A look at how Ragnar Research Partners was able to be so successful in the 2018 cycle, as well as the best opinion research practices heading into 2019 & beyond. This includes proper representation of cell phone-only households, weighting partisanship in every race based on previous Presidential Election results, and a rigorous, systematic, and fanatic devotion to the construction of proper stratification and sample frames.
The document summarizes censorship of media coverage of Myanmar's 2010 election by the government press scrutiny department. Several key facts were censored from news reports, including the names of top USDP party candidates standing for election in Nay Pyi Taw and references to censorship faced by journalists. Even discussions of "change" or voters' confusion and lack of information were removed by censors. The censorship reflected the authoritarian control of information at the time and hindered public awareness and discussion about the election process.
Britain’s two-party system is being eroded by an unprecedented surge of support for smaller parties. This Bloomberg Brief report examines the implications of the most uncertain general election in a generation.
Election Administration and the News Mediagercohen
The document summarizes the author's experience with how local media in North Carolina covered early voting information for the 2008 general election. The author notes that the major newspaper, the News & Observer, failed to provide clear and concise early voting details like locations and hours until very late, instead focusing on an interactive map that was difficult to use and did not include all information. As a result, many voters were unaware of early voting options until right before the period ended, leading to long lines. The author suggests election administrators and boards provide clearer public guidance on voting processes.
This document provides information about voting in Lee County, including voter qualifications, registration, methods of voting, identification requirements, election types, and important amendments and acts related to voting rights. It outlines that to vote you must be a US citizen, Florida resident, at least 18 years old, and not a convicted felon (unless rights have been restored). It describes early voting, Election Day voting, and absentee voting by mail options. Precinct locations and the roles of poll workers are also summarized.
The League of Women Voters of Maine Education Fund conducts voter education activities in a nonpartisan manner. It builds citizen participation through studying issues, enabling people to seek solutions through education. The document provides information on voting in Maine, including how to register, find one's polling place, vote, and request an absentee ballot.
The results of an Indy Politics poll of this year’s upcoming City-County Council races indicates control of the body could be up for grabs. However, candidates have a long way to go to educate voters about who’s even on the ballot in their district.
Fine Gael sees further gains in support according to a new poll, with their first preference vote share rising 3% to 38%. While support fluctuates between polls, Fine Gael has seen a clear upward trend over the campaign period. Independent candidates also make gains this week as undecided former Fianna Fail supporters look for options. Fianna Fail support drops to 15%, surprising analysts who expected their vote to harden. Labour and Sinn Fein also see losses.
A look at how Ragnar Research Partners was able to be so successful in the 2018 cycle, as well as the best opinion research practices heading into 2019 & beyond. This includes proper representation of cell phone-only households, weighting partisanship in every race based on previous Presidential Election results, and a rigorous, systematic, and fanatic devotion to the construction of proper stratification and sample frames.
The document summarizes censorship of media coverage of Myanmar's 2010 election by the government press scrutiny department. Several key facts were censored from news reports, including the names of top USDP party candidates standing for election in Nay Pyi Taw and references to censorship faced by journalists. Even discussions of "change" or voters' confusion and lack of information were removed by censors. The censorship reflected the authoritarian control of information at the time and hindered public awareness and discussion about the election process.
Britain’s two-party system is being eroded by an unprecedented surge of support for smaller parties. This Bloomberg Brief report examines the implications of the most uncertain general election in a generation.
Election Administration and the News Mediagercohen
The document summarizes the author's experience with how local media in North Carolina covered early voting information for the 2008 general election. The author notes that the major newspaper, the News & Observer, failed to provide clear and concise early voting details like locations and hours until very late, instead focusing on an interactive map that was difficult to use and did not include all information. As a result, many voters were unaware of early voting options until right before the period ended, leading to long lines. The author suggests election administrators and boards provide clearer public guidance on voting processes.
This document provides information about voting in Lee County, including voter qualifications, registration, methods of voting, identification requirements, election types, and important amendments and acts related to voting rights. It outlines that to vote you must be a US citizen, Florida resident, at least 18 years old, and not a convicted felon (unless rights have been restored). It describes early voting, Election Day voting, and absentee voting by mail options. Precinct locations and the roles of poll workers are also summarized.
The League of Women Voters of Maine Education Fund conducts voter education activities in a nonpartisan manner. It builds citizen participation through studying issues, enabling people to seek solutions through education. The document provides information on voting in Maine, including how to register, find one's polling place, vote, and request an absentee ballot.
The results of an Indy Politics poll of this year’s upcoming City-County Council races indicates control of the body could be up for grabs. However, candidates have a long way to go to educate voters about who’s even on the ballot in their district.
Fine Gael sees further gains in support according to a new poll, with their first preference vote share rising 3% to 38%. While support fluctuates between polls, Fine Gael has seen a clear upward trend over the campaign period. Independent candidates also make gains this week as undecided former Fianna Fail supporters look for options. Fianna Fail support drops to 15%, surprising analysts who expected their vote to harden. Labour and Sinn Fein also see losses.
Referendum in Moldova: is it a failure and which are the implications?IDIS Viitorul
The referendum in Moldova on changing the constitution to allow for direct election of the president failed to pass due to low voter turnout of 29.05%, below the required 33.33%. While not a total failure, implications include political parties redrawing plans and the possibility of repeated early elections if the issue of presidential elections is not resolved. Key factors in the low turnout included a boycott by the opposition Communist party, poor campaigning by pro-reform parties, and polarization following April protests.
Dan Centinello: Has the U.S Improved the Way It Runs Elections?Dan Centinello
Here, political veteran Dan Centinello shares data from the Election Performance Index (EPI), a comprehensive amalgamation of 17 key indicators that measures overall election administration in the US, that suggests increased turnout in recent election years. Their evidence implies that despite swirling rumors of rigged elections, despite reports of incredibly long lines, and despite alleged voter fraud and unprompted last-minute party switches, the United States has improved its overall election administration.
This document provides information about voting in Maine's 2016 general election, including how to register to vote, find your polling place, vote in person or absentee, and what will be on the ballot. It discusses voting for President, Congress, state and local offices, and answering yes or no to citizen initiatives and bond questions. It also describes the ExpressVote system for accessible voting.
The key conclusions that can be drawn about the result of the Scottish independence referendum from Sources A, B, and C are:
- Regions with higher levels of poverty and social deprivation, such as Dundee City and Glasgow, were more likely to vote Yes, indicating the influence of socioeconomic factors on voting behavior.
- Younger voters aged 16-24 were more likely to vote Yes, while older voters aged 65+ were more likely to vote No, showing the influence of age.
- Turnout varied between regions, with areas having higher turnout generally voting No, suggesting a link between higher turnout and voting against independence.
- Overall, the factor that most influenced the result was likely socioeconomic status
While social media platforms took steps to limit disinformation related to the 2020 US election, their efforts were not fully effective. Facebook labeled some of Trump's posts spreading doubts about mail-in voting, but a late November speech where he discussed electoral fraud was still viewed millions of times on Facebook and YouTube. Domestic groups spreading disinformation about election fraud on social media may have had a larger influence than foreign interference, and led to the January 6th attack on the US Capitol. The platforms' labeling of disputed claims did little to curb the spread of rumors and disinformation.
What Works: How do we get evidence informed policy?Ipsos UK
Presented at our fringe event at the Labour Party Conference 2013. Panel: Angela Eagle MP, Jill Rutter, Institute for Government, Hetan Shah, Executive Director, Royal Statistical Society, Bobby Duffy, Managing Director, Social Research Institute, Ipsos MORI, Dan Corry, Chief Executive of New Philanthropy Capital (Chair)
This document provides information for voters in the 2016 general election, including a scorecard summarizing key legislation voting records for federal and state representatives. It outlines voting procedures and rights, such as requirements, early voting dates, and accommodations for those with disabilities. The scorecard aims to help voters make informed choices by evaluating representatives' stances on issues important to Muslim Americans and civil rights.
Oraclum Intelligence Systems is a UK-based company that uses social networks to predict elections and consumer behavior. They developed a unique forecasting method called the Bayesian Adjusted Social Network Survey that asks participants questions to gauge voter sentiment and accounts for social network biases. This method accurately predicted 47/50 US states in the 2016 election, including swing states within a single percentage point.
This document discusses the process for selecting presidential nominees in the United States in 2012. It describes the four stages: caucuses and primaries (Stage 1), nominating conventions (Stage 2), the general election (Stage 3), and the electoral college (Stage 4). In Stage 1, it explains that caucuses are closed meetings where party members select delegates for their presidential nominee, while primaries allow broader voter participation. It also notes that the Iowa caucus in January 2012 was particularly important for kicking off the primary season.
This poll finds that support for Fianna Fail remains stable at 24% despite recent controversies involving Brian Cowen. Support declines slightly for Fine Gael (down 2% to 31%) and Labour (down 4% to 23%). Confidence in Brian Cowen as Taoiseach remains low at 19%, and 29% say they would be more likely to vote Fianna Fail with a new leader. However, a leadership change may only increase Fianna Fail's vote by 1-2%. Only 30% have confidence in Fine Gael and Labour's ability to manage the economy.
A poll of 400 Indianapolis voters found that Governor Eric Holcomb has a 60% approval rating, with 53% thinking the state is headed in the right direction. Holcomb has high approval even among Democrats (47%) and independents (65%). President Trump has a 38% approval in Indianapolis, but is viewed favorably by 59% of non-college educated men. The poll also found views on other politicians like Vice President Mike Pence, Pete Buttigieg, and Curtis Hill.
The document summarizes the results of an opinion poll conducted in May 2010 on voting intentions in Ireland. It finds that Labour has held on to most of the gains from last month's poll, remaining at 22% support. Fine Gael saw its support drop by 3% to 30%, its lowest level since 2009. Fianna Fail remained steady at 24% support. Over 47% felt Ireland was heading in the wrong direction.
Trump vs Clinton - Polling Opinions: How the polls were wrong and how to fix...chrisbrock54
This document discusses ways that pollsters could improve their election predictions in the future based on failures in the 2016 US presidential election. It identifies several issues with polls in 2016, including relying on small sample sizes, outdated polling methods, and neglecting online data sources. It then provides eight fixes for pollsters, such as applying robust statistical models, incorporating modern technology and online data, accurately assessing the impact of scandals, and utilizing digital advertising data from Facebook. The overall message is that pollsters need to embrace new data sources and statistical methods to make more accurate predictions.
Public Opinion Landscape: Election 2016 - Iowa CaucusesGloverParkGroup
The document provides information on the Iowa caucuses from several recent polls and surveys. For Republicans, Donald Trump and Ted Cruz are leading in Iowa according to prediction markets and polls, though Marco Rubio is gaining momentum. For Democrats, Hillary Clinton maintains a narrow lead over Bernie Sanders in Iowa, though Sanders' support has been growing. The outcomes in Iowa could depend on factors like voter turnout and any last-minute shifts in support.
2011 FDA Electoral Fairness Audit of the Syria republic electoral system.
FDA auditors gave Syria an overall electoral score of 0%. (50% is the minimum passing grade.)
The document summarizes the results of an opinion poll conducted in Ireland in February 2011 regarding voter intentions for the upcoming general election. It finds that 20% of voters remain undecided, compared to 15% at the same time before the 2007 election. The large pool of undecided and floating voters means all parties still have potential support to gain. In particular, many former Fianna Fáil voters are looking for a new party, creating opportunities for Fine Gael and Labour to attract these voters as they battle to influence the shape of the next government.
The document discusses the technologies used in creating a film. It describes learning how to use a camera, including zoom functions, importing/exporting footage, attaching it to a tripod, and managing lighting. Phones were used for communication during filming but did not play a major role. Adobe Premiere Pro was used for editing, where one team member had experience and taught the others basic tools. Royalty-free music was found on a website and fitted well where placed. Feedback on Facebook and YouTube has been positive about the story and creepy atmosphere.
Referendum in Moldova: is it a failure and which are the implications?IDIS Viitorul
The referendum in Moldova on changing the constitution to allow for direct election of the president failed to pass due to low voter turnout of 29.05%, below the required 33.33%. While not a total failure, implications include political parties redrawing plans and the possibility of repeated early elections if the issue of presidential elections is not resolved. Key factors in the low turnout included a boycott by the opposition Communist party, poor campaigning by pro-reform parties, and polarization following April protests.
Dan Centinello: Has the U.S Improved the Way It Runs Elections?Dan Centinello
Here, political veteran Dan Centinello shares data from the Election Performance Index (EPI), a comprehensive amalgamation of 17 key indicators that measures overall election administration in the US, that suggests increased turnout in recent election years. Their evidence implies that despite swirling rumors of rigged elections, despite reports of incredibly long lines, and despite alleged voter fraud and unprompted last-minute party switches, the United States has improved its overall election administration.
This document provides information about voting in Maine's 2016 general election, including how to register to vote, find your polling place, vote in person or absentee, and what will be on the ballot. It discusses voting for President, Congress, state and local offices, and answering yes or no to citizen initiatives and bond questions. It also describes the ExpressVote system for accessible voting.
The key conclusions that can be drawn about the result of the Scottish independence referendum from Sources A, B, and C are:
- Regions with higher levels of poverty and social deprivation, such as Dundee City and Glasgow, were more likely to vote Yes, indicating the influence of socioeconomic factors on voting behavior.
- Younger voters aged 16-24 were more likely to vote Yes, while older voters aged 65+ were more likely to vote No, showing the influence of age.
- Turnout varied between regions, with areas having higher turnout generally voting No, suggesting a link between higher turnout and voting against independence.
- Overall, the factor that most influenced the result was likely socioeconomic status
While social media platforms took steps to limit disinformation related to the 2020 US election, their efforts were not fully effective. Facebook labeled some of Trump's posts spreading doubts about mail-in voting, but a late November speech where he discussed electoral fraud was still viewed millions of times on Facebook and YouTube. Domestic groups spreading disinformation about election fraud on social media may have had a larger influence than foreign interference, and led to the January 6th attack on the US Capitol. The platforms' labeling of disputed claims did little to curb the spread of rumors and disinformation.
What Works: How do we get evidence informed policy?Ipsos UK
Presented at our fringe event at the Labour Party Conference 2013. Panel: Angela Eagle MP, Jill Rutter, Institute for Government, Hetan Shah, Executive Director, Royal Statistical Society, Bobby Duffy, Managing Director, Social Research Institute, Ipsos MORI, Dan Corry, Chief Executive of New Philanthropy Capital (Chair)
This document provides information for voters in the 2016 general election, including a scorecard summarizing key legislation voting records for federal and state representatives. It outlines voting procedures and rights, such as requirements, early voting dates, and accommodations for those with disabilities. The scorecard aims to help voters make informed choices by evaluating representatives' stances on issues important to Muslim Americans and civil rights.
Oraclum Intelligence Systems is a UK-based company that uses social networks to predict elections and consumer behavior. They developed a unique forecasting method called the Bayesian Adjusted Social Network Survey that asks participants questions to gauge voter sentiment and accounts for social network biases. This method accurately predicted 47/50 US states in the 2016 election, including swing states within a single percentage point.
This document discusses the process for selecting presidential nominees in the United States in 2012. It describes the four stages: caucuses and primaries (Stage 1), nominating conventions (Stage 2), the general election (Stage 3), and the electoral college (Stage 4). In Stage 1, it explains that caucuses are closed meetings where party members select delegates for their presidential nominee, while primaries allow broader voter participation. It also notes that the Iowa caucus in January 2012 was particularly important for kicking off the primary season.
This poll finds that support for Fianna Fail remains stable at 24% despite recent controversies involving Brian Cowen. Support declines slightly for Fine Gael (down 2% to 31%) and Labour (down 4% to 23%). Confidence in Brian Cowen as Taoiseach remains low at 19%, and 29% say they would be more likely to vote Fianna Fail with a new leader. However, a leadership change may only increase Fianna Fail's vote by 1-2%. Only 30% have confidence in Fine Gael and Labour's ability to manage the economy.
A poll of 400 Indianapolis voters found that Governor Eric Holcomb has a 60% approval rating, with 53% thinking the state is headed in the right direction. Holcomb has high approval even among Democrats (47%) and independents (65%). President Trump has a 38% approval in Indianapolis, but is viewed favorably by 59% of non-college educated men. The poll also found views on other politicians like Vice President Mike Pence, Pete Buttigieg, and Curtis Hill.
The document summarizes the results of an opinion poll conducted in May 2010 on voting intentions in Ireland. It finds that Labour has held on to most of the gains from last month's poll, remaining at 22% support. Fine Gael saw its support drop by 3% to 30%, its lowest level since 2009. Fianna Fail remained steady at 24% support. Over 47% felt Ireland was heading in the wrong direction.
Trump vs Clinton - Polling Opinions: How the polls were wrong and how to fix...chrisbrock54
This document discusses ways that pollsters could improve their election predictions in the future based on failures in the 2016 US presidential election. It identifies several issues with polls in 2016, including relying on small sample sizes, outdated polling methods, and neglecting online data sources. It then provides eight fixes for pollsters, such as applying robust statistical models, incorporating modern technology and online data, accurately assessing the impact of scandals, and utilizing digital advertising data from Facebook. The overall message is that pollsters need to embrace new data sources and statistical methods to make more accurate predictions.
Public Opinion Landscape: Election 2016 - Iowa CaucusesGloverParkGroup
The document provides information on the Iowa caucuses from several recent polls and surveys. For Republicans, Donald Trump and Ted Cruz are leading in Iowa according to prediction markets and polls, though Marco Rubio is gaining momentum. For Democrats, Hillary Clinton maintains a narrow lead over Bernie Sanders in Iowa, though Sanders' support has been growing. The outcomes in Iowa could depend on factors like voter turnout and any last-minute shifts in support.
2011 FDA Electoral Fairness Audit of the Syria republic electoral system.
FDA auditors gave Syria an overall electoral score of 0%. (50% is the minimum passing grade.)
The document summarizes the results of an opinion poll conducted in Ireland in February 2011 regarding voter intentions for the upcoming general election. It finds that 20% of voters remain undecided, compared to 15% at the same time before the 2007 election. The large pool of undecided and floating voters means all parties still have potential support to gain. In particular, many former Fianna Fáil voters are looking for a new party, creating opportunities for Fine Gael and Labour to attract these voters as they battle to influence the shape of the next government.
The document discusses the technologies used in creating a film. It describes learning how to use a camera, including zoom functions, importing/exporting footage, attaching it to a tripod, and managing lighting. Phones were used for communication during filming but did not play a major role. Adobe Premiere Pro was used for editing, where one team member had experience and taught the others basic tools. Royalty-free music was found on a website and fitted well where placed. Feedback on Facebook and YouTube has been positive about the story and creepy atmosphere.
According to a survey of 100 people, 79% drink alcohol while 21% do not. Of those who drink, 59.6% prefer ordinary alcohol and 40.4% prefer liquor. 40% know someone addicted to alcohol, 60% only drink at parties, 60% enjoy parties more when drunk, 40% try to solve problems by drinking, 50% of parents know their children drink sometimes, and 50% of parents drink regularly. Most people spend between 5-15 euros on alcohol per month.
El horóscopo predice que el año 2015 será próspero para los Cáncer en los ámbitos familiar, monetario y académico. Habrá oportunidades para mejorar la concentración y la memoria, y los estudiantes y trabajadores que buscan nuevos puestos tendrán éxito. Sin embargo, también habrá cambios laborales que podrían causar ansiedad al inicio. En el amor, las parejas mejorarán su comunicación pero los solteros deben evitar enamorarse de compañeros de trabajo para proteger futuras relaciones.
Studios Web, C.A. es un grupo de ingenieros en informática que se dedican al desarrollo de páginas web y sistemas informáticos para sus clientes. Su misión es trabajar con responsabilidad e innovación para mantener altos estándares de calidad. Su visión es contar con la mayor cantidad de clientes satisfechos a nivel nacional e internacional. Ofrecen varios tipos de páginas web y sistemas médicos. Basados en datos históricos, esperan un aumento en las ventas de sistemas en el segundo
Trabajos sobre el Proceso de Hominizacion, realizados por los alumnos y las alumnas del grado Decimo, en el 2008, de la Institución Educativa Gerardo Valencia Cano, de la Ciudad de Medellín, Colombia.
O programa de coleta seletiva ER Coqueiros coletou 69 toneladas de resíduos nos primeiros 9 meses, com cerca de 5.000 participantes, o que equivale a 2 em cada 5 moradores do bairro. O documento pede para não perder a oportunidade do programa.
Exp. recuperacion de la exclusividad 15 ene2016 (1)luis vela lozano
Este documento presenta los horarios y modalidades de servicio para el personal de la Policía Nacional del Perú. Se proponen diferentes turnos y horarios para el personal de oficiales, suboficiales, servicios operativos, administrativos, instructores y profesionales de la salud, tomando en cuenta la función que desempeñan y zonas donde prestan servicio. El objetivo es establecer una distribución equitativa del trabajo policial que garantice la seguridad ciudadana las 24 horas del día.
Este documento proporciona información sobre el signo zodiacal de Cáncer. Describe que Cáncer es el cuarto signo del zodiaco y su símbolo es el cangrejo. Explica algunas de las características positivas y negativas asociadas con este signo, como ser maternales y sensibles pero también susceptibles e irritables. También resume brevemente el mito de Hércules y cómo la diosa Juno lo castigó por celos hacia su esposo Zeus.
O documento discute como a maioria da população brasileira (87%) pertence às classes C, D e E de baixa renda, movimentando US$ 243 bilhões, equivalente ao PIB de países como a Argentina. No entanto, o número de agências bancárias cresceu apenas 4% para atender essa parcela da população, que prefere evitar os bancos devido às altas taxas e intimidação no ambiente bancário, recorrendo a outros tipos de crédito. O documento propõe a implantação de uma grande rede eletrôn
This document discusses ionization potential and the factors that affect it. Ionization potential is the amount of energy required to remove an electron from an isolated atom, forming a cation. The first ionization energy is removing the outermost electron, and subsequent ionization energies increase with each additional electron removed. Factors that affect ionization potential include effective nuclear charge, atomic size, shielding effects, and full or half-filled orbitals. Ionization energy generally increases left to right across a period and decreases down a group on the periodic table.
The document outlines the agile project management process, beginning with Sprint Zero where the product backlog is created and prioritized. It describes inputs like requirements and stories that are broken down and estimated. Scoring considers estimates, complexity, and business priority. Capacity and resource planning determines what can be completed in Sprint 1. Stand-ups are used to monitor progress against estimates and identify blockers. At the end, what was completed is demoed and lessons learned inform the next sprint.
science behind well logging_dileep p allavarapuknigh7
This document provides an overview of well logging exercises for students. It discusses the importance of various disciplines in exploration and production such as reservoir modeling, drilling and logging, geology and seismic. The ultimate goal of well log interpretation is to calculate water saturation, hydrocarbon saturation and effective porosity in reservoir rock units. Key points are provided about common rock types like sandstone, shale and limestone. The document reviews important well logs like gamma ray, resistivity, neutron and density and how they can be used to interpret lithology, porosity, fluid content and saturation. Formulas like Archie's equation and Indonesian equation are also summarized. Contact information is provided for institutions where students can learn more.
Experimental Verification of the Kinematic Equations of Special Relativity an...Daniel Bulhosa Solórzano
The document experimentally verifies the kinematic equations of special relativity and determines the mass and charge of the electron. It describes an experiment that measures the momentum and kinetic energy of electrons over a range of speeds. The data is fitted to both the Newtonian and relativistic kinematic models. The relativistic model provides a much better fit and allows determining the electron charge to mass ratio and mass. The values found agree well with accepted values, supporting the validity of special relativity.
The document discusses three different polls and analyzes whether they were biased, fair, or a mixture of both. It depicts the polls in a table with their strengths and weaknesses. The findings showed that all three polls had some degree of bias, either in their wording or methodology. The sources of the polls did not influence their reliability or accuracy. The document aims to investigate the fairness of the polls and outlines what makes a poll fair and unbiased. It discusses different types of polls like benchmark, tracking, and exit polls.
This presentation explains a predictive data modeling project that segmented Colorado's 3.5 million voters into 11 groups. The segmentation enables campaign decision makers the ability to understand and target voters beyond data that is is available on a Colorado voter file.
1. The document discusses various issues with the current electoral system in India such as the dominance of money and muscle power in elections, criminalization of politics, exceeding of legal financing limits, and voter intimidation.
2. It proposes several reforms such as using fingerprint-based electronic voting machines to eliminate bogus voting, imposing president's rule before elections to ensure fairness, and establishing a special court to ban criminals from contesting elections.
3. Additional reforms suggested include focusing on the "None of the Above" option, making political parties more accountable for their finances, and conducting more voter awareness campaigns.
Public Opinion Landscape – Election 2016 – Iowa CaucusesSarah Bonn
The document provides an overview of polling data and analysis related to the 2016 Iowa caucuses for both Republicans and Democrats. For Republicans, polls show Donald Trump and Ted Cruz leading ahead of the caucuses, with Marco Rubio gaining momentum. For Democrats, Hillary Clinton maintains a narrow lead over Bernie Sanders that has been shrinking in recent weeks. Factors like voter turnout, undecided voters, and momentum shifts could impact the final results.
RedC Poll, Richard Colwell- Autumn Seminar 2010ExSite
This document summarizes the key points from a presentation on opinion polling given by RED C, an Irish polling firm. The presentation covers:
1) RED C's methodology for conducting accurate polls, including random sampling, quotas, likelihood to vote weighting, and past vote weighting.
2) Factors that can impact poll accuracy, such as question wording and order, and how events can influence results.
3) Current Irish party support trends in opinion polls show Fine Gael and Labour combined leading over Fianna Fail, though economic competence could influence further shifts.
Zimbabwe 2018 biometric voters roll analysis - PacheduPovo News
The document analyzes Zimbabwe's 2018 voter roll and identifies over 250,000 records with inaccuracies or duplication, such as invalid ID numbers, duplicate ID numbers, same names/dates of birth, address anomalies, and records assigned to incorrect districts. It finds statistically improbable surname/ID number combinations for over 122,000 records and over 100,000 records appear to have been copied from the 2013 voter roll. The analysis raises concerns about the integrity of the voter roll and Zimbabwe's upcoming election.
This document contains the results of an opinion poll conducted in Ireland in October 2010. It finds:
- Fine Gael remains the largest party at 32%, while Labour has increased to 27% overtaking Fianna Fail at 18%. Support for parties is more volatile than in the past.
- Only a third of voters are firmly loyal to their preferred party, suggesting two-thirds could still change their minds. Labour in particular needs to convince new supporters to vote for them.
- Just 25% trust Fine Gael/Labour to manage the economy, down from 59% who said they would vote for them.
- When undecided voters are allocated based on past voting, support increases to 31% for Fine
This document summarizes the results of an opinion poll tracking voting intentions in Ireland. The key findings are:
- Support for Fianna Fail dropped to its lowest level ever at 18%, down 6% from the previous month, suggesting recent budget issues have further damaged the party.
- Labour saw the largest gains and is now the second largest party with 27%, up 4%, while support for Fine Gael remains steady at 32%, keeping it the largest party.
- Only a third of voters are completely loyal to their stated party, and up to two-thirds could potentially change their mind, indicating a very volatile electorate currently struggling to find a party to support.
December Political Monitor: Attitudes to coalitions_191214Ipsos UK
The document summarizes polling data from Ipsos MORI on British attitudes toward the possibility of future coalition governments. The polls found that in December 2014, 55% of respondents thought it was a good thing that no party achieved an overall majority in 2010, and 65% thought it would be a good thing if no party achieved an overall majority after the next general election. However, only 29% thought another coalition was very or fairly likely after the next election, with 37% saying it was unlikely and 14% saying they did not know.
Public Affairs Round-up - MSLGROUP in India - February 2014Ashraf Engineer
As India strides towards the general election, the media and corporations are in overdrive trying to understand how the country will vote. Based on these projections are critical investments and other business decisions.
In the past few months, our television screens and newspaper front pages have been filled with pre-election surveys predicting seat share and impact on policy. Their results vary vastly, depending upon the methodology, the sample and timing.
In this edition of MSLGROUP in India’s ‘Public Affairs Round-up’ (PAR), Sanjeev Singh, a veteran in the art of the pre-election survey, writes about its evolution in India and the science behind it. Singh, the director of the Centre for Empowerment Studies, details the challenges in India and also compares them to those faced in the US.
We also analyse the passing of the Lokpal Bill and tell stories through numbers related to the election.
This edition is part of our ‘Voice of India 2014’, an insights programme based on the Lok Sabha poll. It will include infographics, blogs, editions of PAR, and much more.
Similar to Tearful Vladimir Putin Wins Russia's Presidential Election 2012 (Pictures) (10)
Public Affairs Round-up - MSLGROUP in India - February 2014
Tearful Vladimir Putin Wins Russia's Presidential Election 2012 (Pictures)
1. Tearful Vladimir Putin Wins Russia's Presidential Election
2012 (Pictures)
Kibaki says he doesn't want an impartial investigation. We are an intellectual democratic platform
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developers who have created this program are very conscious of the outcomes of their device. I hope
people vote on policies based on who they were in their past life and whether they were/are famous
or not.
The 2010 Australian Federal Election is going being an appealing one. The statistics will tell you
where they are. Analyzing the campaign issues and statistics is pretty simple.
In a way, Get Back Love isn't just exactly about ways to get back along with your ex but in addition,
it provides a very good read for anybody who does like to employ positive behavior and habits to
bring back love and passion in his or her relationship. They were quick to adopt Western life styles
and are usually savvy in business. Unfortunately accountants are not magicians as well as the
reports they prepare must fully stand up to the scrutiny of the ATO.
If the accountant fails to follow the laws created by our society, he/she will probably be punished. He
infamously quipped that the U