Forecast of the national oceanic and atmospheric administration from August to December 2013: 13-20 named storms with 7-10 becoming hurricanes. Presentation courtesy of Dr. Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction

1. OVER 100 YEARS OF HISTORY:
ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC BASINS

2. 2013 ATLANTIC BASIN
HURRICANE SEASON
June 1 – December 30

3. COMMUNITYCOMMUNITY
DATA BASESDATA BASES
AND INFORMATIONAND INFORMATION
•SEVERE WINDSTORMS
•INVENTORY
•VULNERABILITY
•LOCATION
RISK ASSESSMENTRISK ASSESSMENT
RISK
ACCEPTABLE RISK
UNACCEPTABLE RISK
SEVERE WINDSTORMSEVERE WINDSTORM
DISASTER RESILIENCEDISASTER RESILIENCE
•PREPAREDNESS
•PROTECTION
•EARLY WARNING
•EMERGENCY RESPONSE
•RECOVERY and
RECONSTRUCTION
POLICY OPTIONSPOLICY OPTIONS
Wind profileWind profile
Storm Hazards:Storm Hazards:
-Wind pressure
-Surge
-Rain
-Flood
-Waves
-Salt water
-Missiles
-Tornadoes
OceanOcean
Gradient WindGradient Wind

4. FORECAST OF THE NATIONAL
OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC
ADMINISTRATION
FORECAST: 13-20 NAMED STORMS
WITH 7-10
BECOMING HURRICANES

5. STORM NAMES
2013 SEASON

6. CHRONOLOGY OF 2013’s STORMS
• ANDREA - Tropical storm; June 5
• BARRY - Tropical storm; June 19
• CHANTAL – Tropical storm; July 7
• DORIAN – Tropical Storm; July 22
• ERIN – Tropical Storm; August 14
• FERNAND –Trop. Storm; August 16
• GABRIELLE –

7. CHRONOLOGY OF 2013’S STORMS
• HUMBERTO –
• INGRID –
• JERRY –
• KAREN –
• LORENZO –
• MELISSA –
• NESTOR –

8. CHRONOLOGY OF 2013’S STORMS
• OLGA –
• PABLO –
• REBEKAH –
• SEBASTIEN –
• TANYA –
• VAN --
• WENDY --

9. STORM TRACKS OF ANDREA,
BARRY, CHANTAL, AND DORIAN

10. TROPICAL STORM ANDREA
---
FIRST STORM OF 2013 SEASON
A Rain Maker

11. ANDREA: JUNE 5, 2013

12. ANDREA’S IMPACTS
• The precursor to Andrea dropped
nearly 12 inches (300 mm) of rainfall in
the Yucatán Peninsula.
• In Cuba, the storm brought flooding,
especially in the Pinar del Rio Province,
and over 1,000 people fled their homes,
mainly along the Cuyaguateje River. .

13. ANDREA’S IMPACTS
• In Florida, the storm brought heavy
rainfall that caused localized flooding
and five tornadoes that downed power
lines and trees and caused significant
roof damage.
• As Andrea died, heavy rains occurred
in the Eastern United States and
Atlantic Canada, causing flooding in
Nova Scotia.
• .

14. TROPICAL STORM BARRY
---
SECOND STORM OF 2013 SEASON
A Rain Maker and Power Disupter

15. BARRY: JUNE 19, 2013

16. BARRY’S IMPACTS
• In the Mexican state of Yucatan, wind
gusted up to 48 mph (77 km/h) and
heavy rains downed trees and power
lines; more than 26,000 residents lost
power after lightning struck a nearby
power station and caused a fire.
• El Salvador experienced flooding.

17. BARRY’S IMPACTS
• Heavy rains in Honduras triggered
flooding that damaged 60 homes
and affected 300 people.
• In southern Belize, an estimated
10 in (250 mm) of rain fell in
24 hours, causing several rivers to
over-top their banks and some to
evacuate.]

18. TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL
---
THIRD STORM OF 2013 SEASON
A Rain Maker

19. TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL:
JULY 8, 2013

20. A tropical storm warning
was issued for Puerto Rico,
Barbados, Dominica, Saint
Lucia, Martinique,
Guadeloupe, and Miami.
July 8th

21. CHANTAL’S IMPACTS
• Chantal produced heavy rainfall
in Hispaniola, forcing
thousands to evacuate their
homes.
• In the Dominican Republic,
flooding from the storm killed
one person in Maimon.1]

22. TROPICAL STORM DORIAN
---
FOURTH STORM OF 2013 SEASON
Rain in florida was Most Notable
Impact

23. TROPICAL STORM DORIAN:
JULY 22-27, 2013

24. TROPICAL STORM ERIN ---
FIFTH STORM OF 2013 SEASON
A Short Lived Storm With no Notable
Impact

25. TROPICAL STORM FERDNAND ---
SIXTH STORM OF 2013 SEASON
Still Developing (08/16)

26. ERIN AND FERDNAND
AUGUST 16, 2013

27. AUGUST 16th
REVISED FORECAST OF THE
NATIONAL OCEANIC AND
ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION
FORECAST: STILL AN ABOVE NOMAL
SEASON, BUT ONLY 3 TO 5
MAJOR HURRICANES

28. LOOKING BACK AT 2012

29. 2012’s ACTUAL STORMS
EXCEEDED THE FORECAST
FORECAST: 15 NAMED STORMS
WITH 4-8
BECOMING HURRICANES

30. ACTUAL: TWENTY NAMED
STORMS; 10 HURRICANES

31. NAMED STORMS IN 2012
• ALBERTO - Tropical storm; May 19
• BERYL - Tropical storm; May 27
• CHRIS – Hurricane; June 21
• DEBBY – Tropical storm; June 23
• ERNESTO –Hurricane; Aug 3
• FLORENCE –Tropical storm: Aug 5
• GORDON –Hurricane, August 16

32. NAMED STORMS FOR 2012
• HELENE –Tropical Storm, Aug. 19
• ISAAC – Hurricane, August 21
• JOYCE –Tropical Storm, Aug. 25
• KIRK –Tropical Storm. Aug. 27
• LESLIE –Hurricane, Sept. 5
• MICHAEL –Hurricane, Sept. 5
• NADINE – Hurricane, Sept. 12

33. NAMED STORMS IN 2012
• OSCAR – Tropical Storm; Oct. 4
• PATTY – Tropical Storm; Oct. 11
• RAFAEL – Hurricane; October 12
• SANDY– A Super Hurricane;
October 22
• TONY – Tropical Storm; Oct. 24

34. SANDY: A $300 BILLION
STORM; OCTOBER 24, 2012
Sandy, 2012’s ninth hurricane, became a
huge storm with wind and rain bands
reaching out 500 km or more from the
storm center, producing 15-50 cm of rain
and flooding in Jamaica, Bermuda, Haiti,
Dominican Republic, Cuba, New Jersey,
and New York

35. CAT I HURRICANE SANDY:
OCTOBER 24

36. SANDY: RAIN IN HAITI

37. SANDY REACHES HAVANA.
CUBA: OCTOBER 25

38. SANDY: RAIN IN CUBA

39. SANDY: RAIN BEGINS IN FT
LAUDERDALE, FLORIDA; OCT. 26

40. OCEAN CITY, MARYLAND

41. REHOBOTH BEACH,
DELAWARE: OCT. 29

42. SUPER STORM SANDY:
OCT. 29-30, 2012

43. NEW JERSEY: ATLANTIC
CITY UNDER WATER

44. NEW JERSEY: OCEAN
FRONT FLOODING

45. NEW JERSEY: STREETS
FLOODED

46. FLOODING IN BROOKLYN,
NY

47. $360 MILLION STORM SURGE,
NEW HAVEN, CT: OCT. 30