This study analyzes the abilities of investors in Spanish domestic equity funds from January 1999 to December 2006. It finds:
1) New money/investors underperform old money/investors over 3-month and 12-month periods based on excess returns and alphas from single-factor, 3-factor, and 4-factor models.
2) However, portfolios weighted by actual inflows perform similarly to or outperform old money portfolios, suggesting evidence of "smart money". In contrast, outflow portfolios generally underperform.
3) Positive flow portfolios, whether weighted by money or investors, exhibit higher excess returns and alphas than negative flow portfolios over 12-month periods, and these
In the last five years, financial management has undergone vast changes. From simple sourcing to utilisation, additional areas which have gained importance are, risk management, maintenance & growth under risk engulfed environment, it is not simple market risk or environmental risk additional factors added now are pandemic risk, even factory layouts, safety& security of employees, added insurance costs provisions for bad debts etc have assumed significance. Analysis of costs , compilation &control has assumed tremendous significance . In view of this , these slides may have to be recasted , aitered ,modified & regrouped presented to facilitate quick & realistic managerial decision making which I proposed to do shortly.
Fund flow statement is a statement showing sources and application of funds for a period of time. -¢ Fund flow statement is one of the valuable tool in the hand of management to evaluate the uses of funds by the organisation and in determining as to how these uses are financed. -¢ Fund flow statement is statement which discloses the analytical information about the different sources of fund and the application of the same in the specific accounting cycle. -¢ In other words, it incorporates those transactions which change either the amount of current assets or current liabilities in the form of increased or decreased working capital or fixed assets, long term loans and equity capital. -¢ Fund flow statement is also called the Statement of Sources and Application of Fund Movement Funds Statement’. -¢ Fund flow statement attempts at providing a link in the completion of final statements. -¢ Fund flow statement is a statement in summary form that indicates the changes occurring in items of financial condition between two different balance sheet dates. Esapathi Saiparimala | Dr. B. C. Lakshmanna "A Study on Funds Flow Statement" Published in International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (ijtsrd), ISSN: 2456-6470, Volume-5 | Issue-5 , August 2021, URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd45199.pdf Paper URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/management/accounting-and-finance/45199/a-study-on-funds-flow-statement/esapathi-saiparimala
In the last five years, financial management has undergone vast changes. From simple sourcing to utilisation, additional areas which have gained importance are, risk management, maintenance & growth under risk engulfed environment, it is not simple market risk or environmental risk additional factors added now are pandemic risk, even factory layouts, safety& security of employees, added insurance costs provisions for bad debts etc have assumed significance. Analysis of costs , compilation &control has assumed tremendous significance . In view of this , these slides may have to be recasted , aitered ,modified & regrouped presented to facilitate quick & realistic managerial decision making which I proposed to do shortly.
Fund flow statement is a statement showing sources and application of funds for a period of time. -¢ Fund flow statement is one of the valuable tool in the hand of management to evaluate the uses of funds by the organisation and in determining as to how these uses are financed. -¢ Fund flow statement is statement which discloses the analytical information about the different sources of fund and the application of the same in the specific accounting cycle. -¢ In other words, it incorporates those transactions which change either the amount of current assets or current liabilities in the form of increased or decreased working capital or fixed assets, long term loans and equity capital. -¢ Fund flow statement is also called the Statement of Sources and Application of Fund Movement Funds Statement’. -¢ Fund flow statement attempts at providing a link in the completion of final statements. -¢ Fund flow statement is a statement in summary form that indicates the changes occurring in items of financial condition between two different balance sheet dates. Esapathi Saiparimala | Dr. B. C. Lakshmanna "A Study on Funds Flow Statement" Published in International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (ijtsrd), ISSN: 2456-6470, Volume-5 | Issue-5 , August 2021, URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd45199.pdf Paper URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/management/accounting-and-finance/45199/a-study-on-funds-flow-statement/esapathi-saiparimala
Misallocation and privatizing when firm value is unknown: an agency model and...GRAPE
So far: no study on how to privatize + asset stripping always inefficient
New model of privatization:
* true productive value of the capital is unknown to the investors, nor government
* government may have a continuation value -> not all firms privatized
* the investors may re-align the firm, but government has no capacity to do so
* the government has instruments to reveal intentions of investors
Novel and exceptional data
* hand-collected trajectories of all 50+ plants post-1989
* pre-1989 data on L, K and sales (nominal value)
Schritflicher Teil der Diplom zum Thema: Trink Gutes. Konzeption und Entwurf einer Biermarke.
In den ersten zwei Teilen wird die Kulturgeschichte des Bieres und die Trinkkultur beschrieben, die eng mit der Gesellschaft verbunden ist.
In den folgenden Abschnitten wird das Bierbrauen an sich, die unterschiedlichen Biersorten bis hin zum Biermarkt und -Marketing beschrieben.
Pushing the edge of the contemporary cognitive (CHC) theory: New directions ...Kevin McGrew
This is the current version of my previous "Beyond CHC theory" module. It presents my current thinking [based on extensive exploratory and confirmatory analysis of multiple data sets (esp. the WJ III norm data and WJ III joint cross-battery data sets) plus the integration of contemporary cognitive, neurocognitive, intelligence and neuropsychological research] re: potential future evolutions of the Cattell-Horn-Carroll (CHC) model of human cognitive abilities. This current presentation was last presented at the CNN (neuropsych) conference the first week of October, 2010, in Fremantle Australia
Misallocation and privatizing when firm value is unknown: an agency model and...GRAPE
So far: no study on how to privatize + asset stripping always inefficient
New model of privatization:
* true productive value of the capital is unknown to the investors, nor government
* government may have a continuation value -> not all firms privatized
* the investors may re-align the firm, but government has no capacity to do so
* the government has instruments to reveal intentions of investors
Novel and exceptional data
* hand-collected trajectories of all 50+ plants post-1989
* pre-1989 data on L, K and sales (nominal value)
Schritflicher Teil der Diplom zum Thema: Trink Gutes. Konzeption und Entwurf einer Biermarke.
In den ersten zwei Teilen wird die Kulturgeschichte des Bieres und die Trinkkultur beschrieben, die eng mit der Gesellschaft verbunden ist.
In den folgenden Abschnitten wird das Bierbrauen an sich, die unterschiedlichen Biersorten bis hin zum Biermarkt und -Marketing beschrieben.
Pushing the edge of the contemporary cognitive (CHC) theory: New directions ...Kevin McGrew
This is the current version of my previous "Beyond CHC theory" module. It presents my current thinking [based on extensive exploratory and confirmatory analysis of multiple data sets (esp. the WJ III norm data and WJ III joint cross-battery data sets) plus the integration of contemporary cognitive, neurocognitive, intelligence and neuropsychological research] re: potential future evolutions of the Cattell-Horn-Carroll (CHC) model of human cognitive abilities. This current presentation was last presented at the CNN (neuropsych) conference the first week of October, 2010, in Fremantle Australia
January 2014 real estate securities funds monitorConsiliacapital
Monthly performance stats on listed real estate, infrastructure and real asset funds. Special feature on the impact of including global listed to an unlisted real estate allocation for a DC fund.
AN ANALYSIS OF THE FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE EFFECT OF SHARIA COMPANIES ON STOCK ...Saputra Ayudi
This study entitled " An Analysis of the Financial Performance Effect of Sharia Companies on Stock Price Changes ( a Case Study of Companies Listed on the Sharia Stock Listing) ". This study uses eight (8) the financial ratios are debt to equity ratio, current ratio, inventory turnover ratio, total asset turnover, net profit margin, return on equity, price earning ratio, and dividend yield. The above financial ratios have been considered representative of the five types of financial ratios, which are 5 types of financial ratios in question are leverage ratios, liquidity ratios, efficiency ratios, profitability ratios, and market value ratios.
Individuals asset class choice behavior in their pension fund individual account appear consistent with the use of naive learning rules. Preliminary results from joint work with Felix Villatoro, Olga Fuentes and Pamela Searle.
Empowering the Unbanked: The Vital Role of NBFCs in Promoting Financial Inclu...Vighnesh Shashtri
In India, financial inclusion remains a critical challenge, with a significant portion of the population still unbanked. Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) have emerged as key players in bridging this gap by providing financial services to those often overlooked by traditional banking institutions. This article delves into how NBFCs are fostering financial inclusion and empowering the unbanked.
when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.DOT TECH
There is no set date for when Pi coins will enter the market.
However, the developers are working hard to get them released as soon as possible.
Once they are available, users will be able to exchange other cryptocurrencies for Pi coins on designated exchanges.
But for now the only way to sell your pi coins is through verified pi vendor.
Here is the telegram contact of my personal pi vendor
@Pi_vendor_247
how to sell pi coins effectively (from 50 - 100k pi)DOT TECH
Anywhere in the world, including Africa, America, and Europe, you can sell Pi Network Coins online and receive cash through online payment options.
Pi has not yet been launched on any exchange because we are currently using the confined Mainnet. The planned launch date for Pi is June 28, 2026.
Reselling to investors who want to hold until the mainnet launch in 2026 is currently the sole way to sell.
Consequently, right now. All you need to do is select the right pi network provider.
Who is a pi merchant?
An individual who buys coins from miners on the pi network and resells them to investors hoping to hang onto them until the mainnet is launched is known as a pi merchant.
debuts.
I'll provide you the Telegram username
@Pi_vendor_247
Latino Buying Power - May 2024 Presentation for Latino CaucusDanay Escanaverino
Unlock the potential of Latino Buying Power with this in-depth SlideShare presentation. Explore how the Latino consumer market is transforming the American economy, driven by their significant buying power, entrepreneurial contributions, and growing influence across various sectors.
**Key Sections Covered:**
1. **Economic Impact:** Understand the profound economic impact of Latino consumers on the U.S. economy. Discover how their increasing purchasing power is fueling growth in key industries and contributing to national economic prosperity.
2. **Buying Power:** Dive into detailed analyses of Latino buying power, including its growth trends, key drivers, and projections for the future. Learn how this influential group’s spending habits are shaping market dynamics and creating opportunities for businesses.
3. **Entrepreneurial Contributions:** Explore the entrepreneurial spirit within the Latino community. Examine how Latino-owned businesses are thriving and contributing to job creation, innovation, and economic diversification.
4. **Workforce Statistics:** Gain insights into the role of Latino workers in the American labor market. Review statistics on employment rates, occupational distribution, and the economic contributions of Latino professionals across various industries.
5. **Media Consumption:** Understand the media consumption habits of Latino audiences. Discover their preferences for digital platforms, television, radio, and social media. Learn how these consumption patterns are influencing advertising strategies and media content.
6. **Education:** Examine the educational achievements and challenges within the Latino community. Review statistics on enrollment, graduation rates, and fields of study. Understand the implications of education on economic mobility and workforce readiness.
7. **Home Ownership:** Explore trends in Latino home ownership. Understand the factors driving home buying decisions, the challenges faced by Latino homeowners, and the impact of home ownership on community stability and economic growth.
This SlideShare provides valuable insights for marketers, business owners, policymakers, and anyone interested in the economic influence of the Latino community. By understanding the various facets of Latino buying power, you can effectively engage with this dynamic and growing market segment.
Equip yourself with the knowledge to leverage Latino buying power, tap into their entrepreneurial spirit, and connect with their unique cultural and consumer preferences. Drive your business success by embracing the economic potential of Latino consumers.
**Keywords:** Latino buying power, economic impact, entrepreneurial contributions, workforce statistics, media consumption, education, home ownership, Latino market, Hispanic buying power, Latino purchasing power.
Resume
• Real GDP growth slowed down due to problems with access to electricity caused by the destruction of manoeuvrable electricity generation by Russian drones and missiles.
• Exports and imports continued growing due to better logistics through the Ukrainian sea corridor and road. Polish farmers and drivers stopped blocking borders at the end of April.
• In April, both the Tax and Customs Services over-executed the revenue plan. Moreover, the NBU transferred twice the planned profit to the budget.
• The European side approved the Ukraine Plan, which the government adopted to determine indicators for the Ukraine Facility. That approval will allow Ukraine to receive a EUR 1.9 bn loan from the EU in May. At the same time, the EU provided Ukraine with a EUR 1.5 bn loan in April, as the government fulfilled five indicators under the Ukraine Plan.
• The USA has finally approved an aid package for Ukraine, which includes USD 7.8 bn of budget support; however, the conditions and timing of the assistance are still unknown.
• As in March, annual consumer inflation amounted to 3.2% yoy in April.
• At the April monetary policy meeting, the NBU again reduced the key policy rate from 14.5% to 13.5% per annum.
• Over the past four weeks, the hryvnia exchange rate has stabilized in the UAH 39-40 per USD range.
how can i use my minded pi coins I need some funds.DOT TECH
If you are interested in selling your pi coins, i have a verified pi merchant, who buys pi coins and resell them to exchanges looking forward to hold till mainnet launch.
Because the core team has announced that pi network will not be doing any pre-sale. The only way exchanges like huobi, bitmart and hotbit can get pi is by buying from miners.
Now a merchant stands in between these exchanges and the miners. As a link to make transactions smooth. Because right now in the enclosed mainnet you can't sell pi coins your self. You need the help of a merchant,
i will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant below. 👇 I and my friends has traded more than 3000pi coins with him successfully.
@Pi_vendor_247
NO1 Uk Black Magic Specialist Expert In Sahiwal, Okara, Hafizabad, Mandi Bah...Amil Baba Dawood bangali
Contact with Dawood Bhai Just call on +92322-6382012 and we'll help you. We'll solve all your problems within 12 to 24 hours and with 101% guarantee and with astrology systematic. If you want to take any personal or professional advice then also you can call us on +92322-6382012 , ONLINE LOVE PROBLEM & Other all types of Daily Life Problem's.Then CALL or WHATSAPP us on +92322-6382012 and Get all these problems solutions here by Amil Baba DAWOOD BANGALI
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how can I sell pi coins after successfully completing KYCDOT TECH
Pi coins is not launched yet in any exchange 💱 this means it's not swappable, the current pi displaying on coin market cap is the iou version of pi. And you can learn all about that on my previous post.
RIGHT NOW THE ONLY WAY you can sell pi coins is through verified pi merchants. A pi merchant is someone who buys pi coins and resell them to exchanges and crypto whales. Looking forward to hold massive quantities of pi coins before the mainnet launch.
This is because pi network is not doing any pre-sale or ico offerings, the only way to get my coins is from buying from miners. So a merchant facilitates the transactions between the miners and these exchanges holding pi.
I and my friends has sold more than 6000 pi coins successfully with this method. I will be happy to share the contact of my personal pi merchant. The one i trade with, if you have your own merchant you can trade with them. For those who are new.
Message: @Pi_vendor_247 on telegram.
I wouldn't advise you selling all percentage of the pi coins. Leave at least a before so its a win win during open mainnet. Have a nice day pioneers ♥️
#kyc #mainnet #picoins #pi #sellpi #piwallet
#pinetwork
Currently pi network is not tradable on binance or any other exchange because we are still in the enclosed mainnet.
Right now the only way to sell pi coins is by trading with a verified merchant.
What is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone verified by pi network team and allowed to barter pi coins for goods and services.
Since pi network is not doing any pre-sale The only way exchanges like binance/huobi or crypto whales can get pi is by buying from miners. And a merchant stands in between the exchanges and the miners.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant. I and my friends has traded more than 6000pi coins successfully
Tele-gram
@Pi_vendor_247
Even tho Pi network is not listed on any exchange yet.
Buying/Selling or investing in pi network coins is highly possible through the help of vendors. You can buy from vendors[ buy directly from the pi network miners and resell it]. I will leave the telegram contact of my personal vendor.
@Pi_vendor_247
The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.DOT TECH
Well as we all know pi isn't launched yet. But you can still sell your pi coins effortlessly because some whales in China are interested in holding massive pi coins. And they are willing to pay good money for it. If you are interested in selling I will leave a contact for you. Just telegram this number below. I sold about 3000 pi coins to him and he paid me immediately.
Telegram: @Pi_vendor_247
What website can I sell pi coins securely.DOT TECH
Currently there are no website or exchange that allow buying or selling of pi coins..
But you can still easily sell pi coins, by reselling it to exchanges/crypto whales interested in holding thousands of pi coins before the mainnet launch.
Who is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone who buys pi coins from miners and resell to these crypto whales and holders of pi..
This is because pi network is not doing any pre-sale. The only way exchanges can get pi is by buying from miners and pi merchants stands in between the miners and the exchanges.
How can I sell my pi coins?
Selling pi coins is really easy, but first you need to migrate to mainnet wallet before you can do that. I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with.
Tele-gram.
@Pi_vendor_247
Falcon stands out as a top-tier P2P Invoice Discounting platform in India, bridging esteemed blue-chip companies and eager investors. Our goal is to transform the investment landscape in India by establishing a comprehensive destination for borrowers and investors with diverse profiles and needs, all while minimizing risk. What sets Falcon apart is the elimination of intermediaries such as commercial banks and depository institutions, allowing investors to enjoy higher yields.
1. Metodología avanzada en
valoración financiera (61416)
Smart Money:
Smart Money:
A further look at investors’ abilities
Profesores:
José Luis Sarto jlsarto@unizar.es
Laura Andreu landreu@unizar.es
Blog:
Bl
http://asignaturajls13-14.blogspot.com/
htt // i
t
jl 13 14 bl
t
/
2. Brief revision to prior literature
Looking for answers to two relevant questions:
How do investors select among funds?
Ippolito (1992) and Sirri and Tufano (1998),
pp
(
)
(
)
among others, highlight the importance of
past performance
Are they able to anticipate superior returns?
This question is still unsolved given the
different conclusions observed.
3. Brief revision to prior literature (II):
Different conclusions on Smart Money
Seminal papers find this phenomenon…
Gruber (1996) and Zheng (1999) conclude
that investor anticipate fund returns
… but recent papers do not
Ke et al. (2005) and Braverman et al. (2007)
say that fund investors are bad performers.
Sapp and Tiwari (2004) indicate that
seminal papers are biased by momentum
4. Our study
All Spanish domestic equity funds
Free of survivorship bias. 240 funds.
F
From J
January 1999 t D
to December 2006
b
Monthly data of TNA and investors as well
as monthly data of money and investor flows
5. Our study
All Spanish domestic equity funds
Free of survivorship bias. 240 funds.
F
From J
January 1999 t D
to December 2006
b
Monthly data of TNA and investors as well
as monthly data of money and investor flows
This is the f
h
h first study that analyses investor
d h
l
abilities
6. Our study
All Spanish domestic equity funds
from January 1999 to December 2006
M thl d t of TNA and i
Monthly data f
d investors as well
t
ll
as monthly data of money and investor flows
Separate data of inflows and outflows
7. Our study
All Spanish domestic equity funds
from January 1999 to December 2006
M thl d t of TNA and i
Monthly data f
d investors as well
t
ll
as monthly data of money and investor flows
Separate data of inflows and outflows
Only Keswani and Stolin (2008) have collected a similar
dataset, providing evidence of smart purchases
8. Methodology (I). Flow measures
Our sample includes the exact inflows and
outflows.
outflows We normalise these flows dividing
them by fund size (or number of investors)
B t we also analyse th i
But
l
l
the implicit fl
li it flows:
IPMFit
TNAit TNAi ,t 1 (1 Rit ) MGTNAit
IPIFit
TNAi ,t 1
I it I i ,t 1 MGINVit
I i ,t 1
9. Metodology (II).
Performance measures
Excess return (over the MSCI Spain Index)
The alpha of the single factor model (CAPM)
Rit R ft i1 i1 Rmt R ft it
The alpha of 3-factor model (Fama-French,1993)
3
3
3
Rit R ft i3 iRMRF RMRFt iSMB SMBt iHML HMLt it
The alpha of 4-factor model (Carhart 1997)
(Carhart,
4
4
4
4
Rit R ft i4 iRMRF RMRF iSMBSMBt iHMLHMLt iPR1YR PR1YRt it
t
10. New money/investors vs
y/
old money/investors
We follow the approach of Keswani and Stolin
(2008) comparing the performance of new
money portfolios and old money portfolios
W can also analyse i
We
l
l
investor portfolios
t
tf li
Our approach is based
Ou app oa
s
sectional comparison of:
o
on
monthly
o
y
crossoss
- TNA (investors) weighted portfolios Old M/I
- Inflow-weighted portfolios New (In) M/I
11. New money/investors vs
y/
old money/investors
We follow the approach of Keswani and Stolin
(2008) comparing the performance of new
money portfolios and old money portfolios
We can also analyse investor portfolios
Our approach is based
sectional comparisons of:
on
monthly
cross-
- TNA (investors) weighted portfolios Old M/I
- Inflow-weighted portfolios New (In) M/I
Outflow weighted
- Outflow-weighted portfolios Out M/I
12. Results. In (
R
lt
(Out) M/I vs Old M/I
) /
ld /
(I) 3-month and 12-month holding periods
present significant negative performance
3-month holding period
ER
3
3
4
4
-0.0045
-0.0017
-0.0101
-0.0086
(.017)
(1) EWP
1
1
(.239)
(.000)
(.000)
12-month holding period
ER
(1) EWP
1
3
4
-0.0200
-0.0102
-0.0441
-0.0426
(.000)
(.003)
(.000)
(.000)
14. Results. In (
R
lt
(Out) M/I vs Old M/I
) /
ld /
(III) Evidence of smart new (not out) money
ER
1
3
4
(2) TNA-weighted (3-months)
-0.0068
-0.0034
-0.0116
-0.0090
(3) Weighted by money in
-0.0010
0.0015
-0.0068
-0.0044
(.056)
(.051)
(.066)
(.088)
-0.0046
-0.0018
-0.0102
-0.0082
(.416)
( 416)
(.503)
( 503)
(.561)
( 561)
(.763)
( 763)
(2) TNA-weighted (12-months)
-0.0287
-0.0186
-0.0510
-0.0488
(3) W i ht d b money i
Weighted by
in
-0.0035
0 0035
0.0050
0 0050
-0.0310
0 0310
-0.0283
0 0283
(.000)
(.000)
(.004)
(.003)
-0.0426
0.0426
-0.0412
0.0412
(.183)
(.238)
(4) Weighted by money out
(4) Weighted by money out
-0.0175 -0.0082
0.0175 0.0082
(.042)
(.060)
15. Results. In (
R
lt
(Out) M/I vs Old M/I
) /
ld /
(IV)Evidence of smart new (not out) investors
ER
1
3
4
(5) Investor-weighted (3-months)
-0.0083
-0.0060
-0.0142
-0.0126
(6) Weighted by inv. in
0.0019
0.0037
-0.0052
-0.0009
(.002)
(.000)
(.000)
(.000)
-0.0055
-0.0019
-0.0106
-0.0073
(.243)
( 243)
(.048)
( 048)
(.098)
( 098)
(.012)
( 012)
(5) Investor-weighted (12-months)
-0.0344
-0.0276
-0.0601
-0.0588
(6) W i ht d b i
Weighted by inv. i
in
0.0043
0 0043
0.0125
0 0125
-0.0241 -0.0197
0 0241 0 0197
(.000)
(.000)
(7) Weighted by inv. out
(7) Weighted by inv. out
-0.0201
0.0201
(.004)
(.000)
(.000)
-0.0094 -0.0437 -0.0404
0.0094 0.0437 0.0404
(.000)
(.006)
(.002)
16. Results. In (Out) M/I vs Old M/I
(V) New investors seem to be
smarter than new money…
y
ER
1
-0.0029
-0.0022
(.445)
(.404)
-0.0078
-0.0075
(.352)
(.249)
3
4
(3-months)
(3) Weighted by money in –
(6) Weighted by investors in
-0.0016 -0.0036
(.562)
(.199)
(12-months)
(3) Weighted by money in –
(6) Weighted by investors in
-0.0070 -0.0086
(.323)
(.227)
17. Results. In (Out) M/I vs Old M/I
(V) New investors seem to be
smarter than new money…
y
ER
1
-0.0029
-0.0022
(.445)
(.404)
-0.0078
-0.0075
(.352)
(.249)
3
4
(3-months)
(3) Weighted by money in –
(6) Weighted by investors in
-0.0016 -0.0036
(.562)
(.199)
(12-months)
(3) Weighted by money in –
(6) Weighted by investors in
-0.0070 -0.0086
(.323)
But we can’t find significant evidence
ut e ca t
dsg
ca t e de ce
(.227)
18. Positive flow portfolios vs
p
negative flow portfolios
We analyse the smartness of flows from a longshort strategy perspective
This is the usual approach in financial literature,
hence we also consider implicit flows to compare
For each flow measure (implicit and
money/investor flows), we rank funds:
exact
- with positive vs negative flows;
- computing equally and flows weighted portfolios;
- reporting performance differences (with sig levels)
sig.levels)
19. Results. Positive vs negative
Implicit flows
We are going to compute Excess Return
and 4 (12-month holding periods)
Positive flow
funds
ER
I Money
I M weighted
I Investors
I I weighted
4
Negative flow
funds
ER
4
20. Results. Positive vs negative
Implicit flows
Positive flow portfolios present higher
levels of Excess Return…
Positive flow
funds
ER
4
Negative flow
funds
ER
I Money
-0.0093
-0.0267
I M weighted
0.0088
-0.0217
I Investors
-0.0055
-0.0308
I I weighted
0.0168
-0.0249
4
21. Results. Positive vs negative
Implicit flows
… and also higuer levels of 4
Positive flow
funds
ER
4
-0.0093 -0.0306
-0.0267
-0.0506
0.0088
-0.0177
-0.0217
-0.0475
-0.0055 -0.0257
-0.0308
-0.0528
0.0168
-0.0249
-0.0465
ER
I Money
I M weighted
I Investors
I I weighted
4
Negative flow
funds
-0.0106
Implicit flows are smart
22. Results. Positive vs negative
Implicit flows
Important: observe that weighted
portfolios always present better results
Positive flow
funds
ER
4
-0.0093 -0.0306
-0.0267
-0.0506
0.0088
-0.0177
-0.0217
-0.0475
-0.0055 -0.0257
-0.0308
-0.0528
0.0168
-0.0249
-0.0465
ER
I Money
I M weighted
I Investors
I I weighted
4
Negative flow
funds
-0.0106
largest flows are invested in the best performers
23. Results. Positive vs negative
Implicit flows
Important question: are these differences
statistically significant?
24. Results. Positive vs negative
Implicit flows
Important question:
are these gaps statistically significant?
g p
y g
Positive flow
funds
I Money
I M weighted
I Investors
I I weighted
Differences
Pos – Neg
g
4
ER
4
-0.0093 -0.0306 -0.0267
-0.0506
0.0174
0.0199
0.0088
-0.0177 -0.0217
-0.0475
0.0305
0.0298
-0.0055 -0.0257 -0.0308
-0.0528
0.0252
0.0271
-0.0106 -0.0249 -0.0465
0 0106 0 0249 0 0465
0.0417
0 0417
0.0359
0 0359
ER
0.0168
0 0168
4
Negative flow
funds
ER
We find significance at 1% level
25. Results. Positive vs negative
Implicit flows: money vs investors
Can we find differences statistically significant?
Differences
Pos – Neg
ER
4
0.0174
0.0199
(2) I M weighted
i ht d
0.0305
0 0305
0.0298
0 0298
(3)
I Investors
0.0252
0.0271
(4)
I I weighted
0.0417
0.0359
(1)
I Money
26. Results. Positive vs negative
Implicit flows: money vs investors
Can we find differences statistically significant?
Differences
Pos – Neg
ER
4
0.0174
0.0199
(2) I M weighted
i ht d
0.0305
0 0305
0.0298
0 0298
(3)
I Investors
0.0252
0.0271
(4)
I I weighted
0.0417
0.0359
(1)
I Money
1-3
2-4
-0.0078
-0.0072
0.000
0 000
0.000
0 000
-0.0112
-0.0061
0.074
0.244
In equally-weighted p
q
y
g
portfolios
27. Results. Positive vs negative
Exact flows
An additional finding is related to the similar
g
results that we can observe when considering
exact flows.
Hence, we are providing evidence of the limited
bias that prior studies have suffered when
carrying out these analyses
28. Results. Positive vs negative
Exact flows
An additional finding is related to the similar
g
results that we can observe when considering
exact flows.
Hence, we are providing evidence of the limited
bias that prior studies have suffered when
carrying out these analyses
29. Individual analyses
Our study also presents another original
approach of smart money: individual analyses
While prior literature focuses on a global
p
perspective, we consider both a time-series and
p
,
a cross-sectional point of view
The first analysis aims at detecting investors’
investors
timing abilities considering each fund separately
On the other hand the second approach is
hand,
devoted to find possible selection abilities in each
period of the sample
30. Individual analyses:
Investors’ timing abilities
This time-series approach tries to analyse if
investors are able to choose the best moments
to invest or divest from a fund:
Pi ,t 1 P t 1 t1 t1 Fit F t t
For each fund we calculate if prior excess flows
fund,
anticipate subsequent excess performance
Observe that flows are computed in relative
terms to allow the comparison of all de funds of
the category
31. Individual analyses:
Investors’ selection abilities
This analysis tries to shed additional light about
the possible smartness of investors when
selecting among all the available portfolios
Pi ,t 1 P t 1 t2 t2 Fit F t t
Again
Again, in this cross-sectional analysis
cross sectional analysis, we
calculate if prior excess flows anticipate
subsequent excess performance in each month
In both analyses, positive and significant betas
would provide evidence of smart decisions
32. Results: No evidence of timing abilities
e.g.: 3-month holding period
Positive
Total
T t l
1
Sign.
Si
Negative
Total
T t l
1
Sign.
Si
Implied money flow
53
6
Implied investor flow
48
6
64
5
Money inflows
52
9
60
10
40
6
72
5
Implied money flow
4
6
Investor inflows
Excess
Return
59
55
8
57
9
Implied investor flow
52
4
60
9
Money inflows
51
13
61
10
Investor inflows
47
5
65
8
33. Results: Some evidence of selection abilities
e.g.: 12-month holding period
Positive
Total
T t l
2
Sign.
Si
Negative
Total
T t l
2
Sign.
Si
Implied money flow
12
0
Implied investor flow
71
24
14
0
Money inflows
76
12
9
0
73
23
12
2
Implied money flow
4
16
Investor inflows
Excess
Return
73
70
17
15
0
Implied investor flow
70
21
15
0
Money inflows
72
11
13
1
Investor inflows
75
20
10
1
34. Conclusions (I)
The main aim of our study is focused on the
determination of the possible investors’ abilities
investors
to anticipate superior portfolio performance
Our analyses present some relevant originalities:
Our dataset includes information of number of investors
as well as the usual related to money
Our calculations are considered in relative terms
We have exact information of inflows and outflows
We calculate four classes of performance
We analyse Smart Money from an individual perspective
y
y
p
p
35. Conclusions (II) New flow performance
We provide general evidence of smart inflows
This smartness is more marked in 12-month
holding periods and for investor flows
H
However, we f il t fi d statistical significance of
fail to find t ti ti l i ifi
f
superior abilities of investors vs. money
Results obtained with outflows need further
research
36. Conclusions (III) Long-short strategy
We find that portfolios with positive flows obtain
superior performance than those with negative
f
h
h
h
flows
These better results are statistically significant
Moreover, largest flows are invested in the best
performers
These findings are significantly more marked
when considering investor flows
37. Conclusions (IV) Individual perspective
We propose two innovative approaches: a timing
perspective f each f d and a selection method
for
h fund
d
l
h d
in each month
The first approach does not provide evidence of
g
timing abilities
However, the second perspective shed more light
about the underlying reasons of the S
b
h
d l i
f h
Smart
Money observed in the overall methods