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Predictive Analytics in the Cloud - The Art of the Possible


                        @tonyquartararo
why people do what they do where they do it?
how can we anticipate (predict) this with greater
confidence, precision & accuracy at any scale for any
               geography over time?
what data + model is needed to succeed?
what does it mean to shift from reactive to
              predictive?
boiling the ocean

• Demographics                • Language
• Economy                     • Medical / Health
• Education                   • Religion
• Ethnicity                   • Climate
• Groups                      • Significant Events
• Land-Use                    • Transportation
                              • Communications

                  wwhgd.org
the premise




           2nd & Laws of Thermodynamics
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/laws_of_thermodynamics
obstacles to success


•highly complex variables
•data fidelity & currency
•rate of change accelerates unevenly
•business models (monetization)
•big data (25 zettabytes by 2020)
obstacles to success


•open vs. proprietary vs. interoperability
•enterprise vs. SaaS vs. hybrids
•mobile devices as producer & consumer
•data disparity across geographies
•UX is everything...
did i mention big, big data
the solution




chaos theory + data + math + GEOINT + internet + UX
credit: @mapbox
credit: @mapbox
July 2013




•
                                    Jan 2013
    natural events
•   economics
•   geopolitics
•   climate             Nov 2012


•   migration
•   food security    Oct 2012


                     Sept 2012


                      August 2012

                                July 2012
or something like this




       http://hint.fm/wind
thank you.
interested in collaboration?




        anthony quartararo
        ajq3@spatialnetworks.com
            @ tonyquartararo

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Predictive Analytics in the Cloud - The Art of the Possible

  • 1. Predictive Analytics in the Cloud - The Art of the Possible @tonyquartararo
  • 2. why people do what they do where they do it?
  • 3. how can we anticipate (predict) this with greater confidence, precision & accuracy at any scale for any geography over time?
  • 4. what data + model is needed to succeed?
  • 5. what does it mean to shift from reactive to predictive?
  • 6. boiling the ocean • Demographics • Language • Economy • Medical / Health • Education • Religion • Ethnicity • Climate • Groups • Significant Events • Land-Use • Transportation • Communications wwhgd.org
  • 7. the premise 2nd & Laws of Thermodynamics http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/laws_of_thermodynamics
  • 8. obstacles to success •highly complex variables •data fidelity & currency •rate of change accelerates unevenly •business models (monetization) •big data (25 zettabytes by 2020)
  • 9. obstacles to success •open vs. proprietary vs. interoperability •enterprise vs. SaaS vs. hybrids •mobile devices as producer & consumer •data disparity across geographies •UX is everything...
  • 10. did i mention big, big data
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15. the solution chaos theory + data + math + GEOINT + internet + UX
  • 18. July 2013 • Jan 2013 natural events • economics • geopolitics • climate Nov 2012 • migration • food security Oct 2012 Sept 2012 August 2012 July 2012
  • 19. or something like this http://hint.fm/wind
  • 20. thank you. interested in collaboration? anthony quartararo ajq3@spatialnetworks.com @ tonyquartararo