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Prepare for the Future by Stress Testing Scenarios
M A R C H 2 0 2 4
Weighing the Risks by Chief Investment Officer, Rusty Vanneman, CMT, CFA, BFA™ and Sr. Portfolio Manager Nick
Codola, CFA, CAIA
Featuring PIMCO’s Jason Duko
Global Credit
S+P 500
5775
+10%
Vix
11
-15%
10-Year Treasury
3.90
-30bps
S+P 500
5525
+5%
Vix
13
Flat
10-Year Treasury
4.20
Flat
S+P 500
4465
-15%
Vix
25
+90%
10-Year Treasury
3.75
-45bps
High Yields
GOOD
BASELINE
BAD
Copacetic
Markets
High Risk
Inflation
Fed increases rate cuts
Bond markets recover and
inflation falls
Expected levels of inflation
Fed eases forecast
Higher rates for increased
periods
Fiscal spending declines
leading to mild recession
Disclosures
Access to the services presented is provided solely as a service to financial advisors. Orion Risk
Intelligence does not make recommendations or determine the suitability of any security or strategy.
Past performance of a security or strategy does not guarantee future results.
Orion Risk Intelligence research and tools are provided for informational purposes only. While the
information is deemed reliable, Orion Risk Intelligence does not guarantee its accuracy, completeness,
or suitability for any purpose, and makes no warranties with respect to the results to be obtained
from its use.
Wealth Management services are offered by Orion Portfolio Solutions, LLC d/b/a Brinker Capital
Investments a registered investment advisor. Orion Portfolio Solutions, LLC is a wholly owned
subsidiary of Orion Advisor Solutions, Inc. (“Orion”)
17605 Wright Street, Omaha, NE 68130
402.895.1600 / info@orion.com
w w w . o r i o n . c o m
Thank You

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  • 1. Prepare for the Future by Stress Testing Scenarios M A R C H 2 0 2 4 Weighing the Risks by Chief Investment Officer, Rusty Vanneman, CMT, CFA, BFA™ and Sr. Portfolio Manager Nick Codola, CFA, CAIA Featuring PIMCO’s Jason Duko
  • 2. Global Credit S+P 500 5775 +10% Vix 11 -15% 10-Year Treasury 3.90 -30bps S+P 500 5525 +5% Vix 13 Flat 10-Year Treasury 4.20 Flat S+P 500 4465 -15% Vix 25 +90% 10-Year Treasury 3.75 -45bps High Yields GOOD BASELINE BAD Copacetic Markets High Risk Inflation Fed increases rate cuts Bond markets recover and inflation falls Expected levels of inflation Fed eases forecast Higher rates for increased periods Fiscal spending declines leading to mild recession
  • 3. Disclosures Access to the services presented is provided solely as a service to financial advisors. Orion Risk Intelligence does not make recommendations or determine the suitability of any security or strategy. Past performance of a security or strategy does not guarantee future results. Orion Risk Intelligence research and tools are provided for informational purposes only. While the information is deemed reliable, Orion Risk Intelligence does not guarantee its accuracy, completeness, or suitability for any purpose, and makes no warranties with respect to the results to be obtained from its use. Wealth Management services are offered by Orion Portfolio Solutions, LLC d/b/a Brinker Capital Investments a registered investment advisor. Orion Portfolio Solutions, LLC is a wholly owned subsidiary of Orion Advisor Solutions, Inc. (“Orion”)
  • 4. 17605 Wright Street, Omaha, NE 68130 402.895.1600 / info@orion.com w w w . o r i o n . c o m Thank You