SlideShare a Scribd company logo
Brought to you by
Back to the fundamentals (maybe)
TURING FESTIVAL - AUGUST 2018
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Brought to you by
Brought to you by
Similar traits
Brought to you by
• Old in software years
Similar traits
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• Old in software years
• Raised $100M+
Similar traits
Brought to you by
You
Brought to you by
You
Brought to you by
You
Brought to you by
You
Brought to you by
• Really good tech
You
Brought to you by
• Really good tech
• Some great design
You
Brought to you by
• Really good tech
• Some great design
• Low money
You
Brought to you by
• Really good tech
• Some great design
• Low money
You
Brought to you by
• Really good tech
• Some great design
• Low money
You
Brought to you by
• Really good tech
• Some great design
• Low money
You
Brought to you by
• Really good tech
• Some great design
• Low money
You
Brought to you by
• Really good tech
• Some great design
• Low money
You
Brought to you by
• Really good tech
• Some great design
• Low money
Brought to you by
Brought to you by
This is not how you build a business.
Brought to you by
You can’t best practice your way to success.
Brought to you by
“Wait - how do you even know large, bearded man?”
Brought to you by
I’m no one.
Churn
tribution
Financial
Unit
Price
Survey
Willingness to
In-App Usage
Drastically reduce churnRETAIN
Actionable, accurate insights to make you
smarter about your business (for free)
SUBSCRIPTION METRICS
Proprietary pricing software for
monetization
MONETIZE
We’ve collected more market data and
seen inside more growth businesses than
anyone else out there.
Brought to you by
Brought to you by
We’re going to go through a ton of data.
Brought to you by
Everyone will be unhappy.
Brought to you by
Everyone will be unhappy.
• Company Level Cliches
• Product Problems
• Growth Terribleness
THREE MAIN AXES OF BEST
PRACTICES WE’LL EXPLORE
— GETTINGBACKTOTHEFUNDAMENTALS
Brought to you by your friends at
Brought to you by
Company Cliches
“Funding is necessary for growth”
“VCs are basically demons”
Funding messes with unit economics
FUNDING IMPACT STUDY
CAC Higher Amongst Funded Companies
Customer acquisition cost (CAC) has increased significantly over the years due to market saturation of
marketing vying for consumer attention, but CAC amongst funded companies outpaces everyone else.
BLENDEDCACRELATIVETOFOURYEARSAGO
SOURCE: 2018 PROFITWELL CAC STUDY
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
5 YEARS AGO 4 YEARS AGO 3 YEARS AGO 2 YEARS AGO 1 YEARS AGO Today
Upper Quartile Funding
Funding
No Funding
WHEN MEASUREMENT WAS TAKEN
N
611
N = 611 companies
Brought to you by
Funding helps with growth…
…but only so far.
“Don’t focus on competition”
CONSUMERS ARE GETTING HAMMERED
Number of Competitors in First Year in Business
Companies started more than a year ago had far fewer competitors in their space than companies
started today.
AVERAGE#OFCOMPETITORSINTHEIR1STYEAR
AGE OF COMPANY
2016 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY
0
5
10
5 YEARS OLD 3 YEARS OLD 1 YEAR OLD
9.7
4.8
2.6
N = 1432 software founders and executives
Brought to you by your friends at
CAC COMPETITION BENCHMARKS
CAC Lower Amongst Competition Focused Companies
Customer acquisition cost (CAC) has increased significantly over the years due to market saturation of
marketing vying for consumer attention, but CAC amongst competitor focused companies is lower.
BLENDEDCACRELATIVETOFOURYEARSAGO
SOURCE: 2018 PROFITWELL CAC STUDY
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5 YEARS AGO 4 YEARS AGO 3 YEARS AGO 2 YEARS AGO 1 YEARS AGO Today
Overall
Competitor Marketing Strategy
WHEN MEASUREMENT WAS TAKEN
N
507
N = 507 companies
Brought to you by
PRODUCT COMPETITION BENCHMARKS
NPS is Lower for Competitor Focused Product Teams
NPS is falling overall, but companies who are focused on competition from a product perspective are
seeing lower NPS scores overall indicating you shouldn’t focused on competition to build product.
AVERAGENPSSCORE
YEARS AGO
SOURCE: 2018 COMPETITOR STUDY
0
7
13
20
27
33
40
5 YEARS AGO 3 YEARS AGO 1 YEAR AGO
5.22
12.08
24.11
10.2
19.5
33.8
Overall
Competitive Product Strategy
N = 231 companies
N
231
Brought to you by
“Work life balance is important.
Founders need hobbies.”
FOUNDER IMPACT STUDY
Hard to Grow Quickly Without Being All In
Companies with Founders who score high on our work-life balance index tend to have companies who
are growing much slower than those who score low on the work-life balance index.
MIDSPREADYOYGROWTH%
SOURCE: 2018 PROFITWELL FOUNDER IMPACT STUDY
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
49.3%
55.7%54.1%
45.3%
47.9%
51.4%
30.9%31.8%
27.5%29.4%
32.2%32.7%
Balanced All In
N
182
N = Minimum of 182 companies per segment pulled from the middle 2/3 of companies in terms of
growth rate. This, along with a dampening model was used to control for outlier spikes in growth rate.
Brought to you by
YEAR MEASUREMENT WAS TAKEN
FOUNDER IMPACT STUDY
Companies with Founders with a Hobby Grow Slower
Founder who have a hobby they dedicate an average of 10 hours per week to tend to have slower growing
companies compared to Founders without a hobby or ones that take up less than 10 hours per week.
MIDSPREADYOYGROWTH%
SOURCE: 2018 PROFITWELL FOUNDER IMPACT STUDY
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2014 2015 2016 2017
51.2%53.1%54.1%
46.2%
40.5%43.0%
37.0%38.9%
Hobby No Hobby
N
182
N = Minimum of 182 companies per segment pulled from the middle 2/3 of companies in terms of
growth rate. This, along with a dampening model was used to control for outlier spikes in growth rate.
Brought to you by
YEAR MEASUREMENT WAS TAKEN
• Funding requires scalpel, not sledgehammer thinking
• Competition thinking will help unit economics, but not product
• Work-life balance and hobbies likely will mean slower growth
BUILDING A COMPANY IS
INSANELY TOUGH
— RETHINKTHECOMPANYCLICHES
Brought to you by your friends at
Brought to you by
Product Problems
“Focus on one product for growth”
“Features = growth”
The relative value of features is declining.
THE MARKET IS DROPPING OUT BENEATH US
Consumer Willingness to Pay has Declined Over Time
Software willingness to pay has declined significantly over the past few years due to increased options
and higher demands.
WTPAS%OFWTP4YEARSAGO
SOURCE: 2017 CONSUMER WILLINGNESS TO PAY STUDY
0%
30%
60%
90%
120%
5 YEARS AGO 4 YEARS AGO 3 YEARS AGO 2 YEARS AGO 1 YEAR AGO TODAY
Core Features
Single Sign On
Integrations
Analytics
WHEN MEASUREMENT WAS TAKEN
N = Varies by line, but minimum of 10,000 customer respondents per line
N
921k
Brought to you by your friends at
You need value metrics.
“Steve Jobs didn’t talk to
customers…you don’t need to either”
Brought to you by
We’re building the wrong product.
Brought to you by
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
-0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5
Revenue Drivers
2017 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY
THE MARKET IS DROPPING OUT BENEATH US
Measuring consumer sentiment to what we’re building
DEVIATIONFROMMEDIANWTP
RELATIVE PREFERENCE MAGNITUDE
Brought to you by
2017 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY
THE MARKET IS DROPPING OUT BENEATH US
Measuring consumer sentiment to what we’re building
Relative Value of Attributes
Brought to you by
2017 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY
THE MARKET IS DROPPING OUT BENEATH US
Measuring consumer sentiment to what we’re building
Relative Value of Attributes
• Taste
• Country of Origin
• Temperature
Brought to you by
2017 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY
THE MARKET IS DROPPING OUT BENEATH US
Measuring consumer sentiment to what we’re building
Relative Value of Attributes
• Taste
• Country of Origin
• Temperature
Willingness to Pay
• Price elasticity for a cup of coffee
Brought to you by
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
-0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5
Revenue Drivers
2017 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY
THE MARKET IS DROPPING OUT BENEATH US
Measuring consumer sentiment to what we’re building
DEVIATIONFROMMEDIANWTP
RELATIVE PREFERENCE MAGNITUDE
Taste
Brought to you by
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
-0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5
Revenue Drivers
2017 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY
THE MARKET IS DROPPING OUT BENEATH US
Measuring consumer sentiment to what we’re building
DEVIATIONFROMMEDIANWTP
RELATIVE PREFERENCE MAGNITUDE
Taste
Temperature
Country of Origin
Brought to you by
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
-0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5
Revenue Drivers
2017 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY
THE MARKET IS DROPPING OUT BENEATH US
Measuring consumer sentiment to what we’re building
DEVIATIONFROMMEDIANWTP
RELATIVE PREFERENCE MAGNITUDE
Taste
Temperature
Country of Origin
Brought to you by
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
-0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5
Revenue Drivers
2017 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY
WE’RE BUILDING THE WRONG PRODUCT
Calculating the expected impact of product on growth
DEVIATIONFROMMEDIANWTP
RELATIVE PREFERENCE MAGNITUDE
Differentiable Features
High Value/High WTP
Brought to you by
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
-0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5
Revenue Drivers
2017 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY
WE’RE BUILDING THE WRONG PRODUCT
Calculating the expected impact of product on growth
DEVIATIONFROMMEDIANWTP
RELATIVE PREFERENCE MAGNITUDE
Differentiable Features
High Value/High WTP
Add-Ons
Low Value/High WTP
Brought to you by
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
-0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5
Revenue Drivers
2017 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY
WE’RE BUILDING THE WRONG PRODUCT
Calculating the expected impact of product on growth
DEVIATIONFROMMEDIANWTP
RELATIVE PREFERENCE MAGNITUDE
Differentiable Features
High Value/High WTP
Add-Ons
Low Value/High WTP
Core Features
High Value/Low WTP
Brought to you by
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
-0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5
Revenue Drivers
2017 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY
WE’RE BUILDING THE WRONG PRODUCT
Calculating the expected impact of product on growth
DEVIATIONFROMMEDIANWTP
RELATIVE PREFERENCE MAGNITUDE
Differentiable Features
High Value/High WTP
Add-Ons
Low Value/High WTP
Core Features
High Value/Low WTP
Trash Land
Low Value/Low WTP
Brought to you by
CLEAR WINNERS AND LOSERS
Comparing Cust Dev Strategies of Companies
Acquisition based growth companies grow at a smaller rate than those with a balanced growth
approach (growth from all three pillars of growth).
YOYGROWTHRATE
SOURCE: 2017 STUDY ON CUST DEV
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2012 2017
44.821%
31.72%
Minimal Customer Development
Aggressive Customer Development
N
687
N = Minimum of 687 companies per segment pulled from the middle 2/3 of companies in terms of
growth rate. This, along with a dampening model was used to control for outlier spikes in growth rate.
Brought to you by
CLEAR WINNERS AND LOSERS
Comparing Cust Dev Strategies of Companies
Acquisition based growth companies grow at a smaller rate than those with a balanced growth
approach (growth from all three pillars of growth).
YOYGROWTHRATE
SOURCE: 2017 STUDY ON CUST DEV
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2012 2017
59.08%
44.821%
17.43%
31.72%
Minimal Customer Development
Aggressive Customer Development
N
687
N = Minimum of 687 companies per segment pulled from the middle 2/3 of companies in terms of
growth rate. This, along with a dampening model was used to control for outlier spikes in growth rate.
Brought to you by
• You probably need multiple products sooner than later (at least
for growth)
• Features are no longer keys to brute force growth
• You need to understand your customers better to properly
build the right product these days
PRODUCT FOCUS HAS NEVER
BEEN MORE IMPORTANT
— PRODUCTREQUIRESFOCUS
Brought to you by your friends at
Brought to you by
Growth terribleness
“Discounting is effective”
“Brand is for retail products”
“Acquisition is everything”
WE MAKE MATTER SO MUCH WORSE
Which Pillar is the Most Important in Your Business
Founders and software executives overwhelmingly put their support behind acquisition based growth
instead of caring about monetization or retention.
%OFTOTALRESPONDENTS
PILLAR OF THE BUSINESS
2017 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY
0%
50%
100%
MORE LOGOS MORE $ PER CUSTOMER KEEP CUSTOMER LONGER
21.1%
7.58%
71.32%
N = 1578 software founders and executives
N
1578
Brought to you by your friends at
Acquisition is just to survive now,
not to grow.
WE FOCUS ON THE WRONG FUNDAMENTALS
Impact of Improving Each Pillar of Your Business
Monetization and retention based growth far outpaces acquisition based growth. This impact is getting
greater over time.
%IMPACTONREVENUE
SOURCE: 2016 STUDY ON COMPANY UNIT ECONOMICS
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
ACQUISITION MONETIZATION RETENTION
2.35%
3.32%
2008 - 2012 2013 - 2016
N
734
N = Data from 734 software companies
PILLAR OF THE BUSINESS
Brought to you by your friends at
WE FOCUS ON THE WRONG FUNDAMENTALS
Impact of Improving Each Pillar of Your Business
Monetization and retention based growth far outpaces acquisition based growth. This impact is getting
greater over time.
%IMPACTONREVENUE
SOURCE: 2016 STUDY ON COMPANY UNIT ECONOMICS
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
ACQUISITION MONETIZATION RETENTION
9.32%
15.89%
2.35%
6.71%
12.7%
3.32%
2008 - 2012 2013 - 2016
N
1.4k
N = Data from 1.4k software companies
PILLAR OF THE BUSINESS
Brought to you by your friends at
• Discounting is terrible. Stop it.
• You need at least the semblance of a brand strategy.
• Pricing/Retention are more important than ever
GROWTH IS IMPOSSIBLY HARD
GIVEN THE DENSITY OF THE MARKET
— GROWTHISTOUGH
Brought to you by your friends at
Brought to you by
Fundamentals > Best Practices
Brought to you by
A lot of you aren’t going to focus on any of this.
You
• Hungry to grow
• Some great design
• Low money
Brought to you by
Brought to you by
This breaks my heart, because
you have everything to win.
Brought to you by
You just have to put in the work.
pc@profitwell.com
Brought to you by

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Sustainability: Balancing the Environment, Equity & Economy
 

Patrick Campbell — Our Fundamental Strategy of Building a Business is Broken (Turing Fest 2018)

  • 1. Brought to you by Back to the fundamentals (maybe) TURING FESTIVAL - AUGUST 2018
  • 6. • Old in software years Similar traits Brought to you by
  • 7. • Old in software years • Raised $100M+ Similar traits Brought to you by
  • 11. You Brought to you by • Really good tech
  • 12. You Brought to you by • Really good tech • Some great design
  • 13. You Brought to you by • Really good tech • Some great design • Low money
  • 14. You Brought to you by • Really good tech • Some great design • Low money
  • 15. You Brought to you by • Really good tech • Some great design • Low money
  • 16. You Brought to you by • Really good tech • Some great design • Low money
  • 17. You Brought to you by • Really good tech • Some great design • Low money
  • 18. You Brought to you by • Really good tech • Some great design • Low money
  • 19. You Brought to you by • Really good tech • Some great design • Low money
  • 21. Brought to you by This is not how you build a business.
  • 22. Brought to you by You can’t best practice your way to success.
  • 23. Brought to you by “Wait - how do you even know large, bearded man?”
  • 24. Brought to you by I’m no one.
  • 25. Churn tribution Financial Unit Price Survey Willingness to In-App Usage Drastically reduce churnRETAIN Actionable, accurate insights to make you smarter about your business (for free) SUBSCRIPTION METRICS Proprietary pricing software for monetization MONETIZE
  • 26. We’ve collected more market data and seen inside more growth businesses than anyone else out there. Brought to you by
  • 27. Brought to you by We’re going to go through a ton of data.
  • 28. Brought to you by Everyone will be unhappy.
  • 29. Brought to you by Everyone will be unhappy.
  • 30. • Company Level Cliches • Product Problems • Growth Terribleness THREE MAIN AXES OF BEST PRACTICES WE’LL EXPLORE — GETTINGBACKTOTHEFUNDAMENTALS Brought to you by your friends at
  • 31. Brought to you by Company Cliches
  • 32. “Funding is necessary for growth”
  • 33. “VCs are basically demons”
  • 34. Funding messes with unit economics
  • 35. FUNDING IMPACT STUDY CAC Higher Amongst Funded Companies Customer acquisition cost (CAC) has increased significantly over the years due to market saturation of marketing vying for consumer attention, but CAC amongst funded companies outpaces everyone else. BLENDEDCACRELATIVETOFOURYEARSAGO SOURCE: 2018 PROFITWELL CAC STUDY 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 5 YEARS AGO 4 YEARS AGO 3 YEARS AGO 2 YEARS AGO 1 YEARS AGO Today Upper Quartile Funding Funding No Funding WHEN MEASUREMENT WAS TAKEN N 611 N = 611 companies Brought to you by
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  • 37. Funding helps with growth…
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  • 41. “Don’t focus on competition”
  • 42. CONSUMERS ARE GETTING HAMMERED Number of Competitors in First Year in Business Companies started more than a year ago had far fewer competitors in their space than companies started today. AVERAGE#OFCOMPETITORSINTHEIR1STYEAR AGE OF COMPANY 2016 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY 0 5 10 5 YEARS OLD 3 YEARS OLD 1 YEAR OLD 9.7 4.8 2.6 N = 1432 software founders and executives Brought to you by your friends at
  • 43. CAC COMPETITION BENCHMARKS CAC Lower Amongst Competition Focused Companies Customer acquisition cost (CAC) has increased significantly over the years due to market saturation of marketing vying for consumer attention, but CAC amongst competitor focused companies is lower. BLENDEDCACRELATIVETOFOURYEARSAGO SOURCE: 2018 PROFITWELL CAC STUDY 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 5 YEARS AGO 4 YEARS AGO 3 YEARS AGO 2 YEARS AGO 1 YEARS AGO Today Overall Competitor Marketing Strategy WHEN MEASUREMENT WAS TAKEN N 507 N = 507 companies Brought to you by
  • 44. PRODUCT COMPETITION BENCHMARKS NPS is Lower for Competitor Focused Product Teams NPS is falling overall, but companies who are focused on competition from a product perspective are seeing lower NPS scores overall indicating you shouldn’t focused on competition to build product. AVERAGENPSSCORE YEARS AGO SOURCE: 2018 COMPETITOR STUDY 0 7 13 20 27 33 40 5 YEARS AGO 3 YEARS AGO 1 YEAR AGO 5.22 12.08 24.11 10.2 19.5 33.8 Overall Competitive Product Strategy N = 231 companies N 231 Brought to you by
  • 45. “Work life balance is important. Founders need hobbies.”
  • 46. FOUNDER IMPACT STUDY Hard to Grow Quickly Without Being All In Companies with Founders who score high on our work-life balance index tend to have companies who are growing much slower than those who score low on the work-life balance index. MIDSPREADYOYGROWTH% SOURCE: 2018 PROFITWELL FOUNDER IMPACT STUDY 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 49.3% 55.7%54.1% 45.3% 47.9% 51.4% 30.9%31.8% 27.5%29.4% 32.2%32.7% Balanced All In N 182 N = Minimum of 182 companies per segment pulled from the middle 2/3 of companies in terms of growth rate. This, along with a dampening model was used to control for outlier spikes in growth rate. Brought to you by YEAR MEASUREMENT WAS TAKEN
  • 47. FOUNDER IMPACT STUDY Companies with Founders with a Hobby Grow Slower Founder who have a hobby they dedicate an average of 10 hours per week to tend to have slower growing companies compared to Founders without a hobby or ones that take up less than 10 hours per week. MIDSPREADYOYGROWTH% SOURCE: 2018 PROFITWELL FOUNDER IMPACT STUDY 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2014 2015 2016 2017 51.2%53.1%54.1% 46.2% 40.5%43.0% 37.0%38.9% Hobby No Hobby N 182 N = Minimum of 182 companies per segment pulled from the middle 2/3 of companies in terms of growth rate. This, along with a dampening model was used to control for outlier spikes in growth rate. Brought to you by YEAR MEASUREMENT WAS TAKEN
  • 48. • Funding requires scalpel, not sledgehammer thinking • Competition thinking will help unit economics, but not product • Work-life balance and hobbies likely will mean slower growth BUILDING A COMPANY IS INSANELY TOUGH — RETHINKTHECOMPANYCLICHES Brought to you by your friends at
  • 49. Brought to you by Product Problems
  • 50. “Focus on one product for growth”
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  • 54. The relative value of features is declining.
  • 55. THE MARKET IS DROPPING OUT BENEATH US Consumer Willingness to Pay has Declined Over Time Software willingness to pay has declined significantly over the past few years due to increased options and higher demands. WTPAS%OFWTP4YEARSAGO SOURCE: 2017 CONSUMER WILLINGNESS TO PAY STUDY 0% 30% 60% 90% 120% 5 YEARS AGO 4 YEARS AGO 3 YEARS AGO 2 YEARS AGO 1 YEAR AGO TODAY Core Features Single Sign On Integrations Analytics WHEN MEASUREMENT WAS TAKEN N = Varies by line, but minimum of 10,000 customer respondents per line N 921k Brought to you by your friends at
  • 56. You need value metrics.
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  • 59. “Steve Jobs didn’t talk to customers…you don’t need to either”
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  • 63. We’re building the wrong product. Brought to you by
  • 64. -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% -0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 Revenue Drivers 2017 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY THE MARKET IS DROPPING OUT BENEATH US Measuring consumer sentiment to what we’re building DEVIATIONFROMMEDIANWTP RELATIVE PREFERENCE MAGNITUDE Brought to you by
  • 65. 2017 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY THE MARKET IS DROPPING OUT BENEATH US Measuring consumer sentiment to what we’re building Relative Value of Attributes Brought to you by
  • 66. 2017 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY THE MARKET IS DROPPING OUT BENEATH US Measuring consumer sentiment to what we’re building Relative Value of Attributes • Taste • Country of Origin • Temperature Brought to you by
  • 67. 2017 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY THE MARKET IS DROPPING OUT BENEATH US Measuring consumer sentiment to what we’re building Relative Value of Attributes • Taste • Country of Origin • Temperature Willingness to Pay • Price elasticity for a cup of coffee Brought to you by
  • 68. -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% -0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 Revenue Drivers 2017 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY THE MARKET IS DROPPING OUT BENEATH US Measuring consumer sentiment to what we’re building DEVIATIONFROMMEDIANWTP RELATIVE PREFERENCE MAGNITUDE Taste Brought to you by
  • 69. -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% -0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 Revenue Drivers 2017 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY THE MARKET IS DROPPING OUT BENEATH US Measuring consumer sentiment to what we’re building DEVIATIONFROMMEDIANWTP RELATIVE PREFERENCE MAGNITUDE Taste Temperature Country of Origin Brought to you by
  • 70. -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% -0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 Revenue Drivers 2017 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY THE MARKET IS DROPPING OUT BENEATH US Measuring consumer sentiment to what we’re building DEVIATIONFROMMEDIANWTP RELATIVE PREFERENCE MAGNITUDE Taste Temperature Country of Origin Brought to you by
  • 71. -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% -0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 Revenue Drivers 2017 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY WE’RE BUILDING THE WRONG PRODUCT Calculating the expected impact of product on growth DEVIATIONFROMMEDIANWTP RELATIVE PREFERENCE MAGNITUDE Differentiable Features High Value/High WTP Brought to you by
  • 72. -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% -0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 Revenue Drivers 2017 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY WE’RE BUILDING THE WRONG PRODUCT Calculating the expected impact of product on growth DEVIATIONFROMMEDIANWTP RELATIVE PREFERENCE MAGNITUDE Differentiable Features High Value/High WTP Add-Ons Low Value/High WTP Brought to you by
  • 73. -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% -0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 Revenue Drivers 2017 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY WE’RE BUILDING THE WRONG PRODUCT Calculating the expected impact of product on growth DEVIATIONFROMMEDIANWTP RELATIVE PREFERENCE MAGNITUDE Differentiable Features High Value/High WTP Add-Ons Low Value/High WTP Core Features High Value/Low WTP Brought to you by
  • 74. -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% -0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 Revenue Drivers 2017 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY WE’RE BUILDING THE WRONG PRODUCT Calculating the expected impact of product on growth DEVIATIONFROMMEDIANWTP RELATIVE PREFERENCE MAGNITUDE Differentiable Features High Value/High WTP Add-Ons Low Value/High WTP Core Features High Value/Low WTP Trash Land Low Value/Low WTP Brought to you by
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  • 77. CLEAR WINNERS AND LOSERS Comparing Cust Dev Strategies of Companies Acquisition based growth companies grow at a smaller rate than those with a balanced growth approach (growth from all three pillars of growth). YOYGROWTHRATE SOURCE: 2017 STUDY ON CUST DEV 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2012 2017 44.821% 31.72% Minimal Customer Development Aggressive Customer Development N 687 N = Minimum of 687 companies per segment pulled from the middle 2/3 of companies in terms of growth rate. This, along with a dampening model was used to control for outlier spikes in growth rate. Brought to you by
  • 78. CLEAR WINNERS AND LOSERS Comparing Cust Dev Strategies of Companies Acquisition based growth companies grow at a smaller rate than those with a balanced growth approach (growth from all three pillars of growth). YOYGROWTHRATE SOURCE: 2017 STUDY ON CUST DEV 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2012 2017 59.08% 44.821% 17.43% 31.72% Minimal Customer Development Aggressive Customer Development N 687 N = Minimum of 687 companies per segment pulled from the middle 2/3 of companies in terms of growth rate. This, along with a dampening model was used to control for outlier spikes in growth rate. Brought to you by
  • 79. • You probably need multiple products sooner than later (at least for growth) • Features are no longer keys to brute force growth • You need to understand your customers better to properly build the right product these days PRODUCT FOCUS HAS NEVER BEEN MORE IMPORTANT — PRODUCTREQUIRESFOCUS Brought to you by your friends at
  • 80. Brought to you by Growth terribleness
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  • 84. “Brand is for retail products”
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  • 88. WE MAKE MATTER SO MUCH WORSE Which Pillar is the Most Important in Your Business Founders and software executives overwhelmingly put their support behind acquisition based growth instead of caring about monetization or retention. %OFTOTALRESPONDENTS PILLAR OF THE BUSINESS 2017 SOFTWARE MARKET SURVEY 0% 50% 100% MORE LOGOS MORE $ PER CUSTOMER KEEP CUSTOMER LONGER 21.1% 7.58% 71.32% N = 1578 software founders and executives N 1578 Brought to you by your friends at
  • 89. Acquisition is just to survive now, not to grow.
  • 90. WE FOCUS ON THE WRONG FUNDAMENTALS Impact of Improving Each Pillar of Your Business Monetization and retention based growth far outpaces acquisition based growth. This impact is getting greater over time. %IMPACTONREVENUE SOURCE: 2016 STUDY ON COMPANY UNIT ECONOMICS 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% ACQUISITION MONETIZATION RETENTION 2.35% 3.32% 2008 - 2012 2013 - 2016 N 734 N = Data from 734 software companies PILLAR OF THE BUSINESS Brought to you by your friends at
  • 91. WE FOCUS ON THE WRONG FUNDAMENTALS Impact of Improving Each Pillar of Your Business Monetization and retention based growth far outpaces acquisition based growth. This impact is getting greater over time. %IMPACTONREVENUE SOURCE: 2016 STUDY ON COMPANY UNIT ECONOMICS 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% ACQUISITION MONETIZATION RETENTION 9.32% 15.89% 2.35% 6.71% 12.7% 3.32% 2008 - 2012 2013 - 2016 N 1.4k N = Data from 1.4k software companies PILLAR OF THE BUSINESS Brought to you by your friends at
  • 92. • Discounting is terrible. Stop it. • You need at least the semblance of a brand strategy. • Pricing/Retention are more important than ever GROWTH IS IMPOSSIBLY HARD GIVEN THE DENSITY OF THE MARKET — GROWTHISTOUGH Brought to you by your friends at
  • 93. Brought to you by Fundamentals > Best Practices
  • 94. Brought to you by A lot of you aren’t going to focus on any of this.
  • 95. You • Hungry to grow • Some great design • Low money Brought to you by
  • 96. Brought to you by This breaks my heart, because you have everything to win.
  • 97. Brought to you by You just have to put in the work.