The poll found little change in party support levels compared to January, despite several high-profile resignations from government parties. Fine Gael remained the largest party at 34%. Fianna Fail support held at 27%. Labour saw no gains despite other parties' troubles. Nearly half of voters believe it is now time for the Greens to leave government.
Britain’s two-party system is being eroded by an unprecedented surge of support for smaller parties. This Bloomberg Brief report examines the implications of the most uncertain general election in a generation.
A national random telephone survey conducted for the Friends of Canadian Broadcasting in collaboration with ACTRA and Unifor by Nanos Research on Canadians views about television.
An Analysis of the Electoral Socio-Demographics in the Oldham & Royton Constituency which draws on the literature of Blue Labour, the Revolt on the Right and Co-operative Councils as explanations for the rise of Populist Parties on the Radical Right in the Constituency
On Election Day of 2014, Republicans won a big victory. And it really was a “Wave” victory, bigger than 2010 in a lot of important ways despite the fact that you'd never know it listening to the mainstream media.
Just because it was more or less expected doesn't make it less of a major thrashing than 2010 was.
One of the reasons it was so big and so important is that the GOP didn't win the same way everywhere. In 2010 the pattern was pretty consistent across the country.
In 2014 Republicans again won big, but it's a little more complicated how. And that's important as we look toward 2016 and beyond.
Obama thinks the election wasn't about him. Some political scientists are already trying to make hand-waving arguments that Republicans didn't win groups that exit polls show they won.
So, what should Republicans take from the 2014 Election? Here are five important lessons:
1) Obama's policies were on the ballot, as he said. But to dismiss 2014 as only about Obama is both to diminish the massive size of the Republican victory and to miss the important lessons of the election. This was a complete rejection of Democrats and liberal policies.
2) The return of working class whites (aka, Reagan Democrats, Angry White Males, Tea Party Voters) to the polls proves that 2010 was not a fluke and teaches Republicans an important lesson for 2016:
The GOP must have a nominee, and candidates up and down the ballot, who can connect with this populist voting block.
3) Despite their vaunted turnout technology, Democrats didn't fully get the Obama coalition to the polls. This raises real questions about the replicability of African American turnout without Obama at the top of the ticket.
Where Democrats did get other parts of their coalition out, the messaging required likely cost them more votes elsewhere than it earned them in turnout (e.g., Udall in Colorado).
4) The GOP has messages and candidates who can win in a diverse array of states. The message of a David Perdue in Georgia, a Greg Abbott in Texas, and a Larry Hogan in Maryland shared some basic similarities. But they were also each somewhat unique to the candidate and situation.
5) Outside of African Americans (persuading whom is going to be the work of many campaigns) 2014 proved that Republicans can win Asians nationally and can come very close to splitting Hispanics in a race with the right message and campaign.
The myth of Republicans as the white party is just that: a myth. Toward that point, the GOP must continue a robust campaign toward all demographic groups.
In anticipation of the second Democratic primary debates, we’ve put together a brief Election 2020 snapshot outlining where things stand heading into the debates and what to watch for during the two-night event.
Britain’s two-party system is being eroded by an unprecedented surge of support for smaller parties. This Bloomberg Brief report examines the implications of the most uncertain general election in a generation.
A national random telephone survey conducted for the Friends of Canadian Broadcasting in collaboration with ACTRA and Unifor by Nanos Research on Canadians views about television.
An Analysis of the Electoral Socio-Demographics in the Oldham & Royton Constituency which draws on the literature of Blue Labour, the Revolt on the Right and Co-operative Councils as explanations for the rise of Populist Parties on the Radical Right in the Constituency
On Election Day of 2014, Republicans won a big victory. And it really was a “Wave” victory, bigger than 2010 in a lot of important ways despite the fact that you'd never know it listening to the mainstream media.
Just because it was more or less expected doesn't make it less of a major thrashing than 2010 was.
One of the reasons it was so big and so important is that the GOP didn't win the same way everywhere. In 2010 the pattern was pretty consistent across the country.
In 2014 Republicans again won big, but it's a little more complicated how. And that's important as we look toward 2016 and beyond.
Obama thinks the election wasn't about him. Some political scientists are already trying to make hand-waving arguments that Republicans didn't win groups that exit polls show they won.
So, what should Republicans take from the 2014 Election? Here are five important lessons:
1) Obama's policies were on the ballot, as he said. But to dismiss 2014 as only about Obama is both to diminish the massive size of the Republican victory and to miss the important lessons of the election. This was a complete rejection of Democrats and liberal policies.
2) The return of working class whites (aka, Reagan Democrats, Angry White Males, Tea Party Voters) to the polls proves that 2010 was not a fluke and teaches Republicans an important lesson for 2016:
The GOP must have a nominee, and candidates up and down the ballot, who can connect with this populist voting block.
3) Despite their vaunted turnout technology, Democrats didn't fully get the Obama coalition to the polls. This raises real questions about the replicability of African American turnout without Obama at the top of the ticket.
Where Democrats did get other parts of their coalition out, the messaging required likely cost them more votes elsewhere than it earned them in turnout (e.g., Udall in Colorado).
4) The GOP has messages and candidates who can win in a diverse array of states. The message of a David Perdue in Georgia, a Greg Abbott in Texas, and a Larry Hogan in Maryland shared some basic similarities. But they were also each somewhat unique to the candidate and situation.
5) Outside of African Americans (persuading whom is going to be the work of many campaigns) 2014 proved that Republicans can win Asians nationally and can come very close to splitting Hispanics in a race with the right message and campaign.
The myth of Republicans as the white party is just that: a myth. Toward that point, the GOP must continue a robust campaign toward all demographic groups.
In anticipation of the second Democratic primary debates, we’ve put together a brief Election 2020 snapshot outlining where things stand heading into the debates and what to watch for during the two-night event.
Beyond the Bubble: Conservative Party Conference 2014Ipsos UK
Ipsos MORI hosted the successful fringe event Beyond the Bubble at the 2014 Conservative Party conference. The event explored how the political parties are doing in our polls, using our long-term trend data, as well as new findings from our monthly Political Monitor and Issues Index.
On the panel were journalist Benedict Brogan, The Telegraph’s Peter Oborne, Chloe Smith MP and think tank Reform’s Andrew Haldenby. Head of Political Research Gideon Skinner presented the Ipsos MORI view. Ben Page chaired the event.
These slides were presented by Ben Page, CEO, Ipsos MORI and Gideon Skinner, Head of Political Research, Ipsos MORI at our breakfast briefing on 10th April 2015. As well as Ben and Gideon, the panel featured Vicky Pryce, Chief Economic Adviser at the Centre for Economics and Business Research (Cebr) and Joe Murphy, Political Editor at The Evening Standard.
This week’s Reuters/Ipsos Core Political release presents something of an outlier of our trend. Every series of polls has the occasional outlier and in our opinion this is one. So, while we are reporting the findings in the interest of transparency, we will not be announcing the start of a new trend until we have more data to validate this pattern.
03062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
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हम आग्रह करते हैं कि जो भी सत्ता में आए, वह संविधान का पालन करे, उसकी रक्षा करे और उसे बनाए रखे।" प्रस्ताव में कुल तीन प्रमुख हस्तक्षेप और उनके तंत्र भी प्रस्तुत किए गए। पहला हस्तक्षेप स्वतंत्र मीडिया को प्रोत्साहित करके, वास्तविकता पर आधारित काउंटर नैरेटिव का निर्माण करके और सत्तारूढ़ सरकार द्वारा नियोजित मनोवैज्ञानिक हेरफेर की रणनीति का मुकाबला करके लोगों द्वारा निर्धारित कथा को बनाए रखना और उस पर कार्यकरना था।
31052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
01062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
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‘वोटर्स विल मस्ट प्रीवेल’ (मतदाताओं को जीतना होगा) अभियान द्वारा जारी हेल्पलाइन नंबर, 4 जून को सुबह 7 बजे से दोपहर 12 बजे तक मतगणना प्रक्रिया में कहीं भी किसी भी तरह के उल्लंघन की रिपोर्ट करने के लिए खुला रहेगा।
role of women and girls in various terror groupssadiakorobi2
Women have three distinct types of involvement: direct involvement in terrorist acts; enabling of others to commit such acts; and facilitating the disengagement of others from violent or extremist groups.
In a May 9, 2024 paper, Juri Opitz from the University of Zurich, along with Shira Wein and Nathan Schneider form Georgetown University, discussed the importance of linguistic expertise in natural language processing (NLP) in an era dominated by large language models (LLMs).
The authors explained that while machine translation (MT) previously relied heavily on linguists, the landscape has shifted. “Linguistics is no longer front and center in the way we build NLP systems,” they said. With the emergence of LLMs, which can generate fluent text without the need for specialized modules to handle grammar or semantic coherence, the need for linguistic expertise in NLP is being questioned.
6. Fine Gael Fianna Fáil Labour Sinn Féin Green Party Independents/ Other If there were a general e lection tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote ? ( Base: All adults WHO WILL VOTE 18+)
7. Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Féin Green Party Independents/ Other General election 2007 Sept 27 th 2009 October 2009 November 2009 January 2010 February 2010 If there were a general e lection tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote ? ( Base: All adults WHO WILL VOTE 18+)
8. If there were a general election tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would give your first preference vote ? ( Base: All adults 18+) Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Féin Green Party PDs 34% 27% 17% Independent May ’ 09 Mar ’ 06 Apr ’ 06 May ’ 06 Jun ’ 06 Jul ’ 06 Sep ’ 06 Oct ’ 06 Nov ’ 06 Jan ’ 07 Feb ’ 07 Mar ’ 07 Apr ’ 07 May ’ 07 May ’ 07 May ’ 07 May ’ 07 GE 2007 Sep ’ 07 Oct ’ 07 Nov ’ 07 Jan ’ 08 Feb ’ 08 Mar ’ 08 Apr ’ 08 May ’ 08 Jun ’ 08 Sep ’ 08 8% Oct ’ 08 Nov ’ 08 Jan ’ 09 5% Feb ’ 09 Mar ’ 09 Apr ’ 09 9% GE 2002 Feb ’ 06 Jan ’ 06 Dec ’ 05 Nov ’ 05 Sep ’ 05 May ’ 09 Sep ’ 09 Sep ’ 09 Oct ’ 09 Nov ’ 09 Jan ’ 10 2006 2007 2008 2009 Feb ’10 2010
9. If there were a general election tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would give your first preference vote ? ( Base: All adults 18+) Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Féin Green Party PDs 34% 27% 17% Independent GE 2007 Sep ’ 07 Oct ’ 07 Nov ’ 07 Jan ’ 08 Feb ’ 08 Mar ’ 08 Apr ’ 08 May ’ 08 Jun ’ 08 Sep ’ 08 8% Oct ’ 08 Nov ’ 08 Jan ’ 09 5% Feb ’ 09 Mar ’ 09 Apr ’ 09 9% May ’ 09 May ’ 09 Sep ’ 09 Sep ’ 09 Nov ’ 09 Oct ’ 09 Jan ’ 10 2008 2009 Feb ’ 10
10. If there were a general e lection tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote ? ( Base: All adults WHO WILL VOTE 18+) CURRENT FIRST PREFERENCE SUPPORT Core figures 28 th Feb 2010 Excluding undecided 2007 Election Results % % % Fine Gael 29 34 27 Fianna Fáil 22 27 42 Labour 14 17 10 Sinn Féin 7 9 7 Green Party 5 5 5 Independents/Others 7 8 6 Undecided 16
11. Confidence in parties to manage the public finances out of the current downturn ( Base: All adults 18+) Agree strongly Agree slightly Disagree slightly Disagree strongly Don’t know Sept ’08 Oct ’08 Oct ’09 Government Opposition Fine Gael/ Labour Feb ’10 Oct ’09 Feb ’10
12. Proportion who agree or disagree that they would be more likely to vote Fine Gael if Enda Kenny was not the leader Agree Disagree Don’t know TOTAL % Male % Female % Dublin % Munster % FG % Rest of Leinster % Conn. % FF % Labour % 22 19 25 29 21 22 19 17 14 21 Gender Region Party Preference
13. Proportion who agree or disagree that the Green Party should now leave the government coalition ( Base: All adults 18+) Don’t know Disagree Strongly Disagree Slightly Agree Slightly Agree Strongly % Agree TOTAL Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45+54 55-64 65+ Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Fein Green Party Gender Party Preference Age