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© OECD/IEA 2010
Energy Efficiency Policies for the SEMED/Arab Region
Introduction to Policy Development Working Session
16 April 2013
Grayson Heffner and Sara Bryan Pasquire
© OECD/IEA 2010
Agenda
 The Big Picture
 The role of energy efficiency policies in overcoming
barriers to energy efficiency
 Organization of the policy development sessions
© OECD/IEA 2010
Energy demand will continue to grow –
but the growth rate can be managed
© OECD/IEA 2010
Middle East and North African car
ownership will double in 20 years
PLDV ownership in selected markets in the New Policies Scenario
Starting from a very low base, car ownership in non-OECD countries is set to
grow considerably, driven by China. The extent of growth will determine future
oil demand.
2010
2035
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
United
States
European
Union
China India Middle
East
World
Vehiclesperthousandpeople
© OECD/IEA 2010
Energy intensity has worsened in
Middle East and Africa regions
0 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.5
World
China
Latin America
Middle East
Africa
Japan
European Union
United States
E. Europe/Eurasia
1980
2010
toe per thousand dollars of GDP ($2011, MER)
These regional trends are counter to the global trend
© OECD/IEA 2010
Middle East and North Africa account for
about two-thirds of total fossil-fuel subsidies
IEA
World Energy
Outlook 2011
© OECD/IEA 2010
Global investment in energy efficiency
Source: 2011 estimates, WEO 2012
© OECD/IEA 2010
© OECD/IEA 2010
Total Final Energy Consumption (TFC) –
across countries in SEMED (+1) region
Egypt
64%Jordan
6%
Lebanon
5%
Morocco
16%
Tunisia
9%
© OECD/IEA 2010
TFC by consuming sector - Egypt
Industry
26%
Transport
26%
Residential
22%
Commerce and public
services
3%
Agriculture/forestry
7%
Non-specified (other)
2%
Non-energy use
14%
© OECD/IEA 2010
TFC by consuming sector - Tunisia
Industry
28%
Transport
28%
Residential
27%
Commerce and
public services
8%
Agriculture/forestry
6%
Non-energy use
3%
© OECD/IEA 2010
TFC by consuming sector - Jordan
Industry
22%
Transport
38%
Residential
22%
Commerce and
public services
8%
Agriculture/forestry
4%
Non-specified (other)
3%
Non-energy use
3%
© OECD/IEA 2010
TFC by consuming sector - Morocco
Industry
23%
Transport
28%
Residential
21%
Commerce and public
services
4%
Agriculture/forestry
18%
Non-specified (other)
2%
Non-energy use
4%
© OECD/IEA 2010
TFC by consuming sector - Lebanon
Industry
16%
Transport
44%
Residential
26%
Commerce and public
services
6%
Non-
specified
(other)
6%
Non-energy use
2%
© OECD/IEA 2010
Barriers to improved energy efficiency
Barrier Examples
Market failures  Energy price subsidies
 Agency problems, when benefits are split amongst several parties
(e.g., renter-occupied housing), reducing the motivation to act
 Project size
Financial • Perceived risk
• Transaction costs
• Low capacity within the financial sector
• Lending terms (period, interest rate, collateral requirements)
Information  Lack of awareness
 Consumer indifference
Regulatory and
institutional
 Energy tariffs that discourage EE investment
 Institutional bias
 Competing
Technical  Lack of affordable or suitable EE technologies
 Measuring savings
 Capacity to identifying and implementing EE projects
 Project performance risk
© OECD/IEA 2010
IEA survey of energy efficiency barriers
65%
46% 46% 46%
38%
27%
23% 23% 23%
19% 19%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
End-user awareness, low energy prices, financing, and
implementation capacity are commonly cited
© OECD/IEA 2010
IEA survey of energy efficiency barriers
© OECD/IEA 2010
Policies and interventions
 Information and education
 Advice and assistance
 Information and product labelling
 Capacity building
 Economic instruments
 Fiscal incentive
 Financial measures
 Market-based instruments
 Regulatory instruments
 Building codes & appliance standards
 Energy management requirements
 Energy savings obligations
 Technology development
 Enabling frameworks
 Legislation
 Funding
 Institutional arrangements
 Implementing agencies
 Public-private partnerships
© OECD/IEA 2010
Matching policies to barriers - examples
Barrier Policy
Limited Information Appliance labeling
Awareness and education campaigns
Perceived Risk Public sector procurement
Guarantee facilities
Price or market distortion Appliance standards
Technology and capacity
shortfalls
Industry formation
Creating EE delivery agencies
Transaction Costs Audit requirements
Project preparation facilities
Access to financing Revolving funds
Public-private partnerships
© OECD/IEA 2010
Enabling frameworks and institutional
arrangements
Frameworks &
Arrangements
Egypt Jordan Kuwait Lebanon Morocco Tunisia
Energy Efficiency Laws &
Decrees
√ √ √
National Energy Strategies
and Plans
√ √ √ √
Apex Agency for Energy
Policy
√ √ √ √ √ √
EE Specialist Agency √ √ √ √
Results Monitoring
Capacity
√ √
Capacity Programs √ √ √ √
EE Regulations √ √
Financial Arrangements √ √
Academic & Research
Capacity
√ √ √ √ √
Industrial Associations √ √ √ √ √
Source: Tapping a Hidden Resource, World Bank 2009
© OECD/IEA 2010
Questions to consider when
formulating energy efficiency policies
 Will it work?
 How much will it cost?
 Who will pay?
 How long will it take?
 Will there be unintended impacts or
interference with other policies?
 Does the capacity exist to implement?
© OECD/IEA 2010
Policy Development Session
© OECD/IEA 2010
Form small groups organized by sector
 Industry
 Buildings
 Transport
 Cross-sectoral
© OECD/IEA 2010
Sequence of group discussion
1. Energy efficiency improvement opportunities
 Discuss and agree the major energy savings
opportunities within the region
 Identify any major differences across countries
2. Barriers to scaling-up energy efficiency
 Discuss and agree the major barriers in your sector
 Identify any major differences across countries
3. Consider the policy recommendations put
forward by the IEA and WEC and others
 Which of these are being implemented or considered?
 Any others that might be appropriate to the region?
 Which are not appropriate to the region? Why?
 Identify any major differences across countries
© OECD/IEA 2010
Sequence of group discussion (con.)
4. Develop additional, regional potential policies
 Discuss additional policies especially applicable to the
SEMED/Arab region or your country
 Identify any major differences across countries
5. Rank-order the potential policies
 Work as a group to select the most important and less
important potential policies
 Were there major differences across countries?
 6. Prepare to report-out your results
 Work with your assigned rapporteur
 Your presentation should cover each step of your work
process, policy recommendations, and major
differences across countries
© OECD/IEA 2010
Group Discussion Resources
Source: Tapping a Hidden Resource, World Bank 2009
© OECD/IEA 2010
Consuming Sector Insights
 Manufacturing: 13 percent of regional GDP and 17 percent of
exports. Most energy-intensive manufacturing industries are
cement, steel, fertilizers, and glass, consuming 25 percent of the
energy and contributing a significant share of GDP
 Buildings: Buildings are estimated to be responsible today for at
least 40 percent of energy use in the region
 Transport: No region of the world has a transport sector that is
more energy intensive. Measures to bring down energy
intensity in the transport sector could include fuel price
increases, demand management, greater investment in public
transport, measures to improve vehicle fuel economy, and
integrated transport and urban planning.
 Agriculture: Nearly half (45.7 percent) of the region’s cultivated
areas are irrigated, a fact that has huge implications for energy
consumption and water-resource management.
Source: Tapping a Hidden Resource, World Bank 2009
© OECD/IEA 2010
Transport energy savings opportunities
Sector Efficiency
measure
Barriers Policy
recommendation
Rank
Passenger
vehicles
Motorcycles and
scooters
Trucks and inland
freight
Air and maritime
Public
transportation
Rail
Three transportation efficiency modalities -
avoid/reduce, shift, and improve
© OECD/IEA 2010
Buildings and tertiary energy savings
opportunities
Sector Efficiency
Measure
Barriers Policy
recommendations
Rank
Street lighting
Office lighting
Heating,
ventilation and air
conditioning
Commercial
refrigeration,
freezing, cooking
Small and
medium motors
Office equipment
and servers
© OECD/IEA 2010
Industry energy savings opportunities
Sector Efficiency
Measure
Barriers Policy
recommendations
Rank
Energy intensive1
Electric motors
and drives
Process heat
Non-energy
intensive2
SMEs
1cement, glass, paper, steel, petro-chemicals, desalination
2 Food processing, services, textiles, other
© OECD/IEA 2010
Appliances and lighting (Households)
energy savings opportunities
Sector Efficiency
Measure
Barriers Policy
recommendations
Rank
Residential white
goods
Residential air
conditioners
TV and
electronics
Hot water
heaters
Heating
Household
Lighting
© OECD/IEA 2010
Agricultural and water supply energy
savings opportunities
Sector Efficiency
Measure
Barriers Policy
Recommendation
Rank
Irrigation
Desalination

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Semed arab eepr workshop policy development session intro

  • 1. © OECD/IEA 2010 Energy Efficiency Policies for the SEMED/Arab Region Introduction to Policy Development Working Session 16 April 2013 Grayson Heffner and Sara Bryan Pasquire
  • 2. © OECD/IEA 2010 Agenda  The Big Picture  The role of energy efficiency policies in overcoming barriers to energy efficiency  Organization of the policy development sessions
  • 3. © OECD/IEA 2010 Energy demand will continue to grow – but the growth rate can be managed
  • 4. © OECD/IEA 2010 Middle East and North African car ownership will double in 20 years PLDV ownership in selected markets in the New Policies Scenario Starting from a very low base, car ownership in non-OECD countries is set to grow considerably, driven by China. The extent of growth will determine future oil demand. 2010 2035 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 United States European Union China India Middle East World Vehiclesperthousandpeople
  • 5. © OECD/IEA 2010 Energy intensity has worsened in Middle East and Africa regions 0 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.5 World China Latin America Middle East Africa Japan European Union United States E. Europe/Eurasia 1980 2010 toe per thousand dollars of GDP ($2011, MER) These regional trends are counter to the global trend
  • 6. © OECD/IEA 2010 Middle East and North Africa account for about two-thirds of total fossil-fuel subsidies IEA World Energy Outlook 2011
  • 7. © OECD/IEA 2010 Global investment in energy efficiency Source: 2011 estimates, WEO 2012
  • 9. © OECD/IEA 2010 Total Final Energy Consumption (TFC) – across countries in SEMED (+1) region Egypt 64%Jordan 6% Lebanon 5% Morocco 16% Tunisia 9%
  • 10. © OECD/IEA 2010 TFC by consuming sector - Egypt Industry 26% Transport 26% Residential 22% Commerce and public services 3% Agriculture/forestry 7% Non-specified (other) 2% Non-energy use 14%
  • 11. © OECD/IEA 2010 TFC by consuming sector - Tunisia Industry 28% Transport 28% Residential 27% Commerce and public services 8% Agriculture/forestry 6% Non-energy use 3%
  • 12. © OECD/IEA 2010 TFC by consuming sector - Jordan Industry 22% Transport 38% Residential 22% Commerce and public services 8% Agriculture/forestry 4% Non-specified (other) 3% Non-energy use 3%
  • 13. © OECD/IEA 2010 TFC by consuming sector - Morocco Industry 23% Transport 28% Residential 21% Commerce and public services 4% Agriculture/forestry 18% Non-specified (other) 2% Non-energy use 4%
  • 14. © OECD/IEA 2010 TFC by consuming sector - Lebanon Industry 16% Transport 44% Residential 26% Commerce and public services 6% Non- specified (other) 6% Non-energy use 2%
  • 15. © OECD/IEA 2010 Barriers to improved energy efficiency Barrier Examples Market failures  Energy price subsidies  Agency problems, when benefits are split amongst several parties (e.g., renter-occupied housing), reducing the motivation to act  Project size Financial • Perceived risk • Transaction costs • Low capacity within the financial sector • Lending terms (period, interest rate, collateral requirements) Information  Lack of awareness  Consumer indifference Regulatory and institutional  Energy tariffs that discourage EE investment  Institutional bias  Competing Technical  Lack of affordable or suitable EE technologies  Measuring savings  Capacity to identifying and implementing EE projects  Project performance risk
  • 16. © OECD/IEA 2010 IEA survey of energy efficiency barriers 65% 46% 46% 46% 38% 27% 23% 23% 23% 19% 19% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% End-user awareness, low energy prices, financing, and implementation capacity are commonly cited
  • 17. © OECD/IEA 2010 IEA survey of energy efficiency barriers
  • 18. © OECD/IEA 2010 Policies and interventions  Information and education  Advice and assistance  Information and product labelling  Capacity building  Economic instruments  Fiscal incentive  Financial measures  Market-based instruments  Regulatory instruments  Building codes & appliance standards  Energy management requirements  Energy savings obligations  Technology development  Enabling frameworks  Legislation  Funding  Institutional arrangements  Implementing agencies  Public-private partnerships
  • 19. © OECD/IEA 2010 Matching policies to barriers - examples Barrier Policy Limited Information Appliance labeling Awareness and education campaigns Perceived Risk Public sector procurement Guarantee facilities Price or market distortion Appliance standards Technology and capacity shortfalls Industry formation Creating EE delivery agencies Transaction Costs Audit requirements Project preparation facilities Access to financing Revolving funds Public-private partnerships
  • 20. © OECD/IEA 2010 Enabling frameworks and institutional arrangements Frameworks & Arrangements Egypt Jordan Kuwait Lebanon Morocco Tunisia Energy Efficiency Laws & Decrees √ √ √ National Energy Strategies and Plans √ √ √ √ Apex Agency for Energy Policy √ √ √ √ √ √ EE Specialist Agency √ √ √ √ Results Monitoring Capacity √ √ Capacity Programs √ √ √ √ EE Regulations √ √ Financial Arrangements √ √ Academic & Research Capacity √ √ √ √ √ Industrial Associations √ √ √ √ √ Source: Tapping a Hidden Resource, World Bank 2009
  • 21. © OECD/IEA 2010 Questions to consider when formulating energy efficiency policies  Will it work?  How much will it cost?  Who will pay?  How long will it take?  Will there be unintended impacts or interference with other policies?  Does the capacity exist to implement?
  • 22. © OECD/IEA 2010 Policy Development Session
  • 23. © OECD/IEA 2010 Form small groups organized by sector  Industry  Buildings  Transport  Cross-sectoral
  • 24. © OECD/IEA 2010 Sequence of group discussion 1. Energy efficiency improvement opportunities  Discuss and agree the major energy savings opportunities within the region  Identify any major differences across countries 2. Barriers to scaling-up energy efficiency  Discuss and agree the major barriers in your sector  Identify any major differences across countries 3. Consider the policy recommendations put forward by the IEA and WEC and others  Which of these are being implemented or considered?  Any others that might be appropriate to the region?  Which are not appropriate to the region? Why?  Identify any major differences across countries
  • 25. © OECD/IEA 2010 Sequence of group discussion (con.) 4. Develop additional, regional potential policies  Discuss additional policies especially applicable to the SEMED/Arab region or your country  Identify any major differences across countries 5. Rank-order the potential policies  Work as a group to select the most important and less important potential policies  Were there major differences across countries?  6. Prepare to report-out your results  Work with your assigned rapporteur  Your presentation should cover each step of your work process, policy recommendations, and major differences across countries
  • 26. © OECD/IEA 2010 Group Discussion Resources Source: Tapping a Hidden Resource, World Bank 2009
  • 27. © OECD/IEA 2010 Consuming Sector Insights  Manufacturing: 13 percent of regional GDP and 17 percent of exports. Most energy-intensive manufacturing industries are cement, steel, fertilizers, and glass, consuming 25 percent of the energy and contributing a significant share of GDP  Buildings: Buildings are estimated to be responsible today for at least 40 percent of energy use in the region  Transport: No region of the world has a transport sector that is more energy intensive. Measures to bring down energy intensity in the transport sector could include fuel price increases, demand management, greater investment in public transport, measures to improve vehicle fuel economy, and integrated transport and urban planning.  Agriculture: Nearly half (45.7 percent) of the region’s cultivated areas are irrigated, a fact that has huge implications for energy consumption and water-resource management. Source: Tapping a Hidden Resource, World Bank 2009
  • 28. © OECD/IEA 2010 Transport energy savings opportunities Sector Efficiency measure Barriers Policy recommendation Rank Passenger vehicles Motorcycles and scooters Trucks and inland freight Air and maritime Public transportation Rail Three transportation efficiency modalities - avoid/reduce, shift, and improve
  • 29. © OECD/IEA 2010 Buildings and tertiary energy savings opportunities Sector Efficiency Measure Barriers Policy recommendations Rank Street lighting Office lighting Heating, ventilation and air conditioning Commercial refrigeration, freezing, cooking Small and medium motors Office equipment and servers
  • 30. © OECD/IEA 2010 Industry energy savings opportunities Sector Efficiency Measure Barriers Policy recommendations Rank Energy intensive1 Electric motors and drives Process heat Non-energy intensive2 SMEs 1cement, glass, paper, steel, petro-chemicals, desalination 2 Food processing, services, textiles, other
  • 31. © OECD/IEA 2010 Appliances and lighting (Households) energy savings opportunities Sector Efficiency Measure Barriers Policy recommendations Rank Residential white goods Residential air conditioners TV and electronics Hot water heaters Heating Household Lighting
  • 32. © OECD/IEA 2010 Agricultural and water supply energy savings opportunities Sector Efficiency Measure Barriers Policy Recommendation Rank Irrigation Desalination