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05.06.2014
1
Zentralanstaltfür
Meteorologie und
Geodynamik
The making of meteoalarm
Michael Staudinger ZAMG / EUMETNET
Zentralanstaltfür
Meteorologieund
Geodynamik
What is MeteoAlarm?
Request of EUMETNET to the EMMA - MeteoAlarm consortium:
Provide pan - European alert information on an Online Internet platform for:
• a variety of weather parameters causing damage
• understandable by all actors from the private and public sector –
• harmonized as far as possible
Sources of the information:
The National Meteorological and Hydrological Services
05.06.2014
2
Zentralanstaltfür
Meteorologieund
Geodynamik
time, location, severity, certainty . . . .
source: BH Landeck
A warning situation– who needs to know what?
Zentralanstaltfür
Meteorologieund
Geodynamik
Severe thunderstorms
Laundry on the balcony? Event management? Canal system?
source: Fabian Lackner, meteopics
A warning situation– who needs to know what?
05.06.2014
3
Zentralanstaltfür
Meteorologieund
Geodynamik
Definition of warnings (ISDR)
What is a warning?
Tangible and understandable description of an expected
damage scenario
+
a clear advice what to do
Zentralanstaltfür
Meteorologieund
Geodynamik
Definition of warnings
How to communicate within the chain of information?
Meteorology - Civil Protection:
Well prepared conversation:
Evaluating the infos on upcoming damage scenarios
05.06.2014
4
Zentralanstaltfür
Meteorologieund
Geodynamik
Definition of warnings
How to communicate within the chain of information?
Meteorology – Public:
Less prepared conversation:
What to do?
Why?
Which are similar events?
Zentralanstaltfür
Meteorologieund
Geodynamik
ISDR – guidelines on Early warning systems
Integrate within DRR — EWS is not a stand-alone
Aim for synergy across levels: community, national, regional, global
Insist on multi-hazard EWS
Systematically include vulnerability
Accommodate multiple timescales
Account for evolving risk and rising uncertainty
Build partnership and individual engagement
05.06.2014
5
Zentralanstaltfür
Meteorologieund
Geodynamik
Standardised European Warnings - public
Zentralanstaltfür
Meteorologieund
Geodynamik
European Warnings – Civil Protection : 5 days
05.06.2014
6
Zentralanstaltfür
Meteorologieund
Geodynamik
Meteoalarm – National level
Zentralanstaltfür
Meteorologieund
Geodynamik
Meteoalarm – district (regional) level
05.06.2014
7
Zentralanstaltfür
Meteorologieund
Geodynamik
Meteoalarm Lessons learned (since 2007 1 bio hits/y)
• 4 – level colour code seen as understandable „language“
• Transition from „pure meteorology“ to „impact“well under way
• Links to www.meteoalarm from more than 1300 websites
• Approx. 6 Bio hits since start
• High acceptance with public and professonal institutions
• Civil Protection, First responders (national level)
• „European“ usage by tourists & professionals
Zentralanstaltfür
Meteorologieund
Geodynamik
Warning matrix
Colour One word What to do? Damage / Impact Used how
often?
(Area approx.
300 000 km2)
Meteo Treshholds
e.g. Rain
(area + impact related)
Green Weather
report
usual phenomena - - - usual phenomena Examples
yellow Be aware! caution with
exposed activities
exposed objects
(avoidable)
> 30 per year > 54 mm/12h
orange Be
prepared!
keep informed in
detail, follow advice
of authorities
general damages
(not avoidable)
1 to 30 per year > 80 mm/12h
red Take
action!
follow order of
authorities under
all circumstances
be prepared for
extraordinary
measures
extreme damage and
/or casualties
extreme damage
(mostly) on large
areas, threatening
life and properties
(not avoidable, even
in otherwise safe
places)
less then 1 year
+ large
(5000km2) scale
phenomena
> 140 mm/12h
05.06.2014
8
Zentralanstaltfür
Meteorologieund
Geodynamik
Meteorological „rareness“ vs impact
Meteo (only) threshold
Damage
Criteria
Green Yellow Orange Red
No damage
Exposed objects/
Exposed acivities
general damages
(not avoidable)
extreme damage and /
or casualties
e.g. Heat wave in Greenland
Wind warnings on mountains
Forest fire in Sahara
. . . . . .
Zentralanstaltfür
Meteorologieund
Geodynamik
Meteorological
rareness
xxxx
xxx
general
risk
Reaction
needed!!!
xxxx
xxx
impact
XXX
XXX
Risk when
exposed
xxx
xxx
RR 60mm/
60 min
Is the rareness of an event recognized under multi parameter conditions?
25° in December
RR 200mm/10 d
& snow cover ll
Meteorological rareness vs impact
RR 200mm
/10 d
snow cover
low lands
05.06.2014
9
Zentralanstaltfür
Meteorologieund
Geodynamik
Defining „thresholds“
Define areas by
climatology
Define areas of
vulnerability
Seasonal
variations?
Possible
interaction of
parameters?
Divide Damage /Impact in
3 categories and define
meteorology
Use thresholds as guidance
Consider possible impacts together
with Civil Protection
Determing alert levels
criteria at one point/station? no red / lower level
area criteria (parameter) met?
extreme impact possible? 1
Positive feedback from civ pro?
„red“
no red / lower level
no red / lower level
no red / lower level
optional steps
1 might be caused by a combination of parameters
05.06.2014
10
Intranet – homogenisation of forecaster work
Levels used in 2013
05.06.2014
11
Levels used in 2013
Levels used in 2013
05.06.2014
12
Different pathes towards the public and CP
forecasting Media, public
EMI-EuropenMeteorologicalInfrastructure
LAM,
in situ
data, …
forecasting
Civil Protection
Media, public
Media, public
Civil Protection
forecasting
Civil Protection regio
Media, public
Media, public
Civil Protection regio Media, public
LAM,
in situ
data, …
LAM,
in situ
data, …
Media, public
forecasting
forecasting
ERC (Intranet)
Different pathes towards the public and CP
forecasting Media, public
EMI-EuropenMeteorologicalInfrastructure
LAM,
in situ
data, …
forecasting
Civil Protection
Media, public
Media, public
Civil Protection
forecasting
Civil Protection regio
Media, public
Media, public
Civil Protection regio Media, public
LAM,
in situ
data, …
LAM,
in situ
data, …
Media, public
forecasting
forecasting
ERC
CAP Google
Pro users
05.06.2014
13
Zentralanstaltfür
Meteorologieund
Geodynamik
It´s all about communication
CP
Zentralanstaltfür
Meteorologieund
Geodynamik
It´s all about communication
CP
05.06.2014
14
Zentralanstaltfür
Meteorologieund
Geodynamik
It´s all about communication
CP
Zentralanstaltfür
Meteorologieund
Geodynamik
It´s all about communication
CP
05.06.2014
15
Zentralanstaltfür
Meteorologieund
Geodynamik
Two way communication to Civil Protection
What ought to be communicated
• Certainties/ probabilities?
• possible Scenarios ?
• Local and regional impact conditions?
• What has happened so far?
Zentralanstaltfür
Meteorologieund
Geodynamik
Meteoalarm – growing together
1. Clear task by EUMETNET
2. Awareness of the chain of information:
Climatology – Impact (considering vulnerability)
3. Cooperation with users from Civil Protection - media
4. See harmonisation as permanent task, not precondition
5. Start simple and upgrade later (aim at multi hazard)
6. Offer other partners access to a highly visible platform
7. clear datapolicy for the re-use of data
05.06.2014
16
Zentralanstaltfür
Meteorologieund
Geodynamik
ISDR tasks
• Post HFA : Austrian position
• Portfolio of interventions: thematic and ressources
• what do people in the field need from science?
• creating awareness in the public
• Damage database
• Risc analysis (EC)
• Fachgruppe
Politics,
administration economy
exposed
Media,
Civil societyFachgruppe
ISDR Plattform Austria
05.06.2014
17
ISDR Plattform Austria
• Risikoanalyse
Zentralanstaltfür
Meteorologieund
Geodynamik
Thanks for your attention!

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Salzburg2014 keynote2 staudinger

  • 1. 05.06.2014 1 Zentralanstaltfür Meteorologie und Geodynamik The making of meteoalarm Michael Staudinger ZAMG / EUMETNET Zentralanstaltfür Meteorologieund Geodynamik What is MeteoAlarm? Request of EUMETNET to the EMMA - MeteoAlarm consortium: Provide pan - European alert information on an Online Internet platform for: • a variety of weather parameters causing damage • understandable by all actors from the private and public sector – • harmonized as far as possible Sources of the information: The National Meteorological and Hydrological Services
  • 2. 05.06.2014 2 Zentralanstaltfür Meteorologieund Geodynamik time, location, severity, certainty . . . . source: BH Landeck A warning situation– who needs to know what? Zentralanstaltfür Meteorologieund Geodynamik Severe thunderstorms Laundry on the balcony? Event management? Canal system? source: Fabian Lackner, meteopics A warning situation– who needs to know what?
  • 3. 05.06.2014 3 Zentralanstaltfür Meteorologieund Geodynamik Definition of warnings (ISDR) What is a warning? Tangible and understandable description of an expected damage scenario + a clear advice what to do Zentralanstaltfür Meteorologieund Geodynamik Definition of warnings How to communicate within the chain of information? Meteorology - Civil Protection: Well prepared conversation: Evaluating the infos on upcoming damage scenarios
  • 4. 05.06.2014 4 Zentralanstaltfür Meteorologieund Geodynamik Definition of warnings How to communicate within the chain of information? Meteorology – Public: Less prepared conversation: What to do? Why? Which are similar events? Zentralanstaltfür Meteorologieund Geodynamik ISDR – guidelines on Early warning systems Integrate within DRR — EWS is not a stand-alone Aim for synergy across levels: community, national, regional, global Insist on multi-hazard EWS Systematically include vulnerability Accommodate multiple timescales Account for evolving risk and rising uncertainty Build partnership and individual engagement
  • 5. 05.06.2014 5 Zentralanstaltfür Meteorologieund Geodynamik Standardised European Warnings - public Zentralanstaltfür Meteorologieund Geodynamik European Warnings – Civil Protection : 5 days
  • 6. 05.06.2014 6 Zentralanstaltfür Meteorologieund Geodynamik Meteoalarm – National level Zentralanstaltfür Meteorologieund Geodynamik Meteoalarm – district (regional) level
  • 7. 05.06.2014 7 Zentralanstaltfür Meteorologieund Geodynamik Meteoalarm Lessons learned (since 2007 1 bio hits/y) • 4 – level colour code seen as understandable „language“ • Transition from „pure meteorology“ to „impact“well under way • Links to www.meteoalarm from more than 1300 websites • Approx. 6 Bio hits since start • High acceptance with public and professonal institutions • Civil Protection, First responders (national level) • „European“ usage by tourists & professionals Zentralanstaltfür Meteorologieund Geodynamik Warning matrix Colour One word What to do? Damage / Impact Used how often? (Area approx. 300 000 km2) Meteo Treshholds e.g. Rain (area + impact related) Green Weather report usual phenomena - - - usual phenomena Examples yellow Be aware! caution with exposed activities exposed objects (avoidable) > 30 per year > 54 mm/12h orange Be prepared! keep informed in detail, follow advice of authorities general damages (not avoidable) 1 to 30 per year > 80 mm/12h red Take action! follow order of authorities under all circumstances be prepared for extraordinary measures extreme damage and /or casualties extreme damage (mostly) on large areas, threatening life and properties (not avoidable, even in otherwise safe places) less then 1 year + large (5000km2) scale phenomena > 140 mm/12h
  • 8. 05.06.2014 8 Zentralanstaltfür Meteorologieund Geodynamik Meteorological „rareness“ vs impact Meteo (only) threshold Damage Criteria Green Yellow Orange Red No damage Exposed objects/ Exposed acivities general damages (not avoidable) extreme damage and / or casualties e.g. Heat wave in Greenland Wind warnings on mountains Forest fire in Sahara . . . . . . Zentralanstaltfür Meteorologieund Geodynamik Meteorological rareness xxxx xxx general risk Reaction needed!!! xxxx xxx impact XXX XXX Risk when exposed xxx xxx RR 60mm/ 60 min Is the rareness of an event recognized under multi parameter conditions? 25° in December RR 200mm/10 d & snow cover ll Meteorological rareness vs impact RR 200mm /10 d snow cover low lands
  • 9. 05.06.2014 9 Zentralanstaltfür Meteorologieund Geodynamik Defining „thresholds“ Define areas by climatology Define areas of vulnerability Seasonal variations? Possible interaction of parameters? Divide Damage /Impact in 3 categories and define meteorology Use thresholds as guidance Consider possible impacts together with Civil Protection Determing alert levels criteria at one point/station? no red / lower level area criteria (parameter) met? extreme impact possible? 1 Positive feedback from civ pro? „red“ no red / lower level no red / lower level no red / lower level optional steps 1 might be caused by a combination of parameters
  • 10. 05.06.2014 10 Intranet – homogenisation of forecaster work Levels used in 2013
  • 11. 05.06.2014 11 Levels used in 2013 Levels used in 2013
  • 12. 05.06.2014 12 Different pathes towards the public and CP forecasting Media, public EMI-EuropenMeteorologicalInfrastructure LAM, in situ data, … forecasting Civil Protection Media, public Media, public Civil Protection forecasting Civil Protection regio Media, public Media, public Civil Protection regio Media, public LAM, in situ data, … LAM, in situ data, … Media, public forecasting forecasting ERC (Intranet) Different pathes towards the public and CP forecasting Media, public EMI-EuropenMeteorologicalInfrastructure LAM, in situ data, … forecasting Civil Protection Media, public Media, public Civil Protection forecasting Civil Protection regio Media, public Media, public Civil Protection regio Media, public LAM, in situ data, … LAM, in situ data, … Media, public forecasting forecasting ERC CAP Google Pro users
  • 13. 05.06.2014 13 Zentralanstaltfür Meteorologieund Geodynamik It´s all about communication CP Zentralanstaltfür Meteorologieund Geodynamik It´s all about communication CP
  • 14. 05.06.2014 14 Zentralanstaltfür Meteorologieund Geodynamik It´s all about communication CP Zentralanstaltfür Meteorologieund Geodynamik It´s all about communication CP
  • 15. 05.06.2014 15 Zentralanstaltfür Meteorologieund Geodynamik Two way communication to Civil Protection What ought to be communicated • Certainties/ probabilities? • possible Scenarios ? • Local and regional impact conditions? • What has happened so far? Zentralanstaltfür Meteorologieund Geodynamik Meteoalarm – growing together 1. Clear task by EUMETNET 2. Awareness of the chain of information: Climatology – Impact (considering vulnerability) 3. Cooperation with users from Civil Protection - media 4. See harmonisation as permanent task, not precondition 5. Start simple and upgrade later (aim at multi hazard) 6. Offer other partners access to a highly visible platform 7. clear datapolicy for the re-use of data
  • 16. 05.06.2014 16 Zentralanstaltfür Meteorologieund Geodynamik ISDR tasks • Post HFA : Austrian position • Portfolio of interventions: thematic and ressources • what do people in the field need from science? • creating awareness in the public • Damage database • Risc analysis (EC) • Fachgruppe Politics, administration economy exposed Media, Civil societyFachgruppe ISDR Plattform Austria
  • 17. 05.06.2014 17 ISDR Plattform Austria • Risikoanalyse Zentralanstaltfür Meteorologieund Geodynamik Thanks for your attention!