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The Power of
Pioneers
MICHAEL MOE, CFA
Founder, GSV
@michaelmoe
WELCOME 2015 GSV Pioneer Summit!
Wicked Issues Facing Humanity
$4.5 B+
private funding
raised
1,000+
Attendees
100
Speakers
Ron Johnson
Anne
Wojcicki
Michael Abbott
Ira Ehrenpreis
Phil Libin
Guy Kawasaki
GLOBAL SILICON VALLEY
Hall of Fame
Bill Campbell
Coach of the Valley
Larry Sonsini
Counsel to Titans
Diane Greene
Technology Maverick
Dick Kramlich
Venture Capital
Trailblazer
Mike Homer
(in memoriam)
Creative Force of
Nature
We “Open” at the Close
We won’t have a closing, but rather an opening to conversations and relationships for the coming year to transform industries.  
Megabots
Party
Sustainability MobileBig DataEdTech Games
50 cities map
Los
Altos
Palo
Alto
Atherton
Redwood City
San Mateo
Millbrae
Half
Moon Bay
South San
Francisco
SFO
San Francisco
Foster
City
Woodside
Oakland
THE BUSINESSES OFTHE BUSINESSES OF
SILICON VALLEY
Cupertino
Sunnyvale
Milpitas
Fremont
Mountain
View
San Jose
twitter
Venture capitalists are people
too…most of them anyway.
Phrases to avoid in a pitch
“
”
We’re the Uber for ___.
Phrases to avoid in a pitch
“
”
We’re not afraid to pivot.
Phrases to avoid in a pitch
“
”
This is the holy grail.
50 cities map
the
SILICON VALLEY
PARKING GARAGE
TESLA MODEL S
• Signature car of the
Valley and the CEO’s car,
usually parked next to
the CFO’s Tesla
• Combines the make and
price of a Lambo with
TOYOTA PRIUS
• The workingperson’s car
• Easy to park, affordable,
efficient, all in a lunch-
box shape
• So average and
inconspicuous they are a
BMW M3
• Even if drivers are kind
environmentalists and
volunteer at homeless
shelters, passersby still
think he is a “show-offy,
wealth obsessed d-bag”
SILICON VALLEY
PARKING GARAG
TESLA MODEL S TOYOTA PRIUS
Erlich Bachman’s
Guide to Business
“
”
We’ll call you when we
want pleated khakis.
Erlich Bachman’s
Guide to Business
“
”
You just brought
shit to a piss fight.
Every day in
America 1,100
new businesses
are formed.
Source: Gallup, U.S. Census Bureau
Every day in
America 1,300
businesses fail.
Source: Gallup, U.S. Census Bureau
In 2014, Venture
Capitalists invested in
4,356 companies.
Source: NVCA, PwC
In 2014, just 115 venture-
backed companies went
public….
Source: Thomson Reuters, NVCA
…and that was the best
year since 2000.
Source: Dow Jones Venture Source, Fenwick & West
20% Chance Company
Survives First 3 Years
What kind of nut
would start a
business?
Name that “Nut”
Lost job in ’32
Defeated in race for State
Legislature in ’32
Failed in business ‘33
He had a nervous
breakdown in ’41
Defeated in races for:
Congress in ‘43
Senate in ‘55
Vice President in ‘56
Senate in ‘58
And the answer is…
Teachers told him he was
“too stupid to learn anything”
Fired from his first two jobs for
lack of productivity
Thomas Edison
$256 Billion Market Cap
He was fired by a newspaper editor
because he "lacked imagination
and had no good ideas"
Launched film studios in 1920 and
1921… both went bankrupt
$173 Billion Market Cap
$208 Billion
Market Cap
“In order to earn better than a
‘C’, the idea must be feasible.”
-Yale professor response to a
paper he submitted in 1965
Wilson turned FedEx’s last $5,000
into $27,000 at the Black Jack table
Whatever it Takes
$41 Billion Market Cap
Dyslexic
Turned down by 53 banks for a
business loan
Founded 8
$1 Billion Dollar Businesses
College dropout
Dumped from the
company he founded
Next business was
a near failure
Largest Market Cap in the World
Fired as CEO while on
vacation
Spent every dime he had to
keep his next company afloat
Other company he founded
literally crashed and burned
$32 Billion Market Cap
$12 Billion Valuation
Moore’s Law 50th
Anniversary
Moore’s Law
2000 2015
$0.04
$7.03
Cost of Computing (per MM transistors)
Source: Deloitte
98% decline
2000 2015
$0.02
$4.77
Cost of Storage (per GB)
Source: Deloitte
99% decline
1990: $20K										Today: $1
Source: Deloitte
Global Internet Users (billions)
1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2015
3.1
2.2
1.5
1.0
0.7
0.3
0.1
21% CAGR
Source: Internet Live Stats
2.0 B+ Smart Phone Users
Source: eMarketer
2012 2013 2014 2015 (P) 2016 (P) 2017 (P)
270
225
180
140
100
70
Android and iOS App Downloads (billions)
Source: Gartner
31% CAGR
Austin
Boston
Chicago
Sao Paulo
Mumbai
Shanghai
Dubai
Global Silicon Valley
ImagiNation
Founded: 2004
Source: Facebook, World Bank
Population Size
1.5B 1.24B1.35B
Founded: 1921
Founded: 2009
Market Value: $51 Billion
St. Peter ’s Sq uare : 2 0 0 5
St. Peter ’s Sq uare : 2 0 1 3
Founded: 1888
Market Value: Bankrupt
Founded: 2011
Market Value: $15 Billion
Founded: 1957
Market Cap: $7 Billion
Founded: 2008
Market Value: $25 Billion
Things change…
U.S. Workforce Breakdown: 1800
95%
5%
Agriculture
Other
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, GSV Asset Management
Life Expectancy 1800: 37
U.S. Workforce Breakdown: 1900
42%
30%
28%
Services & Information
Agriculture Industrial
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, GSV Asset Management
PLAY LEARN WORK RETIRE
0-5 25-65 65+5-25
Old System
1900
“As GM Goes, So Goes the
Nation.”
-Charles Wilson
CEO, General Motors (1953)
$0
$25
$50
$75
$100
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2007 2008 2009
GM Share Price, 2000-2009
Source: CapitalIQ
Only 12% of the Companies
on the 1955 List Remain
Since 1990, Fortune 500
Lost 25 Million Jobs…
75 Million Jobs Created by
New Businesses
U.S. Workforce Breakdown: 2020
1%
95%
4%
Services & Information
Industrial
Agriculture
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, GSV Asset Management
Today: 30% of Newborns Will Live to be 100
Source: New York Times
Millennials’
Projected
Lifetime
Careers: 15+
Source: Forbes, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
“Siri, make
me a
sandwich.”
PLAY WORK RETIRE?
0-5 JOB
LEARN
SCHOOL JOB JOB JOB
New System
ENTREPRENEUR
As the entrepreneur
goes, so goes the
Global Silicon Valley
Thank You!
@michaelmoe
A2Apple Blog
Pioneer Summit 2015 Opening Keynote by Michael Moe

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Pioneer Summit 2015 Opening Keynote by Michael Moe