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How Business Model Considerations Impact the Standardization Process

  3rd International Workshop on Business Models for Mobile Platforms
  7 October 2011

  Musa Unmehopa
  Technical Plenary Chairman, OMA
  Senior Manager, Alcatel-Lucent


BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa                                 www.openmobilealliance.org
What I’ll be Talking About




BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa      www.openmobilealliance.org
IT’S NOT ABOUT TECHNOLOGY
BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa                   www.openmobilealliance.org
If you build it, they will come…
    (Field of Dreams)




                                           Really?
BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa           www.openmobilealliance.org
Tech wars are missing the point




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 BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa                                             www.openmobilealliance.org
It’s not about Technology




                           It’s about supporting the Business
                                                  www.openmobilealliance.org
BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa
The Apps Market is big, and becoming bigger

• MarketsAndMarkets expects the global mobile applications market to be worth
 $25.0 billion in 2015 [1]

• IDC predicts app revenues will surpass $35 billion in 2014 [2]

• Canalys expects that app store revenue will reach $36.7 billion by 2015 [3]

• Gartner: Applications stores are creating a revenue opportunity that will reach
 $58 billion in 2014 [4]
    – Compare:
          • Weight-loss and health nutrition are a $60 billion industry
          • Gaming is a $60 billion industry
          • Coffee is a $60 billion industry




• Whatever number you want to use, it’s huge
BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa                                                  www.openmobilealliance.org
APIs DRIVE THE GROWTH
BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa                 www.openmobilealliance.org
Open APIs: Growth is accelerating




                           Total APIs over time
BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa                          www.openmobilealliance.org
Open APIs: Growth is accelerating




                           Total APIs over time
BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa                          www.openmobilealliance.org
Open APIs: Growth is accelerating




                           Total APIs over time
BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa                          www.openmobilealliance.org
Open APIs: Growth is accelerating




                           Total APIs over time
BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa                          www.openmobilealliance.org
API Billionaires Club, 2011 edition
                           13 billion API calls / day (May 2011)

                           10 billion API calls / month (January 2011)

                           Over 260 billion objects stored in S3 (January 2011)

                           1.6 billion API-delivered stories / month (October 2010)

                           5 billion API calls / day    (April 2010)



                           5 billion API calls / day    (October 2009)



                           8 billion API calls / month (Q3 2009)

                           3 billion API calls / month (March 2009)

BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa                                                 www.openmobilealliance.org
WALLED GARDEN DOESN’T WORK
                                 BUT WHAT DOES?
BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa                   www.openmobilealliance.org
API business models, circa 2005




BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa          www.openmobilealliance.org
API business models evolve over time


                                   Favored Business Model (Developers)

                                      Share of end user revenues                              55%
                           Upfront fees from Network Provider
                              but receive low share of end user                   16%
                            revenues (partnership/white label)
                                        In-application advertising           7%

                                     Pay-per-use API and receive             4%
                                      share of end user revenues
                                   Pay developer license fee and             4%
                                      receive end user revenues
                           Placement fees to Network Provider
                                                                             4%
                            or platform "store" and receive end
                                                  user revenues
                                                          Other               11%

                                                                        0%        20%   40%   60%



  Source: Secondary Research, Online Developer Survey June – July 2009, CSMG Analysis

BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa                                                                            www.openmobilealliance.org
API business models 2011




BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa   www.openmobilealliance.org
How Business Model Considerations Impact the
Standardization Process
 OMA has a strategic focus on API Standardization
 • Standardized APIs are necessary to help realize the tremendous growth
   potential for the Applications Market
 • OMA API Standards play a key role in reducing fragmentation and Industry
   harmonization and collaboration
 • “Availability of open API” and “Anyone can create applications” are 2 key
   points we learnt to emulate the success of Web2.0 in Telco environment



 The Stakeholders
 • Blend telecommunications with IT concepts and paradigms
 • Listen to developers, REALLY listen to developers
    – Requires additional participants in standards, not just Operators and Telco
       Vendors
    – If developers don’t come to standards, seek other ways of getting their
       input

BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa                                     www.openmobilealliance.org
How Business Model Considerations Impact the
Standardization Process
 • Business models are increasingly complex and continue to change
    – Requires flexibility of the API standards to support this quick changing
       marketplace
 • Technology needs to match or align with how people do business
    – REST is not about the protocol, but about matching the way business is
       done on the Web

 • Abstract APIs with various protocol bindings
      – e.g. HTTP REST, SOAP/WSDL Web Services
 • Anonymous Customer Reference (ACR)
      – Protecting subscriber identity towards 3rd parties, plugging security hole
 • Delegated authorization
      – Attracting long tail niche – “on behalf of” business case supported by OMA OAuth
        Framework


                  Just some examples of how changes in the business
                     model affect technology choices in API standards
BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa                                        www.openmobilealliance.org
REFERENCES AND BACKUP


BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa             www.openmobilealliance.org
References
• [1] “World Mobile Applications Market - Advanced technologies, Global Forecast
  (2010 - 2015)”, Markets and Markets, Aug 2010, Pages: 217,
  http://www.researchandmarkets.com/

• [2] “Worldwide and U.S. Mobile Applications, Storefronts, and Developer 2010–
  2014 Forecast and Year-End 2010 Vendor Shares: The "Appification" of
  Everything?”, Dec 2010 (Doc # 225668), 44 pages, http://www.idc.com/

• [3] “Canalys Mobile App Store Analysis forecast”, June 2011,
  http://canalys.com/

• [4] “Forecast: Mobile Application Stores, Worldwide, 2008-2014”, December
  2010, http://www.gartner.com/




BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa                                         www.openmobilealliance.org
OMA – Overview
           More than 150 members from across the mobile value chain
           • Founded June 2002
           • Operators, terminal and software vendors, content and entertainment providers
           Interoperable service enablers across multiple domains
           • Architecture, Security, Charging and Network APIs
           • Person-to-Person Communications
           • Device Capabilities
           • Access to Content
           • Services Access Interface
           • Service Customization
           Current and Ongoing Technical Deliverables – more detail in presentation
           • 44 service enablers delivered in 2010 with 80 planned for 2011
           • Ongoing refinement of interoperability testing program with Test on Demand in Q3 2011
           • API Framework—building on success of GSMA OneAPI and Parlay affiliation
           • M2M Communications—enabling terminals as gateways and converged personal networks
           New and improved organizational structures and efficiencies
           • Fast track process for omitting or combining steps and deliverables in OMA Process
           • Min Max procedure for an alternative path to traditional testing of every OMA enabler
           Collaboration with other bodies—including WAC, GSMA, W3C & ETSI
           • Reduce duplication and fragmentation
           • New strategic program of liaisons with appointed Board level champions to other bodies
           • OMA maintains formal cooperation agreements or frameworks with nearly 50 industry bodies



BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa                                                                      www.openmobilealliance.org
OMA – Organizational Structure




BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa                    www.openmobilealliance.org
Highlights of OMA Service Enablers
    Over 50 Candidate and Approved Enablers Published in the Last 18 Months
           Candidate Enabler Releases
                 • OMA Device Management Smart Card V1_0
                 • OMA Lock and Wipe Management Object V1_0
                 • OMA Converged Address Book V1_0
                 • OMA XML Document Management V2_1
                 • OMA Secure Content Identification Mechanism V1_0
                 • OMA SIP Push V1_0
                 • OMA Location in SIP/IP Core V1_0
                 • OMA Secure User Plane Location V2_0
                 • OMA Mobile Search Framework V1_0
                 • OMA Mobile Codes V1_0
                 • OMA Mobile Advertising V1_0
                 • OMA Mobile Spam Reporting V1_0
                 • OMA Customized Multimedia Ringing 1.0
                 • OMA Presence Access Layer V 1.0
                 • OMA Mobile Spam Reporting V1.0
                 • OMA Application Layer Security Common Functions V1.1
                 • OMA Next Generation Service Interfaces V1.0
                 • OMA Digital Rights Management V2.2
                 • OAM Key Performance Indicators in OMA V1.0
                 • OMA Smart Card Web Server V1_2
                 • OMA Mobile SMIL V 1.0 (Reference Release)

    A Candidate Enabler Release (CER) delivers an approved set of open technical specifications that can be
    implemented in products and solutions, and then tested for interoperability.
   An Approved Enabler Release (AER) represents Candidate Enabler Releases that have gone through the
   Interoperability Program (IOP) of OMA. The IOP tests interoperability between different member company’s
   implementations—either within the OMA or through other means.
BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa                                                                             www.openmobilealliance.org
Highlights of OMA Service Enablers
          Approved Enabler Releases
                • OMA EFI V1.1
                • OMA Browser Protocol Stack V1.2
                • OMA Push V2.1
                • OMA User Agent Profile V1.1
                • OMA Rich-media Environment V 1.0
                • OMA Games Services Client/Server Interface V1.0
                • OMA DownLoad Over The Air V2.0
                • OMA Browsing V2.4 (enhancements ph 2)
                • OMA Look and Feel Customization
                • OMA On Board key Generation / Wireless Public Key Infrastructure V1.0
                • OMA Device Management V1_2
                • OMA Smart Card Web Server V1_1
                • OMA Presence SIMPLE V1_1
                • OMA Global Service Architecture V1_0 (Reference Release)
                • OMA IMPS Implementation Guidelines V1_3 (Reference Release)


   A Candidate Enabler Release (CER) delivers an approved set of open technical specifications that can be
   implemented in products and solutions, and then tested for interoperability.
   An Approved Enabler Release (AER) represents Candidate Enabler Releases that have gone through the
   Interoperability Program (IOP) of OMA. The IOP tests interoperability between different member company’s
   implementations—either within the OMA or through other means.




BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa                                                                           www.openmobilealliance.org
More Information

   • OMA Communications Contact
   Bobby Fraher, External Communications Manager
   bobby@agilis-communications.com

   • 2011 Q2 OMA Quarterly Newsletter
   http://www.openmobilealliance.org/comms/pages/OMA_quarterly_2011_vol_2.htm

   • Full list of OMA Mobile Service Enablers
   http://www.openmobilealliance.org/Technical/releaseprogram.aspx

   •OMA API Program
   http://www.openmobilealliance.org/API

   •Interested in joining the OMA
   http://www.openmobilealliance.org/Membership/default.aspx




BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa                                                 www.openmobilealliance.org

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Opening Keynote at BMMP 2011 - OMA API Program

  • 1. How Business Model Considerations Impact the Standardization Process 3rd International Workshop on Business Models for Mobile Platforms 7 October 2011 Musa Unmehopa Technical Plenary Chairman, OMA Senior Manager, Alcatel-Lucent BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa www.openmobilealliance.org
  • 2. What I’ll be Talking About BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa www.openmobilealliance.org
  • 3. IT’S NOT ABOUT TECHNOLOGY BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa www.openmobilealliance.org
  • 4. If you build it, they will come… (Field of Dreams) Really? BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa www.openmobilealliance.org
  • 5. Tech wars are missing the point t ec nn k Co oo eb ac sF hv ut OA P vs SOA vs REST ID en XM Op Lv sJ SO N vs ur l- en Native co vs HTM L5 de d BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa www.openmobilealliance.org
  • 6. It’s not about Technology It’s about supporting the Business www.openmobilealliance.org BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa
  • 7. The Apps Market is big, and becoming bigger • MarketsAndMarkets expects the global mobile applications market to be worth $25.0 billion in 2015 [1] • IDC predicts app revenues will surpass $35 billion in 2014 [2] • Canalys expects that app store revenue will reach $36.7 billion by 2015 [3] • Gartner: Applications stores are creating a revenue opportunity that will reach $58 billion in 2014 [4] – Compare: • Weight-loss and health nutrition are a $60 billion industry • Gaming is a $60 billion industry • Coffee is a $60 billion industry • Whatever number you want to use, it’s huge BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa www.openmobilealliance.org
  • 8. APIs DRIVE THE GROWTH BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa www.openmobilealliance.org
  • 9. Open APIs: Growth is accelerating Total APIs over time BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa www.openmobilealliance.org
  • 10. Open APIs: Growth is accelerating Total APIs over time BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa www.openmobilealliance.org
  • 11. Open APIs: Growth is accelerating Total APIs over time BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa www.openmobilealliance.org
  • 12. Open APIs: Growth is accelerating Total APIs over time BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa www.openmobilealliance.org
  • 13. API Billionaires Club, 2011 edition 13 billion API calls / day (May 2011) 10 billion API calls / month (January 2011) Over 260 billion objects stored in S3 (January 2011) 1.6 billion API-delivered stories / month (October 2010) 5 billion API calls / day (April 2010) 5 billion API calls / day (October 2009) 8 billion API calls / month (Q3 2009) 3 billion API calls / month (March 2009) BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa www.openmobilealliance.org
  • 14. WALLED GARDEN DOESN’T WORK BUT WHAT DOES? BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa www.openmobilealliance.org
  • 15. API business models, circa 2005 BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa www.openmobilealliance.org
  • 16. API business models evolve over time Favored Business Model (Developers) Share of end user revenues 55% Upfront fees from Network Provider but receive low share of end user 16% revenues (partnership/white label) In-application advertising 7% Pay-per-use API and receive 4% share of end user revenues Pay developer license fee and 4% receive end user revenues Placement fees to Network Provider 4% or platform "store" and receive end user revenues Other 11% 0% 20% 40% 60% Source: Secondary Research, Online Developer Survey June – July 2009, CSMG Analysis BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa www.openmobilealliance.org
  • 17. API business models 2011 BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa www.openmobilealliance.org
  • 18. How Business Model Considerations Impact the Standardization Process OMA has a strategic focus on API Standardization • Standardized APIs are necessary to help realize the tremendous growth potential for the Applications Market • OMA API Standards play a key role in reducing fragmentation and Industry harmonization and collaboration • “Availability of open API” and “Anyone can create applications” are 2 key points we learnt to emulate the success of Web2.0 in Telco environment The Stakeholders • Blend telecommunications with IT concepts and paradigms • Listen to developers, REALLY listen to developers – Requires additional participants in standards, not just Operators and Telco Vendors – If developers don’t come to standards, seek other ways of getting their input BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa www.openmobilealliance.org
  • 19. How Business Model Considerations Impact the Standardization Process • Business models are increasingly complex and continue to change – Requires flexibility of the API standards to support this quick changing marketplace • Technology needs to match or align with how people do business – REST is not about the protocol, but about matching the way business is done on the Web • Abstract APIs with various protocol bindings – e.g. HTTP REST, SOAP/WSDL Web Services • Anonymous Customer Reference (ACR) – Protecting subscriber identity towards 3rd parties, plugging security hole • Delegated authorization – Attracting long tail niche – “on behalf of” business case supported by OMA OAuth Framework Just some examples of how changes in the business model affect technology choices in API standards BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa www.openmobilealliance.org
  • 20. REFERENCES AND BACKUP BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa www.openmobilealliance.org
  • 21. References • [1] “World Mobile Applications Market - Advanced technologies, Global Forecast (2010 - 2015)”, Markets and Markets, Aug 2010, Pages: 217, http://www.researchandmarkets.com/ • [2] “Worldwide and U.S. Mobile Applications, Storefronts, and Developer 2010– 2014 Forecast and Year-End 2010 Vendor Shares: The "Appification" of Everything?”, Dec 2010 (Doc # 225668), 44 pages, http://www.idc.com/ • [3] “Canalys Mobile App Store Analysis forecast”, June 2011, http://canalys.com/ • [4] “Forecast: Mobile Application Stores, Worldwide, 2008-2014”, December 2010, http://www.gartner.com/ BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa www.openmobilealliance.org
  • 22. OMA – Overview More than 150 members from across the mobile value chain • Founded June 2002 • Operators, terminal and software vendors, content and entertainment providers Interoperable service enablers across multiple domains • Architecture, Security, Charging and Network APIs • Person-to-Person Communications • Device Capabilities • Access to Content • Services Access Interface • Service Customization Current and Ongoing Technical Deliverables – more detail in presentation • 44 service enablers delivered in 2010 with 80 planned for 2011 • Ongoing refinement of interoperability testing program with Test on Demand in Q3 2011 • API Framework—building on success of GSMA OneAPI and Parlay affiliation • M2M Communications—enabling terminals as gateways and converged personal networks New and improved organizational structures and efficiencies • Fast track process for omitting or combining steps and deliverables in OMA Process • Min Max procedure for an alternative path to traditional testing of every OMA enabler Collaboration with other bodies—including WAC, GSMA, W3C & ETSI • Reduce duplication and fragmentation • New strategic program of liaisons with appointed Board level champions to other bodies • OMA maintains formal cooperation agreements or frameworks with nearly 50 industry bodies BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa www.openmobilealliance.org
  • 23. OMA – Organizational Structure BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa www.openmobilealliance.org
  • 24. Highlights of OMA Service Enablers Over 50 Candidate and Approved Enablers Published in the Last 18 Months Candidate Enabler Releases • OMA Device Management Smart Card V1_0 • OMA Lock and Wipe Management Object V1_0 • OMA Converged Address Book V1_0 • OMA XML Document Management V2_1 • OMA Secure Content Identification Mechanism V1_0 • OMA SIP Push V1_0 • OMA Location in SIP/IP Core V1_0 • OMA Secure User Plane Location V2_0 • OMA Mobile Search Framework V1_0 • OMA Mobile Codes V1_0 • OMA Mobile Advertising V1_0 • OMA Mobile Spam Reporting V1_0 • OMA Customized Multimedia Ringing 1.0 • OMA Presence Access Layer V 1.0 • OMA Mobile Spam Reporting V1.0 • OMA Application Layer Security Common Functions V1.1 • OMA Next Generation Service Interfaces V1.0 • OMA Digital Rights Management V2.2 • OAM Key Performance Indicators in OMA V1.0 • OMA Smart Card Web Server V1_2 • OMA Mobile SMIL V 1.0 (Reference Release) A Candidate Enabler Release (CER) delivers an approved set of open technical specifications that can be implemented in products and solutions, and then tested for interoperability. An Approved Enabler Release (AER) represents Candidate Enabler Releases that have gone through the Interoperability Program (IOP) of OMA. The IOP tests interoperability between different member company’s implementations—either within the OMA or through other means. BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa www.openmobilealliance.org
  • 25. Highlights of OMA Service Enablers Approved Enabler Releases • OMA EFI V1.1 • OMA Browser Protocol Stack V1.2 • OMA Push V2.1 • OMA User Agent Profile V1.1 • OMA Rich-media Environment V 1.0 • OMA Games Services Client/Server Interface V1.0 • OMA DownLoad Over The Air V2.0 • OMA Browsing V2.4 (enhancements ph 2) • OMA Look and Feel Customization • OMA On Board key Generation / Wireless Public Key Infrastructure V1.0 • OMA Device Management V1_2 • OMA Smart Card Web Server V1_1 • OMA Presence SIMPLE V1_1 • OMA Global Service Architecture V1_0 (Reference Release) • OMA IMPS Implementation Guidelines V1_3 (Reference Release) A Candidate Enabler Release (CER) delivers an approved set of open technical specifications that can be implemented in products and solutions, and then tested for interoperability. An Approved Enabler Release (AER) represents Candidate Enabler Releases that have gone through the Interoperability Program (IOP) of OMA. The IOP tests interoperability between different member company’s implementations—either within the OMA or through other means. BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa www.openmobilealliance.org
  • 26. More Information • OMA Communications Contact Bobby Fraher, External Communications Manager bobby@agilis-communications.com • 2011 Q2 OMA Quarterly Newsletter http://www.openmobilealliance.org/comms/pages/OMA_quarterly_2011_vol_2.htm • Full list of OMA Mobile Service Enablers http://www.openmobilealliance.org/Technical/releaseprogram.aspx •OMA API Program http://www.openmobilealliance.org/API •Interested in joining the OMA http://www.openmobilealliance.org/Membership/default.aspx BMMP 2011, Musa Unmehopa www.openmobilealliance.org