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IJSRD - International Journal for Scientific Research & Development| Vol. 1, Issue 7, 2013 | ISSN (online): 2321-0613
All rights reserved by www.ijsrd.com 1478
Abstract— A supply planning for two-level assembly
systems under lead-time uncertainties is considered. It is
supposed that the demand for the finished product and its
due date are known. It is assumed also that the component
lead-time at each level is a random discrete variable. The
objective is to find the release dates for the components at
level two in order to minimize the expected component
holding costs and to maximize the customer service level for
the finished product. A multi objective approach is
considered and numerical results are reported.
I. Introduction
In the literature of production planning and inventory
control, most papers examine inventory systems where lead
times are supposed to be equal to zero or constant. In reality,
lead times are rarely constant; unpredictable events can
cause random delays. Most often, lead time fluctuations
strongly degrade system performance. For different reasons
(machine breakdowns, transport delays, or quality problems,
etc.), the component lead times, i.e. time of component
delivery from an external supplier or processing time for the
semi-finished product at the previous level, have often an
uncertain duration. To minimize the influence of these
stochastic factors, firms implement safety stock (or safety
lead-time), but stock is expensive. In contrast, if there is not
enough stock, stock-out occurs with unsatisfied customer
service level. Therefore, the problem is to find a trade-off
between the holding costs and the customer service level.
The optimal planned lead times, for a one-level assembly
system, are derived by [1]. [7] Investigated the problem of
planned lead-time calculation for multilevel serial systems
under lead-time uncertainties. [1] Considered only the case
of two and three stage (level) serial systems. Both [7] and
[1] proposed continuous inventory control models.
This paper deals with an extension of these approaches for
both multi-level serial (one type of component in each level)
and assembly (several components are assembled at each
level) systems. Taking into account the fact that MRP
approach uses planning buckets (discrete time), a discrete
inventory control model where decision variables are
integers is developed.
In literature, few works model lead times as discrete random
variables. In [2], a one-level inventory control problem with
random lead times and fixed demand is considered, for a
dynamic multi-period case. The authors give a Markov
model for this problem. In [5], under the additional
restrictive assumptions that the lead times of the different
types of components follow the same probability
distribution, and the unit holding costs per period are the
same for all types of components, the optimal solution is
obtained as a generalized Newsboy model. In [6] a multi-
period planning for one-level assembly systems where lead
time density functions for components are known in
advance is considered. The aim is to minimize the total
expected cost composed of component holding costs and
finished product-backlogging costs, and a lower bound of
the cost function is proposed. Recently, we proposed in [4] a
genetic algorithm dealing with large size instances of this
problem.
In this paper, we consider the cases in which the impact of
stock-out cannot be reduced to backlogging costs and they
are instead replaced by a customer service level.
II. PROBLEM DESCRIPTION
The supply planning for two level assembly systems is
considered: the finished product is produced from
components themselves obtained from other components
(see Figure 1).
The finished product demand D is supposed to be known
and the due date T requested by the customer is the end of
the period (so also known). This is a single period problem.
The unit inventory cost for each type of component is
known. The lead times for various component orders are
independent. The assembly of the components at each level
is carried out as soon as the necessary components are
available (just in time).
Let us introduce the following notations:
1 T : due date for the finished product ; without loss a
generality, let T=0
2 D : demand for finished product for the date T ; without
loss a generality, let D=1
3 ci,j : component i of level j (j=1 or 2) of bill of material
(BOM)
4 Nj : number of types of components of level j (j=1or 2)
5 Pi,j: set of the “sons” of ci,j in a BOM tree
6 Li,j: random lead time for component ci,j
7 hi,j: unit holding cost for component ci,j per unit of time
8 xi,j: planned lead time for component ci,j
9 -Xi,2: release date for component ci,2 (this type of
variable is defined only for level 2)
10 Fi,j(.): cumulative distribution function of Li,j
11 ui,j : maximum value of Li,j ; each Li,j varies in [1, ui,j]
1,2,2, ikk uuU 
maximum value of Lk,2+ Li,1, ck,2
Pi,1; (Lk,2+ Li,1)varies
in [2, Uk,2],
12 U: max(Uk,2), k=1,2,…,N2



1
1
1,
N
i
ihH
: sum of holding cost of components at level 1.
 2,2,1,
1,2,
max kk
Pc
i XLM
ik


: date to assemble ci,1, i=1,2,…,N1.
Planning of Supply when lead time uncertain: trade-off between
holding cost and service level
Pragnesh A. Patel1
1
Research Scholar, JJT University, Rajasthan
Process Migration in Heterogeneous Systems
(IJSRD/Vol. 1/Issue 7/2013/0025)
All rights reserved by www.ijsrd.com 1479
Fig. 1: A two-level assembly system
For such a system, level 2 delivers the components to level 1
with a random discrete lead-time. When the semi-finished
product arrives, at the level 1, it undergoes the necessary
operations and afterwards the finished product is delivered
to the customer in order to satisfy the demand D. It is
assumed that each component of level two is used to
assembly only one type of components of level 1. We
assume also that the probability distributions of lead times
for the components of all levels are also known in advance.
Let the component lead times be random discrete variables
with known distributions: Pr(Li,j=k), k= 1,2,…,ui,j, for j= 1, 2
and i=1,2,…,Nj. The variable Li,j takes into account all
processing times at the level j plus transportation time
between levels j and j-1. The release date -Xi,2, i=1,2,…,N2,
for the component ci,2 can be calculated as follows:
212 ,k,i,k xxX 
, where ck,2
Pi,1,
III. MATHEMATICAL MODEL
Taking into account the fact that the different components
on the same level do not arrive at the same time, there are
stocks at level 1 and 2. The expected holding cost is given
by (1). There is a stock out if the finished product is
assembled after the due date (T=0). The probability of stock
out is given by (2).
The problem is to minimize the cost given by (1) while
maximizing the service level, i.e. minimizing the stock out
probability given by (2):
Minimize )(XEC
Minimize )(XSP
Subject to:
   


























s
N
i sooZoo iPkc
oiXiFoiLHXEC
1
1
212,1 1,2,
22,2,11,Pr1)(
 
  





































1
1 1,2,
12,2,111,
1
1 1,2,
2,2,11,
N
i s iSkc
skXkFiH
N
i s iSkc
skXkFiH
Where,
222 ,i,i UX 
, j= 1,2 and i=1,2,…, Nj, (3)
)X,...,X,...,X(X ,N,k, 2221 2

,
,
1
1
1,


N
i
ihH



1,2,
2,1,1,
ik Pc
kii hhH
and
)Pr()( xLxF j,ij,i 
Obviously, the two objective functions usually do not have
the same optimum (actually, they are somehow conflicting).
Minimizing in this context means identifying a set of trade-
off solutions.
IV. OPTIMIZATION ALGORITHM
The problem considered in this paper has two non-linear
objective functions with integer variables. Due to the
combinatorial explosion, the explicit enumeration of the
entire search space becomes impossible when the size of the
problem is significant. In [4], a met heuristic based on
genetic algorithm improved by local search was suggested.
This procedure can solve large-scale problems.
Computational experiments show the efficiency of the
genetic algorithm as well as the ability of the local search to
speed up its convergence.
The idea in this paper is to use this genetic algorithm
embedded within a parameterized procedure to perform
successively and independently the search on different
scalarization functions, leading to different trade-offs
between the two objective functions. Thus, we can use the
genetic algorithm to solve the following problem (4-5):
Min
)()1()( XSPXEC   , with
 1,0 (4)
Where, 222 ,i,i UX 
, j= 1, 2 and i=1, 2,…, Nj (5)
The whole set of solutions, which are in the final population
for one of the  considered are kept. Then we can compute
the subset of solutions which are efficient trade-off in the
sense of Pareto (i.e., there is no other solution in the set
which is better on both objective functions).
Fig. 2: Example of trade-off between stock out probability
and holding cost for one run on instance of size 20
The algorithm is tested for 120 randomly generated
instances. For these instances, the number of components at
level two varies from 10 to 120. For each number of
Process Migration in Heterogeneous Systems
(IJSRD/Vol. 1/Issue 7/2013/0025)
All rights reserved by www.ijsrd.com 1480
components, 10 different instances were generated. The
Table 1 reports the average number (for the instances with
same size) of efficient trade-off solutions obtained with this
algorithm considering 20 different values for . Obviously,
since the multi objective approach considered is basic, its
performance quickly decreases when the size of the problem
increases. However, it permits to highlight that some very
different trade-off can be obtained for a large number of
instances. This behavior is illustrated in Figure 2 where the
solutions obtained for one instance are presented. Outside of
the particular case of the solution with a stock-out
probability equal to 1 which has a very low practical utility,
a set of 30 different trade-off have been obtained within a
large range of stock-out probability (from 0% to 32.8%).
N2 10
2
0
3
0
4
0
5
0
6
0
7
0
8
0
9
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
2
0
Av
era
ge
nu
mb
er
of
tra
de-
off
28
.5
8
.
8
5
.
3
5
.
8
6
.
2
4
.
7
5
.
3
5
.
9
5
.
3
5.
4
5.
2
5
.
4
Table. 1: Average number of trade-off solutions obtained
with the genetic algorithm
V. CONCLUSION AND PERSPECTIVES
A problem, dealing with supply planning for two level
assembly systems under random actual lead times was
studied. A new model was proposed with two criteria: the
inventory cost and the customer service level. In contrast
with the known approaches, which are usually based on
continuous time models, the suggested method uses discrete
optimization techniques with integer decision variables. This
is more appropriate for MRP environment where the
planning horizon is divided into discrete periods (bucket
times). For this problem, a basic multi objective met
heuristic was proposed to find trade-off between holding
cost and stock-out probability.
Further research should be focused on the development of
more effective multi objective met heuristic (see e.g. [3]).
Another path for future research would deal with multilevel
assembly systems, i.e. with multi-level bill of material.
Logically, difficulty will increase because of dependence
among levels in addition to the dependence among
inventories.
REFERENCES
[1] Chu, C., Proth, J.M., Xie, X. (1993). Supply
management in assembly systems. Naval Research
Logistics, 40: 933-949.
[2] Dolgui, A., and Louly, M.A., (2002). A Model for
Supply Planning under Lead Time Uncertainty.
International Journal of Production Economics, 78:
145-152.
[3] Ehrgott, M., and Gandibleux, X., (Editors) (2002).
Multiple Criteria Optimization: State of the Art
Annotated Bibliographic Survey. Kluwer's
International Series in Operations Research and
Management Science : 52, Kluwer Academic
Publishers, Boston.
[4] Hnaien, F., Delorme, X., Dolgui, A. (2008). Genetic
algorithm for supply planning in two-level assembly
systems with random lead times, Engineering
Applications of Artificial Intelligence, (accepted).
[5] Ould-Louly, M.A., Dolgui, A. (2002). Generalized
newsboy model to compute the optimal planned lead
times in assembly systems. International Journal of
Production Research, 40 (17): 4401-4414.
[6] Ould-Louly, M.A., Dolgui, A., Hnaien, F. (2008).
Supply planning for single-level assembly system
with stochastic component delivery times and service
level constraint. International Journal of Production
Economics, 115 (1): 236-247
[7] Yano, C.A. (1987). Setting planned leadtimes in
serial production systems with tardiness costs.
Management Science, 33(1): 95-106.
[8] Faicel Hnaien, Xavier Delorme and Alexandre
Dolgui (2008) algorithm for supply planning in two-
level assembly systems Engineering Applications of
Artificial Intelligence.

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Planning of Supply when lead time uncertain: trade-off between holding cost and service level

  • 1. IJSRD - International Journal for Scientific Research & Development| Vol. 1, Issue 7, 2013 | ISSN (online): 2321-0613 All rights reserved by www.ijsrd.com 1478 Abstract— A supply planning for two-level assembly systems under lead-time uncertainties is considered. It is supposed that the demand for the finished product and its due date are known. It is assumed also that the component lead-time at each level is a random discrete variable. The objective is to find the release dates for the components at level two in order to minimize the expected component holding costs and to maximize the customer service level for the finished product. A multi objective approach is considered and numerical results are reported. I. Introduction In the literature of production planning and inventory control, most papers examine inventory systems where lead times are supposed to be equal to zero or constant. In reality, lead times are rarely constant; unpredictable events can cause random delays. Most often, lead time fluctuations strongly degrade system performance. For different reasons (machine breakdowns, transport delays, or quality problems, etc.), the component lead times, i.e. time of component delivery from an external supplier or processing time for the semi-finished product at the previous level, have often an uncertain duration. To minimize the influence of these stochastic factors, firms implement safety stock (or safety lead-time), but stock is expensive. In contrast, if there is not enough stock, stock-out occurs with unsatisfied customer service level. Therefore, the problem is to find a trade-off between the holding costs and the customer service level. The optimal planned lead times, for a one-level assembly system, are derived by [1]. [7] Investigated the problem of planned lead-time calculation for multilevel serial systems under lead-time uncertainties. [1] Considered only the case of two and three stage (level) serial systems. Both [7] and [1] proposed continuous inventory control models. This paper deals with an extension of these approaches for both multi-level serial (one type of component in each level) and assembly (several components are assembled at each level) systems. Taking into account the fact that MRP approach uses planning buckets (discrete time), a discrete inventory control model where decision variables are integers is developed. In literature, few works model lead times as discrete random variables. In [2], a one-level inventory control problem with random lead times and fixed demand is considered, for a dynamic multi-period case. The authors give a Markov model for this problem. In [5], under the additional restrictive assumptions that the lead times of the different types of components follow the same probability distribution, and the unit holding costs per period are the same for all types of components, the optimal solution is obtained as a generalized Newsboy model. In [6] a multi- period planning for one-level assembly systems where lead time density functions for components are known in advance is considered. The aim is to minimize the total expected cost composed of component holding costs and finished product-backlogging costs, and a lower bound of the cost function is proposed. Recently, we proposed in [4] a genetic algorithm dealing with large size instances of this problem. In this paper, we consider the cases in which the impact of stock-out cannot be reduced to backlogging costs and they are instead replaced by a customer service level. II. PROBLEM DESCRIPTION The supply planning for two level assembly systems is considered: the finished product is produced from components themselves obtained from other components (see Figure 1). The finished product demand D is supposed to be known and the due date T requested by the customer is the end of the period (so also known). This is a single period problem. The unit inventory cost for each type of component is known. The lead times for various component orders are independent. The assembly of the components at each level is carried out as soon as the necessary components are available (just in time). Let us introduce the following notations: 1 T : due date for the finished product ; without loss a generality, let T=0 2 D : demand for finished product for the date T ; without loss a generality, let D=1 3 ci,j : component i of level j (j=1 or 2) of bill of material (BOM) 4 Nj : number of types of components of level j (j=1or 2) 5 Pi,j: set of the “sons” of ci,j in a BOM tree 6 Li,j: random lead time for component ci,j 7 hi,j: unit holding cost for component ci,j per unit of time 8 xi,j: planned lead time for component ci,j 9 -Xi,2: release date for component ci,2 (this type of variable is defined only for level 2) 10 Fi,j(.): cumulative distribution function of Li,j 11 ui,j : maximum value of Li,j ; each Li,j varies in [1, ui,j] 1,2,2, ikk uuU  maximum value of Lk,2+ Li,1, ck,2 Pi,1; (Lk,2+ Li,1)varies in [2, Uk,2], 12 U: max(Uk,2), k=1,2,…,N2    1 1 1, N i ihH : sum of holding cost of components at level 1.  2,2,1, 1,2, max kk Pc i XLM ik   : date to assemble ci,1, i=1,2,…,N1. Planning of Supply when lead time uncertain: trade-off between holding cost and service level Pragnesh A. Patel1 1 Research Scholar, JJT University, Rajasthan
  • 2. Process Migration in Heterogeneous Systems (IJSRD/Vol. 1/Issue 7/2013/0025) All rights reserved by www.ijsrd.com 1479 Fig. 1: A two-level assembly system For such a system, level 2 delivers the components to level 1 with a random discrete lead-time. When the semi-finished product arrives, at the level 1, it undergoes the necessary operations and afterwards the finished product is delivered to the customer in order to satisfy the demand D. It is assumed that each component of level two is used to assembly only one type of components of level 1. We assume also that the probability distributions of lead times for the components of all levels are also known in advance. Let the component lead times be random discrete variables with known distributions: Pr(Li,j=k), k= 1,2,…,ui,j, for j= 1, 2 and i=1,2,…,Nj. The variable Li,j takes into account all processing times at the level j plus transportation time between levels j and j-1. The release date -Xi,2, i=1,2,…,N2, for the component ci,2 can be calculated as follows: 212 ,k,i,k xxX  , where ck,2 Pi,1, III. MATHEMATICAL MODEL Taking into account the fact that the different components on the same level do not arrive at the same time, there are stocks at level 1 and 2. The expected holding cost is given by (1). There is a stock out if the finished product is assembled after the due date (T=0). The probability of stock out is given by (2). The problem is to minimize the cost given by (1) while maximizing the service level, i.e. minimizing the stock out probability given by (2): Minimize )(XEC Minimize )(XSP Subject to:                               s N i sooZoo iPkc oiXiFoiLHXEC 1 1 212,1 1,2, 22,2,11,Pr1)(                                           1 1 1,2, 12,2,111, 1 1 1,2, 2,2,11, N i s iSkc skXkFiH N i s iSkc skXkFiH Where, 222 ,i,i UX  , j= 1,2 and i=1,2,…, Nj, (3) )X,...,X,...,X(X ,N,k, 2221 2  , , 1 1 1,   N i ihH    1,2, 2,1,1, ik Pc kii hhH and )Pr()( xLxF j,ij,i  Obviously, the two objective functions usually do not have the same optimum (actually, they are somehow conflicting). Minimizing in this context means identifying a set of trade- off solutions. IV. OPTIMIZATION ALGORITHM The problem considered in this paper has two non-linear objective functions with integer variables. Due to the combinatorial explosion, the explicit enumeration of the entire search space becomes impossible when the size of the problem is significant. In [4], a met heuristic based on genetic algorithm improved by local search was suggested. This procedure can solve large-scale problems. Computational experiments show the efficiency of the genetic algorithm as well as the ability of the local search to speed up its convergence. The idea in this paper is to use this genetic algorithm embedded within a parameterized procedure to perform successively and independently the search on different scalarization functions, leading to different trade-offs between the two objective functions. Thus, we can use the genetic algorithm to solve the following problem (4-5): Min )()1()( XSPXEC   , with  1,0 (4) Where, 222 ,i,i UX  , j= 1, 2 and i=1, 2,…, Nj (5) The whole set of solutions, which are in the final population for one of the  considered are kept. Then we can compute the subset of solutions which are efficient trade-off in the sense of Pareto (i.e., there is no other solution in the set which is better on both objective functions). Fig. 2: Example of trade-off between stock out probability and holding cost for one run on instance of size 20 The algorithm is tested for 120 randomly generated instances. For these instances, the number of components at level two varies from 10 to 120. For each number of
  • 3. Process Migration in Heterogeneous Systems (IJSRD/Vol. 1/Issue 7/2013/0025) All rights reserved by www.ijsrd.com 1480 components, 10 different instances were generated. The Table 1 reports the average number (for the instances with same size) of efficient trade-off solutions obtained with this algorithm considering 20 different values for . Obviously, since the multi objective approach considered is basic, its performance quickly decreases when the size of the problem increases. However, it permits to highlight that some very different trade-off can be obtained for a large number of instances. This behavior is illustrated in Figure 2 where the solutions obtained for one instance are presented. Outside of the particular case of the solution with a stock-out probability equal to 1 which has a very low practical utility, a set of 30 different trade-off have been obtained within a large range of stock-out probability (from 0% to 32.8%). N2 10 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 6 0 7 0 8 0 9 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 2 0 Av era ge nu mb er of tra de- off 28 .5 8 . 8 5 . 3 5 . 8 6 . 2 4 . 7 5 . 3 5 . 9 5 . 3 5. 4 5. 2 5 . 4 Table. 1: Average number of trade-off solutions obtained with the genetic algorithm V. CONCLUSION AND PERSPECTIVES A problem, dealing with supply planning for two level assembly systems under random actual lead times was studied. A new model was proposed with two criteria: the inventory cost and the customer service level. In contrast with the known approaches, which are usually based on continuous time models, the suggested method uses discrete optimization techniques with integer decision variables. This is more appropriate for MRP environment where the planning horizon is divided into discrete periods (bucket times). For this problem, a basic multi objective met heuristic was proposed to find trade-off between holding cost and stock-out probability. Further research should be focused on the development of more effective multi objective met heuristic (see e.g. [3]). Another path for future research would deal with multilevel assembly systems, i.e. with multi-level bill of material. Logically, difficulty will increase because of dependence among levels in addition to the dependence among inventories. REFERENCES [1] Chu, C., Proth, J.M., Xie, X. (1993). Supply management in assembly systems. Naval Research Logistics, 40: 933-949. [2] Dolgui, A., and Louly, M.A., (2002). A Model for Supply Planning under Lead Time Uncertainty. International Journal of Production Economics, 78: 145-152. [3] Ehrgott, M., and Gandibleux, X., (Editors) (2002). Multiple Criteria Optimization: State of the Art Annotated Bibliographic Survey. Kluwer's International Series in Operations Research and Management Science : 52, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Boston. [4] Hnaien, F., Delorme, X., Dolgui, A. (2008). Genetic algorithm for supply planning in two-level assembly systems with random lead times, Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence, (accepted). [5] Ould-Louly, M.A., Dolgui, A. (2002). Generalized newsboy model to compute the optimal planned lead times in assembly systems. International Journal of Production Research, 40 (17): 4401-4414. [6] Ould-Louly, M.A., Dolgui, A., Hnaien, F. (2008). Supply planning for single-level assembly system with stochastic component delivery times and service level constraint. International Journal of Production Economics, 115 (1): 236-247 [7] Yano, C.A. (1987). Setting planned leadtimes in serial production systems with tardiness costs. Management Science, 33(1): 95-106. [8] Faicel Hnaien, Xavier Delorme and Alexandre Dolgui (2008) algorithm for supply planning in two- level assembly systems Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence.