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Will Cloud Computing erode the
   IT Services Business?

   Anand Deshpande
   September 2012


10 September 2012                   1
anand@persistent.co.in




                                Coming to
                            New Delhi, India
                                       2016

10 September 2012                              2
Cloud Computing is imminent …
● It will be driven by economics ...
                 … about 30% reduction in costs!

  – Cost of infrastructure
  – Cost of management of infrastructure




                                                   3
By operating at scale, improving utilization,
simplifying operations, standardizing,
increasing reliability, reducing energy and cooling

     • hardware costs can be reduced 33-70 percent
     • maintenance costs can be reduced up to 50 percent
     • support costs can be reduced by as much as 33
       percent
     • floor space/facility costs can be reduced 33-50
       percent


http://www-935.ibm.com/services/us/its/html/green-datacenter-svcs-landing.html
     February 3, 2012                                                            4
Cloud computing will see
mainstream deployments in the
second half of 2013.
● Cloud leaders (pre-2010) … Amazon,
  Salesforce.com

● Major cloud strategy announcements in 2012 from
      – Microsoft, IBM, HP, Dell, EMC/Cisco
      – Vmware
      – Oracle, SAP
10 September 2012                                   5
Cloud is about
                   simplicity! 
February 3, 2012                    6
Mobile devices are the de-facto
consumption device
● BYOD is the hottest disruption in the enterprise.
● Mobility is not just small screen. There is more.
      –   Presence
      –   Location
      –   HTML5
      –   Task specific apps
● Build for Mobile device first!


10 September 2012                                 7
Cloud and Mobility will grow in
   tandem. They are interdependent!




10 September 2012                     8
Cloud computing will create jobs in
India!




10 September 2012                     9
Really?

If every CIO saves 30% from their
budget … world’s software
business is significantly down!


                 𝑥 𝑖 > (𝑥 𝑖 − 𝜕 𝑖 )
                                    10
ADM business will bear the brunt
120%

100%

 80%
                              30% reduction
                              in cost!
 60%
                   Business Apps
 40%               ADM
 20%               Packaged Software
                   Infrastructure
 0%
       Pre Cloud                       Post Cloud

                                                    11
Buying Decisions are
moving from the CIO
to C-Suite and the Line
of Business Heads


                          12
As the CIO’s budgets shrink, Line of
Business (LOB) Execs are making
technology buying decisions

● LOBs build projects like “products” rather than
  IT Services
      – Incremental, agile,
● Will consider new set of vendors … opportunity
  for different set of vendors.

10 September 2012                                   13
The cost of product development has
 gone down significantly!
                             Traditional
Team                                Ways
 Size



                On the
                 Cloud




                                      Time
                                             14
                                    Period
If it costs less to build a product …
● Different kind of products will be built.
● Different kinds of people will invest to build
  products



● If product development costs are not significant,
  do I need to go offshore at all?


10 September 2012                                  15
Data on the
                   cloud is
                   enabling new
                   data-centric
                   business
                   models.
February 3, 2012                  16
We live in a world of apps.
Apps, apps everywhere!




February 3, 2012              17
Enterprise Value is Shifting to Data
                                                                                    Data


                                                                      Apps


                                                         ERP


                                       Database


                    Operating
                     Systems


Mainframe


            1975
10 September 2012               1985              1995         2006          2013          18
There will be a hierarchy of apps with
  different price points; all available on a
  pay-per-use business model.

     Task/Device
    Specific Apps

Business Process
   Specific Apps

      Traditional
Applications will    Aggregate   Enterprise
                       Data         Data      Public Data
  be commoditized
     on the cloud.
 February 3, 2012
India:
                     the source
                         and
                     the market
                   for innovation
February 3, 2012                20
Cloud computing
   is an excellent
  opportunity for    Healthcare   Tourism     Education

           Indian
     Industries to
  collaborate and      Retail     Logistics   Research
          disrupt
                                                          21
Comments?

                       Anand Deshpande
                    anand@persistent.co.in



10 September 2012                            22

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Presentation from IBM/RTL in Pune

  • 1. Will Cloud Computing erode the IT Services Business? Anand Deshpande September 2012 10 September 2012 1
  • 2. anand@persistent.co.in Coming to New Delhi, India 2016 10 September 2012 2
  • 3. Cloud Computing is imminent … ● It will be driven by economics ... … about 30% reduction in costs! – Cost of infrastructure – Cost of management of infrastructure 3
  • 4. By operating at scale, improving utilization, simplifying operations, standardizing, increasing reliability, reducing energy and cooling • hardware costs can be reduced 33-70 percent • maintenance costs can be reduced up to 50 percent • support costs can be reduced by as much as 33 percent • floor space/facility costs can be reduced 33-50 percent http://www-935.ibm.com/services/us/its/html/green-datacenter-svcs-landing.html February 3, 2012 4
  • 5. Cloud computing will see mainstream deployments in the second half of 2013. ● Cloud leaders (pre-2010) … Amazon, Salesforce.com ● Major cloud strategy announcements in 2012 from – Microsoft, IBM, HP, Dell, EMC/Cisco – Vmware – Oracle, SAP 10 September 2012 5
  • 6. Cloud is about simplicity!  February 3, 2012 6
  • 7. Mobile devices are the de-facto consumption device ● BYOD is the hottest disruption in the enterprise. ● Mobility is not just small screen. There is more. – Presence – Location – HTML5 – Task specific apps ● Build for Mobile device first! 10 September 2012 7
  • 8. Cloud and Mobility will grow in tandem. They are interdependent! 10 September 2012 8
  • 9. Cloud computing will create jobs in India! 10 September 2012 9
  • 10. Really? If every CIO saves 30% from their budget … world’s software business is significantly down! 𝑥 𝑖 > (𝑥 𝑖 − 𝜕 𝑖 ) 10
  • 11. ADM business will bear the brunt 120% 100% 80% 30% reduction in cost! 60% Business Apps 40% ADM 20% Packaged Software Infrastructure 0% Pre Cloud Post Cloud 11
  • 12. Buying Decisions are moving from the CIO to C-Suite and the Line of Business Heads 12
  • 13. As the CIO’s budgets shrink, Line of Business (LOB) Execs are making technology buying decisions ● LOBs build projects like “products” rather than IT Services – Incremental, agile, ● Will consider new set of vendors … opportunity for different set of vendors. 10 September 2012 13
  • 14. The cost of product development has gone down significantly! Traditional Team Ways Size On the Cloud Time 14 Period
  • 15. If it costs less to build a product … ● Different kind of products will be built. ● Different kinds of people will invest to build products ● If product development costs are not significant, do I need to go offshore at all? 10 September 2012 15
  • 16. Data on the cloud is enabling new data-centric business models. February 3, 2012 16
  • 17. We live in a world of apps. Apps, apps everywhere! February 3, 2012 17
  • 18. Enterprise Value is Shifting to Data Data Apps ERP Database Operating Systems Mainframe 1975 10 September 2012 1985 1995 2006 2013 18
  • 19. There will be a hierarchy of apps with different price points; all available on a pay-per-use business model. Task/Device Specific Apps Business Process Specific Apps Traditional Applications will Aggregate Enterprise Data Data Public Data be commoditized on the cloud. February 3, 2012
  • 20. India: the source and the market for innovation February 3, 2012 20
  • 21. Cloud computing is an excellent opportunity for Healthcare Tourism Education Indian Industries to collaborate and Retail Logistics Research disrupt 21
  • 22. Comments? Anand Deshpande anand@persistent.co.in 10 September 2012 22