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Biostatistics
Dr. Hamdi Abdulwahab Alhakimi
Albaha University
3/21/2017 1
By the end of these session, attendants should:
• Understand the basic concepts of biostatistics.
• Differentiate between descriptive and
inferential biostatistics.
• Clearly identify types of data.
3/21/2017 2
List of contents
• Statistics: definitions and uses.
• Data: types and distributions.
• Descriptive statistics: calculations, tabulations &
graphs.
• Normal distribution: characteristics & uses.
• Inferential statistic: hypothesis testing &
estimation.
• How to choose appropriate statistical
procedures?
• Interpretation of statistics used in scientific
papers.
3/21/2017 3
Statistics
• The doing of statistics is a way of thinking about
numbers (collection, analysis, and presentation),
with intention to relate their meaning to the
objectives for which they are collected.
3/21/2017 4
• Formulas are only a part of that thinking,
simply tools of the trade; they are needed but
not as the only things one needs to know.
3/21/2017 5
Biostatistics
Basically, a successful research should consist of:
(1) Good research question.
(2) Investigation (Calibration & Sampling).
(3) Presentation of results (descriptive & inferential
statistics).
(4)Conclusions (inferential statistics).
the last three elements; together they form a
field called biostatistics.
3/21/2017 6
DATA
RESULTS
+
conclusions
Biostatistics
3/21/2017 7
Biostatistics
Descriptive
Statistics
Inferential
statistics
3/21/2017 8
Biostatistics
Descriptive
Statistics
graphstabulationscalculations
3/21/2017 9
Descriptive
Statistics
graphstabulations
calculations
- Proportions, rates &
ratios.
- Measures of central
tendency (Mean,
Mode & Median).
- Measures of
dispersion (S.d,
range).
-correlation coefficient
- Regression
coefficient.
- Quantiles.
-Frequency
distribution
tables.
-Cross tabs.
- stem & leaf
diagram.
- Bar graphs.
-Pie chart.
-Histogram.
- Scatter plot.
3/21/2017 10
Biostatistics
Inferential
statistics
3/21/2017 11
Inferential
statistics
Hypothesis
Testing
Estimation
3/21/2017 12
Inferential
statistics
Hypothesis
Testing
Estimation
• Standard Error
Confidence Interval
• Significance Tests
P value
3/21/2017 13
Important Note:
“A poor or invalid statistical analysis can be
repeated using correct methods but no
amount of data manipulation can
compensate for invalid data.”
3/21/2017 14
• Data are set of observations, measurements
or counts …..ect which have not meaning
alone.
• Data >>>>> Information >>>>> Intelligence
3/21/2017 15
DATA
Dichotomous
Polychotomous
3/21/2017 16
Types of Variables
• (Quantitative) Numerical variables:
– Always numbers
– Examples: age in years, weight, blood pressure readings,
temperature, concentrations of pollutants and, counts of
cases per week other measurements
• (qualitative) Categorical variables:
– Information that can be found into categories
– Types of categorical variables – ordinal, nominal and
dichotomous (binary)
Categorical Variables:
Nominal Variables
• Nominal variable – a categorical variable without an
intrinsic order
• Examples of nominal variables:
– Residence (Northeast, South, Midwest, etc.)
– Sex (male, female)
– Nationality (American, Mexican, French)
– Race/ethnicity (African American, Hispanic, White, Asian
American)
– Favorite pet (dog, cat, fish, snake)
Categorical Variables:
Dichotomous Variables
• Dichotomous (or binary) variables – a categorical
variable with only 2 levels of categories
– Often represents the answer to a yes or no question
• For example:
– “Did you attend the church on May 24?”
– “Did you eat potato salad ?”
– Anything with only 2 categories
Categorical Variables:
Ordinal Variables
• Ordinal variable—a categorical variable with some
intrinsic order
• Examples of ordinal variables:
– Education (no high school degree, HS degree, some
college, college degree)
– Agreement (strongly disagree, disagree, neutral, agree,
strongly agree)
– Rating (excellent, good, fair, poor)
– Frequency (always, often, sometimes, never)
Question:
• If we conducted a research and collected a
tremendous amount of data how could we
deal with these data, in order to present
results and draw conclusions???
3/21/2017 21
Answer
• You can use descriptive statistics to present
the findings of study according to the type of
data.
• You can use inferential statistics to draw
conclusions.
3/21/2017 22
Use of descriptive
Statistics in
qualitative data
graphs
tabulations
calculations
- Proportions, rates &
ratios.
-Frequency
distribution
tables.
-Cross tabs.
- Bar graphs.
-Pie chart.
3/21/2017 23
Descriptive statistics in qualitative data
• Proportions:
percentages, specificity, sensitivity …ect.
• Rates:
prevalence, incidence, mortality, morbidity ,
fatality rates, change rates …ect.
• Ratios:
- odds ratio.
- relative risk.
- S.M.R
3/21/2017 24
Use of descriptive
Statistics in quantitative
graphs
calculations
- Measures of central
tendency (Mean,
Mode & Median).
- Measures of
dispersion (S.d,
range).
-correlation coefficient
- Regression
coefficient.
- Quintiles.
- Histogram.
- Scatter plot.
3/21/2017 25
Description of Quantitative Data
- If normally distributed Mean & S.d.
- If not normally distributed Median&range.
3/21/2017 26
Story of standard deviation
• Average deviation = SUM(X.-Mean)/n
• Variance = SUM(X.-Mean)2/n-1
• Standard Deviation = square root of variance.
3/21/2017 27
Distribution of Data
“The way in which the observations distribute
themselves over the range of possible values.”
3/21/2017 28
• Fortunately, a small number of Distributions tend to occur
frequently;
- Binomial Distribution.
- Poisson Distribution.
- Student t-distribution.
- Normal Distribution.
- Skewed Distributions.
- Log-distribution.
- Bimodal Distribution.
3/21/2017 29
DATA
Quantitative
Continuous
- Normal
Distribution
- Non-normal
Distributions
Discrete
Poisson Distribution
Qualitative
Dichotomous
Binomial
Distribution
3/21/2017 30
WHY NORMAL DISTRIBUTION?
Because:
- For a large sample the binomial distribution
approximates to a normal distribution.
-The Poisson distribution approximates to a normal
distribution with mean=variance.
- Non-normal distributions (skewed & log) could be
transformed into normal distribution.
3/21/2017 31
Normalizing Transformation
• Normalizing transformations are a very powerful
weapon in the statistical armory.
- positively skewed distribution by taking
square root of each observation.
- Log distribution by taking the natural
logarithm of each observation.
- Negatively skewed by reciprocation.
3/21/2017 32
Properties of Normal Distribution:
- Bell-shaped symmetrical around the mean.
- Totally described by its mean & standard deviation.
- Mean=Mode=Median.
- 68.2% of observations lie within 1 standard deviation.
- 95% of observations lie within 1.96 (or tow) standard
deviations.
- 99.9% of observations lie within 3 standard deviations.
3/21/2017 33
Question
• You conducted a research about the
association between smoking & blood
pressure. How do you know that raw data you
collect about blood pressure are normally
distributed???
3/21/2017 34
Answer
• Doing a histogram for data about blood
pressure by using SPSS.
• Using statistical procedures like:
“Siminirov kilomigrov”
3/21/2017 35
Inferential Statistics
Questions:
• Is the descriptive statistics enough?
• What is the additional benefit of inferential
statistics over the descriptive statistics??
3/21/2017 36
Example:
• If the results if your research were:
“the relative risk of smoker to be hypertensive
is 3 times greater than non-smoker”
Is that enough to say the smoking will increase
the risk of hypertension?
3/21/2017 37
Answer:
• Inferential statistics enable us to do
generalization of our descriptive statistics.
• Inferential statistics make us able to say that
our results are not due to chance.
3/21/2017 38
Inferential
statistics
Hypothesis
Testing
Estimation
• Standard Error
Confidence Interval
• Significance Tests
P value
3/21/2017 39
Hypothesis Testing
(Basic Concepts)
• Statistics are findings calculated from a
sample.
• Parameters are their population-based
counterparts; these are unknown values.
3/21/2017 40
Hypothesis Testing
(Basic Concepts)
• If a sample is representative of a population, a
statistics will actually give similar but not the
same parameters of population.
3/21/2017 41
Hypothesis Testing
(Basic Concepts)
• Representative sample means it:
- reflects the actual variation present in
population by random sampling.
- is big enough by calculation of sample size.
3/21/2017 42
Hypothesis Testing
(Basic Concepts)
• Hypotheses: we have two statements about
the population;
• Null hypothesis -- hypothesis of no difference
or no effect.
• Alternative hypothesis -- Research
hypothesis; hypothesis of a difference or
effect.
• Note: we use parameters of population here.
3/21/2017 43
Hypothesis Testing
(Basic Concepts)
“The P-value is the probability of the observed
data or more extreme outcome would have
occurred by chance alone if the null
hypothesis is true.”
3/21/2017 44
Hypothesis Testing
(Basic Concepts)
• Level of significance is a cut-off point to which
a P-value is judged; usually 0.05 or 0.01.
3/21/2017 45
Steps of Hypothesis Testing
1- Statement of null & alternative hypotheses.
2- Determination of the level of significance.
3- Choosing of appropriate significance test and
calculation of “test statistic.”
4- Calculation of “P-value.”
5- Making decision on accepting or rejecting null
hypothesis.
3/21/2017 46
Decision rule
• P-value < significance level:
- rejecting null hypothesis.
- results are significant.
- results does not occur by chance.
• P-value > or = significance level:
- not rejecting null hypothesis.
- results are not significant.
- results occur by chance.
3/21/2017 47

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Simple understanding of biostatistics

  • 1. Biostatistics Dr. Hamdi Abdulwahab Alhakimi Albaha University 3/21/2017 1
  • 2. By the end of these session, attendants should: • Understand the basic concepts of biostatistics. • Differentiate between descriptive and inferential biostatistics. • Clearly identify types of data. 3/21/2017 2
  • 3. List of contents • Statistics: definitions and uses. • Data: types and distributions. • Descriptive statistics: calculations, tabulations & graphs. • Normal distribution: characteristics & uses. • Inferential statistic: hypothesis testing & estimation. • How to choose appropriate statistical procedures? • Interpretation of statistics used in scientific papers. 3/21/2017 3
  • 4. Statistics • The doing of statistics is a way of thinking about numbers (collection, analysis, and presentation), with intention to relate their meaning to the objectives for which they are collected. 3/21/2017 4
  • 5. • Formulas are only a part of that thinking, simply tools of the trade; they are needed but not as the only things one needs to know. 3/21/2017 5
  • 6. Biostatistics Basically, a successful research should consist of: (1) Good research question. (2) Investigation (Calibration & Sampling). (3) Presentation of results (descriptive & inferential statistics). (4)Conclusions (inferential statistics). the last three elements; together they form a field called biostatistics. 3/21/2017 6
  • 10. Descriptive Statistics graphstabulations calculations - Proportions, rates & ratios. - Measures of central tendency (Mean, Mode & Median). - Measures of dispersion (S.d, range). -correlation coefficient - Regression coefficient. - Quantiles. -Frequency distribution tables. -Cross tabs. - stem & leaf diagram. - Bar graphs. -Pie chart. -Histogram. - Scatter plot. 3/21/2017 10
  • 13. Inferential statistics Hypothesis Testing Estimation • Standard Error Confidence Interval • Significance Tests P value 3/21/2017 13
  • 14. Important Note: “A poor or invalid statistical analysis can be repeated using correct methods but no amount of data manipulation can compensate for invalid data.” 3/21/2017 14
  • 15. • Data are set of observations, measurements or counts …..ect which have not meaning alone. • Data >>>>> Information >>>>> Intelligence 3/21/2017 15
  • 17. Types of Variables • (Quantitative) Numerical variables: – Always numbers – Examples: age in years, weight, blood pressure readings, temperature, concentrations of pollutants and, counts of cases per week other measurements • (qualitative) Categorical variables: – Information that can be found into categories – Types of categorical variables – ordinal, nominal and dichotomous (binary)
  • 18. Categorical Variables: Nominal Variables • Nominal variable – a categorical variable without an intrinsic order • Examples of nominal variables: – Residence (Northeast, South, Midwest, etc.) – Sex (male, female) – Nationality (American, Mexican, French) – Race/ethnicity (African American, Hispanic, White, Asian American) – Favorite pet (dog, cat, fish, snake)
  • 19. Categorical Variables: Dichotomous Variables • Dichotomous (or binary) variables – a categorical variable with only 2 levels of categories – Often represents the answer to a yes or no question • For example: – “Did you attend the church on May 24?” – “Did you eat potato salad ?” – Anything with only 2 categories
  • 20. Categorical Variables: Ordinal Variables • Ordinal variable—a categorical variable with some intrinsic order • Examples of ordinal variables: – Education (no high school degree, HS degree, some college, college degree) – Agreement (strongly disagree, disagree, neutral, agree, strongly agree) – Rating (excellent, good, fair, poor) – Frequency (always, often, sometimes, never)
  • 21. Question: • If we conducted a research and collected a tremendous amount of data how could we deal with these data, in order to present results and draw conclusions??? 3/21/2017 21
  • 22. Answer • You can use descriptive statistics to present the findings of study according to the type of data. • You can use inferential statistics to draw conclusions. 3/21/2017 22
  • 23. Use of descriptive Statistics in qualitative data graphs tabulations calculations - Proportions, rates & ratios. -Frequency distribution tables. -Cross tabs. - Bar graphs. -Pie chart. 3/21/2017 23
  • 24. Descriptive statistics in qualitative data • Proportions: percentages, specificity, sensitivity …ect. • Rates: prevalence, incidence, mortality, morbidity , fatality rates, change rates …ect. • Ratios: - odds ratio. - relative risk. - S.M.R 3/21/2017 24
  • 25. Use of descriptive Statistics in quantitative graphs calculations - Measures of central tendency (Mean, Mode & Median). - Measures of dispersion (S.d, range). -correlation coefficient - Regression coefficient. - Quintiles. - Histogram. - Scatter plot. 3/21/2017 25
  • 26. Description of Quantitative Data - If normally distributed Mean & S.d. - If not normally distributed Median&range. 3/21/2017 26
  • 27. Story of standard deviation • Average deviation = SUM(X.-Mean)/n • Variance = SUM(X.-Mean)2/n-1 • Standard Deviation = square root of variance. 3/21/2017 27
  • 28. Distribution of Data “The way in which the observations distribute themselves over the range of possible values.” 3/21/2017 28
  • 29. • Fortunately, a small number of Distributions tend to occur frequently; - Binomial Distribution. - Poisson Distribution. - Student t-distribution. - Normal Distribution. - Skewed Distributions. - Log-distribution. - Bimodal Distribution. 3/21/2017 29
  • 30. DATA Quantitative Continuous - Normal Distribution - Non-normal Distributions Discrete Poisson Distribution Qualitative Dichotomous Binomial Distribution 3/21/2017 30
  • 31. WHY NORMAL DISTRIBUTION? Because: - For a large sample the binomial distribution approximates to a normal distribution. -The Poisson distribution approximates to a normal distribution with mean=variance. - Non-normal distributions (skewed & log) could be transformed into normal distribution. 3/21/2017 31
  • 32. Normalizing Transformation • Normalizing transformations are a very powerful weapon in the statistical armory. - positively skewed distribution by taking square root of each observation. - Log distribution by taking the natural logarithm of each observation. - Negatively skewed by reciprocation. 3/21/2017 32
  • 33. Properties of Normal Distribution: - Bell-shaped symmetrical around the mean. - Totally described by its mean & standard deviation. - Mean=Mode=Median. - 68.2% of observations lie within 1 standard deviation. - 95% of observations lie within 1.96 (or tow) standard deviations. - 99.9% of observations lie within 3 standard deviations. 3/21/2017 33
  • 34. Question • You conducted a research about the association between smoking & blood pressure. How do you know that raw data you collect about blood pressure are normally distributed??? 3/21/2017 34
  • 35. Answer • Doing a histogram for data about blood pressure by using SPSS. • Using statistical procedures like: “Siminirov kilomigrov” 3/21/2017 35
  • 36. Inferential Statistics Questions: • Is the descriptive statistics enough? • What is the additional benefit of inferential statistics over the descriptive statistics?? 3/21/2017 36
  • 37. Example: • If the results if your research were: “the relative risk of smoker to be hypertensive is 3 times greater than non-smoker” Is that enough to say the smoking will increase the risk of hypertension? 3/21/2017 37
  • 38. Answer: • Inferential statistics enable us to do generalization of our descriptive statistics. • Inferential statistics make us able to say that our results are not due to chance. 3/21/2017 38
  • 39. Inferential statistics Hypothesis Testing Estimation • Standard Error Confidence Interval • Significance Tests P value 3/21/2017 39
  • 40. Hypothesis Testing (Basic Concepts) • Statistics are findings calculated from a sample. • Parameters are their population-based counterparts; these are unknown values. 3/21/2017 40
  • 41. Hypothesis Testing (Basic Concepts) • If a sample is representative of a population, a statistics will actually give similar but not the same parameters of population. 3/21/2017 41
  • 42. Hypothesis Testing (Basic Concepts) • Representative sample means it: - reflects the actual variation present in population by random sampling. - is big enough by calculation of sample size. 3/21/2017 42
  • 43. Hypothesis Testing (Basic Concepts) • Hypotheses: we have two statements about the population; • Null hypothesis -- hypothesis of no difference or no effect. • Alternative hypothesis -- Research hypothesis; hypothesis of a difference or effect. • Note: we use parameters of population here. 3/21/2017 43
  • 44. Hypothesis Testing (Basic Concepts) “The P-value is the probability of the observed data or more extreme outcome would have occurred by chance alone if the null hypothesis is true.” 3/21/2017 44
  • 45. Hypothesis Testing (Basic Concepts) • Level of significance is a cut-off point to which a P-value is judged; usually 0.05 or 0.01. 3/21/2017 45
  • 46. Steps of Hypothesis Testing 1- Statement of null & alternative hypotheses. 2- Determination of the level of significance. 3- Choosing of appropriate significance test and calculation of “test statistic.” 4- Calculation of “P-value.” 5- Making decision on accepting or rejecting null hypothesis. 3/21/2017 46
  • 47. Decision rule • P-value < significance level: - rejecting null hypothesis. - results are significant. - results does not occur by chance. • P-value > or = significance level: - not rejecting null hypothesis. - results are not significant. - results occur by chance. 3/21/2017 47