This document discusses opportunities and challenges in industrial and service robotics. It provides classifications and definitions of robots, examines the impact of robotics on the global economy expected by 2025, and reviews the current state of the industrial and service robotics markets. Key points covered include the increasing importance of robotics in addressing issues like competition, aging populations, and workplace safety. The document also outlines technology trends in areas like collaborative robotics and improving robot autonomy. It analyzes where improvements are needed and discusses the role of government support in developing robotics.

1. Industrial and Service Robotics:
new opportunities and challenges
Albert Yefimov,
Head of Skolkovo Robotics Center
22 October 2014

2. Robot defined as …
Robot - actuated mechanism programmable in two or more axes (4.3) with a
degree of autonomy (2.2), moving within its environment, to perform intended
tasks. [ISO 8373:2012]

3. Classification (by ISO)
Industrial Robots Service Robots
Automatically controlled,
reprogrammable, multipurpose
manipulator, programmable in three or
more axes, which can be either fixed in
place or mobile for use in industrial
automation applications
Performs useful tasks for humans or
equipment excluding industrial
automation applications

5. Robotics’ impact next 5-10 years
• USD 5 270 blns by 2025 – impact on world
economy;
• USD 150 blns by 2020 – all robotics markets
(HW+SW);
• USD 75 blns by 2020 – industrial robotics market;
• USD 30 blns by 2020 – service robotics market;
• USD 25 blns by 2020 – Japan’s robotics market;
• USD 12 blns by 2020 – Drones’ market
Various sources:

6. Status Quo in 2013
• Robots installed:
– 1 600 000 industrial
– 150 000 service
• Robots sold worldwide in 2013:
– 179 000 industrial;
– 21 000 service.
• Robotics’ markets:
– USD 29 blns industrial;
– USD 3.57 blns service.
IFR data for 2014

7. Importance of Robotics
• Competition
• Aging Society
• Safety

8. Competition

9. Aging Society

10. Safety

11. ROBOTICS INDUSTRY STRUCTURE

12. Industrial robotics applications

13. Industrial robotics by applications

14. Service robotics (1)

15. Service robotics (2)

16. Service robotics (3)

17. Industrial Robotic’s density

18. Robotic’s Density in Selected Countries
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500
S.Korea
Japan
Germany
Sweden
Italy
Denmark
Belgium
USA
Spain
France
UK
China
Russia

19. Share industrial robots in Auto vs
other industries
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600
China
Italy
USA
Germany
Japan
Other industries
Automakers

20. Annual sales industrial robots in Asia
(thousands robots)
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
2014
2013
2012
Asia
S.Korea
Japan
China

21. Annual Sales of Industrial Robots in
China
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16
2013
2012
2011
2010
Other industries Automakers
China becomes No1 market in industrial robotics in 2013
~30% of robots home-made. Average density ~ 30 (automotive ~ 281, other ~14),

22. TECHNOLOGY TRENDS

23. Robots and people work together
Current generation Next generation

25. Tesla Factory

26. Lean Intelligent Assembly Automation

27. Factory-in-a-day

28. Industrial robotics enters SMEs
Current generation Next generation

29. STUDY CASES

30. Universal Robots and Schunk
Before robotics upgrad: 3 CNC/p
After robotics upgrad: 8 CNC/p

31. Universal Robotics

32. Baxter

33. Rio Tinto

34. Rio Tinto

35. Areas for improvements (1)
• Improvement of methods for systems
development and design of robotic systems.
– Robotic systems - complex technical system having
a plurality of dynamically linked components. To
create them, require effective and reliable means
to develop an architecture, engineering, design,
modeling and prototyping of new RTC;

36. Areas for improvements (2)
• Improvement of human-computer interaction,
collaborative robotics.
– It is expected that the next generation of RTC will
interact with a person, the user directly, without the
use of complex programming tools, understanding
natural ways of communicating with the person -
speech, gestures and possibly neurointerfaces. To this
should also be mentioned study on the use of features
"Internet of Things" robotics, "cloud robotics" -
distributing as effectively as possible the processing of
information between the control center and on-board
complex robot.

37. Areas for improvements (3)
• Improving the degree of autonomy of robots.
– This includes an increase in the degree of
awareness of the situation around the robot and
dynamic action planning in non-deterministic
environment, or in other words - the
intellectualization of robotics

38. Areas for Improvements (4)
• Improving the forms and basic technology of
mechatronics.
– Ability to effectively carry out its mission largely
depends on how effectively implemented
mechatronic part of RTC, controllers, sensors,
actuators, power supply and power consumption.
Also, this technology clusters include technologies
of communication between the control center and
the RTC or RTC group.

39. State support of robotics

40. World RIE on Robotics

42. Analysis by type of activity
1065
298
296
171
696
127
412
startups
Service robotics (personal)
Service robotics for Govt and Big Corps
Integrators
Industrial robotics
Research and Educations
Robotics basic technology
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200

43. Russia
• 2400 industrial robots in Russia by 2013
• 600 sold in 2013
Share of Robots
Loading/unloading Wielding Painting Automakers Metalworks
24%
21%
10%
28%
17%

44. Robotics in Skolkovo NOW
30+ Project in Industrial,
service, personal,
educational and medical
robotics