神戸大学法学研究 政治学方法論特殊講義III(担当: 藤村直史) 報告資料
回帰不連続デザイン(Regression Discontinuity Design, RDD)
報告日:2016年7月8日
( PDF version is also available in http://www.jaysong.net )
AAAI2023「Are Transformers Effective for Time Series Forecasting?」と、HuggingFace「Yes, Transformers are Effective for Time Series Forecasting (+ Autoformer)」の紹介です。
Review: Cyrus, Samii, Laura Paler, and Sarah Zukerman Daly. 2016. “Retrospect...Jaehyun Song
社会科学方法論研究会 (2018年3月9日)報告資料
Title: Review: Cyrus, Samii, Laura Paler, and Sarah Zukerman Daly. 2016. “Retrospective Causal Inference with Machine Learning Ensembles: An Application to Anti-recidivism Policies in Colombia.” Political Analysis. 22 (4) pp. 434-456
Data: Mar. 9, 2018
Location: Social Science Methodology Workshop, Osaka University
AAAI2023「Are Transformers Effective for Time Series Forecasting?」と、HuggingFace「Yes, Transformers are Effective for Time Series Forecasting (+ Autoformer)」の紹介です。
Review: Cyrus, Samii, Laura Paler, and Sarah Zukerman Daly. 2016. “Retrospect...Jaehyun Song
社会科学方法論研究会 (2018年3月9日)報告資料
Title: Review: Cyrus, Samii, Laura Paler, and Sarah Zukerman Daly. 2016. “Retrospective Causal Inference with Machine Learning Ensembles: An Application to Anti-recidivism Policies in Colombia.” Political Analysis. 22 (4) pp. 434-456
Data: Mar. 9, 2018
Location: Social Science Methodology Workshop, Osaka University
This document contains a literature review and outlines three statistical models to analyze political attitudes and behavior:
1. A Bayesian model is used to analyze left-right ideological positions and proximity to political parties.
2. A second model examines sophistication, engagement, and detachment in political thinking using individual-level data.
3. A third multi-level model analyzes country-level data on political knowledge to study how system-level factors like press freedom and competitiveness influence individuals. The document concludes by discussing future research directions.
神戸大学法学研究 政治学方法論特殊講義III(担当: 藤村直史) 報告資料
差分の差分法(Difference-in-Difference, Diff-in-Diff, DID, DD)
報告日:2016年6月7日
( PDF version is also available in http://www.jaysong.net )
The document discusses differences-in-differences (DID) estimation and provides examples of its application. It first reviews DID and its identifying assumptions. It then analyzes a study that uses DID to examine whether governments allocate more resources to councils controlled by their party. Next, it uses DID graphs and linear regression models to estimate the causal effects of electronic voting on voter turnout and spoiled votes in Kyoto, Japan. Standard errors in DID estimation and the synthetic control method are also briefly discussed.
Teaching How Electoral Systems Change Political Outcomes Using a Role-Playing...Jaehyun Song
2
Grade Freshman Sophomore Junior Senior
Number 2 8 4 1
Table: Majors of the participants
Major Political Science Economics Law Others
Number 6 4 3 2
Nishino, Song, Tani, Yanai (Kobe) Election Game February 12, 2016 11 / 11
神戸大学政治学研究会2015年12月例会報告資料
一部の表が見にくい場合は
http://www.JaySong.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/Kobepolisci_Conjoint.pdf
をご参照下さい。
( PDF version is also available in http://www.jaysong.net )