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RandleReport.com
SB-D.com
SouthernAutoCorridor.com
SmallTownSouth.com
Manufacturing
RULES!
Total Deals - Manufacturing vs. Services - SB&D 100 1991-2010
Year Mfg. Services *Total Deals
2010 335 259 594
2009 228 140 368
2008 291 138 429
2007 301 209 510
2006 257 225 482
2005 219 370 589
2004 292 297 585
2003 189 277 466
2002 164 245 409
2001 165 282 447
2000 209 312 521
1999 194 346 540
1998 228 344 572
1997 229 407 636
1996 212 361 573
1995 310 243 553
1994 281 189 470
1993 303 182 485
1992 274 162 436
1991 244 183 427
Source: SB&D. *Total Announced Deals 1991-2010 with 200 jobs and/or $30 million in
investments or more.
Total Deals - Manufacturing vs. Services - SB&D 100 1991-2011
Year Mfg. Services *Total Deals
2011 350 189 539
2010 335 259 594
2009 228 140 368
2008 291 138 429
2007 301 209 510
2006 257 225 482
2005 219 370 589
2004 292 297 585
2003 189 277 466
2002 164 245 409
2001 165 282 447
2000 209 312 521
1999 194 346 540
1998 228 344 572
1997 229 407 636
1996 212 361 573
1995 310 243 553
1994 281 189 470
1993 303 182 485
1992 274 162 436
1991 244 183 427
Source: SB&D. *Total Announced Deals 1991-2011 with 200 jobs and/or $30 million in
investments or more.
Total Deals - Manufacturing vs. Services - SB&D 100 1991-2012
Year Mfg. Services *Total Deals
2011 350 189 539
2010 335 259 594
2009 228 140 368
2008 291 138 429
2007 301 209 510
2006 257 225 482
2005 219 370 589
2004 292 297 585
2003 189 277 466
2002 164 245 409
2001 165 282 447
2000 209 312 521
1999 194 346 540
1998 228 344 572
1997 229 407 636
1996 212 361 573
1995 310 243 553
1994 281 189 470
1993 303 182 485
1992 274 162 436
1991 244 183 427
Source: SB&D. *Total Announced Deals 1991-2012 with 200 jobs and/or $30 million in
investments or more.
2012 363 160 523
Total Deals - Manufacturing vs. Services - SB&D 100 1991-2014
Year Mfg. Services *Total Deals
2014 375 293 668
2013 410 185 597
2012 363 160 523
2011 350 189 539
2010 335 259 594
2009 228 140 368
2008 291 138 429
2007 301 209 510
2006 257 225 482
2005 219 370 589
2004 292 297 585
2003 189 277 466
2002 164 245 409
2001 165 282 447
2000 209 312 521
1999 194 346 540
1998 228 344 572
1997 229 407 636
1996 212 361 573
1995 310 243 553
1994 281 189 470
1993 303 182 485
1992 274 162 436
Source: SB&D. *Total Announced Deals 1991-2014 with 200 jobs and/or $30 million in
investments or more.
"A manufacturing beachhead
is being formed in the
American South and in
Mexico.”
-- Michael C. Randle, editor of Southern
Business & Development on CNBC in 2008
"South poised for wave of
plants, editor says."
-- Headline of an article in
The Birmingham News in 2009.
"If you think manufacturing is
dead in the South, you really
need to think again. If
anything, it is just getting
started.“
-- Michael C. Randle on CNN in 2009
Finally, I was asked, “Mike, why is the
South seeing such an increase in
manufacturing activity?”
“Well, after a recession, the South historically has seen a
significant increase in activity as a result of companies
seeking lower cost locations to operate from in
the U.S.”
Manufacturing project bumps in the
American South one full year after
recessions since 1991.
1993: 29 manufacturing projects of $30 million invested and/or 200 jobs
2003: 22 manufacturing projects of $30 million invested and/or 200 jobs
2010: 107 manufacturing projects of $30 million invested and/or 200 jobs
The Chinese advantage is shrinking fast
"China's overwhelming manufacturing cost
advantage over the U.S. is shrinking fast. Within
five years, a Boston Consulting Group analysis
concludes, rising Chinese wages, higher U.S.
productivity, a weaker dollar, and other
factors will virtually close the cost gap
between the U.S. and China for many goods
consumed in North America."
-- The New York Times, August 9, 2011
When all costs are taken into account
"When all costs are taken into account, certain U.S.
states in the South, such as South Carolina, Alabama
and Tennessee, will turn out to be among the least
expensive production sites in the industrialized world.
As a result, we expect companies to begin building
more capacity in the U.S. to supply North America.
The early evidence of such a shift is mounting."
-- Boston Consulting Group, August 2011
"Mike, the Bridgestone project
was approved for Asia, so your
theory may be right."
-- Mark Williams, President of Strategic
Development Group
So, how big is this?
"Between 2001 and 2010, the United
States lost 2.8 million jobs to China, with
1.9 million of those jobs in the
manufacturing sector."
-- The Economic Policy Institute, July 2011
"Of those 1.9 million lost manufacturing
jobs, we estimate that 1,038,000 came
from Southern states."
-- Mike Randle, Southern Business & Development, July 2011
Since 2010, over 900,000
manufacturing jobs have
been created in the U.S.,
with approximately 400,000
of those in the South.
There is an added benefit to
reshoring that few are talking
about. If it doesn’t make sense to
manufacture many products in
China for U.S. consumption,
wouldn’t it make sense that shift
will force Chinese manufacturers
to offshore production to
North America?
Chinese Greenfield & Acquisition
Deals 2000 to Q2 2015
West 412
South 316
Midwest 196
Northeast 193
Total: 1,117 Deals
Source: Rhodium Group. Deals with a values of
$500,000 or more.
2005:167 Deals. Value: $2.5B
2006: 206 Deals. Value: $2.7B
2007: 276 Deals. Value: $3.0B
2008: 339 Deals. Value: $3.8B
2009: 422 Deals. Value: $4.5B
2010: 532 Deals. Value: $9.0B
2011: 657 Deals. Value: $13.9B
2012: 751 Deals. Value: $21.4B
2013: 868 Deals. Value: $35.7B
2014: 1,029 Deals. Value: $47.6B
2015Q2: 1,117 Deals. Value: $54.0B
Source: Rhodium Group. Deals with a values of
$500,000 or more.
Top Manufacturing Sectors in
the South, 2010-2014
1. Automotive 352
2. Oil & Gas 243
3. Food & Beverage 187
4. Chemicals 184
5. Aviation & Aerospace 118
6. Building Materials 100
7. Electronics 76
8. Metals 62
9. Cleantech 36
10. Furniture 30
Textiles & Apparel 30
Paper 30
Number of manufacturing projects announced in the South meeting or exceeding 200 jobs
and/or $30 million in investment in the top 10 industry sectors
from Jan. 1, 2010 to Dec. 31, 2014.
Source: Southern Business & Development

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Randle Presentation

  • 3. Total Deals - Manufacturing vs. Services - SB&D 100 1991-2010 Year Mfg. Services *Total Deals 2010 335 259 594 2009 228 140 368 2008 291 138 429 2007 301 209 510 2006 257 225 482 2005 219 370 589 2004 292 297 585 2003 189 277 466 2002 164 245 409 2001 165 282 447 2000 209 312 521 1999 194 346 540 1998 228 344 572 1997 229 407 636 1996 212 361 573 1995 310 243 553 1994 281 189 470 1993 303 182 485 1992 274 162 436 1991 244 183 427 Source: SB&D. *Total Announced Deals 1991-2010 with 200 jobs and/or $30 million in investments or more.
  • 4. Total Deals - Manufacturing vs. Services - SB&D 100 1991-2011 Year Mfg. Services *Total Deals 2011 350 189 539 2010 335 259 594 2009 228 140 368 2008 291 138 429 2007 301 209 510 2006 257 225 482 2005 219 370 589 2004 292 297 585 2003 189 277 466 2002 164 245 409 2001 165 282 447 2000 209 312 521 1999 194 346 540 1998 228 344 572 1997 229 407 636 1996 212 361 573 1995 310 243 553 1994 281 189 470 1993 303 182 485 1992 274 162 436 1991 244 183 427 Source: SB&D. *Total Announced Deals 1991-2011 with 200 jobs and/or $30 million in investments or more.
  • 5. Total Deals - Manufacturing vs. Services - SB&D 100 1991-2012 Year Mfg. Services *Total Deals 2011 350 189 539 2010 335 259 594 2009 228 140 368 2008 291 138 429 2007 301 209 510 2006 257 225 482 2005 219 370 589 2004 292 297 585 2003 189 277 466 2002 164 245 409 2001 165 282 447 2000 209 312 521 1999 194 346 540 1998 228 344 572 1997 229 407 636 1996 212 361 573 1995 310 243 553 1994 281 189 470 1993 303 182 485 1992 274 162 436 1991 244 183 427 Source: SB&D. *Total Announced Deals 1991-2012 with 200 jobs and/or $30 million in investments or more. 2012 363 160 523
  • 6. Total Deals - Manufacturing vs. Services - SB&D 100 1991-2014 Year Mfg. Services *Total Deals 2014 375 293 668 2013 410 185 597 2012 363 160 523 2011 350 189 539 2010 335 259 594 2009 228 140 368 2008 291 138 429 2007 301 209 510 2006 257 225 482 2005 219 370 589 2004 292 297 585 2003 189 277 466 2002 164 245 409 2001 165 282 447 2000 209 312 521 1999 194 346 540 1998 228 344 572 1997 229 407 636 1996 212 361 573 1995 310 243 553 1994 281 189 470 1993 303 182 485 1992 274 162 436 Source: SB&D. *Total Announced Deals 1991-2014 with 200 jobs and/or $30 million in investments or more.
  • 7. "A manufacturing beachhead is being formed in the American South and in Mexico.” -- Michael C. Randle, editor of Southern Business & Development on CNBC in 2008
  • 8. "South poised for wave of plants, editor says." -- Headline of an article in The Birmingham News in 2009.
  • 9. "If you think manufacturing is dead in the South, you really need to think again. If anything, it is just getting started.“ -- Michael C. Randle on CNN in 2009
  • 10. Finally, I was asked, “Mike, why is the South seeing such an increase in manufacturing activity?” “Well, after a recession, the South historically has seen a significant increase in activity as a result of companies seeking lower cost locations to operate from in the U.S.”
  • 11. Manufacturing project bumps in the American South one full year after recessions since 1991. 1993: 29 manufacturing projects of $30 million invested and/or 200 jobs 2003: 22 manufacturing projects of $30 million invested and/or 200 jobs 2010: 107 manufacturing projects of $30 million invested and/or 200 jobs
  • 12. The Chinese advantage is shrinking fast "China's overwhelming manufacturing cost advantage over the U.S. is shrinking fast. Within five years, a Boston Consulting Group analysis concludes, rising Chinese wages, higher U.S. productivity, a weaker dollar, and other factors will virtually close the cost gap between the U.S. and China for many goods consumed in North America." -- The New York Times, August 9, 2011
  • 13. When all costs are taken into account "When all costs are taken into account, certain U.S. states in the South, such as South Carolina, Alabama and Tennessee, will turn out to be among the least expensive production sites in the industrialized world. As a result, we expect companies to begin building more capacity in the U.S. to supply North America. The early evidence of such a shift is mounting." -- Boston Consulting Group, August 2011
  • 14. "Mike, the Bridgestone project was approved for Asia, so your theory may be right." -- Mark Williams, President of Strategic Development Group
  • 15. So, how big is this?
  • 16. "Between 2001 and 2010, the United States lost 2.8 million jobs to China, with 1.9 million of those jobs in the manufacturing sector." -- The Economic Policy Institute, July 2011 "Of those 1.9 million lost manufacturing jobs, we estimate that 1,038,000 came from Southern states." -- Mike Randle, Southern Business & Development, July 2011
  • 17. Since 2010, over 900,000 manufacturing jobs have been created in the U.S., with approximately 400,000 of those in the South.
  • 18. There is an added benefit to reshoring that few are talking about. If it doesn’t make sense to manufacture many products in China for U.S. consumption, wouldn’t it make sense that shift will force Chinese manufacturers to offshore production to North America?
  • 19. Chinese Greenfield & Acquisition Deals 2000 to Q2 2015 West 412 South 316 Midwest 196 Northeast 193 Total: 1,117 Deals Source: Rhodium Group. Deals with a values of $500,000 or more.
  • 20. 2005:167 Deals. Value: $2.5B 2006: 206 Deals. Value: $2.7B 2007: 276 Deals. Value: $3.0B 2008: 339 Deals. Value: $3.8B 2009: 422 Deals. Value: $4.5B 2010: 532 Deals. Value: $9.0B 2011: 657 Deals. Value: $13.9B 2012: 751 Deals. Value: $21.4B 2013: 868 Deals. Value: $35.7B 2014: 1,029 Deals. Value: $47.6B 2015Q2: 1,117 Deals. Value: $54.0B Source: Rhodium Group. Deals with a values of $500,000 or more.
  • 21. Top Manufacturing Sectors in the South, 2010-2014 1. Automotive 352 2. Oil & Gas 243 3. Food & Beverage 187 4. Chemicals 184 5. Aviation & Aerospace 118 6. Building Materials 100 7. Electronics 76 8. Metals 62 9. Cleantech 36 10. Furniture 30 Textiles & Apparel 30 Paper 30 Number of manufacturing projects announced in the South meeting or exceeding 200 jobs and/or $30 million in investment in the top 10 industry sectors from Jan. 1, 2010 to Dec. 31, 2014. Source: Southern Business & Development