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DRYLAND BUDGET COMPARISON
& VALUE OF IRRIGATION
Jessica Johnson – Asst. Extension Educator, Agricultural Economics
Updated: 2/21/2013
Dryland Budget Comparison
Budget Calculation
Developed from:
2013 Nebraska Crop Budgets
Robert Klein, Western Nebraska Crop Specialist
Roger Wilson, Farm Management/Enterprise Budget Analyst
Including: Land, Depreciation, Interest, Taxes, Overhead
Crop Budgets
 Reviewed by:
 Mark Watson, Dryland Producer
 Gary Hergert, UNL Nutrient Management & Soil
Quality Specialist
 Robert Wilson, UNL Weeds Specialist
 Gene Kizzire, UNL Research Technician (Farm Manager)
 Jim Schild, UNL Extension Educator
Factors Influencing Budgets
Prices
↓ Fertilizer
↑or = Seed
↑or = Herbicide
↑or = Fungicide
↑ Real Estate
↑ Crop Insurance Premiums
“Electrical Connect Fees” were changed to “Electricity Fixed”
Land Values
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
2012$/Acre
Dryland Cropland (No Irrigation Potential) Northwest Dryland Cropland (Irrigation Potential) Northwest
Center Pivot Irrigated Cropland Northwest
Land Values
Nebraska Farm Real Estate Market Highlights, 2011-2012
Type of Land – Average Value
Northwest North
2011/2012
2011/2012
% Change
2011/2012
2011/2012
% Change
Dryland Cropland - No Irrigation
Potential
545/660 21% 800/1050 31%
Dryland Cropland - Irrigation
Potential
550/680 24% 1200/1625 35%
Grazing Land - Tillable 340/410 21% 740/880 19%
Grazing Land - NonTillable 280/330 18% 390/450 15%
Hayland 550/620 13% 785/950 21%
Gravity Irrigated Cropland 1980/2440 23% 2050/2625 28%
Gravity Irrigated Cropland 1975/2535 28% 2955/3970 34%
All Land Average 635/520 22% 706/875 24%
2011-2012 Values and Recent Trends by Land Class
Factors Driving Land Value
• Availability of Money – profits from farming
• Low interest rates
• Lack of land for sale
• Returns on land are still favorable
Insurance Rates
Budget County
Coverage Option, Producer
Premium Amount $/Acre
12-Corn Cheyenne 70% Revenue Protection $16.70
13-Wheat Kimball 70% Group Risk Income
Protection- Harvest Revenue
Option
$8.00
14-Wheat Kimball
15-Peas N/A N/A
16-Millet Cheyenne 70% APH 90 $13.89
17-Sunflowers Kimball 70% Revenue Protection $27.02
Budget Estimates
Dryland Corn, Wheat
Corn, No-till
55bu. Yield
Budget #12
Wheat, No-
Till Fallow
55bu. Yield
Budget # 13
Wheat Clean
Till Fallow
45bu. Yield
Budget # 14
Field Operations $59.85 $66.31 $79.61
Materials &
Services
$149.72 $121.15 $90.72
Interest on
Capital &
Overhead
$57.55 $56.97 $56.44
Cost Per Acre $267.12 $244.43 $226.77
Cost per bu. $4.86 $4.44 $5.04
Dryland Peas, Millet, Sunflower
Peas
35bu. Yield
Budget #15
Millet
22cwt. Yield
Budget # 16
Sunflower
11cwt. Yield
Budget # 17
Field Operations $44.13 $64.71 $59.09
Materials &
Services
$78.92 $68.30 $134.83
Interest on
Capital &
Overhead
$55.59 $55.60 $57.12
Cost Per Acre $178.64 $188.64 $251.04
Cost per unit $5.10 $8.57 $22.82
Dryland Comparison
3 Year
Avg. Price
Total Cash
Receipts
Cost of
Production
Revenue
per acre
Millet $9.52cwt. $209.44 $188.64 $20.80
Corn $5.25bu. $288.75 $267.12 $21.63
Wheat Clean Till
Fallow $5.58bu. $251.10 $226.77 $24.33
Wheat No-Till
Fallow $5.58bu. $306.90 $244.43 $62.47
Sunflower $29.07cwt. $319.77 $251.04 $68.73
Peas – Whole $14.53cwt. $305.13 $178.64 $126.49
(1) Production Costs - J. Johnson 2012 No-Till Budget Packet (2) USDA NASS Quickstats Nebraska Price Received 2010-2012 Measured in $/cwt. (3) USDA NASS
Quickstats for Idaho, Montana, North Dakota, Washington Dry Edible Peas - Price Received 2010-2012 Measured in $/cwt.
Assume 60lbs./bu. of Peas, 1 cwt. of Peas = 1.67 bu.
(3) $14.53/cwt. ÷ 1.67=$8.70/bu.
Assume 50lbs/bu. of Millet, 1 cwt. of millet = 2 bu.
(4) $9.52/bu. X 2 = $19.04/cwt.
Value of Irrigation
Value vs. Cost of Irrigation
… the cost of water as an input for
production is the cost required to pump
and distribute water
…value of the water can be attributed to
the difference in irrigation revenue vs.
dryland revenue.
Source: A.Giri & B.Johnson “The Value of Irrigation in a Drought Regime: The Case of 2012” Cornhusker Economics 9/19/2012
Value Irrigation
Irrigation value is dependent on the
commodity for which the irrigation is
used. The more valuable the
commodity or the greater the
difference between irrigated and non-
irrigated revenue, the more valuable
the irrigation.
Value Irrigation
Just as the value of a field crop
changes as supply and demand
change, so does the value of
irrigation water.
Calculation
 Yield
 Price
 Production Cost
 Irrigation Need
Without Drought
Irrigated Non-
Irrigated
With Drought
Non-
Irrigated Irrigated
-
Irrigated Revenue
Non Irrigated Revenue
$ Attributed to Irrigation
X
Irrigated Yield
Price
-
Total Cash Receipts
Irrigated Production Costs
Irrigated Revenue
X
Non- Irrigated Yield
Price
-
Total Cash Receipts
Non- Irrigated Production
Costs
Non-Irrigated Revenue
1
2
3
4
÷
$ Attributed to Irrigation
Irrigation Needed
$/in of Irrigation
X
$ Attributed to Irrigation
Acres of Production
$/in of Irrigation
Quantifying Drought
Drought originates from a deficiency of precipitation over an
extended period of time--usually a season or more--resulting
in a water shortage for some activity, group, or environmental
sector.
– National Drought Mitigation Center
Drought Monitor
annual % of drought >average annual % of drought
2000-2011for the U.S. and Nebraska
Drought Years:
2002, 2003, 2004, 2006
Quantifying Drought
Drought originates from a deficiency of precipitation over an
extended period of time--usually a season or more--resulting
in a water shortage for some activity, group, or environmental
sector.
– National Drought Mitigation Center
Drought Monitor
annual % of drought >average annual % of drought
2000-2011for the U.S. and Nebraska
Drought Years:
2002, 2003, 2004, 2006
2012 Value of
Corn Irrigation
Without Drought With Drought
Irrigated Non-Irrigated Irrigated Non-Irrigated
Yield bu. 1 160 57 154 32
Price bu. 2 $5.25 $5.25 $7.05 $7.05
Total Cash Receipts $/acre $840.00 $299.25 $1,085.70 $225.60
Production Costs $/acre 3 $625.60 $296.97 $602.14 $166.72
Revenue $/acre $214.40 $2.28 $483.56 $58.88
Attributed to
Irrigation
$/acre
$212.12 $424.68
Inches of Water
Required, ET
4 27.25 27.25
Average Inches of
Rain
11.63 7.81
Irrigation Needed 15.62 19.44
$/inch of irrigation $13.58 $21.85
Sources: B. Johnson & A. Giri Cornhusker Economics ‘Value of Irrigation in a Drought Regime: the case of 2012”
Data: (1) Irrigated and Non-Irrigated Yields & Acreage, USDA NASS QUICK STATS (2) 3 year average Monthly Panhandle Crop Report 12/12, USDA NASS QUICKSTAT Price received
Measured in $/bu. (3) Production Costs - J. Johnson 2012 No-Till Budget Packet - 1. Corn, Strip Tillage Continuous 12. Corn, No Till Dryland (4) D. Yonts, "Crop Water Use in Western
Nebraska" NEBGUIDE G1465
$/inch of Irrigation
2012 Value of
Corn Irrigation
Without Drought With Drought
Irrigated Non-Irrigated Irrigated Non-Irrigated
Yield bu. 1 160 57 154 32
Price bu. 2 $5.25 $5.25 $7.05 $7.05
Total Cash Receipts $/acre $840.00 $299.25 $1,085.70 $225.60
Production Costs $/acre 3 $625.60 $296.97 $602.14 $166.72
Revenue $/acre $214.40 $2.28 $483.56 $58.88
Attributed to
Irrigation
$/acre
$212.12 $424.68
# of acres in
Panhandle District
69,330 69,330
Value of Irrigation
in the Nebraska
Panhandle
$14,706,279.60 $29,443,064.40
Sources: B. Johnson & A. Giri Cornhusker Economics ‘Value of Irrigation in a Drought Regime: the case of 2012”
Data: (1) Irrigated and Non-Irrigated Yields & Acreage, USDA NASS QUICK STATS (2) 3 year average Monthly Panhandle Crop Report 12/12, USDA NASS QUICKSTAT Price received
Measured in $/bu. (3) Production Costs - J. Johnson 2012 No-Till Budget Packet - 1. Corn, Strip Tillage Continuous 12. Corn, No Till Dryland (4) D. Yonts, "Crop Water Use in Western
Nebraska" NEBGUIDE G1465
$/inch of Irrigation
Assumptions
 Assume that without irrigation, production of Dry
Beans and Sugarbeets would not exist. Thus the
Irrigation Revenue = $/acre Attributed to Irrigation.
 Total number of acres would not change
$/inch of Irrigation
Commodity
Without
Drought
With Drought
Wheat $4.21 $10.17
Corn $13.58 $26.24
Sugarbeets $51.45 $38.09
Great Northern
Beans
$42.03 $38.86
Pinto Beans $42.97 $57.93
3A: $/inch of Irrigation
Commodity
Without
Drought
With Drought
Wheat $4.21 $10.17
Corn $13.58 $26.24
Sugarbeets $51.45 $38.09
Great Northern
Beans
$42.03 $38.86
Pinto Beans $42.97 $57.93
Commodity Without Drought With Drought
Great Northern Beans $10,126,020.02 $19,504,398.25
Pinto Beans $9,929,522.96 $27,880,265.00
Corn $14,706,279.60 $29,443,064.40
Wheat $10,337,918.91 $44,809,410.00
Sugarbeets $59,890,850.54 $53,712,042.76
Total $104,990,592.03 $175,349,180.41
Thank You!
Jessica Jo Johnson
Agricultural Economics – Asst. Extension Educator
Phone: 308-632-1247
Email: jjohnson@unl.edu
Twitter: PanhandleAgEcon
Website: http://panhandle.unl.edu/panhandle_ag_econ
Extension is a Division of the Institute of Agriculture and Natural Resources at the University of Nebraska-
Lincoln cooperating with the Counties and the U.S. Department of Agriculture.
University of Nebraska-Lincoln Extension educational programs abide with the non-discrimination policies
of the University of Nebraska-Lincoln and the United States Department of Agriculture.
2012 Value of
Wheat Irrigation
Without Drought With Drought
Irrigated Non-Irrigated Irrigated Non-Irrigated
Yield bu. 1 62 35 60 30
Price bu. 2 $5.58 $5.58 $8.05 $8.05
Total Cash Receipts $/acre $345.96 $195.30 $483.00 $241.50
Production Costs $/acre 3 $292.64 $168.35 $283.20 $144.30
Revenue $/acre $53.32 $26.95 $199.80 $97.20
Attributed to
Irrigation
$/acre
$26.37 $102.60
Inches of Water
Required, ET
4 17.9 17.9
Average Inches of
Rain
11.63 7.81
Irrigation Needed 6.27 10.09
$/inch of irrigation $4.21 $10.17
Sources: B. Johnson & A. Giri Cornhusker Economics ‘Value of Irrigation in a Drought Regime: the case of 2012”
Data: (1) Irrigated and Non-Irrigated Yields & Acreage, USDA NASS QUICK STATS (2) Prices 3 year average - Monthly Panhandle Crop Report 12/12, 2011/12 USDA NASS QUICKSTAT
Price recieved Measured in $/bu. (3) Production Costs - J. Johnson 2012 No-Till Budget Packet - 1. Corn, Strip Tillage Continuous 12. Corn, No Till Dryland (4) D. Yonts, "Crop Water Use in
Western Nebraska" NEBGUIDE G1465
$/inch of Irrigation
2012 Value of
Wheat Irrigation
Without Drought With Drought
Irrigated Non-Irrigated Irrigated Non-Irrigated
Yield bu. 1 62 35 60 30
Price bu. 2 $5.58 $5.58 $8.05 $8.05
Total Cash Receipts $/acre $345.96 $195.30 $483.00 $241.50
Production Costs $/acre 3 $292.64 $168.35 $283.20 $144.30
Revenue $/acre $53.32 $26.95 $199.80 $97.20
Attributed to
Irrigation
$/acre
$26.37 $102.60
# of acres in
Panhandle District 392,033 392,033
Value of Irrigation
in the Nebraska
Panhandle
$10,337,918.91 $40,222,620.00
Sources: B. Johnson & A. Giri Cornhusker Economics ‘Value of Irrigation in a Drought Regime: the case of 2012”
Data: (1) Irrigated and Non-Irrigated Yields & Acreage, USDA NASS QUICK STATS (2) Prices 3 year average - Monthly Panhandle Crop Report 12/12, 2011/12 USDA NASS QUICKSTAT
Price recieved Measured in $/bu. (3) Production Costs - J. Johnson 2012 No-Till Budget Packet - 1. Corn, Strip Tillage Continuous 12. Corn, No Till Dryland (4) D. Yonts, "Crop Water Use in
Western Nebraska" NEBGUIDE G1465
Total Value of Irrigation
2012 Value of Dry
Bean Irrigation
Great Northern Beans Pinto Beans
Without
Drought
With Drought
Without
Drought
With Drought
Yield bu. 1 21.74 20.68 22.29 22.35
Price bu. 2 $34.13 $41.54 $34.11 $47.09
Total Cash Receipts $/acre $741.99 $859.05 $760.31 $1,052.46
Production Costs $/acre 3 $584.81 $556.29 $599.60 $601.22
Revenue $/acre $157.18 $302.76 $160.71 $451.25
Inches of Water
Required, ET
4 15.6 15.6 15.6 15.6
Average Inches of
Rain
11.86 7.81 11.86 7.81
Irrigation Needed 3.74 7.79 3.74 7.79
$/inch of irrigation $42.03 $38.86 $42.97 $57.93
Sources: B. Johnson & A. Giri Cornhusker Economics ‘Value of Irrigation in a Drought Regime: the case of 2012”
Data: (1) Irrigated and Non-Irrigated Yields & Acreage, USDA NASS QUICK STATS (2) 3 year average price - Monthly Panhandle Crop Report 12/12 , 2011/12 Annual Average Price (3)
Production Costs - J. Johnson 2012 No-Till Budget Packet - 1. Corn, Strip Tillage Continuous 12. Corn, No Till Dryland (4) D. Yonts, "Crop Water Use in Western Nebraska" NEBGUIDE G1465
$/inch of Irrigation
2012 Value of Dry
Bean Irrigation
Great Northern Beans Pinto Beans
Without
Drought
With Drought
Without
Drought
With Drought
Yield bu. 1 21.74 20.68 22.29 22.35
Price bu. 2 $34.13 $41.54 $34.11 $47.09
Total Cash Receipts $/acre $741.99 $859.05 $760.31 $1,052.46
Production Costs $/acre 3 $584.81 $556.29 $599.60 $601.22
Revenue $/acre $157.18 $302.76 $160.71 $451.25
# of acres in
Panhandle District 64,423 64,423 61,785 61,785
Value of Irrigation
in the Nebraska
Panhandle
$10,126,020.02 $19,504,398.25 $9,929,522.96 $27,880,265.00
Sources: B. Johnson & A. Giri Cornhusker Economics ‘Value of Irrigation in a Drought Regime: the case of 2012”
Data: (1) Irrigated and Non-Irrigated Yields & Acreage, USDA NASS QUICK STATS (2) 3 year average price - Monthly Panhandle Crop Report 12/12 , 2011/12 Annual Average Price (3)
Production Costs - J. Johnson 2012 No-Till Budget Packet - 1. Corn, Strip Tillage Continuous 12. Corn, No Till Dryland (4) D. Yonts, "Crop Water Use in Western Nebraska" NEBGUIDE G1465
Total Value of Irrigation
2012 Value of
Sugarbeet
Irrigation
Without
Drought
With Drought
Yield bu. 1 23.36 20.95
Price bu. $66.70 $66.70
Total Cash Receipts $/acre $1,558.03 $1,397.30
Production Costs $/acre 2 $628.38 $563.56
Revenue $/acre $929.65 $833.74
Inches of Water
Required, ET
3 29.7 29.7
Average Inches of
Rain
11.63 7.81
Irrigation Needed 18.07 21.89
$/inch of irrigation $51.45 $38.09
Sources: B. Johnson & A. Giri Cornhusker Economics ‘Value of Irrigation in a Drought Regime: the case of 2012”
Data: (1) Irrigated and Non-Irrigated Yields & Acreage, USDA NASS QUICK STATS (2) Production Costs - J. Johnson 2012 No-Till Budget Packet - 1. Corn, Strip Tillage Continuous 12. Corn, No
Till Dryland (3) D. Yonts, "Crop Water Use in Western Nebraska" NEBGUIDE G1465
$/inch of Irrigation
2012 Value of
Sugarbeet
Irrigation
Without
Drought
With Drought
Yield bu. 1 23.36 20.95
Price bu. $66.70 $66.70
Total Cash Receipts $/acre $1,558.03 $1,397.30
Production Costs $/acre 2 $628.38 $563.56
Revenue $/acre $929.65 $833.74
# of acres in
Panhandle District 64,423 64,423
Value of Irrigation
in the Nebraska
Panhandle
$59,890,850.54 $53,712,042.76
Sources: B. Johnson & A. Giri Cornhusker Economics ‘Value of Irrigation in a Drought Regime: the case of 2012”
Data: (1) Irrigated and Non-Irrigated Yields & Acreage, USDA NASS QUICK STATS (2) Production Costs - J. Johnson 2012 No-Till Budget Packet - 1. Corn, Strip Tillage Continuous 12. Corn, No
Till Dryland (3) D. Yonts, "Crop Water Use in Western Nebraska" NEBGUIDE G1465
Total Value of Irrigation
Value of Irrigation in Dryland Farming
Value of Irrigation in Dryland Farming
Value of Irrigation in Dryland Farming
Value of Irrigation in Dryland Farming
Value of Irrigation in Dryland Farming

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Value of Irrigation in Dryland Farming

  • 1. DRYLAND BUDGET COMPARISON & VALUE OF IRRIGATION Jessica Johnson – Asst. Extension Educator, Agricultural Economics Updated: 2/21/2013
  • 3. Budget Calculation Developed from: 2013 Nebraska Crop Budgets Robert Klein, Western Nebraska Crop Specialist Roger Wilson, Farm Management/Enterprise Budget Analyst Including: Land, Depreciation, Interest, Taxes, Overhead
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10. Crop Budgets  Reviewed by:  Mark Watson, Dryland Producer  Gary Hergert, UNL Nutrient Management & Soil Quality Specialist  Robert Wilson, UNL Weeds Specialist  Gene Kizzire, UNL Research Technician (Farm Manager)  Jim Schild, UNL Extension Educator
  • 12. Prices ↓ Fertilizer ↑or = Seed ↑or = Herbicide ↑or = Fungicide ↑ Real Estate ↑ Crop Insurance Premiums “Electrical Connect Fees” were changed to “Electricity Fixed”
  • 13. Land Values 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 2012$/Acre Dryland Cropland (No Irrigation Potential) Northwest Dryland Cropland (Irrigation Potential) Northwest Center Pivot Irrigated Cropland Northwest
  • 14. Land Values Nebraska Farm Real Estate Market Highlights, 2011-2012
  • 15. Type of Land – Average Value Northwest North 2011/2012 2011/2012 % Change 2011/2012 2011/2012 % Change Dryland Cropland - No Irrigation Potential 545/660 21% 800/1050 31% Dryland Cropland - Irrigation Potential 550/680 24% 1200/1625 35% Grazing Land - Tillable 340/410 21% 740/880 19% Grazing Land - NonTillable 280/330 18% 390/450 15% Hayland 550/620 13% 785/950 21% Gravity Irrigated Cropland 1980/2440 23% 2050/2625 28% Gravity Irrigated Cropland 1975/2535 28% 2955/3970 34% All Land Average 635/520 22% 706/875 24% 2011-2012 Values and Recent Trends by Land Class
  • 16. Factors Driving Land Value • Availability of Money – profits from farming • Low interest rates • Lack of land for sale • Returns on land are still favorable
  • 17. Insurance Rates Budget County Coverage Option, Producer Premium Amount $/Acre 12-Corn Cheyenne 70% Revenue Protection $16.70 13-Wheat Kimball 70% Group Risk Income Protection- Harvest Revenue Option $8.00 14-Wheat Kimball 15-Peas N/A N/A 16-Millet Cheyenne 70% APH 90 $13.89 17-Sunflowers Kimball 70% Revenue Protection $27.02
  • 19. Dryland Corn, Wheat Corn, No-till 55bu. Yield Budget #12 Wheat, No- Till Fallow 55bu. Yield Budget # 13 Wheat Clean Till Fallow 45bu. Yield Budget # 14 Field Operations $59.85 $66.31 $79.61 Materials & Services $149.72 $121.15 $90.72 Interest on Capital & Overhead $57.55 $56.97 $56.44 Cost Per Acre $267.12 $244.43 $226.77 Cost per bu. $4.86 $4.44 $5.04
  • 20. Dryland Peas, Millet, Sunflower Peas 35bu. Yield Budget #15 Millet 22cwt. Yield Budget # 16 Sunflower 11cwt. Yield Budget # 17 Field Operations $44.13 $64.71 $59.09 Materials & Services $78.92 $68.30 $134.83 Interest on Capital & Overhead $55.59 $55.60 $57.12 Cost Per Acre $178.64 $188.64 $251.04 Cost per unit $5.10 $8.57 $22.82
  • 21. Dryland Comparison 3 Year Avg. Price Total Cash Receipts Cost of Production Revenue per acre Millet $9.52cwt. $209.44 $188.64 $20.80 Corn $5.25bu. $288.75 $267.12 $21.63 Wheat Clean Till Fallow $5.58bu. $251.10 $226.77 $24.33 Wheat No-Till Fallow $5.58bu. $306.90 $244.43 $62.47 Sunflower $29.07cwt. $319.77 $251.04 $68.73 Peas – Whole $14.53cwt. $305.13 $178.64 $126.49 (1) Production Costs - J. Johnson 2012 No-Till Budget Packet (2) USDA NASS Quickstats Nebraska Price Received 2010-2012 Measured in $/cwt. (3) USDA NASS Quickstats for Idaho, Montana, North Dakota, Washington Dry Edible Peas - Price Received 2010-2012 Measured in $/cwt. Assume 60lbs./bu. of Peas, 1 cwt. of Peas = 1.67 bu. (3) $14.53/cwt. ÷ 1.67=$8.70/bu. Assume 50lbs/bu. of Millet, 1 cwt. of millet = 2 bu. (4) $9.52/bu. X 2 = $19.04/cwt.
  • 23. Value vs. Cost of Irrigation … the cost of water as an input for production is the cost required to pump and distribute water …value of the water can be attributed to the difference in irrigation revenue vs. dryland revenue. Source: A.Giri & B.Johnson “The Value of Irrigation in a Drought Regime: The Case of 2012” Cornhusker Economics 9/19/2012
  • 24. Value Irrigation Irrigation value is dependent on the commodity for which the irrigation is used. The more valuable the commodity or the greater the difference between irrigated and non- irrigated revenue, the more valuable the irrigation.
  • 25. Value Irrigation Just as the value of a field crop changes as supply and demand change, so does the value of irrigation water.
  • 26. Calculation  Yield  Price  Production Cost  Irrigation Need Without Drought Irrigated Non- Irrigated With Drought Non- Irrigated Irrigated
  • 27. - Irrigated Revenue Non Irrigated Revenue $ Attributed to Irrigation X Irrigated Yield Price - Total Cash Receipts Irrigated Production Costs Irrigated Revenue X Non- Irrigated Yield Price - Total Cash Receipts Non- Irrigated Production Costs Non-Irrigated Revenue 1 2 3 4 ÷ $ Attributed to Irrigation Irrigation Needed $/in of Irrigation X $ Attributed to Irrigation Acres of Production $/in of Irrigation
  • 28. Quantifying Drought Drought originates from a deficiency of precipitation over an extended period of time--usually a season or more--resulting in a water shortage for some activity, group, or environmental sector. – National Drought Mitigation Center Drought Monitor annual % of drought >average annual % of drought 2000-2011for the U.S. and Nebraska Drought Years: 2002, 2003, 2004, 2006
  • 29. Quantifying Drought Drought originates from a deficiency of precipitation over an extended period of time--usually a season or more--resulting in a water shortage for some activity, group, or environmental sector. – National Drought Mitigation Center Drought Monitor annual % of drought >average annual % of drought 2000-2011for the U.S. and Nebraska Drought Years: 2002, 2003, 2004, 2006
  • 30. 2012 Value of Corn Irrigation Without Drought With Drought Irrigated Non-Irrigated Irrigated Non-Irrigated Yield bu. 1 160 57 154 32 Price bu. 2 $5.25 $5.25 $7.05 $7.05 Total Cash Receipts $/acre $840.00 $299.25 $1,085.70 $225.60 Production Costs $/acre 3 $625.60 $296.97 $602.14 $166.72 Revenue $/acre $214.40 $2.28 $483.56 $58.88 Attributed to Irrigation $/acre $212.12 $424.68 Inches of Water Required, ET 4 27.25 27.25 Average Inches of Rain 11.63 7.81 Irrigation Needed 15.62 19.44 $/inch of irrigation $13.58 $21.85 Sources: B. Johnson & A. Giri Cornhusker Economics ‘Value of Irrigation in a Drought Regime: the case of 2012” Data: (1) Irrigated and Non-Irrigated Yields & Acreage, USDA NASS QUICK STATS (2) 3 year average Monthly Panhandle Crop Report 12/12, USDA NASS QUICKSTAT Price received Measured in $/bu. (3) Production Costs - J. Johnson 2012 No-Till Budget Packet - 1. Corn, Strip Tillage Continuous 12. Corn, No Till Dryland (4) D. Yonts, "Crop Water Use in Western Nebraska" NEBGUIDE G1465 $/inch of Irrigation
  • 31. 2012 Value of Corn Irrigation Without Drought With Drought Irrigated Non-Irrigated Irrigated Non-Irrigated Yield bu. 1 160 57 154 32 Price bu. 2 $5.25 $5.25 $7.05 $7.05 Total Cash Receipts $/acre $840.00 $299.25 $1,085.70 $225.60 Production Costs $/acre 3 $625.60 $296.97 $602.14 $166.72 Revenue $/acre $214.40 $2.28 $483.56 $58.88 Attributed to Irrigation $/acre $212.12 $424.68 # of acres in Panhandle District 69,330 69,330 Value of Irrigation in the Nebraska Panhandle $14,706,279.60 $29,443,064.40 Sources: B. Johnson & A. Giri Cornhusker Economics ‘Value of Irrigation in a Drought Regime: the case of 2012” Data: (1) Irrigated and Non-Irrigated Yields & Acreage, USDA NASS QUICK STATS (2) 3 year average Monthly Panhandle Crop Report 12/12, USDA NASS QUICKSTAT Price received Measured in $/bu. (3) Production Costs - J. Johnson 2012 No-Till Budget Packet - 1. Corn, Strip Tillage Continuous 12. Corn, No Till Dryland (4) D. Yonts, "Crop Water Use in Western Nebraska" NEBGUIDE G1465 $/inch of Irrigation
  • 32. Assumptions  Assume that without irrigation, production of Dry Beans and Sugarbeets would not exist. Thus the Irrigation Revenue = $/acre Attributed to Irrigation.  Total number of acres would not change
  • 33. $/inch of Irrigation Commodity Without Drought With Drought Wheat $4.21 $10.17 Corn $13.58 $26.24 Sugarbeets $51.45 $38.09 Great Northern Beans $42.03 $38.86 Pinto Beans $42.97 $57.93
  • 34. 3A: $/inch of Irrigation Commodity Without Drought With Drought Wheat $4.21 $10.17 Corn $13.58 $26.24 Sugarbeets $51.45 $38.09 Great Northern Beans $42.03 $38.86 Pinto Beans $42.97 $57.93
  • 35. Commodity Without Drought With Drought Great Northern Beans $10,126,020.02 $19,504,398.25 Pinto Beans $9,929,522.96 $27,880,265.00 Corn $14,706,279.60 $29,443,064.40 Wheat $10,337,918.91 $44,809,410.00 Sugarbeets $59,890,850.54 $53,712,042.76 Total $104,990,592.03 $175,349,180.41
  • 36. Thank You! Jessica Jo Johnson Agricultural Economics – Asst. Extension Educator Phone: 308-632-1247 Email: jjohnson@unl.edu Twitter: PanhandleAgEcon Website: http://panhandle.unl.edu/panhandle_ag_econ Extension is a Division of the Institute of Agriculture and Natural Resources at the University of Nebraska- Lincoln cooperating with the Counties and the U.S. Department of Agriculture. University of Nebraska-Lincoln Extension educational programs abide with the non-discrimination policies of the University of Nebraska-Lincoln and the United States Department of Agriculture.
  • 37. 2012 Value of Wheat Irrigation Without Drought With Drought Irrigated Non-Irrigated Irrigated Non-Irrigated Yield bu. 1 62 35 60 30 Price bu. 2 $5.58 $5.58 $8.05 $8.05 Total Cash Receipts $/acre $345.96 $195.30 $483.00 $241.50 Production Costs $/acre 3 $292.64 $168.35 $283.20 $144.30 Revenue $/acre $53.32 $26.95 $199.80 $97.20 Attributed to Irrigation $/acre $26.37 $102.60 Inches of Water Required, ET 4 17.9 17.9 Average Inches of Rain 11.63 7.81 Irrigation Needed 6.27 10.09 $/inch of irrigation $4.21 $10.17 Sources: B. Johnson & A. Giri Cornhusker Economics ‘Value of Irrigation in a Drought Regime: the case of 2012” Data: (1) Irrigated and Non-Irrigated Yields & Acreage, USDA NASS QUICK STATS (2) Prices 3 year average - Monthly Panhandle Crop Report 12/12, 2011/12 USDA NASS QUICKSTAT Price recieved Measured in $/bu. (3) Production Costs - J. Johnson 2012 No-Till Budget Packet - 1. Corn, Strip Tillage Continuous 12. Corn, No Till Dryland (4) D. Yonts, "Crop Water Use in Western Nebraska" NEBGUIDE G1465 $/inch of Irrigation
  • 38. 2012 Value of Wheat Irrigation Without Drought With Drought Irrigated Non-Irrigated Irrigated Non-Irrigated Yield bu. 1 62 35 60 30 Price bu. 2 $5.58 $5.58 $8.05 $8.05 Total Cash Receipts $/acre $345.96 $195.30 $483.00 $241.50 Production Costs $/acre 3 $292.64 $168.35 $283.20 $144.30 Revenue $/acre $53.32 $26.95 $199.80 $97.20 Attributed to Irrigation $/acre $26.37 $102.60 # of acres in Panhandle District 392,033 392,033 Value of Irrigation in the Nebraska Panhandle $10,337,918.91 $40,222,620.00 Sources: B. Johnson & A. Giri Cornhusker Economics ‘Value of Irrigation in a Drought Regime: the case of 2012” Data: (1) Irrigated and Non-Irrigated Yields & Acreage, USDA NASS QUICK STATS (2) Prices 3 year average - Monthly Panhandle Crop Report 12/12, 2011/12 USDA NASS QUICKSTAT Price recieved Measured in $/bu. (3) Production Costs - J. Johnson 2012 No-Till Budget Packet - 1. Corn, Strip Tillage Continuous 12. Corn, No Till Dryland (4) D. Yonts, "Crop Water Use in Western Nebraska" NEBGUIDE G1465 Total Value of Irrigation
  • 39. 2012 Value of Dry Bean Irrigation Great Northern Beans Pinto Beans Without Drought With Drought Without Drought With Drought Yield bu. 1 21.74 20.68 22.29 22.35 Price bu. 2 $34.13 $41.54 $34.11 $47.09 Total Cash Receipts $/acre $741.99 $859.05 $760.31 $1,052.46 Production Costs $/acre 3 $584.81 $556.29 $599.60 $601.22 Revenue $/acre $157.18 $302.76 $160.71 $451.25 Inches of Water Required, ET 4 15.6 15.6 15.6 15.6 Average Inches of Rain 11.86 7.81 11.86 7.81 Irrigation Needed 3.74 7.79 3.74 7.79 $/inch of irrigation $42.03 $38.86 $42.97 $57.93 Sources: B. Johnson & A. Giri Cornhusker Economics ‘Value of Irrigation in a Drought Regime: the case of 2012” Data: (1) Irrigated and Non-Irrigated Yields & Acreage, USDA NASS QUICK STATS (2) 3 year average price - Monthly Panhandle Crop Report 12/12 , 2011/12 Annual Average Price (3) Production Costs - J. Johnson 2012 No-Till Budget Packet - 1. Corn, Strip Tillage Continuous 12. Corn, No Till Dryland (4) D. Yonts, "Crop Water Use in Western Nebraska" NEBGUIDE G1465 $/inch of Irrigation
  • 40. 2012 Value of Dry Bean Irrigation Great Northern Beans Pinto Beans Without Drought With Drought Without Drought With Drought Yield bu. 1 21.74 20.68 22.29 22.35 Price bu. 2 $34.13 $41.54 $34.11 $47.09 Total Cash Receipts $/acre $741.99 $859.05 $760.31 $1,052.46 Production Costs $/acre 3 $584.81 $556.29 $599.60 $601.22 Revenue $/acre $157.18 $302.76 $160.71 $451.25 # of acres in Panhandle District 64,423 64,423 61,785 61,785 Value of Irrigation in the Nebraska Panhandle $10,126,020.02 $19,504,398.25 $9,929,522.96 $27,880,265.00 Sources: B. Johnson & A. Giri Cornhusker Economics ‘Value of Irrigation in a Drought Regime: the case of 2012” Data: (1) Irrigated and Non-Irrigated Yields & Acreage, USDA NASS QUICK STATS (2) 3 year average price - Monthly Panhandle Crop Report 12/12 , 2011/12 Annual Average Price (3) Production Costs - J. Johnson 2012 No-Till Budget Packet - 1. Corn, Strip Tillage Continuous 12. Corn, No Till Dryland (4) D. Yonts, "Crop Water Use in Western Nebraska" NEBGUIDE G1465 Total Value of Irrigation
  • 41. 2012 Value of Sugarbeet Irrigation Without Drought With Drought Yield bu. 1 23.36 20.95 Price bu. $66.70 $66.70 Total Cash Receipts $/acre $1,558.03 $1,397.30 Production Costs $/acre 2 $628.38 $563.56 Revenue $/acre $929.65 $833.74 Inches of Water Required, ET 3 29.7 29.7 Average Inches of Rain 11.63 7.81 Irrigation Needed 18.07 21.89 $/inch of irrigation $51.45 $38.09 Sources: B. Johnson & A. Giri Cornhusker Economics ‘Value of Irrigation in a Drought Regime: the case of 2012” Data: (1) Irrigated and Non-Irrigated Yields & Acreage, USDA NASS QUICK STATS (2) Production Costs - J. Johnson 2012 No-Till Budget Packet - 1. Corn, Strip Tillage Continuous 12. Corn, No Till Dryland (3) D. Yonts, "Crop Water Use in Western Nebraska" NEBGUIDE G1465 $/inch of Irrigation
  • 42. 2012 Value of Sugarbeet Irrigation Without Drought With Drought Yield bu. 1 23.36 20.95 Price bu. $66.70 $66.70 Total Cash Receipts $/acre $1,558.03 $1,397.30 Production Costs $/acre 2 $628.38 $563.56 Revenue $/acre $929.65 $833.74 # of acres in Panhandle District 64,423 64,423 Value of Irrigation in the Nebraska Panhandle $59,890,850.54 $53,712,042.76 Sources: B. Johnson & A. Giri Cornhusker Economics ‘Value of Irrigation in a Drought Regime: the case of 2012” Data: (1) Irrigated and Non-Irrigated Yields & Acreage, USDA NASS QUICK STATS (2) Production Costs - J. Johnson 2012 No-Till Budget Packet - 1. Corn, Strip Tillage Continuous 12. Corn, No Till Dryland (3) D. Yonts, "Crop Water Use in Western Nebraska" NEBGUIDE G1465 Total Value of Irrigation