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Crawford School PhD Conference 2014 Water affordability and state water concessions in Australia This presentation is part of my PhD thesis ‘Utility affordability and State concession in Australia” (work in progress) 19 November 2014 
(Noel) Wai Wah CHAN 
Supervisor panel: 
Prof. Quentin Grafton (Chair), 
Dr Hoa Nguyen, Dr Karen Hussey, 
Prof Michael Ward (advisor), Dr David Stanton (advisor)
2 
Background: Water consumption trends 
Source: National Performance Report: Major urban utilities (WSAA 1995/96 – NWC2011/12)
3 
Water & sewerage expenditure (after adjusted with CPI) trends in major cities 
Source: National Performance Report: Major urban utilities (WSAA 1995/96 – NWC2011/12)
Motivation of research 
 
Lower income households have a disproportionally higher burden than average and high income households 
 
lower average water consumption 
 
mostly related to non-discretionary use 
 
State water concessions: the major policy instruments for alleviating water affordability among eligible households 
 
lump sum rebates or percentage discounts of water bills 
 
insufficient empirical research on state water concession 
Q1: Who are the vulnerable groups that need assistance? 
Q2: Does the state water concession equitable and efficient? 
4
5 
Section 1: Changing social functions in urban water sector 
Framework to inject social aspirations into urban water pricing
6 
Note: TPT means two-part tariff; IBT means increasing block tariff; FC means fixed charge 
Water and sewerage tariff structure and average water and sewage bill of major city in 2011-12 
City 
Water tariff structure 
Sewerage tariff structure 
Average water use (kL)1 
Average W&S bill ($) 
Fixed water charge ($) 
Fixed sewerage charge ($) 
Fixed charge component 
Variable charge component 
Sydney 
TPT 
FC 
193 
1090 
145 
540 
63% 
37% 
Melbourne 
IBT 
(3 steps) 
TPT 
144 
910 
120 
322 
49% 
51% 
Canberra 
IBT 
(2 steps) 
FC 
180 
1073 
96 
555 
61% 
39% 
Brisbane 
IBT 
(3 steps) 
FC 
139 
1013 
167 
476 
63% 
37% 
Adelaide 
TPT 
FC 
179 
1148 
235 
325 
49% 
51% 
Perth 
IBT 
(6 steps) 
FC 
250 
1128 
187 
313 
44% 
56% 
Darwin 
TPT 
FC 
471 
1417 
197 
616 
57% 
43%
7 
Section 2: Measuring water affordability & identifying households in affordability stress 
• 
Traditional burden ratio method (AR3) 
Water is unaffordable if W&S expenditure-to-income ratio > 3% (OECD 2003, Fankhauser & Tepic 2007) 
• 
More fuel poverty and housing stress research consider both objective and subjective indicators (Price et al. 2002; Moore 2012; Hills 2011; Blamey 2012). 
• 
Households’ ability to pay to pay for water and other goods & services depends on water bill, residual income (i.e. after housing costs), and family composition (i.e. equivalised income) 
• 
ABS HES 2009-10 surveyed households with reported indicators of material hardships and financial stress
8 
BHCWAS 
EQAHCWAS 
AR3 
Benchmark 
% HH in BHCWAS 
Benchmark 
% HH in EQAHCWAS 
% HH in AR3WAS 
NSW 
1.53 
25% 
2.54 
18% 
18% 
Vic 
1.34 
26% 
2.39 
12% 
12% 
Qld 
0.89 
37% 
1.46 
35% 
34% 
SA 
1.45 
26% 
2.32 
13% 
16% 
WA 
1.16 
21% 
1.80 
12% 
9% 
Tas 
1.08 
44% 
1.98 
31% 
34% 
NT/ACT 
2.17 
16% 
3.93 
13% 
14% 
AUS 
1.38 
27% 
2.33 
19% 
19% 
Table 3: Average water burdens, before and after housing costs, among households with material hardships or financial stresses, 2009-1 
Income variable 
Poverty line 
Benchmark 
BHCWAS 
Disposable household income 
Bottom 40% in eq. disposable income 
Derived by state, households in deprivation 
EQAHCWAS 
Equivalised disposable household income after housing costs 
Bottom 40% in eq. disposable income after housing cost 
AR3WAS 
Disposable household income 
Bottom 40% in eq. disposable income 
3%
9 
BHCWAS 
EQAHCWAS 
AR3 
Family type 
Couple only 
27% 
17% 
17% 
Couple with children 
19% 
20% 
12% 
Single parent 
41% 
32% 
32% 
Lone person 
40% 
18% 
30% 
Tenancy type 
Owner outright 
37% 
19% 
20% 
Purchasers 
15% 
13% 
9% 
Renters 
31% 
25% 
28% 
Dwelling type 
Separate house 
26% 
19% 
17% 
Semi-detached house 
30% 
18% 
21% 
Flats 
33% 
21% 
28% 
Location 
Capital city 
24% 
15% 
15% 
Non-capital city / rural 
34% 
26% 
27% 
Main income source 
Wage/salary 
11% 
10% 
8% 
Pension/allowance 
63% 
39% 
44%
10 
Section 3: Equity implications of State water concessions 
• 
Horizontal equity: people with similar circumstances should be treated equally 
• Vertical equity: people with different circumstances should be treated differently
11 
• 
Compare water concession benefits and discount from original W&S bill for households with average consumption across jurisdictions 
Horizontal inequity in entitlement design
12 
Vertical inequity in entitlement design 
• 
Compare water concession benefits and discount from original W&S bill for households with different levels of water consumption
13 
Vertical inequity in eligibility criteria 
Poor households with water bill 
Non-poor households 
Eligible to concession 
Eligible to concession 
Yes 
No 
Yes 
No 
NSW 
34.4% 
65.6% 
29.0% 
71.0% 
Vic 
37.8% 
62.2% 
25.1% 
74.9% 
Qld 
25.9% 
74.1% 
21.7% 
78.3% 
SA 
21.0% 
79.0% 
10.1% 
89.9% 
WA 
54.2% 
45.8% 
34.2% 
65.8% 
TAS 
52.8% 
47.2% 
46.3% 
53.7% 
NT/ACT 
20.7% 
79.4% 
19.7% 
80.3% 
Australia 
36.7% 
63.3% 
26.3% 
73.7% 
• 
Using 2009-10 ABS HES data, 
• 
Poverty line is defined as 60% median eq. disposable household income 
• 
Households that are eligible for energy concession, and further adjusted with tenancy types in each state
14 
Vertical inequity in eligibility criteria 
Renter 
PCC/ DVA 
HCC 
CSHC 
SSC 
Other 
Canberra 
Y 
Y 
Y 
Sydney 
Y 
Melbourne 
Y 
Y 
Y 
Adelaide 
Y 
Y 
Y 
Brisbane 
Y 
Perth 
Y 
Y 
Y 
Y 
Darwin 
Y 
Y 
Y 
Y
15 
Section 4: Targeting efficiency of water concessions 
• 
2007 Victorian Household Utility Consumption Survey 
• 
Evaluate targeting outcome of ‘category-based’ concession towards households in low-income and high Consumption (LIHC) 
• 
LIHB households are those with pre-concession W&S burden exceeds 3% of disposable household income; and eq. disposable income below 40% of income distribution 
Water burden ratio and Poverty status 
LIHC Households 
Non-LIHC households 
State utility concession program 
Received water concession 
Success targeting 
Inclusion error (leakage) 
No water 
concessions 
Exclusion error 
(under-coverage) 
Success exclusion 
Source: adapted from Dutrey (2007)
Targeting efficiency of Victorian water concessions 
16
Original Beckerman’s model of poverty targeting expenditure efficiency 17 
Modified Beckerman’s model of LIHB targeting of concession expenditure 
Source: Beckerman (1979)
Targeting expenditure efficiency to Victorian LIHB households 
18 
Unit 
Amount 
Total concession expenditure (O) 
$ 
93,353,672 
Successful targeting expenditure 
$ 
24,000,000 
Vertical expenditure efficiency (VEE) 
% 
25.7 
Spill-over (S) 
Excess benefits 
$ 
6,244,204 
Spillover Inefficiency 
% 
6.7 
Inclusion Error (IE) 
Inclusion error 
$ 
69,400,000 
Inclusion error inefficiency 
% 
74.3 
Benefit inadequacy (BI) 
Concession shortfalls 
$ 
14,945,273 
Concession shortfalls inefficiency 
% 
16.0 
Optimal targeting expenditure (E) 
$ 
45,143,149 
Saving = (O-E) 
$ 
48,210,524 
Percentage saving from optimal targeting 
% 
51.6
Key findings & conclusions 
• 
An increasing concern of water and energy affordability in Australia 
• 
Australian urban water sectors apply a mixed method to address water affordability 
• 
Certain tariff design would improve the low-income households’ capacity to address affordability problem 
19
Key findings & conclusions 
• 
Single parents, renters, flat occupiers, rural households are more vulnerable to water affordability stress and hardship 
• 
Both horizontal and vertical inequity exists in current state water concession eligibility criteria and entitlements 
• 
Large-sized households are disadvantaged; and large proportion of poor households were not eligible to water concessions 
• 
‘Category-based’ concession has low target expenditure efficiency. Significant savings can be made from ‘need-based’ targeting design 
20
Thank you. 
21

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Water affordability and state water concessions in Australia

  • 1. Crawford School PhD Conference 2014 Water affordability and state water concessions in Australia This presentation is part of my PhD thesis ‘Utility affordability and State concession in Australia” (work in progress) 19 November 2014 (Noel) Wai Wah CHAN Supervisor panel: Prof. Quentin Grafton (Chair), Dr Hoa Nguyen, Dr Karen Hussey, Prof Michael Ward (advisor), Dr David Stanton (advisor)
  • 2. 2 Background: Water consumption trends Source: National Performance Report: Major urban utilities (WSAA 1995/96 – NWC2011/12)
  • 3. 3 Water & sewerage expenditure (after adjusted with CPI) trends in major cities Source: National Performance Report: Major urban utilities (WSAA 1995/96 – NWC2011/12)
  • 4. Motivation of research  Lower income households have a disproportionally higher burden than average and high income households  lower average water consumption  mostly related to non-discretionary use  State water concessions: the major policy instruments for alleviating water affordability among eligible households  lump sum rebates or percentage discounts of water bills  insufficient empirical research on state water concession Q1: Who are the vulnerable groups that need assistance? Q2: Does the state water concession equitable and efficient? 4
  • 5. 5 Section 1: Changing social functions in urban water sector Framework to inject social aspirations into urban water pricing
  • 6. 6 Note: TPT means two-part tariff; IBT means increasing block tariff; FC means fixed charge Water and sewerage tariff structure and average water and sewage bill of major city in 2011-12 City Water tariff structure Sewerage tariff structure Average water use (kL)1 Average W&S bill ($) Fixed water charge ($) Fixed sewerage charge ($) Fixed charge component Variable charge component Sydney TPT FC 193 1090 145 540 63% 37% Melbourne IBT (3 steps) TPT 144 910 120 322 49% 51% Canberra IBT (2 steps) FC 180 1073 96 555 61% 39% Brisbane IBT (3 steps) FC 139 1013 167 476 63% 37% Adelaide TPT FC 179 1148 235 325 49% 51% Perth IBT (6 steps) FC 250 1128 187 313 44% 56% Darwin TPT FC 471 1417 197 616 57% 43%
  • 7. 7 Section 2: Measuring water affordability & identifying households in affordability stress • Traditional burden ratio method (AR3) Water is unaffordable if W&S expenditure-to-income ratio > 3% (OECD 2003, Fankhauser & Tepic 2007) • More fuel poverty and housing stress research consider both objective and subjective indicators (Price et al. 2002; Moore 2012; Hills 2011; Blamey 2012). • Households’ ability to pay to pay for water and other goods & services depends on water bill, residual income (i.e. after housing costs), and family composition (i.e. equivalised income) • ABS HES 2009-10 surveyed households with reported indicators of material hardships and financial stress
  • 8. 8 BHCWAS EQAHCWAS AR3 Benchmark % HH in BHCWAS Benchmark % HH in EQAHCWAS % HH in AR3WAS NSW 1.53 25% 2.54 18% 18% Vic 1.34 26% 2.39 12% 12% Qld 0.89 37% 1.46 35% 34% SA 1.45 26% 2.32 13% 16% WA 1.16 21% 1.80 12% 9% Tas 1.08 44% 1.98 31% 34% NT/ACT 2.17 16% 3.93 13% 14% AUS 1.38 27% 2.33 19% 19% Table 3: Average water burdens, before and after housing costs, among households with material hardships or financial stresses, 2009-1 Income variable Poverty line Benchmark BHCWAS Disposable household income Bottom 40% in eq. disposable income Derived by state, households in deprivation EQAHCWAS Equivalised disposable household income after housing costs Bottom 40% in eq. disposable income after housing cost AR3WAS Disposable household income Bottom 40% in eq. disposable income 3%
  • 9. 9 BHCWAS EQAHCWAS AR3 Family type Couple only 27% 17% 17% Couple with children 19% 20% 12% Single parent 41% 32% 32% Lone person 40% 18% 30% Tenancy type Owner outright 37% 19% 20% Purchasers 15% 13% 9% Renters 31% 25% 28% Dwelling type Separate house 26% 19% 17% Semi-detached house 30% 18% 21% Flats 33% 21% 28% Location Capital city 24% 15% 15% Non-capital city / rural 34% 26% 27% Main income source Wage/salary 11% 10% 8% Pension/allowance 63% 39% 44%
  • 10. 10 Section 3: Equity implications of State water concessions • Horizontal equity: people with similar circumstances should be treated equally • Vertical equity: people with different circumstances should be treated differently
  • 11. 11 • Compare water concession benefits and discount from original W&S bill for households with average consumption across jurisdictions Horizontal inequity in entitlement design
  • 12. 12 Vertical inequity in entitlement design • Compare water concession benefits and discount from original W&S bill for households with different levels of water consumption
  • 13. 13 Vertical inequity in eligibility criteria Poor households with water bill Non-poor households Eligible to concession Eligible to concession Yes No Yes No NSW 34.4% 65.6% 29.0% 71.0% Vic 37.8% 62.2% 25.1% 74.9% Qld 25.9% 74.1% 21.7% 78.3% SA 21.0% 79.0% 10.1% 89.9% WA 54.2% 45.8% 34.2% 65.8% TAS 52.8% 47.2% 46.3% 53.7% NT/ACT 20.7% 79.4% 19.7% 80.3% Australia 36.7% 63.3% 26.3% 73.7% • Using 2009-10 ABS HES data, • Poverty line is defined as 60% median eq. disposable household income • Households that are eligible for energy concession, and further adjusted with tenancy types in each state
  • 14. 14 Vertical inequity in eligibility criteria Renter PCC/ DVA HCC CSHC SSC Other Canberra Y Y Y Sydney Y Melbourne Y Y Y Adelaide Y Y Y Brisbane Y Perth Y Y Y Y Darwin Y Y Y Y
  • 15. 15 Section 4: Targeting efficiency of water concessions • 2007 Victorian Household Utility Consumption Survey • Evaluate targeting outcome of ‘category-based’ concession towards households in low-income and high Consumption (LIHC) • LIHB households are those with pre-concession W&S burden exceeds 3% of disposable household income; and eq. disposable income below 40% of income distribution Water burden ratio and Poverty status LIHC Households Non-LIHC households State utility concession program Received water concession Success targeting Inclusion error (leakage) No water concessions Exclusion error (under-coverage) Success exclusion Source: adapted from Dutrey (2007)
  • 16. Targeting efficiency of Victorian water concessions 16
  • 17. Original Beckerman’s model of poverty targeting expenditure efficiency 17 Modified Beckerman’s model of LIHB targeting of concession expenditure Source: Beckerman (1979)
  • 18. Targeting expenditure efficiency to Victorian LIHB households 18 Unit Amount Total concession expenditure (O) $ 93,353,672 Successful targeting expenditure $ 24,000,000 Vertical expenditure efficiency (VEE) % 25.7 Spill-over (S) Excess benefits $ 6,244,204 Spillover Inefficiency % 6.7 Inclusion Error (IE) Inclusion error $ 69,400,000 Inclusion error inefficiency % 74.3 Benefit inadequacy (BI) Concession shortfalls $ 14,945,273 Concession shortfalls inefficiency % 16.0 Optimal targeting expenditure (E) $ 45,143,149 Saving = (O-E) $ 48,210,524 Percentage saving from optimal targeting % 51.6
  • 19. Key findings & conclusions • An increasing concern of water and energy affordability in Australia • Australian urban water sectors apply a mixed method to address water affordability • Certain tariff design would improve the low-income households’ capacity to address affordability problem 19
  • 20. Key findings & conclusions • Single parents, renters, flat occupiers, rural households are more vulnerable to water affordability stress and hardship • Both horizontal and vertical inequity exists in current state water concession eligibility criteria and entitlements • Large-sized households are disadvantaged; and large proportion of poor households were not eligible to water concessions • ‘Category-based’ concession has low target expenditure efficiency. Significant savings can be made from ‘need-based’ targeting design 20