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The	Business	Case	for	2G	in	
Rural	Africa
Sim	Penetration
Ericsson		Interim	Mobility	Report	2016
Highlights:
• Africa	– 965	million	Subscribers
• Equating	to	over	80%	Penetration
Unique	Subscriber	
Penetration
GSMA	– Mobile	Economy	Africa	2016
Rural	Population	
(Geohive.com)
Region
Urban
population
2015
Rural
population
2015
%
Urban
2015
Urban
population
2025
Rural
population
2025
%
Urban
2025
World 3,957,285,013 3,367,497,212 54.0% 4,705,773,576 3,377,639,183 58.2%
Africa 471,602,315 694,636,991 40.4% 658,813,697 809,158,830 44.9%
East	Africa 101,034,466 293,719,352 25.6% 154,745,070 356,483,116 30.3%
Middle	Africa 63,060,945 80,231,666 44.0% 90,975,784 94,605,223 49.0%
North	Africa 112,068,513 104,995,632 51.6% 136,283,788 114,697,334 54.3%
Southern	
Africa
37,813,255 23,532,453 61.6% 43,318,068 22,191,215 66.1%
West	Africa 157,625,136 192,157,888 45.1% 233,490,987 221,181,942 51.4%
The	Gap
Breakdown	of	mobile	internet,	voice	and	text,	and	non	
mobile	subscribers	at	the	end	of	2015	(Some	highlights)
• Kenya	– 48%	of	Subscribers	use	data	– 8%	Voice	and	
Text	only	and	44%	non-mobile
• Ethiopia	– 15%	of	Subscribers	use	data	– 16%	Voice	and	
Text	only	and	69%	non-mobile
Devices
If	by	2020	only	57%	of	Africans	will	have	
smartphones,	where	will	that	be?
Urban	Africa	or	Rural	Africa
Social	benefits	and	economy
• Rural	connectivity	is	an	opportunity	for	MNO’s,	Governments	and	the	rural	
population.	
• Rural	connectivity	enables	basic	day	to	day	requirements:
• Bridge	/	closure	of	digital	divide
• Easier	/	faster	Communication	and	trade	
• Mobile	money	and	means	of	electronic	payments
• Rural	connectivity	in	a	more	structured	and	developed	form	also	bring:	
• Health,	education	and	prevention	– E-Health	
• School,	Knowledge	and	education	– E-School	
• Government	services,	Post	Services,	…
• Entertainment	with	Kiosks	and	content	distribution
• Rural	connectivity	is	an	opportunity	to	develop	revenues	and	services,	structure	
society	and	develop	micro	services
Growth	Opportunity
• Rural	connectivity	offers	MNO’s	and	investors	new	pockets	of	growth,
• First	movers	will	take	a	considerable	advantage	(incl.	government	contracts	&	
services)
• Rural	connectivity	roll	our	can	be	cost	effective:	
• Use	satellite	services	to	interconnect	the	last	mile	remotes
• Use	NuBSC for	optimized	bandwidth	use	and	efficiency
• Potentially	share	the	infrastructures	between	multiple	MNO’s	
• Whoever	own	the	last	mile	infrastructure	owns	a	unique	and	valuable	piece	of	
network.	
• Last	mile	remotes	depend	on	Solar	energy	(environment	friendly	+	low	
maintenance)	
• Rural	connectivity	will	enhance	trade	and	communication	- generate	GDP	growth
What	does	this	all	mean?
2015 2025
Total	African Population	(Geohive.com) 1 166 239 306	 1 467 972 527	
Unique	Subscriber Penetration
(Assumption	of	Growth	from	GSMA	
Numbers	to	2025)
46% 60%
Current	Subscribers	(Based on	Above	
Penetration)
536 470 081	 880 783 516	
We all	agree	these	penetration	rates	are	not	realistic	for	Rural	Africa	but	still	shows	massive	scope	for	growth
Rural	Population 694,636,991 809,158,830
Stretch Target	for	Rural	Penetration	with	assistance	from	Universal	Service	Funds	=	50%
Rural	Subscriber Target 347 318 496	 404 579 415	
Potential	Rural	Annual Revenue
$8 335 643 892	 $9 709 905 960	
This	at	$2	in	ARPU	we	expect	$3-4	in	most	areas
Low	Cost	Site	Economics
Currency	USD Medium size	village
Average	population 5000
Anticipated penetration	rate 50%
Nb of	subscribers 2500
ARPU	Level $3
Revenue/site/year $90,000
OPEX	($360 Maintenance	+	$300	VSAT) $660	(Annual $7,920)
Site	overall	CAPEX	(Including	:	RAN,	tower,	
power, civil	work,	commissioning,	Satellite	
modem	and	dish,	etc..)
$50,000
ROI 8	months
Projected	annual	revenue	(50	sites)	:	$4,500,000
Business	Model	Innovation
• MNO’s	are	changing	the	model	by	transferring	all	Capex	into	Opex.	
• In	other	words	MNO’s	want	to	transfer	the	cost	of	acquisition	of	the	last	mile	remotes	into	a	
monthly	operational	cost.	
• MNO	are	separating	the	traffic	management	from	the	network		
• MNO’s	are	specializing	&	focusing	on	the	core	business	
• Owning	&	Rolling	out	last	mile	remote	infrastructures	is	Capex	hungry	but	creates	
a	wonderful	business	opportunity	for	:		
• Tower	Operators		
• Equipment	vendors	(Nuran Wireless)
• Site	Builders
• New	Operators
• MVNOs
• WISP	providers
• Financial	investors	or	institutions.
LiteRAN Rural	2G	Solution
LiteRAN 2G	is	a	complete	GSM	base	station	
subsystem	(BSS),	developed	specifically	for	
deployment	in	remote	areas	where	there	is	limited	
to	no	telecommunications.
NuRAN 2G	Global	Solution
•Carrier	Grade
•BSC/BSS
•Nexus	MSC
• IOT	with	major	
OEMs	
•Low	Power
•Low	Cost
•2x10W	TRXs
•Up	to	20Km
•S2	to	S222	mode
•As	low	as	3	kbps	per	
call	with	all	
optimization	features	
enabled
Let’s	Connect	Rural	Africa
• As	is	noted	in	this	presentation	there	is	a	huge	untapped	opportunity
• There	are	multiple	business	models	that	can	work	to	connect	low	
ARPU	areas
• NuRAN is	ready	to	take	the	next	steps	to	help	unlock	these	potential	
revenue	sources
THANK	YOU
Bradley	Shaw,	Regional	Manager	- MEA	
+27	79	292	1132
bradley.shaw@nuranwireless.com

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