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Prepare for the Future by Stress Testing Scenarios
J a n u a r y 2 0 2 4
Weighing the Risks by Chief Investment Officer, Rusty Vanneman, CMT, CFA, BFA™ and Nick Codola, CFA, CAIA
Featuring Bitwise Asset Management’s Matthew Hougan and Hunter Horsley
Bitcoin to the Moon?
S+P 500
5420
+10%
BTC
65550
+50%
10-Year Treasury
4.15
+5bps
S+P 500
5170
+5%
BTC
54625
+25%
10-Year Treasury
4.25
+15bps
S+P 500
4430
-10%
BTC
17480
-60%
10-Year Treasury
3.75
-35bps
Crypto Prices
skyrocket
GOOD
BASELINE
BAD
BTC Halving
BTC Newbies
Pull Out
BTC rips up and rates stay
steady
Inflation remains sticky
Stickier Inflation and
Bitcoin Halving increases
BTC
Markets grind higher in an
election year
Employment breaks down
Fed cuts rates and new
Bitcoin adopters pull money
Disclosures
Access to the services presented is provided solely as a service to financial advisors. Orion
Risk Intelligence does not make recommendations or determine the suitability of any
security or strategy. Past performance of a security or strategy does not guarantee future
results.
Orion Risk Intelligence research and tools are provided for informational purposes only.
While the information is deemed reliable, Orion Risk Intelligence does not guarantee its
accuracy, completeness, or suitability for any purpose, and makes no warranties with
respect to the results to be obtained from its use.
17605 Wright Street, Omaha, NE 68130
402.895.1600 / info@orion.com
w w w . o r i o n . c o m
Thank You

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  • 1. Prepare for the Future by Stress Testing Scenarios J a n u a r y 2 0 2 4 Weighing the Risks by Chief Investment Officer, Rusty Vanneman, CMT, CFA, BFA™ and Nick Codola, CFA, CAIA Featuring Bitwise Asset Management’s Matthew Hougan and Hunter Horsley
  • 2. Bitcoin to the Moon? S+P 500 5420 +10% BTC 65550 +50% 10-Year Treasury 4.15 +5bps S+P 500 5170 +5% BTC 54625 +25% 10-Year Treasury 4.25 +15bps S+P 500 4430 -10% BTC 17480 -60% 10-Year Treasury 3.75 -35bps Crypto Prices skyrocket GOOD BASELINE BAD BTC Halving BTC Newbies Pull Out BTC rips up and rates stay steady Inflation remains sticky Stickier Inflation and Bitcoin Halving increases BTC Markets grind higher in an election year Employment breaks down Fed cuts rates and new Bitcoin adopters pull money
  • 3. Disclosures Access to the services presented is provided solely as a service to financial advisors. Orion Risk Intelligence does not make recommendations or determine the suitability of any security or strategy. Past performance of a security or strategy does not guarantee future results. Orion Risk Intelligence research and tools are provided for informational purposes only. While the information is deemed reliable, Orion Risk Intelligence does not guarantee its accuracy, completeness, or suitability for any purpose, and makes no warranties with respect to the results to be obtained from its use.
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