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Sequestration Update
Exclusively For National Journal Members
Policy Background and Projected Impact
Source: Congressional Research Service. 3
KeyTerms
Measures meant to reduce federal spending; primarily consists
of deficit reduction sequester, mandating automatic,
across-the-board spending cuts for federally funded programs
in order to meet national budget goals, and discretionary
caps, limiting future federal spending
Mandated sequestration starting Jan. 2, 2013 if Congress
could not reduce deficit by $1.2T–$1.5T over a 10-year
period
American Taxpayer Relief Act
(ATRA) of 2012
Mandates modified sequestration starting March 1, 2013 if
Congress cannot negotiate a way to avoid it
Source: Congressional Research Service. 3
Upsides and Downsides of Sequestration as a FiscalTool
Pros and Cons of Sequestration
Pros Cons
If Threatened Strongly encourages legislative
action to reduce deficit
Disrupts federal workplaces and
government contractors by driving
unnecessary preparations for job
cuts
If Implemented
Forces deficit reduction and
restraint in government spending;
helps economy in long-term
Results in immediate–and
potentially catastrophic–job cuts;
hurts economy in short-term
Intended impact of
sequestration
Source: Budget Control Act of 2011. 4
In 2011, Sequestration Mandated if No Deficit Deal Struck
Raised U.S. debt limit for short term to prevent
default
Established 12-member Joint Select Committee
(“Super Committee”) charged with reducing
deficit by $1.2T – $1.5T over 10-year period
Mandated long-term deficit reduction through
sequestration threat if Super Committee failed
to reach goals
Super Committee failed to meet objectives;
Congress faced sequestration threat in 2013
Budget Control Act of 2011 (BCA)
In 2013, Sequestration Delayed (Without Deficit Deal)
Source: U.S. House of Representatives Committee on the Budget Democrats, “Sequestration: An Update for 2013,” Jan. 17, 2013; Congressional Research Service, “The ‘Fiscal
Cliff’ and the American Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012,” Jan. 4, 2013.
5
Jan. 17, 2013
BCA start date for
discretionary caps
March 1, 2013
ATRA delayed start date for deficit
reduction sequester
March 27, 2013
ATRA delayed start date for
discretionary caps
Impact on deficit reduction sequester: Two-month delay
prorates 2013 spending cuts by total of $24B
Impact on discretionary caps: ATRA lowers cap for 2013 by $4B and 2014
by $8B to offset cost of delay
Jan. 2, 2013
BCA start date for deficit
reduction sequester
AmericanTaxpayer Relief Act (ATRA) Pushes Sequester to March
ATRA Reduces BCA’s 2013 Cuts
Source: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, “Here’s How the March 1 Sequester Would Work,” Jan. 22, 2013. 6
Comparison of 2013 Budget Cuts Under BCA and ATRA*
In Billions of Dollars
Total: $109.3B*** Total: $85.3B***
$11.1B
$11.2B
$5.5B
$5.0B
$26.4B
$38.0B
$54.6B
$42.5B
*Mandatory defense funding is too small to be represented on this graph: $0.1B in both BCA’s and ATRA’s sequestration, a 10% cut under BCA and 7.8% cut under ATRA
**Cuts to Medicare are not to benefits; Medicare percentage remains the same because Medicare cuts are capped
***Breakdown of cuts does not add to totals due to rounding and omission of mandatory defense funding
BCA Jan. 2 Sequestration ATRA March 1 Sequestration
Discretionary Non-
Defense Funding
Discretionary
Defense Funding
Mandatory Non-
Defense Funding
Medicare**
ATRA Reduces BCA’s 2013 Cuts
Source: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, “Here’s How the March 1 Sequester Would Work,” Jan. 22, 2013. 6
Comparison of 2013 Budget Cuts Under BCA and ATRA*
In Billions of Dollars
Total: $109.3B*** Total: $85.3B***
$11.1B
$11.2B
$5.5B
$5.0B
$26.4B
$38.0B
$54.6B
$42.5B
*Mandatory defense funding is too small to be represented on this graph: $0.1B in both BCA’s and ATRA’s sequestration, a 10% cut under BCA and 7.8% cut under ATRA
**Cuts to Medicare are not to benefits; Medicare percentage remains the same because Medicare cuts are capped
***Breakdown of cuts does not add to totals due to rounding and omission of mandatory defense funding
BCA Jan. 2 Sequestration ATRA March 1 Sequestration
Discretionary Non-
Defense Funding
Discretionary
Defense Funding
Mandatory Non-
Defense Funding
Medicare**

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Sequestration Update

  • 1. Sequestration Update Exclusively For National Journal Members Policy Background and Projected Impact
  • 2. Source: Congressional Research Service. 3 KeyTerms Measures meant to reduce federal spending; primarily consists of deficit reduction sequester, mandating automatic, across-the-board spending cuts for federally funded programs in order to meet national budget goals, and discretionary caps, limiting future federal spending Mandated sequestration starting Jan. 2, 2013 if Congress could not reduce deficit by $1.2T–$1.5T over a 10-year period American Taxpayer Relief Act (ATRA) of 2012 Mandates modified sequestration starting March 1, 2013 if Congress cannot negotiate a way to avoid it
  • 3. Source: Congressional Research Service. 3 Upsides and Downsides of Sequestration as a FiscalTool Pros and Cons of Sequestration Pros Cons If Threatened Strongly encourages legislative action to reduce deficit Disrupts federal workplaces and government contractors by driving unnecessary preparations for job cuts If Implemented Forces deficit reduction and restraint in government spending; helps economy in long-term Results in immediate–and potentially catastrophic–job cuts; hurts economy in short-term Intended impact of sequestration
  • 4. Source: Budget Control Act of 2011. 4 In 2011, Sequestration Mandated if No Deficit Deal Struck Raised U.S. debt limit for short term to prevent default Established 12-member Joint Select Committee (“Super Committee”) charged with reducing deficit by $1.2T – $1.5T over 10-year period Mandated long-term deficit reduction through sequestration threat if Super Committee failed to reach goals Super Committee failed to meet objectives; Congress faced sequestration threat in 2013 Budget Control Act of 2011 (BCA)
  • 5. In 2013, Sequestration Delayed (Without Deficit Deal) Source: U.S. House of Representatives Committee on the Budget Democrats, “Sequestration: An Update for 2013,” Jan. 17, 2013; Congressional Research Service, “The ‘Fiscal Cliff’ and the American Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012,” Jan. 4, 2013. 5 Jan. 17, 2013 BCA start date for discretionary caps March 1, 2013 ATRA delayed start date for deficit reduction sequester March 27, 2013 ATRA delayed start date for discretionary caps Impact on deficit reduction sequester: Two-month delay prorates 2013 spending cuts by total of $24B Impact on discretionary caps: ATRA lowers cap for 2013 by $4B and 2014 by $8B to offset cost of delay Jan. 2, 2013 BCA start date for deficit reduction sequester AmericanTaxpayer Relief Act (ATRA) Pushes Sequester to March
  • 6. ATRA Reduces BCA’s 2013 Cuts Source: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, “Here’s How the March 1 Sequester Would Work,” Jan. 22, 2013. 6 Comparison of 2013 Budget Cuts Under BCA and ATRA* In Billions of Dollars Total: $109.3B*** Total: $85.3B*** $11.1B $11.2B $5.5B $5.0B $26.4B $38.0B $54.6B $42.5B *Mandatory defense funding is too small to be represented on this graph: $0.1B in both BCA’s and ATRA’s sequestration, a 10% cut under BCA and 7.8% cut under ATRA **Cuts to Medicare are not to benefits; Medicare percentage remains the same because Medicare cuts are capped ***Breakdown of cuts does not add to totals due to rounding and omission of mandatory defense funding BCA Jan. 2 Sequestration ATRA March 1 Sequestration Discretionary Non- Defense Funding Discretionary Defense Funding Mandatory Non- Defense Funding Medicare**
  • 7. ATRA Reduces BCA’s 2013 Cuts Source: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, “Here’s How the March 1 Sequester Would Work,” Jan. 22, 2013. 6 Comparison of 2013 Budget Cuts Under BCA and ATRA* In Billions of Dollars Total: $109.3B*** Total: $85.3B*** $11.1B $11.2B $5.5B $5.0B $26.4B $38.0B $54.6B $42.5B *Mandatory defense funding is too small to be represented on this graph: $0.1B in both BCA’s and ATRA’s sequestration, a 10% cut under BCA and 7.8% cut under ATRA **Cuts to Medicare are not to benefits; Medicare percentage remains the same because Medicare cuts are capped ***Breakdown of cuts does not add to totals due to rounding and omission of mandatory defense funding BCA Jan. 2 Sequestration ATRA March 1 Sequestration Discretionary Non- Defense Funding Discretionary Defense Funding Mandatory Non- Defense Funding Medicare**