Fine Gael sees further gains in support according to a new poll, with their first preference vote share rising 3% to 38%. While support fluctuates between polls, Fine Gael has seen a clear upward trend over the campaign period. Independent candidates also make gains this week as undecided former Fianna Fail supporters look for options. Fianna Fail support drops to 15%, surprising analysts who expected their vote to harden. Labour and Sinn Fein also see losses.
Britain’s two-party system is being eroded by an unprecedented surge of support for smaller parties. This Bloomberg Brief report examines the implications of the most uncertain general election in a generation.
Magellan Strategies BR today released the survey results today of an automated survey of 1,618 likely New Hampshire voters. The survey was conducted July 16-17. The margin of error for a survey of this size is 2.43%. The survey was commissioned by Citizens for a Strong New Hampshire. Aided by a dismal political environment, Scott Brown is within 5 points of defeating Jeanne Shaheen.
ОПРОС: КТО ПОБЕДИТ ТРАМПА НА СЛЕДУЮЩИХ ВЫБОРАХmResearcher
Если президент США Дональд Трамп будет баллотироваться на второй президентский срок, он столкнется с серьезной конкуренцией со стороны американских политиков и лидеров общественного мнения
The results of an Indy Politics poll of this year’s upcoming City-County Council races indicates control of the body could be up for grabs. However, candidates have a long way to go to educate voters about who’s even on the ballot in their district.
As South Bend Mayor and Presidential candidate Pete Buttigieg tries to win over voters in Iowa and New Hampshire, a poll of likely voters here in Marion County, a Democratic stronghold, shows nearly 60 percent of them either view him unfavorably or have no opinion of him.
Britain’s two-party system is being eroded by an unprecedented surge of support for smaller parties. This Bloomberg Brief report examines the implications of the most uncertain general election in a generation.
Magellan Strategies BR today released the survey results today of an automated survey of 1,618 likely New Hampshire voters. The survey was conducted July 16-17. The margin of error for a survey of this size is 2.43%. The survey was commissioned by Citizens for a Strong New Hampshire. Aided by a dismal political environment, Scott Brown is within 5 points of defeating Jeanne Shaheen.
ОПРОС: КТО ПОБЕДИТ ТРАМПА НА СЛЕДУЮЩИХ ВЫБОРАХmResearcher
Если президент США Дональд Трамп будет баллотироваться на второй президентский срок, он столкнется с серьезной конкуренцией со стороны американских политиков и лидеров общественного мнения
The results of an Indy Politics poll of this year’s upcoming City-County Council races indicates control of the body could be up for grabs. However, candidates have a long way to go to educate voters about who’s even on the ballot in their district.
As South Bend Mayor and Presidential candidate Pete Buttigieg tries to win over voters in Iowa and New Hampshire, a poll of likely voters here in Marion County, a Democratic stronghold, shows nearly 60 percent of them either view him unfavorably or have no opinion of him.
Beyond the Bubble: Conservative Party Conference 2014Ipsos UK
Ipsos MORI hosted the successful fringe event Beyond the Bubble at the 2014 Conservative Party conference. The event explored how the political parties are doing in our polls, using our long-term trend data, as well as new findings from our monthly Political Monitor and Issues Index.
On the panel were journalist Benedict Brogan, The Telegraph’s Peter Oborne, Chloe Smith MP and think tank Reform’s Andrew Haldenby. Head of Political Research Gideon Skinner presented the Ipsos MORI view. Ben Page chaired the event.
The wasted votes problem in MMP - and how to fix itMike Osborne
The current handling of wasted votes in MMP is undemocratic; it needs to change.
Voters who vote for parties that don't meet the threshold effectively get their votes allocated to parties that do meet the threshold.
Allow voters to select parties by preference so that they can explicitly direct where their votes go should they vote for a party that doesn't meet the threshold.
This week’s Reuters/Ipsos Core Political release presents something of an outlier of our trend. Every series of polls has the occasional outlier and in our opinion this is one. So, while we are reporting the findings in the interest of transparency, we will not be announcing the start of a new trend until we have more data to validate this pattern.
President Trump’s approval rating is divided by party lines, with 80% of Republicans, 36% of Independents and just 10% of Democrats approving of Trump’s performance.
Increasingly non partisan, South Africans willing to trade elections for secu...SABC News
South Africa is getting ready for its fifth general election, expected to be held by August 2019. Over the coming months, political parties will be campaigning for national and provincial leadership.
हम आग्रह करते हैं कि जो भी सत्ता में आए, वह संविधान का पालन करे, उसकी रक्षा करे और उसे बनाए रखे।" प्रस्ताव में कुल तीन प्रमुख हस्तक्षेप और उनके तंत्र भी प्रस्तुत किए गए। पहला हस्तक्षेप स्वतंत्र मीडिया को प्रोत्साहित करके, वास्तविकता पर आधारित काउंटर नैरेटिव का निर्माण करके और सत्तारूढ़ सरकार द्वारा नियोजित मनोवैज्ञानिक हेरफेर की रणनीति का मुकाबला करके लोगों द्वारा निर्धारित कथा को बनाए रखना और उस पर कार्यकरना था।
In a May 9, 2024 paper, Juri Opitz from the University of Zurich, along with Shira Wein and Nathan Schneider form Georgetown University, discussed the importance of linguistic expertise in natural language processing (NLP) in an era dominated by large language models (LLMs).
The authors explained that while machine translation (MT) previously relied heavily on linguists, the landscape has shifted. “Linguistics is no longer front and center in the way we build NLP systems,” they said. With the emergence of LLMs, which can generate fluent text without the need for specialized modules to handle grammar or semantic coherence, the need for linguistic expertise in NLP is being questioned.
‘वोटर्स विल मस्ट प्रीवेल’ (मतदाताओं को जीतना होगा) अभियान द्वारा जारी हेल्पलाइन नंबर, 4 जून को सुबह 7 बजे से दोपहर 12 बजे तक मतगणना प्रक्रिया में कहीं भी किसी भी तरह के उल्लंघन की रिपोर्ट करने के लिए खुला रहेगा।
role of women and girls in various terror groupssadiakorobi2
Women have three distinct types of involvement: direct involvement in terrorist acts; enabling of others to commit such acts; and facilitating the disengagement of others from violent or extremist groups.
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4. Fine Gael Labour Fianna Fail Sinn Féin Green Party Independents/ Other If there were a general e lection tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote ? ( Base: All adults WHO WILL VOTE 18+)
5. Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Féin Green Party Independents/ Other General election 2007 Oct 2010 Nov 2010 Dec 2010 Jan 2011 6 th Feb 2011 13 th Feb 2011 If there were a general e lection tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote ? ( Base: All adults WHO WILL VOTE 18+)
6. If there were a general e lection tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote ? ( Base: All adults WHO WILL VOTE 18+) CURRENT FIRST PREFERENCE SUPPORT Core figures 13 th Feb 2011 Excluding undecided 2007 Election Results % % % Fine Gael 31 38 27 Labour 16 20 10 Fianna Fáil 12 15 42 Sinn Féin 8 10 7 Green Party 2 3 5 Independents/ Others 14 15 6 Undecided 17
7. Fine Gael Labour Fianna Fail Sinn Féin Green Party Independents/ Other Spiral of Silence Allocation of Undecided Voters. If there were a general e lection tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote ? ( Base: All adults WHO WILL VOTE 18+) The Spiral of Silence Assumes that one party is so poorly thought of that respondents are “ashamed” to admit that they will vote for them. To take account of this we look at how those who are currently undecided or refuse to give a preference voted at the last general election. We then re-allocate 50% of these to the party they voted last time, and 50% to how the rest claim they will vote this time.
8. If there were a general election tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would give your first preference vote ? ( Base: All adults 18+) Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Féin Green Party PDs 38% 20% 15% Independent 10% 3% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 14%
9. If there were a general election tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would give your first preference vote ? ( Base: All adults 18+) Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Féin Green Party PDs 38% 20% 15% Independent 3% 10% 14%
10. General Election 2011 Run Up and Campaign 1 st Preference Poll Trends ( Base: All adults 18+) Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Féin Green Party PDs Independent Fianna Fáil Labour Fine Gael Independent Sinn Féin Green Party
11. Second Preference among First preference voters FG % FF % Labour % % Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Féin Green Independents Undecided First Preference Second Preference TOTAL % Jan 2011 6 th Feb 2011 Dec 2010 13 th Feb 2011 Jan 2011 6 th Feb 2011 Dec 2010 13 th Feb 2011 Jan 2011 6 th Feb 2011 Dec 2010 13 th Feb 2011 Jan 2011 6 th Feb 2011 Dec 2010 13 th Feb 2011 Jan 2011 6 th Feb 2011 Dec 2010 13 th Feb 2011
12. Attitude to 1 st Preference Voting for this Party at Next General Election FG % FF % Labour % % % (Base: All Adults Likely to Vote – 913) Definitely Will Likely To Might Do Probably Won’t Definitely Won’t D/K Refused Jan 2011 6 th Feb 2011 Dec 2010 13 th Feb 2011 Jan 2011 6 th Feb 2011 Dec 2010 13 th Feb 2011 Jan 2011 6 th Feb 2011 Dec 2010 13 th Feb 2011 Jan 2011 6 th Feb 2011 Dec 2010 13 th Feb 2011 Jan 2011 6 th Feb 2011 Dec 2010 13 th Feb 2011
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