Markets are increasingly becoming volatile not due to demand fluctuation but excess liquidity. A single copper trader spiked copper prices at LME last month by cornering 90% of stocks. What will be the future trends?
This Gold Report was compiled to those investors who lost a lot of money with their gold investments. People are desperate to get out of gold to avoid further losses. There are a lot of sell-offs from individuals, mutual funds, Hedge Funds, and organizations. Is there another way to invest in Gold?. I have tried to give different assessments, and to make a point where to invest in gold.
Your comments, opinions
Survival mode why the diamond industrys credit addiction is leading us down t...Ehud Laniado
Ehud Laniado: Allow me to state my view plainly: the large number of rough diamonds purchased from the main rough diamond miners in the last two months (January and February) were not purchased for the purpose of long-term growth. Nor is this phenomenon a response to any great polished diamond demand. The leading driver of this demand is survivalism.
This Gold Report was compiled to those investors who lost a lot of money with their gold investments. People are desperate to get out of gold to avoid further losses. There are a lot of sell-offs from individuals, mutual funds, Hedge Funds, and organizations. Is there another way to invest in Gold?. I have tried to give different assessments, and to make a point where to invest in gold.
Your comments, opinions
Survival mode why the diamond industrys credit addiction is leading us down t...Ehud Laniado
Ehud Laniado: Allow me to state my view plainly: the large number of rough diamonds purchased from the main rough diamond miners in the last two months (January and February) were not purchased for the purpose of long-term growth. Nor is this phenomenon a response to any great polished diamond demand. The leading driver of this demand is survivalism.
Ежегодный отчет PwC «Сделки слияния и поглощения в металлургической отрасли: ...PwC Russia
По последним данным ежегодного отчета PwC «Сделки слияния и поглощения в металлургической отрасли: взгляд в будущее», активность в области сделок в глобальном масштабе устанавливает новые рекорды, однако в металлургической отрасли рост сделок практически остановился.
Общая стоимость завершенных сделок в металлургической отрасли за последний год упала до самого низкого уровня, когда-либо отмеченного в серии ежегодных отчетов PwC. По сравнению с прошлым годом общая стоимость сделок снизилась на 32 % – с 16,8 млрд долл. США в 2014 году до 11,4 млрд долл. США в 2015 году. Это на 3,7 млрд долл. США меньше, чем в 2009 году, сразу после кредитного кризиса, и на 4,7 млрд долл. США ниже уровня 2003 года, когда был опубликован первый выпуск из этой серии отчетов с данными о сделках в металлургической отрасли.
Однако, несмотря на рекордно низкую общую стоимость сделок, их объем в целом сопоставим с уровнем многих прошлых лет, хотя и не дотягивает до пиков, которые мы наблюдали на рубеже десятилетия.
Start here-investing-in-silver
What was the highest price for silver and when was it reached? Find out here. The silver price surged last year, buoyed by worldwide political concerns such as Brexit and proposed policies from US Donald President Trump. Since then, the white metal has continued to trend upward — during Q1 2017 it rose roughly 9 percent.
Get COMMODITY trading recommendations specially in GOLD , SILVER, COPPER and CRUDE on mobile & E-mail by http://ow.ly/oCaOg. Our in-depth technical and fundamental analysis with 90% accuracy increase your investment returns for COMMODITY trading. Try 7 days FREE TRIAL service at http://ow.ly/oCaJ6 and just watch the results.
The Economist Intelligence Unit argues that the industrial commodities supercycle isn’t over: continued demand from China (slower, but from a larger base), ongoing global urbanisation, and structural factors such as higher energy and extraction costs will continue to support prices in the medium term. Download full report on http://bit.ly/1iVCHAL
Cobalt market forecast and cobalt stocks to buyChris Helweg
We noted that cobalt demand was, at a minimum, tracking its historic two decade
compounded annual growth rate of 6 percent, primarily due to accelerating consumption
in lithium-ion batteries used in portable electronic devices, electric vehicles and
stationary storage cells. With several battery megafactories under construction or
announced, including the Tesla Gigafactory in Nevada, we were confident the market
would transition into a supply deficit in 2016 or early 2017.
The World Gold Council, LME and key market participants plan to launch LMEprecious. The announcement details the intention to introduce a suite of exchange-traded and centrally-cleared precious metals products, an initiative which is an important step in the modernisation of the gold market.
Ежегодный отчет PwC «Сделки слияния и поглощения в металлургической отрасли: ...PwC Russia
По последним данным ежегодного отчета PwC «Сделки слияния и поглощения в металлургической отрасли: взгляд в будущее», активность в области сделок в глобальном масштабе устанавливает новые рекорды, однако в металлургической отрасли рост сделок практически остановился.
Общая стоимость завершенных сделок в металлургической отрасли за последний год упала до самого низкого уровня, когда-либо отмеченного в серии ежегодных отчетов PwC. По сравнению с прошлым годом общая стоимость сделок снизилась на 32 % – с 16,8 млрд долл. США в 2014 году до 11,4 млрд долл. США в 2015 году. Это на 3,7 млрд долл. США меньше, чем в 2009 году, сразу после кредитного кризиса, и на 4,7 млрд долл. США ниже уровня 2003 года, когда был опубликован первый выпуск из этой серии отчетов с данными о сделках в металлургической отрасли.
Однако, несмотря на рекордно низкую общую стоимость сделок, их объем в целом сопоставим с уровнем многих прошлых лет, хотя и не дотягивает до пиков, которые мы наблюдали на рубеже десятилетия.
Start here-investing-in-silver
What was the highest price for silver and when was it reached? Find out here. The silver price surged last year, buoyed by worldwide political concerns such as Brexit and proposed policies from US Donald President Trump. Since then, the white metal has continued to trend upward — during Q1 2017 it rose roughly 9 percent.
Get COMMODITY trading recommendations specially in GOLD , SILVER, COPPER and CRUDE on mobile & E-mail by http://ow.ly/oCaOg. Our in-depth technical and fundamental analysis with 90% accuracy increase your investment returns for COMMODITY trading. Try 7 days FREE TRIAL service at http://ow.ly/oCaJ6 and just watch the results.
The Economist Intelligence Unit argues that the industrial commodities supercycle isn’t over: continued demand from China (slower, but from a larger base), ongoing global urbanisation, and structural factors such as higher energy and extraction costs will continue to support prices in the medium term. Download full report on http://bit.ly/1iVCHAL
Cobalt market forecast and cobalt stocks to buyChris Helweg
We noted that cobalt demand was, at a minimum, tracking its historic two decade
compounded annual growth rate of 6 percent, primarily due to accelerating consumption
in lithium-ion batteries used in portable electronic devices, electric vehicles and
stationary storage cells. With several battery megafactories under construction or
announced, including the Tesla Gigafactory in Nevada, we were confident the market
would transition into a supply deficit in 2016 or early 2017.
The World Gold Council, LME and key market participants plan to launch LMEprecious. The announcement details the intention to introduce a suite of exchange-traded and centrally-cleared precious metals products, an initiative which is an important step in the modernisation of the gold market.
Comprehensive and up to date presentation on the importance of ferrous scrap in the world steel market. Includes the role that Turkey plays in this market and the future of scrap in derivatives.
The Value Chain of Copper – from Mine to ApplicationLeonardo ENERGY
The value of copper in the different stages of the value chain of copper is explained. It is clarified how the value of the copper content in ores and concentrates, in cathodes, in recycling materials and in copper products is calculated and how it is used in the sales or purchase of copper containing materials. It is shown that the registered copper cathode is the base for all commercial negotiations – not only for cathodes. The role of the London Metal Exchang (LME) and hedging is also discussed.
Unconventional trading on metals - Un'opportunità per le imprese che vogliono tutelare i propri acquisti e le scorte di magazzino e per i risparmiatori che intendono investire i propri risparmi in sicurezza!
The balance between milling cost and metal losses is crucial, particularly with low-grade ores.
Most mills keep detailed accounts of operating and maintenance costs, broken down into various sub-division, such as labor, supplies, energy, etc. for the various areas of the plant.
Electric Motor Systems: targeting and implementing efficiency improvementsLeonardo ENERGY
Energy savings of 20% to 30% in industrial electric motor systems are economically viable but can only be achieved through system optimization. This includes the electrical side as well as the mechanical side and its operation condition. Depending on the individual context of the industrial end user (e.g. regulation, energy price, management structure, capacities, available support, supply services, etc.), the end user can follow a sequence of steps in order to improve the efficiency of its running stock and thus ‘harvest’ the savings on a cost-effective and sustainable base.
For full text go to : https://www.educorporatebridge.com/commodities/commodity-trading Have you wondered how commodity trading works, its prerequisites, the various commodity exchanges and if commodity trading is beneficial? This article answers all these questions, read through and get yourself educated on the same.
Specialty pharmaceutical-generic companies that expanded pipelines through M&A and revenue through price increases are now facing scrutiny on the sustainability of the traditional model and looking toward more investment in R&D.
The base metals with the biggest price gains in 2016 have
been the ones that underwent sizable production cuts in 2015,
especially zinc. The tailwinds behind precious metals that supported prices in 2016 will only grow in 2017.
During this week's Invast Insights we cover:
► Fundament drivers behind the Commodities
► The China slowdown effect
► The future of the Copper
GRAB A 4 WEEK INVAST INSIGHTS FREE TRIAL (WEEKLY NEWSLETTER)
http://invast.com.au/insights
CONNECT WITH INVAST TODAY
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During this week's Invast Insights we cover:
► Brent Crude at depressed levels
► Iron Ore outlook with China slowdown
► AUDUSD outlook with falling commodities
GRAB A 4 WEEK INVAST INSIGHTS FREE TRIAL (WEEKLY NEWSLETTER)
http://invast.com.au/insights
CONNECT WITH INVAST TODAY
Facebook ► https://www.facebook.com/invastglobal
Twitter ► http://twitter.com/InvastGlobal
Linkedin ► http://www.linkedin.com/company/invast
Invast ► http://www.invast.com.au
Google+ ► https://plus.google.com/+InvastAu/
Cover Story Base Metal Outlook (CY 2014)
Corporate Credit-Buyer’s Credit
Business Trivia -Bombay Stock Exchange
Visual Facts-Sensex, Gold, Crude, Dollar, MCX Metal & MCX Agri
The presentation explores the various strategic initiatives to be taken by Indian iron ore miners to survive the slowdown in iron ore demand, aggressive marketing by the world largest miner exporters from Australia and Brazil. The presentation calls for united effort from Indian iron ore miners/exporters to navigate the new scenario post global recession by suggesting strategies and action plan.
Base metals prices & investing-opportunitiesChris Helweg
Table of Contents
Copper Trends 2017: Prices Up on Strong Demand and Short Supply
Copper Outlook 2018
Copper Forecast 2018: CEOs Bullish on Market .
Zinc Trends 2017: Prices at Decade High After Supply Crunch
Zinc Outlook 2018: Will Prices Continue to Rally?
Zinc Forecast 2018
Nickel Trends 2017: Deficit Expected on Supply Challenges.
Nickel Outlook 2018
Iron Outlook 2018
Lead Outlook 2018: Supply Tightness to Continue
Inhoudsopgave
Coppertrends 2017: stijging sterke vraag en korte levering
Copper vooruitzicht 2018
Voorspelling Copper 2018: CEO's Bullish on Market.
Zink Trends 2017: prijzen bij Decade High After Supply Crunch
Zinc vooruitzicht 2018: blijven prijzen stijgen?
Zinkvoorspelling 2018
Nikkeltrends 2017
Nickel vooruitzicht 2018
IJzer vooruitzicht 2018
Lood vooruitzicht 2018
CPM Group recently released their 2011 Gold Yearbook, an invaluable resource for us gold analysts. Mostly a reference book, even a gold enthusiast might find it dry reading. But I loved it, and as I studied it on a plane, I kept finding data that made me perk up.http://www.whatisgold.net
With iron ore derivatives trade booming in the face of extreme price volatility over 2016 YTD, TSI takes a look at changing attitudes to derivatives use and the extent of the boom in traded volumes.
Exploration and Mining Trends in the Digital Age: Global Outlook and Issues i...Tim Alch
At CESCO Week in Santiago, Chile I spoke about the world’s need to explore for and mine copper and the importance of knowing early-on how to operate locally to manage risks. While optimistic, over the life of mining any resource, there are many variables and issues owners need to be mindful of including managing many different and often changing expectations. In the case of copper, it is core to the world being connected on smartphones, Facebook, internet, etc., Without copper, it is fair to say we cannot be connected as we all are and expect to be. While copper does have unique properties and the business differs from other commodities, other minerals share similar outlooks as more of the world’s ~7.2 billion people near term are projected to live in urban areas, enjoy higher standards of living and consume more materials.
Day 1- Session 3: Precious Metals Sector
Gold Dynamics
Objective Capital Global Mining Investment Conference 2010
Stationers' Hall, City of London
28-29 September 2010
Speaker:
Angelos Damaskos - Sector Investment Managers Ltd
A$ zinc price reaches a 5-year high. The fundamentals of the zinc market keep on improving. Update on metals market and junior mining companies listed on the Australian Securities Exchange
India's war on corruption, The 1st battle of LokpalSandip Sen
India's war on corruption has taken a decisive turn with people coming out against their own elected Government. Though the UPA is confident in winning the 1st battle of Lokpal due to its majority in the parliament it is likely to lose the war as the masses look determined to root out corruption.
Oil Prices have been extremely volatile during the last decade due to extensive speculative pressures on the commodity. in this episode of Energy Risk Management Series we show one of the methods of countering the same.
Big Banks Control All From Commodities To CountriesSandip Sen
Each barrel of oil is swapped 20 to 25 times before it is retailed in the US, each tonne of sugar 10 to 15 times before its sold in India. Why are prices of Carbon, energy, food so volatile as regulators look away ?
Part 3 B Cop15 Failure Analysis Transparency Evaluation in Climate ChangeSandip Sen
Continuing our 10 Part COP15 Failure Analysis we find that Transparency of Emission measurement is a Key Issue, where all nations be it EU, Asia and US are found wanting. We evaluate here the strength and the effectiveness of the EU ETS and give the pros and cons of the developing world following this model for curbing emissions.
COP15, The Deal Sabotage At Copenhagen CE 82Sandip Sen
The "Seal the Deal" dream of Copenhagen has been sabotaged by a carefully planned move by the fossil fuel lobby and the Kyoto defaulters to scrap Kyoto proposal and introduce the infinitely more complex emission cap regime. As the struggle for stopping climate change intensifies and the struggling carbon economy lies exposed, it is time to bring in the main players of renewable energy solar energy, wind power and rainforest plantations to the forefront to ensure DIRECT FINANCE & TECHNOLOGY DEALS , the positive solutions in climate change.
COP15: Gassing 15 years on Carbon and Climate ChangeSandip Sen
You cannot control emissions by merely penalising.
CAP & TRADE will only benefit the Wall Street.It will also hurt the energy industry and raise your energy bills phenomenally . STOP chasing GASSES . Build technologies that DO NOT GAS. GLOBALIZE Mass produce CHEAPclean energy Support Direct Funding of SOLAR ENERGY, WIND POWER and RAINFOREST PLANATION.
In continuation to our earlier presentations of the Business Risk Management series & case studies, we show here how the time cycles must be determined for tracking market based, credit based and operational risk.
COP15,Bullshitting 15 Years On Climate ChangeSandip Sen
For 15 Years our Governments collectively have been fooling us on climate change. Now that Cap and Trade savings are being actually monetised we see that it is inadequate to fund the clean energy needs of planet earth. We start this Climate Change Series not to criticize, for we are no activists, but to provide sustainable solutions for planet earth. Please support us. Let us try to find the way to do it right, the way to save resources and the planet earth.
Variance based Case Study done by Predictive analytics for Market based , Credit based Risk
( Source & Inferences : Saxton Report on Housing crisis to US Congress) and Operational Risk
( Source & Inferences : The Time Cycle Module Volume I, Product launch of a soft drink brand)
Bringing Virtual Dynamics To Content DistributionSandip Sen
Virtual content generation silos are today a reality. They require domain and vertical knowledge, experience, authorship quality, timely delivery and presentation skills to succeed. See how this new age dynamics can improve your content quality, reduce cost and enrich with global experience.
Will Virtual Networking end 60,000 Years Of Human MigrationSandip Sen
Tracing human civilization from stone age, we find migration to avail better living conditions and opportunities a 60,000 year old phenomenon. Will this trend end if goods and services move worldwide without human relocation and bring prosperity to your doorstep
"𝑩𝑬𝑮𝑼𝑵 𝑾𝑰𝑻𝑯 𝑻𝑱 𝑰𝑺 𝑯𝑨𝑳𝑭 𝑫𝑶𝑵𝑬"
𝐓𝐉 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐬 (𝐓𝐉 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐦𝐮𝐧𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬) is a professional event agency that includes experts in the event-organizing market in Vietnam, Korea, and ASEAN countries. We provide unlimited types of events from Music concerts, Fan meetings, and Culture festivals to Corporate events, Internal company events, Golf tournaments, MICE events, and Exhibitions.
𝐓𝐉 𝐂𝐨𝐦𝐬 provides unlimited package services including such as Event organizing, Event planning, Event production, Manpower, PR marketing, Design 2D/3D, VIP protocols, Interpreter agency, etc.
Sports events - Golf competitions/billiards competitions/company sports events: dynamic and challenging
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➢ WOW K-Music Festival 2023
➢ Winner [CROSS] Tour in HCM
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➢ Korean President visits Samsung Electronics R&D Center
➢ Vietnam Food Expo with Lotte Wellfood
"𝐄𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐲 𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐚 𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐲, 𝐚 𝐬𝐩𝐞𝐜𝐢𝐚𝐥 𝐣𝐨𝐮𝐫𝐧𝐞𝐲. 𝐖𝐞 𝐚𝐥𝐰𝐚𝐲𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐞𝐯𝐞 𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐭 𝐬𝐡𝐨𝐫𝐭𝐥𝐲 𝐲𝐨𝐮 𝐰𝐢𝐥𝐥 𝐛𝐞 𝐚 𝐩𝐚𝐫𝐭 𝐨𝐟 𝐨𝐮𝐫 𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐢𝐞𝐬."
Tata Group Dials Taiwan for Its Chipmaking Ambition in Gujarat’s DholeraAvirahi City Dholera
The Tata Group, a titan of Indian industry, is making waves with its advanced talks with Taiwanese chipmakers Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing Corporation (PSMC) and UMC Group. The goal? Establishing a cutting-edge semiconductor fabrication unit (fab) in Dholera, Gujarat. This isn’t just any project; it’s a potential game changer for India’s chipmaking aspirations and a boon for investors seeking promising residential projects in dholera sir.
Visit : https://www.avirahi.com/blog/tata-group-dials-taiwan-for-its-chipmaking-ambition-in-gujarats-dholera/
VAT Registration Outlined In UAE: Benefits and Requirementsuae taxgpt
Vat Registration is a legal obligation for businesses meeting the threshold requirement, helping companies avoid fines and ramifications. Contact now!
https://viralsocialtrends.com/vat-registration-outlined-in-uae/
[Note: This is a partial preview. To download this presentation, visit:
https://www.oeconsulting.com.sg/training-presentations]
Sustainability has become an increasingly critical topic as the world recognizes the need to protect our planet and its resources for future generations. Sustainability means meeting our current needs without compromising the ability of future generations to meet theirs. It involves long-term planning and consideration of the consequences of our actions. The goal is to create strategies that ensure the long-term viability of People, Planet, and Profit.
Leading companies such as Nike, Toyota, and Siemens are prioritizing sustainable innovation in their business models, setting an example for others to follow. In this Sustainability training presentation, you will learn key concepts, principles, and practices of sustainability applicable across industries. This training aims to create awareness and educate employees, senior executives, consultants, and other key stakeholders, including investors, policymakers, and supply chain partners, on the importance and implementation of sustainability.
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
1. Develop a comprehensive understanding of the fundamental principles and concepts that form the foundation of sustainability within corporate environments.
2. Explore the sustainability implementation model, focusing on effective measures and reporting strategies to track and communicate sustainability efforts.
3. Identify and define best practices and critical success factors essential for achieving sustainability goals within organizations.
CONTENTS
1. Introduction and Key Concepts of Sustainability
2. Principles and Practices of Sustainability
3. Measures and Reporting in Sustainability
4. Sustainability Implementation & Best Practices
To download the complete presentation, visit: https://www.oeconsulting.com.sg/training-presentations
What is the TDS Return Filing Due Date for FY 2024-25.pdfseoforlegalpillers
It is crucial for the taxpayers to understand about the TDS Return Filing Due Date, so that they can fulfill your TDS obligations efficiently. Taxpayers can avoid penalties by sticking to the deadlines and by accurate filing of TDS. Timely filing of TDS will make sure about the availability of tax credits. You can also seek the professional guidance of experts like Legal Pillers for timely filing of the TDS Return.
Attending a job Interview for B1 and B2 Englsih learnersErika906060
It is a sample of an interview for a business english class for pre-intermediate and intermediate english students with emphasis on the speking ability.
Personal Brand Statement:
As an Army veteran dedicated to lifelong learning, I bring a disciplined, strategic mindset to my pursuits. I am constantly expanding my knowledge to innovate and lead effectively. My journey is driven by a commitment to excellence, and to make a meaningful impact in the world.
Digital Transformation and IT Strategy Toolkit and TemplatesAurelien Domont, MBA
This Digital Transformation and IT Strategy Toolkit was created by ex-McKinsey, Deloitte and BCG Management Consultants, after more than 5,000 hours of work. It is considered the world's best & most comprehensive Digital Transformation and IT Strategy Toolkit. It includes all the Frameworks, Best Practices & Templates required to successfully undertake the Digital Transformation of your organization and define a robust IT Strategy.
Editable Toolkit to help you reuse our content: 700 Powerpoint slides | 35 Excel sheets | 84 minutes of Video training
This PowerPoint presentation is only a small preview of our Toolkits. For more details, visit www.domontconsulting.com
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Falcon stands out as a top-tier P2P Invoice Discounting platform in India, bridging esteemed blue-chip companies and eager investors. Our goal is to transform the investment landscape in India by establishing a comprehensive destination for borrowers and investors with diverse profiles and needs, all while minimizing risk. What sets Falcon apart is the elimination of intermediaries such as commercial banks and depository institutions, allowing investors to enjoy higher yields.
Affordable Stationery Printing Services in Jaipur | Navpack n PrintNavpack & Print
Looking for professional printing services in Jaipur? Navpack n Print offers high-quality and affordable stationery printing for all your business needs. Stand out with custom stationery designs and fast turnaround times. Contact us today for a quote!
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Improving profitability for small businessBen Wann
In this comprehensive presentation, we will explore strategies and practical tips for enhancing profitability in small businesses. Tailored to meet the unique challenges faced by small enterprises, this session covers various aspects that directly impact the bottom line. Attendees will learn how to optimize operational efficiency, manage expenses, and increase revenue through innovative marketing and customer engagement techniques.
3. Big Banks enter metal warehousingIn March 2010, Financial Times reported that the Wall Street Banks JP Morgan Chase and Goldman Sachs bought Metro International a London based LME approved warehouse operator of metals for a whopping $550 million
4. JP Morgan files for ETFAs per a Business Week report in October JP Morgan Chase & Co filed an application with SEC for an ETF where investors can trade in copper like stocks without taking physical deliveries of the same. ETF Securities Ltd is another player whose fund has 6 metals for trading at LME
5. Fed Infuses Artificial Liquidity On November 3 the US Federal Reserve announced a $600 bn. Quantitative Easing package, that would pump $75 billion per month to boost liquidity and lift commodity and stock markets in view of low U.S. demand. Markets have boomed thereafter due to excess liquidity.
6. Goldman delay forecasts Copper spurt. On 13th of December after Copper rose for 6 months at spot markets Goldman Sachs forecast that Copper Prices would outperform others as per Reuters. The reason was attributed to an old bogey….. high demand from China.
7. Single Trader spikes copper During post Christmas trading a single trader at the London Metal Exchange cornered around 90% of the LME Copper stocks at its warehouses worth $3 billion which was nearly 50% of the total registered Global Stocks as per the Wall Street Journal.
9. Other Non ferrous metals followed the copper upsurge It was not only Copper stocks at LME that were cornered by single traders in absence of restrictions at London’s deregulated markets. Financed by Banks flush with liquidity from QE2 Aluminum, Nickel, Zinc and Tin were too spiked with single buyers cornering over 50% LME stocks at London and sending prices sky high
10. But what off the demand?So Liquidity helped corner the metal stocks at LMEInvestors were roped in as markets boomed.Hence prices shot up at Christmas time when physical deliveries are traditionally the lowest. What were stock levels?
11. High Stocks At LME Warehouses If there is a real demand of metals worldwide why was inventories at LME at an all time high as per Citigroup?
12. High Production Low Off Take of Copper Global Copper production capacity of 23 million tones is much higher than Global consumption, dropping each year since 2004
14. Big buyer China has stockpiledChina which traditionally consumed 1.5 million tones per annum stockpiled heavily in 2009 importing 3.18 million tones of refined metal when copper prices had dropped to $3000/ tone. Bloomberg reported that off take has halved since but Shanghai has higher inventories than LME
15. Understanding copper’s manufacturing cycle The “pit to user” cycle of copper is 3-5 year period unlike oil which is much shorter at 6 -12 months. So investors pumping money into copper without knowing the manufacturing cycle may be in for a long haul.
17. The Copper CycleIs Complex And Long The cycle time of copper procurement is long and gives room to delay for purchases. High prices even helps the alloying and recycling market to grow and cut back on fresh copper consumption and reduce costs.
18. China moved early, built strategic reserves China, the largest consumer would buy copper long term, for infrastructure and energy projects. Hence China build its copper reserves in 2009, and may choose to avoid global buying at high peaks now.
19. China May Have The Last Laugh Investors searching quick profits may really be on the back foot and China who stockpiled early have the last laugh. Chile, Peru, Congo are witnessing Chinese companies entering the mining segment through unique barter deals despite resistance of the IMF and the Paris Club. They are creating a greater installed capacity and much larger “ore to China” inventories than forecast data.
20. Investors have panicked before In the month of July to Sept 2010 investors panicked and fled from oil investmentsas China and US stockpiles of crude at Cushing rose. The arbitrage had justvanished from 3 month future longs and cost of storage made even Morgan Stanley disinvest. As a result hedge funds turned bearish on oil futures for the first time in four years reports Bloomberg.
21. Investors could flee again It is quite possible that metals will also see such bear markets soon, especially as retail and consumer sales is just not present in metals as in oil, making stocks only a long term asset . Copper demand in China has been relatively weak during 2010 as expected and there is no other economy which can sustain the demand.
22. Goldman may soon write a Copper CDS! To hedge against losses in Copperand Metal Trade Goldman managers could soon be writing a hedging option, a derivative, within a month of recommending copper so stronglyat the Reuters Press Conference
23. Will investors be sucked into storage business To profit from metal trade especially copper, investors must be ready for a minimum time cycle of 5 years. Metals could be profitable, but only if you invest at the down cycle and are in the long term storage business conducive to manufacturing. Unfortunately we are now at a 10 year peak !
24. Metals ETF is not for the faint hearted If you are investing in metals plan to invest long term.And if you do plan, long term stocks may be an better option to ETF warehousing business, which could be very extended.
25. Investors must learn to manage their Risks It is not the business of Banks to do the risk management of your investment. Housing was just a sample . They are only geared to sell the various investment products and at best give a trend forecast. Delayed Forecasts often trap investors as Banks liquidate positions. It is the investors who must understand and manage risk and not leave it to Fund Managers
26. For it is investors who loose money It is less informed investors who loose money, not Banks whomanage to cover up their losses through the Fed and taxpayer largesse creating yet another asset class for sales.
27. The two dimensions of Risk There are two dimensions to every risk in the modern day world The technological and the financial
28. Investors must study both components of Risk The technological risk is often a manufacturing process phenomenon which most financial managers wrongly assess. Banks normally forecast based on financial trends. Investors must study both components of Risk themselves for safety.
29. Hedges give little benefit Manufacturing Companies need not hedge against copper prices. They must wait and reframe their buying schedules to the next quarter as the fresh round of QE2 liquidity re-adjusts to new investments
30. Buying from mining pitheads A third of the world’s produce of copper is still unregistered and available at pit heads at very attractive prices. They are but available only on pay and lift basis being in politically sensitive regions and only those with piles of cash can still make hay.
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32. Turning Copper threat into opportunity Efficient Recycling is the most effective of the six methods to reduce Copper prices. There are endless opportunities from professionalised scrap collection to classified segregation, testing and recycling and reprocessing. Since the last 50 years scrap usage in copper has hovered around 35% when it can go up to 50% considering that over 300 million tones of old copper scrap ( non-radio active) is currently available globally.
33. Efficient Recycling helps reduce consumption One reason why copper Consumption forecasts remain unpredictable is because of the role of recycling of scrap and continuous technology breakthroughs in the processing and recycling industry of late that is making major producers like Germany, Japan, China Belgium and Russia use less copper concentrate each year
34. Big Banks won’t find metal markets as liquid After the credit crisis the Big Banks did fairly well playing in the markets with TARP funds for profits. However metals are high value assets which are not liquid. ETF may not make metals liquid. Volatility in copper has been historically observed coinciding with the economic cycle, showing that purchases are made during cycles of affordability and can be deferred.
36. How Long Can Liquidity prop Prices ? With US Housing showing no signs of revival, the Banks and investors are playing with limited firepower .The 2008 peak copper price has been breached but it is unlikely that it can be sustained for the next 3 months.
37. Other presentations by us Business Risk management Series http://www.slideshare.net/SandipSen/living-dangerously-managing-risks-in-business-ba01ppt Business Risk Case Studies Ba31http://www.slideshare.net/SandipSen/business-risk-case-study-ba31 Business Risk Case Studies Ba32 http://www.slideshare.net/SandipSen/business-risk-case-study-ba-32-1751378
38. Business Risk Case Study – Ba 33 http://www.slideshare.net/SandipSen/business-risk-case-study-ba33 Risk Managing Oil Explorations http://www.slideshare.net/SandipSen/cfakepathrisk-managing-oil-explorations-erm-03 . Asia’s Rainy Day Economics . http://www.slideshare.net/SandipSen/asias-rainy-day-economics-currency-wars-and-market-volatility
39. What is Carbon – ERM-01 http://bit.ly/bjDTl2 Countering Peak Oil – ERM-02 http://www.slideshare.net/SandipSen/countering-peak-oil-erm-02
40. Climate Change Positive Solutions Series CE-01 http://www.slideshare.net/SandipSen/cop15bullshitting-15-years-on-climate-change http://tinyurl.com/luzxss Climate Change Positive Solutions Series CE-02 http://bit.ly/4kzzIz Climate Change Positive Solutions Series CE-82 http://bit.ly/XUrUd
41. References: WSJ, Business Week, Bloomberg, Financial Times, ICSG, Metal Prices. Com , Kitco, Citigroup, Guardian, Telegraph, mongabay .com, Reuters and London Metal Exchange and Ecothrust. Our Blog : Economy to Ecology: Our goal is to help promote clean, safe and better practices in economy and ecology worldwide. Balanced, efficient and a little more sustainable. Kindle Blog Ecothrust ASIN: B0029ZAUAY For non kindle users : www.ecothrust.blogspot.com Follow us at twitter : www.twitter.com/ecothrust Acknowledgements: To Google, flickr photolibrary and other image sources. For any queries or request for download, mail to Sandip Sen sen.sandip@gmail.com