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IDEA – Presentation of the project and objectives of the workshop
Scira Menoni on behalf of the POLIMI Team: Francesco Ballio, Ouejdane Mejri,
Marina Mendoza, Guido Minucci, Daniela Molinari, Giulia Pesaro
Workshop
Learning form disasters and mitigating risks for the future:
the role of the industrial and lifelines sectors
Oxford Brooks University - Oxford, 5-6 April 2016
The project: www.ideaproject.polimi.it
Improving damage
assessments to
enhance cost-benefit
analysis: challenging
the call of the EU
considering the quality
of data on which most
CB are actually carried
out. A new entry for
us: the VU Institute of
the Netherlands
Post-disaster damage assessment: why?
We will discuss more in depth the issue of multi-purpose damage data collection
and analysis in another part of the workshop
EVENT
Physical event
scenario: the
features of the
triggering
phenomena
DAMAGE DATA COLLECTION
Sectors Time scale Spatial scale
Physical damage Costs
DAMAGE ASSESSMENT
Physical damage Costs
AccountingNeeds
(compensation)
Forensic Risk assessment
Immediate resources
for recovery
Identifying risk mitigation measures for a resilient reconstruction
and in similar areas (not affected now)
Effective at the
national level
Effective at the
regional/local level
On what factors to
intervene
CB Analyses Multicriteria assessment
Post-disaster damage assessment: How?
We have case four case studies but also a mixed partnership of
research institions and civil protection organisations. Data ownership
is still an issue. Not less than data coordination
IDEA project’s mian goals
To show how data can be used for
multiple purposes, including Cost-
Benefit analysis of mitigation
measures
Develop a model of damage data
collection and analysis adaptable
to different countries and
organisations (the crucial role of
procedures)
Develop and Information System
that will provide data structure and
facilitate the task of data input and
will shift the effort of organisations
on data analysis
Needs assessment
(compensation)
Recovery
Local officials/insurers
Fair resources allocation
Regional/national
officers, insurance
companies
EU Solidarity Fund in
case of activation
Loss Accounting
Recording the impact
Local policy (city)
Measuring trends
International policy (UN,
donors, EU Policy-DG
ECHO)
Disaster forensic
Identify the cause
Local expert teams
Learning from the past
National expert teams
International expert
temas (PDNA)
Risk modelling
Modelling future losses
Local research/policy
DRR and mitigation
National research/policy
(Regional, GEM)
International initiatives
(GEM, GAR), EU policy
National policy (National
Adminsitrations)
Global
users
National
users
Local
users
Obje-
ctives
Moti-
vation
Database
Database
Database
Standardized procedure
to collect data for
multiple purposes Collecting data regarding
damages reported to the
Emergency Control Room
by municipalities and
lifelines companies
Triggering the Copernicus
service and other offices to
draw the map of inundated
areas
Direct damage surveys for
residential buildings usig
forms used in training
Multi-sectoral damage
analysis and second
report to support the
declaration of state of
emergency
Third report of damage
and losses to multiple
sectors to support both
recovery and forensic
analysis
Use of the Advanced Damage Report to:
- Monitor reconstruction and use of funds;
- Decisions and plans for reconstruction based on
forensic investigation of damage
Direct damage surveys for
industrial and commercial
buildings integrated to self
declarations
First event report
describing the hazard
features and preliminary
overview of damage
Objectives of this workshop
Work on two sectors in particular: Businesses, including insurance, and
Infrastructures regarding which we have in general less structured and
«scientific» knowledge
Businesses: looking for answers for the following questions:
What is the impact on economy of damage to economic activities?
There are models to assess the impact on economy of businesses
interruption (indirect damage) however there are less knwoledge
regarding the chain:
Physical damage
to firms
Direct repair
costs
Business
interruption
Other businesses interruption (lifelines but not only)
Effects on the
individual firm
Effects on
economic sectors
and economy
Lost revenue and
other indirect
costs
Litigation
costs
tduration
Businesses
A very large variability in vulnerability factors (what is the
most crucial weak points physically and also systemically) in
a firm, but also how those are related to the different types of
stresses (earthquakes, floods)
At the level of policies and interventions: fast recovery is crucial, so for
example
Treating firms as residential households  Wrong
Treating a flood like an earthquake in
terms of recovery provisions  Wrong
Utilities and infrastructures
Despite of the Council Directive 2008/114/EC
“On the identification and designation of European critical
infrastructures and the assessment of the
need to improve their protection”, and other relevant initiatives
(World Bank, Sendai) including the OCSE Decision No. 6/13 on
the Protection of energy networks from natural and man made
disasters
We still have very little empirical data and poor only anedoctical
information on what actually happens in case of natural disasters
Role of Public-Private Partnership
The reason why we know so little regarding damage to lifelines and
critical infrastructures is certainly the lack of data, because of their
fragmentation but also because of the lack of sharing culture
Here is where PPP can really make a difference: the crucial role
of the insurance sector, combining data from insurance with data
collected by civil protection organisations and with the firms
themselves.
Role of Public-Private Partnership
It is also a matter of a more transparent and accountable way to use
at the end public money
Transparency regarding data that can be shared, of course not
sensitive or private, however the definition of both is a matter of
debate
Role of Public-Private Partnership
So thank you very much for being here, this is really we hope a
starting point for the discussion and also knowing each other for other
opportunities for funding yes but primarily to be better prepared for
the kind of extreme events we will discuss in this day and a half.
I would like very much to thank the Oxford Brooks team, Ray
Ogden, Nicholas Walliman, Shahrzad Amouzad and Martin
Dolan.
Oxford workshop
Oxford workshop

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Oxford workshop

  • 1. IDEA – Presentation of the project and objectives of the workshop Scira Menoni on behalf of the POLIMI Team: Francesco Ballio, Ouejdane Mejri, Marina Mendoza, Guido Minucci, Daniela Molinari, Giulia Pesaro Workshop Learning form disasters and mitigating risks for the future: the role of the industrial and lifelines sectors Oxford Brooks University - Oxford, 5-6 April 2016
  • 2. The project: www.ideaproject.polimi.it Improving damage assessments to enhance cost-benefit analysis: challenging the call of the EU considering the quality of data on which most CB are actually carried out. A new entry for us: the VU Institute of the Netherlands
  • 3. Post-disaster damage assessment: why? We will discuss more in depth the issue of multi-purpose damage data collection and analysis in another part of the workshop EVENT Physical event scenario: the features of the triggering phenomena DAMAGE DATA COLLECTION Sectors Time scale Spatial scale Physical damage Costs DAMAGE ASSESSMENT Physical damage Costs AccountingNeeds (compensation) Forensic Risk assessment Immediate resources for recovery Identifying risk mitigation measures for a resilient reconstruction and in similar areas (not affected now) Effective at the national level Effective at the regional/local level On what factors to intervene CB Analyses Multicriteria assessment
  • 4. Post-disaster damage assessment: How? We have case four case studies but also a mixed partnership of research institions and civil protection organisations. Data ownership is still an issue. Not less than data coordination
  • 5. IDEA project’s mian goals To show how data can be used for multiple purposes, including Cost- Benefit analysis of mitigation measures Develop a model of damage data collection and analysis adaptable to different countries and organisations (the crucial role of procedures) Develop and Information System that will provide data structure and facilitate the task of data input and will shift the effort of organisations on data analysis Needs assessment (compensation) Recovery Local officials/insurers Fair resources allocation Regional/national officers, insurance companies EU Solidarity Fund in case of activation Loss Accounting Recording the impact Local policy (city) Measuring trends International policy (UN, donors, EU Policy-DG ECHO) Disaster forensic Identify the cause Local expert teams Learning from the past National expert teams International expert temas (PDNA) Risk modelling Modelling future losses Local research/policy DRR and mitigation National research/policy (Regional, GEM) International initiatives (GEM, GAR), EU policy National policy (National Adminsitrations) Global users National users Local users Obje- ctives Moti- vation Database Database Database Standardized procedure to collect data for multiple purposes Collecting data regarding damages reported to the Emergency Control Room by municipalities and lifelines companies Triggering the Copernicus service and other offices to draw the map of inundated areas Direct damage surveys for residential buildings usig forms used in training Multi-sectoral damage analysis and second report to support the declaration of state of emergency Third report of damage and losses to multiple sectors to support both recovery and forensic analysis Use of the Advanced Damage Report to: - Monitor reconstruction and use of funds; - Decisions and plans for reconstruction based on forensic investigation of damage Direct damage surveys for industrial and commercial buildings integrated to self declarations First event report describing the hazard features and preliminary overview of damage
  • 6. Objectives of this workshop Work on two sectors in particular: Businesses, including insurance, and Infrastructures regarding which we have in general less structured and «scientific» knowledge
  • 7. Businesses: looking for answers for the following questions: What is the impact on economy of damage to economic activities? There are models to assess the impact on economy of businesses interruption (indirect damage) however there are less knwoledge regarding the chain: Physical damage to firms Direct repair costs Business interruption Other businesses interruption (lifelines but not only) Effects on the individual firm Effects on economic sectors and economy Lost revenue and other indirect costs Litigation costs tduration
  • 8. Businesses A very large variability in vulnerability factors (what is the most crucial weak points physically and also systemically) in a firm, but also how those are related to the different types of stresses (earthquakes, floods) At the level of policies and interventions: fast recovery is crucial, so for example Treating firms as residential households  Wrong Treating a flood like an earthquake in terms of recovery provisions  Wrong
  • 9. Utilities and infrastructures Despite of the Council Directive 2008/114/EC “On the identification and designation of European critical infrastructures and the assessment of the need to improve their protection”, and other relevant initiatives (World Bank, Sendai) including the OCSE Decision No. 6/13 on the Protection of energy networks from natural and man made disasters We still have very little empirical data and poor only anedoctical information on what actually happens in case of natural disasters
  • 10. Role of Public-Private Partnership The reason why we know so little regarding damage to lifelines and critical infrastructures is certainly the lack of data, because of their fragmentation but also because of the lack of sharing culture Here is where PPP can really make a difference: the crucial role of the insurance sector, combining data from insurance with data collected by civil protection organisations and with the firms themselves.
  • 11. Role of Public-Private Partnership It is also a matter of a more transparent and accountable way to use at the end public money Transparency regarding data that can be shared, of course not sensitive or private, however the definition of both is a matter of debate
  • 12. Role of Public-Private Partnership So thank you very much for being here, this is really we hope a starting point for the discussion and also knowing each other for other opportunities for funding yes but primarily to be better prepared for the kind of extreme events we will discuss in this day and a half. I would like very much to thank the Oxford Brooks team, Ray Ogden, Nicholas Walliman, Shahrzad Amouzad and Martin Dolan.