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© Copyright 2017 Pivotal Software, Inc. All rights Reserved.
It’s Not About Your Features:
Navigating Open Source Business Models in the Cloud Era
Dormain Drewitz
@DormainDrewitz
September 11, 2017
Moi
( )
While it was once a controversial statement,
more and more software projects are
acknowledging that their primary competition
is not another software project, but cloud
platforms offering similar functionality as a
service.
- Stephen O’Grady, RedMonk
https://redmonk.com/sogrady/2017/08/01/how-to-compete-with-the-cloud/
That which makes the cloud, fades to the background
Myth 1:
To increase our relevance, we need
to increase our TAM
TAM Magic Math
Current
market
Adjacent
Market AAdjacent
Market B
Adjacent
Market C
-50%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
$300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800 $900 $1,000 $1,100 $1,200
5yearCAGR
Incremental 5-year TAM
TAM Magic Math
New TAM
Current TAM
20%
22%
24%
26%
28%
30%
32%
34%
36%
38%
$- $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 $3,000
5YearCAGR
Incremental 5-year TAM
Now you’re
fighting a war on
multiple fronts
Where are you going to focus
your R&D efforts?
Now you’re
fighting a war on
multiple fronts
How are you training your field
to sell into multiple use cases,
against multiple competitors,
to multiple buyers?
Meanwhile…
Myth 2:
The open source software business
is about commoditization
Cover with Image
What most people think of…
“The relational database
market is a $9 billion a year
market. I want to shrink it to $3
billion and take a third of the
market.”
- Mårten Mickos, former CEO of MySQL
Last 5 Years: 2 Sides of Commoditization
Last 5 Years: Now Add Cloud
How
Know Which End of the Barbell You’re On
Source: Lance Goyke, Flickr
Know which end of the barbell you’re on
Open Source Software Business is Software Business
“Build a big business on top of and
around a successful platform by adding
something of your own that is both
substantial and differentiated.”
- Peter Levine, Andreessen Horowitz
Convenience is the killer app.
Cloud is Convenient. But…
Which one of these features overlaps with yours?
Source: https://techcrunch.com/2016/12/02/aws-shoots-for-total-cloud-domination/
Hedging your bets
Cloud
Marketplaces
XaaS offering
Application Platform
Integration
Dormain’s Unscientific Assessment
Cloud Marketplaces XaaS offering PaaS integration
Utility pricing Yes Yes Maybe
Account control Sort of Yes Sort of
On-prem option No No Yes*
Engineering/Support
effort
Low-Moderate Moderate-High Low-Moderate
GTM effort Low High Moderate
Cover with Image
Pivotal’s big, contrarian bets
“We did not go for the
commoditization play…[and]…
deliver a service-like
experience even with software”
- James Watters, SVP of Product
“Products that easily fit into existing
workflows and toolchains are more likely to
be adopted. Consider how you can build or
partner to create simple, out-of-the-box
integrations.”
- Rachel Stephens, RedMonk
2
2
Service
Broker
Kubernetes
Service
Catalog
(alpha)
Cloud
Foundry
K8s
App
CF
App
The Pivotal Network
Resources/Recommendations
Stephen O’Grady, “The Software Paradox”
A16z Podcast: “Monetizing Open Source Enterprise Software”
Monkigras 2017: “The Power of Convenience”
OpenServiceBrokerAPI.org
TUESDAY @ 2:45pm: Alex Ley, “Providing Services to Cloud Native
Platforms with the Open Service Broker API”
Gartner, “To the Point: Cloud Platform Marketplaces: Disruptive or
De Facto Routes to Market?”, June 2017, David Yockelson
$200	DISCOUNT	CODE:	S1P200_DREWITZ

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Open source summit 2017: It's not about your features: Navigating Open Source Business Models in the Cloud Era

  • 1. © Copyright 2017 Pivotal Software, Inc. All rights Reserved. It’s Not About Your Features: Navigating Open Source Business Models in the Cloud Era Dormain Drewitz @DormainDrewitz September 11, 2017
  • 3. While it was once a controversial statement, more and more software projects are acknowledging that their primary competition is not another software project, but cloud platforms offering similar functionality as a service. - Stephen O’Grady, RedMonk https://redmonk.com/sogrady/2017/08/01/how-to-compete-with-the-cloud/
  • 4. That which makes the cloud, fades to the background
  • 5. Myth 1: To increase our relevance, we need to increase our TAM
  • 6. TAM Magic Math Current market Adjacent Market AAdjacent Market B Adjacent Market C -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800 $900 $1,000 $1,100 $1,200 5yearCAGR Incremental 5-year TAM
  • 7. TAM Magic Math New TAM Current TAM 20% 22% 24% 26% 28% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% $- $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 $3,000 5YearCAGR Incremental 5-year TAM
  • 8. Now you’re fighting a war on multiple fronts Where are you going to focus your R&D efforts?
  • 9. Now you’re fighting a war on multiple fronts How are you training your field to sell into multiple use cases, against multiple competitors, to multiple buyers?
  • 11. Myth 2: The open source software business is about commoditization
  • 12. Cover with Image What most people think of… “The relational database market is a $9 billion a year market. I want to shrink it to $3 billion and take a third of the market.” - Mårten Mickos, former CEO of MySQL
  • 13. Last 5 Years: 2 Sides of Commoditization
  • 14. Last 5 Years: Now Add Cloud
  • 15.
  • 16. How
  • 17. Know Which End of the Barbell You’re On Source: Lance Goyke, Flickr Know which end of the barbell you’re on
  • 18. Open Source Software Business is Software Business “Build a big business on top of and around a successful platform by adding something of your own that is both substantial and differentiated.” - Peter Levine, Andreessen Horowitz
  • 19. Convenience is the killer app.
  • 21. Which one of these features overlaps with yours? Source: https://techcrunch.com/2016/12/02/aws-shoots-for-total-cloud-domination/
  • 22. Hedging your bets Cloud Marketplaces XaaS offering Application Platform Integration
  • 23. Dormain’s Unscientific Assessment Cloud Marketplaces XaaS offering PaaS integration Utility pricing Yes Yes Maybe Account control Sort of Yes Sort of On-prem option No No Yes* Engineering/Support effort Low-Moderate Moderate-High Low-Moderate GTM effort Low High Moderate
  • 24.
  • 25. Cover with Image Pivotal’s big, contrarian bets “We did not go for the commoditization play…[and]… deliver a service-like experience even with software” - James Watters, SVP of Product
  • 26. “Products that easily fit into existing workflows and toolchains are more likely to be adopted. Consider how you can build or partner to create simple, out-of-the-box integrations.” - Rachel Stephens, RedMonk
  • 27. 2
  • 30. Resources/Recommendations Stephen O’Grady, “The Software Paradox” A16z Podcast: “Monetizing Open Source Enterprise Software” Monkigras 2017: “The Power of Convenience” OpenServiceBrokerAPI.org TUESDAY @ 2:45pm: Alex Ley, “Providing Services to Cloud Native Platforms with the Open Service Broker API” Gartner, “To the Point: Cloud Platform Marketplaces: Disruptive or De Facto Routes to Market?”, June 2017, David Yockelson