Post disaster reconstruction changes each element of the standard construction model and activities normally undertaken in more conventional periods are modified not only by post-disaster logistics constraints but in turn modify post-disaster logistics themselves. In a pre-disaster environment we can simplistically describe construction as occurring within a simple model that includes a set of project inputs which are transformed at a project site, within a well defined framework, to deliver the desired project outputs. Post disaster, each of these elements are significantly modified.
This paper examines how the traditional construction model is changed post-disaster and provides a framework for not only considering construction in a post-disaster environment but also a guide for improving the resiliency of our various frameworks to deal with such eventualities.
Impediments for implementing a sound asset management system rev 2Bob Prieto
The State of Good Repair Summit hosted by Rutgers’ Center for Advanced Infrastructure and Transportation provided an opportunity for the exchange of “perspectives” on asset management. This is the perspective of a provider of a comprehensive range of asset management services to a broad cross section of industries including most recently a growing focus on infrastructure asset management driven by a role in planning, designing, building, financing, operating and maintaining road and rail systems delivered under a Public Private Partnership model. Under PPP’s we assume many of the life cycle roles and responsibilities traditionally solely within the purview of the public sector.
We are seeing a convergence across all the markets we serve towards a more holistic, life cycle approach to capital asset portfolio design, initial delivery and the balance of a cradle to grave life cycle. Importantly, we see this perspective encompassing all three of the bottom lines comprising the Triple Bottom Line we associate with sustainability. The introduction of this broadened perspective is starting to shift life cycle considerations from a good business practice to a significant business imperative.
One other dimension is a system performance dimension that manifests itself as business continuity in the private sector but is more closely akin to resilience in public, and for that matter, privately owned infrastructure.
The paper focuses on five questions:
1. What is asset management?
2. What are the characteristics of a sound asset management system?
3. What impediments or obstacles exist with respect to achieving its strategic intent?
4. What are the tactical challenges that exist?
5. How do we define and achieve success?
In 17th century Europe all observable swans were white and by extension all swans were therefore assumed to be white. No non-white swan had ever been observed. In the 18th century, however, black swans were discovered in Western Australia and that discovery undermined the statistics of swans to that date. Previously, the “risk” of a Black Swan was essentially nil, but upon recognition that the improbable was not the same as the impossible the possibility of Black Swans became more likely.
What had changed that made Black Swans more probable? Simply put our perceptions were broadened. In this article we will look at large programs, what creates the possibility of Black Swans and what are some of the new risks we must pay attention to.
Possibility of Black Swans
Program Management is very much about meeting the challenges of scale and complexity. These challenges largely focus on the management of known knowns and known unknowns. But large programs by their very nature move into a new neighborhood where previously rare unknown unknowns are more prevalent. In effect large program risks grow in new non linear ways. What causes this growth? Simply put:
- Scale and complexity move you into a new neighborhood where black swans may be more common
- Scaling drives non linear and non correlated growth in risks
- Complexity masks existing risks
- Complexity creates new risks
So what are Black Swans?
My paper in this month\'s issue of PM World Today tries to provide some guidance for those responsible for large engineering & construction programs.
The paper looks at joint ventures in the engineering and construction industry but many of the findings arereadily extrapolatable to joint ventures in other industries. Following preparation of the paper some additional survey responses came in but do not modify the results or conclusions. In total over $65 billion of projets are represented in the sample.
Candidate Strategies to Reduce Risks in Large Engineering & Construction Prog...Bob Prieto
Every large engineering and construction program is different as are the risks it faces. There are no silver bullets for managing and reducing risks in these large programs but there are some recurrent strategies. This paper lays out some candidate strategies organized from a “Triple Bottom Line” or sustainability perspective.
I have chosen this sustainability framework in recognition that a more holistic, life-cycle approach is characteristic in these emerging “giga” programs and consistent with the strategic program management approach I have written about previously.
Not every candidate strategy is viable, necessary or desirable on every large engineering and construction program. Nor is the list of such strategies complete. The purpose of this article is to get the reader started on the process of identify strategic options and tactics to reduce the risks that a major program faces.
There is a tendency to think of the essential difference between megaprojects and more traditional sized projects as one of scale. If only it was that simple. A better analogy, and something that we see more clearly in the world of gigaprograms, is that this scaling up
in size has the concomitant effect of “unfolding” unseen dimensions that were likely always there but whose effects were not readily noticeable.
These unseen dimensions:
create new regions of “white space”, that if not aggressively managed, serve as nesting and breeding grounds for new, more systemic type risks
expose a subtle “coupling” across the gigaprogram that at smaller scales was not as significant; this “coupling” is not only direct coupling but importantly indirect
coupling realized through “coupled constraints” or “white space” couplings that previously were not significant
drive us to a level of complexity where the scaling of activities is dramatically outweighed by the scaling of the possible network combinations and effects that
are created.
expose the fragility of many of our assumptions, as longer project development and execution periods that are inherent characteristics of commitment of growing
levels of capital, demonstrate that they are far from static and instead experience “assumption migration”
highlight management dimensions that are less significant on smaller scale projects such as those associated with:
o increased strategic importance (achievement of strategic business objectives or SBOs with their outcomes focus) vs. the output focus of delivering more traditional projects and the emergence of a changed governance regime
o owner, not just project, readiness given the increased level of owner organizational involvement and oversight that gigaprograms attract
o increased importance of multi-party contractual relationships both in the various execution teams and potentially even in the project ownership
structure
expose the need to think about “capital efficiency” in a fuller way than is traditionally experienced on smaller projects where CAPEX or construction
schedule usually suffice as project optimization points.
Post Dorian Engineering & Construction in the BahamasBob Prieto
As the task of recovery and rebuilding in the Bahamas post hurricane Dorian begins, it is important to understand that it cannot be business as usual. The increasing frequency and severity of hurricanes, driven by global climate change, cannot be ignored. Building codes will have to be further strengthened and development in coastal areas rethought.
Post Disaster Engineering And ConstructionBob Prieto
The post-disaster environment changes both engineering and construction requirements as well as the framework within which it is undertaken. These changes drive post-disaster program and project managers to address different considerations than those encountered on a more traditional global scale program while simultaneously dealing with the added constraints imposed by an evolving logistical situation.
Previously in, “Personal Perspective: Program Management and Events of Scale” (PM World Today; July, 2008) I focused on programmatic features common in the preparation and planning to resist, respond and recover from so-called events of scale. This paper looks more deeply at how the engineering and construction model changes post disaster and how various logistics affecting activities are modified from those employed on global scale programs undertaken in a non disaster environment.
Impediments for implementing a sound asset management system rev 2Bob Prieto
The State of Good Repair Summit hosted by Rutgers’ Center for Advanced Infrastructure and Transportation provided an opportunity for the exchange of “perspectives” on asset management. This is the perspective of a provider of a comprehensive range of asset management services to a broad cross section of industries including most recently a growing focus on infrastructure asset management driven by a role in planning, designing, building, financing, operating and maintaining road and rail systems delivered under a Public Private Partnership model. Under PPP’s we assume many of the life cycle roles and responsibilities traditionally solely within the purview of the public sector.
We are seeing a convergence across all the markets we serve towards a more holistic, life cycle approach to capital asset portfolio design, initial delivery and the balance of a cradle to grave life cycle. Importantly, we see this perspective encompassing all three of the bottom lines comprising the Triple Bottom Line we associate with sustainability. The introduction of this broadened perspective is starting to shift life cycle considerations from a good business practice to a significant business imperative.
One other dimension is a system performance dimension that manifests itself as business continuity in the private sector but is more closely akin to resilience in public, and for that matter, privately owned infrastructure.
The paper focuses on five questions:
1. What is asset management?
2. What are the characteristics of a sound asset management system?
3. What impediments or obstacles exist with respect to achieving its strategic intent?
4. What are the tactical challenges that exist?
5. How do we define and achieve success?
In 17th century Europe all observable swans were white and by extension all swans were therefore assumed to be white. No non-white swan had ever been observed. In the 18th century, however, black swans were discovered in Western Australia and that discovery undermined the statistics of swans to that date. Previously, the “risk” of a Black Swan was essentially nil, but upon recognition that the improbable was not the same as the impossible the possibility of Black Swans became more likely.
What had changed that made Black Swans more probable? Simply put our perceptions were broadened. In this article we will look at large programs, what creates the possibility of Black Swans and what are some of the new risks we must pay attention to.
Possibility of Black Swans
Program Management is very much about meeting the challenges of scale and complexity. These challenges largely focus on the management of known knowns and known unknowns. But large programs by their very nature move into a new neighborhood where previously rare unknown unknowns are more prevalent. In effect large program risks grow in new non linear ways. What causes this growth? Simply put:
- Scale and complexity move you into a new neighborhood where black swans may be more common
- Scaling drives non linear and non correlated growth in risks
- Complexity masks existing risks
- Complexity creates new risks
So what are Black Swans?
My paper in this month\'s issue of PM World Today tries to provide some guidance for those responsible for large engineering & construction programs.
The paper looks at joint ventures in the engineering and construction industry but many of the findings arereadily extrapolatable to joint ventures in other industries. Following preparation of the paper some additional survey responses came in but do not modify the results or conclusions. In total over $65 billion of projets are represented in the sample.
Candidate Strategies to Reduce Risks in Large Engineering & Construction Prog...Bob Prieto
Every large engineering and construction program is different as are the risks it faces. There are no silver bullets for managing and reducing risks in these large programs but there are some recurrent strategies. This paper lays out some candidate strategies organized from a “Triple Bottom Line” or sustainability perspective.
I have chosen this sustainability framework in recognition that a more holistic, life-cycle approach is characteristic in these emerging “giga” programs and consistent with the strategic program management approach I have written about previously.
Not every candidate strategy is viable, necessary or desirable on every large engineering and construction program. Nor is the list of such strategies complete. The purpose of this article is to get the reader started on the process of identify strategic options and tactics to reduce the risks that a major program faces.
There is a tendency to think of the essential difference between megaprojects and more traditional sized projects as one of scale. If only it was that simple. A better analogy, and something that we see more clearly in the world of gigaprograms, is that this scaling up
in size has the concomitant effect of “unfolding” unseen dimensions that were likely always there but whose effects were not readily noticeable.
These unseen dimensions:
create new regions of “white space”, that if not aggressively managed, serve as nesting and breeding grounds for new, more systemic type risks
expose a subtle “coupling” across the gigaprogram that at smaller scales was not as significant; this “coupling” is not only direct coupling but importantly indirect
coupling realized through “coupled constraints” or “white space” couplings that previously were not significant
drive us to a level of complexity where the scaling of activities is dramatically outweighed by the scaling of the possible network combinations and effects that
are created.
expose the fragility of many of our assumptions, as longer project development and execution periods that are inherent characteristics of commitment of growing
levels of capital, demonstrate that they are far from static and instead experience “assumption migration”
highlight management dimensions that are less significant on smaller scale projects such as those associated with:
o increased strategic importance (achievement of strategic business objectives or SBOs with their outcomes focus) vs. the output focus of delivering more traditional projects and the emergence of a changed governance regime
o owner, not just project, readiness given the increased level of owner organizational involvement and oversight that gigaprograms attract
o increased importance of multi-party contractual relationships both in the various execution teams and potentially even in the project ownership
structure
expose the need to think about “capital efficiency” in a fuller way than is traditionally experienced on smaller projects where CAPEX or construction
schedule usually suffice as project optimization points.
Post Dorian Engineering & Construction in the BahamasBob Prieto
As the task of recovery and rebuilding in the Bahamas post hurricane Dorian begins, it is important to understand that it cannot be business as usual. The increasing frequency and severity of hurricanes, driven by global climate change, cannot be ignored. Building codes will have to be further strengthened and development in coastal areas rethought.
Post Disaster Engineering And ConstructionBob Prieto
The post-disaster environment changes both engineering and construction requirements as well as the framework within which it is undertaken. These changes drive post-disaster program and project managers to address different considerations than those encountered on a more traditional global scale program while simultaneously dealing with the added constraints imposed by an evolving logistical situation.
Previously in, “Personal Perspective: Program Management and Events of Scale” (PM World Today; July, 2008) I focused on programmatic features common in the preparation and planning to resist, respond and recover from so-called events of scale. This paper looks more deeply at how the engineering and construction model changes post disaster and how various logistics affecting activities are modified from those employed on global scale programs undertaken in a non disaster environment.
Prieto intersection of engineering 03 27 13Bob Prieto
Today’s highly engineered environment requires a new first responder team that includes engineers and constructors. The importance of these new first responders could be seen in efforts to remove bent steel beams in the search for survivors on 9/11; seal levee breaches after Katrina; restore power and water supply after the tsunami at Fukushima; and the massive infrastructure recovery efforts following Super Storm Sandy in New York and New Jersey. These new first responders are also essential for rebuilding after the immediate response phase.
Events of scale change the normal construction process. New logistical challenges emerge and evolve in the post-disaster phase. These challenges include destroyed logistical facilities; competition with other post-disaster aid flows; and disrupted supply chains.
This paper looks at these challenges and offers recommendations to better manage them.
Today’s highly engineered environment requires a new first responder team that includes engineers and constructors. The importance of these new first responders could be seen in efforts to remove bent steel beams in the search for survivors on 9/11; seal levee breaches after Katrina; restore power and water supply after the tsunami at Fukushima; and the massive infrastructure recovery efforts following Super Storm Sandy in New York and New Jersey. These new first responders are also essential for rebuilding after the immediate response phase.
Events of scale change the normal construction process. This is addressed in more detail in a companion paper at this conference. New logistical challenges emerge and evolve in the post-disaster phase. These challenges include destroyed logistical facilities; competition with other post-disaster aid flows; and disrupted supply chains.
Prieto intersection of engineering construction logistics Bob Prieto
Today’s highly engineered environment requires a new first responder team that includes engineers and constructors. The importance of these new first responders could be seen in efforts to remove bent steel beams in the search for survivors on 9/11; seal levee breaches after Katrina; restore power and water supply after the tsunami at Fukushima; and the massive infrastructure recovery efforts following Super Storm Sandy in New York and New Jersey. These new first responders are also essential for rebuilding after the immediate response phase.
Events of scale change the normal construction process. New logistical challenges emerge and evolve in the post-disaster phase. These challenges include destroyed logistical facilities; competition with other post-disaster aid flows; and disrupted supply chains.
The future of resilient construction – Building Information Modeling.pdfnibtedu
NIBT aims in catering the thorough awareness in the field of building industry educating various analogous construction technologies highlighting the development of smart construction work. Construction Management plays a key role in every building project.
The future of resilient construction – building information modelingnibtedu
NIBT (National Institute of Building Technology) is India's first institute that creates awareness comprehensively in the field of construction industry enlightening various akin technologies accentuating development of smart construction management work.
Evaluating the Impact of Community Based DRR ProjectsOECD Governance
Investing in infrastructure: Costs, benefits and effectiveness of disaster risk reduction measures.
Presentation made by:
Jody Springer
Data Analytics
Hazard Mitigation Assistance, Mitigation Division
US Federal Emergency Management Agency
The future of resilient construction – building information modelingnibtedu
The world of construction and infrastructure has its advantages and disadvantages. One of the most critical aspects in construction engineering is the presence of the word or phenomenon called “disaster”.
This presentation was given at the International Symposium for Next Generation Infrastructure and lays out a comprehensive way of thinking about out infrastructure challenge and how to address it.
Application of system life cycle processes to large complex engineering and c...Bob Prieto
The complexity of megaprojects and programs continues to grow and with it the challenges of delivering ever larger and more complex programs. These large complex programs open the door to many new opportunities but also to increased challenges in delivery and sustainment throughout their lifecycle. Prior articles have described the open nature of this large complex program system and compared its attributes to many we find in the world of relativistic physics. These challenges must be addressed recognizing that they arise from a combination of physical, fiscal and human attributes in a realm of complexity which challenges the very foundations of project management theory.
This paper looks at hard systems aspects as contrasted with the soft system aspects more characteristic of an open system. Its purpose is to adapt a systems engineering framework associated with the hard closed elements of these large complex project systems without losing site of the overall open systems nature of large complex programs.
The systems life cycle process codified in ISO 15288 lends itself to application in large complex engineering and construction programs.
Engineering and construction project startupBob Prieto
This paper looks at engineering and construction project startup for three different project execution approaches. While specific to this industry, project professionals in other industries may find it is a good analog for their own efforts.
The paper underscores that:
• Large complex projects require strong foundations
• A day at the beginning of a project is just as valuable as a day at the end
• Strong project foundations are built during project startup
• Vertical startup is enabled by the use of a dedicated startup team
• Project startup should consider lessons learned on other projects
This paper addresses project startup for three general types of contracts:
• Pure design or engineering contracts typically performed for the Owner
• Design/build contracts performed for the Owner but recognizes that engineering may be undertaken by an engineering subcontractor within the D/B team
• Pure construction contract
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Prieto intersection of engineering 03 27 13Bob Prieto
Today’s highly engineered environment requires a new first responder team that includes engineers and constructors. The importance of these new first responders could be seen in efforts to remove bent steel beams in the search for survivors on 9/11; seal levee breaches after Katrina; restore power and water supply after the tsunami at Fukushima; and the massive infrastructure recovery efforts following Super Storm Sandy in New York and New Jersey. These new first responders are also essential for rebuilding after the immediate response phase.
Events of scale change the normal construction process. New logistical challenges emerge and evolve in the post-disaster phase. These challenges include destroyed logistical facilities; competition with other post-disaster aid flows; and disrupted supply chains.
This paper looks at these challenges and offers recommendations to better manage them.
Today’s highly engineered environment requires a new first responder team that includes engineers and constructors. The importance of these new first responders could be seen in efforts to remove bent steel beams in the search for survivors on 9/11; seal levee breaches after Katrina; restore power and water supply after the tsunami at Fukushima; and the massive infrastructure recovery efforts following Super Storm Sandy in New York and New Jersey. These new first responders are also essential for rebuilding after the immediate response phase.
Events of scale change the normal construction process. This is addressed in more detail in a companion paper at this conference. New logistical challenges emerge and evolve in the post-disaster phase. These challenges include destroyed logistical facilities; competition with other post-disaster aid flows; and disrupted supply chains.
Prieto intersection of engineering construction logistics Bob Prieto
Today’s highly engineered environment requires a new first responder team that includes engineers and constructors. The importance of these new first responders could be seen in efforts to remove bent steel beams in the search for survivors on 9/11; seal levee breaches after Katrina; restore power and water supply after the tsunami at Fukushima; and the massive infrastructure recovery efforts following Super Storm Sandy in New York and New Jersey. These new first responders are also essential for rebuilding after the immediate response phase.
Events of scale change the normal construction process. New logistical challenges emerge and evolve in the post-disaster phase. These challenges include destroyed logistical facilities; competition with other post-disaster aid flows; and disrupted supply chains.
The future of resilient construction – Building Information Modeling.pdfnibtedu
NIBT aims in catering the thorough awareness in the field of building industry educating various analogous construction technologies highlighting the development of smart construction work. Construction Management plays a key role in every building project.
The future of resilient construction – building information modelingnibtedu
NIBT (National Institute of Building Technology) is India's first institute that creates awareness comprehensively in the field of construction industry enlightening various akin technologies accentuating development of smart construction management work.
Evaluating the Impact of Community Based DRR ProjectsOECD Governance
Investing in infrastructure: Costs, benefits and effectiveness of disaster risk reduction measures.
Presentation made by:
Jody Springer
Data Analytics
Hazard Mitigation Assistance, Mitigation Division
US Federal Emergency Management Agency
The future of resilient construction – building information modelingnibtedu
The world of construction and infrastructure has its advantages and disadvantages. One of the most critical aspects in construction engineering is the presence of the word or phenomenon called “disaster”.
This presentation was given at the International Symposium for Next Generation Infrastructure and lays out a comprehensive way of thinking about out infrastructure challenge and how to address it.
Similar to Prieto post disaster reconstruction model 03 27 13 (20)
Application of system life cycle processes to large complex engineering and c...Bob Prieto
The complexity of megaprojects and programs continues to grow and with it the challenges of delivering ever larger and more complex programs. These large complex programs open the door to many new opportunities but also to increased challenges in delivery and sustainment throughout their lifecycle. Prior articles have described the open nature of this large complex program system and compared its attributes to many we find in the world of relativistic physics. These challenges must be addressed recognizing that they arise from a combination of physical, fiscal and human attributes in a realm of complexity which challenges the very foundations of project management theory.
This paper looks at hard systems aspects as contrasted with the soft system aspects more characteristic of an open system. Its purpose is to adapt a systems engineering framework associated with the hard closed elements of these large complex project systems without losing site of the overall open systems nature of large complex programs.
The systems life cycle process codified in ISO 15288 lends itself to application in large complex engineering and construction programs.
Engineering and construction project startupBob Prieto
This paper looks at engineering and construction project startup for three different project execution approaches. While specific to this industry, project professionals in other industries may find it is a good analog for their own efforts.
The paper underscores that:
• Large complex projects require strong foundations
• A day at the beginning of a project is just as valuable as a day at the end
• Strong project foundations are built during project startup
• Vertical startup is enabled by the use of a dedicated startup team
• Project startup should consider lessons learned on other projects
This paper addresses project startup for three general types of contracts:
• Pure design or engineering contracts typically performed for the Owner
• Design/build contracts performed for the Owner but recognizes that engineering may be undertaken by an engineering subcontractor within the D/B team
• Pure construction contract
I have previously written about the transition that I believe is necessary in project management thinking related to large complex projects. In those writing I describe the shift as analogous to the shift from Newtonian to relativistic physics. Subsequently, I have compared the nature of large complex programs to open systems. Reflecting back, classical project management theory was very much based on closed systems thinking and early applications of systems thinking to projects and engineering was also very much based on closed systems thinking.
This is analogous to the closed systems of Newton and Einstein’s correction of his original General Theory of Relativity through the introduction of the cosmological constant to close a system which he believed behaved mechanistically and not expanding. In hindsight the cosmological constant was not necessary but does suggest some properties of the universe and became relevant in explaining an accelerating expansion of the universe. Subsequently, there was at least one special case where the deterministic nature of a closed system broke down when considering General Relativity suggesting at least some open nature to this system.
Systems nature of large complex projectsBob Prieto
This paper explores the system characteristics and behaviors of large engineering and construction programs with a particular focus on those that would be characterized as complex. It recognizes the interrelated and interacting elements of both programs and projects as they strive to form a complex whole. Large complex programs and projects are not well bounded as classical project management theory as espoused by Taylor, Gantt and Fayol would have us believe but rather behave in both independent and interconnected ways in a dynamic systems environment.
Large complex programs demonstrate the evolutionary nature of all complex systems; uncertainty; and emergence that comes with human actions and interactions. They struggle from insufficient situational awareness, treating the program to be more well-bounded than reality would suggest and using simplified models to understand the complexity inherent in execution. Best practices from project management literature were typically not derived from such environments and, worse, have fallen short on other large complex programs and projects.
In the engineering and construction industry governance needs and requirements exist at
multiple levels. These include:
• Governmental and industry level governance (laws, regulations, codes, standards)
• Enterprise level (encompassing social (stakeholder), political, economic (market,
shareholder, financial institutions), cultural (corporate and national/local),
technological)
• Portfolio and programs
• Project
This paper focuses on the portfolio and program level, collectively referred to as program in
this paper.
Strengthen outcome based capital project deliveryBob Prieto
Over the course of my career I have looked at a number of underperforming mega-projects. In every instance there was a common element of underperformance, the lack of clarity around the strategic business outcomes to be accomplished. Conversely, some of the best performing projects exhibited high clarity of recognized and shared outcomes.
This paper looks at the imperative to continue the shift to outcomes based contracts versus more traditional output based contracting forms. This shift is discussed from the perspective of the engineering and construction industry in the United States but draws upon the experience in other countries and other sectors.
Today’s infrastructure and facilities are “smart”. At least that is our objective as we seek to enhance lifecycle performance and capital efficiency. These “smart” facilities transcend any given sector and bring new challenges to the engineering and construction industry. In some ways our more traditional projects are today outcomes focused or capabilities delivering IT projects with bits of concrete and steel wrapped around them!
This “smart” focus is not limited to just a technology and systems dimension but goes further, demanding an increased and increasing environmental, social and governance (ESG) focus as well. Together “smart” and ESG create a greatly expanded set of interfaces for program and project managers to manage.
Rework in Engineering & Construction ProjectsBob Prieto
This paper is focused on engineering and construction projects which will experience increased emphasis as nations increase their focus on economic stimulus and climate change. It deals narrowly with the inevitable rework these projects often experience and which contributes to the cost and schedule growth we all too often witness. The objective of this paper is to:
• Categorize rework factors into four broad categories – project, human, organizational and complexity
• Identify rework impacts not just on cost and schedule but importantly morale and trust.
• Recognize that strategies exist to reduce the potential for required rework
• Suggest four dozen control points.
In this paper I will attempt to:
• Outline some of the systems of systems challenges that we will likely face.
• Discuss the emergent nature of both the challenges as well as the potential resultant outcomes.
• Draw attention to some of the driving forces acting both on this system of systems as well as the national and sectoral programs that may emerge to respond to this challenge.
• Highlight some of the feedback loops which may exist or emerge from both apparent and hidden coupling.
• Discuss system of system risks, program risks and where our perceptions and appetite for such risks may change over time.
• Outline some particular challenges for program managers as they are engaged in addressing this challenge.
A growing world requires improved and expanded infrastructure. Juxtapose that with the need for massive public investment driven by pandemic created economic weakness and the prospects for significant investment in infrastructure is improved, but as history has taught us not necessarily assured.
We have been through other infrastructure stimulus programs focused on so-called shovel ready projects and have been disappointed. But whether we define them as “shovel ready” or otherwise we need infrastructure projects, especially the largest of them, to be successful.
In this paper we will look at common reasons large scale infrastructure projects fail and importantly suggest some strategies and tactics to improve their success rate.
This paper builds on my beliefs that the prevailing theory of project management has failed us with respect to large complex projects. I have written extensively on this including highlighting that the assumptions of Gantt and Fayol fall short at scale and complexity. In this paper I examine the successes that underpin modern project management theory and seek to understand how the resulting approach to project management has failed to deliver comparable successes with regularity. As I explored these questions, I sought to understand the unique characteristics of the Atlas and Polaris missile programs; the subsequent institutionalization of the perceived success factors; and importantly, did perception and reality align. In other words, have we made an incomplete set of assumptions and institutionalized them?
Impact of correlation on risks in programs and projects Bob Prieto
One of the most under considered elements of cost and schedule risk is the correlation that exists within various WBS elements of a project or across projects comprising a program. Failure to adequately consider correlation between various activities and projects compounds the impact of other factors present in large complex projects.
This paper looks at the special case of decision making under uncertainty. The relationship between uncertainty and complexity is explored as is their joint relationship with large complex projects. The importance of getting these projects well founded from an ability to manage uncertainty is discussed and the aspects of these strong foundations is described
Debating project decisions in an ai enabled environmentBob Prieto
I had the opportunity to watch the first debate between AI powered IBM Debater and a recognized human expert debater. I will not spoil the outcome for those who have not yet watched the debate but I will underscore one key aspect - all learned more about both sides of the position as a result of the debate.
We have seen a construct for the management of large
complex projects laid out in the earlier chapters. In these chapters we will simply lay out some of the main concepts and
considerations for a practitioner. Each of these can be more
extensively developed.
In the world of physics, classical theory breaks down at
scale. Conventional project management theory similarly
seems to break down at scale. The theoretical construct I
have been building to in this book is very much focused on this
project realm where scale and complexity rule.
In developing this theoretical construct I have essentially
considered three simple hypotheses, the first of which is:
Large complex projects are not well served by
conventional project management theory and
practice.
This hypothesis was demonstrated at the outset of this
book and the differential behavior between large and
traditionally scaled projects has been previously noted.
The second hypothesis considered relates to the Theory of
Management as applied to the management of projects. In
simplest terms this hypothesis says:
- The Theory of Project Management does not draw
fully on the richness of the Theory of Management
This hypothesis is demonstrated as we explored the
extensions of the Theory of Management to address chaos and
complexity and the more limited extensions of project
management theory.
The third and final hypothesis we considered focused on
the Theory of Projects, positing:
Large complex projects have significantly different
attributes than the more traditional projects which
comprise the basis for classical project management
theory
This chapter summarizes various aspects of large
projects and provides a foundation to consider what a new
Theory of Project Management for large complex projects may
look like.
In this chapter we will look at a few of the project attributes
that we observe in large complex projects and suggest they
may serve as a basis for a neo-classical Theory of Large
Complex Projects.
Theory of Management of Large Complex Projects - Chapter 7Bob Prieto
The world of large complex projects is challenging to say the least with a majority of these projects significantly under performing. It is this weak performance regime that underpins the key premise of "Theory of Management of Large Complex Projects" – project management theory as it currently exists and is applied to large complex projects falls short, significantly short, of what these projects require.
I have decided to serialize this book for the benefit of those interested in better understanding and improving project performance. If you are interested in purchasing a copy of the 400 page paperback you may click on http://www.lulu.com/us/en/shop/bob-prieto/theory-of-management-of-large-complex-projects/paperback/product-22342232.html
Theory of Management of Large Complex Projects - Chapter 6Bob Prieto
The world of large complex projects is challenging to say the least with a majority of these projects significantly under performing. It is this weak performance regime that underpins the key premise of "Theory of Management of Large Complex Projects" – project management theory as it currently exists and is applied to large complex projects falls short, significantly short, of what these projects require.
I have decided to serialize this book for the benefit of those interested in better understanding and improving project performance. If you are interested in purchasing a copy of the 400 page paperback you may click on http://www.lulu.com/us/en/shop/bob-prieto/theory-of-management-of-large-complex-projects/paperback/product-22342232.html
Attending a job Interview for B1 and B2 Englsih learnersErika906060
It is a sample of an interview for a business english class for pre-intermediate and intermediate english students with emphasis on the speking ability.
Discover the innovative and creative projects that highlight my journey throu...dylandmeas
Discover the innovative and creative projects that highlight my journey through Full Sail University. Below, you’ll find a collection of my work showcasing my skills and expertise in digital marketing, event planning, and media production.
[Note: This is a partial preview. To download this presentation, visit:
https://www.oeconsulting.com.sg/training-presentations]
Sustainability has become an increasingly critical topic as the world recognizes the need to protect our planet and its resources for future generations. Sustainability means meeting our current needs without compromising the ability of future generations to meet theirs. It involves long-term planning and consideration of the consequences of our actions. The goal is to create strategies that ensure the long-term viability of People, Planet, and Profit.
Leading companies such as Nike, Toyota, and Siemens are prioritizing sustainable innovation in their business models, setting an example for others to follow. In this Sustainability training presentation, you will learn key concepts, principles, and practices of sustainability applicable across industries. This training aims to create awareness and educate employees, senior executives, consultants, and other key stakeholders, including investors, policymakers, and supply chain partners, on the importance and implementation of sustainability.
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
1. Develop a comprehensive understanding of the fundamental principles and concepts that form the foundation of sustainability within corporate environments.
2. Explore the sustainability implementation model, focusing on effective measures and reporting strategies to track and communicate sustainability efforts.
3. Identify and define best practices and critical success factors essential for achieving sustainability goals within organizations.
CONTENTS
1. Introduction and Key Concepts of Sustainability
2. Principles and Practices of Sustainability
3. Measures and Reporting in Sustainability
4. Sustainability Implementation & Best Practices
To download the complete presentation, visit: https://www.oeconsulting.com.sg/training-presentations
Falcon stands out as a top-tier P2P Invoice Discounting platform in India, bridging esteemed blue-chip companies and eager investors. Our goal is to transform the investment landscape in India by establishing a comprehensive destination for borrowers and investors with diverse profiles and needs, all while minimizing risk. What sets Falcon apart is the elimination of intermediaries such as commercial banks and depository institutions, allowing investors to enjoy higher yields.
What are the main advantages of using HR recruiter services.pdfHumanResourceDimensi1
HR recruiter services offer top talents to companies according to their specific needs. They handle all recruitment tasks from job posting to onboarding and help companies concentrate on their business growth. With their expertise and years of experience, they streamline the hiring process and save time and resources for the company.
3.0 Project 2_ Developing My Brand Identity Kit.pptxtanyjahb
A personal brand exploration presentation summarizes an individual's unique qualities and goals, covering strengths, values, passions, and target audience. It helps individuals understand what makes them stand out, their desired image, and how they aim to achieve it.
Affordable Stationery Printing Services in Jaipur | Navpack n PrintNavpack & Print
Looking for professional printing services in Jaipur? Navpack n Print offers high-quality and affordable stationery printing for all your business needs. Stand out with custom stationery designs and fast turnaround times. Contact us today for a quote!
RMD24 | Debunking the non-endemic revenue myth Marvin Vacquier Droop | First ...BBPMedia1
Marvin neemt je in deze presentatie mee in de voordelen van non-endemic advertising op retail media netwerken. Hij brengt ook de uitdagingen in beeld die de markt op dit moment heeft op het gebied van retail media voor niet-leveranciers.
Retail media wordt gezien als het nieuwe advertising-medium en ook mediabureaus richten massaal retail media-afdelingen op. Merken die niet in de betreffende winkel liggen staan ook nog niet in de rij om op de retail media netwerken te adverteren. Marvin belicht de uitdagingen die er zijn om echt aansluiting te vinden op die markt van non-endemic advertising.
Cracking the Workplace Discipline Code Main.pptxWorkforce Group
Cultivating and maintaining discipline within teams is a critical differentiator for successful organisations.
Forward-thinking leaders and business managers understand the impact that discipline has on organisational success. A disciplined workforce operates with clarity, focus, and a shared understanding of expectations, ultimately driving better results, optimising productivity, and facilitating seamless collaboration.
Although discipline is not a one-size-fits-all approach, it can help create a work environment that encourages personal growth and accountability rather than solely relying on punitive measures.
In this deck, you will learn the significance of workplace discipline for organisational success. You’ll also learn
• Four (4) workplace discipline methods you should consider
• The best and most practical approach to implementing workplace discipline.
• Three (3) key tips to maintain a disciplined workplace.
Memorandum Of Association Constitution of Company.pptseri bangash
www.seribangash.com
A Memorandum of Association (MOA) is a legal document that outlines the fundamental principles and objectives upon which a company operates. It serves as the company's charter or constitution and defines the scope of its activities. Here's a detailed note on the MOA:
Contents of Memorandum of Association:
Name Clause: This clause states the name of the company, which should end with words like "Limited" or "Ltd." for a public limited company and "Private Limited" or "Pvt. Ltd." for a private limited company.
https://seribangash.com/article-of-association-is-legal-doc-of-company/
Registered Office Clause: It specifies the location where the company's registered office is situated. This office is where all official communications and notices are sent.
Objective Clause: This clause delineates the main objectives for which the company is formed. It's important to define these objectives clearly, as the company cannot undertake activities beyond those mentioned in this clause.
www.seribangash.com
Liability Clause: It outlines the extent of liability of the company's members. In the case of companies limited by shares, the liability of members is limited to the amount unpaid on their shares. For companies limited by guarantee, members' liability is limited to the amount they undertake to contribute if the company is wound up.
https://seribangash.com/promotors-is-person-conceived-formation-company/
Capital Clause: This clause specifies the authorized capital of the company, i.e., the maximum amount of share capital the company is authorized to issue. It also mentions the division of this capital into shares and their respective nominal value.
Association Clause: It simply states that the subscribers wish to form a company and agree to become members of it, in accordance with the terms of the MOA.
Importance of Memorandum of Association:
Legal Requirement: The MOA is a legal requirement for the formation of a company. It must be filed with the Registrar of Companies during the incorporation process.
Constitutional Document: It serves as the company's constitutional document, defining its scope, powers, and limitations.
Protection of Members: It protects the interests of the company's members by clearly defining the objectives and limiting their liability.
External Communication: It provides clarity to external parties, such as investors, creditors, and regulatory authorities, regarding the company's objectives and powers.
https://seribangash.com/difference-public-and-private-company-law/
Binding Authority: The company and its members are bound by the provisions of the MOA. Any action taken beyond its scope may be considered ultra vires (beyond the powers) of the company and therefore void.
Amendment of MOA:
While the MOA lays down the company's fundamental principles, it is not entirely immutable. It can be amended, but only under specific circumstances and in compliance with legal procedures. Amendments typically require shareholder
Putting the SPARK into Virtual Training.pptxCynthia Clay
This 60-minute webinar, sponsored by Adobe, was delivered for the Training Mag Network. It explored the five elements of SPARK: Storytelling, Purpose, Action, Relationships, and Kudos. Knowing how to tell a well-structured story is key to building long-term memory. Stating a clear purpose that doesn't take away from the discovery learning process is critical. Ensuring that people move from theory to practical application is imperative. Creating strong social learning is the key to commitment and engagement. Validating and affirming participants' comments is the way to create a positive learning environment.
Business Valuation Principles for EntrepreneursBen Wann
This insightful presentation is designed to equip entrepreneurs with the essential knowledge and tools needed to accurately value their businesses. Understanding business valuation is crucial for making informed decisions, whether you're seeking investment, planning to sell, or simply want to gauge your company's worth.
Prieto post disaster reconstruction model 03 27 13
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A POST DISASTER RECONSTRUCTION MODEL
Bob Prieto
Fluor
103 Carnegie Center; Suite 300
Princeton, NJ 08540
1.609.919.6376; bob.prieto@fluor.com
ABSTRACT:
Post disaster reconstruction changes each element of the standard construction model and
activities normally undertaken in more conventional periods are modified not only by post-
disaster logistics constraints but in turn modify post-disaster logistics themselves. In a pre-
disaster environment we can simplistically describe construction as occurring within a simple
model that includes a set of project inputs which are transformed at a project site, within a well
defined framework, to deliver the desired project outputs. Post disaster, each of these elements
are significantly modified.
This paper examines how the traditional construction model is changed post-disaster and
provides a framework for not only considering construction in a post-disaster environment but
also a guide for improving the resiliency of our various frameworks to deal with such
eventualities.
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Post disaster reconstruction is an inevitable human activity. Well meaning people come together
with deep passion and commitment to face a situation of destruction and suffering and with a set
of social and physical frameworks that as a minimum have been significantly modified and as a
maximum shattered beyond recognition. Post disaster reconstruction brings out the best in people
but also at times the worst. It is in this condition where constraints, change and uncertainty are
the norm that the engineering and construction industry is challenged to restore and rebuild and
if done well, better prepared to meet tomorrow’s challenges.
Disasters change each element of the standard construction model and activities normally
undertaken in more conventional periods are modified not only by post-disaster logistics
constraints but in turn modify post-disaster logistics themselves.
In a separate paper at this conference we look at resiliency, its identification, assessment
and tracking. In that assessment it is important to understand how well we are prepared when
all other planning and protection has been overwhelmed. That understanding is aided by
recognizing that the post-disaster construction setting can differ significantly to the pre-disaster
condition and frameworks.
A SIMPLIFIED CONSTRUCTION MODEL
In a pre-disaster environment we can simplistically describe construction as occurring within a
simple model that includes a set of project inputs which are transformed at a project site, within a
well defined framework, to deliver the desired project outputs. Framework elements include:
− Business framework
− Project environment and setting
− Social and stakeholder framework
− Economic and political frameworks
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Post disaster, each of these elements are significantly modified. Let’s look at each element to see
how it is modified post disaster starting with project inputs themselves.
Figure 1. Project Inputs
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Project Inputs
Each of the basic inputs from a simplified construction model (labor, materials, equipment) is
modified post-disaster and several new input considerations become significant. These modified
and new input factors are reflected in Figure 1 and include:
• Labor
− New management skills
− Skilled labor requirements changed/expanded
− Large unskilled labor pool mobilization
− Labor sourcing (Global or select nationals)
• Materials
− Material requirements and sequencing changed
− Quantities disrupted supply chains
− Challenging logistics
• Equipment
− Sourcing
− Maintenance during construction
− Trained operators
• Knowledge of Post-Disaster Construction
• Subcontractor Finance
• Non-Process Infrastructure
− Traditional housing, provision, and utility services disrupted or inadequate
− Logistic facilities disrupted or inadequate
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• Modified Safety Practices for Post-Disaster Environment
− Unknown conditions
− Specialized craft training
− Changed work sequences
• Stronger Management Systems Role
− Commercial transactions
− Labor documentation and payroll
− Augmented work face planning and management
Similarly the various framework elements are subject to modified or added components which
act to shape post disaster project management in ways not encountered in non-disaster scenarios.
Let’s look at each of the framework elements in turn and how the various components are
modified post-disaster.
Disaster Changes Business Framework
Disaster changes the business framework, introducing new factors into basic construction
contract considerations, significantly altering risk frameworks that the program or project team
may experience, creating new de facto owner groups different than those the engineering and
construction team and broader community may be used to engaging with, and creating new
challenges with various labor organizations.
Specific modifications to the “simplified” model are reflected in Figure 2 and may include:
• Contract
− Scope includes more unknowns and potentially evolving requirements
− Schedule based on potential continuing risk events, degraded labor productivity, uncertain
supply chains, and evolving approval frameworks
− Budgets based on uncertain labor, equipment, and material costs accounting for
competition for constrained resources
− Quality standards must consider risks and intended usage and duration
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• Risk Framework
− Significantly changed risk profile must be reflected in terms and conditions
• Owners
− External funding agencies may assume de facto owner’s role
• Labor Organizations and Agreements
− Existing agreements may create barriers to recovery
− Potential for labor strife as external workforce mobilized
Figure 2. Business Framework
Disaster Changes Project and Environmental Setting Framework
Disasters, in particular broader scale disasters, fundamentally alter the project and environmental
setting. Site access will be constrained in new and potentially evolving ways, basic site and
regional geography may be fundamentally modified and the regional infrastructure, at whatever
level, that projects rely on to meet many of their basic needs may now be non-existent. Basic
assumptions under the “simplified” pre-disaster model are no longer valid.
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Changes to the various components of this framework element are seen in Figure 3 and include:
• Project Site
− Constrained access
− Denied access
− Uncertain ownership or other property rights
• Geography
− Modified topography (floods, landslides, or mudslides; earthquake displacement; lava
fields; aftermath of military action)
− Terrain limits rate of response or reconstruction
− Accessibility constrains available options
• Climate
− Adverse climactic conditions impact response activities (continuing hurricane season,
seasonal extremes of temperature or precipitation)
− Event of scale necessitates construction in non-traditional time periods (monsoon, depth of
winter, peak of summer)
• Regional Infrastructure
− Widespread destruction of regional infrastructures important to response and
reconstruction (roads and rails washed away, bridges severely damaged or destroyed,
airports rendered unusable, destroyed power generation and transmission capability,
destroyed or degraded potable water treatment and distribution capability, degraded
wastewater capability, constrained telecom services from facility damage)
− Regional infrastructure inadequate for level and nature of response and rebuilding
activities
• Social Infrastructures Disrupted or Destroyed
− Housing, medical, police, fire, sanitation
− Banking and other financial institutions
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• Records and Documentation
− Lost records
− As-builts no longer meaningful
− Property rights not well documented or inconsistent with social realities (squatter
populations)
• Codes and Standards
− Evolving as a result of event of scale
− Variable – affected by donor/funder requirements
Figure 3. Project Environment and Setting
Disaster Changes Social and Stakeholder Framework
Social and stakeholder frameworks undergo some of the most significant changes post-disaster,
often in ways that are not readily visible. These changes impact each of the components that
comprise this framework element. Traditional problem resolution mechanisms may breakdown
and new sources of concern or conflict emerge. Displaced populations, transient relief and
reconstruction populations and a re-emergence or strengthening of cultural or tribal issues
compound the difficulty in undertaking the engineering and construction activities needed to
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respond and reconstruct post-disaster. Often the debilitating and corrosive impacts of corruption
are more sharply felt.
Changes to specific framework components are shown in Figure 4 and include:
• Organized Stakeholders
− Traditional stakeholder groups dysfunctional
− Stakeholder objectives evolving
− New stakeholder groups emerging
− National or international stakeholders gain roles to enable or intervene
• Demographics
− Loss and displacement of populations
− Impact of relief, response, and reconstruction populations
− Constraints on construction labor
• Cultural/Religious
− Transitional roles often played by cultural or religious groups
− Cultural and religious sensitivities often elevated
− Tribal issues and prerogatives may resurface
• Ownership Rights
− Lack of documentation and records
− Conflicting claims
− Formal versus informal rights
− Confiscation in the absence of the rule of law
− Corruption
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Figure 4. Social and Stakeholder Framework
Disaster Changes Economic and Political Framework
The destructive impact of a disaster on economic activity that existed pre-disaster is easy to
understand. Harder to come to grips with is the trajectory of economic activity post-disaster. This
trajectory is often shaped by political functionality and the extension of politics into every aspect
of life and every decision essential to post-disaster relief and recovery. Examples of changes in
the various components of this final framework element are shown in Figure 5 and include:
• Rule of Law
− Confiscation and security risks elevated due to lack of rule of law
− Emergency decrees inconsistently interpreted and applied
− Local laws of convenience
− Corruption
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• Regulations
− Regulations not relevant to situation on ground or act to impede progress
− Traditional regulations extended to situation for which they were not designed
• Financial Institutions
− Absent or disrupted
− Emergence of a cash economy
− Difficulty paying suppliers and labor
• Project Funding
− Color of money issues associated with multiple funding sources and tied requirements
− Documentation requirements evolve
− Lack of on-the-ground payment capability by donors
− Lack of timeliness of payments
• Politics
− Politics in traditionally non-political activities
− Every activity potentially someone’s political platform
− Long-range planning efforts begun anew affecting critical decisions
− Economic development a core consideration
− Capacity building may be an imperative
• Sustainability and Resilience
− Life-cycle focus may emerge
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Figure 5. Economic and Political Framework
Post-Disaster Project and Construction Activity
Post-disaster project and construction activity must now occur at a site where traditional inputs
and project frameworks have been modified and special challenges such as those shown in
Figure 6 are present. These special challenges include debris removal and potential reuse to
mitigate ever present logistical challenges; changed psychology both with respect to decision
making and risk taking but also with respect to a labor force that itself may be displaced or
suffering the loss of close relatives; and changed liability concerns as one of the first things to
grow post-disaster is uncertainty which is a root cause of much liability.
I have already touched upon the corrosive effects of corruption which may be controlled or
compounded by governmental leadership and enablement. These are real issues as are those
related to human and construction safety. The construction environment is inherently dangerous
and post-disaster uncertainties only exacerbate these concerns.
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Figure 6. Special Challenges
Finally, post-disaster construction activities face modified output requirements from more
traditional non-disaster construction.
Post-Disaster Construction Outputs
Traditional construction activities are traditionally focused on creating new facilities, usually
“permanent” in nature. Post-disaster, constructed projects may take on a wider range of time
frames including temporary, transitional and permanent dimensions.
Pressures to use disaster debris in construction may modify certain design and construction
choices and considerations related to not adding to this material problem are only heightened
post-disaster. Social dimensions of the “triple bottom line” of sustainability take on increased
importance as part of the overall disaster recovery process.
Specific changes to post-disaster outputs are reflected in Figure 7 and include:
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• Completed Project
− Temporary
− Transitional
− Permanent
• Construction Waste
− Linkage to debris considerations (disposal and reuse in construction)
− Recycling drivers
• Sustainability
− Capacity building
− Economic development
− New industry creation
− Enhanced resiliency
− Lessons learned and best practices
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Figure 7. Project Outputs
Post-disaster engineering and construction program and project management activities are
significantly modified from non-disaster activities. Changes to the fundamental project model
employed in the management of these types of programs and projects requires a fundamental re-
think of skill sets, management processes, risks and constraints.
In addition these changes collectively significantly change the logistical characteristics of such
programs while simultaneously significantly modifying the broader logistical space within which
the disaster has occurred. Even the most basic project activities have the potential to significantly
affect project and regional logistics and even the best intentioned relief and recovery activities
have the ability to impact response and recovery in today’s highly engineered, built environment.
Consideration, awareness and incorporation of the numerous changed factors above will be
assessed in this subassembly.
The challenges of this changed environment can be met through concerted action. Specific
recommendations include:
• Government and NGO community must plan for assisting in post-disaster recovery
• Engagement with engineering and construction community must begin pre-disaster
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− Pre-placed contracts
♦ Program management
♦ EPC
♦ Supply chain
− Earliest mobilization to disaster zone
− Early activation of logistics chains
• Post-disaster period requires streamlined decision frameworks
− Decision authorities at project and disaster site
− Logistical-affecting processes may act as barrier in post-disaster scenario
♦ Examples are customs, building permits, and liability legislation
♦ Consider a standard “modified” logistical template for local government consideration
• “Go-bys”
• Best practices
PREPAREDNESS ASSESSMENT – PART OF RESILIENCY ASSESSMENT
Key to long term learning and preparation for the inevitable “next event” is the performance of a
Preparedness Assessment. This process acts to ensure that we have truly learned from and
provided for the vital lessons we have learned through each stage of the post-event period. As we
have moved through the post-event period not only will our insights have become deeper but so
too will our perspective on some of the actions we undertook at the earliest stages of the post-
event response.
• Did decisions on ruble disposal create delays or unneeded costs during the transition phase or
reconstruction phase?
• Did temporary infrastructure decisions result in wasted efforts when permanent fixes could
have been accomplished for marginally more time or money?
• Did management frameworks established at the earliest stages of the post-disaster period
represent barriers for efficient reconstruction?
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The list of post-event lesson learned questions goes on. But more important may be whether
what we have rebuilt will provide a better pre-event condition that what existed before the last
event, or have we merely reconstructed a built environment the sows the seeds for shortfalls in
responding to the next event of scale.
The inherent ability to recover from off normal events must consider prior owner or program
specific lessons learned as well as review against a database of such lessons learned. Have we
created that database?
At the end of the day, successful program design and program risk assessment leads to program
resiliency, defined as an:
• Ability to avoid or resist “risks”
• Ability to respond to those “risks” which do emerge
• Ability to recover from severe impact events such as Black Swans
The taxonomy of each aids in forming an ontology from a global perspective. The taxonomy or
ontology can be considered a normalized view without constraints imposed by individual
management or analysis tools.
This paper lays out a taxonomy for considering one key element of the recovery stage, namely
reconstruction. It should be considered in the broader context of identifying, assessing and
tracking resiliency.