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Space Environment
Lecture 12 – Space Weather
Part 1
Professor Hugh Lewis
SESA3038 Space Environment
Overview of lecture 12
• In this lecture we will explain what space weather is and then take a high-
level look at the three main components:
– Solar flares
– Solar energetic particles
– Coronal Mass Ejections
• We will then introduce the space weather scales used to categorise these
events
• Finally, we take a quick look at the impacts of space weather on spacecraft,
humans and terrestrial infrastructure
– This connects with the material we introduced in week 1
Space Environment – Space Weather
What is space weather? Space Environment – Space Weather
"Conditions on the Sun and in the solar
wind, magnetosphere, ionosphere and
thermosphere that can influence the
performance and reliability of space-borne
and ground-based technological systems
and can endanger human life or health."
http://soho.nascom.nasa.gov/spaceweather/
'Space weather' describes changing
environmental conditions in near-Earth
space.
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/specialist-
forecasts/space-weather
Space weather impacts Space Environment – Space Weather
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/learn-about/space-weather/impacts
National Risk Register Space Environment – Space Weather
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/national-risk-register-2020
2017 version:
National Risk Register Space Environment – Space Weather
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/national-risk-register-2020
2020 version:
What is space weather? Space Environment – Space Weather
There are three main components of
space weather:
• Solar Flares
• Solar Energetic Particles
• Coronal Mass Ejections
Where the trajectory of solar activity intersects
with the orbit of Earth there can be detrimental
effects*
Space Weather Preparedness Strategy
Solar flares Space Environment – Space Weather
Produce intense Ultraviolet
and X-Rays that reach the
Earth within minutes:
• Disruptions to High Frequency
communications
Solar energetic particles Space Environment – Space Weather
Reach the Earth in less than an
hour, leading to radiation
storms:
• Increased exposure to radiation for
passengers & aircrew in flight
• Faults in electronic systems at aviation
altitudes
• Systems faults and damage to satellites
• Disruption to HF communications at
high latitudes
Coronal Mass Ejections Space Environment – Space Weather
Explosive eruptions on the Sun,
which cause parts of the corona
to blast away:
• Arrive at the Earth between one and four
days after being ejected
• Power outages
• Disruption of satellite operations and
telecommunications services, including
Global Navigation Satellite Systems
Timescales Space Environment – Space Weather
Space weather scales Space Environment – Space Weather
Geomagnetic storms
Disturbances in the geomagnetic field caused by
gusts in the solar wind
G1 (minor) to G5 (extreme)
Solar radiation storms
Elevated levels of radiation that occur as a result of
increasing energetic particle numbers
S1 (minor) to S5 (extreme)
Radio blackouts
Disturbances of the ionosphere caused by X-ray
emissions from the Sun
R1 (minor) to R5 (extreme)
Space weather scales Space Environment – Space Weather
Geomagnetic storms
NOAA G-scale: duration of event will influence severity of effects
Kp Index Scale Descriptor Effect on Spacecraft
Operations
5 G1 Minor Minor impact on operations
possible
6 G2 Moderate
7 G3 Strong
8 G4 Severe
9 G5 Extreme Potential for extensive surface
charging, increase in drag (LEO),
orientation & uplink/downlink
problems
Geomagnetic storms Space Environment – Space Weather
Space weather scales Space Environment – Space Weather
Solar radiation storms
NOAA S-scale: duration of event will influence severity of effects
Flux level ≥ 10
MeV
(s-1ster-1cm-2)
Scale Descriptor Effect on Spacecraft Operations
101 S1 Minor Infrequent single event upsets
possible
102 S2 Moderate
103 S3 Strong
104 S4 Severe
105 S5 Extreme Potential for temporary outages, loss
of control, serious noise in sensors,
permanent damage to solar arrays
Space weather scales Space Environment – Space Weather
Radio blackouts
NOAA R-scale: duration of event will influence severity of effects
GOES X-ray peak
brightness by class
and flux
(Wm-2)
Scale Descriptor Effect on Spacecraft
Operations
M1 (1×10-5) S1 Minor Degradation of low frequency
navigation signals
M5 (5×10-5) S2 Moderate
X1 (1×10-4) S3 Strong
X10 (1×10-3) S4 Severe
X20 (2×10-3) S5 Extreme Navigation signal outages on
sunlit side of Earth causing loss
of positioning, navigation errors
Current forecast (3rd February 2021) Space Environment – Space Weather
Activities
• Visit the UK Met Office Space Weather
website to obtain the aurora and space
weather forecasts for the next four days
and to see the latest imagery of the Sun:
• https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/speciali
st-forecasts/space-weather
• Compare with the predictions made by
NOAA (National Ocean and Atmospheric
Administration):
• https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/
Space Environment – Space Weather

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12

  • 1. Space Environment Lecture 12 – Space Weather Part 1 Professor Hugh Lewis SESA3038 Space Environment
  • 2. Overview of lecture 12 • In this lecture we will explain what space weather is and then take a high- level look at the three main components: – Solar flares – Solar energetic particles – Coronal Mass Ejections • We will then introduce the space weather scales used to categorise these events • Finally, we take a quick look at the impacts of space weather on spacecraft, humans and terrestrial infrastructure – This connects with the material we introduced in week 1 Space Environment – Space Weather
  • 3. What is space weather? Space Environment – Space Weather "Conditions on the Sun and in the solar wind, magnetosphere, ionosphere and thermosphere that can influence the performance and reliability of space-borne and ground-based technological systems and can endanger human life or health." http://soho.nascom.nasa.gov/spaceweather/ 'Space weather' describes changing environmental conditions in near-Earth space. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/specialist- forecasts/space-weather
  • 4. Space weather impacts Space Environment – Space Weather https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/learn-about/space-weather/impacts
  • 5. National Risk Register Space Environment – Space Weather https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/national-risk-register-2020 2017 version:
  • 6. National Risk Register Space Environment – Space Weather https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/national-risk-register-2020 2020 version:
  • 7. What is space weather? Space Environment – Space Weather There are three main components of space weather: • Solar Flares • Solar Energetic Particles • Coronal Mass Ejections Where the trajectory of solar activity intersects with the orbit of Earth there can be detrimental effects* Space Weather Preparedness Strategy
  • 8. Solar flares Space Environment – Space Weather Produce intense Ultraviolet and X-Rays that reach the Earth within minutes: • Disruptions to High Frequency communications
  • 9. Solar energetic particles Space Environment – Space Weather Reach the Earth in less than an hour, leading to radiation storms: • Increased exposure to radiation for passengers & aircrew in flight • Faults in electronic systems at aviation altitudes • Systems faults and damage to satellites • Disruption to HF communications at high latitudes
  • 10. Coronal Mass Ejections Space Environment – Space Weather Explosive eruptions on the Sun, which cause parts of the corona to blast away: • Arrive at the Earth between one and four days after being ejected • Power outages • Disruption of satellite operations and telecommunications services, including Global Navigation Satellite Systems
  • 11. Timescales Space Environment – Space Weather
  • 12. Space weather scales Space Environment – Space Weather Geomagnetic storms Disturbances in the geomagnetic field caused by gusts in the solar wind G1 (minor) to G5 (extreme) Solar radiation storms Elevated levels of radiation that occur as a result of increasing energetic particle numbers S1 (minor) to S5 (extreme) Radio blackouts Disturbances of the ionosphere caused by X-ray emissions from the Sun R1 (minor) to R5 (extreme)
  • 13. Space weather scales Space Environment – Space Weather Geomagnetic storms NOAA G-scale: duration of event will influence severity of effects Kp Index Scale Descriptor Effect on Spacecraft Operations 5 G1 Minor Minor impact on operations possible 6 G2 Moderate 7 G3 Strong 8 G4 Severe 9 G5 Extreme Potential for extensive surface charging, increase in drag (LEO), orientation & uplink/downlink problems
  • 14. Geomagnetic storms Space Environment – Space Weather
  • 15. Space weather scales Space Environment – Space Weather Solar radiation storms NOAA S-scale: duration of event will influence severity of effects Flux level ≥ 10 MeV (s-1ster-1cm-2) Scale Descriptor Effect on Spacecraft Operations 101 S1 Minor Infrequent single event upsets possible 102 S2 Moderate 103 S3 Strong 104 S4 Severe 105 S5 Extreme Potential for temporary outages, loss of control, serious noise in sensors, permanent damage to solar arrays
  • 16. Space weather scales Space Environment – Space Weather Radio blackouts NOAA R-scale: duration of event will influence severity of effects GOES X-ray peak brightness by class and flux (Wm-2) Scale Descriptor Effect on Spacecraft Operations M1 (1×10-5) S1 Minor Degradation of low frequency navigation signals M5 (5×10-5) S2 Moderate X1 (1×10-4) S3 Strong X10 (1×10-3) S4 Severe X20 (2×10-3) S5 Extreme Navigation signal outages on sunlit side of Earth causing loss of positioning, navigation errors
  • 17. Current forecast (3rd February 2021) Space Environment – Space Weather
  • 18. Activities • Visit the UK Met Office Space Weather website to obtain the aurora and space weather forecasts for the next four days and to see the latest imagery of the Sun: • https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/speciali st-forecasts/space-weather • Compare with the predictions made by NOAA (National Ocean and Atmospheric Administration): • https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ Space Environment – Space Weather