (CAG) leverages graph technologies and generative AI to revolutionize their search capabilities. This session delves into the unique search needs of CAG’s diverse passengers and customers, showcasing how graph data structures enhance the accuracy and relevance of AI-generated search results, mitigating the risk of “hallucinations” and improving the overall customer journey.
UiPath Test Automation using UiPath Test Suite series, part 6DianaGray10
Welcome to UiPath Test Automation using UiPath Test Suite series part 6. In this session, we will cover Test Automation with generative AI and Open AI.
UiPath Test Automation with generative AI and Open AI webinar offers an in-depth exploration of leveraging cutting-edge technologies for test automation within the UiPath platform. Attendees will delve into the integration of generative AI, a test automation solution, with Open AI advanced natural language processing capabilities.
Throughout the session, participants will discover how this synergy empowers testers to automate repetitive tasks, enhance testing accuracy, and expedite the software testing life cycle. Topics covered include the seamless integration process, practical use cases, and the benefits of harnessing AI-driven automation for UiPath testing initiatives. By attending this webinar, testers, and automation professionals can gain valuable insights into harnessing the power of AI to optimize their test automation workflows within the UiPath ecosystem, ultimately driving efficiency and quality in software development processes.
What will you get from this session?
1. Insights into integrating generative AI.
2. Understanding how this integration enhances test automation within the UiPath platform
3. Practical demonstrations
4. Exploration of real-world use cases illustrating the benefits of AI-driven test automation for UiPath
Topics covered:
What is generative AI
Test Automation with generative AI and Open AI.
UiPath integration with generative AI
Speaker:
Deepak Rai, Automation Practice Lead, Boundaryless Group and UiPath MVP
HCL Notes and Domino License Cost Reduction in the World of DLAUpanagenda
Webinar Recording: https://www.panagenda.com/webinars/hcl-notes-and-domino-license-cost-reduction-in-the-world-of-dlau/
The introduction of DLAU and the CCB & CCX licensing model caused quite a stir in the HCL community. As a Notes and Domino customer, you may have faced challenges with unexpected user counts and license costs. You probably have questions on how this new licensing approach works and how to benefit from it. Most importantly, you likely have budget constraints and want to save money where possible. Don’t worry, we can help with all of this!
We’ll show you how to fix common misconfigurations that cause higher-than-expected user counts, and how to identify accounts which you can deactivate to save money. There are also frequent patterns that can cause unnecessary cost, like using a person document instead of a mail-in for shared mailboxes. We’ll provide examples and solutions for those as well. And naturally we’ll explain the new licensing model.
Join HCL Ambassador Marc Thomas in this webinar with a special guest appearance from Franz Walder. It will give you the tools and know-how to stay on top of what is going on with Domino licensing. You will be able lower your cost through an optimized configuration and keep it low going forward.
These topics will be covered
- Reducing license cost by finding and fixing misconfigurations and superfluous accounts
- How do CCB and CCX licenses really work?
- Understanding the DLAU tool and how to best utilize it
- Tips for common problem areas, like team mailboxes, functional/test users, etc
- Practical examples and best practices to implement right away
For the full video of this presentation, please visit: https://www.edge-ai-vision.com/2024/06/building-and-scaling-ai-applications-with-the-nx-ai-manager-a-presentation-from-network-optix/
Robin van Emden, Senior Director of Data Science at Network Optix, presents the “Building and Scaling AI Applications with the Nx AI Manager,” tutorial at the May 2024 Embedded Vision Summit.
In this presentation, van Emden covers the basics of scaling edge AI solutions using the Nx tool kit. He emphasizes the process of developing AI models and deploying them globally. He also showcases the conversion of AI models and the creation of effective edge AI pipelines, with a focus on pre-processing, model conversion, selecting the appropriate inference engine for the target hardware and post-processing.
van Emden shows how Nx can simplify the developer’s life and facilitate a rapid transition from concept to production-ready applications.He provides valuable insights into developing scalable and efficient edge AI solutions, with a strong focus on practical implementation.
Essentials of Automations: The Art of Triggers and Actions in FMESafe Software
In this second installment of our Essentials of Automations webinar series, we’ll explore the landscape of triggers and actions, guiding you through the nuances of authoring and adapting workspaces for seamless automations. Gain an understanding of the full spectrum of triggers and actions available in FME, empowering you to enhance your workspaces for efficient automation.
We’ll kick things off by showcasing the most commonly used event-based triggers, introducing you to various automation workflows like manual triggers, schedules, directory watchers, and more. Plus, see how these elements play out in real scenarios.
Whether you’re tweaking your current setup or building from the ground up, this session will arm you with the tools and insights needed to transform your FME usage into a powerhouse of productivity. Join us to discover effective strategies that simplify complex processes, enhancing your productivity and transforming your data management practices with FME. Let’s turn complexity into clarity and make your workspaces work wonders!
Cosa hanno in comune un mattoncino Lego e la backdoor XZ?Speck&Tech
ABSTRACT: A prima vista, un mattoncino Lego e la backdoor XZ potrebbero avere in comune il fatto di essere entrambi blocchi di costruzione, o dipendenze di progetti creativi e software. La realtà è che un mattoncino Lego e il caso della backdoor XZ hanno molto di più di tutto ciò in comune.
Partecipate alla presentazione per immergervi in una storia di interoperabilità, standard e formati aperti, per poi discutere del ruolo importante che i contributori hanno in una comunità open source sostenibile.
BIO: Sostenitrice del software libero e dei formati standard e aperti. È stata un membro attivo dei progetti Fedora e openSUSE e ha co-fondato l'Associazione LibreItalia dove è stata coinvolta in diversi eventi, migrazioni e formazione relativi a LibreOffice. In precedenza ha lavorato a migrazioni e corsi di formazione su LibreOffice per diverse amministrazioni pubbliche e privati. Da gennaio 2020 lavora in SUSE come Software Release Engineer per Uyuni e SUSE Manager e quando non segue la sua passione per i computer e per Geeko coltiva la sua curiosità per l'astronomia (da cui deriva il suo nickname deneb_alpha).
Let's Integrate MuleSoft RPA, COMPOSER, APM with AWS IDP along with Slackshyamraj55
Discover the seamless integration of RPA (Robotic Process Automation), COMPOSER, and APM with AWS IDP enhanced with Slack notifications. Explore how these technologies converge to streamline workflows, optimize performance, and ensure secure access, all while leveraging the power of AWS IDP and real-time communication via Slack notifications.
14. Sheet Title General notes on this sheet Specific instructions Operational portion SHEET 1: HISTORY AND EXTRAPOLATIONS. THIS IS THE WORKSHEET THAT RECEIVES ALL NATIONAL HISTORICAL DATA AND FORECASTS OF THE VARIABLES. THE DATA SHOWN HERE IS FOR EXAMPLE ONLY; THEY APPLY TO NO COUNTRY. PLEASE SUBSTITUTE YOUR DATA FOR THAT PRESENTED HERE. Notes on the use of this spreadsheet : On this spreadsheet, you will enter the historical data for all your variables. You should obtain the equation for the best fit curve using other software It is good practice to show all "hard" data in bold print. You can use this sheet to calculate future values and (interpolate) missing data points using the best fit equations which should be entered on rows 45-60. Also please enter data sources for later reference on rows 44-45. Variable Number >>>> >>>>>>> 1 2 CO2 emissions (percent of global emissions) Energy produced from non fission, non fossil sources (percent of total primary national energy supply) 1985 1.700 13.122 1986 1.720 13.134 1987 1.740 13.146 1988 1.750 13.158 1989 2.000 13.170
15. 1 Infant mortality (deaths per 1,000 births) 2 Food availability (Calories/capita) 3 GDP per capita (constant 2000 US) 4 Improved water source (percent of population without access) 5 Carbon dioxide emissions (Metric tons per capita) 6 Population growth rate (percent per year) 7 Percent unemployment 8 Literacy rate, (percent of people aged 15 and above) 9 Prevalence of HIV (percent of population ages 15-49) 10 Life expectancy at birth (years)
16. 11 Armed conflicts {number involving >1,000 deaths /yr) 12 Total Debt (percent of GDP: developing countries) 13 Forest Lands (% of land area) 14 People Living on Less than $1 per day) (% population) 15 People killed or injured in terrorist attacks (number) 16 Homicides (49 countries, per 100,000 population) 17 People in Free/ Partially Free Countries (% population) 18 School Enrollment, secondary (% school age) 19 Healthcare workers (per 1,000 population) 20 Countries having nuclear weapons or plans (number)
17. 21 Energy produced from non fission, non fossil sources (percent of all energy produced) 22 R&D expenditures (percent of GDP) 23 Global Surface Temperature Anomalies (degrees C) 24 People voting in free elections (% voting age pop) 25 Internet Users (users/1000 population) 26 Number of refugees, asylum seekers, and internally displaced persons (millions) 27 Energy consumption per GDP (metric tons oil equivalent/million $) 28 Seats held by women in national parliaments (%) 29 Corruption (% of world's people living in countries rated as having low levels of corruption)
18.
19.
20.
21.
22. 1. The given data 2. Were fit by a quadratic equation 3. Yielding the full set of data 1991 51.81 1999 60.28 2000 62.06 2001 63.85 2002 66.59 2003 66.62 2004 65.06 Quadratic Fit: y=a+bx+cx^2 a= -48409.94 b = 47.371804 c = -0.01156779
23.
24.
25.
26.
27. Year Variable V1 (Increasing is good) Variable V2 (diminishing is good) 20 years ago 30 30 10 years ago 35 35 Ten Years hence 42 10 Extreme data point in desirable direction 42 10 Extreme data point in undesirable direction 30 30 Expert Best 43 8 Expert Worst 40 20
28. Year Variable V1 (non-dimensionalized ) Variable V2 (non-dimensionalized ) 20 years ago 0.00 0.19 10 years ago 0.38 0.00 Present Year 0.77 0.74 Ten Years hence 0.92 0.93
29.
30. Best 2017) Worst 2017 Weight 1 CO2 emissions (percent of global emissions) 0 25 7.82 2 Energy produced from non fission, non fossil sources (% national energy supply) 20.52 13.68 8.05 3 Food availability (Kcalories/cap/day) 3,006 2,205 7.08 4 Forest Lands (percent of national land area) 32.03 25.02 7.21 5 Freedom Level (Country Score) 1 3 7.52 6 GDP per capita (constant 2000 US$) 9,983 5,491 7.50 7 GDP per unit of energy use (constant 2000 PPP $ per kg of oil equivalent) 5.29 4.86 8.00 8 Homicides, intentional (per 100,000 population) 4.89 14.66 6.92 9 Infant mortality (deaths per 1,000 live births) 42.09 89.00 7.01 10 Internet Users (per 1,000 population) 577.36 192.45 7.90 11 Levels of Corruption (as measured by TI surveys) 4.23 3.31 8.57 12 Life expectancy at birth (years) 75.06 65.05 7.14 13 Literacy rate, adult total (% of people aged 15 and above) 90.42 78.87 7.45
31. Best 2017) Worst 2017 Weight 14 Number of refugees displaced from the country (%) 0 10 6.93 15 People killed or injured in terrorist attacks (%) 0 0.1 7.66 16 People Voting in Elections (% voting age) 70.0 50.0 7.19 17 Physicians (per 1,000 people) 2.55 1.46 7.50 18 Population growth (annual %) 1.0 1.54 7.27 19 Population lacking access to improved water sources (%) 10.0 30.0 8.33 20 Poverty headcount ratio at $1 a day (PPP) (% pop) 12.72 26.49 7.84 21 Prevalence of HIV (percent of national population) 0.64 1.91 5.97 22 R&D Expenditures (percent of national budget) 4.0 2.0 8.63 23 School enrollment, secondary (percent gross) 79.35 59.15 8.09 24 Seats held by women in national parliament (%) 23.79 14.27 6.78 25 Total Debt Service (percent of GNI) 7.58 8.68 6.79 26 Unemployment, total (% of national labor force) 5.00 15.00 8.28
32. SOFI = sum (wt x ndv)/ SOFI ref Where SOFI is the value of the SOFI in a given year SOFI ref is the SOFI in the reference year wt is the weight assigned to a given variable ndv is the non dimensionalized value of the variable in that year
33. Development Probability by 2017 1 A nuclear accident such as Three Mile Island (causes many nuclear nations to de-nuclearize). 10 2 A very good, fast $150 laptop computer becomes available everywhere. 65 3 Advent of a “teachers without borders” movement (50,000 new teachers in the field) 30 4 A pandemic of the scale of HIV/AIDS 30 5 At least 10 countries introduce effective policies designed to increase birth rates 75 6 Automation and robotics increase productivity 25% to make “jobless" economic growth 50
37. Global SOFI National Comparison National Focus Variables Standard set Based on global; same for all countries. Newly chosen for the country Historical data Global data for last 2 decades National data for last 2 decades National data for last 2 decades Best and Worst estimates Chosen for global forecasts Use global estimates New values for the new variables and the country Weights Chosen for global forecasts Use global estimates New values for the new variables and the country TIA Developments Chosen for global forecasts Use global developments Developments important to the future of the country TIA Development Probabilities Estimated for global TIA developments Use global TIA development probabilities Global TIA values for global developments; new estimates for country specific developments TIA Development Impacts Estimated for global TIA developments and variables Use TIA development impacts as they might affect the country Use TIA development impacts as they might affect the country
47. Year 2050 If we succeed in strategic, institutional change and corporate behavior transformation …………in China optimistic Zhouying JIN
48.
Editor's Notes
This presentation is designed to explain the State of the Future Index. It includes not only a review of the Index’s development but also its application to the world as a whole and to individual countries. People who follow this material should, at the conclusion, be able to construct SOFIs for their own country or organizations. The State of the Future Index is a measure of the 10-year outlook for the future. It is constructed with key variables and forecasts that, in the aggregate, depict whether the future promises to be better or worse. The SOFI is intended to show the directions and intensity of change in the outlook and to identify the factors responsible. Some of the Millennium Project’s experiments with the index have illustrated how it might be used for policy purposes by demonstrating the effects of proposed policies on a nominal State of the Future Index. The SOFI approach provides a mechanism for studying the relationships among the items in a system—how making a single change ripples throughout a system, in other words, creating some positive and intended consequence as well unintended results.