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Lecture L15
THE BROADCAST CENTURY
Why?
100 million hours / year
200 million minutes / day
Where do people find the time?
"The wireless music box has no imaginable commercial value.
Who would pay for a message sent to nobody in particular?"
-- David Sarnoff's associates in response to
his urgings for investment in the radio in the 1920s.

EARLY ENTERTAINMENT
Early music was performed live
Story telling
People got together to sing the 

songs of the day
Participation: everyone was an

entertainer
Culture
Read-Write Culture
Edison’s Phonograph 1877

“The Talking Machine”
Emile Berliner’s Gramophone,
1889
First radio broadcasts are in 1906
Commercial radio broadcasting
starts in 1920s
Amateur operators
Equipment manufactures
Public’s need for information

Westinghouse Model WR-30 Gothic Style Tombstone Radio (1933)
http://www.tuberadioland.com/westinghouseWR-30_main.html
For God’s sake go down to the reception and 

get rid of a lunatic who’s down there. 

He says he’s got a machine for seeing by wireless!
— Editor of the Daily Express in response 

to a prospective visit by John Logie Baird

ENTER THE TV
John Logie Baird
!

Scottish inventor

!

Experimented with wireless

transmission of images

!

First public television broadcast was 

27. January 1926 in London
TV broadcast start in the 1930s

!

BBC starts broadcasts in 1936

!

Slow increase in consoles

!

Lack of standard

!
Color in the 50s

!

RCA begins production of its 

first color-TV set for consumers

!

Low performance and high price
In 1950 a market has emerged

!

US data:

!

1946 there are 20.000 TVs, 

18 stations

!

1953 there are over 20

million TVs – 44% of 

households, 300 stations

!

TV in Iceland in 1966
The global broadcasting & cable tv 

market grew by 4.6% in 2011 to 

reach a value of $400.6 billion
!

The market is expected to reach 

almost $475,000 million by 2015

Source:	
  DataMnitor
Why is TV so powerful?
TV Watching
On average, individuals in the industrialised world 

devote three hours a day to watching TV
TV Watching
On average, individuals in the industrialised world 

devote three hours a day to watching TV
TV Watching
Gallup poll on TV Watching

!

Two out of five adult respondents and seven out of 10 teenagers 

said they spent too much time watching TV

!

Usually people are embarrassed to admit to watching much TV
A Formula for Addiction
TV is passive and relaxing

!

Reduces alertness

!

Effect is fast

!

Problem: TV addiction
A Formula for Addiction
TREND
23% of UK teenagers claim to
watch less TV and 15% admit
they read fewer books now that
they have smartphones
THE BROADCASTING CENTURY
ONE 2 MANY
READ ONLY CULTURE
Emile Berliner’s

Gramophone

1889
Edison’s 

Phonograph

1877

1900

BUSINESS MODELS GET ESTABLISHED
DIGITAL

FORMAT
Radio

Broadcasts

1920s

TV

The Record

Broadcasts
 Industry - LPs

1940s
1950s

CDs

1980s

DVDs

1990s

2000
TV GOES DIGITAL
Analog Standards
NTSC, PAL, SECAM

	 

Broadcast: 

	 VHF (54-88 MHz, 174-216 MHz)

	 UHF (470 to 890 MHz)

	 Cable
Digital TV
DVB, ATSC, ISDB, DTMB, DBM
H.262/MPEG
!

Transmitted
	 Radio (VHF, UHF, SHF), satellites, cables, fiber or ADSL

	 

Benefits
	 Better picture and better sound – more resolution

	 Better use of bandwidth using compression

	 

Most countries switched off analogue transmission 2007-2009
Source:	
  HowStuffWorks.com
Digital TV
Normal TV has the ratio 4:3 (1,34:1) 

!

HDTV has the aspect ratio 16:9 (1,78:1)

!

Source:	
  HowStuffWorks.com
End of an Era
Digital Content is causing disruptions in the conventional value chain

!

DVD sales are slowing

!

Distribution of content is going to digital mediums


Source:	
  Economist	
  	
  -­‐	
  Coming	
  soon
NEW SOLUTIONS
Electronic Programming Guide
Additional Information
Time shift
Digital video recorders (DVRs) 

	 Recording television transmissions for later viewing

!

Examples 

	 TiVo, ReplayTV, DirectTV
Place Shift
Watch your TV everywhere in the world

!

Technology that allows you to watch your TV over the Internet

!

Slingbox
Video On Demand
VoD - Video-on-demand

Goodbye to of the Video Store

Change in distribution of content

Delivered over the Internet, ADSL

or cable, including fibre
Pictures from
www.oscar.com
THE BROADCASTING CENTURY
ONE 2 MANY
READ ONLY CULTURE
Emile Berliner’s

Gramophone

1889
Edison’s 

Phonograph

1877

BUSINESS MODELS GET ESTABLISHED
DIGITAL

FORMAT
Radio

Broadcasts

1920s

TV

The Record

Broadcasts
 Industry - LPs

1940s
1950s

THE 

DIGITAL DECADE

!

CDs

1980s

DVDs

1990s

THE CONTENT

ESCAPES

THE FORM

!

INTERNET 

DISRUPTION

BEGINS

1900

2000
END OF BROADCASTING
Where do people find the time?
TV
200 billion hours / year

Watching TV
Watching TV
100 million hours / year
2000 wikipedias / year
Clay Shirky
On Cognitive Surplus
Read-only Culture
f(x) =

k
ax

+

k)
o(x
MOVIE
STARS
Chris Anderson
On the Long Tail
Bottlenecks in the Distribution channels

Hit culture
The Power Law
Pareto principle

For many events, roughly
80% of the effects come
from 20% of the causes
Economy of

SCARCITY
Economy of

ABUNDANCE
LONG TAIL
What percentage of the top 10,000 titles in
any online media store (Netflix, iTunes,
Amazon, or any other) will rent or sell at
least once a month?
USER

GENERTATED

CONTENT
EVERYBODY

IS A

PRODUCER
BEFORE

NOW

ONE 2 MANY: 

BROADCASTING

MANY 2 MANY: 

PEER INTERACTION

READ ONLY CULTURE

READ WRITE CULTURE

BUSINESS
MODELS GET
ESTABLISHED

ESTABLISHED
BUSINESS MODELS
GET DISRUPTED
END OF BROADCASTING
MANY 2 MANY
READ WRITE CULTURE
Emile Berliner’s

Gramophone

1889
Edison’s 

Phonograph

1877

1900

ESTABLISHED BUSINESS MODELS GET DISRUPTED
Radio

Broadcasts

1920s

TV

The Record

Broadcasts
 Industry - LPs

1940s
1950s

CDs

1980s

THE INTERNET 

DISRUPTION
DVDs

1990s

2000

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New Technology Lecture L15 The Broadcast Century

  • 2.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 8. Where do people find the time?
  • 9. "The wireless music box has no imaginable commercial value. Who would pay for a message sent to nobody in particular?" -- David Sarnoff's associates in response to his urgings for investment in the radio in the 1920s. EARLY ENTERTAINMENT
  • 10. Early music was performed live Story telling People got together to sing the 
 songs of the day Participation: everyone was an entertainer Culture
  • 12. Edison’s Phonograph 1877 “The Talking Machine”
  • 14. First radio broadcasts are in 1906 Commercial radio broadcasting starts in 1920s Amateur operators Equipment manufactures Public’s need for information Westinghouse Model WR-30 Gothic Style Tombstone Radio (1933) http://www.tuberadioland.com/westinghouseWR-30_main.html
  • 15. For God’s sake go down to the reception and 
 get rid of a lunatic who’s down there. 
 He says he’s got a machine for seeing by wireless! — Editor of the Daily Express in response 
 to a prospective visit by John Logie Baird ENTER THE TV
  • 16. John Logie Baird ! Scottish inventor ! Experimented with wireless
 transmission of images ! First public television broadcast was 27. January 1926 in London
  • 17. TV broadcast start in the 1930s ! BBC starts broadcasts in 1936 ! Slow increase in consoles ! Lack of standard !
  • 18. Color in the 50s ! RCA begins production of its 
 first color-TV set for consumers ! Low performance and high price
  • 19. In 1950 a market has emerged ! US data: ! 1946 there are 20.000 TVs, 
 18 stations ! 1953 there are over 20
 million TVs – 44% of 
 households, 300 stations ! TV in Iceland in 1966
  • 20. The global broadcasting & cable tv 
 market grew by 4.6% in 2011 to 
 reach a value of $400.6 billion ! The market is expected to reach 
 almost $475,000 million by 2015 Source:  DataMnitor
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23. Why is TV so powerful?
  • 24.
  • 25. TV Watching On average, individuals in the industrialised world devote three hours a day to watching TV
  • 26. TV Watching On average, individuals in the industrialised world devote three hours a day to watching TV
  • 27. TV Watching Gallup poll on TV Watching ! Two out of five adult respondents and seven out of 10 teenagers said they spent too much time watching TV ! Usually people are embarrassed to admit to watching much TV
  • 28. A Formula for Addiction TV is passive and relaxing ! Reduces alertness ! Effect is fast ! Problem: TV addiction
  • 29. A Formula for Addiction
  • 30. TREND 23% of UK teenagers claim to watch less TV and 15% admit they read fewer books now that they have smartphones
  • 31. THE BROADCASTING CENTURY ONE 2 MANY READ ONLY CULTURE Emile Berliner’s Gramophone 1889 Edison’s 
 Phonograph 1877 1900 BUSINESS MODELS GET ESTABLISHED DIGITAL
 FORMAT Radio Broadcasts 1920s TV The Record Broadcasts Industry - LPs 1940s 1950s CDs 1980s DVDs 1990s 2000
  • 32.
  • 34.
  • 35. Analog Standards NTSC, PAL, SECAM Broadcast: VHF (54-88 MHz, 174-216 MHz) UHF (470 to 890 MHz) Cable
  • 36. Digital TV DVB, ATSC, ISDB, DTMB, DBM H.262/MPEG ! Transmitted Radio (VHF, UHF, SHF), satellites, cables, fiber or ADSL Benefits Better picture and better sound – more resolution Better use of bandwidth using compression Most countries switched off analogue transmission 2007-2009 Source:  HowStuffWorks.com
  • 37. Digital TV Normal TV has the ratio 4:3 (1,34:1) ! HDTV has the aspect ratio 16:9 (1,78:1) ! Source:  HowStuffWorks.com
  • 38. End of an Era Digital Content is causing disruptions in the conventional value chain ! DVD sales are slowing ! Distribution of content is going to digital mediums Source:  Economist    -­‐  Coming  soon
  • 42. Time shift Digital video recorders (DVRs) Recording television transmissions for later viewing ! Examples TiVo, ReplayTV, DirectTV
  • 43. Place Shift Watch your TV everywhere in the world ! Technology that allows you to watch your TV over the Internet ! Slingbox
  • 44.
  • 45. Video On Demand VoD - Video-on-demand Goodbye to of the Video Store Change in distribution of content Delivered over the Internet, ADSL
 or cable, including fibre Pictures from www.oscar.com
  • 46.
  • 47. THE BROADCASTING CENTURY ONE 2 MANY READ ONLY CULTURE Emile Berliner’s Gramophone 1889 Edison’s 
 Phonograph 1877 BUSINESS MODELS GET ESTABLISHED DIGITAL
 FORMAT Radio Broadcasts 1920s TV The Record Broadcasts Industry - LPs 1940s 1950s THE 
 DIGITAL DECADE ! CDs 1980s DVDs 1990s THE CONTENT ESCAPES THE FORM ! INTERNET DISRUPTION BEGINS 1900 2000
  • 49. Where do people find the time?
  • 50.
  • 51. TV
  • 52. 200 billion hours / year Watching TV
  • 54.
  • 58.
  • 61.
  • 64.
  • 65. Bottlenecks in the Distribution channels Hit culture
  • 67. Pareto principle For many events, roughly 80% of the effects come from 20% of the causes
  • 68.
  • 70.
  • 71.
  • 74.
  • 75.
  • 76. What percentage of the top 10,000 titles in any online media store (Netflix, iTunes, Amazon, or any other) will rent or sell at least once a month?
  • 77.
  • 78.
  • 80.
  • 81.
  • 82.
  • 83.
  • 84.
  • 86.
  • 87.
  • 88. BEFORE NOW ONE 2 MANY: 
 BROADCASTING MANY 2 MANY: 
 PEER INTERACTION READ ONLY CULTURE READ WRITE CULTURE BUSINESS MODELS GET ESTABLISHED ESTABLISHED BUSINESS MODELS GET DISRUPTED
  • 89. END OF BROADCASTING MANY 2 MANY READ WRITE CULTURE Emile Berliner’s Gramophone 1889 Edison’s 
 Phonograph 1877 1900 ESTABLISHED BUSINESS MODELS GET DISRUPTED Radio Broadcasts 1920s TV The Record Broadcasts Industry - LPs 1940s 1950s CDs 1980s THE INTERNET DISRUPTION DVDs 1990s 2000