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Siena College Research Institute
                                                                                                     October 22-24, 2012
                                                                                               750 New York State Likely Voters
                                                                                                        MOE +/- 3.6%
Q18. As things stand now, if the election for State Senate were held today would you vote to re-elect your incumbent Senator or would you prefer someone else?
                                                           Party        Gender      Political View      Union HH      Region               Ethnicity               Age                  Religion                  Income
                                                                 Ind/                                                                     Afr Amer                                                                $50K-
                                              Total Dem Rep Other M          F Lib Mod Conserv Yes No NYC Subs Upst White /Black Latino 18-34                      35-54   55+   Cath Jewish Prot   Other <$50K   $100K $100K+
Re-elect incumbent                             43% 47% 37% 40% 35% 50% 48% 48%                  32% 46% 42% 52% 35% 40% 40%                  52%     45% 39%        43%    44%   47% 40% 44%         37% 39%       45%   45%
Prefer someone else                            35% 31% 46% 34% 44% 28% 27% 32%                  50% 37% 35% 27% 41% 39% 36%                  32%     34% 37%        37%    33%   37% 35% 30%         38% 40%       34%   36%
Vol: No incumbent                              1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 2%                           0%     1% 1% 1% 0% 1%              1%        2%      0%     0%      1%     1%    0%    0%    2%      1%   1%       1%    1%
Don't know/No opinion                          21% 20% 17% 25% 20% 22% 25% 19%                  18% 17% 22% 20% 24% 19% 22%                  15%     21% 23%        19%    22%   15% 25% 24%         24% 20%       21%   18%

Q19. Republicans currently control the State Senate by a 33 to 29 majority. Looking at this year's election, which would you prefer to see: [Choices Rotated]
                                                         Party         Gender        Political View       Union HH      Region                 Ethnicity          Age           Religion                        Income
                                                                Ind/                                                                          Afr Amer                                                          $50K-
                                            Total Dem Rep Other M             F Lib Mod Conserv Yes No NYC Subs Upst White /Black Latino 18-34 35-54 55+ Cath Jewish Prot                           Other <$50K $100K $100K+
The Republicans continue to control the
                                             36% 13% 85% 34% 43% 31% 8% 31%                      75% 33% 37% 24% 41% 44% 44%                      2%      23% 27% 37% 41% 43% 46% 37%               20%   31%     36%    39%
State Senate
The Democrats win control of the Senate      55% 81% 10% 49% 50% 59% 84% 58%                     20% 57% 54% 65% 53% 47% 47%                     90%      70% 65% 53% 51% 49% 51% 55%               67%   58%     56%    53%
Don't know/No opinion                         9% 6% 5% 17% 7% 10% 8% 11%                          6%      10% 9% 11% 7% 9%              9%        9%       7%  9% 10% 8% 8%    3%     9%            12%   12%     8%     7%

Q20. How would you describe the fiscal condition of New York State right now? Would you describe it as excellent, good, fair, or poor?
                                                       Party          Gender     Political View      Union HH        Region              Ethnicity                 Age                  Religion                  Income
                                                              Ind/                                                                       Afr Amer                                                                 $50K-
                                           Total Dem Rep Other M            F Lib Mod Conserv Yes No NYC Subs Upst White /Black Latino 18-34                       35-54   55+   Cath Jewish Prot   Other <$50K   $100K $100K+
Excellent                                   0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0%                           0%     0% 1% 1% 0% 0%                   0%    1%     0%   1%           0%     1%    0%    0%    0%      1%   0%       0%    1%
Good                                       19% 26% 10% 15% 20% 19% 26% 19%                   14% 15% 21% 25% 20% 14% 17%                   26%     28% 25%          16%    21%   18% 23% 20%         17% 24%       17%   19%
Fair                                       47% 48% 46% 47% 45% 49% 50% 50%                   41% 52% 45% 50% 50% 42% 47%                   47%     45% 42%          47%    49%   45% 51% 46%         52% 45%       47%   48%
Poor                                       31% 24% 41% 34% 33% 29% 21% 29%                   42% 33% 30% 21% 27% 42% 33%                   25%     27% 30%          35%    27%   35% 19% 32%         29% 29%       34%   30%
Don't know/No opinion                       2% 1% 3% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2%                           3%     1% 3% 3% 2% 2%                   3%    0%     0%   3%           1%     3%    2%    8%    2%      2%   2%       2%    2%

Q21. The State Department of Environmental Conservation is expected to soon issue a decision on whether or not to allow hydrofracking - that is, the proposed method to recover natural gas from parts of upstate New York - to
move forward. How much have you heard or read about it - a great deal, some, not very much, nothing at all?
                                                      Party         Gender        Political View   Union HH         Region                Ethnicity               Age                   Religion                  Income
                                                             Ind/                                                                         Afr Amer                                                                $50K-
                                         Total Dem Rep Other M            F Lib Mod Conserv Yes No NYC Subs Upst White /Black Latino 18-34 35-54 55+ Cath Jewish Prot Other <$50K $100K $100K+
A great deal                              27% 24% 33% 28% 37% 19% 31% 24%                     28% 36% 24% 20% 23% 36% 33%                    8%        14% 17% 26% 34% 25% 24% 24% 38% 27% 25%                            33%
Some                                      39% 40% 40% 39% 39% 40% 36% 44%                     39% 38% 40% 36% 40% 42% 43%                   24%        30% 36% 41% 40% 42% 47% 35% 37% 30% 40%                            46%
Not very much                             21% 23% 19% 17% 13% 27% 20% 20%                     24% 19% 22% 27% 21% 16% 18%                   38%        26% 20% 21% 21% 23% 15% 25% 15% 26% 21%                            16%
Nothing at all                            12% 13% 8% 16% 10% 15% 13% 13%                       9%   7% 14% 17% 16% 5%             6%        29%        30% 27% 11% 5% 11% 15% 16% 10% 17% 14%                              5%
Don't know/No opinion                      0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%                             0%   0% 0% 0% 0% 0%                0%         0%        0%     0%   0% 0% 0%            0%      0%   0%      0%      0%     0%

Q22. Do you support or oppose the Department of Environmental Conservation allowing hydrofracking to move forward in parts of upstate New York?
                                                      Party       Gender        Political View   Union HH       Region                Ethnicity                    Age                  Religion                  Income
                                                            Ind/                                                                      Afr Amer                                                                    $50K-
                                         Total Dem Rep Other M          F Lib Mod Conserv Yes No NYC Subs Upst White /Black Latino                         18-34   35-54   55+   Cath Jewish Prot   Other <$50K   $100K $100K+
Support                                  42% 34% 60% 41% 46% 39% 23% 44%                    63% 38% 44% 40% 44% 43% 41%                 47%     41%         42%     44%    39%   49% 36% 43%         34% 39%       48%   40%
Oppose                                   36% 42% 23% 36% 38% 34% 51% 34%                    21% 44% 33% 32% 33% 41% 39%                 24%     30%         32%     35%    38%   28% 35% 33%         50% 31%       34%   42%
Vol: Don't have enough information       15% 17% 10% 15% 10% 19% 19% 14%                    10% 13% 15% 19% 15% 11% 12%                 21%     26%         20%     12%    15%   15% 13% 18%         12% 18%       14%   12%
Don't know/No opinion                     8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 8% 7% 8%                            6%   6% 8% 9% 8% 6%                8%       8%     3%           6%      9%     8%    8%   16% 7%         4%   12%      4%    6%




                                                                                                      SNY1012 Crosstabs                                                                                                        4 of 6
Siena College Research Institute
                                                    October 22-24, 2012
                                              750 New York State Likely Voters
                                                       MOE +/- 3.6%


            Nature of the Sample
         New York State Likely Voters

Party
 Democrat                               49%
 Republican                             25%
 Independent/Other                      25%
Region
 NYC                                    34%
 Suburbs                                27%
 Upstate                                39%
Political View
 Liberal                                30%
 Moderate                               37%
 Conservative                           29%
Union Household
 Yes                                    26%
 No                                     74%
Religion
 Catholic                               38%
 Jewish                                 9%
 Protestant                             26%
 Other                                  23%
Age
 18 to 34                               21%
 35 to 54                               37%
 55 and older                           39%
Gender
 Male                                   45%
 Female                                 55%
Race/Ethnicity
 White                                  71%
 African American/Black                 11%
 Latino                                 10%
Income
 Less than $50,000                      29%
 $50,000 to $100,000                    32%
 $100,000 or more                       31%




                                                    SNY1012 Crosstabs            6 of 6

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Siena College Poll: New York Voters Divided on Hydrofracking and State Senate Control

  • 1. Siena College Research Institute October 22-24, 2012 750 New York State Likely Voters MOE +/- 3.6% Q18. As things stand now, if the election for State Senate were held today would you vote to re-elect your incumbent Senator or would you prefer someone else? Party Gender Political View Union HH Region Ethnicity Age Religion Income Ind/ Afr Amer $50K- Total Dem Rep Other M F Lib Mod Conserv Yes No NYC Subs Upst White /Black Latino 18-34 35-54 55+ Cath Jewish Prot Other <$50K $100K $100K+ Re-elect incumbent 43% 47% 37% 40% 35% 50% 48% 48% 32% 46% 42% 52% 35% 40% 40% 52% 45% 39% 43% 44% 47% 40% 44% 37% 39% 45% 45% Prefer someone else 35% 31% 46% 34% 44% 28% 27% 32% 50% 37% 35% 27% 41% 39% 36% 32% 34% 37% 37% 33% 37% 35% 30% 38% 40% 34% 36% Vol: No incumbent 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 2% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% Don't know/No opinion 21% 20% 17% 25% 20% 22% 25% 19% 18% 17% 22% 20% 24% 19% 22% 15% 21% 23% 19% 22% 15% 25% 24% 24% 20% 21% 18% Q19. Republicans currently control the State Senate by a 33 to 29 majority. Looking at this year's election, which would you prefer to see: [Choices Rotated] Party Gender Political View Union HH Region Ethnicity Age Religion Income Ind/ Afr Amer $50K- Total Dem Rep Other M F Lib Mod Conserv Yes No NYC Subs Upst White /Black Latino 18-34 35-54 55+ Cath Jewish Prot Other <$50K $100K $100K+ The Republicans continue to control the 36% 13% 85% 34% 43% 31% 8% 31% 75% 33% 37% 24% 41% 44% 44% 2% 23% 27% 37% 41% 43% 46% 37% 20% 31% 36% 39% State Senate The Democrats win control of the Senate 55% 81% 10% 49% 50% 59% 84% 58% 20% 57% 54% 65% 53% 47% 47% 90% 70% 65% 53% 51% 49% 51% 55% 67% 58% 56% 53% Don't know/No opinion 9% 6% 5% 17% 7% 10% 8% 11% 6% 10% 9% 11% 7% 9% 9% 9% 7% 9% 10% 8% 8% 3% 9% 12% 12% 8% 7% Q20. How would you describe the fiscal condition of New York State right now? Would you describe it as excellent, good, fair, or poor? Party Gender Political View Union HH Region Ethnicity Age Religion Income Ind/ Afr Amer $50K- Total Dem Rep Other M F Lib Mod Conserv Yes No NYC Subs Upst White /Black Latino 18-34 35-54 55+ Cath Jewish Prot Other <$50K $100K $100K+ Excellent 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% Good 19% 26% 10% 15% 20% 19% 26% 19% 14% 15% 21% 25% 20% 14% 17% 26% 28% 25% 16% 21% 18% 23% 20% 17% 24% 17% 19% Fair 47% 48% 46% 47% 45% 49% 50% 50% 41% 52% 45% 50% 50% 42% 47% 47% 45% 42% 47% 49% 45% 51% 46% 52% 45% 47% 48% Poor 31% 24% 41% 34% 33% 29% 21% 29% 42% 33% 30% 21% 27% 42% 33% 25% 27% 30% 35% 27% 35% 19% 32% 29% 29% 34% 30% Don't know/No opinion 2% 1% 3% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 1% 3% 3% 2% 2% 3% 0% 0% 3% 1% 3% 2% 8% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% Q21. The State Department of Environmental Conservation is expected to soon issue a decision on whether or not to allow hydrofracking - that is, the proposed method to recover natural gas from parts of upstate New York - to move forward. How much have you heard or read about it - a great deal, some, not very much, nothing at all? Party Gender Political View Union HH Region Ethnicity Age Religion Income Ind/ Afr Amer $50K- Total Dem Rep Other M F Lib Mod Conserv Yes No NYC Subs Upst White /Black Latino 18-34 35-54 55+ Cath Jewish Prot Other <$50K $100K $100K+ A great deal 27% 24% 33% 28% 37% 19% 31% 24% 28% 36% 24% 20% 23% 36% 33% 8% 14% 17% 26% 34% 25% 24% 24% 38% 27% 25% 33% Some 39% 40% 40% 39% 39% 40% 36% 44% 39% 38% 40% 36% 40% 42% 43% 24% 30% 36% 41% 40% 42% 47% 35% 37% 30% 40% 46% Not very much 21% 23% 19% 17% 13% 27% 20% 20% 24% 19% 22% 27% 21% 16% 18% 38% 26% 20% 21% 21% 23% 15% 25% 15% 26% 21% 16% Nothing at all 12% 13% 8% 16% 10% 15% 13% 13% 9% 7% 14% 17% 16% 5% 6% 29% 30% 27% 11% 5% 11% 15% 16% 10% 17% 14% 5% Don't know/No opinion 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Q22. Do you support or oppose the Department of Environmental Conservation allowing hydrofracking to move forward in parts of upstate New York? Party Gender Political View Union HH Region Ethnicity Age Religion Income Ind/ Afr Amer $50K- Total Dem Rep Other M F Lib Mod Conserv Yes No NYC Subs Upst White /Black Latino 18-34 35-54 55+ Cath Jewish Prot Other <$50K $100K $100K+ Support 42% 34% 60% 41% 46% 39% 23% 44% 63% 38% 44% 40% 44% 43% 41% 47% 41% 42% 44% 39% 49% 36% 43% 34% 39% 48% 40% Oppose 36% 42% 23% 36% 38% 34% 51% 34% 21% 44% 33% 32% 33% 41% 39% 24% 30% 32% 35% 38% 28% 35% 33% 50% 31% 34% 42% Vol: Don't have enough information 15% 17% 10% 15% 10% 19% 19% 14% 10% 13% 15% 19% 15% 11% 12% 21% 26% 20% 12% 15% 15% 13% 18% 12% 18% 14% 12% Don't know/No opinion 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 8% 7% 8% 6% 6% 8% 9% 8% 6% 8% 8% 3% 6% 9% 8% 8% 16% 7% 4% 12% 4% 6% SNY1012 Crosstabs 4 of 6
  • 2. Siena College Research Institute October 22-24, 2012 750 New York State Likely Voters MOE +/- 3.6% Nature of the Sample New York State Likely Voters Party Democrat 49% Republican 25% Independent/Other 25% Region NYC 34% Suburbs 27% Upstate 39% Political View Liberal 30% Moderate 37% Conservative 29% Union Household Yes 26% No 74% Religion Catholic 38% Jewish 9% Protestant 26% Other 23% Age 18 to 34 21% 35 to 54 37% 55 and older 39% Gender Male 45% Female 55% Race/Ethnicity White 71% African American/Black 11% Latino 10% Income Less than $50,000 29% $50,000 to $100,000 32% $100,000 or more 31% SNY1012 Crosstabs 6 of 6