Rail Sector: Current Challenges and Developments
J. Doleschel, G. Esposito, T. Kaloud, M. Mariotti, R. Marzahn, J.A. Urban-Kozlowska
EUSERS SUMMER SCHOOL

Performance and Governance of Services of General Interest. 

Critical perspectives on Energy, Telecommunications, Transport and 

Water Reforms in the EU

June, 27th – July 1st 2016
Agenda
Overview of Network
Industries
Rail Sector:
- EU regulatory action
- Country-level actual
implementation
Empirical Insights Conclusions
1 2
3 4
Network Industries
ETCR indicators, selected countries, 1990–2007. Source: Florio (2013)
Telecommunication, electricity and
airlines: quite effective process of regulatory
convergence
Postal services and gas: limited
convergence
Rail: government-owned monopolistic
structure
EU Regulatory Innovation
Liberalisation of the rail
services
Creation of the
common and
intermodal transport
market
EU has decided to launch the reform with a view to create a single
efficient and competitive market for rail throughout Europe.
Unbundling regarding
infrastructure and service
level
Regulation TimeLine
1985
1991
?
COURT OF JUSTICE
Case 13/83 re. lack of action by
the Council - Common Transport
Policy, (CTP )
91/440
1ST RAILWAY PACKAGE
4TH RAILWAY PACKAGE
2001
2004
2007
2ND RAILWAY PACKAGE
3RD RAILWAY PACKAGE
International Passenger Service
Domestic Passenger Service
Freight Service
Ownership + Unbundling + Liberalization
Liberalization Framework
Implementation Status
Country-level Implementation
State: owner, planner, client and regulator
Closed
Open
Domestic Market
Open
Closed
Owner Network Manager Service Operator
Empirical Results 1/2
Determinants for the Price of Passenger Railway Services
===========================================================
Dependent variable:
---------------------------
PRICE_Passenger
-----------------------------------------------------------
REGULATION_Entry -2.704***
(0.713)
REGULATION_Public_Ownership -2.672**
(1.288)
REGULATION_Vertical_Integration -8.183***
(1.162)
REGULATION_Market_Structure -0.095
(0.825)
KILOMETER_Passenger -0.197
(0.272)
PRICE_Overall 0.059
(0.046)
GDP_PPP 0.00004***
(0.00001)
-----------------------------------------------------------
Observations 363
R2 0.500
Adjusted R2 0.455
F Statistic 47.183*** (df = 7; 330)
===========================================================
Note: *p<0.1; **p<0.05; ***p<0.01
Empirical Results 2/2
Punctuality and Reliability vs.
ECTR Overall Score
ECTRoverallscore
0,00
1,50
3,00
4,50
6,00
Punctuality and reliability
45,00% 56,25% 67,50% 78,75% 90,00%
Conclusions
RAILWAY
Liberalization + Privatization
Unbundling
Single Common Market
Main Policy Reforms
N e g a t i v e a n d s i g n i fi a n t
correlation between regulation
and passenger railway prices.
Price
Variable Status:
- Advanced
- On Schedule
- Delayed
X-Country Implementation
No correlation between
regulation and quality
perception.
Citizens’ Perceived Quality
1 2
3 4
5
SOEs’ Role
Crucial role in terms of
infrastructure, service
provider and regulator.
Empirical Results (back-up)
==============================================================================
Dependent variable:
----------------------------------------------
PRICE_Passenger INVEST
(1) (2)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
REGULATION_Overall -6.806 361.892
(8.736) (240.307)
REGULATION_Public_Ownership -0.344 48.593
(5.060) (119.016)
REGULATION_Vertical_Integration 0.402 -444.995***
(3.493) (133.781)
REGULATION_Market_Structure 0.266 -265.819**
(2.604) (117.446)
KILOMETER_Passenger 0.086 6.208
(0.390) (24.032)
PRICE_Overall 0.938*** -13.329***
(0.126) (3.744)
GDP_PPP 0.00001 0.001
(0.00001) (0.001)
SUBSIDIES 0.019
(0.019)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Observations 108 276
R2 0.604 0.249
Adjusted R2 0.458 0.225
F Statistic 15.624*** (df = 8; 82) 11.817*** (df = 7; 250)
==============================================================================
Note: *p<0.1; **p<0.05; ***p<0.01

Railway

  • 1.
    Rail Sector: CurrentChallenges and Developments J. Doleschel, G. Esposito, T. Kaloud, M. Mariotti, R. Marzahn, J.A. Urban-Kozlowska EUSERS SUMMER SCHOOL
 Performance and Governance of Services of General Interest. 
 Critical perspectives on Energy, Telecommunications, Transport and 
 Water Reforms in the EU
 June, 27th – July 1st 2016
  • 2.
    Agenda Overview of Network Industries RailSector: - EU regulatory action - Country-level actual implementation Empirical Insights Conclusions 1 2 3 4
  • 3.
    Network Industries ETCR indicators,selected countries, 1990–2007. Source: Florio (2013) Telecommunication, electricity and airlines: quite effective process of regulatory convergence Postal services and gas: limited convergence Rail: government-owned monopolistic structure
  • 4.
    EU Regulatory Innovation Liberalisationof the rail services Creation of the common and intermodal transport market EU has decided to launch the reform with a view to create a single efficient and competitive market for rail throughout Europe. Unbundling regarding infrastructure and service level
  • 5.
    Regulation TimeLine 1985 1991 ? COURT OFJUSTICE Case 13/83 re. lack of action by the Council - Common Transport Policy, (CTP ) 91/440 1ST RAILWAY PACKAGE 4TH RAILWAY PACKAGE 2001 2004 2007 2ND RAILWAY PACKAGE 3RD RAILWAY PACKAGE International Passenger Service Domestic Passenger Service Freight Service Ownership + Unbundling + Liberalization Liberalization Framework
  • 6.
  • 7.
    Country-level Implementation State: owner,planner, client and regulator Closed Open Domestic Market Open Closed Owner Network Manager Service Operator
  • 8.
    Empirical Results 1/2 Determinantsfor the Price of Passenger Railway Services =========================================================== Dependent variable: --------------------------- PRICE_Passenger ----------------------------------------------------------- REGULATION_Entry -2.704*** (0.713) REGULATION_Public_Ownership -2.672** (1.288) REGULATION_Vertical_Integration -8.183*** (1.162) REGULATION_Market_Structure -0.095 (0.825) KILOMETER_Passenger -0.197 (0.272) PRICE_Overall 0.059 (0.046) GDP_PPP 0.00004*** (0.00001) ----------------------------------------------------------- Observations 363 R2 0.500 Adjusted R2 0.455 F Statistic 47.183*** (df = 7; 330) =========================================================== Note: *p<0.1; **p<0.05; ***p<0.01
  • 9.
    Empirical Results 2/2 Punctualityand Reliability vs. ECTR Overall Score ECTRoverallscore 0,00 1,50 3,00 4,50 6,00 Punctuality and reliability 45,00% 56,25% 67,50% 78,75% 90,00%
  • 10.
    Conclusions RAILWAY Liberalization + Privatization Unbundling SingleCommon Market Main Policy Reforms N e g a t i v e a n d s i g n i fi a n t correlation between regulation and passenger railway prices. Price Variable Status: - Advanced - On Schedule - Delayed X-Country Implementation No correlation between regulation and quality perception. Citizens’ Perceived Quality 1 2 3 4 5 SOEs’ Role Crucial role in terms of infrastructure, service provider and regulator.
  • 11.
    Empirical Results (back-up) ============================================================================== Dependentvariable: ---------------------------------------------- PRICE_Passenger INVEST (1) (2) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ REGULATION_Overall -6.806 361.892 (8.736) (240.307) REGULATION_Public_Ownership -0.344 48.593 (5.060) (119.016) REGULATION_Vertical_Integration 0.402 -444.995*** (3.493) (133.781) REGULATION_Market_Structure 0.266 -265.819** (2.604) (117.446) KILOMETER_Passenger 0.086 6.208 (0.390) (24.032) PRICE_Overall 0.938*** -13.329*** (0.126) (3.744) GDP_PPP 0.00001 0.001 (0.00001) (0.001) SUBSIDIES 0.019 (0.019) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Observations 108 276 R2 0.604 0.249 Adjusted R2 0.458 0.225 F Statistic 15.624*** (df = 8; 82) 11.817*** (df = 7; 250) ============================================================================== Note: *p<0.1; **p<0.05; ***p<0.01