Bishop Philip Poole from the Diocese of Toronto created this powerpoint to describe the basic statistical trends affecting the Anglican Church in our area.

1. Sustainable & Strategic
Ministry Policy
Have the resources
(people, buildings, spiritual health, money)
To carry out their mission.
+
Static R
e
Sustainable
No clear mission to s Able to articulate and
context. Mission o demonstrate a vital
Inward looking, - + mission and ministry
maintenance focussed
u appropriate to the
r context
c
Unsustainable e
Strategic
-
Lack resources to
carry out their mission

2. The Current Reality

3.  8% of congregations  39% experienced a
have experienced decline of less than 25%
catastrophic decline in  17% experienced
attendance in excess of numeric growth.
50%,  Total average Sunday
 36% of congregations attendance declined
experienced alarming 5,355 people from 28,
levels of decline in 605 to 23,250.
excess of 25%.

4. Diocese of Toronto, ASA and Easter Attendance 2000-2009
Sunday Easter Poly. (Sunday) Poly. (Easter)
58906 59254 58459
53628
52368
51053 50633 49639
47889
46704
28605 28663
27272 26568 25674 25528 24754 23716 23316 23250
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

5. Year Full-Time Clergy
2001 209
2002 215
2003 207
Retirement Projections Based on Eligibility
2004 199
12%
2005 190 10%
9.7%
8%
2006 187
6%
5.1% 5.1% 4.6% 4.6%
2007 190 4% 4.6% 3.7%
3.7%
3.2% 2.8% 2.8%
2008 184 2%
0%
2009 186
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2010 179
Numerical 30
Change
Percentage 14% decrease
Change

6. Year # % Est. Ordinations Est. Total Full-time
Already Retired 14 6.5%
2011 21 9.7% 11 169
2012 11 5.1% 6 164
2013 7 3.2%
2014 10 4.6%
2015 11 5.1%
2016 6 2.8%
2017 8 3.7%
2018 8 3.7%
2019 10 4.6%
2020 10 4.6%
2021 6 2.8%
2011-21 122 56.5%

7.  More than half of Canadians in the 15-to-29 age
cohort either have no religion or never attend a
service of worship, says Statistics Canada.
 Only 22 per cent say religion is very important to
them, down from 34 per cent in 2002.
 What growth there has been in religious
participation has been due to immigration.
Unfortunately for us, the current source
countries for immigration are not predominantly
Christian let alone Anglican.

8.  Full time planter to Mandarin Population
 New Church Plant underway in Ajax
 Internal church plant to “Urban Trend-setters”
downtown
 Intentional missional renewal/reboots at two
historic downtown parishes
 Reclustering/hub parishes in Trent-Durham
 Fresh Expressions/Reach Grants spawning
 Missional Transformation Process
(14 parishes, to 25 by 2013)

9. So, where’s the growth?

10.  Layering of age-cohort data over congregational
statistics has pointed out some further areas of
concern:
o Identified 11 congregations that are terminal,
continuous significant decline beyond likelihood
of turnaround, unable to sustain ministry and
plant
o 15 congregations in peril – significant continuing
decline in ASA makes sustainability unlikely,
concerning age profile with significant number of
congregation over 65

11. Where is the greatest decline?
York Mills Scarborough
-420 -660
Eglinton
-582
Etobicoke
-412

12. "Toto, I've
a feeling
we're not
in Kansas
anymore."