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New Developments in Community-
Onset Pneumonia
Richard G. Wunderink MD
Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine
Chicago, IL, USA
Conflicts of Interest
• bioMerieux – investigator-initiated grant
• Pfizer – data safety monitoring board
• Accelerate Diagnostics
• Curetis
• Genmark
• Nabriva
• Arsanis
Diagnostics companies
US Causes of Death
1
10
100
1000
Deathsper100,000population
Pneumonia Tuberculosis Sepsis AIDS 20/100K
Pediatric
Conjugate
Vaccine
Clinical use of penicillin starts
Effective anti-TB drugs
US Causes of Death
1
10
100
1000
Deathsper100,000population
Pneumonia Tuberculosis Sepsis AIDS 20/100K
CMS Public
reporting/Pediatric
ConjugateVaccine
Clinical use of penicillin starts
Effective anti-TB drugs
Paradigm change #1:
Outcome of many critical
illnesses, including CAP,
is determined by the
timely provision of
appropriate antibiotic(s)
Time to First Antibiotic Dose
in Septic Shock
Kumar, Crit Care Med, 2006
7.6%/hr increase
in mortality
ARDS Prevention Strategies:
Appropriate Antibiotics
Levitt JE and Matthay MA. Critical Care
2012;1:223
Septic
Shock
Pneumonia
Iscimen et
al,
Crit Care
Med
2008;36:151
8- 1522
Kojicic et al
Crit Care
2012;16:R46
“It’s the antibiotics,
stupid.”
What is (are) the correct
antibiotic(s)?
What is (are) the correct
antibiotic(s) in the era of
antibiotic stewardship?
JAMA, 2014
JAMA, 2014
July 14, 2015
CDC Etiology of Pneumonia in the
Community (EPIC) Study
 Both children (< 18
years) and adults
 4 sites: Chicago,
Nashville, Memphis,
Salt Lake City
 January 1, 2010 –
June 30, 2012
 2320 adults with
radiographic
pneumonia
Objective: Determine US population-based incidence
and etiology of CAP
Am J Respir Crit Care Med, 2015
319 patients with clinically suspected CAP in 4 EDs
87% prior to
antibiotics
CDC EPIC Diagnostic Algorithm
CDC-EPIC Etiology of CAP:
Etiology Results
77
27
10 11
18
64
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Pediatric Adult
Percentofpatients
Viral
Bacterial
None
Only 52/2320 (2%) of adults
enrolled in EPIC died
Slightly higher in eligible, un-
enrolled patients (4% at most)
Trends in Adult Community-
Acquired Pneumonia
Smith et al, JAMA Int Med, 2014
EPIC
3rd Gen Cephalo
Aminoglycoside
B-lactam+Macro
Cephalo+Macro
Quinolone
Treatment Outcomes Data
Gleason, Arch
Intern Med, 1999
Macrolide Combination Therapy
0
2
4
6
8
10
Ceftriaxone Other Ceph Penicilln Quinolone
6.31
5.11
8.15
4.94
2.76
2.16 2.46
2.91
Mortality(%)
Monotherapy Macrolide Combination
p < 0.0001 p < 0.05
Brown, Chest, 2003
18,500 16,000 4,500 1800
Presumption of proponents of
narrow-spectrum therapy e.g.
β-lactam monotherapy, is that
S. pneumoniae is the
overwhelming cause of CAP
EPIC – Adult Pathogen
Detections
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
HRV Flu S. pn. HMPV RSV PIV G. ng.* CoV M. pn. S. au. AdV Leg. Strep
sp.
Other†
115/2320 (5%) S. pneumoniae
Changing Etiology of CAP
PCV7
CAP-START
Postma et al, NEJM, 2015
CAP-START Primary Endpoint :
90 Day Mortality
Postma et al, NEJM, 2015
CAP-START Endpoints
9 8.8
11.1
6.1
8.8
3.7
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
90-DayMortality Add Abs for failure
%
B-Lactam
BL/Macro
Quinolone
Postma et al, NEJM, 2015
JAMA Intern Med 2014
TCS difference at 7 days –
7.6% (95%CI:-0.8 to 16, p = .07)
HR PSI IV = 0.81 (0.59-1.10)
HR CURB65 >2 = 0.80 (0.61-1.06)
ICU transfer: 3 (Legionella) vs. 0
Death 2 (Mycoplasma) vs. 0
Significantly more readmissions
Viruses are a common cause
of adult CAP
Paradigm Change #2
EPIC – Pathogen Detections
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
HRV Flu S. pn. HMPV RSV PIV G. ng.* CoV M. pn. S. au. AdV Leg. Strep
sp.
Other†
RCT of PCT in LRTI
Christ-Crain, Lancet, 2004
Admission Procalcitonin in EPIC
< .25 ng/dl,
1042, 59%
> .25 ng/dl,
728, 41%
Admission Procalcitonin in EPIC
Viral
18%
Unknown
36%
Atypical
2%
Bacterial
2%
Bacterial
7%
Atypical
2%
Unknown
25%
Viral
8%
< .25 ng/dl> .25 ng/dl
Antibiotics in CHF Admissions
Maisel et al, Eur J Heart Fail, 2011
Antibiotics in CHF Admissions
Maisel et al, Eur J Heart Fail, 2011
Phase III RCT of Daptomycin
vs. Ceftriaxone in CAP
• Daptomycin subsequently
found to be inactivated by
pulmonary surfactant
• Essentially placebo-
controlled study of
ceftriaxone
• Re-analyzed based on
whether received prior
antibiotic dose
– usually cephalosporin
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
All Prior No Prior
79.4
90.7
75.4
87.9 88 87.8
ClinicalSuccess(%)
Daptomycin Ceftriaxone
Pertel, Clin Infect Dis, 2008 Clinically Evaluable
It is OK to avoid or use
ultra-short course antibiotics
for some suspected CAPs
Paradigm Change #3
10 days 5 days
• Antibiotic of
physician’s choice
• Placebo after 5 days
10 days 5 days
Higher
readmissions in
10-day treatment
also
Sept 2016
Healthcare-Associated
Pneumonia (HCAP)
HCAP
Hospital
-acquired
Community
-acquired
Epidemiology Of HCAP
Culture-positive cases from large database
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
MRSA Pseudomonas Acinetobacter Enterics
8.9
17.1
1.6
21.3
26.5 25.3
2.6
25.8
22.9
18.4
2
19.8
14.6
21.2
3
26.6
CAP HCAP HAP VAP
Kollef, Chest, 2005
%ofisolates
7
22.6
37.8
4
9.9
19.8
5
20.1
32.7
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
LOS 30-Day 90-Day
GC-HCAP
GC-CAP
Non-GC
Mortality
p = 0.001
p = 0.001
p = 0.001
EPIC Adult Exclusions
Recent hospitalization
30 days for immunocompetant
90 days for immunosuppressed
Functionally dependent nursing home
patients
Tracheostomy or PEG
Cystic Fibrosis
Severe immunosuppression
Language barrier to consent
EPIC:
Severe Immunosuppression
Cancer with neutropenia
Solid organ or stem cell transplant
within 90 days
Graft vs. Host Disease or Bronchiolitis
obliterans
HIV with CD4 < 200 mm3
EPIC – Pathogen Detections
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
HRV Flu S. pn. HMPV RSV PIV G. ng.* CoV M. pn. S. au. AdV Leg. Strep
sp.
Other†
7/2320 (0.3%) Pseudomonas
38/2320 (1.6%) S. aureus
115/2320 (5%) S. pneumoniae
CAP-Drug Resistant Pathogens
618
36%
219
57120
162
74
286
14
79
5%
22 77
Unknown
S. pneumoniae
Other Strep
MSSA
H. flu/Morax
Atypicals
GNB - sens
GNB - resist
Pseudo
Other Nonferm
MRSA
Shindo, Am J Respir Crit Care Med, 2013
Independent Risk Factors for Pneumonia Secondary to:
CAP-DRP MRSA
Hospitalization > 2 days in
previous 90 days
Hospitalization > 2 days in
previous 90 days
Use of antibiotics in
previous 90 days
Use of antibiotics in
previous 90 days
Immunosuppression Chronic hemodialysis in
previous 30 days*
Non-ambulatory status Prior MRSA colonization*
Tube feedings Congestive heart failure*
Gastric acid suppression Gastric acid suppression
* MRSA- specific risk factors
Shindo, Am J Respir Crit Care Med, 2013
2/12
Gross Findings: The Lung
Wunderink RG, Waterer GW. N Engl J Med
2014;370:543-551.
Risk for CAP-Drug Resistant
Pathogens
439 122 57
20
25
32
12
9
32
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
<=1 2 >=3
CAP-DRP Risk Factors
Negative
MRSA
Other CAP-DRPs
Shindo, Am J Respir Crit Care Med, 2013
Treatment Response for Patients
with < 1 Risk for CAP-DRPs
2.1
10.2
13.2
9.7
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
CAP Mono β-lactam Broad Spec Inappropriate
Mortality
Empirical Treatment
p = 0.00001
284 380 266 72
Shindo, Am J Respir Crit Care Med, 2013
Paradigm Change #4:
Should have good reasons to not
treat with traditional CAP drugs
 CAP-DRG make up 13.6% of all CAP
 Increased mortality in HCAP is likely not
due to inappropriate antibiotics alone
Summary
Falling CAP mortality rates can result from:
Pneumococcal conjugate vaccine
Early traditional CAP antibiotics
Avoiding overtreatment of patients at low risk for DRPs
Viral CAP is much more common than previously
believed
Greater availability of multiplex RVPs
Procalcitonin may identify patients at low risk for
deterioration with extremely short course antibiotics
“Not everything that counts can
be measured and not everything
that can be measured counts.”
Albert Einstein

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New Developments in Community Onset Pneumonia

  • 1. New Developments in Community- Onset Pneumonia Richard G. Wunderink MD Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine Chicago, IL, USA
  • 2. Conflicts of Interest • bioMerieux – investigator-initiated grant • Pfizer – data safety monitoring board • Accelerate Diagnostics • Curetis • Genmark • Nabriva • Arsanis Diagnostics companies
  • 3. US Causes of Death 1 10 100 1000 Deathsper100,000population Pneumonia Tuberculosis Sepsis AIDS 20/100K Pediatric Conjugate Vaccine Clinical use of penicillin starts Effective anti-TB drugs
  • 4. US Causes of Death 1 10 100 1000 Deathsper100,000population Pneumonia Tuberculosis Sepsis AIDS 20/100K CMS Public reporting/Pediatric ConjugateVaccine Clinical use of penicillin starts Effective anti-TB drugs
  • 5. Paradigm change #1: Outcome of many critical illnesses, including CAP, is determined by the timely provision of appropriate antibiotic(s)
  • 6. Time to First Antibiotic Dose in Septic Shock Kumar, Crit Care Med, 2006 7.6%/hr increase in mortality
  • 7. ARDS Prevention Strategies: Appropriate Antibiotics Levitt JE and Matthay MA. Critical Care 2012;1:223 Septic Shock Pneumonia Iscimen et al, Crit Care Med 2008;36:151 8- 1522 Kojicic et al Crit Care 2012;16:R46
  • 9. What is (are) the correct antibiotic(s)?
  • 10. What is (are) the correct antibiotic(s) in the era of antibiotic stewardship?
  • 13.
  • 15. CDC Etiology of Pneumonia in the Community (EPIC) Study  Both children (< 18 years) and adults  4 sites: Chicago, Nashville, Memphis, Salt Lake City  January 1, 2010 – June 30, 2012  2320 adults with radiographic pneumonia Objective: Determine US population-based incidence and etiology of CAP
  • 16.
  • 17. Am J Respir Crit Care Med, 2015 319 patients with clinically suspected CAP in 4 EDs
  • 18. 87% prior to antibiotics CDC EPIC Diagnostic Algorithm
  • 19. CDC-EPIC Etiology of CAP: Etiology Results 77 27 10 11 18 64 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Pediatric Adult Percentofpatients Viral Bacterial None
  • 20. Only 52/2320 (2%) of adults enrolled in EPIC died Slightly higher in eligible, un- enrolled patients (4% at most)
  • 21. Trends in Adult Community- Acquired Pneumonia Smith et al, JAMA Int Med, 2014 EPIC
  • 22.
  • 24. Macrolide Combination Therapy 0 2 4 6 8 10 Ceftriaxone Other Ceph Penicilln Quinolone 6.31 5.11 8.15 4.94 2.76 2.16 2.46 2.91 Mortality(%) Monotherapy Macrolide Combination p < 0.0001 p < 0.05 Brown, Chest, 2003 18,500 16,000 4,500 1800
  • 25. Presumption of proponents of narrow-spectrum therapy e.g. β-lactam monotherapy, is that S. pneumoniae is the overwhelming cause of CAP
  • 26. EPIC – Adult Pathogen Detections 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HRV Flu S. pn. HMPV RSV PIV G. ng.* CoV M. pn. S. au. AdV Leg. Strep sp. Other† 115/2320 (5%) S. pneumoniae
  • 28.
  • 30. CAP-START Primary Endpoint : 90 Day Mortality Postma et al, NEJM, 2015
  • 31. CAP-START Endpoints 9 8.8 11.1 6.1 8.8 3.7 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 90-DayMortality Add Abs for failure % B-Lactam BL/Macro Quinolone Postma et al, NEJM, 2015
  • 32. JAMA Intern Med 2014 TCS difference at 7 days – 7.6% (95%CI:-0.8 to 16, p = .07) HR PSI IV = 0.81 (0.59-1.10) HR CURB65 >2 = 0.80 (0.61-1.06) ICU transfer: 3 (Legionella) vs. 0 Death 2 (Mycoplasma) vs. 0 Significantly more readmissions
  • 33. Viruses are a common cause of adult CAP Paradigm Change #2
  • 34. EPIC – Pathogen Detections 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HRV Flu S. pn. HMPV RSV PIV G. ng.* CoV M. pn. S. au. AdV Leg. Strep sp. Other†
  • 35.
  • 36. RCT of PCT in LRTI Christ-Crain, Lancet, 2004
  • 37. Admission Procalcitonin in EPIC < .25 ng/dl, 1042, 59% > .25 ng/dl, 728, 41%
  • 38. Admission Procalcitonin in EPIC Viral 18% Unknown 36% Atypical 2% Bacterial 2% Bacterial 7% Atypical 2% Unknown 25% Viral 8% < .25 ng/dl> .25 ng/dl
  • 39. Antibiotics in CHF Admissions Maisel et al, Eur J Heart Fail, 2011
  • 40. Antibiotics in CHF Admissions Maisel et al, Eur J Heart Fail, 2011
  • 41. Phase III RCT of Daptomycin vs. Ceftriaxone in CAP • Daptomycin subsequently found to be inactivated by pulmonary surfactant • Essentially placebo- controlled study of ceftriaxone • Re-analyzed based on whether received prior antibiotic dose – usually cephalosporin 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 All Prior No Prior 79.4 90.7 75.4 87.9 88 87.8 ClinicalSuccess(%) Daptomycin Ceftriaxone Pertel, Clin Infect Dis, 2008 Clinically Evaluable
  • 42. It is OK to avoid or use ultra-short course antibiotics for some suspected CAPs Paradigm Change #3
  • 43. 10 days 5 days • Antibiotic of physician’s choice • Placebo after 5 days 10 days 5 days Higher readmissions in 10-day treatment also Sept 2016
  • 45. Epidemiology Of HCAP Culture-positive cases from large database 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 MRSA Pseudomonas Acinetobacter Enterics 8.9 17.1 1.6 21.3 26.5 25.3 2.6 25.8 22.9 18.4 2 19.8 14.6 21.2 3 26.6 CAP HCAP HAP VAP Kollef, Chest, 2005 %ofisolates
  • 47. EPIC Adult Exclusions Recent hospitalization 30 days for immunocompetant 90 days for immunosuppressed Functionally dependent nursing home patients Tracheostomy or PEG Cystic Fibrosis Severe immunosuppression Language barrier to consent
  • 48. EPIC: Severe Immunosuppression Cancer with neutropenia Solid organ or stem cell transplant within 90 days Graft vs. Host Disease or Bronchiolitis obliterans HIV with CD4 < 200 mm3
  • 49. EPIC – Pathogen Detections 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 HRV Flu S. pn. HMPV RSV PIV G. ng.* CoV M. pn. S. au. AdV Leg. Strep sp. Other† 7/2320 (0.3%) Pseudomonas 38/2320 (1.6%) S. aureus 115/2320 (5%) S. pneumoniae
  • 50. CAP-Drug Resistant Pathogens 618 36% 219 57120 162 74 286 14 79 5% 22 77 Unknown S. pneumoniae Other Strep MSSA H. flu/Morax Atypicals GNB - sens GNB - resist Pseudo Other Nonferm MRSA Shindo, Am J Respir Crit Care Med, 2013
  • 51. Independent Risk Factors for Pneumonia Secondary to: CAP-DRP MRSA Hospitalization > 2 days in previous 90 days Hospitalization > 2 days in previous 90 days Use of antibiotics in previous 90 days Use of antibiotics in previous 90 days Immunosuppression Chronic hemodialysis in previous 30 days* Non-ambulatory status Prior MRSA colonization* Tube feedings Congestive heart failure* Gastric acid suppression Gastric acid suppression * MRSA- specific risk factors Shindo, Am J Respir Crit Care Med, 2013
  • 52. 2/12
  • 54. Wunderink RG, Waterer GW. N Engl J Med 2014;370:543-551.
  • 55. Risk for CAP-Drug Resistant Pathogens 439 122 57 20 25 32 12 9 32 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 <=1 2 >=3 CAP-DRP Risk Factors Negative MRSA Other CAP-DRPs Shindo, Am J Respir Crit Care Med, 2013
  • 56. Treatment Response for Patients with < 1 Risk for CAP-DRPs 2.1 10.2 13.2 9.7 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 CAP Mono β-lactam Broad Spec Inappropriate Mortality Empirical Treatment p = 0.00001 284 380 266 72 Shindo, Am J Respir Crit Care Med, 2013
  • 57. Paradigm Change #4: Should have good reasons to not treat with traditional CAP drugs  CAP-DRG make up 13.6% of all CAP  Increased mortality in HCAP is likely not due to inappropriate antibiotics alone
  • 58. Summary Falling CAP mortality rates can result from: Pneumococcal conjugate vaccine Early traditional CAP antibiotics Avoiding overtreatment of patients at low risk for DRPs Viral CAP is much more common than previously believed Greater availability of multiplex RVPs Procalcitonin may identify patients at low risk for deterioration with extremely short course antibiotics
  • 59. “Not everything that counts can be measured and not everything that can be measured counts.” Albert Einstein