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MODEL INTERCOMPARISON BETWEEN ADMS
3.1, AERMOD AND AERMOD PRIME
Prepared By:
Christopher Sidle
Bethan Tuckett-Jones
Betty Ng
Ji Ping Shi
BREEZE SOFTWARE
12700 Park Central Drive,
Suite 2100
Dallas, TX 75251
+1 (972) 661-8881
breeze-software.com
9th
Int. Conf. on Harmonisation within Atmospheric Dispersion Modelling for Regulatory Purposes
- 156 -
1.32 MODEL INTERCOMPARISON BETWEEN ADMS 3.1, AERMOD AND
AERMOD PRIME
Christopher Sidle*
, Bethan Tuckett-Jones, Betty Ng and Ji Ping Shi
Air Quality Modelling and Assessment Unit (AQMAU), Environment Agency, 29 Newport
Road, Cardiff CF24 0TP UK. *
Corresponding author
INTRODUCTION
A suite of tests have been built up over time to develop a model intercomparison protocol to
aid the Environment Agency in assessing the regulatory implications of the release of new
models or model versions. The Environment Agency has conducted a model intercomparison
study of AERMOD (99211), AERMOD Prime (02091) and ADMS 3.1. The aim of this study
was to inform on the regulatory implications of the use of these models. The study
investigated the model calculations of plume rise, building entrainment and the plume
interaction with terrain. The models were run to generate annual mean ground level
concentrations and annual percentile statistics of hourly mean ground level concentrations. In
addition, they were run to examine the model responses under meteorological conditions
representative of neutral conditions, unstable and stable conditions.
A selection of the results and the main conclusions are presented here. Detailed reports
(AQMAU 2002a,b,c, & d) and model input files are available from the website:
“http://www.environment-agency.gov.uk/subjects/airquality/236092/239033/?lang=_e”
Flat Terrain
The stack discharge conditions used in the test cases presented here are listed in Table 1.
Table 2 shows the maximum annual mean ground level concentration output by the models
for the cases of 40m and 150m stack discharges, with and without buoyancy in flat terrain.
The maximum in the grid and the spatial distributions of the 98th
percentiles from different
models agree better with one another than those for the 99.9th
and 100th
percentiles.
Table 1. Stack discharge conditions used in the basic model tests for flat terrain, for a
buildings test case and for a complex terrain test case.
40m stack 150m stack 65m stack 122m stack
No
buoyancy
With
buoyancy
No
buoyancy
With
buoyancy
Used in
building test
cases only
Used in
terrain test
case only
Stack Diameter (m) 1 1 1 4 5.8 3.66
Temperature (°C) 15 130 15 130 137 165
Exit Velocity (m/s) 5 25 5 25 24.45 8.34
Emission Rate (g/s) 1000 1000 1000 1000 100 1
9th
Int. Conf. on Harmonisation within Atmospheric Dispersion Modelling for Regulatory Purposes
- 157 -
Table 2. Maximum annual mean, 100th, 99.9th and 98th percentile ground level
concentrations for the four basic test cases. The distance from source to maximum is given in
metres; concentration is given in mg/m3
.
Mean 100 %ile 99.9 %ile 98.0 %ileRun
Details
Model
Dist. Conc. Dist. Conc. Dist. Conc. Dist. Conc.
AERMOD 320 0.66 140 63.9 140 36 280 10.7
AERMOD PRIME 320 0.63 200 41.8 140 24.8 280 9.5
40m, no
buoyancy
ADMS 3.1 420 0.69 360 167.0 100 65.7 280 9.7
AERMOD 540 0.21 280 6.9 200 5.3 420 3.0
AERMOD PRIME 540 0.20 320 4.7 320 4.1 540 2.8
40m,
buoyancy
ADMS 3.1 540 0.24 200 10.9 220 8.4 540 3.2
AERMOD 850 0.06 450 9.1 450 3.8 850 1.0
AERMOD PRIME 850 0.05 820 7.7 560 3.2 850 0.9
150m, no
buoyancy
ADMS 3.1 1130 0.03 280 9.7 400 5.2 1280 0.6
AERMOD 1900 0.008 1400 0.7 1850 0.3 1900 0.2
AERMOD PRIME 1900 0.008 2600 0.4 2840 0.3 1900 0.1
150m,
buoyancy
ADMS 3.1 2720 0.005 1020 0.4 1340 0.3 3100 0.1
Buildings
A range of building test cases were performed to compare the models, but few generic
conclusions could be made. A few results of interest are presented here. Figure 3 shows the
different sensitivity of AERMOD PRIME and ADMS 3.1 to the wind angle, for neutral
conditions for a 35m cube building, with the stack configured relative to the building as
shown in figure 1. Stack discharge conditions are shown in table 1 for a 40m stack with non-
buoyant emissions.
Table 3 shows the results for a test case for a single 65m stack with buoyant emissions and
three 40m high buildings configured as in figure 2. ADMS 3.1 requires the choice of a main
building to be made, the consequences of which are shown in table 3. It was also found that
by altering the position of the stack relative to the three buildings, a point could be found
where moving the stack by 1m altered significantly the AERMOD PRIME results, as shown
in figure 4.
Figure 1. Configuration of stacks and building Figure 2. Configuration of stack and
for results presented in figure 3. buildings for results presented in Table 3.
9th
Int. Conf. on Harmonisation within Atmospheric Dispersion Modelling for Regulatory Purposes
- 158 -
AERMOD PRIME ADMS 3.1
Figure 3. Maximum ground level concentrations in mg/m3
as a function of wind direction for
the AERMOD PRIME (Left) and ADMS 3.1 (Right) with a 40m stack with non-buoyant
emissions located at the building face, in the near wake or in the far wake.
Table 3. Maximum ground level concentrations, in µgm-3
, and distance to maximum, in
metres, for the test case shown in figure 2, for a 65m stack.
ADMS
3.1
AERMOD
AERMOD
PRIME
Run Details
Dist. Conc.
Run Details
Dist. Conc. Dist. Conc.
All 3 Buildings:
Building 1 as main building
440 192 All 3 Buildings 400 43.5 3400 16.9
All 3 Buildings:
Building 2 as main building
600 148 Building 1 only 400 43.5 600 71.1
All 3 Buildings:
Building 3 as main building
960 77
Building 2 or 3
only
400 43.5 3400 16.9
AERMOD 99211
Stack @ 0,-30
PRIME 01247 PRIME 01247
Stack @ 0,-30 Stack @ 0,-31
-500 0 500
meters
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
meters
-500 0 500
meters
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
meters
-500 0 500
meters
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
meters
-500 0 500
meters
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
meters
PRIME 01247
Stack @ -1,-31
Figure 4. Ground level concentrations in µg m-3
for a 65 m stack located at (0,-30m), (0,-
31m) and (-1m,-31m) relative to its location presented in figure 2. All buildings are present.
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
90 120 150 180 210 240 270
Wind Direction (degs from)
Co
n
c
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
90 120 150 180 210 240 270
Wind Direction (degs from)
Co
n
c
Near Wake
Far Wake
Building Face
9th
Int. Conf. on Harmonisation within Atmospheric Dispersion Modelling for Regulatory Purposes
- 159 -
Complex Terrain
A case study comparing the predictions of ADMS 3.1, AERMOD and AERMOD PRIME in
complex terrain was carried out for a 122 metre stack (see table 1 for stack discharge
conditions). Figure 5 shows the terrain contours in the modelling domain. Figure 6 displays
contour plots for the annual mean and 99.9th
percentile results for the three models.
Figure 5. Terrain contours near the point source (shown by the cross).
CONCLUSIONS
Whilst significant differences exist between the model predictions, the study found that few
generic conclusions could be reached regarding the implications for the use of the models.
AERMOD Prime and ADMS 3.1 show significantly different dependence of building
downwash effects on wind directions. There is no simple relationship between the predictions
with building effects of AERMOD Prime and ADMS 3.1 over a range of building geometry.
With terrain, AERMOD and AERMOD Prime give similar predictions. However, these
results are very different from those of ADMS 3.1 in both spatial distribution and magnitude.
In unstable conditions, AERMOD Prime predicts lower concentrations than either AERMOD
or ADMS 3.1. For regulatory purposes it is therefore useful to make use of two models to
gain or lose confidence in the modelled predictions. However model comparison alone cannot
determine, for any specific case study, which model is performing better. Hence the value of
performing comparison against measurements or wind tunnel data where feasible and
appropriate. Therefore we would encourage further measurement campaigns or validation
experiments to be performed to try to address the issues raised by model comparison studies.
REFERENCES
AQMAU (2002a) “An intercomparison of AERMOD, AERMOD PRIME and ADMS 3.1”.
AQMAU (2002b) “Addendum to ‘An intercomparison of AERMOD, AERMOD PRIME and
ADMS 3.1”
AQMAU (2002c) “A comparison of ADMS 3.0 and 3.1”.
AQMAU (2002d) “Addendum 1 to ‘A comparison of ADMS 3.0 and 3.1”
0000 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000
0000
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
0 m 2000 4000
9th
Int. Conf. on Harmonisation within Atmospheric Dispersion Modelling for Regulatory Purposes
- 160 -
Figure 6. Annual mean and 99.9th
percentile of hourly mean ground level concentrations in
µg m-3
for the complex terrain test case. The location of the stack is shown by a black
diamond. Horizontal distances are given in metres.
386000 388000 390000 392000
149000
150000
151000
152000
153000
154000
155000
156000
AERMOD 99211 Prime 02091 ADMS 3.1
Flat terrain: Annual Mean (ug/m3)
Elevated terrain: Annual Mean (ug/m3)
386000 388000 390000 392000
149000
150000
151000
152000
153000
154000
155000
156000
Flat terrain: 99.9 percentile (ug/m3)
Elevated terrain: 99.9 percentile (ug/m3)
386000 388000 390000 392000
149000
150000
151000
152000
153000
154000
155000
156000
386000 388000 390000 392000
149000
150000
151000
152000
153000
154000
155000
156000
386000 388000 390000 392000
149000
150000
151000
152000
153000
154000
155000
156000
386000 388000 390000 392000
149000
150000
151000
152000
153000
154000
155000
156000
386000 388000 390000 392000
149000
150000
151000
152000
153000
154000
155000
156000
386000 388000 390000 392000
149000
150000
151000
152000
153000
154000
155000
156000
386000 388000 390000 392000
149000
150000
151000
152000
153000
154000
155000
156000
386000 388000 390000 392000
149000
150000
151000
152000
153000
154000
155000
156000
386000 388000 390000 392000
149000
150000
151000
152000
153000
154000
155000
156000
386000 388000 390000 392000
149000
150000
151000
152000
153000
154000
155000
156000
0 2000 4000 6000 0 2000 4000 6000 0 2000 4000 6000
0 2000 4000 60000 2000 4000 6000 0 2000 4000 6000
0 2000 4000 60000 2000 4000 60000 2000 4000 6000
0 2000 4000 6000 0 2000 4000 6000 0 2000 4000 6000
0
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Model Intercomparison Between Adms 3.1, Aermod And Aermod Prime

  • 1. Modeling Software for EHS Professionals MODEL INTERCOMPARISON BETWEEN ADMS 3.1, AERMOD AND AERMOD PRIME Prepared By: Christopher Sidle Bethan Tuckett-Jones Betty Ng Ji Ping Shi BREEZE SOFTWARE 12700 Park Central Drive, Suite 2100 Dallas, TX 75251 +1 (972) 661-8881 breeze-software.com
  • 2. 9th Int. Conf. on Harmonisation within Atmospheric Dispersion Modelling for Regulatory Purposes - 156 - 1.32 MODEL INTERCOMPARISON BETWEEN ADMS 3.1, AERMOD AND AERMOD PRIME Christopher Sidle* , Bethan Tuckett-Jones, Betty Ng and Ji Ping Shi Air Quality Modelling and Assessment Unit (AQMAU), Environment Agency, 29 Newport Road, Cardiff CF24 0TP UK. * Corresponding author INTRODUCTION A suite of tests have been built up over time to develop a model intercomparison protocol to aid the Environment Agency in assessing the regulatory implications of the release of new models or model versions. The Environment Agency has conducted a model intercomparison study of AERMOD (99211), AERMOD Prime (02091) and ADMS 3.1. The aim of this study was to inform on the regulatory implications of the use of these models. The study investigated the model calculations of plume rise, building entrainment and the plume interaction with terrain. The models were run to generate annual mean ground level concentrations and annual percentile statistics of hourly mean ground level concentrations. In addition, they were run to examine the model responses under meteorological conditions representative of neutral conditions, unstable and stable conditions. A selection of the results and the main conclusions are presented here. Detailed reports (AQMAU 2002a,b,c, & d) and model input files are available from the website: “http://www.environment-agency.gov.uk/subjects/airquality/236092/239033/?lang=_e” Flat Terrain The stack discharge conditions used in the test cases presented here are listed in Table 1. Table 2 shows the maximum annual mean ground level concentration output by the models for the cases of 40m and 150m stack discharges, with and without buoyancy in flat terrain. The maximum in the grid and the spatial distributions of the 98th percentiles from different models agree better with one another than those for the 99.9th and 100th percentiles. Table 1. Stack discharge conditions used in the basic model tests for flat terrain, for a buildings test case and for a complex terrain test case. 40m stack 150m stack 65m stack 122m stack No buoyancy With buoyancy No buoyancy With buoyancy Used in building test cases only Used in terrain test case only Stack Diameter (m) 1 1 1 4 5.8 3.66 Temperature (°C) 15 130 15 130 137 165 Exit Velocity (m/s) 5 25 5 25 24.45 8.34 Emission Rate (g/s) 1000 1000 1000 1000 100 1
  • 3. 9th Int. Conf. on Harmonisation within Atmospheric Dispersion Modelling for Regulatory Purposes - 157 - Table 2. Maximum annual mean, 100th, 99.9th and 98th percentile ground level concentrations for the four basic test cases. The distance from source to maximum is given in metres; concentration is given in mg/m3 . Mean 100 %ile 99.9 %ile 98.0 %ileRun Details Model Dist. Conc. Dist. Conc. Dist. Conc. Dist. Conc. AERMOD 320 0.66 140 63.9 140 36 280 10.7 AERMOD PRIME 320 0.63 200 41.8 140 24.8 280 9.5 40m, no buoyancy ADMS 3.1 420 0.69 360 167.0 100 65.7 280 9.7 AERMOD 540 0.21 280 6.9 200 5.3 420 3.0 AERMOD PRIME 540 0.20 320 4.7 320 4.1 540 2.8 40m, buoyancy ADMS 3.1 540 0.24 200 10.9 220 8.4 540 3.2 AERMOD 850 0.06 450 9.1 450 3.8 850 1.0 AERMOD PRIME 850 0.05 820 7.7 560 3.2 850 0.9 150m, no buoyancy ADMS 3.1 1130 0.03 280 9.7 400 5.2 1280 0.6 AERMOD 1900 0.008 1400 0.7 1850 0.3 1900 0.2 AERMOD PRIME 1900 0.008 2600 0.4 2840 0.3 1900 0.1 150m, buoyancy ADMS 3.1 2720 0.005 1020 0.4 1340 0.3 3100 0.1 Buildings A range of building test cases were performed to compare the models, but few generic conclusions could be made. A few results of interest are presented here. Figure 3 shows the different sensitivity of AERMOD PRIME and ADMS 3.1 to the wind angle, for neutral conditions for a 35m cube building, with the stack configured relative to the building as shown in figure 1. Stack discharge conditions are shown in table 1 for a 40m stack with non- buoyant emissions. Table 3 shows the results for a test case for a single 65m stack with buoyant emissions and three 40m high buildings configured as in figure 2. ADMS 3.1 requires the choice of a main building to be made, the consequences of which are shown in table 3. It was also found that by altering the position of the stack relative to the three buildings, a point could be found where moving the stack by 1m altered significantly the AERMOD PRIME results, as shown in figure 4. Figure 1. Configuration of stacks and building Figure 2. Configuration of stack and for results presented in figure 3. buildings for results presented in Table 3.
  • 4. 9th Int. Conf. on Harmonisation within Atmospheric Dispersion Modelling for Regulatory Purposes - 158 - AERMOD PRIME ADMS 3.1 Figure 3. Maximum ground level concentrations in mg/m3 as a function of wind direction for the AERMOD PRIME (Left) and ADMS 3.1 (Right) with a 40m stack with non-buoyant emissions located at the building face, in the near wake or in the far wake. Table 3. Maximum ground level concentrations, in µgm-3 , and distance to maximum, in metres, for the test case shown in figure 2, for a 65m stack. ADMS 3.1 AERMOD AERMOD PRIME Run Details Dist. Conc. Run Details Dist. Conc. Dist. Conc. All 3 Buildings: Building 1 as main building 440 192 All 3 Buildings 400 43.5 3400 16.9 All 3 Buildings: Building 2 as main building 600 148 Building 1 only 400 43.5 600 71.1 All 3 Buildings: Building 3 as main building 960 77 Building 2 or 3 only 400 43.5 3400 16.9 AERMOD 99211 Stack @ 0,-30 PRIME 01247 PRIME 01247 Stack @ 0,-30 Stack @ 0,-31 -500 0 500 meters 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 meters -500 0 500 meters 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 meters -500 0 500 meters 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 meters -500 0 500 meters 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 meters PRIME 01247 Stack @ -1,-31 Figure 4. Ground level concentrations in µg m-3 for a 65 m stack located at (0,-30m), (0,- 31m) and (-1m,-31m) relative to its location presented in figure 2. All buildings are present. 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 Wind Direction (degs from) Co n c 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 Wind Direction (degs from) Co n c Near Wake Far Wake Building Face
  • 5. 9th Int. Conf. on Harmonisation within Atmospheric Dispersion Modelling for Regulatory Purposes - 159 - Complex Terrain A case study comparing the predictions of ADMS 3.1, AERMOD and AERMOD PRIME in complex terrain was carried out for a 122 metre stack (see table 1 for stack discharge conditions). Figure 5 shows the terrain contours in the modelling domain. Figure 6 displays contour plots for the annual mean and 99.9th percentile results for the three models. Figure 5. Terrain contours near the point source (shown by the cross). CONCLUSIONS Whilst significant differences exist between the model predictions, the study found that few generic conclusions could be reached regarding the implications for the use of the models. AERMOD Prime and ADMS 3.1 show significantly different dependence of building downwash effects on wind directions. There is no simple relationship between the predictions with building effects of AERMOD Prime and ADMS 3.1 over a range of building geometry. With terrain, AERMOD and AERMOD Prime give similar predictions. However, these results are very different from those of ADMS 3.1 in both spatial distribution and magnitude. In unstable conditions, AERMOD Prime predicts lower concentrations than either AERMOD or ADMS 3.1. For regulatory purposes it is therefore useful to make use of two models to gain or lose confidence in the modelled predictions. However model comparison alone cannot determine, for any specific case study, which model is performing better. Hence the value of performing comparison against measurements or wind tunnel data where feasible and appropriate. Therefore we would encourage further measurement campaigns or validation experiments to be performed to try to address the issues raised by model comparison studies. REFERENCES AQMAU (2002a) “An intercomparison of AERMOD, AERMOD PRIME and ADMS 3.1”. AQMAU (2002b) “Addendum to ‘An intercomparison of AERMOD, AERMOD PRIME and ADMS 3.1” AQMAU (2002c) “A comparison of ADMS 3.0 and 3.1”. AQMAU (2002d) “Addendum 1 to ‘A comparison of ADMS 3.0 and 3.1” 0000 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 0000 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 0 m 2000 4000
  • 6. 9th Int. Conf. on Harmonisation within Atmospheric Dispersion Modelling for Regulatory Purposes - 160 - Figure 6. Annual mean and 99.9th percentile of hourly mean ground level concentrations in µg m-3 for the complex terrain test case. The location of the stack is shown by a black diamond. Horizontal distances are given in metres. 386000 388000 390000 392000 149000 150000 151000 152000 153000 154000 155000 156000 AERMOD 99211 Prime 02091 ADMS 3.1 Flat terrain: Annual Mean (ug/m3) Elevated terrain: Annual Mean (ug/m3) 386000 388000 390000 392000 149000 150000 151000 152000 153000 154000 155000 156000 Flat terrain: 99.9 percentile (ug/m3) Elevated terrain: 99.9 percentile (ug/m3) 386000 388000 390000 392000 149000 150000 151000 152000 153000 154000 155000 156000 386000 388000 390000 392000 149000 150000 151000 152000 153000 154000 155000 156000 386000 388000 390000 392000 149000 150000 151000 152000 153000 154000 155000 156000 386000 388000 390000 392000 149000 150000 151000 152000 153000 154000 155000 156000 386000 388000 390000 392000 149000 150000 151000 152000 153000 154000 155000 156000 386000 388000 390000 392000 149000 150000 151000 152000 153000 154000 155000 156000 386000 388000 390000 392000 149000 150000 151000 152000 153000 154000 155000 156000 386000 388000 390000 392000 149000 150000 151000 152000 153000 154000 155000 156000 386000 388000 390000 392000 149000 150000 151000 152000 153000 154000 155000 156000 386000 388000 390000 392000 149000 150000 151000 152000 153000 154000 155000 156000 0 2000 4000 6000 0 2000 4000 6000 0 2000 4000 6000 0 2000 4000 60000 2000 4000 6000 0 2000 4000 6000 0 2000 4000 60000 2000 4000 60000 2000 4000 6000 0 2000 4000 6000 0 2000 4000 6000 0 2000 4000 6000 0 2000 4000 6000 0 2000 4000 6000 0 2000 4000 6000 0 2000 4000 6000 0 2000 4000 6000 0 2000 4000 6000 0 2000 4000 6000 0 2000 4000 6000 0 2000 4000 6000 0 2000 4000 6000 0 2000 4000 6000 0 2000 4000 6000