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Praxis Business School




                Retail Business Plan

                    On Snack Bar

                       A report

                    Submitted to

               Prof. K. Dashrathraman

In partial fulfilment of the requirements of the course

                 Retail Management

                 On 7th August 2011

                          By

              Ashwin Agarwal (B10004)

             Deepika Agrawal (B10007)

            Nishant Khattwani (B10013)

             Sushmita Agrawal (B10035)
SUBMISSION: - 1
1. Environment Scan

   a. Retail Scenario In India




                                                                                Finally
                                                             Followed by        Manufacturing
                                                             Kirana Stores      era
                                             Hawkers         …….. Mom           necessitated
                                             carried out     and Popup          the small
                                             the first       Stores             stores and
                              Currency       Retailing in                       specialty
                              was            Push Carts                         stores .
                              exchanged
                              with goods
                  Barter
                              and
                  System
                              services




Retail word comes from the French word retailer, which refers “cutting off, clip and device”.
Retailing is the interface between the producer and the individual consumer buying for
personal consumption. This excludes direct interface between the manufacturer and
institutional buyers such as the government and other bulk customers. A retailer is one who
stocks the producer’s goods and is involved in the act of selling it to the individual
consumer, at a margin of profit. As such, retailing is the last link that connects the individual
consumer with the manufacturing and distribution chain. Indian retail sector comprises of
organized and unorganized sector.

Organised retailing refers to trading activities undertaken by licensed retailers, that is, those
who are registered for sales tax, income tax, etc. These include the corporate-backed
hypermarkets and retail chains, and also the privately owned large retail businesses.

Unorganised retailing, on the other hand, refers to the traditional formats of low-cost
retailing, for example, the local kirana shops, owner manned general stores, paan/beedi
shops, convenience stores, hand cart and pavement vendors, etc.
The Indian retail industry has grown at a Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 13.3%
for the period FY06-10. The growth in the Indian economy since the last decade and the
change in consumption pattern of the Indian populace in terms of higher proportion of
middle class population, greater proportion of working women etc can unarguably be linked
to the growth of the Indian retailing industry. Of all the segments in retail, the contribution
of ‘food & grocery’ remained the highest at 58% of the total retail sales during FY10, with
the ‘clothing & footwear’ segment remaining the second largest contributor occupying 10%
of the total retail pie during the same period. However in terms of growth figures, the
‘entertainment, books & sports goods equipment' segment outperformed the other retail
segments registering a CAGR of 22.5% during the period FY06-10.
In spite of the growth, the industry remains largely fragmented with the organized retailing
still at a nascent stage. In case of overall retailing revenues, the food & grocery segment
accounted for the highest share at 58% of the total retailing pie aggregating Rs.11.49 lakh
crore during FY10. In the organised retailing, the food & grocery segment stood as the
second largest contributor with revenues aggregating Rs.24273 crore during the same
period. However, the organised retail penetration of other segments such as clothing &
footwear, entertainment & books and furniture & furnishing surpassed that of the food &
grocery segment.

The Indian retail industry has witnessed rampant growth over the last decade. However,
during the economic recession since the latter half of FY09, the retailers especially in the
organised segment suffered a set-back in the form of declining revenues and halt in their
capex plans. The unemployment situation, further aggravating the fear of job losses during
the recession, resulted in muted consumer spending with the consumers choosing to spend
on necessities rather than discretionary items; the industry thus witnessed decline in
footfalls, conversion rate, which was especially apparent in the decline of same store sales.
The slowdown in consumer spending led to the inventory being stacked up resulting in a low
inventory turnaround ratio, registering a decline to 4.3 times during FY09 from 4.8 times
during FY08. Before the onset of recession, the large scale expansion plans of the Indian
retailers warranted an increase in inventory and greater store operating expenses in the
form of rentals and staff expenses thus increasing the working capital requirement.
However with the economic recession in effect, the retailers faced a liquidity crunch owing
to difficulties in raising funds both from the equity as well as debt markets. Additionally, the
funds raised during the economic boom attracted higher interest rates thereby affecting the
retailers' ability to service the interest as well as principal repayments during the downturn.
The total interest outgo of the retailers as tracked by CARE Research registered a y-o-y
growth of 78.6% during FY09.


Even though, post recession, the industry is witnessing a gradual turnaround, it is met by a
few stumbling blocks that constitute the challenges ahead for the Indian retail industry viz.
higher store rentals as compared to retailers globally, taxation & other policy regulations,
inefficiencies in supply chain management and higher rate of shrinkage.


In spite of the said challenges, CARE Research expects the Indian retail industry to grow on
the backdrop of expectant rise in the country’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) during the
period FY11-FY13. The rise in income level of the Indian populace, in turn, is expected to
fuel the domestic consumption ultimately resulting in higher revenues for the Indian
retailers. Importantly, CARE Research expects the penetration of organised retail in the total
retail pie to increase by FY13 owing to the expanding reach of the retailers to tier-II & III
cities accompanied by higher consumer spend on discretionary items. Also, in an attempt to
increase margins, CARE Research expects the retailers would restore to adapting measures
such as increasing the share of private labels in the total store sales, reducing store level
operating expenses etc.


Key Players in Indian Retail Sector

       Pantaloon Retail (India) – The first Pantaloon store was opened at Gariahat in
       Kolkata in the year 1997 covering 8,000-square-feet area. Over the years, the store
       has undergone several transitions. When it was launched, the store mostly sold
       external brands. Gradually, it started retailing an eclectic mix of external brands as
       well as private labels. Initially, it positioned itself as a family store targeted across
       age and gender groups but later it shifted its focus towards being a fashion store and
       gave more emphasis on the youth. As on Dec 2010, Pantaloons had around 44 stores
       spread across major cities in India.
Shopper’s Stop- A menswear store owned by K Raheja in the Mumbai suburb of
Andheri in 1991 has now transformed into Shopper’s Stop, with 27 departmental
stores. The company entered airport retailing in a joint venture with the Nuance
Group. It also launched India’s largest hypermarket, hyper city. In 2005, it bought the
Crossword bookstore chain.

Lifestyle-Growing from one store in Bahrain in 1973, the NRI-led Landmark Group
today operates over 5 million sq ft in the Middle East and India. The group’s first
Lifestyle store in India opened in Chennai in 1999. Now it has 325,000 sq ft in
Chennai, Hyderabad, Bangalore, Gurgaon and Mumbai. Its first hypermarket,
branded as ‘Max’, is expected to open soon.

Reliance Retail- Reliance Retail Ltd, a subsidiary of Reliance Industries Ltd, has an
aggressive plan to expand its retail network across India. It entered the food and
grocery segment in November 2006 through its convenience store format Reliance
Fresh. The store offers a range of fruits, vegetables, personal care, home care and
kitchen utensils. It focuses on building a strong relationship with the agri-business
value chain and sources directly from wholesalers. Reliance Retail also plans to
invest Rs 25,000 crore on hypermarkets, supermarkets and specialty stores in the
next four years.

Aditya Birla Retail-The Company, which will operate under the brand ‘More’, has
selected two formats – hypermarkets and supermarkets – for its initial foray. The
first store has opened in Pune. Last January, the company acquired Trinethra Super
Retail, which has given it more than 5, 00,000 sq ft and a strong presence in the
South. The Birlas’ outlay for the business over the next three years is Rs 9,000 crore.

Bharti Retail- The world’s largest retailer Wal-Mart, which is entering India, chose
Sunil Mittal’s Bharti Enterprises as its partner in India. The venture has already
started with the cash & carry (wholesale) format, which could be extended to retail
operations once foreign direct investment is allowed in multi-brand retail, as is
expected.
The Indian retail sector can be broadly classified into:
a) FOOD RETAILERS
  There are large number and variety of retailers in the food-retailing sector. Traditional
  types of retailers, who operate small single-outlet businesses mainly using family labour,
  dominate this sector .In comparison, super markets account for a small proportion of
  food sales in India. However the growth rate of super market sales has been significant
  in recent years because greater numbers of higher income Indians prefer to shop at
  super markets due to higher standards of hygiene and attractive ambience.



b) HEALTH & BEAUTY PRODUCTS
  With growth in income levels, Indians have started spending more on health and beauty
  products. Here also small, single-outlet retailers dominate the market. However in
  recent years, a few retail chains specializing in these products have come into the
  market. Although these retail chains account for only a small share of the total market ,
  their business is expected to grow significantly in the future due to the growing
  consciousness of the buyers towards health and appearance.


c) CLOTHING & FOOTWEAR
  Numerous clothing and footwear shops in shopping centres and markets operate all
  Over India. Traditional outlets stock a limited range of cheap and popular items, in
  contrast, modern clothing and footwear stores have modern products and attractive
  Displays to lure customers. However, with rapid urbanization, and changing patterns of
  consumer tastes and preferences, it is unlikely that the traditional outlets will survive
  the test of time.


d) HOME FURNITURE & HOUSEHOLD GOODS
  Small retailers again dominate this sector. Despite the large size of this market, very few
  large and modern retailers have established specialized stores for these Products.
  However there is considerable potential for the entry or expansion of specialized retail
  chains in the country.
e) DURABLE GOODS
   The Indian durable goods sector has seen the entry of a large number of foreign
   Companies during the post liberalization period. A greater variety of consumer
   Electronic items and household appliances became available to the Indian customer.
   Intense competition among companies to sell their brands provided a strong impetus to
   the growth for retailers doing business in this sector.



f) LEISURE & PERSONAL GOODS
   Increasing household incomes due to better economic opportunities have encouraged
   consumer expenditure on leisure and personal goods in the country. There are
   specialized retailers for each category of products (books, music products, etc.) in this
   sector. Another prominent feature of this sector is popularity of franchising agreements
   between established manufacturers and retailers.



   b. Key Drivers

1) Changes in demographics- India has the lowest median age of 24 as compared to
   developed countries. The composition of the Indian population is shifting towards the
   age group of 20-49 i.e. the working population with purchasing power. Thus, India has
   the largest ‘young’ population in terms of sheer size and this young segment is the major
   driver of consumption as they have the ability and willingness to spend.



2) Increased credit friendliness- There has been a radical change in the Indian
   consumers’ mindset regarding credit. With the easy availability of credit and declining
   interest rates, personal credit has witnessed growth. The boom in financing has resulted
   in an increase in spending on housing and consumer durables such as two-wheelers and
   cars etc. Also the use of plastic money has led to a significant increase in consumers
   engaging into shopping and eating out.
3) Rising Incomes- India is the second fastest growing economy in the world. A larger
   number of households are getting added to the consuming class with growth in income
   levels. Increasing instances of double incomes in most families coupled with the rise in
   spending power is further fuelling the growth of retail sector. Though this growth is
   most evident in urban areas, it has also taken place in rural markets.



4) Media- There has been an explosion in media as well during the past decade. This
   media bombardment has exposed the Indian consumer to the lifestyles of more affluent
   countries and raised their aspirations and expectations from the shopping experience —
   they want more choice, value, service, experience and convenience.



5) Consumer Behaviour- The growth of modern retail is linked to consumer needs,
   attitudes and behaviour. Rising income levels, education and global exposure have
   contributed to the evolution of the Indian middle class. As a result, purchasing and
   shopping habits have been inculcated and are increasing day by day. Today, people are
   willing to try new things and look different, which has increased spending on health and
   beauty products apart from apparels, food and grocery items.



6) Rural Market- The rural market is beginning to emerge as an important consumption
   area, for most key consumer durables and non-durable products. In response,
   manufacturers of consumer goods have begun developing new products and marketing
   strategies with the rural consumer in mind.



7) Supply Chain- The consumer goods sector has been transformed by increased
   liberalization, continuous reduction in customs duty, a shift from quota to tariff-based
   systems for imports and sophistication in manufacturing over the past few years. Entry
   restrictions for multinationals have been removed in nearly all sectors. All this has
   enabled chain retailers to enjoy better range, depth and sourcing options as well as
   improved average margins. There has been a proliferation in the range across all
categories, with a simultaneous increase in the supply of products and quality retail
   space.


8) Entry of Corporate- In contrast to the situation a decade ago, the level of interest in
   retailing as a growth opportunity has increased visibly now. Large conglomerates like the
   Tata’s & ITC have initiated investment in retailing. Big business houses today are in a
   position to provide the Indian masses with shopping satisfaction, entertainment, quality
   products, educated salespersons, product information and discounts.



9) Foreign Retailers- The increasing attractiveness of the sector has drawn the interest
   of a number of global retailers. With the opening up of the economy, more and more
   MNCs have entered the Indian business arena through joint ventures, franchisees or
   even self-owned stores.
    While foreign retailers cannot start operations on their own mainly because of FDI
   restrictions on the sector, a number of companies, are exploring entry options. In
   apparel, Benetton, Lifestyle and Zegna are already in business, and Dairy Farm has a
   number of retailing joint ventures in India.



10) Technology- The computerization of the various operations in a retail store —
   including inventory management, billing and payments as well as database
   management, widespread use of bar coding, point-of-sale terminals has changed the
   face of retailing drastically. Apart from providing the retailers with better and timely
   information about their operations, the technology also performs tasks such as
   preventing theft, promoting the store's goods and creating a better shopping
   environment. This is done with the help of closed-circuit televisions, video walls, in-store
   video networks, and other forms of interactive applications ranging from CD-ROMs to
   virtual reality to let customers select and buy products.
c. Key Challenges


Factors             Description               Implications
Barriers to         -100% FDI not permitted   -Absence       of     global
FDI                 -Franchisee arrangement players
                    allowed                   -Limited     exposure     to
                                              best practices
Lack of             -Government does not - Restricted availability
Industry            recognize the             of finance
Status              industry                  -Restricts   growth     and
                                              scaling up
Structural          - Lack of urbanization    -Lack of awareness of
Impediments         -Poor transportation      Indian consumers
                    infrastructure            - Restricted retail growth
                    -Consumers habit of       - Growth of small, one-
                    buying fresh food’s       store formats, with
                    administered pricing      unmatchable cost
                                              structure
                                              - Wastage of almost
                                              20%-25% of farm
                                              produce
High Cost of   - Pro-tenant rent laws      - Difficult to find good
Real           - Non-availability of       real estate in terms of
Estate         government land,            location and size
               zoning restrictions         - High land cost owing to
               - Lack of clear ownership constrained supply
               titles, high stamp duty     - Disorganized nature of
               (10%)                       transactions


Supply Chain   -Several segments like      - Limited product range
Bottlenecks    food and apparel            - Makes scaling up
               reserved for SSIs           difficult
               -Distribution, logistics    - High cost and
               constraints –               complexity of sourcing &
               Restrictions of purchase    planning
               and movement of             - Lack of value addition
               food grains, absence of     and increase in costs by
               cold chain infrastructure   almost 15%
               - Long intermediation
               chain




Complex        - Differential sales tax    - Added cost and
Taxation       rates across states         complexity of
System         - Multi-point octroi        distribution
               - Sales tax avoidance by    - Cost advantage for
               smaller stores              smaller stores through
                                           tax
evasion



Multiple          - Stringent labour laws     - Limits flexibility in
Legislations      governing hours of          operations
                  work, minimum wage          - Irritant value in
                  payments                    establishing chain
                  - Multiple                  operations;
                  licenses/clearances         adds to overall costs
                  required




Customer          -Local consumption          - Leads to product
Preferences       habits                      proliferation
                  - Need for variety          - Need to stock larger
                  - Cultural issues           number of SKUs at store
                                              level
                                              - Increases complexity in
                                              sourcing & planning
                                              - Increases the cost of
                                              store management
Availability of   - Highly educated class     - Lack of trained
Talent            does not consider           personnel
                  retailing a profession of   - Higher trial and error in
                  choice                      managing retail
                  - Lack of proper training   operations
                                              - Increase in personnel
costs



Manufacturers                  - No increase in margins        - Manufacturers refuse
Backlash                                                       to disinter mediate and
                                                               pass on intermediary
                                                               margins to retailers




2. Choice of Retail Business:
a. Reasons for choice
Fastfood Joint
Name: - Adda
Business description: To open a food joint, serving a variety of fast food. The value
proposition is to make available all kinds of fastfoods preferred by individuals which can be
consumed at any point of time during a day. The attraction factor would be a joint which
would serve the following eatables:-

       Chats
       Rolls(Veg/Non-Veg)
       Puchka
       Fruit juices
       Different types of sandwiches
       Fruit salads
       Cold drinks
       Mineral water
       Jhaal muri
       Churmur
at cheaper rates and there would be provision for sitting as well as take away. This joint
would be located in Park Street in kolkata as currently there is no such organised retail
providing such a service. The target audience for the above joint would be the working class
having corporate offices nearby and the youth. The joint will be spread on a 1000 square
feet area and will have a wooden floor.

Reasons for choice:

       Location: As Park Street is considered as one of the most convenient locations in
       kolkata from where every aspect of entertainment is easily accessible and at that
       juncture there is no such fastfood joint which provides such a variety of choices.
       Urbanisation: With rising media exposure and consumer mobility, hanging out at
       food joints in prime locations has been seen as a means of lifestyle in most cities.
       Edge over local competitors: The eatables provided by the local competitors are all
       scattered in different locations without a proper sitting arrangement. The edge
       which we have over these existing players is that we are bringing all the different
       types of products which they serve less than one roof along with providing them
       with a congenial environment.
       Other reasons
           o As it is a made to order industry, demand forecasting is less required
           o Scope for unlimited innovations according to the taste of the consumers
           o Easy availability of raw materials with less initial investment


   b. Others evaluated but dropped and why
Laundromat

One of the alternatives was to open a Laundromat. But it was discarded because we feel
that the Indian market is still not ready to accept this concept. Here the local laundries have
captured the major market. There exists stiff competition and hence scope for growth is
limited for a new player. Also, several added expenditures like maintenance, handling of
money which includes collections and loading coin changers, advertising, insurance,
licenses, rent, personal property tax, depreciation and interest charges are cutting a major
part of the profits.

We therefore felt that in this sector we wouldn’t be able to differentiate ourselves from the
local laundries already existing and hence opening a Laundromat did not incite us.

Highway cafe

Another alternative was to open a cafe lounge on a highway which would be atleast 4 to 5
kilometres from the city with added facilities like a ps3, foosegame and a wifi facility.
However, there are lots of challenges in pursuing this idea. One challenge we faced was the
security factor where customers would find it unsafe travelling on a highway at night.
Another hurdle we faced was the temperament of the consumers which was not in favour
to drive till highways to enjoy coffee. The plan would incur lots of capital expenditure. So,
we concluded that with an uncertainty of walk-ins, which will lead to less return on per sq.
ft. basis, the plan will not be feasible to carry.




3. For chosen retail business:
    a. Environment scan
    i. Global
The global fast food market grew by 6.6% in 2008 to reach a value of $154.7 billion. In 2013,
the global fast food market is forecasted to have a value of $200 billion, an increase of
29.3% since 2008. The global fast food market grew by 3% in 2008 to reach a volume of 85.8
billion transactions. In 2013, the global fast food market is forecasted to have a volume of
94.7 billion transactions, an increase of 10.4% since 2008. Quick Service Restaurant segment
leads the global fast food market, accounting for 66.3% of the market overall value.
Americans leads the global fast food market, accounting for 52.4% of the market overall
value.

Since, 1970, Americans spent about $6billion in the growth of fast food industry. In 2013,
global fast food market is forecasted to have a value of $200 billion. A generation ago,
three-quarters of the money used to buy food in United States was spent to prepare meals
at home. Today about half of the money used to buy food is spent at restaurants. Americans
now spend more money on fast food than on higher education, personal computers,
computer software, or new cars. Their expenditure on fast food is far higher than what they
spend on movies, books, magazines, newspapers, videos.

  ii. India

Upto the year 1995 Indian food market was predominantly dominated by the traditional
dhabas, potential restaurants in the customer’s colony and some restaurants in a five star
hotel. Having fast food i.e., burgers, pizzas etc., was considered to be an option for eating
out. It was not synonymous with the American concept of fast food as a quick takeaway bite
or a substitute for lunch. Apart from fast food being available at the local colony restaurants
and at some five star restaurants, Nirulas was the only fast food chain existing in the country
with its restaurants expanding with every passing year since its inception. Nirula’s was the
first one to bring fast food to India in the 1950’s and since then it has evolved into a
common hangout for all age groups.

The Indian fast food market is growing at around 30-35 percent per annum and generates
over 4800 Crores in sales. Fast Food Market in India is anticipated to reach around INR 146
Billion by 2014, growing at a CAGR of around 34% during 2011-2014 Fast-food restaurants
seem to be big business in India, and so a many foreign chains have made an entry into the
market to joint the early movers like McDonald's or KFC. According to “Indian Fast Food
Market Analysis”, although the market has witnessed a robust growth in the past couple of
years, it remains largely under penetrated and concentrated into metropolitan cities. India is
the world’s second largest producer of food next to china, and has the potential of being the
biggest with the food and agricultural sector. The total food production in India is likely to
double in next ten years. The foreign players look to dominate the Indian fast food industry
and have large plans for expansion. For instance, Domino's plans to open 60-65 outlets
every year for the next three years. With greater plans to explore the Indian market, Yum
Brands plans to open 1000 fast food outlets by 2015. McDonald's has set an invest goal of
nearly $35 Million to double its store count to nearly 350 in India. Multinational chains like
McDonald's, Pizza Hut, KFC or home grown ones like Sagar Ratna, Yo! China, Haldiram's,
Bikanervala or Nirula's, they are all racing to open new restaurants. McDonald's, which had
20 outlets in India till 2002, has 187 today. It plans to open 200 more over five years with an
investment of Rs 500 crore. Yum! Restaurants, owner of the KFC and Pizza Hut brands, plans
to add 15 and 20 outlets respectively.
The eating out market is on an upswing. The rising number of working women and nuclear
households, and an increase in general affluence have led to higher discretionary spending
on food. According to the Food Franchising Report 2009, 30 per cent of working singles eat
out at least once a month, with a majority spending at least Rs 101-150 per outing. Urban
Indians now have a repast outdoor six times a month compared to 2.7 times in 2003. Retail
consultancy Tech-nopak Advisors says the expenditure on eating out at 11 per cent is
second only to groceries for Indian households. Growth isn't the only change in the food
business. The shift from unorganised or street food towards a cleaner, more hygienic
environment is one, even as the proliferation of stalls selling steamed corn, doughnuts and
even sushi across malls, along with the success of South Indian cuisine in Delhi and butter
chicken in the South shows that Indians are willing to experiment.

Each of the foreign food joints that have come into the country has their own strategy lined
up to differ from the rest. Each of these studied the Indian tastes and style and thereby
targeted the Indian customer. An average Indian restaurant goer is no convenience eater,
unlike the Americans.




Growth Drivers of India’s food Industry

The growth of the food industry is driven by:


       Higher disposable incomes
       Change in spending pattern
       Increasing organised food retailing
       Increasing export opportunities
Porter’s 5 force model




Potential Entry            Bargaining              Buyer Bargaining        Industry Rivalry        Threats of
•Relatively high initial   Power of                Power of Buyers         •Low pricing power      substitutes
 capital outlay            Customers               •Regional franchises    •Low margins            •High product
•Growing industry                                   exhibit market power   •Market consolidation    differentiation (e.g.
                           •Fragmented
 consolidation                                     •Many substitute                                 meal solutions)
                            customer base
•Economies of scale                                 suppliers                                      •Many local industry
                           •Relatively low
•Logistics learning         average purchase       •Low operator brand                              players
 curve                                              loyalty                                         (e.g., independent
                           •Rising segment of
•Low switching costs                               •Low switching costs                             caterers)
                            discerning consumers
 for customers                                      (e.g. distribution                             •Few global industry
                                                    channels)                                       players
                                                                                                    (e.g., KFC, McDonalds
                                                                                                    etc.).
                                                                                                   •Low switching costs
                                                                                                    for customers




     SWOT Analysis

     Strengths

          1. Quick Service: - one of the biggest strengths of fast food is that it provides quick
                service. The biggest advantage of this is that it saves a lot of time. And in this modern
                world time is money hence quick service is the biggest strength
          2. Affordable: - Usually fast food is priced at a very affordable rate which starts from
                rupees 2. Though the prices are low in the fast food industry, the quantity is more
                and hence value for money.
          3. Attraction: - The advertisements of fast food are very flashy and appealing
                especially to the youth and the younger generation. One of the most important
people in the buying decision is the kids who are influenced by ads on TV who in turn
     influence their parents. Hence it boosts the sales.


Weakness

  1. Different Preferences: - India is a land of diversity. People in India have different
     preferences and taste. The fast food industry cannot cater to all the tastes and
     preferences of people. For e.g. some people eat Non – Veg and some don’t eat non –
     veg, thus creating a problem. Such problems have risen at KFC and McDonalds.
     Another difference in preference can be seen in the choice of the type of food. Some
     people prefer South Indian while some prefer North Indian. So a south Indian joint
     selling masala dosa cannot start selling chole bature as per customers’ preference.

  2. Lack of customization: - Fast food is usually pre-made and pre-packed and not
     fresh from the oven. So once the dish is made it cannot be altered according to the
     customer’s choice or preference. For e.g. a McDonalds burger is prepared much
     before the customer purchases it and he has to buy it as it is. Even if the customer
     wants the burger without onion or cheese still he has to purchase it due to lack of
     customization.
  3. Unhygienic and unhealthy: - Most of the times though being tasty the oil
     content in fast food is very high. Hence people are now moving away from fast food.
     The fast food prepared is also unhygienic especially at the road side joints. Hence
     these are considered weaknesses to the fast food industry.



Opportunities

  1. Growing nuclear families: - Nowadays it is said to be the age of the fast food.
     Parents and kids especially prefer fast food due to its quick service and for its
     satisfying appetite at affordable prices. This is a growing opportunity for the industry
     because families nowadays prefer eating out, rather than cooking at home.
2. Growing urban lifestyle: - The growth story of India is not limited to metro
     cities. Now it has also found its way into some rural areas and some semi– urban
     cities. Fast food joints are not a thing of big cities now. People in cities and towns are
     now having additional incomes in their pockets. Eating out now is a normal thing for
     the homely people in the semi urban areas.



Threats

  1. Oppositions from various organizations: - Due to the various preferences in
     the food some opposition is received by the fast food industry. As reported in the
     papers organizations like PETA are opposing the use of beef fat in the items of
     McDonalds. There was also a huge hullabaloo when Kentucky Fried Chicken (KFC)
     was being introduced to India. This is a major threat to the fast food industry.
  2. Location: - One of the major threats in India is from the location point of view. Fast
     food joints can’t be opened in certain locations even though there might be evidence
     of major consumer demand in the area. For e.g. a Hindu dominated area might pose
     a threat to joints serving beef related products since the cow is considered sacred to
     them.
  3. Ready- to-eat: - Nowadays ready to eat products are more in demand in the
     market owing to the fact that consumers have to take minimum trouble in
     preparation out of which the results are healthy food, rich nutritional value, easy on
     pockets and higher value for money as compared to the foods available in a fast food
     joint.
  4. Health Concerns: - Due to the low quality ingredients used in the majority of local
     fast food joints, the sanitation and the hygiene factors which are mostly not
     maintained, have given cause to various medical and other health related
     organizations and certain NGO’s who have taken it up to voice these issues and bring
     it to the attention of the general public. Thus directing the attention of the public to
     change the tastes to foods that are more hygienic and safe. Here canned foodstuffs
     stand to gain advantage.
b. Current Players
i. Global
         Year 2010                    Rs per Month          Rs per sqft per Month
                                                     Global
                                McDonalds     Yum        McDonalds          Yum
Average sqft size of a store       3000.00       3000.00
Net Sales                       2665394.53    1098243.24          888.46 366.08
Gross Margin                          0.77          0.72            0.77       0.72
RGM                             2058597.66     793885.14          686.20 264.63
OPEX                            1256917.97     632736.49          418.97 210.91
EBITDA                           801679.69     161148.65          267.23      53.72


ii. India

                        Jubiliant Food works Limited(JFL)

No of stores across india             378

Average store size in sqft           2000
                                             For a store
                                             Rs/month in       Rs per sqft
                                 Rupees      2011              per Month
Total income                   6783300000
Total expenditure              5581600000
EBITDA                         1201700000       264925.0441     220.7708701


(Source: http://www.dominos.co.in/admin/en/filestore/9c2b2ac601ce0307f2c48b469b107711.pdf )

* Please refer to the attached excel for further details.


c. Market size in India:
i. Current
India's fast food market is worth US$9.33 billion, registering year-on-year growth of 9% in
2010. The market is stipulated to reach US$12.25 billion, with CAGR of 7% in the next 3-5
years (2010-2014).The moderate growth is primarily attributed to higher regional and local
penetration of fast food outlets in Tier II and Tier III cities along with improved household
disposable income. Demographic segments aged between 25-35 years are the largest
consumers of fast food, with approximately 35% eating out once a month in cosmopolitan
cities such as Bangalore, Hyderabad, Mumbai, Delhi, Kolkata, etc. The fast food market
volume sales stood at 455.9 billion transactions, with year-on-year growth of 9.1% in 2010.


ii. Look up in 5, 10 and 15 years and CAGR


     Year                   2011               2016             2021                  2026
 Market Size(in             9.33             40.30934         174.1525              752.4084
   billion $)
    CAGR                    34%                  34%             34%                      34%


According to our new research report, “Indian Fast Food Market Analysis”, the Indian Fast
Food Industry is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of around 34% during 2011-2014.
Anticipating the future growth, many big international players are entering into the market
by making deals with the domestic players. And those already present in the Indian market
are expanding their presence in different provinces of the country. This trend will emerge
more strongly during our forecast period, providing opportunities to local players to widen
their product portfolios.

Key Drivers and Key Challenges



                                                        -High cost of real estate
                             Key                        -Health related issues: obesity
                             Drivers                    -Lack of skilled manpower
                                                        -Increased Competition




                      -Growing disposable income
                      -Favourable demographics
                      -Changing lifestyles and
                      preferences                                      Key
                      -Increasing proportion of take                   Challenge
                      away food
                                                                       s
                      -Increasing number of working
                      women
d. Key Drivers


      Growing disposable income – emergence of double income group leads to
      increase in disposable income. Now people have more disposable income so they
      can spend easily in fast food and other activities.



      Favourable demographics- Target market of fast food is normally considered
      within the age of 15 to 50.The percentage of this age group is increasing very rapidly.
      So, fast food players change their policies and products to attract this so much large
      sector of population. When population increases, there is also an increase in
      references because of large personality differences.



      Changing lifestyles and preferences- Change in the lifestyle of demographics
      is very important forces which become the cause of change in fast food industry near
      in future. Fast food in developing countries is considered as junk but in some it is
      considered as a status symbol. So, companies set their rices and other marketing mix
      tools accordingly but now the lifestyle of developing countries is changing. So, fast
      food chains in these places are changing their ways of doing business.



      Increasing proportion of take away food- Nowadays it is said to be the age of
      fast food. Parents and kids especially refer fast food due to its quick service and for
      its satisfying appetite at an affordable price. This has resulted in an increasing
      demand for take away food.



      Increasing number of working women- working women have no time for
      cooking, and if they have then also they don’t want to cook. Because they want to
      come out of the traditionally defined gender roles. They do not want to confine
      themselves to household work and upbringing of children’s.
e. Key Challenges

      High cost of real estate- with the growing economy, land value is appreciating
      continuously. Getting a land in a main area would cost a huge sum which would have
      a direct impact on the investments.


      Health related issues:
         a) Obesity: Studies have shown that a typical fast food has very high density
             and food with high density causes people to eat more then they usually need.
         b) Low calories food: Emphasis is now more on low calorie food. In this line
             McDonald has a plan to introduce all white meat chicken Mc Nugget with less
             fat and fewer calories.


      Lack of skilled manpower- To maintain a proper decorum and serving hygienic,
      is not possible without skilled labour. Getting skilled labour in the budget would be a
      challenge for the business.


      Increased competition- While the fastfood sector has long been regarded as
      competitive, the level of rivalry only intensifies. Numerous chains are expanding:
      multi-unit development deals are being inked left, right, and centre. Brands like
      Subway, Krispy Kreme, Camille's Sidewalk Café, Cosi Inc, Whata burger, Papa
      Murphy's, Moes Southwest Grills and Bob's Big Boy are all on the expansion trail.
      Meanwhile, a number of incumbent chains and/or their franchisees are struggling to
      return positive results on existing operations. One well-known example is Burger
      King where one high profile multi-unit franchisee went bankrupt, and improved sales
      and profits are vital in turning other franchisees and the franchiser operation
      around.
                                       -----End of Text------

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Retail management project

  • 1. Praxis Business School Retail Business Plan On Snack Bar A report Submitted to Prof. K. Dashrathraman In partial fulfilment of the requirements of the course Retail Management On 7th August 2011 By Ashwin Agarwal (B10004) Deepika Agrawal (B10007) Nishant Khattwani (B10013) Sushmita Agrawal (B10035)
  • 3. 1. Environment Scan a. Retail Scenario In India Finally Followed by Manufacturing Kirana Stores era Hawkers …….. Mom necessitated carried out and Popup the small the first Stores stores and Currency Retailing in specialty was Push Carts stores . exchanged with goods Barter and System services Retail word comes from the French word retailer, which refers “cutting off, clip and device”. Retailing is the interface between the producer and the individual consumer buying for personal consumption. This excludes direct interface between the manufacturer and institutional buyers such as the government and other bulk customers. A retailer is one who stocks the producer’s goods and is involved in the act of selling it to the individual consumer, at a margin of profit. As such, retailing is the last link that connects the individual consumer with the manufacturing and distribution chain. Indian retail sector comprises of organized and unorganized sector. Organised retailing refers to trading activities undertaken by licensed retailers, that is, those who are registered for sales tax, income tax, etc. These include the corporate-backed hypermarkets and retail chains, and also the privately owned large retail businesses. Unorganised retailing, on the other hand, refers to the traditional formats of low-cost retailing, for example, the local kirana shops, owner manned general stores, paan/beedi shops, convenience stores, hand cart and pavement vendors, etc.
  • 4. The Indian retail industry has grown at a Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 13.3% for the period FY06-10. The growth in the Indian economy since the last decade and the change in consumption pattern of the Indian populace in terms of higher proportion of middle class population, greater proportion of working women etc can unarguably be linked to the growth of the Indian retailing industry. Of all the segments in retail, the contribution of ‘food & grocery’ remained the highest at 58% of the total retail sales during FY10, with the ‘clothing & footwear’ segment remaining the second largest contributor occupying 10% of the total retail pie during the same period. However in terms of growth figures, the ‘entertainment, books & sports goods equipment' segment outperformed the other retail segments registering a CAGR of 22.5% during the period FY06-10. In spite of the growth, the industry remains largely fragmented with the organized retailing still at a nascent stage. In case of overall retailing revenues, the food & grocery segment accounted for the highest share at 58% of the total retailing pie aggregating Rs.11.49 lakh crore during FY10. In the organised retailing, the food & grocery segment stood as the second largest contributor with revenues aggregating Rs.24273 crore during the same period. However, the organised retail penetration of other segments such as clothing & footwear, entertainment & books and furniture & furnishing surpassed that of the food & grocery segment. The Indian retail industry has witnessed rampant growth over the last decade. However, during the economic recession since the latter half of FY09, the retailers especially in the organised segment suffered a set-back in the form of declining revenues and halt in their capex plans. The unemployment situation, further aggravating the fear of job losses during the recession, resulted in muted consumer spending with the consumers choosing to spend on necessities rather than discretionary items; the industry thus witnessed decline in footfalls, conversion rate, which was especially apparent in the decline of same store sales. The slowdown in consumer spending led to the inventory being stacked up resulting in a low inventory turnaround ratio, registering a decline to 4.3 times during FY09 from 4.8 times during FY08. Before the onset of recession, the large scale expansion plans of the Indian retailers warranted an increase in inventory and greater store operating expenses in the form of rentals and staff expenses thus increasing the working capital requirement. However with the economic recession in effect, the retailers faced a liquidity crunch owing
  • 5. to difficulties in raising funds both from the equity as well as debt markets. Additionally, the funds raised during the economic boom attracted higher interest rates thereby affecting the retailers' ability to service the interest as well as principal repayments during the downturn. The total interest outgo of the retailers as tracked by CARE Research registered a y-o-y growth of 78.6% during FY09. Even though, post recession, the industry is witnessing a gradual turnaround, it is met by a few stumbling blocks that constitute the challenges ahead for the Indian retail industry viz. higher store rentals as compared to retailers globally, taxation & other policy regulations, inefficiencies in supply chain management and higher rate of shrinkage. In spite of the said challenges, CARE Research expects the Indian retail industry to grow on the backdrop of expectant rise in the country’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) during the period FY11-FY13. The rise in income level of the Indian populace, in turn, is expected to fuel the domestic consumption ultimately resulting in higher revenues for the Indian retailers. Importantly, CARE Research expects the penetration of organised retail in the total retail pie to increase by FY13 owing to the expanding reach of the retailers to tier-II & III cities accompanied by higher consumer spend on discretionary items. Also, in an attempt to increase margins, CARE Research expects the retailers would restore to adapting measures such as increasing the share of private labels in the total store sales, reducing store level operating expenses etc. Key Players in Indian Retail Sector Pantaloon Retail (India) – The first Pantaloon store was opened at Gariahat in Kolkata in the year 1997 covering 8,000-square-feet area. Over the years, the store has undergone several transitions. When it was launched, the store mostly sold external brands. Gradually, it started retailing an eclectic mix of external brands as well as private labels. Initially, it positioned itself as a family store targeted across age and gender groups but later it shifted its focus towards being a fashion store and gave more emphasis on the youth. As on Dec 2010, Pantaloons had around 44 stores spread across major cities in India.
  • 6. Shopper’s Stop- A menswear store owned by K Raheja in the Mumbai suburb of Andheri in 1991 has now transformed into Shopper’s Stop, with 27 departmental stores. The company entered airport retailing in a joint venture with the Nuance Group. It also launched India’s largest hypermarket, hyper city. In 2005, it bought the Crossword bookstore chain. Lifestyle-Growing from one store in Bahrain in 1973, the NRI-led Landmark Group today operates over 5 million sq ft in the Middle East and India. The group’s first Lifestyle store in India opened in Chennai in 1999. Now it has 325,000 sq ft in Chennai, Hyderabad, Bangalore, Gurgaon and Mumbai. Its first hypermarket, branded as ‘Max’, is expected to open soon. Reliance Retail- Reliance Retail Ltd, a subsidiary of Reliance Industries Ltd, has an aggressive plan to expand its retail network across India. It entered the food and grocery segment in November 2006 through its convenience store format Reliance Fresh. The store offers a range of fruits, vegetables, personal care, home care and kitchen utensils. It focuses on building a strong relationship with the agri-business value chain and sources directly from wholesalers. Reliance Retail also plans to invest Rs 25,000 crore on hypermarkets, supermarkets and specialty stores in the next four years. Aditya Birla Retail-The Company, which will operate under the brand ‘More’, has selected two formats – hypermarkets and supermarkets – for its initial foray. The first store has opened in Pune. Last January, the company acquired Trinethra Super Retail, which has given it more than 5, 00,000 sq ft and a strong presence in the South. The Birlas’ outlay for the business over the next three years is Rs 9,000 crore. Bharti Retail- The world’s largest retailer Wal-Mart, which is entering India, chose Sunil Mittal’s Bharti Enterprises as its partner in India. The venture has already started with the cash & carry (wholesale) format, which could be extended to retail operations once foreign direct investment is allowed in multi-brand retail, as is expected.
  • 7. The Indian retail sector can be broadly classified into: a) FOOD RETAILERS There are large number and variety of retailers in the food-retailing sector. Traditional types of retailers, who operate small single-outlet businesses mainly using family labour, dominate this sector .In comparison, super markets account for a small proportion of food sales in India. However the growth rate of super market sales has been significant in recent years because greater numbers of higher income Indians prefer to shop at super markets due to higher standards of hygiene and attractive ambience. b) HEALTH & BEAUTY PRODUCTS With growth in income levels, Indians have started spending more on health and beauty products. Here also small, single-outlet retailers dominate the market. However in recent years, a few retail chains specializing in these products have come into the market. Although these retail chains account for only a small share of the total market , their business is expected to grow significantly in the future due to the growing consciousness of the buyers towards health and appearance. c) CLOTHING & FOOTWEAR Numerous clothing and footwear shops in shopping centres and markets operate all Over India. Traditional outlets stock a limited range of cheap and popular items, in contrast, modern clothing and footwear stores have modern products and attractive Displays to lure customers. However, with rapid urbanization, and changing patterns of consumer tastes and preferences, it is unlikely that the traditional outlets will survive the test of time. d) HOME FURNITURE & HOUSEHOLD GOODS Small retailers again dominate this sector. Despite the large size of this market, very few large and modern retailers have established specialized stores for these Products. However there is considerable potential for the entry or expansion of specialized retail chains in the country.
  • 8. e) DURABLE GOODS The Indian durable goods sector has seen the entry of a large number of foreign Companies during the post liberalization period. A greater variety of consumer Electronic items and household appliances became available to the Indian customer. Intense competition among companies to sell their brands provided a strong impetus to the growth for retailers doing business in this sector. f) LEISURE & PERSONAL GOODS Increasing household incomes due to better economic opportunities have encouraged consumer expenditure on leisure and personal goods in the country. There are specialized retailers for each category of products (books, music products, etc.) in this sector. Another prominent feature of this sector is popularity of franchising agreements between established manufacturers and retailers. b. Key Drivers 1) Changes in demographics- India has the lowest median age of 24 as compared to developed countries. The composition of the Indian population is shifting towards the age group of 20-49 i.e. the working population with purchasing power. Thus, India has the largest ‘young’ population in terms of sheer size and this young segment is the major driver of consumption as they have the ability and willingness to spend. 2) Increased credit friendliness- There has been a radical change in the Indian consumers’ mindset regarding credit. With the easy availability of credit and declining interest rates, personal credit has witnessed growth. The boom in financing has resulted in an increase in spending on housing and consumer durables such as two-wheelers and cars etc. Also the use of plastic money has led to a significant increase in consumers engaging into shopping and eating out.
  • 9. 3) Rising Incomes- India is the second fastest growing economy in the world. A larger number of households are getting added to the consuming class with growth in income levels. Increasing instances of double incomes in most families coupled with the rise in spending power is further fuelling the growth of retail sector. Though this growth is most evident in urban areas, it has also taken place in rural markets. 4) Media- There has been an explosion in media as well during the past decade. This media bombardment has exposed the Indian consumer to the lifestyles of more affluent countries and raised their aspirations and expectations from the shopping experience — they want more choice, value, service, experience and convenience. 5) Consumer Behaviour- The growth of modern retail is linked to consumer needs, attitudes and behaviour. Rising income levels, education and global exposure have contributed to the evolution of the Indian middle class. As a result, purchasing and shopping habits have been inculcated and are increasing day by day. Today, people are willing to try new things and look different, which has increased spending on health and beauty products apart from apparels, food and grocery items. 6) Rural Market- The rural market is beginning to emerge as an important consumption area, for most key consumer durables and non-durable products. In response, manufacturers of consumer goods have begun developing new products and marketing strategies with the rural consumer in mind. 7) Supply Chain- The consumer goods sector has been transformed by increased liberalization, continuous reduction in customs duty, a shift from quota to tariff-based systems for imports and sophistication in manufacturing over the past few years. Entry restrictions for multinationals have been removed in nearly all sectors. All this has enabled chain retailers to enjoy better range, depth and sourcing options as well as improved average margins. There has been a proliferation in the range across all
  • 10. categories, with a simultaneous increase in the supply of products and quality retail space. 8) Entry of Corporate- In contrast to the situation a decade ago, the level of interest in retailing as a growth opportunity has increased visibly now. Large conglomerates like the Tata’s & ITC have initiated investment in retailing. Big business houses today are in a position to provide the Indian masses with shopping satisfaction, entertainment, quality products, educated salespersons, product information and discounts. 9) Foreign Retailers- The increasing attractiveness of the sector has drawn the interest of a number of global retailers. With the opening up of the economy, more and more MNCs have entered the Indian business arena through joint ventures, franchisees or even self-owned stores. While foreign retailers cannot start operations on their own mainly because of FDI restrictions on the sector, a number of companies, are exploring entry options. In apparel, Benetton, Lifestyle and Zegna are already in business, and Dairy Farm has a number of retailing joint ventures in India. 10) Technology- The computerization of the various operations in a retail store — including inventory management, billing and payments as well as database management, widespread use of bar coding, point-of-sale terminals has changed the face of retailing drastically. Apart from providing the retailers with better and timely information about their operations, the technology also performs tasks such as preventing theft, promoting the store's goods and creating a better shopping environment. This is done with the help of closed-circuit televisions, video walls, in-store video networks, and other forms of interactive applications ranging from CD-ROMs to virtual reality to let customers select and buy products.
  • 11. c. Key Challenges Factors Description Implications Barriers to -100% FDI not permitted -Absence of global FDI -Franchisee arrangement players allowed -Limited exposure to best practices Lack of -Government does not - Restricted availability Industry recognize the of finance Status industry -Restricts growth and scaling up Structural - Lack of urbanization -Lack of awareness of Impediments -Poor transportation Indian consumers infrastructure - Restricted retail growth -Consumers habit of - Growth of small, one- buying fresh food’s store formats, with administered pricing unmatchable cost structure - Wastage of almost 20%-25% of farm produce
  • 12. High Cost of - Pro-tenant rent laws - Difficult to find good Real - Non-availability of real estate in terms of Estate government land, location and size zoning restrictions - High land cost owing to - Lack of clear ownership constrained supply titles, high stamp duty - Disorganized nature of (10%) transactions Supply Chain -Several segments like - Limited product range Bottlenecks food and apparel - Makes scaling up reserved for SSIs difficult -Distribution, logistics - High cost and constraints – complexity of sourcing & Restrictions of purchase planning and movement of - Lack of value addition food grains, absence of and increase in costs by cold chain infrastructure almost 15% - Long intermediation chain Complex - Differential sales tax - Added cost and Taxation rates across states complexity of System - Multi-point octroi distribution - Sales tax avoidance by - Cost advantage for smaller stores smaller stores through tax
  • 13. evasion Multiple - Stringent labour laws - Limits flexibility in Legislations governing hours of operations work, minimum wage - Irritant value in payments establishing chain - Multiple operations; licenses/clearances adds to overall costs required Customer -Local consumption - Leads to product Preferences habits proliferation - Need for variety - Need to stock larger - Cultural issues number of SKUs at store level - Increases complexity in sourcing & planning - Increases the cost of store management Availability of - Highly educated class - Lack of trained Talent does not consider personnel retailing a profession of - Higher trial and error in choice managing retail - Lack of proper training operations - Increase in personnel
  • 14. costs Manufacturers - No increase in margins - Manufacturers refuse Backlash to disinter mediate and pass on intermediary margins to retailers 2. Choice of Retail Business: a. Reasons for choice Fastfood Joint Name: - Adda Business description: To open a food joint, serving a variety of fast food. The value proposition is to make available all kinds of fastfoods preferred by individuals which can be consumed at any point of time during a day. The attraction factor would be a joint which would serve the following eatables:- Chats Rolls(Veg/Non-Veg) Puchka Fruit juices Different types of sandwiches Fruit salads Cold drinks Mineral water Jhaal muri Churmur
  • 15. at cheaper rates and there would be provision for sitting as well as take away. This joint would be located in Park Street in kolkata as currently there is no such organised retail providing such a service. The target audience for the above joint would be the working class having corporate offices nearby and the youth. The joint will be spread on a 1000 square feet area and will have a wooden floor. Reasons for choice: Location: As Park Street is considered as one of the most convenient locations in kolkata from where every aspect of entertainment is easily accessible and at that juncture there is no such fastfood joint which provides such a variety of choices. Urbanisation: With rising media exposure and consumer mobility, hanging out at food joints in prime locations has been seen as a means of lifestyle in most cities. Edge over local competitors: The eatables provided by the local competitors are all scattered in different locations without a proper sitting arrangement. The edge which we have over these existing players is that we are bringing all the different types of products which they serve less than one roof along with providing them with a congenial environment. Other reasons o As it is a made to order industry, demand forecasting is less required o Scope for unlimited innovations according to the taste of the consumers o Easy availability of raw materials with less initial investment b. Others evaluated but dropped and why Laundromat One of the alternatives was to open a Laundromat. But it was discarded because we feel that the Indian market is still not ready to accept this concept. Here the local laundries have captured the major market. There exists stiff competition and hence scope for growth is limited for a new player. Also, several added expenditures like maintenance, handling of money which includes collections and loading coin changers, advertising, insurance,
  • 16. licenses, rent, personal property tax, depreciation and interest charges are cutting a major part of the profits. We therefore felt that in this sector we wouldn’t be able to differentiate ourselves from the local laundries already existing and hence opening a Laundromat did not incite us. Highway cafe Another alternative was to open a cafe lounge on a highway which would be atleast 4 to 5 kilometres from the city with added facilities like a ps3, foosegame and a wifi facility. However, there are lots of challenges in pursuing this idea. One challenge we faced was the security factor where customers would find it unsafe travelling on a highway at night. Another hurdle we faced was the temperament of the consumers which was not in favour to drive till highways to enjoy coffee. The plan would incur lots of capital expenditure. So, we concluded that with an uncertainty of walk-ins, which will lead to less return on per sq. ft. basis, the plan will not be feasible to carry. 3. For chosen retail business: a. Environment scan i. Global The global fast food market grew by 6.6% in 2008 to reach a value of $154.7 billion. In 2013, the global fast food market is forecasted to have a value of $200 billion, an increase of 29.3% since 2008. The global fast food market grew by 3% in 2008 to reach a volume of 85.8 billion transactions. In 2013, the global fast food market is forecasted to have a volume of 94.7 billion transactions, an increase of 10.4% since 2008. Quick Service Restaurant segment leads the global fast food market, accounting for 66.3% of the market overall value. Americans leads the global fast food market, accounting for 52.4% of the market overall value. Since, 1970, Americans spent about $6billion in the growth of fast food industry. In 2013, global fast food market is forecasted to have a value of $200 billion. A generation ago, three-quarters of the money used to buy food in United States was spent to prepare meals
  • 17. at home. Today about half of the money used to buy food is spent at restaurants. Americans now spend more money on fast food than on higher education, personal computers, computer software, or new cars. Their expenditure on fast food is far higher than what they spend on movies, books, magazines, newspapers, videos. ii. India Upto the year 1995 Indian food market was predominantly dominated by the traditional dhabas, potential restaurants in the customer’s colony and some restaurants in a five star hotel. Having fast food i.e., burgers, pizzas etc., was considered to be an option for eating out. It was not synonymous with the American concept of fast food as a quick takeaway bite or a substitute for lunch. Apart from fast food being available at the local colony restaurants and at some five star restaurants, Nirulas was the only fast food chain existing in the country with its restaurants expanding with every passing year since its inception. Nirula’s was the first one to bring fast food to India in the 1950’s and since then it has evolved into a common hangout for all age groups. The Indian fast food market is growing at around 30-35 percent per annum and generates over 4800 Crores in sales. Fast Food Market in India is anticipated to reach around INR 146 Billion by 2014, growing at a CAGR of around 34% during 2011-2014 Fast-food restaurants seem to be big business in India, and so a many foreign chains have made an entry into the market to joint the early movers like McDonald's or KFC. According to “Indian Fast Food Market Analysis”, although the market has witnessed a robust growth in the past couple of years, it remains largely under penetrated and concentrated into metropolitan cities. India is the world’s second largest producer of food next to china, and has the potential of being the biggest with the food and agricultural sector. The total food production in India is likely to double in next ten years. The foreign players look to dominate the Indian fast food industry and have large plans for expansion. For instance, Domino's plans to open 60-65 outlets every year for the next three years. With greater plans to explore the Indian market, Yum Brands plans to open 1000 fast food outlets by 2015. McDonald's has set an invest goal of nearly $35 Million to double its store count to nearly 350 in India. Multinational chains like McDonald's, Pizza Hut, KFC or home grown ones like Sagar Ratna, Yo! China, Haldiram's, Bikanervala or Nirula's, they are all racing to open new restaurants. McDonald's, which had
  • 18. 20 outlets in India till 2002, has 187 today. It plans to open 200 more over five years with an investment of Rs 500 crore. Yum! Restaurants, owner of the KFC and Pizza Hut brands, plans to add 15 and 20 outlets respectively. The eating out market is on an upswing. The rising number of working women and nuclear households, and an increase in general affluence have led to higher discretionary spending on food. According to the Food Franchising Report 2009, 30 per cent of working singles eat out at least once a month, with a majority spending at least Rs 101-150 per outing. Urban Indians now have a repast outdoor six times a month compared to 2.7 times in 2003. Retail consultancy Tech-nopak Advisors says the expenditure on eating out at 11 per cent is second only to groceries for Indian households. Growth isn't the only change in the food business. The shift from unorganised or street food towards a cleaner, more hygienic environment is one, even as the proliferation of stalls selling steamed corn, doughnuts and even sushi across malls, along with the success of South Indian cuisine in Delhi and butter chicken in the South shows that Indians are willing to experiment. Each of the foreign food joints that have come into the country has their own strategy lined up to differ from the rest. Each of these studied the Indian tastes and style and thereby targeted the Indian customer. An average Indian restaurant goer is no convenience eater, unlike the Americans. Growth Drivers of India’s food Industry The growth of the food industry is driven by: Higher disposable incomes Change in spending pattern Increasing organised food retailing Increasing export opportunities
  • 19. Porter’s 5 force model Potential Entry Bargaining Buyer Bargaining Industry Rivalry Threats of •Relatively high initial Power of Power of Buyers •Low pricing power substitutes capital outlay Customers •Regional franchises •Low margins •High product •Growing industry exhibit market power •Market consolidation differentiation (e.g. •Fragmented consolidation •Many substitute meal solutions) customer base •Economies of scale suppliers •Many local industry •Relatively low •Logistics learning average purchase •Low operator brand players curve loyalty (e.g., independent •Rising segment of •Low switching costs •Low switching costs caterers) discerning consumers for customers (e.g. distribution •Few global industry channels) players (e.g., KFC, McDonalds etc.). •Low switching costs for customers SWOT Analysis Strengths 1. Quick Service: - one of the biggest strengths of fast food is that it provides quick service. The biggest advantage of this is that it saves a lot of time. And in this modern world time is money hence quick service is the biggest strength 2. Affordable: - Usually fast food is priced at a very affordable rate which starts from rupees 2. Though the prices are low in the fast food industry, the quantity is more and hence value for money. 3. Attraction: - The advertisements of fast food are very flashy and appealing especially to the youth and the younger generation. One of the most important
  • 20. people in the buying decision is the kids who are influenced by ads on TV who in turn influence their parents. Hence it boosts the sales. Weakness 1. Different Preferences: - India is a land of diversity. People in India have different preferences and taste. The fast food industry cannot cater to all the tastes and preferences of people. For e.g. some people eat Non – Veg and some don’t eat non – veg, thus creating a problem. Such problems have risen at KFC and McDonalds. Another difference in preference can be seen in the choice of the type of food. Some people prefer South Indian while some prefer North Indian. So a south Indian joint selling masala dosa cannot start selling chole bature as per customers’ preference. 2. Lack of customization: - Fast food is usually pre-made and pre-packed and not fresh from the oven. So once the dish is made it cannot be altered according to the customer’s choice or preference. For e.g. a McDonalds burger is prepared much before the customer purchases it and he has to buy it as it is. Even if the customer wants the burger without onion or cheese still he has to purchase it due to lack of customization. 3. Unhygienic and unhealthy: - Most of the times though being tasty the oil content in fast food is very high. Hence people are now moving away from fast food. The fast food prepared is also unhygienic especially at the road side joints. Hence these are considered weaknesses to the fast food industry. Opportunities 1. Growing nuclear families: - Nowadays it is said to be the age of the fast food. Parents and kids especially prefer fast food due to its quick service and for its satisfying appetite at affordable prices. This is a growing opportunity for the industry because families nowadays prefer eating out, rather than cooking at home.
  • 21. 2. Growing urban lifestyle: - The growth story of India is not limited to metro cities. Now it has also found its way into some rural areas and some semi– urban cities. Fast food joints are not a thing of big cities now. People in cities and towns are now having additional incomes in their pockets. Eating out now is a normal thing for the homely people in the semi urban areas. Threats 1. Oppositions from various organizations: - Due to the various preferences in the food some opposition is received by the fast food industry. As reported in the papers organizations like PETA are opposing the use of beef fat in the items of McDonalds. There was also a huge hullabaloo when Kentucky Fried Chicken (KFC) was being introduced to India. This is a major threat to the fast food industry. 2. Location: - One of the major threats in India is from the location point of view. Fast food joints can’t be opened in certain locations even though there might be evidence of major consumer demand in the area. For e.g. a Hindu dominated area might pose a threat to joints serving beef related products since the cow is considered sacred to them. 3. Ready- to-eat: - Nowadays ready to eat products are more in demand in the market owing to the fact that consumers have to take minimum trouble in preparation out of which the results are healthy food, rich nutritional value, easy on pockets and higher value for money as compared to the foods available in a fast food joint. 4. Health Concerns: - Due to the low quality ingredients used in the majority of local fast food joints, the sanitation and the hygiene factors which are mostly not maintained, have given cause to various medical and other health related organizations and certain NGO’s who have taken it up to voice these issues and bring it to the attention of the general public. Thus directing the attention of the public to change the tastes to foods that are more hygienic and safe. Here canned foodstuffs stand to gain advantage.
  • 22. b. Current Players i. Global Year 2010 Rs per Month Rs per sqft per Month Global McDonalds Yum McDonalds Yum Average sqft size of a store 3000.00 3000.00 Net Sales 2665394.53 1098243.24 888.46 366.08 Gross Margin 0.77 0.72 0.77 0.72 RGM 2058597.66 793885.14 686.20 264.63 OPEX 1256917.97 632736.49 418.97 210.91 EBITDA 801679.69 161148.65 267.23 53.72 ii. India Jubiliant Food works Limited(JFL) No of stores across india 378 Average store size in sqft 2000 For a store Rs/month in Rs per sqft Rupees 2011 per Month Total income 6783300000 Total expenditure 5581600000 EBITDA 1201700000 264925.0441 220.7708701 (Source: http://www.dominos.co.in/admin/en/filestore/9c2b2ac601ce0307f2c48b469b107711.pdf ) * Please refer to the attached excel for further details. c. Market size in India: i. Current India's fast food market is worth US$9.33 billion, registering year-on-year growth of 9% in 2010. The market is stipulated to reach US$12.25 billion, with CAGR of 7% in the next 3-5 years (2010-2014).The moderate growth is primarily attributed to higher regional and local penetration of fast food outlets in Tier II and Tier III cities along with improved household disposable income. Demographic segments aged between 25-35 years are the largest consumers of fast food, with approximately 35% eating out once a month in cosmopolitan
  • 23. cities such as Bangalore, Hyderabad, Mumbai, Delhi, Kolkata, etc. The fast food market volume sales stood at 455.9 billion transactions, with year-on-year growth of 9.1% in 2010. ii. Look up in 5, 10 and 15 years and CAGR Year 2011 2016 2021 2026 Market Size(in 9.33 40.30934 174.1525 752.4084 billion $) CAGR 34% 34% 34% 34% According to our new research report, “Indian Fast Food Market Analysis”, the Indian Fast Food Industry is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of around 34% during 2011-2014. Anticipating the future growth, many big international players are entering into the market by making deals with the domestic players. And those already present in the Indian market are expanding their presence in different provinces of the country. This trend will emerge more strongly during our forecast period, providing opportunities to local players to widen their product portfolios. Key Drivers and Key Challenges -High cost of real estate Key -Health related issues: obesity Drivers -Lack of skilled manpower -Increased Competition -Growing disposable income -Favourable demographics -Changing lifestyles and preferences Key -Increasing proportion of take Challenge away food s -Increasing number of working women
  • 24. d. Key Drivers Growing disposable income – emergence of double income group leads to increase in disposable income. Now people have more disposable income so they can spend easily in fast food and other activities. Favourable demographics- Target market of fast food is normally considered within the age of 15 to 50.The percentage of this age group is increasing very rapidly. So, fast food players change their policies and products to attract this so much large sector of population. When population increases, there is also an increase in references because of large personality differences. Changing lifestyles and preferences- Change in the lifestyle of demographics is very important forces which become the cause of change in fast food industry near in future. Fast food in developing countries is considered as junk but in some it is considered as a status symbol. So, companies set their rices and other marketing mix tools accordingly but now the lifestyle of developing countries is changing. So, fast food chains in these places are changing their ways of doing business. Increasing proportion of take away food- Nowadays it is said to be the age of fast food. Parents and kids especially refer fast food due to its quick service and for its satisfying appetite at an affordable price. This has resulted in an increasing demand for take away food. Increasing number of working women- working women have no time for cooking, and if they have then also they don’t want to cook. Because they want to come out of the traditionally defined gender roles. They do not want to confine themselves to household work and upbringing of children’s.
  • 25. e. Key Challenges High cost of real estate- with the growing economy, land value is appreciating continuously. Getting a land in a main area would cost a huge sum which would have a direct impact on the investments. Health related issues: a) Obesity: Studies have shown that a typical fast food has very high density and food with high density causes people to eat more then they usually need. b) Low calories food: Emphasis is now more on low calorie food. In this line McDonald has a plan to introduce all white meat chicken Mc Nugget with less fat and fewer calories. Lack of skilled manpower- To maintain a proper decorum and serving hygienic, is not possible without skilled labour. Getting skilled labour in the budget would be a challenge for the business. Increased competition- While the fastfood sector has long been regarded as competitive, the level of rivalry only intensifies. Numerous chains are expanding: multi-unit development deals are being inked left, right, and centre. Brands like Subway, Krispy Kreme, Camille's Sidewalk Café, Cosi Inc, Whata burger, Papa Murphy's, Moes Southwest Grills and Bob's Big Boy are all on the expansion trail. Meanwhile, a number of incumbent chains and/or their franchisees are struggling to return positive results on existing operations. One well-known example is Burger King where one high profile multi-unit franchisee went bankrupt, and improved sales and profits are vital in turning other franchisees and the franchiser operation around. -----End of Text------